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Please visit Andrei’s website: https://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/
and support him here: https://www.patreon.com/bePatron?u=60459185
Andrei thank you for your analysis of the situation, and the fake western non-news news media. Just a nation of lies hitting the front pages daily with lies for no value.
I have to admit I was scratching my head a little on the netcentric warfare thing, even googling to find some American .com presence, then Andrei made it all clear for me. Great primer from Professor Martyanov.
https://fivegunswest.blogspot.com/2022/06/the-dumpster-fire-of-western-soul.html
Andrei’s right… I really haven’t heard too much about Ukrainians winning lately, even though I don’t pay much attention to Western enemedia.
True, technically UAF are not winning, however, in the race to become a failed state, they’re outperforming most peoples expectations.
When I think about this SMO, around 16-20 hours a day (sleep permitting ) I have this picture in my mind of all these command centres, boards lit up in real time, bouncing off satellites high above the conflict zones, spread all across Europe, filled with US/Europe’s best & brightest military strategists. . . . . . who are only losing 500-1000 KIA-Wounded-captured-surrendered troops per day.
Great Job CIA/MI6. If anyone needed to read Andrei’s books, it’s this lot. Still I reckon they’d be less slap-dash belligerent if it were American lives on the line.
Cheers for teaching me a new succinct word.
Enemedia.
From the comments section of Andrei M blog:
🤡 “We now see that Ukraine is able to oust Russia from the Donbass. We see that the Russian regime is on the verge of collapse, at least in terms of military power. That is, they are now also on the verge of exhaustion,” said British Defense Minister Ben Wallace at a meeting with Volodymyr Zelensky. 🤡
Do they really believe their own fakes?
They only stop believing when read their last rites . . . . . and even then there are still holdouts.
No but they say it anyway,or they could be as deluded as Hitler was in the final days in his Bunker,moving armies about on a map that no longer existed and long since annihilated.
They probably do believe all their own rubbish. The intellectual standard of the UK’s present MP’s in both Labour and especially Tory parties is abysmal. I’ve been living in the UK and been aware of politics since Harold MacMillan, and never has the standard of parliamentary intelligence sunk so low. Even the war-mongering Churchill, Eden and Blair at the very least had some kind of smarts, but this lot are just unashamedly psychopathic, self-seeking cretins.
Martyanov is talking more and more about the mathematical side of education and warfare and that this should lead to some interesting discussion. I found this statement by Nassim Taleb on his website about Russian mathematics interesting as well.
“The Supreme Scientific Rigor of The Russian School of Probability
I would like to record here (so people get off my back) that I do not belong to the so-called “Austrian School” of economics, in spite of a few similar positions on bailouts and bottom-up systems. I believe in mathematical statements. But if I were to belong to a school of thought designated by a nationality, the {NATIONALITY} SCHOOL of {DISCIPLINE} it would be the Russian school of probability.
Members across three generations: P.L. Chebyshev, A.A. Markov, A.M. Lyapunov, S.N. Bernshtein (ie. Bernstein), E.E. Slutskii, N.V. Smirnov, L.N. Bol’shev, V.I. Romanovskii, A.N. Kolmogorov,Yu.V. Linnik, and the new generation: V Petrov, S.V. Nagaev, A.V. Nagaev, A. Shyrayev, etc.
They had something rather potent in the history of scientific thought: they thought in inequalities, not equalities (most famous: Markov, Chebyshev, Bernstein, Lyapunov). They used bounds, not estimates. Even their central limit was a matter of bounds. A world apart from the new generation of users who think in terms of precise probability. It accommodates skepticism, one-sided thinking: A is >x, A O(x) [Big-O: “of order” x], rather than A=x.
Working on integrating the rigor in risk bearing. We always know one-side, not the other.”
Contrast the Russian system with the capability of one of the “Great” Leaders of the west.
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/canada/trudeau-admits-he-does-not-understand-basic-math/
The mathematical side is the 15 or 20:1 (or higher) loss ratio for Ukraine multipled by time.
Maybe someone can explain the logic of what Zelensky wants.
According to him no peace treaty until Russia returns Crimea, Donbass, other lands. Then why is he shelling civilians in Donetsk, that’s not going to win hearts & minds? So does he want those republics back less their inhabitants. Doesn’t add up, who’s going to live there, I don’t see western Ukrainians flocking to Donbass?
