First, from the horse’s mouth:
then these other sources:
www.focus-fen.net/…
www.euractiv.com/…
euobserver.com/…
rt.com/business/…
Here is a useful graphic from RT article above:
First, from the horse’s mouth:
then these other sources:
www.focus-fen.net/…
www.euractiv.com/…
euobserver.com/…
rt.com/business/…
Here is a useful graphic from RT article above:
Dear Saker and Friends, please forgive me for being off topic. I wanted to let you know that the Quemado Institute website, formerly at quemadoinstitute.wordpress.com, has been suspended by WordPress without explanation. We had endeavored to present excellent and timely news on Novorossiya, and were struggling along with a very small following.
Please be aware that sites promoting the cause of Novorossiya may go down at any time. This is media suppression in full. Thank you.
A maidan color revolution is starting in Hungary:
http://redpilltimes.com/copy-paste-regime-change-us-eu-aggressively-funding-maidan-style-revolution-hungary/
There are two separate issues here: 1) Transit of gas through Ukraine **will** be cut off after the new Turkish pipeline is online. 2) Transit of gas **may** be reduced or cut off this winter if Ukraine is unable or unwilling to pay for its portion of gas it’s diverting for its own use:
Russia’s gas giant Gazprom said Wednesday that there was still a risk that Europe could have supplies of Russian gas piped via Ukraine cut this winter, AFP reported.
“The transit risks in Ukraine remain this winter, since Ukraine due to financial difficulties was not able to buy the necessary volume of Russian gas in November and December last year and significantly reduced its reserves of gas in underground storage,” Gazprom chief Alexei Miller was cited as saying in a statement after meeting the new European Commissioner for Energy Union, Maros Sefcovic.
I think people got confused with “will stop” and “stopped.”
Will stop – implies future, meaning gas will stop.
Stopped – implies now. Gas has stopped.
Putin is basically telling them the discussion is over, and as far as Russia is concerned this is a European problem.
The Gas Wars
That may happen if you teach the ex-communists to use the force of the “Free Market”. Funny video proving both that European politicians have an IQ around that of a Swiss cheese or less and that Satire is only good for insulting religious believes – the real politician is a better laugh.
Q
The NY Times has this, if you search for ‘Gazprom’.
Let us hope and pray, that this does not mean that in near future Turkey and Bulgaria will get their versions color revolutions and civil wars, made in USA.
From what Engdahl was saying, European gas needs will rise quite a bit in the future. At the same time, the Ukraine is not likely to last much longer. Should the country continue splitting, with more regions abandoning ship, the hostile part could end up being just some the nazi western regions. The rest either rejoining Russia, or becoming a country something like Belarus. This would mean the existing pipelines (outside the nazi regions) could be put back into use. With North Stream, the lines going through Belarus and Turkey, and the reuse of the old Ukrainian lines, Russia could keep up with European demand for the next 10-20 years, at least.
вот так
Good time for “terrorist to attack Turkey, or maybe more violent rioting. :?
Question: the Zero Hedge article on this yesterday reported that gas had already been cut off to 6 European nations (article link: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-01-14/russia-cuts-ukraine-gas-supply-6-european-countries ). Is this correct? If so, why would these nations (Quote from article: “Bulgaria, Greece, Macedonia, Romania, Croatia and Turkey all reported a halt in gas shipments from Russia through Ukraine”)be the first to have their gas supplies stopped? Are these the only nations receiving gas through/via Ukraine?
I would think the Russians would prefer to shut the gas off to say, Poland, who seems to be eager to encourage armed conflict in Donbass.
A unique opportunity for Greece
… as Russia tries to upgrade its geopolitical influence in the East Mediterranean
Russia is not only the biggest gas supplier in the world, it is the top pipeline constructor in the world.
This project to and through Turkey can happen fairly quickly.
If it needs bankrolling, China is always available for a piece of the action.
This is geopolitics at its finest art form. Putin isn’t wielding a oil and gas weapon. He is using a geopolitical stratagem.
This repositions several countries away from EU to Eurasia/Russia. It pulls Turkey and Greece into a new alignment. It will estrange the southern and southeastern EU nations from Brussels.
The northern EU nations and some Eastern EU nations (all vassals) have started the war in Ukraine and perpetuate the sanctions.
Putin just hit them with a subterranean vortex.
