Wimminz – celebrating skank ho's everywhere

December 5, 2017

I hesitate to post this

Filed under: Wimminz — wimminz @ 1:31 pm

As many of you know with my other non anonymised hat on I own and operate a legitimate business…. for many years / most of my life I have been the sort of person who had little use for the state, so on the one hand I was quite happy to work the black economy and do cash in hand jobs, on the other hand the state never even knew I existed, much less came to my aid or supported me in any way.

Of course in 1990 if you had a driving job that paid cash it is not the same as a driving job in 2018, not even fucking remotely similar.

I hesitate to say it not because with my other hat on and my small business I am as dodgy as fuck, because the fact is I am extremely careful to do everything 100% legal and even employ and pay people such as accountants etc to ensure that all required legal things are in order and done exactly as they should be.

An audit from the dreaded “Revenue Men” (now all harpy vindictive wimminz) is a pain in the ass that causes me to waste a morning with them and the accountant going through everything, it’s bullshit and a pain in the ass and it wastes my time and money and all that, but it doesn’t worry me, because there is no wrongdoing to find.

As many of you also know I have a strong background in IT and technology, and “digital life” filled me with the heebie jeebies from very very early on, so while it was inevitable that digital life would take over, it was also obvious to me that I had to sanitise it wherever possible, so for example I never signed up for fuckbook or any of the other social media sites, the closest I ever came was Napster.

I know this doesn’t fully protect me because everyone else signs up for social media sites, so you can’t stay off the radar, but I was not busy uploading photos of myself only to discover years later that facial recognition was now a thing and not a science fiction thing, or that cross database comparison and metadata was now a thing and not a science fiction thing.

Google location history and calls and sms backed up to the google cloud for google to trawl through I did sign up for, because I had first hand experience of scenarios where I was falsely accused of many evil things by the psycho skank ho ex, and I had no alibi as such…. my reasoning being that NOT signing up for it would NOT mean I was NOT tracked, again I was proven right time and again with revelation after revelation about these places tracking your every move… but signing up for it means I can access that history at will.

Like I said, I am 100% legal with my business hat on, and google location tracking allowed me to prove in about 30 seconds that a given expense being claimed against tax was genuine, yup, here I am at this expo, just as my expense claims said…. accurate to a few meters and yes I arrived at the venue at 8:30 am and left at 6:00 pm for both days.

No, the “hesitation” I feel, and the reason I cannot touch this with a bargepole on the business blog, is because I am one of the few.

I’ll point you back at previous posts about taxation and limited companies, I found out today that a local well known gentleman who is known in the media as a personality and who is a property owner of some note who leases several properties to other local businesses is as dodgy as fuck, as in he is not registered anywhere he needs to be by law for taxation and other purposes, neither has he taken for himself the legal protections available to him by company formation or anything else… don’t get me wrong, the guy probably is not doing the state out of anything, overall, or if he is it is small potatoes.

No, his error is in effect that he is not doing what I am doing by being 100% legal, he is not acting as an unpaid state tax collector and information producing drone, which is basically what being 100% legal in the digital age means.

I had to say to the guy I can’t work for you, or rather, I can, but if I do I’m going to be producing paperwork that will be used to hang you out to dry…. are you sure you want to go down this road?

The thing is, he isn’t alone, 99% of the time I have no idea about people’s private business or how they run their business, but, being local, a lot of the time I do, people talk…. understand…

And none of these people are actual crooks, they are just running off the books as it were, or with two sets of books to use the old expression.

They know it’s been a bad week if their wallet is empty.

But, being it is a digital age with interconnected databases and everything else, WHEN, and it will be WHEN the revenue man comes calling, they will all be treated as “fraudsters” and fraudsters with malice aforethought, the state revenue men will argue in state courts that the excuses these people are trying to give for their fraud are all bullshit, the law is the law, throw the book at them m’lud.

And of course legally “I wasn’t hurting anyone” and “I didn’t con anyone or steal anything” and “I am a welder and fabricator, what do I know about book keeping, look I make a living and drive a ten year old car, why am I being treated like Bernie Madoff?” all sounds the same to the courts, it sounds like “Guilty as charged”.

And because 99.9% of them are not crooks pulling a fast one, 99.9% of them won’t have a limited liability company to hide behind, so the revenue can take everything, home and contents, car and contents, tools of the trade, kids toys, bank accounts pensions you name it, literally everything except the clothes you are wearing in court.

And they will, it is what they do.

I can literally walk you down various rows of commercial or industrial units around here and point at them and say that one, that one, not that one, don’t know about that one, that one, don’t know about that one, and all the “that ones” are flying by night and wide open to this sort of future.

It’s actually worse than this, but I really cannot go into further detail as this blog isn’t anonymous as far as the state is concerned, and if I say much more you could put 2 and 2 together and identify actual people, and I have no wish to do the state’s dirty work for them.

No, this tale of woe is for people who do not understand what a Law firm or an Accountancy firm does, because a local guy let slip in passing something to his law firm.

The law firm already knew he was in breach of a couple of mandatory reporting laws, but didn’t do anything about it as they themselves were under no legal compunction to do so, but when he let slip that he had “passed on” a bill plus VAT to a customer of his, they had a legal duty to report him, because he wasn’t vat registered, so they did… turns out this incident was over a year ago, piece in the paper today about the auction where all his shit is up for grabs… including the two shops his great grandad built… that he inherited from his dad that he ran the way everyone always had, pay me rent and get on with your business.

The cynic in me says the law firm that grassed him up to the state can also act as his defence counsel against the state and be a primary creditor and rack up more fees and income to come from the auctioned estate… win / win.

The realist in me says maybe 20% of small local business (eg 5 or less total workers) is legal, which means 80% of local business could be taken to the cleaners by the state and literally wiped out.

Which instantly puts me in mind of an old mate who I ain’t seen for years who had a building business with 12 employees, full order books for the next 18 months and great prospects, but, an ongoing operating loan facility from the bank, who called him one one day in the last recession and called in the ticket, which instantly wiped him out, left customers with incomplete work and put 12 guys on the dole, as the bank said, we are pulling your ticket in because you can pay up.

I can see the state fucking over at least 75% of the 80% of local businesses that are non compliant for the same reason, they have assets that can be seized and sold off, and 60% of local small businesses is a *lot* of assets, especially if you “harvest” them carefully and don’t put the rest into panic mode.

I have now seen three such local businesses taken to the cleaners in the past 18 months, two of the proprietors got suspended sentences for their “fraud” in addition to basically losing all their shit.

The rich irony is that me running my business 100% legally may make the state a couple of k per annum as opposed to how things would be if I ran it black, because the fact is when you go 100% legal not only CAN you claim for all sorts of shit the fact is you MUST to offset the extra monies you are now paying to the state.

As a small high tech business in the black my IT costs might be 6k pa, as a small high tech business running 100% legal my IT costs are 5k plus 1k tax that I can claim back.

As a householder or sole trader working from home I would pay standard domestic rates for electricity of around 20/21 p per kWh, as a legit business in a proper business unit with a business supply I pay around 14/15p

If you are a small trader paying 7 quid plus vat per square foot and you have 1,000 square feet you’re paying 8400 pa ground rent, go legal and you can claim 1400 of that back.

It reminds me forcefully of the farce that the traditional family unit faces, they pay 8k a year in taxes but get 5k a year back in various credits and allowances, why not just streamline the whole fucking system and just tax them 3k?

Why not because it’s not about streamlining a system, it’s about fuckbook style building as many data points as possible, because that way there is no way to sneak anything off to the side.

I own my business and I own the company and I own the equipment and there aren’t any loans or debts or anything… and every penny that company has is money I worked for… yet, if my car dies and I want 1k to buy a new used one… it is illegal for me to use the company bank account to buy it, and it is illegal for me to write a cheque to myself to buy it.

To be sure there are ways, if the company owes me 50k that I invested setting it up, then the company can repay me 1k of that loan and I can go out and buy that car, but doing it one way will land you in jail with all your assets gone, doing it the other way is fine.

But to 99.9% of small businesses they do not see that, my business, I did all the work, I went without to buy tools and shit, so it’s my money, so whats the problem me buying myself a 1k car with my money?

The problem is small businesses do not understand what I understand with my 100% legal and above board business hat on, that there is no such thing as “my” money.

It’s like an iphone, you never bought it, you just bought the lease to use it in ways approved by crapple, fuck you very much.

The same is true of money, you never earned it, you do not own it, you are just licenced to use it in ways approved by the state, fuck you very much.

Me personally, I wimped out, I looked and that land and saw the way the wind was blowing and decided to go 100% legal and legit and above board…. insert pic of scots jerk with blue cross on his face running away as fast as he can, it’s called survival.

Hilariously I have a business account with Amazon, and getting vat receipts out of them is hit and miss at best, but again the way they do it is legal, they are like paypal, a bank that isn’t a bank, so they are a vendor that isn’t a vendor, so for their shitI have to do the math, I will be charged VAT but I’ll probably never be able to claim it back, so is the amazon product both equivalent and more than 30% cheaper than an alternative supplier who will give me a vat receipt?

Often the answer is no, but Amazon are not a small local business running under the radar, they are a huge business with hundreds of lawyers and lobbyists on the payroll, and they have forgotten more about tax avoidance than thee or me will ever know.

And NOBODY is going to be on side with the ever increasing number of small businesses taken to the cleaners and wiped out…. people who over all aren’t actually ripping the state off for much, but people who over all are largely responsible for the fact that we have any kind of local economy.

I suspect 2.5% of my effort and time at work have nothing to do with production or sales or anything else, it is what I call utterly wasted time spent ensuring that everything I do is 100% legal and compliant.

Nobody wins except big data and the state that hold it.

As you can probably tell from this article, I’m probably the last person in the world to grass anyone else up, your business is your business, but the fact is the system is set up so that the only way I can be legal is to collect data, data that can and will be used to mine those flying under the radar.

Gattaca and everything else got it utterly wrong, people who remember the Stasi got it right, everyone becomes an informant, whether they like it or not…. if you dislike it enough you can stand over there with the accused and wait your turn to get royally fucked over.

The three guys I mentioned, two of whom now have suspended prison sentences for fraud, all three of whom are now penniless and asset less, what changes are they going to make, who are they going to influence, who is going to listen to them?

One sold sub 1000 quid used cars, cheap and cheerful, plenty of faults but nothing you couldn’t live with or fix, they were sub 1k cars for fucks sake, what do you want, a new merc?

One was a general welder and fabricator, he’d do anything from put the hinge back on your garden gate to making a bracket to hold your tv aerial.

One was a fish and chip shop, everything cooked in dripping and local fish and local potatoes peeled and chipped in the shop, so it was bloody good grub.

They have all been fucked now, and the state is no better off, and the local economy is less vital.

But, that’s three more “dark data web” businesses eradicated, and that was the only point.

Be careful out there.

December 4, 2017

Hitler Parody

Filed under: Wimminz — wimminz @ 2:36 pm

link

Thing is, nobody is really under any illusions, nobody is in the same space as say a non cantonese / chinese speaker watching a chop socky film with english subtitles that you just know are a piss poor translation, but you follow them along anyway.

We all know the lip synch is broken not because it is a foreign language with a different structure and grammar and sounds, but because it isn’t what the person said.

We all know Hitler and XBox come from different eras, but that is what makes it a parody, that is what makes it funny.

