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Good news on the Syrian front, the SAA captured the town of “Morek” which is quite a large town of 14 000, it also, if I understand the situation correctly, lies right on the border with Idlb, so now the Syrian army has started to reach the Idlb borders.
“Post-Apocalyptic scenes of Syrian town Morek retaken from ISIS (EXCLUSIVE) ”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tFAYFL-Wyt8
Of course it does not go fast, but it goes farward, generally, one must remember that wahabists are fanatics that often will fight to the end, and even if they ammo runs out they will strap bombs on themselves and jump from roofs ontop secular soldiers.(This actually happens)
SAA recently freed Jisr Al-Shughour, a huge town of some 40-150 000 residents, also very strategically located. Things are really picking up speed at the Hama front.
https://syrianfreepress.wordpress.com/2015/10/29/jisr-al-shughour-freed/
I wish there was more noise about this, I just discovered this by misstake. This should be the main news in RT “Massive success for Syrian army against ameircan terrorists!”
Whoa! Huge news, the SAA liberated Jisr Al-Shughour, that is a big city with 40-150k residents! This must be the largest single gain by the secular forces so far.
“Syrian Army, Hezbollah Win Back Jisr Al-Shughour in Idlib”
http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.aspx?nn=13940805000645
On the otherside it looks bad in Aleppo now, ISIS counter-attacked on several places, cutting off the supply line, SAA needed to halt part of their offensive and redirect forces there to open the supply route again, but while they did this, ISIS launched a large scale offensive at the SAA stronghold of Al-Safira, which is even more crucial to the SAA suppy line.
There will be no confrontation, Murica is just there for parading&provoking purposes, and China is not going to anything about those annoying Murican mosquitoes there. She will ignore it, but will remember the trespass, as she should. And when the time comes, she will remind herself of the Western trespasses, subjugation and destruction of China in the 19th century. All great people have a long memory. :) Muricans will soon run with their the tail between their legs from the Far East.
I don’t think the chinese will be able to simply “ignore” it, because enough of their citizens will be so mad that the leaders will have to “do something”. But I also think it will take time to play out, i.e. if there are more such actions, the chinese will complain and warn loudly, and may start taking certain non-military actions, such as cancelling military meetings or conferences, up to recalling ambassador and kicking out the US ambasaddor. At that stage, any more incursions will lead to real conflicts. But we are not there yet…
They can do something, and that “something” is part of economic warfare. Remember, the pouspose of the islands is to be projection point of military power of PLAN, islands have no economic signiicance — they are just sentinels guarding South China Sea and watching the Straign of Malacca, and they are of economic and commercial importance, since shipping lanes there are the world’s busiest. You can’t allow your enemy to control your commercial vains, or have a leverage it can use against you should it choses (AngloMuricano Empire, the British Empire version 2.0, can threaten and blackmail China, and thus use the threats and blackmails as a tools to negotiate more favorable trade deals or put China in disadvantageous and unfavorable position). So, it doesn’t make sense to enforce the authority of your territorial waters, and I am not sure if uinternational law allows enforcement of territorial waters for man-made islands.
But if you insist that “something must be done,” then I would suggest putting some mines there and inviting Muricans to sail. Perhaps warning them, and the world, first about the mines, and making sure that their ship(s) get hit. That way you can say, “Look how stupid those arrogant Muricans are, sailing there even after we told them there are mines there.”
Hi Alan
Re:
because enough of their citizens will be so mad that the leaders will have to “do something”.
-and-
At that stage, any more incursions will lead to real conflicts.
Yeah like what?
—>China will do nothing militarily. They are not dominated by jingoist morons who think and behave like John McCain. They are not about get into a sea conflict with United States Navy while having 5 ASEAN states against them too. That would be walking right into a trap: both economically and militarily.
As for:
if there are more such actions, the chinese will complain and warn loudly, and may start taking certain non-military actions, such as cancelling military meetings or conferences, up to recalling ambassador and kicking out the US ambasaddor.
You seriously think that anyone will care about such a weak response? It will only make China look impotent.
This is what happens when people put lines in the sand that they can’t backup with military force. I hope President Xi uses this opportunity to purge the hotheaded idiots that put China in this disadvantaged situation.
The real way China can’t put the screws to the Western Bankster ruled Mafia is in the Bank: China should direct more funds into the BRICS bank and AIIB and start pulling capital out of the IMF/WB. Start accelerate both BRICS Bank & AIIB disbursements to build out infrastructure through out the BRICS and Eurasia. And… Accelerate local currency trade with the BRICS (ie RMB/Ruble, RMB/India Rupee, RMB/Rand, RMB/Real, and even with ASEAN countries). Then you’ll hear howling out of London & New York like there’s no tommorow.