And as we all know: Putin never alters course once he moves.
EU will be paying double for gas from other sources. Their economies will be crippled by higher production costs for all their internally produced goods and services. All this while they live in cold buildings and learn to wash their clothes, their dogs and themselves in cold water.
Don’t poke the bear. They should print that on their funny money euros.
What happened was a clear statement of future intentions, which will take 2 – 3 years to accomplish. At the present time, gaz transit through Ukraine to SE europe is unchanged. However, the EU is expected to pay for Ukraine’s gaz forthwith. The zerohedge article with the old Daily Mail link was highly misleading. On zerohedge, the original article was been removed.
In other news, probably related, as this might be the opening shot of a ZPC/NWO “color revolution”, 4 Turkish magazines publicly “announce” their subservience to, or control by, the worldwide zionist media network:
Turkish PM Slams National Magazine for Prophet Muhammad Cartoons
http://sputniknews.com/middleeast/20150115/1016931451.html
“…On Wednesday, the Turkish daily Cumhuriyet reprinted from Charlie Hebdo several cartoons depicting the Prophet Muhammad “with the aim of criticizing the attack on a media corporation and showing solidarity,” the news agency reports.
Three more Turkish satirical magazines, Leman, Uykusuz and Penguen, also republished the cartoons as a “tribute to fallen colleagues in France,” according to Anadolu…”
And in the USA, the genocidal ziofascists are on steroids now:
Ads Equating Islam With Nazism Appear On Public Buses in San Francisco
http://sputniknews.com/us/20150115/1016933410.html
“As many as 50 San Francisco buses now feature controversial ads equating Islam with Nazism and showing an image of Adolf Hitler and Haj Amin al-Husseini, a 20th Century Palestinian Muslim leader who opposed Zionism, with the words, “Islamic Jew-Hatred: It’s In The Quran.”…
And the thoroughly hypocritical, zio-occupied, German regime attempts to cover up the murder of an Eritrean refugee:
Refugee Murder in German Anti-Islam Hotbed Sparks Tension
http://sputniknews.com/europe/20150115/1016925789.html
вот так
@ Quemado Institute director in the top post:
Your blog is one of the finest I have encountered while searching for truth on the net. I do encourage you to continue your work.
Please announce your new site when it is up.
Thinking and knowing are not the same.
Thinking an event is not what it is does not make it what one thinks it is.
Two killers killed 12 people. One killer killed 4 +1.
17 people were killed by 3 killers.
All killings were done by Islamic terrorists. They may be tools of others, others beyond the ISIS and AQ, but they acted according to their indoctrination and beliefs in Islamic terror.
Islamic terror has been a major feature of Islamic spread throughout the centuries of its existence.
It is not the only religion spread by the sword.
But it is the current one.
And it does pose itself as a civilization. It came to Russia to challenge the Russian civilization recently. It was crushed by Muslims who chose Russian civilization over Islamic terror’s civilization. (Chechnya).
There are growing signs in Xinjiang that the Muslims there are beginning the same resistance and are cooperating more with the counter-terror program of the Chinese government.
Muslims must defeat Islamic terror. In Nigeria, in Somalia, in Egypt, we see some signs of this nascent trend.
Obviously, the West is bankrolling, using, maybe even instigating Islamic terrorism. But what it is not doing is fighting Islamic terror. It is putting on the biggest sham war because the West is a war-loving machine of chaos and the sham serves their geopolitical and MIC goals of wealth-building and societal control.
The clash of civilization exists. The false flag exists. But it is not what you might think.
The clash is within Islam between the death-worshipping liver-eaters and the devout.
The false flag is that there is a war against terror. We know that war is an exhibition at most. It has no intention of every being fought to victory.
Only Russia and China are serious about extinguishing the terror threat.
All the micro-analysis of Paris is a waste of time if you don’t comprehend the big picture and see how the puzzle is constructed. Paris is a blip on the screen, a distraction.
Watch Syria. Syria has been for decades and is now more than ever, the lynchpin strategic goal.
Follow Erdogan. Turkey might move as Egypt has moved. Erdogan has cast his fate and the US will be working with his military for a coup. Erdogan must move to get FSB help to counter the American moves. He can no longer play both sides. His usefulness to the West is over.
These are the topics of study, not the debilitating minutia of Paris video and getaway screwups.