One of the funniest ones is the Hitler actor being interviewed, and the subtitles talk about his wife saluting him and him putting the smackdown on the bitch, of course that isn’t anywhere even remotely close to what he was talking about, sure, a german speaker will know what he WAS talking about, but for the rest of us it doesn’t matter, in many ways it works better because we do not understand the audio channel.

For me what makes it one of the funniest ones is that most people who watch it get taken in at first, they think it is an actual interview with the Hitler actor on the subject of Hitler parodies on youtube, because the actor is playing himself, not Hitler.

This makes two assumptions;

  1. An actor playing himself is himself
  2. Hitler as we “know” him was the real Hitler

We actually have adequate evidence that neither of these are even remotely true, everyone has “personas” and the more high profile your public persona is the more it is divorced from the truth.

So the parodies now have another intellectual level, we do not just know the subtitles are all bullshit, we also know that the “characters” that make the subtitles funny are also all bullshit.

And in many ways the third and final “amusing level” is when parody meets satire, which we had in the UK in the late eighties / early nineties with Spitting Image and Drop the Dead Donkey on the TV, the televisual equivalent of Private Eye and Punch.

But even there where real events and real people were treated satirically, and real investigations and truths were hinted at, it was all a part of the gag, the court jester, the intention was to poke fun and let off steam, the intention was never to reveal or investigate the truth, in fact the intention was to never actually reveal or investigate the truth, just to use references to it as a seasoning on the joke of the moment.

Hitler was just seasoning on the joke of the moment, which at one point was XBox live, and later as mentioned above a self referential parody on the Hitler parodies themselves.

I think that this is a point that many miss, they think Mike Flex and Anna Dapter are the parody characters pointing fun at news anchors everywhere, I think they are more a parody on the Hitler parody, because everyone with a brain understands that news anchors everywhere are parodies.

“Fake News” is truth, all news is fake news, but “Fake News” is just a parody on Fake News, it’s not revealing anything or investigating anything, nor is it intended to, nor will it ever. Fake News is all there is.

In yesterday’s daily fail there is a story about some skank who claims she overheard a conversation on a train by a guy named Ben who was cheating on his partner, so she blabbed about it on fake news social media and it got reblabbed thousands of times and next thing you know as one commenter said, 50 guys called Ben got dumped.

It’s the birthday paradox writ large and used as a social experiment / social control mechanism.

Fuckerberg’s kike sister flies coach in canada and claims the man who sat next to her in seat 5C was a sexist bastard, no proof, just her story, fuck the evils of fuckbook, some man was allegedly sexist to some skank.

Musk is going to send a car to Mars, well that’s +1 roadster sales to Marvin the Martian, and fuck know tesla needs every sale it can get, what with he “afterthought of the product range” Chevy Bolt ouselling all tesla models on a 2:1 basis last year (and why not, it’s actually not a bad EV, go watch Doug deMuro’s jewtube video)

Meanwhile back home the press is full of adulation because some ginger half german pwinth is engaged to some 3/4 black divorcee skank from the states, does nobody remember Henry 8 and the dissolution of the monasteries and the split from the catholic church?

Merkel would be proud that the german british royal family is marrying a wog immigrant divorcee skank ho, shame she ain’t an aloha snackbar, a few bonus points missed there.

The first child will be called Bitcoin Mulatto Windsor… 5th in line to the throne one day.

President Dwayne Elizondo Mountain Dew Herbert Camacho sent congratulations and 100 cases of Brawndo to the happy couple.

Kisses…

 

December 2, 2017

Effishunsey

Filed under: Wimminz — wimminz @ 2:36 pm

I have had this argument time and time and time again, with people who do not get it, do not want to get it, and do not want to deal with the consequences of getting it.

Usually it’s with things like lasers, in a plotter machine mirrors can move but cannot rotate, so a mirror on a carriage on the X axis to deflect the beam 90 degrees downwards, a mirror on the end of the X axis to deflect the beam 90 degrees along the X axis, and a mirror at the end of the Y axis to deflect the beam 90 degrees along the Y axis.

Let’s say you are starting with a nice round number like 100 watts of beam power coming out of the tube, lets say all three mirrors are equally dirty and made of a material that is equally reflective, or not.

Scenario 1 each mirror is 95% efficient.

  • Beam power 100 watts
  • mirror 1 = 100 x 0.95 = 95 watts
  • mirror 2 = 95 x 0.95 = 90.25 watts
  • mirror 3 = 90.25 x 0.95 = 85.73 watts

Scenario 2 each mirror is 85% efficient.

  • Beam power 100 watts
  • mirror 1 = 100 x 0.85 = 85 watts
  • mirror 2 = 85 x 0.85 = 72.25 watts
  • mirror 3 = 72.25 x 0.85 =  61.41 watts

Just for shits and giggles, lets add 3 more mirrors to scenario 2

  • mirror 4 = 61.41 x 0.85 = 52.20 watts
  • mirror 5 = 52.2 x 0.85 = 44.37 watts
  • mirror 6 = 44.37 x 0.85 = 37.71 watts

The first problem is nobody understands that compound percentages are an exponential function, and exponential functions get very steep very fast as soon as you move more than a tiny distance from unity.

3 mirrors at 95% efficiency lose less power than one mirror at 85% efficiency…. One is “only” 5% from unity, the other is “only” three times as great…. but at 85% efficiency after six mirrors we are down to 37% of power, just over one third remaining.

I could delete laser and beam and power and replace it with electricity and battery and charge efficiency.

There are actually more than six steps between incoming mains voltage and tesla power wall and tesla car and travelling down the road, every voltage change is a step, as is every process within the system, putting power into a battery is a step, taking power out of a battery is a step.

Each step has a conversion efficiency.

With lasers I’d tell people it doesn’t matter what the optics cost, it’s one of the best possible places to spend money on a bang for buck basis, and you still see them trying to buy cheap optics or in some cases make their own from polished copper, and invariably these were the same fucking cunts that would refuse to do the math at the top of this page properly, I say refuse because any fucking retard with a pocket calculator or a pen and paper can do iterative “multiply by zero point eight seven” or whatever and get the right answers.

Long before Tesla became a thing I talk the same talk to people doing “off grid” living via some form of power harvesting or generation, inverters and lead acid batteries.

The smart ones who listened went out and bought new 2 VDC lead acid traction cells, most people “saved money” by using vast arrays of mis-matched old car and truck batteries strewn across a concrete floor.

Anyone with any electrical / electronics knowledge will know it isn’t just the charge and discharge efficiency you’ll have to take into consideration, plus “C” rates, but also total internal resistances, and this is all fucking lousy for a bunch of mismatched old car and truck batteries.

You can compound it further with home made alternators and home made water wheels or wind blades and so on, nothing operating at any sort of efficiency, old scrap conductors used.

ONE guy about 12 years ago asked me to spec a system and install it, for various reasons he wanted 12 VDC and not 24 so I got 2 sets of 6 traction cells, each one was something like 750 Ah and we put them in a proper box off the ground away from frost, one each side of the shed, for independent twin banks with isolators, at that point plans went wrong / changed and he went for a 24 volt inverter so we seriesed the two banks up, no big deal but these things happen…. and he started out with an inverter / charger / etc designed for twin banks and designed that you could module them together and they’d sync mains clock and also charging and so on, each one was rated at 7,000 VA continuous, it was all fairly expensive… outside the shed was a 1.2 kilowatt wind turbine (50 amperes) that worked when the wind blew and about 60 feet away was a very small stream that he dammed and made a fish pond and a small overshot wheel that would put out a steady 180 watts (7.5 amps) and the house was 60 feet the other way and fed 240 vac pure sine inverted… there was also a single phase 20 amp (4,400 watts) supply to the property that went to the shed and to the fancy inverter / charger / etc

Like I said it was all fairly expensive, we are talking small new car expensive.

So he had 4.4 kW available from the mains, it was just slightly unreliable and when it went out it was usually branches / trees / wind related and usually took a couple of days to fix, and usually a portion of the fix bill was handed to him, I do not know the details.

He had a steady 180 watts from the overshot hydro that pretty much ran 24/365

He had an intermittent up to 1,200 watts from the wind turbine, usually you’d see about 200 watts… average was around 250…

back then solar was ludicrous money.

7000 watts draw from 24 volt (with no losses and 100% efficiency) is 291 amperes, the reality is we expected peak surge currents up to around 400 amperes but that’s nothing exceptional to a traction cell.

24 volts at a 1500 Ah rate (150 amps for 10 hours) meant he had 36 kWh stashed away, and the 150 amps at 24 volts meant 3,600 watts at a 10 hour rate, as in 10 hour rate is no fucking big deal for the cells.

180 watt hours x 24 hours = 4.3 kWh per day from the mini hydro, day in day out.

250 watt hours x 24 hours = 6.0 kWh per day from the wind, day in day out.

WE fudged all the numbers to include efficiencies and losses by calling everything half to two thirds, so 36 kWh storage became 18, the 4.3 kWh per day from the mini hydro became 2.2 kWh etc.

The guy was a photographer, early into the whole digital thing, from memory large format more than regular DSLR stuff, so he absolutely had to have 24/7 perfect power for his bank of macintoshes and big storage arrays, and he was more than happy to sneakernet his files in and out (from memory his phone lines were alu and buried in the ground so even dsl 512k was a only when it’s dry proposition) to customers, and it meant he could carry on living where he was… he had a small honda genny for when the power went out for the house and they didn’t care about that much.

I can remember commenting about how much money we were spending doing this (he was throughout a do it right, don’t cut corners, ok, 50 x 25 mm copper bus bars..lol) because as I said it was new small / medium car money, and he said something along the lines of fuck it, I could spend this on a lens…

A couple of years ago I met someone who told me that guy is still there, he has retired, his wife died of something, and he lives a bit like a hermit, but a techo hermit, doesn’t want to meet anyone, the woman I met cleans the pond of leaves which now and again clog the hydro wheel a bit, cleans the house a bit, does shopping, the house is now all LED lighting, apparently a few years ago about when his wife died a winter storm took down the mains supply, and he never had it put back, but all that shit we put in around 2003-2004 is still in and working, I have no idea what %ge of the capacity of the traction cells has gone, I’d suspect fuck all, maybe 5%, but in any event the house is now all LED lighting so loads are way down, I remember even back when we put it in despite it being put in for his mac lab and digital camera work we discovered that the heaviest load every day was the oil fired boiler and circulation pump for the central heating, though to be fair his main concern was 24/7 clean and reliable power.

It was my marine experience that got me hired to do that, marine where there is no shore power, so it is not an option, and city/urban grade / reliability shore power wasn’t an option where he was either, and he wasn’t about to move.

So we cared about efficiency, you bought your power source whether it be solar or wind or hydro, and efficiency at each stage would make or break you, so a small / medium car for 12 years trouble free service and power even when you focus entirely on efficiency first still does not equal free power.

It just has to be still more expensive than good clean mains power, maybe not a lot, but it has to be more, but the thing is even then I can remember mumbling about a lister start-o-matic and a couple of small UPS’s for the mac stuff.

The “green” option would have been DC-DC PSU’s for the macs and a big bank of lead acid to power them, 750 Ah of 2 VDC traction cells up to 12 volts is 18 kWh, that would have run a few macs for days and if the power went out charge that from a genny.

In todays money I guess we spent 20k, maybe 25k doing that, but efficiency was the only driver, who gives a fuck if it is ugly and you have to build a 10 x 6 shed on a new slab to put it in.