Secondly, if an army takes civilian hostages, folks born, live and work in say Severodonetsk, then what message are you sending to every Ukrainian civilian? Furthermore if the army sets up its H/Q/Defences/Armaments in densely populated areas, schools and hospitals, using you as a shield, it must surely ring alarm bells.
The above wouldn’t make any sense to a young child but for some reason Zelensky- UAF see those actions/methods as normal. Fact is, this Ukrainian Government despises its own people. In Kiev as the penny’s dropping the majority of civilians, won’t shout it out but most likely would prefer the security of Russia, than their leaders who despise them.
As rotten as most EU governments are, I can’t see them allowing these heinous war crimes against their civilian populations (I could be wrong though as the French used military force/weapons on the Yellow-Vests, also, I could have sat at the next table in the restaurant where the Skripals dined, been the postman delivering mail to his infected letterbox or sat on the bench next to him in Salisbury Park, UK, knocking back shorts of novichok) .The US however actively encourage these war crimes, much is the same now standard practice their Jihadi militias adopted in Syria.
Zelensky-Biden-Johnson-Von der Leyen-Stoltenberg & Minions are lowlife War Criminals.
Maybe someone can explain the logic of what Zelensky wants.
I would ignore whatever Zelensky says if I were you.
His demands don’t make any sense to us because we are looking at them through the wrong prism ie he’s looking out for the Ukraine’s interest. But it would make perfect sense if we look at his demands — and actions — from the POV of the War Criminals you mention at the end of your comment.
These WC — psychopaths, all — are only interested in trying to weaken Russia; they don’t give a damn about Ukrainians, whether normal Ukranians or the garden-variety nazis. And they especially don’t give a damn about the deaths of innocent Ukrainians of Russian descent; it’s only collateral damage, and so far from home. In fact I think they get a perverse joy from the deaths of Russo-Ukrainians.
Zelensky has no agency. He does whatever his ‘curators’ (the WC) ask him to do. Sergey Lavrov suggested just as much in one of his interviews (I think it was in Turkey, but I could be wrong about the place, I’ve read so many of his interviews).
This conflict gone hot will only end when the RF and the US decide it will end. The Russians suspected this in February and got confirmation after the aborted peace talks in Turkey, in March, I think.
In the meantime Russia will continue with the SMO, swatting all the weapons the West throws at them via the Ukraine, and continue to demilitarise and denazify the Ukraine — and redraw the map of Europe in the process. Russians will continue to lead fairly normal lives — sans McDonald burgers and Coke, plus some other inconveniences perhaps — while Europeans will face quite severe disruptions in their lives, more so in the coming two, three, or four months when the brilliantly thought-out boomerang sanctions initiated by the WC begin to really bite.
I had a long talk with a Russian with friends and family in Ukraine. He says 75-70% of Ukraine’s people speak Russian a first language. But they all hate Russia.
So I ask him if he asks them, why do you support Ukraine, which tells you you are illegal because you speak Russian? They have no answer. Just totally brainwashed.
Hopefully, Russia can deprogram them. Ukrainian nationalism is like a destructive Satanic cult.
«Fact is, this Ukrainian Government despises its own people»
Part of the ukrainian government seem to be ruthenian (west ukrainian) fanatics who consider russian-speakers as invaders to be eliminated from “Greater Ruthenia”; part simply follow the principle of making a war of attrition with the Russian Federation as hard as possible at any cost to ukrainians too.
https://www.economist.com/europe/volodymyr-zelensky-on-why-ukraine-must-defeat-putin/21808448
«Mr Zelensky divides NATO into five camps. First are those who “don‘t mind a long war because it would mean exhausting Russia, even if this means the demise of Ukraine and comes at the cost of Ukrainian lives”.»
If Ukie losses are 500 per day some 100 are killed in action or died on wounds. For instance latest DPR report shows 74 killed per week.
Why have RF not reported their own military losses since late March 2022?
The Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) is reporting as of 26 May that they had 1,986 soldiers killed and 8,199 wounded (4.13-to-1 wounded-to-killed ratio). Total losses 10,185. Average daily losses 110 soldiers (21-22 killed per day). LPR reported to have lost 500-600 killed until 5 April, average 12-15 killed per day.
Do you have a source for those numbers?
Not saying they are wrong as the DPR has done the bulk of the fighting so far, but they are different than the source I use.