Erika said…
Saker,
Ponomarev did a presentation at a CSIS event in DC. I believe he is an opposition leader in Russia.
To see the actual presentation you can access it via the dropbox:
https://www.dropbox.com/s/0551tolqkvye8lf/150115%20CSIS%20-%20Russia%20and%20the%20new%20reality.pptx?dl=0
I think he is full of crap, unfortunately this is the type of guy Washington is listening to.
I sometimes feel like I am in Bizarro world, and I wonder how is it that people have blinders and others like me don’t have them.
Dear Saker: Slightly OT perhaps, but interesting headline today on my MSN browser: “A Desperate Putin Makes a Private Sector Power Grab”, from Bloomberg at
http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/a-desperate-putin-makes-a-private-sector-power-grab/ar-AA8cnL5?ocid=U146FDHP . Thought it pertained to the present/future gas curtailment. But instead it quotes Economic Development Minister Alexey Ulyukayev saying that cabinet ministers and vice premiers would rejoin the boards of directors former state-owned companies like Gazprom and Rosneft. Not self-evident to me why in itself this justifies the headline. (Dates way back in NEP times, where there were in effect industrial commissars.)
The article also quotes Mr. Ulyukayev saying Standard & Poor would likely downgrade Russian sovereign debt offerings to “junk” status in coming days. It also quotes Russian Finance minister Anton Siluanov warning that, with the country facing a loss of as much as $45 billion in revenue this year due to declining oil prices, the government is planning 10 percent across-the-board cuts in spending, targeting virtually everything except the military and some infrastructure projects, a doubling of the cuts that Putin warned Russians, just last month, they should expect in the coming year. The article notes Russia apparently plans to start withdrawing money from its $88 billion sovereign wealth fund as part of its continued effort to prop up the ruble.
All this is likely wishful thinking from the imperial MSM. But it’s interesting to note how Russia is being distorted by Bloomberg, a generally factual financial service. (Businessmen normally need to know what is really happening in order to plan accordingly, not what some editors would like to happen.)
However, what all the commentators have missed is one salient fact – if the pipeline was going to Germany, or another major European Union country, the outcome would almost certainly have been different.
It seems that there is one set of rules for Germany and France and another set of rules for others in the 28-member union. It’s a classic case of: “Do as I say, not as I do”. This time, though, the European giants may have managed to shoot themselves in the foot.
Link to article
Meanwhile, European Parliament Welcomes Scrapping of South Stream Pipeline
Zerohedge picked up an old Daily Mail article from 2009-01-07 that, for some reason, was reposted, but the rest of the sources seem to be accurate.
This seems so Russian. Like “Yeah, i just did that. You want some gas? Go build your damn pipeline you mofo.”
Its a stupid comment, ok.. But i had to write this
Putin: float like a butterfly, sting like a bee!
The only thing is that Turkey is a wicked country and very involved in the Syrian war, as well as guilty of supporting radical Islamists in the Balkans.
“quemadoinstitute.wordpress.com” it’s up, I doubt wordpress would shut you down, you can also always register an independent domain and put your blog up there (spam can be a big issue though, it was the reason why I stopped blogging).
@ Joy 01/15/17:46
The ZH article of 01/14/20:30(-5) is still there at this time.
So, nobody is about to “freeze in the dark”, or even get cold. Russia will continue to sell subsidize gas to Ukraine all winter at below market value, and continue to use Ukraine to supple south-east Europe for the foreseeable future.
This is not a *did* happen, but a *will* happen sometime in the future, years away, when a thousand mile long underwater pipeline has been built. Even then Russian will continue to supply Ukraine; it just won’t be dependent on them as a transit to south-east Europe.
In the meantime, announcements notwithstanding, it is business as usual.
Either it was a glitch or they managed to appeal it, they are back on line
https://quemadoinstitute.wordpress.com/
but certainly need a backup.
Regarding the gas transit policy announcement from Gazprom …
Yes, the actual differences in gas flows will only happen in the future (2-4 years); but what needs to be kept in mind is that the political effects will happen NOW (2 – 9 months). And there lies the dazzling brilliance of Putin’s strategy. A big victory now, and an even bigger victory in the future. ABSOLUTELY BRILLIANT!!