Oh, forgot to add, in the meantime, China should focus on economic warfare, not military one. You know, she is great with that kind of warfare. Always go with your strength, with what you are good at — a great ancient thinker once said. :)
I am sure the Chinese will continue on the economic path and do their best to stay away from a fight. At the same time, it is very likely such provocations have just given the Chinese reasons for “militarizing” those islands, when Xi has just amonth a go said “we have no intend to militarize” those islands. !!!
This entire dispute around the Spratly Islands has been going on for decades between the various regional powers (e.g., Vietnam, China, Taiwan, Philippines, Malaysia, etc.). The real issue is the potential wealth of oil and natural gas deposits discovered in the SCS (South China Sea) akin to the gold rushes of the 19th century. Everybody is jumping in to grab what they can and China is no different.
I suspect a loud mouthed Chinese bureaucrat in hindsight, should have remained silent about the 12 mile territorial claim since it put the PLA in an embarrassing situation after the U.S. Department of War called their bluff. The PLA will want some sort of “satisfaction” that extends well beyond diplomacy and perhaps a ground presence in Syria would fulfill that objective.
China should quietly continue to improve the reef (and others) to the point where it becomes either a military base of operations like the U.S. has done with its territorial possessions or a platform for undersea oil and gas exploration. It’s all about the exploitation of natural resources and China wants its share like the other sovereign nations in the region.
The statement floated in the media that China may interfere with international commerce on the high seas is ridiculous and just an excuse for the U.S. to stick its nose into the fray. Here is a list of 10 territorial possessions claimed by the U.S. that are uninhabited and used as military research facilities or bases of operation: Bajo Nuevo Bank, Baker Island, Howland Island, Jarvis Island, Johnston Atoll, Kingman Reef, Navassa Island, Palmyra Atoll, Serranilla Bank and Wake Island.
Are the Chinese complaining about them? No, so why is the U.S. trying to instigate a confrontation in the SCS? How would the U.S. respond if China sailed a warship near those locations?
“How would the U.S. respond if China sailed a warship near those locations?”
Which is exactly what they should do.As well as China and Russia scheduling their next join Naval maneuvers for the Gulf of Mexico,in international waters.The message needs to be loud and clear,”two (or three) can play hardball anytime the US wants to”.
US “allies”? although still under US control a lot of Europe seems to be turning away from the US apart from the small east europe/ex Soviet states, many of which seem to have a strong neo-nazi element.
In the Middle East, US allies are shrinking to despots like Saudi, Quatar, Turkey.
In the SCS, US went alone in its “freedom of navigation” exercise. although Australian government mouthed the right words, we are doing live fire naval exercises with China rathe than joining US provocations.
Five eyes? It seems Xi just bought UK, and not much US support coming from that direction. Canada’s new government is solidly turning away from US warmongering. Abbott, and Harper, both crazies and both gone.
Japan – Militaristic Abe? Visits/pays respects at the Yasukuni Shrine yet allows US military bases in Japan? This seems a contradiction.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Controversies_surrounding_Yasukuni_Shrine
Yasukuni Shrine, a Japanese Shinto shrine to war dead who served the Emperor of Japan during wars from 1867–1951.
Peter,
Xi did not buy the UK, the UK Regime is one of the chief heads of the international parasite hydra: the BBC has resumed spreading vicious anti-Chinese propaganda the minute Xi got back on his plane. And the sight of seeing Xi bow before the Queen of England was sickening. The investments the UK has in China and vis-versa is a drop in the bucket (by orders of magnitude) compared to UK investments in the US, as well as UK/EU bilateral investment.
If you see the UK buck the US in certain areas it’s because of temporary disagreements the Cameron regime has with the Obama foreign policy in the Mid-East and Ukraine (the UK wants more intervention and Obama is trying to avoid intervention). The British sense disarray in the US ring machinery currently and are taking advantage as you’d expect from unprincipled opportunists (no honor among thieves).
However if you think that Canada, Australia or UK are delinked from the agenda of those that control the US, you’re dreaming.
@PokeTheTruth
Re:
I suspect a loud mouthed Chinese bureaucrat in hindsight, should have remained silent about the 12 mile territorial claim since it put the PLA in an embarrassing situation after the U.S. Department of War called their bluff.
You nailed it! Kudos to you.
See my response to Alan (Anon 12:46) regarding President Xi using this opportunity to purge the fools that conceived this bad strategy made this empty threat to the US. President Xi needs to be firmly in control so that some short-sighted militarists in China’s Security Complex can never again undermine his credibility as has happened in this event: China just lost face right in the center of ASEAN thanks to a bad move initiated by someone in China’s security complex.