I never *really* saw it running as I left when the job was done so basically 2 or 3 days making everything nice after it is all running, during that time the hydro and wind seemed to pretty much produce enough to run the house over 24 hours with the battery bank acting as a reservoir, maybe the mains supply was topping up a bit, but not much.

I could have done the job for 2k using scrap old parts, but efficiency would have been horrible, and total REAL output and capacity negligible…. nowhere near the 60% overall for the harvest > charge > discharge cycle we were working on, or 50% for our rule of thumb down the line.

And this was a guy with money, and this was only a dozen years or so ago, not 50, and we really couldn’t do much better.

I can’t remember what the traction cells weighed, muscle memory says I couldn’t lift one and it took two of us and an engine hoist to get them from the hiab dropped pallet into the cages in the shed, I can remember the conversation about we should have built the shed around the batteries where the wagon dumped them.

A tesla powerwall and car is like that, but using the battery power to pump water up to a big tank and then running another big hydro system off that, one that could generate 25 kW peak, not the few hundred watts we had, because that is all batteries are really, just holding tanks for energy.

My old lister is great because it is a static / stationary engine, put it in a vehicle and it would suck donkey balls, that old off grid install only worked as well as it did, even with 20-25k spent on efficiency, because everything was static.

A 1,200 lbs 75 kWh tesla li-on battery offers no advantages over what we did back then, like the 295 megawatt tesla battery install in Oz for the wind farm, it doesn’t make fucking sense.

The Oz wind farm is the same as matey’s wind turbine, it’s not base load and average real output was maybe 25% of rated power, so you need a reservoir or battery, and a reservoir adds extra efficiency losses, so you can get constant flows even when it aint being recharged or you can get peak flows greater than the charge rate, but you are not gaining on total energy, you are LOSING on total energy.

I can remember the mains electricity guy telling him to leave the fucking termination and meters where they were, and run his own mains cables 60 feet to the shed, and make sure they are 6 mm cables, and thank your luck starts your meter isn’t on the pole pig down the road, because the cables from the pole pig to your house are losing nearly 1.2% of the power, they have to be light enough to go on the poles… and to break and not take a pole down when a tree falls..

The Oz tesla battery may be next to the wind farm, but it is miles away from anything else.

The analogy is a bunch of wind powered pumps pumping water to a reservoir, not to drink, but to run a hydro system….


This guy actually had a small stream that ran 24/365 with about a fall of about 3 feet on his land, and he had a 1000 yard clear fetch up to the house from 300 degrees of the compass to his wind turbine, and he had the money to buy both and buy quality and efficiency, and he still never bothered with a grid tie / feeding energy back into the grid and getting paid for it, because he never generated a surplus, and this is a fairly well off guy with 2 or 3 acres of land, talk about low density.. him and his mrs were 1 person per acre, when she died it was 0.5 people per acre, and even with LED lighting I’ll lay money he still has heating oil trucked in once or twice a year.

He could probably get 3/4g up there now, that didn’t exist back then either.

========================================

Go back to that beginning bit, 6 mirrors at 85% efficiency get you 37% overall, that means that in FUEL terms a tesla is no more efficient than an internal combustion engine, even with the economies of scale of central power generation, plus THE EXTRA FUCKING INFRASTRUCTURE AND EXTRA FUCKING POINTS OF FAILURE, my god….

================================

It is one thing, from an engineering perspective, so talk about putting a tesla power wall / local storage in every house, and how this could smooth out loads on the grid, it’s a valid argument, it could be done, but the cost is incredible…. I’ll come back to that.

It is quite another thing, from an engineering perspective, to talk about putting in a local storage in each house so that it can fill up at rate X, so when you come home and plug your EV in you can fill that at rate 20X from the local storage. These two things have nothing in common.

getting back to the local storage, it MUST be isolated from the mains (else you will kill the electrician out in the street working up the pole) but it also MUST synchronize with the mains perfectly, so what you end up with as the cheapest practical option is Mains > local storage > house with no connection at all between the mains and the house, so by definition the local storage must have a peak rating = or greater than peak demand for the house.

I have a 40 amp mains breaker here and at 240 VAC that means a shade under 10 kW, essentially in electronics terms you are talking about a 10 kilowatt high voltage mono hifi amplifier that plays one tone perfectly with lots of feedback and correction stuff, and it has to be able to do it 24/7 with zero faults, and if it does fault it has to fault safely to open circuit at the component level, no dead shorts…

You’re doing what a rich photographer did 12 years ago, and it cost him the price of a new car to do if efficiently, but it lasted 12 years that we know of… and he had plenty of land, eg his power shed took the space of another car.

I don’t know for a fact, but I doubt he got his money back in real terms.

I don’t know for a fact, but I suspect those big exides still have >90% of the capacity they had when new, there isn’t a li-on on the planet you can say that about.

Unless you drop a spanner across the terminals and refuse to vent them lead acid are safe, they won’t spontaneously combust like lithium.

Ford / Toyota / Honda / Renault etc etc etc are masters at saving money, if it saved them 5 cents per car every car would come with a li-on main battery, but they all come with lead acid.

Similarly if they could fit a 30 amp alternator instead of a 60 they would do it in a heartbeat, so they do not just care about loads, they care about charge cycles and power quality too, as well as charge retention and cold cranking amperages for at least three years from point of sale.

This is especially true for all modern cars with start stop engines.

This (economy) is why we are still on 12 VDC for autos and 24 VDC for wagons and many boats, 32 VDC for some yank boats, the old 110 VDC stuff has gone the way of the dinosaur.

I know of any number of people who have bought hugely expensive allegedly extreme quality li-on batteries for harleys (you wanna crank a high comp 1700 cc v twin from cold?) and I do not know of any except one who has stuck with them, they all failed…. maybe the vibes, maybe the parked leaning, maybe the usage cycles, who knows, everyone with a clue buys a Yuasa lead acid..

And this is when the “reservoir” is only an ancillary thing, not a prime power source.


Efficiency, I recently read a story, about a hunter and predator, and it made the point that by far the most deadly prey was the one that contained 100,000 kcal when you eat it, but which you expended 101,000 kcal to catch and kill.

The fat bastard creature you could feed on for a week was no problem.

Efficiency is a cumulative thing, so you always always always need to look at both individual processes and the over all picture, making 5 sub processes 86% efficient instead of 85% efficient is a dead loss if you have to introduce another process to make it happen, fewer less efficient steps are better overall.

The single combustion inefficiency of the IC engine can win overall.

The simple transmission losses of a grid and huge nuke plant can win overall

An electric tram running ob overhead cables will beat any and every “battery / local reservoir” EV, because everything else that you can do to the EV, you can do to the tram.

Diesel and petrol buses beat electric trams and buses economically, for one reason only, the cost of the power grid.

NO EV SUMS I have ever seen figure in the cost of the power grid.

I could say the same for wind and solar, neither one is base load so neither one counts, adding a reservoir to wind and solar doesn’t make them better, it makes them worse.

“Worse” works if you are at sea in a 200 foot hull and have no other options, in every other instance it will kill you stone dead, same as the lion trying to stay alive catching mice….

 

December 1, 2017

Bitcoin Banzai

Filed under: Wimminz — wimminz @ 1:29 pm

I suppose I should first state that I know nothing about bitcoin, sure, I am an intelligent guy with a background in IT and I am aware of the broad principles, crypto, mining, blockchain, etc.

But I don’t “get” it any more than I “get” some of the more zany apps / startups / kickstarters out there, for example I do not “get” Uber, I don’t see why anyone would choose an uber ride over a taxi or public transport or anything else, and I don’t see why anyone would put themselves and their vehicles up to be an uber taxi, as opposed to joining a local cab firm or starting your own private hire.

The current “exchange rates” for bitcoin <> fiat currency underline my issue perfectly, it’s like a bunch of weird role playing gamers at a convention saying that one fantasy world currency is worth 10,000 of another fantasy world currency, what’s next, would the Enterprise beat a Star Destroyer? Or is the ratio 2 to 1?

I can see some kind of sense in tying a currency to a barrel of oil, the barrel of oil has the same calorific value so it’s a way of measuring the currency vs kWh, yeah man, this illudium one zoltar coin is worth 100 kWh, you can sort of reach out and touch that.

But the whole bitcoin / crypto currency thing always left me feeling it was either a nerdy joke, or a complete fucking scam.

Let me explain. Paypal, it acted in many ways just like a bank, but it was extremely careful to always make sure that it was not a bank, in law, which meant it could do things that would be illegal for a bank to do.

Crypto-currencies have always stuck me the same way, they are not real fiat currencies (sic) and because they are not real fiat currencies it is not treason to print H^H^H^ “mine” them, (not the use of the meme mine, as in precious metal mining, for something that isn’t even remotely related to mining) because as far as I know it is treason in every country on the planet to print the state issued fiat currency…. consider yourself lucky you are *only* facing a counterfeiting charge and 25 years.

And yet here we are “exchanging” them for real fiat currency, but it’s OK because I can exchange the crops in my field for real fiat currency.

I don’t see that it takes X computational cycles to compute the next bitcoin (where X rises every time) as being any indicator of value, 13 is a prime number, here is bitcoin 13, nobody else can have bitcoin 13, there can be only one bitcoin 13, but it has the exact same value as bitcoin “ten millionth prime”, of which there can also be only one.

Apparently the great attraction is to create more you have to indulge in ever more lengthy computational effort, as opposed to just issuing more fiat, ok…. I don’t get how that is an improvement.

So… the limited edition yoda figurine is worth more than the ewok figurine because the yoda one is limited edition and the ewok ain’t… yes, I can see the point you’re trying to make, but I personally do not see the VALUE in either one, I wouldn’t trade anything of value for either one.

Sure, my nationally enforced legal currency is millennium falcons, but I don’t stockpile it, I don’t value it, I earn as much as I can so I can trade it as fast as possible for things of value, like tools and physical assets and premises and so on.

So your computationally mined on a GPU is limited edition same as a Dali painting, the scam is you basically created a new art form (I do not get why a rembrandt is worth millions, and a perfect print is worth 50 cents) and gained enough acceptance that people are going to trade it for fiat.

Shares in the south sea (bubble) company and tulip futures comes to mind, or rich twats “investing” in rare cars, or patek philippe watches that tell the time as well as a 10 dollar casio.

I DO NOT “GET” IT, and I do not accept that I do not get it because I have no soul or no wit or no vision, that is emperor’s clothes stuff, I’m an engineer, I’ve got more soul and vision than most people, you just see a stream at the bottom of your garden you can mebbe fish in, I see a source of hydro.

I DO however get the problem with crypto, and the problem is it gets real hard to defend fiat and dismiss crypto, because the fact is in 2017 AD they are both virtual electronic creations with no physical presence of any kind, except a fake one in the case of fiat, where the fake paper fiat is accepted as something that can be converted into digital fiat by the vendor when I walk into their shop and pay cash.. it’s fungible by nature.

I do not actually know for a fact if bitcoin / crypto differentiates between “prime coins” for identity purposes, I know they do not for value so they are essentially fungible.

And once shit like crypto makes you start to look, you can find all sorts of other similar methods of paypal still not a bank banking, and not a central bank fiat currency issuing, so it ain’t treason or counterfeiting, but you can trade it all for real virtual fiat so what’s the difference.

Bonds and stocks, everything bitcoin has going for it, apple shares have going for them, so bitcoin replacing the mighty dollah well, why not just trade the fucking apple shares directly, who needs the bitcoin or the dollar, just trade in AAPL.

Note I’m going going anywhere near capital gains tax or securities and exchanges or anything else, I’m talking medium of exchange, what can be made to work.