Cassad used https://t.me/lostarmour/456 as his source for the numbers he posted.
What is your source?
The new group of eight countries “not participating in the sanctions wars” outperformed the old group in terms of purchasing power parity (PPP) gross domestic product (GDP). This was announced on Saturday, June 11, by State Duma Speaker Vyacheslav Volodin.
“The rupture by Washington and its allies of existing economic relations has led to the formation of new points of growth in the world. The group of eight countries not participating in the sanctions wars – China, India, Russia, Indonesia, Brazil, Mexico, Iran, Turkey – is 24.4% ahead of the old group in terms of GDP at PPP.
Volodin stressed that the economies of the United States, Japan, Germany, Britain, France, Italy, and Canada “continue to crack under the weight of the sanctions imposed against Russia.” Thus, in the first quarter of 2022, the United States recorded a 1.5% drop in GDP, and inflation reached a maximum level of 8.6%.
-@vv_volodin
Purchasing Power Parity is a myth. It’s based on the mistaken idea of ‘one world currency’ – that there is a mystical one world yard stick against which things can be measured.
The nature of finance means that monetary capital movements dwarf physical exchanges about 10:1. That means that money and stuff doesn’t have a one-to-one relationship. It’s more inductive than direct.
The analogy is the electrical system, which requires Reactive Power to ensure that True Power reaches its full work potential. The Apparent Power moves up and down depending upon the power factor of the loads. GDP is the Apparent Power of a monetary economy.
All there is is human endeavour. Where that is directed depends upon the politics. A quiet word and a hold of the hand doesn’t end up in the GDP figures.
Exchange the mercenaries for Julian Assange.
That’s a brilliant idea. In Germany many of the pro-Assange Kremlin critics would have to rethink their attitude towards the SMO which up till now they don’t understand or don’t want to understand.
Bravo!
Can you explain this complexity:
1$= 56,8 rubles (source: investing.com)
1 gr gold = 60,5 $
1 gr gold = 5000 rubles
This equation just don’t work. 1 gr gold should be value of $88 or $1 should be 82-83 rubles. Basis is that gold is gold and no fiction.
Your first two lines of calculation are correct. Your third line should be 3,466.2 RUB.
goldpricez.com/ru/gram… 22/06/08
Hard to tell how many losses. Ukraine claimed 10.000 dead. Dead-wounded ratio is something like 1 to 5. So 10.000 dead and 50.000 wounded wgich brings to a loss of 60.000. Does that sound realistic? 50.000 killed would mean 250.000 wounded, that doesn’t add up. From the past days I counted around 1000 Ukrainian dead per day. With the amount of ammunition fired at them it should be a lot of dead. But trenches seems to kepe them safe. Artillery is not really killing them in great numbers when they hide. The MSRL are scary but I see it hitting empty field, or firing at 3 tanks and with luck they hit 1.Those weapons are not put to use in a effective way. TOC weapons looks much better to kill them.
So you have the constant artillery, MSRL strikes and airstrikes on strongholds and bases. There should be a lot of dead every day. Now they are also starting to draft women.
Russia keeps the dead also hidden. Even if you win, it means nothing if Russia loses a high number of lives, it’s a pointless war, you win nothing.
Reports are as high as 50k kia and 60k missing. I suspect that some number of the missing have deserted but the vast majority have been killed and uncollected by the AFU to lower the KIA number and deny death payment to their familes.
That does not include wounded. There are likely few wounded as there is little to no ability to evacuate, 80% of their trained personnel are toast (including medical), and there is no supply (such as plasma, which requires frozen storage) to speak of – they are using confiscated cars and ambulances to move troops and supply ammo.
Artillery IS killing them in great numbers. Some captured AFU are talking about 85% casulaty rates in their units. There is no shortage of videos of RF troops advancing on shelled trenches and fortifications where dead AFU are buried in rubble and scattered around like discarded bet tickets after a horse race.
Nice Simile BC.
Never tried horse meat as I have an affinity with our equine friends. One grade above eating dog meat which seems abhorrent. Still if I was trapped in those industrial tunnels with wounded Azov boys for weeks, spitroasted neo-Nazi with lead trimmings could prove tempting.
Pointless war…excuse me James, but you are a little late to the game. Eight years, fourteen thousand dead Russian speaking Ukrainians. Are their deaths pointless. Status Quo, just dead people, no biggie?