No, but the Eurocrats will have to adjust to the new reality pretty soon. It is also a way of showing to the EU stooges that anti Russia policies will have consequences.
The Turkish Stream is a much worse proposition for the EU than South Stream ever was. With it, Russia manages to completely dodge the Third Energy Package, and through the cooperation of Turkey, any alternative to Russian gas goes through the window. If Turkey opts for the Turkish Stream then the entire anti Russian policy in terms of natural gas supplies for Europe goes to the toilet. Any conceivable alternative to Russian gas for the EU will have to go through Turkey. LNG supplies from the US will cost far more, will require more than considerable time for the necessary infrastructure to be built, and cannot even be guaranteed for the long term.
As for Ukraine, they are not getting gas under the market price. Ukraine is paying more or less what the rest of Europe is paying. It is true that initially, Russia wanted to force the Ukies to pay considerably more than that. In any case, the price will rise from March onwards.
Crucially, once Turkish Stream is completed, then Ukraine’s role as a transit country will be history.
@23:07 — “…will only happen in the future (2-4 years); but what needs to be kept in mind is that the political effects will happen NOW (2 – 9 months)…”
Yes, very astute timing and use of psyops. Swiss central bank dropping cap on Euro 1-2 weeks b4 the ‘big print out’ QE starts has also upset the markets. Seat belt signs on and flashing.
War in SE Ukraine again (did it stop?); oil and copper down; fake employment stats (more jobs @ less hours and permanency etc).
Japan still QE printing madness and now ramping up military expenditure.
It is hard not to conclude that the little economic “Masters of the Universe” for their 1% over-lords are now at wits end.
Their ideology is failing (well, it always was) but now, more importantly, it is being seen to be failing.
The immediate present day psychological discount value of a future anticipated structural even is money in the bank!
StevenStarr said…
“Question: the Zero Hedge article on this yesterday reported that gas had already been cut off to 6 European nations (article link: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-01-14/russia-cuts-ukraine-gas-supply-6-european-countries ). Is this correct? If so, why would these nations (Quote from article: “Bulgaria, Greece, Macedonia, Romania, Croatia and Turkey all reported a halt in gas shipments from Russia through Ukraine”)be the first to have their gas supplies stopped? Are these the only nations receiving gas through/via Ukraine?
I would think the Russians would prefer to shut the gas off to say, Poland, who seems to be eager to encourage armed conflict in Donbass.”
The story isn’t correct.Zerohedge has gotten tricked.They are combining two stories.One by the Daily Mail about the gas cutoff.But it is a story from 2009 during the earlier Ukrainian gas stealing at that time (who at DM reposted it as new is a good question).And a current Bloomberg article on Russia’s “plans” to cut the gas through Ukraine once the Turkstream pipelines are complete.
Uncle Bob
It’s possible that the following means a serious realignment on Turkey’s part, but I doubt it:
“Tayyip Erdogan, of NATO-member Turkey did the unthinkable: accused the west, and French citizens in particular, of staging the Charlie Hebdo murder in order to blame Muslims, even as the mayor of Ankara said “Mossad is definitely behind such incidents . . . it is boosting enmity towards Islam.” –Zero Hedge on 1/14
We have no way of knowing whether this is just a performance for the home audience. Erdogan always pretends to be an enemy to Israel, but isn’t. Eg: The Achille Lauro killings aboard ship: 2 people were allowed aboard the relief ship at the request of the Turkish govt. It was they who fingered those to be killed. Erdogan pretended to be outraged at the Israeli killings, but had no difficulty “making up” in order to coordinate attacks on Syria with them. –Penelope
To anonymous 18:12 – The Quemado Institute site is back up. We appealed and WordPress reinstated it upon review. Thanks for asking.
Quemado Institute editor
It’s still not clear if the gas flow through Ukraine was stopped or not. It looks like it was just an warning that it will happen once the pipeline through Turkey is finalized (2-4 years from now).
Meanwhile, it’s interesting why Russia is not shifting some of the gas flow now from Ukraine pipeline to the nordstream pipeline (which is used at 50%).
Looks like people on this blog are cheering up for a non-event (or a messed-up article combining news from 2009 and now).
Meanwhile, the Central Bank of Russia has to sell dollars in order to buy rubles, while the FED can just print new dollars if needed. This again enforces the suspicion that CBR is under the control of international banking cartel and the BIS from Basel.