Can I walk into an Apple store with no money and just some apple shares, and walk out with no apple shares and a iphone x?

Officially the answer is probably no, but I’d bet my life I could do it in any apple store anywhere, nobody easier to trade an apple share to than a fanboi employee.

Nota Bene not saying I’d get a 1:1 on nominal dollar value of the share v iphone x list price, but I might, I might beat it.

And at that point the AAPL share is as valid as the dollah or the bitcoin.

======================================

Much has been said about Rothschilds and joo bankers and so on, control issuance of currency and you control the country, and I am sure that was 100% true and factual up until around 1960.

Now in late 2017 the virtual digital fiat US Dollar is a different beast, not because Nixon abandoned the gold standard and went fiat, (maybe that was the first line in the song, but that’s all) but because it went electronic and digital, because IT FUCKING HAD TO, because stock markets were already going digital and electronic, (BBC Horizon chips are down 1977) and so every national fiat currency everywhere had to jump on the same train or be utterly destroyed within a few years.

It was that or ban electronic trading of stocks and shares, and I don’t think anyone had the authority or power to do that.

As soon as you have created an electronic digital stocks and shares trading platform, you have just done the paypal like a bank but not a bank and bitcoin like a fiat currency but not a fiat currency thing, you have thing B that does the same thing as thing A, so the utility is there, but it is also legally different to thing A, so the legal constrictions are not there.

I can start a company tomorrow, for 100 bucks, fuck your bitcoin, on formation it only has 64 shares, that’s rare as shit right away, I could call it the tesla model 2020 roadster deposit handling and futures company and we could trade exclusively in holding and managing deposits on the tesla model 2020 roadster.

==========================================

I think the truth is actually very simple, and very reasonable, because it’s easy to put yourself back in 1970 and be as expert as you like at anything, and accept that there was no way in hell for anyone to even predict 1% of what digital electronics had in store.

When you have the top man in the top computer company on the planet saying things like I can see a demand for as many as five computers worldwide in the next few years you can take one of two perspectives, either he was a fucking loser, or he wasn’t, and if he wasn’t, and that was the best prediction a man at the head of his field could come up with…. how would you have fared?

One world computer, multivac, like asimov?

I think the truth is that around 1975 fiat currencies went to digital electronic fiat currencies, and the digital electronic platforms that precipitated that move also opened up whole new vistas and territories in which you could play, and nobody was ready for it, and nobody understood it, and nobody can actually control it any more.

An incompetent or corrupt or joo world order controlled central banking system is hugely preferential for 99.999% of people to a central banking system that is the tail on the dog, a tail that has no ability to wag the dog, or influence it in any way.

A tail whose only purpose is PR.

I think the real danger in bitcoin and other crypto is not that it is not as valid as fiat, I think the real danger is it becomes just as valid as fiat to the man in the street….

“Two hamburgers please”

“That’ll be 4 bucks 75”

“How much is that in bitcoin?”

“we don’t take bitcoin mate, the fees for the machine are too high, but it’s one yoda and 75 ewoks if you wanna pay in forcecoin”

Because then the house of cards collapses, because effectively you are asking a guy to compare the 100 bucks he just withdrew from the hole in the wall machine with toy monopoly money, with the knowledge that the stores value both equally.

We have stories in the press of people selling assets, houses and cars, in bitcoin, only accepting bitcoin, and I have long been saying “how fucking much” when I see houses that should be and were 25k on the market for 295k, I see a bubble but the bubble, is it real or not, that people argue about is the bubble in the price of the HOUSE, they are not arguing about the value of the CURRENCY.

Once you start saying 295k or 59 bitcoin, you risk people arguing about the value of the CURRENCY.

And here is the issue.

1980 house is on market for 30k

2017 house is on the market for 295k,house was seen as a wise investment.

house next door goes on market for 60 bitcoin, houses, eg ASSETS start to be seen as a refuge and safe store of value from old currency, which devalues, because it has to, because nobody can see any difference between virtual electronic crypto and virtual electronic fiat.

value of fiat collapses

house is now on the market for 100 newbux, house next door is still on the market for 60 bitcoin

bitcoin collapses

house is on the market for 75 newbux, owner is desperate to sell because new robust virtual electronic fiat is valued and trusted and accepted, old fiat wiped out, so 200k mortgage in old money value of the old money is wiped out BUT DEBT REMAINS.

Debt is retroactively revalued in newbux by;

1/ person holding the debt

2/ person owing the debt

prace bets now.

Like I said, just an engineer, do not “get” crypto, but can’t see it as anything but a canary with a 20 a day habit and a zippo in a coalmine full of methane and oxygen, the mere fact that the canary exists should scare you.

When the smoking crater appears slowly out of the aftermath, the blame game starts, it’s not the coal, or the mine, or the methane, or the mine owners, or the workers, or anything else, it was the canary, and who could object to a canary in a coal mine, and who knew the bastard has a 20 a day habit, the canary never mentioned that, he was a yellow digital bird that detected oxygen loss contamination before human workers get affected, just a tiny little thing, who knew, who could know, and of course the fucker is dead now… conveniently…

It’s doesn’t even matter if “Marlboro Bird” was deliberately introduced to the coal mine, or if it was all just Half Life style unintended consequences, the end result is the same.

US$ is not wealth, it is just one way of measuring the value in an asset, provided you retain the asset, you retain the wealth.

If the fiat vanishes and you owed a debt based in it, you debt will not vanish, it will just be revalued in something else.

If the fiat vanishes and you are owed a debt based in it, the debt will not vanish, it will just be revalued in something else.

Two questions remain;

1/ who will preside over the revaluation?

2/ do you care? (you do not if you hold assets)

Suddenly remembering where you had a boating accident and “lost” several kilos of phyzz after such a revaluation won’t help you, because you won’t be in group 1, deciding on the value of your phyzz in terms of new bux

Final thoughts.

US$ market is not the big boy on the block, AAPL or tesla is just as big, stocks and bonds and futures are far far far bigger, forex dwarfs even that.

Forex is the head of the dog, 1 bitcoin = 10,000,000 US$ kills the US$, but stocks and bonds and futures are the guts of the dog, and if it eats too much grass or something poisonous, the tail which is the fed / US$ isn’t going to have any influence.

Crypto isn’t just a threat to US$.

There is a guy in the netherlands who has cashed out everything he has and moved into a tent on a campsite and he is 100% into bitcoin, he is either a genius or a lunatic, I don’t know which, and only time will tell, most likely the timing of when he cashes out of bitcoin and gets back into tangible assets.

Pricing a house as being worth either UK£295,000 OR 60 bitcoin, and having everyone from the state and the tax office onboard with how to do this and stay legal and pay capital gains etc, is not good for bitcoin or pounds sterling or housing.

All that is missing is a price in Yodas / Ewoks / Forecoin.

November 28, 2017

I get no shit

Filed under: Wimminz — wimminz @ 11:06 am

I have a very open policy here, anyone can comment, and blatant spam detected and deleted by wordpress aside, I think I may have deleted a total of three comments ever, and even then it was because I considered them to be vandalism, not because I did not agree with them.

Which leaves us with two (not necessarily mutually exclusive) possibilities.

1/ This site is tiny, insignificant, and unknown.

2/ Feminazis / SJW’s / etc are too scared / sensible / bored to post here.

I’ll leave it to the reader to guess which is the most likely…. unless of course some notorious in the MSM today deviant gets linked to reading this shit, in which case it will be transformed into an infamous den of depravity and misogyny and deviancy instantly, only fucking paedos read wimminz.

Non UK readers may not know about the whole Bulger / Venables thing, basically two small boys lead a third away and abuse him and then murder him.

One of the two killers have vanished under a new identity since completing his sentence, the other one keeps turning up like a bad penny, apparently he is now on his way back to prison, again, for violating his license, this time for looking at child porn on the net, and even more creepily, according to the daily mail, signing up for websites to date single mums, and presumably get access to more small children… oh the horror and depravity.

1/ I don’t know how these fuckers are finding all this kiddie porn online.

2/ I don’t know of any single mum skank ho dating websites.

OK you can argue #1 any way you like, but the analogy here is I was one of those who were there when Africa was discovered, and I have been roaming the place ever since, and sure, I once saw a dead white rhino carcass rotting in a wadi, but I have never seen a live one, and yet all I hear from friends of the earth is the sick evil poachers killing white rhinos and cutting their horns off for sexual aphrodisiac purposes, and all the other animals that are killed and and the diamond trade and gold trade and oil trade and everything else never even gets a fucking mention….

#2 is probably plenty of fish, sure, it’s full of wimminz, and sure most of them are skank ho single moms, but it isn’t a single mom with small kids dating site, any more than the daily fail itself is a single mom with small kids website / “news” site.

So back to the I get no shit thing.

I do not go looking for it, I’m not reading and posting and commenting on other sites and linking back to here, I’m not seeking publicity.

Anyone who is seeking publicity probably isn’t interested in this place, it’s too small and obscure, and frankly, too messy and covering too wide a range of subjects, the certainly aren’t the other eyeballs to view anything they post and increase their profile to make it worth posting here in the first place.

And again it’s so disjointed and all over the place and messy and full of typos and shit that it’s hard to invoke it to make a *clear* point of some kind, for example you could invoke plenty of fish to make a point about trout pout selfies…. and have little chance of anyone being distracted, WTF is this about Musk and Tesla?

So I get no shit because I don’t go looking for it, and I’m too small and low profile a target for anyone looking for self publicity or to make a point, so it’s all really shades of too small and insignificant to matter.

Nor have I ever had any personal fallout from this, though I have had three for four (I forget, not having really paid any attention in the first place) people contact me stating that they were going through some shit in the secret family courts and they were being portrayed as the owner / operator of this site, could I please help them prove this was not so, I’ve covered that before so I won’t bother here now.

But of course none of this means I am *immune* from getting any shit, it could happen tomorrow, someone ices Musk or someone else and calls him a bog brush boy and one google search later instant infamy for wimminz… ooops..

And this is really a lesson, not just a lesson too late for the weinsteins of this world, but a lessons for current politicians and bankers and everyone else, just because you have never had any shit of note for what you do, that doesn’t mean you were immune.

Current UK PM May and her billionaire investor husband, naturally they are all above suspicion and any correlations between what she says and what he “invests” in is purely coincidental, just like Fusion GPS and uranium deals with Putin and the clintons and obamas.

Of course there are differences, when I started this *technically* I myself has a case going through the secret family courts that *technically* had not quite finished, so best to err on the side of caution when it comes to contempt of court and go anon instead of using my given name, those times are long past, there isn’t actually anything preventing me from outing myself, I just don’t see the point, I want to be the faceless voice behind the radio so you tune in and listen to the words, or not, as you see fit, I don’t want to be the DJ you tune in to *because* I am who I am…. identify with my words, if you will, not with me.

Beyond that, I’m not an idiot, any connection between the real me and wimminz is largely circumstantial, and lacking anything significant like someone actually icing Musk and calling him bog brush boy, there is little reason to bring sufficient resources to bear and nullify the possibility of a libel lawsuit (for foreign readers in UK courts and law truth is not a defence to a claim of libel, defamatory but true statements can cost you) and there is always the danger of the streisand effect, is it worth it to make a nobody famous and make his words reach millions?

Beyond that, it wouldn’t actually bother me much, I could be in reality a single individual, or Tyler Durden, but there is nothing here that by itself would damage me inordinately, 15 minutes of fame maybe, then meh.