Have you listened to the beligerance coming from Washington’s mouth piece Ms Elinsky? No negotiation Elinsky. Are you aware of the minority in the west that are trying to weaken Russia so they, the western capital Vultures, can dismember Russia for their sole profit?
Pointless yes, but when ones existence is at stake, one fights for survival. Pointless is when one asks the offending side to implement the signed ‘Peace Treaty’, rather than kill civilians indiscriminately and they refuse, talking to them really is ‘pointless’, those days have long since past.
Cheers M
Love you or hate you, Marty? Most of us would arm up and walk down a dark alley shoulder to shoulder with you. But I guess we’re to old and they don’t bother with us. So we must settle for reading your analytical wisdom in this. Still, Russia builds beautiful fighters. That diamond of SU57s gave me a chubby. Russia always built beautiful ships, my experience going back to 76. Thanks Andrei. Bigly.
It should be n^2 – n I would suspect.
There is a two-way communication between each colonel, and every other colonel – without having self-communication (each colonel with himself).
It’s n^2 – (self communication) = n^2 – n
Each of the N nodes in a network (or graph) kan have connections with the other nodes (N-1). If you want the total number of connections, it is N * (N-1).
So, N^2 – N. But if you consider node A talking to node B the same as B talking to A, you can halve that total.
In Andrei’s 3 node example, it is (3^2 – 3) / 2 = 3
If some nodes are jetfighters and others drones or tanks or sensors, the connections or datastreams from A to B and B to A are probably NOT the same.
I think it would be amusing if the Russians suggested to London, that they swap the two British mercenaries, who, let’s face it, don’t look like the sharpest knives in the drawer; for the two Skripal and his daughter, if they are even still alive somewhere. The very idea will drive the British politicians and media absolutely crazy. That alone would be grounds for doing it.
UK Mercs for Scripals. Great Idea. I also like the idea of exchanging them for Assange but the Skripals have a Russian Connection that Assange does not
Here’s an excellent article in English about the Su-57. An excerpt:
The “Cebrowski Doctrine” is a recurring theme in the geopolitical analyses of Thierry Meyssan.
Thanks Andrei for your mathematical explication of Admiral Cebrowski’s warfare theory.
Here is an article from May, 2021 by Thierry Meyssan from Voltairenet.org that some readers may find interesting as an adjunct to your video.
https://www.voltairenet.org/article213164.html
Why not stop oil exports to the US, when ready. They certainly qualify for sanctions by Russia.
Each of the N nodes in a network (or graph) kan have connections with the other nodes (N-1). If you want the total number of connections, it is N * (N-1).
So, N^2 – N. But if you consider node A talking to node B the same as B talking to A, you can halve that total.
In Andrei’s 3 node example, it is (3^2 – 3) / 2 = 3
If some nodes are jetfighters and others drones or tanks or sensors, the connections or datastreams from A to B and B to A are probably NOT the same.
Wiring up your military obviously makes sense from a war fighting perspective, however a word of caution is warranted.
A cursory look at the book mentioned in the YouTube video page looks like a product of the Norbert Weiner Cybernetic cult of information theory, which like many waves of “progress” has been used to weaponize business and governments into a kind of techno-fascism against society, while using the warfighter construct.
The problem isn’t the tech, it’s the people who dominate the military tech complex and the IT industry are creating the seeds of their own destruction, by attempting to automate artificial political and cultural virtual electric fences, whereby one is “canceled” as if in virtual reality for not playing by the “rules of the game”.
They also make a severe epistemological error by assuming that human like intelligence can emerge from a digital Van Neumann or Turing computational substrate. Kurt Godel largely shot that down with his incompleteness theorem. also higher universal magnitudes cannot be “constructed” from lower ones, like some kind of Lego set. You have to be working with the higher magnitude‘s to begin with. they do not “emerge“ from complexity.
This leads them to believe in a cult-like fancy full of claims of how AI will reach some kind of singularity, talking about it like it’s some kind of second coming of Christ or something. These people are halfway off their rocker as evidenced by the idea that they could transplant their soul into a digital computer.
Russia is one of the few remaining powers that can kick this invasive species back into the hell from which it came. By supporting some form of accountability to the people, and to the principle of sovereignty for that purpose, maybe civilization has a second chance despite all the dogs since the west has entangled us into.