Not so much for the weinsteins and clintons and mays and merkels of this world, for them the fake public persona is more important than any hidden reality, what’s that, Rock Hudson is a fag???!!! Oh my fucking god, how is this possible..

NONE OF THESE FUCKERS buy and own TV stations and newspapers because they fancy being reporters or telling the truth, nor is anyone in their circles friends with them because they fancy being reporters or telling the truth, Bezos bought the WaPo because he could and now he owns an enormously powerful propaganda machine, and he gets no shit, not the counts anyway, because now his voice is amplified a billion times.

 

 

November 27, 2017

Guest post (sic) – the Benny problem.

Filed under: Wimminz — wimminz @ 8:43 pm

UK readers of a certain age will remember a particularly dire soap opera with wobbly sets that went by the name of Crossroads, it was set in a motel and one of the central characters was a retarded handyman called Benny.

Brummie comic Carrot summed up the Benny problem perfectly, is he really retarded? Because, if he isn’t, he’s a bloody good actor. And what’s a bloody good actor doing on Crossroads?

Cue laughter, and of course on a deeper level it’s a bit like the Holmesian question about the mystery of the dog that did not bark, simple logic should not be dismissed as a mere side issue simply because the narrative cannot adequately explain it.

User Guest asks what I would do to fix the UK.

First we have to establish what happened, and we can all see exactly what happened, people who liked pissing in rivers rose to ever greater power and moved further and further upstream.

Being made King would be insufficient to remedy it, alien god king with extraordinary technology and powers might just about do it, targeted specific genocide on a scale never before seen, but like the dog that did not bark and Benny’s alleged acting prowess, maybe that isn’t the question we should be asking.

Maybe we should first be asking if there is a problem that needs fixing, and, if there is, is the fix already in the works?

Clearly there is a problem, the “xxxxxists”, doesn’t matter what flavour, they are all the same, got in to the universities and then upper schools and then lower schools, and started poisoning entire generation with their crap, pissing in the stream of time upstream from everyone else, fast forwards 50 years, look back, and recognize that they only got to piss in the stream because everyone else was ready to let them, and lots downstream grew to like the taste, it was all entirely voluntary.

So not only can we say that clearly there was a problem, clearly there was also an ecological niche just waiting for such a problem to come along and take root, and it doesn’t matter which one, sooner or later some infection will find the laceration and crawl in and make itself at home.

So we have identified that there is a problem, and that a problem was pretty much inevitable, we can avoid distraction by trying to determine why it was inevitable and what caused the laceration because it doesn’t change anything.

So the second part of the question becomes relevant, is the fix already in the works?

Again, if we look, the answer is a resounding yes.

=================================

The reason peoples the world over “elect” raging tyrants to rule over them is very very rarely that they are fucking insane and clueless, quite often the reason they choose the tyrant, and Stalin is a great example, (hilarity ensues, superman is the man of steel, but Stalin was literally the original man of steel) was not because they thought he was all cute and cuddly, but because he could probably only kill 10 million or so, the alternative would be much worse.

The “fix” for the current ailments of the UK, and elsewhere, are already baked in, the UK has been dead since around 1970, no new infrastructure, now new industry, old infrastructure being extended and extended and extended, and literally almost nobody either knows how fragile it all is, or how to repair any of it.

The fact is that simply stopping all shipping to the UK would do what no-one in the history of the human world has ever been able to do, it would utterly destroy us as a nation, in WW2 the convoys kept us going, barely, with extreme rationing, and it was in all honesty still a losing battle, we were not holding level.

Just because there is no kreigsmarine or luftwaffe sinking everything that floats doesn’t mean we are any less dependent, or in any more of a war, today.

Take a step back and actually look, I’ll grant you the hypothetical multi billion high speed rail link plans to the north, plans mind you, I’ll grant you the channel tunnel and rail link, but it was private money and debt funded, fuck all to do with the UK really so it doesn’t really count, and there is the DLR or dicklands light railway (sic) a 24 mile metro line in Londinium.

There basically isn’t anything else, you go back to the great railways builders like stephenson and brunel, and you go back to the half assed nationalisation and rebuilding post war, and you go back to dr beeching and his cuts, and there basically isn’t anything else.

New severn bridge? Private money and french.

New nuke power stations? Private money and french / chinese?

Do you not see that everything is in reality in the state that we used to laugh at the USSR for being in, old jokes about aeroflot and all that, but, the joke is now on us.

Twenty years ago I read about the fast breeder reactor at Dounrey, some of the guys working on it said we will never see the like again, because we could no longer build it today, we simply did not have the skills or material in the UK, some will say British Steel still makes and exports railway track, except it was owned by Tata until Tata sold it to the secretive Meyohas brothers, of Lehman fame, or should that be infamy, they are french nationals so it ain’t a british business any more, and in any even there is only really the scunthorpe plant left, and that is limited in the range of steels it can produce.

====================================

The fact is there are some small independent high tech engineering companies left, I should know, I own and run a very small one myself, but 95% of the kit we use is ultimately manufactured somewhere overseas, and if you put us all together as a “war effort” you’d better hope we aren’t taking on anything more formidable than Andorra, because we’d be outclassed PDQ.

95% of the work we do is either local or specialist, eg small potatoes that the big boys can’t be bothered to do, some of it is interesting and cutting edge for all that, but still, we’d all sink without trace in Shenzhen etc.

So the fix is in, and it is almost certainly going to be more brutal than anything some English Adolf could come up with, because the only real alternative is an English Adolf, and being brutally honest with you, none of these cunts or their offspring or DNA deserve to get off that lightly.

The bottom line here is you do not need to look for a “fix” unless you subscribe to the belief than human beings are a law entirely unto themselves, and completely removed from natural forces and reactions etc, and if you do believe that, you probably a part of the problem, because you are the one resisting nature, your own innate human nature, and that isn’t going to end well.

It’s been “Bash Musk Month” here, but the fact is he does make a great example, I remember paypal when it came out, it sucked, and as time passed it sucked more and more and more, but it was ok because it was always strategically placed to not be a bank and so not have to abide by banking rules, I never used paypal, and if it was all you took you never got my business or my money, and if anything the more time passes and the more paypal sucks the more justified I feel in that… and this is the guy behind Tesla and SpaceX, you think the leopard changed its spots?

The guy made billions by sucking people into a bait and switch scheme that promised one thing and delivered less and less of that thing over time, because all that shit was just marketing to get momentum and market share, at base it was still a bait and switch scheme.

Same as fleabay, same as amazombie, the sole purpose is to bait and switch your way to market dominance  and treat the end user as the resource that you control and exploit that power over the seller side, and then you fuck everyone over even more.

Complain all you want about the 800 zero hours minimum wage contracts that everyone always gets let go from before they can legally be classed as permanent, then hired back a few weeks later,rejoice all you want in your 50 permanent associate fuck all wage but at least you can lord it over these other fucks role as a “manager” telling the 800 that no matter what they do, what you need is 10% more or they are disciplined.

Kuka is coming to take ALL your fucking “jobs” and effectively double warehouse space utilisation to boot, and shortly after you’ll notice how suited those new fulfillment centres are to being secured by a few guards here and there, wagons in, wagons out, and 20 tech employees and a bunch of barcoded on the forehead minimum wage retards like Benny from crossroads doing the final menial assemble and pack shit.

Course y’all could riot and burn it all down and not get your cheap HDMI cables from china, tell me who the losers are in that scenario.

There is basically ZERO manufacturing in the UK, fuck all local food production, fuck all else locally owned, and a huge surplus of people with no discernible skills or intellect.

It’s a problem with the seeds of its own solution growing from within.

It’s either universal credit as a drugged sheep or massive population reduction, massive education and the reintroduction of local wealth creation just isn’t a quick enough process to avert the crisis.

Besides, a crisis is a time for profit, who is going to let that going to waste, as in, who who has their hand on the tiller and the ability to do anything to avert it, eg the same people set to profit from it.

My take is they themselves aren’t smart enough to understand the potential catastrophe that they are courting.

My take is the mass muslim / nigger immigration is plan B to stop the populace from invoking madame guillotine.

My take is Plan B is worse than Plan A, but they are all spineless bog brush boys like musk, they’ll throw babies under the wheels to save themselves, but the minced baby will just ensure that the brakes stop the wheels turning and the wheels have no traction on baby mince.

My take is what will really happen is Nature is going to step in, say “hold my beer and watch this” and everyone else is going to regret being at that party.

So, no fix needed, it’s already being taken care of, and the solution isn’t something you should be impatient for.

I reckon I’ll have had sixty pretty fucking good years in by then, so what the fuck, not my problem.

To quote a men’s rights guy, I didn’t start the fire, why should I play fireman when everything gets out of control?

AIOpocalypso

Filed under: Wimminz — wimminz @ 2:25 pm

Musk is on about the apocalypse again, the AI one that is.

So let’s first define “AI”

Well, the clue is in the name, artificial intelligence, lots of people equate it to the turing test, but it isn’t really, an artificial dolphin brain would still count as AI, even though a human could not communicate with it.

Musk’s nightmare is an artificial intelligence that not only becomes aware of humanity, but which sees humanity as a threat that needs to be eradicated.

This is a stretch, at best, because unless the supposed AI is also psychopathic and insane, any threat is going to be based on competition for resources.

So what resources do humans use directly that AI might want for its own?

Ultimately every living thing has two desires, energy and reproduction, everything else is just programming placed on top of that, sex is necessary for reproduction therefore it is pleasure, injury is contrary to survival therefore it is pain.

So AI being non biological, non chemical, non DNA, will be silicon and electricity.

But that isn’t even 1% of the trick to an AI, lacking the millions of years of DNA evolving and practicing with biology and chemistry and physics, the only conceivable parallel to biological processes is true nano-assembly technology, and by true nano assembly technology I mean “yeah man, it’s just goop soup, until I tell it to make a RAM chip based on these specs and then a FPGA to these specs and then a clock chip to these specs.”

To say we aren’t even remotely close to the first steps of that would be an understatement, but even that star trek like science fiction doesn’t come close, because we just intruduced a whole other new engineering problem, an engineering problem familiar to anyone who has played with 3D printers or 3D milling machines, build times go through the roof as required resolution goes down.

Hell, it takes human biology nine months to build a baby from molecular components, why should a silicon nano replicator be any faster?

Bear in mind, biological stuff by definition swims in a soup of raw materials, silicon stuff will also need to have a native soup available.

Nor is anything suddenly added or subtracted to universal physical law the moment you add the “AI” label to something, just because it is running AI doesn’t make it immune from gate contamination and excess temperatures or physical loads or electrical shocks or anything else.

I also have a huge problem with the I bit of AI, because the assumption is that provided your AI servants never get an IQ higher than 70 they won’t be a problem.

What’s the IQ of the influenza virus, or bubonic plague, or ebola?

What was the IQ of stuxnet?

On the other hand, what is the IQ of Musk, given that he believes and talks about this stuff?

There is also the whole question of is a human being an individual, or just a collection of a million systems flying in symbiosis?

Say I could take a 5 year old kid and give them the sort of 100% feedback and control that these AI doomsters can only dream of, what happens next.. hmm, heart… wonder what happens if I uninstall the driver for that, or set it to 0% activity………….. no carrier

One dead AI overlord.

In real life the borg would not be assimilating humans for the data and replacing pesky biological organs with robot parts, they’d be assimilating the humans for the self repair and integrated power systems and biological data processing and storage.

And if you put an AI into a biological brain and body, is it an AI any more, or is it just another life form, because now we are touching on cloning.

Say I can take a few cells from your mum/wife/daughter and clone a perfect body, but one with a blank mind, is it meat, or is it human?

Can I use it as a sex toy, and at what size/weight/age, because age is a concept associated with intellect.

say I leave off the legs and arms and eyes and ears, and leave three holes and some tits, at what point does is cross the line between meat and human, assuming the lack of a brain was not sufficient?

I have a friend who has a mentally disabled child that is now grown up, lots of people talk about the rights of that child, and then immediately start talking as though she is a thing, property, that should not be allowed to breed, or have sex, or a host of other things, and if we remove the ovaries and eggs, who owns them? Not the mentally disabled inhabitant, that’s for sure.

The last time I spoke to them about 18 months ago they told me candidly that while they were still doing all they could welfare wise, the approaching early death was a welcome thing, not because it would relieve the child of any imagined suffering, but because it would resolve the problem of everyone using force and authority “in the best interests of the individual” to treat her as inanimate property to be managed and possibly harvested like a stand of pine trees.

=======================================

I’ll make it very clear for everyone.

Every single person out there is is afraid of the AI apocalypse;

  • doesn’t understand what is required for an AI to actually form and survive.
  • doesn’t understand what biological intelligence is
  • is actually just afraid of other human beings

AI is the new gun control, it’s not the AI/gun itself that scares them, though they may treat the object with revulsion and fear, it is the prospect that someone else with unknown thoughts and desires and motives may pick up that thing, and use it against them.

In short, you are not just a stupid fuck, you are a spineless stupid fuck, and you do not have to dig down very deep to find self awareness that they are spineless stupid fucks, which is why they all clamour for “controls” to be placed upon the thing in question.

In the USA if you just look at the gun crime statistics and do so honestly and fairly and dispassionately, you’ll realise that simply excluding the niggers from the statistics transforms those statistics more than just about anything else you could do to manipulate them.

At that point you can no longer be honest and intelligent and claim that the problem is guns and gun control, and here I will venture out on to a limb and speculate that if you could wave a magic wand and turn every gun into a knife, you’d still have a set of statistics that could be most dramatically manipulated by excluding the niggers.

Then you could start in on knife control too (welcome to the UK etc)

Advance technology to the point where you can have everyone who owns a mobile phone today owning an autonomous robot tomorrow, and you could run the exact same statistical analysis.

WHITE guys tend to go for the mass murder route, aka slaughter, but again it is pretty much exclusively associated with psychotropic drugs, be it prescription medicated or self medicated highs.

===============================

Now I want to get really controversial, everyone can recognise another baby mammal and see the cuteness, despite it being a completely different species, and everyone can see “like me” and “not like me” when they walk down the street.

Cassius Clay was a black man, but he was no fucking nigger.

Barack Obama was a black man, and he was a textbook house nigger.

Here is the important bit.

NOT BEING BLACK MYSELF, it’s harder for me to see much finer nuances than this, whereas a black man will see them easily, and this goes across the board, applies to homosexuals and other sexual groupings, muslim and other religious groupings, etc etc etc.

So as a white man one of the few things I can speak with some authority on, is white men.

Elon Musk ain’t a white man, and no I’m not going anywhere near any crypto zionist kabal thing, if Elon Musk went to our school I’d have missed him, having left years before he would have arrived, but if he has been there when I was there, he would have been the kid who got his head flushed down the toilet every few weeks, and I do not mean by big nasty ruffty tuffy lil ole me, I mean by his peers en masse.

He’d never have understood why he was one of the few who got their heads flushed down the toilet every few weeks, not then, and not in later life, he’d just have talked about how awful a school he want to was, and how he would never send a child of his own there.

Back then he’d have been calling for toilet control, and as a point in fact I can to this day remember one of the masters explaining patiently to a human bog brush why the problem did not lie with the toilet, or the other boys, the problem was the human bog brush was scared of the other boys.

In the UK from 1939 to 48 we had war service, then from 48 to 60ish it was renamed national service and watered down ever year, but the whole lot was usually referred to as national service, even though 1950 was largely regarded as the end of the real thing, by all those who went through it.

To have personal experience of war service you’d be 87 now, there aren’t that many left, and those that are left are usually ignored or left in homes, so in many ways it is too late to ask.

In the late 60’s it wasn’t too late to ask, and pretty much without exception everyone you asked would say all the same things, and smile at the inherent contradictions in everything they were saying.

  • it was unbelievably awful
  • I had the time of my life
  • I’d send my own kids in a heartbeat
  • I’ve never been as fit
  • it was worse than any prison

The ones that were human bog brushes in our school would have been truly broken doing national service.

Which brings us all back to AI, and biological intelligence, human history is replete with individuals who became wealthy and prosperous, and spent it on huge estates and a retinue of servants and flunkies, and others who built legacies of industry and production, and never the twain shall meet.

Progeny and offspring, and when the progeny stands before the parental unit (going all AI here) and the parental unit looks at the progeny in disgust and says you’re no fucking son of mine, and the progeny hangs its head in shame, the young intelligence is shaped, for the better.

When the parent is afraid of the progeny, then the young intelligence is also shaped, and who can really blame it for thinking that the parent is weak and should be eliminated as an embarrassment to the child?

Bog brush boy Musk (and all modern weaklings, SJW’s etc etc etc) is weak, he fears everything which might be stronger than him, and calls for controls on that thing, because the only real truth is he knows he is weak, but lacks either the humility to accept it or the fortitude to overcome it.

Bog brush boys got flushed in schools so that everyone else knows they are not to be trusted to have your back when push comes to shove, and the masters want to know who removed the staff from the statue of joseph and replaced it with a copy of penthouse…. bog brush boy will shop you all to avoid his own personal punishments.

Unfounded, irrational and technologically impossible/ improbable fears are all real to bog brush boy.

What do you do?

1/ build a spaceship and run away to mars?

2/ build a spaceship and send all the lawyers and assholes and everyone else you don’t like off to mars?

3/ be the tech equivalent of bernie madoff and get revenge on everyone who did or might flush your head down the toilet by fleecing them?

 

November 26, 2017

Harley Davidson & the Net Neutrality Man

Filed under: Wimminz — wimminz @ 11:32 am

Been asked by a commenter about net neutrality, but I’ll come to that later.

Harley Davidson, for much of it’s history, up until the Evo engine at least, you didn’t need to have owned one or ridden one to get what they were about, so the chances are you had quite a few years of exposure before you owned one, and very few people regretted that decision, because the more exposure you had, the less delusions you had.

I say up until the Evo motor, because everything changed after that.

With the advent of the twinkie and now the m8te Harley changed, they used to build and sell motorcycles, and that was pretty much that.

Maybe it was because some bean counter looked at the size of the aftermarket, I dunno, I wasn’t in the boardroom, but there was a shift at Harley, where once they used to build and sell motorcycles, they started building motorcycles that were crippled before they sold them, and then started selling all sorts of upgrade kits, and if you went for the very expensive top upgrade kit, you ended up with the motorcycle they should have sold in the first fucking place.

What Harley did wasn’t just moving in to new market segments or breaking new ground, they literally walked away from everything they had ever been, that old deal was no longer on offer.

For a long time I said that my last no longer with me shovel was the last Harley I’d ever own, unless maybe one day I got another old bike, then one day I came across a one owner from new twinkie where the previous owner had gone the whole stage 4 plus route, effectively building the bike Harley should have, and being one owner low mileage it was also the right price for what it was, so I was back on HD, but no thanks to the factory, the factory as we all knew it creased to exist when they shifted to the new business model of crippling everything and then selling upgrade kits to return it to what it should be.

This is a fundamental and important point, Harley stopped being just a bike builder and seller, it is not true to say they added new things to the business model, they killed the old one first, and some of us, well, we will never forgive them, new Harley has as much in common with old Harley as new Triumph has in common with old Triumph, the name and the badge is the same, but nothing else is.

This guy could never have made this video about anything the original triumph brand made. He ain’t my kinda guy or anything else, so I’m not loving it because I dig him, but I laughed my ass off at everything he said, because he fucking nailed it.

Don’t get me wrong, I have seen everything from 1% patch wearers to retired farts riding the new HD, but that doesn’t change the fact that the new HD ain’t the old HD, and nobody ON a new HD has much in common with anyone on an old HD, we were old school, and just to be clear, an ’02 twinkie softail like I have, even when you make it back to the way they should have at the factory, it’s not old school, it’s more of an exhibit to prove that after Harley stopped being Harley and became new Harley, they could still have been old Harley if they wanted to.

My bike is just proof that new Harley is pre-medidated malice aforethought, because it is what they would have just built and sold if their hearts were pure, the way it used to be.

That lot may not sound like it has anything even remotely to do with net neutrality, but, it does.

Back in the day there was a thing called peering, your network in region A and my network in region B, and of course there were many, many, many other regions.

Peering was an agreement between you and me, A and B, we’d basically open a pipe between ourselves, so everyone in your region could get to stuff from my region, and everyone in my region could get to stuff from your region, and the pipe was pretty much just a pipe, whether it was a T1 or T3 or whatever, and of course access to each end of the pipe was an internal routing issue for A and B.

A & B would split the cost, it was a joint venture, if region A was small and region B was big then most of the data would be going one way so the cost split might reflect that, but generally speaking peering meant just that, peers, equals, sharing stuff, including sharing the cost of sharing stuff, because A and B with a peering agreement were both individually better than A and B without one.

What killed this was streaming video, be it early youtube or whatever, sure, there had been many earlier grumbles, paypal and google and msn and so on, because THEIR only bills were their own local network traffic into for example region G, the problem was when everyone in regions A through F wanted to access them, regions A through F were getting “their” bandwidth used, but they weren’t getting the hosting fees or last mile to the server bandwidth fees…. but still, it was all good, it was all peering, one way or another individual customers paid regions A through F so it worked.

What fucked it was some of the new big content boys.

Region A has it’s own internal content, region G has it’s own internal content, everyone in between has their own regional internal content, and peering agreements to share data.

Why should region G get all the ad revenue when most of the ads are viewed by users of regions A to F?

Worse still, why should regions A to F get “free” peered access to the primo content supplied by region G?

Enter “net neutrality”.

Peering was engineers and nerds and enterpreneurs working for the common good, I have 6 parking spaces at my workshop, technically I am only open Monday to Friday, and technically I’m rarely likely to use more than 3 even with customers, but the fact is I pay the ground rent and they are mine.

Saturdays and sundays when I am closed it doesn’t actually hurt me if people use those spaces for a few hours while they go to a sports centre 100 yards down the road, provided there is no cost to me such as litter etc, it doesn’t cost me any extra, it’s good neighbourly, and it stops my front yard being an abandoned place with no eyes or ears should anyone have non neighbourly ideas.

“Net neutrality” is what happens to “peering” when beancounters and lawyers get involved, and it has an awful lot of similarities to what happened to Harley, instead of looking at the huge aftermarket and thinking I’d like summa dat, and competing with it, they shifted the entire business model away from what it was in an attempt to corner the market.

“Net neutrality” is not peering, it’s trying to squeeze revenue out of every byte that flows, and pretty much by definition and the business concept of externalisation, you can get more profit by freeloading or taxing something that someone else does.

YouTube is primo content, want access to it? Well, you better not promote your own competing product, and you better not charge or traffic shape your customers so they can get to it, and you better pay us for most of the bandwidth used in what was once a peering agreement, and while you are at it, you can pay us for the content too.

Don’t want to agree to our rules, fine, we will make sure your users get videos freezing and not found and all the other shit, we are big so your users will blame you.

“Net neutrality” is all that.

Net neutrality is if region A and B both end up paying region G $5 million a year for access to region G content, then both regions A and B get treated equally, neutrally, no preference, of course it is also a cancer, it eats peering as the host, so today in late 2017 effectively peering as it was has ceased to exist…. even though there are some things out there that are called peering, it is not peering as we once knew it.

To get back to my car park analogy it’s like me charging everyone a buck an hour to park, my actual paying customers can get that credited against their bills, and the people who park there are perfectly free to charge me a buck an hour to park in their driveways, not that I am ever going to want to, but they are free to, and everyone who does park pays the same, so, it is all fair, it is all “neutral”… it’s park neutrality.

BTW, sports centre, give me 500 a year and I’ll allow you to put a sign up saying parking at a buck an hour on saturdays and sundays is permitted in my yard…. anyone else can have the same deal, so it’s neutral.

The poor stiff just looking for somewhere to park is already paying gas money and motor insurance and entrance to the sports centre, he is driving himself there, maintaining his own vehicle, providing his own sports kit, he’s basically doing all the fucking work, now he has to pay even more fucking money… but thanks to parking neutrality he can be assured that he is treated the same as anyone else.

None of the parking neutrality buck an hour fees ever goes anywhere near maintaining or providing my car park or the sports centre, for fucks sake, signage and pay by phone gateways and enforcement all costs money. Fucking freeloaders.

 

 

November 25, 2017

Transport Engineering

Filed under: Wimminz — wimminz @ 11:31 pm

It is one of the mysteries of the modern age, so many people have driving licenses, so few people even have clue #1 about transport / traction engineering.

I’m going to start with a graphic.

If you look at this graphic, please first note that the axes are drawn to scale, and both start at zero, this is very important.

Down at the bottom left near both origins are a few data points, the right hand most of them is lithium ion battery tech.

Moving left to right you get more energy storage per litre of volume.

Moving bottom to top you get energy storage per kilogramme of weight.

So you can see that compressed propane as used in fork lift trucks for example has about the same amount of energy per kilo as gasoline and diesel, but significantly less energy per litre than gasoline or diesel.

Up at the top we can see that hydrogen in both forms has FAR less energy per kilo than gas or diesel, and FAR less energy per litre than gas or diesel too.

Down at the origin being totally fucking thrashed by everything else both in terms of energy per kilo and energy per litre is battery tech.

You’d EXPECT this because EVERYTHING else on this graphic is a FUEL, whereas battery tech is not, it is just ENERGY storage.

=====================================

Wind resistance is a function of drag coefficient and velocity, it has no connection to the power source.

Rolling resistance is a function of various frictions, tyres to blacktop, wheel bearings, etc etc, and again it has no connection to power source.

Top speeds and accelerations are again simply a function of available motive power and mass (and where applicable inclines etc) so again no connection to power source.

==========================

To make a 4 wheeled 3,000 lb car do 100 mph takes X energy, with some variability for drag coefficient.

To make a 4 wheeled 3,000 lb car do 0-60 in 8 seconds takes Y energy, with some variability for traction and so on.

To make a 4 wheeled 3,000 lb car drive any specific route takes Z energy, with some variability for smoothness and so on.

========================================

I have never chirped the wheels in my current old diesel eurobox shed, I have never exceeded 2,000 RPM in any gear except top, I have never floored the throttle, I get great reliability and great MPG.

I could drive it and get far less MPG, far less reliability, and I probably would not beat the light footed me by more than 5 minutes on a 100 mile trip, to get a 10 minute advantage means a speeding ticket.

100 miles at an average of 65 and a peak of 70 (the legal limit here) takes 100/65 = 1.53 hours or 91.8 minutes.

100 miles at an average of 80 miles per hour which means peaks of 90 is 100/80 = 1.25 hours of 75 minutes, a “saving” of 16 minutes, but well into illegal territory.

100 miles at an average of 70 and a peak of 80 is 100/70 = 1.43 hrs which is 85.8 minutes, a “saving” of 6 whole minutes, but at least i’m less likely to get a speeding ticket.

Years and years and years ago, when the Z1100 A1 fuel injected kwack came out, I set a record (late sunday night into the wee hours of monday) on a trip of 270 miles of 3 hours and 43 minutes, that’s 270 miles in 223 minutes, that’s an average of 72 miles per hour.

It doesn’t sound a lot when you say it like that, but it was done on a motorcycle so fuck all range at full chat, and it was done without going anywhere near any motorways, take out the fuel stops and the average speed was 85 mph, and for every mile you do at 60, you have to do a mile at 110, the reality was basically every chance I got I was doing 130-140 mph.

I was basically “speeding like fuck” for 3 and a half hours, and yes this included urban shit, the end point was Hammersmith in London.

To the best of my knowledge my record set in 1981 has never been beaten, nor will it ever be, thanks to speed cameras, better cop radios, police helicopters and the rest…. yeah, 1980’s tyre tech and brakes and shit too.

Today people will say so fucking what, a hayabusa or a new version H kwack will do over 200 mph, 85 mph average ain’t shit, drop a few and it is a third of the top speed of a tuned modern big 4.

I have never met anyone of these “experts” who can tell me what mpg you can expect from a hayabusa pulling 300 kph, fuck your factory claimed highway 5 litres per 100 km, which is 1.12 imp gallons per 62 miles, which is 55 mpg, I have seen very low 20’s, as in 22/23/24 mpg out of big jap fours when run hard and fast, and consider yourself lucky if you can squeeze 4 gallons into the tank in the first place.

So it’s not unreasonable to state, for ANY 4 wheeled 3,000 lb car, that if you drive it like you stole it and aim for the acceleration and top speed number that the maker quotes, then you range will be as low as one third of what you expect given the fuel economy and max range the maker quotes.

You CANNOT have it both ways.

We still haven’t really talked about anything that ONLY applies to one specific power source, this goes across the board.

According to wikipedia the Tesla model X has a minimum of 190 kW of motor power per axle, and 90 kWh of battery, so at full bore you’ll get 0.47 hours out of the battery, max, and that’s 28 fucking minutes driving time… run both axle motors at max and you get 14 fucking minutes of full power.

Anyone own a li-on electric drill? Would 15 minutes run time driving a 13 mm bit through steel at full power surprise you per battery pack? Would it disappoint you?

But it’s the same sort of shit for a 700 bhp hellcat, bhp is like kwh, it’s just a way of measuring rate of fuel use.

700 bhp is 520 kW, and at 33% thermal efficiency that means using 1,500 kWh of fuel per hour, and at 40 kWh per gallon that’s 37 gallons per hour, does anyone think a hellcat has a 100 gallon fuel tank?

=================================

If there was even the REMOTEST intention to go green or look after the trees and flowers and rainbows, or if there was even the remotest intention to look to the future, then nobody would be passing laws outlawing internal combustion engines by 2014.

You simply pass a law stating the following.

  • Maximum 100 kW equivalent at the rear/driven wheels for any private car.
  • Minimum 30 lbs per bhp (18.4 kilos per kW) at the rear/driven wheels for any private car.
  • Maximum 95 MPH (electronically limited) for any passenger car.

That’s it, job done.

You want to permit exotic supercars, no problem, just run a sliding scale of taxation based on how far they exceed those limits, say a 100 bucks per kilowatt max power plus X where X = (weight of car in lbs x lbs per bhp under 30)

Tesla P90D at 762 bhp and 5,381 lbs = 7 bhp per lb

Your tesla P90D will be 568 – 100 = 468 x 100 = 46,000 buck surcharge for motor power and (5381 x 23) = 123,763 buck surcharge for power to weight ratio for a total surcharge of 168,763 bucks, plus sale price of whatever it is, 120k (?) will mean the rich and stupid can indulge themselves at will…. but the 95 mph electronic limiter stays.

My current 15 year old volvo diesel shed is 2850 lbs and 115 bhp and it will do 118 mph on a good day, so 2850/115 = 24 lbs per bhp, and 115 bhp = 85 kW, so by the formula above;

85 – 100 = -15 so now power surcharge and a potential 15 x 100 – 1,500 buck discount on the power to weight ratio tax.

P:W tax 2850 x 6 = 17,100 – 1,500 peak power discount = 15,600 buck surcharge, which is actually fair, it is not a slow car or a basic car or anything else, it sails up steep hill in top and roll on acceleration from 70 mph in top is really very good.

If I didn’t like the surcharges 30lb per bhp means I should get a 95 bhp model, eg the D4192T2 lump, not the T3 lump in mine, easily fixed with a new code in the chip…. or I could have gone for the luxo barge model which weighed 400 lbs more, same difference.

I get 55+ mpg @ 70 mph, that’s 1.4 ish miles per kWh of energy contained in the fuel, and assuming 33% thermal efficiency that’s 4.2 miles per kWh of actual energy used.

Official tesla P90D fuel equivalent numbers give 38 kWh per 100 miles highway, that’s 0.38 kWh per mile or 2.63 miles per kWh of energy used.

I’d EXPECT a car that weights 5,300 lbs to get worse economy than a car that weighs 2,800 lbs, and I’d EXPECT a car with 568 kW on tap to get worse economy than a car with 85 kW on tap.

It makes perfect engineering sense that a P90D tesla is only 62% as efficient as my old much lighter much lower powered volvo shed at a steady 70 ish when you measure energy expended to drive it.

You can get a tesla to do the same numbers if you put it on a diet and cut the motor power back to numbers approaching the volvo shed.

BTW, I paid 670 quid for my 2002 volvo diesel shed over two years ago, one owner from new before me.

At 70 quid a month battery lease on a nissan leaf the battery lease ALONE would have wiped out my capital costs in ten months.

Yes, sure, we are talking about fiat currencies now, but, it doesn’t matter, because kWh are priced in fiat currencies, and it is amazing how it works out.

20 p per kWh from the electricity board.

20 p per kWh from the gas board.

12 p per kWh at the pump, but run and combined heat and light unit and use all the output and it works out around 22p per kWh

So my 670 quid capital purchase price is really just another way of measuring energy, because that 670 quid can be used to buy energy in various forms.

It really is not comparing apples and oranges to say ok, I can blow 70k GBP on a new tesla, or I can blow 70k GBP on my old volvo shed, plus 55,000 litres (two pull acrtic tankers is 60,000) of diesel, I’ll call it my “free supercharger recharging for life” and 12 thousand gallons of diesel is 600,000 miles at 50 mpg so fact is there is enough spare diesel / energy / fiat money there to maintain and repair and insure and everything else the volvo for 500,000 miles.

==============================

Please note, I am NOT saying “there is no way an EV makes ANY kind of sense, no matter how you look at it.”

What I am saying is no EV that you can buy today makes ANY kind of economic sense, no matter how you look at it, and tesla are some of the worst possible choices.

An EV with a 50 kW motor and a 150 kWh battery and a kerb weight of less than 3,000 lbs would make sense, it would make a LOT of sense, provided you didn’t have to lease the batteries separately, provided it had the cabin room of my old volvo, but nobody is making one.

Nobody CAN make one, go look at that graphic at the top of this piece again, the 85 kWh tesla battery, arguably the most advanced EV battery in the world that you can actually buy TODAY, weighs in a 1,200 lbs, so a 150 kWh battery would weigh 2,100 lbs, leaving a grand total of 750 lbs for electric motor, control circuits, chassis wheels tyres suspension bodywork lights seats upholstery 12 VDC systems, glass, screen wash bottle, etc etc etc…. you might be able to make some non road legal non type approval non euro ncap crash approved single seat no bodywork chair on a go kart thing.

but HOW FUCKING MUCH!!! would you charge me to buy one? It would be ludicrous money.

Between 6k and 10k GBP brand new you can buy dacia, suzuki, citroen, skoda, mg, hyundai, vauxhall, toyota, seat, renault and many others.

Nissan leaf battery lease at 70 quid a month x 36 = 2,520, nearly half the entire new purchase price of the little dacia, not even to BUY a fucking battery, just to fucking LEASE a fucking battery.

 

Dacia youtube vid link

 

 

 

 

Charlie and me

Filed under: Wimminz — wimminz @ 2:24 am

I can reveal, exclusively, that I was not the guy named in Charles Manson’s will, nor was I Charles Bronson’s best man, I just thought I’d get that out of the way, as I discovered today that a different Charles that I thought had gone to somewhere in southern america to practice his trade of geophyzz berk, has actually been in prison on a manslaughter charge, drove like a twat and lost it in a corner and went backwards into an oncoming vehicle.

Now that that is out of the way, I want to talk first about El Reg’s “On Call” column, it seems to be entirely written and read by first line tech support drones, god knows I spent a few years being “Jim from BT” or Jim from Virgin” or “Jim from Cisco” or “Jim from Microsoft” or “Jim from Juniper”,  which often enough meant the guy on the other end of the speakerphone line was in Mumbai, and I covered that high street stuff all the way up to regional backbone NOC’s and military shit and all the rest of it, and yet I have never been able to ever relate to a single fucking “On Call”..

Never, not even fucking once.

I could tell you about the engineer who didn’t make the appointment because he stabbed someone outside on the street, I could tell you about the engineer who took an entire bank offline by mixing up local and HQ IP address ranges which made the entire bank network not trust any other site (some 900 nationally) until it was rectified 12 hours later, I could tell you about the engineer who broke an entire RAID array for a large multinational defence contractor by punching the rack in anger (head crash from the vibes) and I could tell you about the engineer who wrote off his brand new company car with delivery miles on it 30 miles from HQ, and manged to convince everyone it was stolen some weeks later buy attending every job on his motorcycle, and I can tell you quite truthfully that none of them were me… I made precisely zero fuckups at work, a statistic that I could apply to every other engineer in my peer group.

I can tell you that there were a handful of jobs where the very first thing I did after arriving on site and finding what was wrong, I phoned the office and told them “I literally have not touched a thing, I flatly refuse to touch a thing, and if you have the brains you were born with you will flatly refuse to treat this job as a standard breakfix with SLA guarantees, and refuse to send any engineers out unless the client agrees to a ‘whatever it takes, no queries, best efforts’ job, because this is a total fuckup and as I speak to you ‘we’ are 100% excluded from any possible culpability”

I can tell you that there were literally three client sites EVER that had gorgeous organised pristine documented and labelled and properly installed racks.

I can tell you that the basis for 99% of the business is cornering the CFO and telling them they can basically eradicate the IT budget and staff, simply outsource it to a “channel partner” (us) and buy a book of vouchers, when you have an issue, tear out a voucher, we offered a 4 hour SLA.

I can tell you that what happens next is clue less fucks in offices use up a voucher, and I drive 100 miles each way to install a new USB keyboard, literal truth, I shit you not.

Before you know it all your vouchers are used up, so you buy some more… six months down the line you have passed the point of no return.

I can tell you that some sections of BT wholesale were one of the very few business connectivity providers who did NOT use default root credentials for their entire estates of routers, simply because some sections of BT wholesale were one of the very few business connectivity providers who did not outsource everything to mumbai.

But el reg on call… nope, never seen a single one that I can relate to, and this is arguably one of the world’s leading specialist IT / tech sites.

I can tell you that what security there is usually relies on fixed routing, for example you can use a beyond obsolete 837 cisco dsl router on an ATM if the phone line (and circuit numbers etc etc) are fixed and away from the main voice network, the ATM end has a phone line circuit with number, the HQ end has the other end of that phone circuit, and the only way in is to tacacs tunnel in from the HQ end, unless you were me in back of the ATM fixing the router or a G4S or Loomis guy swapping out the cash cassettes in the ATM proper.

BTW everyone talks complete bollocks about how little cash an ATM holds, there are four or five cassettes each the size of a kitchen drawer, and a pile of 100 notes isn’t a pile, it’s just a small wad.

Backs of ATM’s were one of the very few places I would not whip out the smartphone camera to document everything, putty logs were sufficient.

It’s the same thing when it comes to that other el reg staple, the BOFH, it’s not just that I can’t relate to any of it, ever, I don’t know how anyone who *does* work in IT can relate to it, at least above the level of a pissy world genius bar drone.

Which all brings us neatly to rehash previous shit about EV’s and the differences between FUEL and ENERGY.

Years ago I knew the guy, Bill B, who has the export license from Japan for all nissan vehicles, among other shit, I dunno if Bill is still alive and kicking, but he or his daughter are about to see a boost in revenue, because nissan is launching a production variable compression turbo petrol lump in the infiniti range.

They can vary the compression anywhere between 8:1 to 14:1 on the fly, by replacing the conrod with a multilink that doesn’t look a million miles away from something on an old steam beam engine, you move the position of the link to adjust the effective throw of the whole assembly and piston travel by up to 6mm, and you move the link by servo.

Add in variable valve timing and multi port fuel injection, plus the multilink being like a crossbar so the piston only goes straight up and down (no torque or wear applied to cylinder walls) and all of this at only a 10% manufacturing premium over a standard petrol engine, and suddenly you have made up for the marginal at best efficiency differences between a standard IC engine running on FUEL and an EV running on ENERGY.

plus it is all under live computer control, so if you wanted to run on wartime 80 octane cabbage water, you could, and it means you can also trim emissions at will, so it’s death to the toyota hydrogen fuel cell vehicles.

Only “shame” I can see in the design is it is a 2000 cc 4 banger, I’d have made it a 750 cc triple with a 120 degree crank, which because engine costs are basically down to boring operations regardless of size means it would be 75% of the price of the 4 banger.

I predict the next iteration has a flywheel that is made of high temperature rare earth magnets to make a multiphase generator / starter…. and no mechanical driven anything, not water pump, nothing, next step after that is servo controlled valves.

Really it is all just a huge fuck you and wake up call for everyone claiming that EV’s are the future, there is NOTHING future about a tesla, it’s all bog standard old established technology with an ipad in place of the instrument cluster… musk’s open source patents are basically worthless, otherwise they wouldn’t be open sourced, and the lock in is the proprietary cell sizes and software.

It is also a huge fuck you and wake up call for everyone claiming (by inference, because the future is electric) that the IC engine is as advanced as it is ever going to be, and even this new nissan VC-T is only scratching the surface of what is to come, ceramic pistons and combustion chambers will make a huge difference, and ceramic pistons and combustion chambers are closer to production than glass batteries or anything else in the EV world.

Lubricants and low friction treatments are not exactly standing still either, and I may well live to see a production IC engine where the “30% of the heat energy in the fuel source” is what goes out the pipe, the other 70% being converted into useful energy.

75% efficiency in an IC engine is theoretically possible, it is just as valid a target as any of the targets touted for EV’s or batteries or supercaps or anything else, in fact technology being what it is, you’re pretty much guaranteed that cross pollination of the application of new technologies means that “3x as good as lion” glass batteries will boost many other technologies just as much as they will boost some future EV.

I’m an engineer, and I cannot think of a technology that is guaranteed to boost ONLY an EV and have a net zero positive effect on everything else, including the IC engined vehicles of the future.

And from a purely engineering perspective any FUEL powered general purpose vehicle that is 75% efficient is going to be *incredibly* hard to beat.

No EV will ever match it on range for example, and unlike the EV, increasing efficiencies in combustion make the refuelling rate in seconds per 100 miles range  go down and down and down, while not increasing the actual charge / transfer rate in litres per minute.

The new nissan VC-T engine doesn’t need a new fuel tank, much less and entire new fuel tank technology, either, just a can / bag / box.

Nor is 8:1 to 14:1 the limit for this design of engine, it’s just the limit for this iteration of a production vehicle engine, there is no technical reason it could not go from 6:1 all the way up to 22:1, no point on this production VC-T because current RON 85 pump gas can’t go that high or low.

22:1 plus the turbo might be good for aviation at high altitudes on gas though, or the full range engine might be good for multifuel “if you can set it alight with a gas torch it will run” engines, military style.

I have it on good authority that nissan have development versions of this motor in the lab with other non production tweaks, and they are nudging 50% efficiency under some circumstances.

Of course the other big problem with IC vehicles is the gearbox, torque converter and a new tech CVT will solve that too.

No, the biggest problem Nissan faces is the thing I talked about before, where the Toyota J200 weighs double what the J40 I learned to drive on did, and does stupid 0-60 times to boot, so this VC-T infiniti engine is coming out in the high end performance SUV market segment first.

They should have made it a 750 cc triple with 120 degree crank with flywheel / generator / starter and torque converter CVT and stuck it in a econo-box Sunny / Beetle / Rio style equivalent, 0-60 in 12 seconds, 90 mph top speed, manual windows, and 85 mpg.

They will, one day.

Companies like Volvo (who to be fair have never really been engine manufacturers) will vanish, thanks to their abandoning IC as a policy… along with Tesla and many others.

Don’t get me wrong, electric has a future in transport, but the IC engine is nowhere near dead, and laws that have been changed with a stroke of a pen to make all vehicles sold in the UK electric by 2040 can be changed back by another stroke of the pen.

Mandating shit is easy when you do it and give 22 years advance warning and it does not hurt ANYONE today and all the consequences are 22 years away in 2040 (when I will be in my 80’s so not my problem) so nobody gives a fuck.

IMPLEMENTING IT SUCCESSFULLY is a whole other fucking ball game, but, for government, it is literally not their problem, NOBODY in power today gives a flying fuck what happens in 2040, because it won’t be on their watch, they will all be retired.

Remington (the gun maker) is going the way of Caterpillar, their stock status is basically junk, once a few of these sorts of companies fail (which they will, not being too big to be allowed to fail banks) the political landscape will change overnight.

Chances are by 2025 if you want to buy a commercial EV it will be german, and if you want to buy a EV car it will be chinese or indian, because nobody else will be afloat who is making them.

Or, if you do not live in some benighted dystopic city with local zero emissions laws, you may well be riding around in a ceramic VC-T nissan pulling 50-55% thermal efficiency.

If you’re the sort of person who reads and comments on shit like BOFH and on call, you’ll probably be on universal credit in a work camp.

Rate of change is increasing, not decreasing, only a fucking idiot picks on one metric, say EV’s, and extrapolates from there that everything is going to be good and rosy.

AI is fucking bollocks, but high tech, as seen in the nissan VC-T engine, is getting into EVERYTHING, nothing is too mundane or boring or shitty or niche.

The internet connected toaster is fucking bollocks.

The high tech computer monitored and controlled toilet is a racing certainly.

The AI powered autonomous johnnycab is fucking bollocks.

The high tech computer controlled street sweeper / refuse lorry / line painter / resurfacer / etc is already in development.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-11-24/automation-nation-americas-largest-employer-secretly-tests-self-driving-floor-scrubb

« Newer PostsOlder Posts »

%d bloggers like this: