On t haven’t learned anything. he anniversary of the first World War, with its irrational litany of disconnected triggers, entanglements and alliances which sucked the nations of what was understood to be the ‘civilized’ world, into the meat grinder of what was the most devastating war in the history of mankind..we are seeing the pattern repeated, the pieces fall into place, the global stage set for a rerun of what is again bound to be the most devastating war mankind has ever known. Because with 100 years of acquired knowledge, we
I’m not sure if this is the same “Scott” but in any case it appears to be a well researched detailed background into the complex situation.
“Armenian-Azeri tensions: Why they’re happening, and who benefits”
(Andrew Korybko, Oriental Review, Mon, 04 Apr 2016 — “Andrew Korybko is the American political commentator currently working for the Sputnik agency”)
“The Stratagem:
The author published an analytical research paper in June 2014 whereby he expounded upon the geostrategic concept of the “Reverse Brzezinski”, which is basically the return to the US’ 1980s Afghan-style strategy of engineering debilitating quagmires for Russia but which can also be applied against other Great Powers such as China. The American perspective is that certain geopolitical destabilization scenarios can be whipped up around the post-Soviet rim which could take a tempting conventional Russian military intervention to quell, although this in turn would actually be a predetermined trap set by the US in order to tie Russia down in a needless war which would then bleed it of its physical, material, economic, and strategic capital. The three most likely Reverse Brzezinski battlefields are Donbass, Nagorno-Karabakh, and the Fergana Valley, and it’s no surprise that all three of them have seen a pitched uptick in violence over the past week. Not counting the obvious and discussed-about situation surrounding Nagorno-Karabakh, the self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic warned last week that a significant deterioration was occurring along the Line of Contact with the Kievan forces, and Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan just pulled back from the brink of a border standoff that threatened to quickly grow into a larger conflict. These three examples of post-Soviet peripheral destabilizations and their near-simultaneous outbreak cannot be seen as incidental, but instead are part of what the author had initially forecasted almost two years ago about the US’ ultimate Reverse Brzezinski scenario against Russia.”
Summary:
Certainly, as described in links, one can see plausible complex scenarios being played out around “Russia’s Rim” but it is also likely these recent specific Armenian-Azeri tensions fill a more nuanced ‘Plan B’ agenda by the usual suspects.
Let’s just say that, over and above the irritation factor for Russia and Iran, it would not be surprising to see ‘announcements’ in the near future that Baku has accepted major ship building contracts with NATO et al which would, de facto, place US ‘controlled’ naval resources in the Caspian Sea — whence Russian navy missiles can be launched without challenge. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Caspian_Sea#/media/File:Caspianseamap.png
Of course, that does not rule out the mad ‘Sultan of Erdoganistan’ also rushing his Turkmen into battle to ‘free up’ Baku oil and gas now that his son’s Syrian-ISIS ‘pipeline-on-wheels’ is out of gas. This one must have even the strategic master, Putin, scratching his head!
On t haven’t learned anything. he anniversary of the first World War, with its irrational litany of disconnected triggers, entanglements and alliances which sucked the nations of what was understood to be the ‘civilized’ world, into the meat grinder of what was the most devastating war in the history of mankind..we are seeing the pattern repeated, the pieces fall into place, the global stage set for a rerun of what is again bound to be the most devastating war mankind has ever known. Because with 100 years of acquired knowledge, we
Yes, because the work of ww1 was not finished. Both the Sunnis & Catholics still stand. They will keep attacking us, until we subjugate them.
I’m not sure if this is the same “Scott” but in any case it appears to be a well researched detailed background into the complex situation.
“Armenian-Azeri tensions: Why they’re happening, and who benefits”
(Andrew Korybko, Oriental Review, Mon, 04 Apr 2016 — “Andrew Korybko is the American political commentator currently working for the Sputnik agency”)
“The Stratagem:
The author published an analytical research paper in June 2014 whereby he expounded upon the geostrategic concept of the “Reverse Brzezinski”, which is basically the return to the US’ 1980s Afghan-style strategy of engineering debilitating quagmires for Russia but which can also be applied against other Great Powers such as China. The American perspective is that certain geopolitical destabilization scenarios can be whipped up around the post-Soviet rim which could take a tempting conventional Russian military intervention to quell, although this in turn would actually be a predetermined trap set by the US in order to tie Russia down in a needless war which would then bleed it of its physical, material, economic, and strategic capital. The three most likely Reverse Brzezinski battlefields are Donbass, Nagorno-Karabakh, and the Fergana Valley, and it’s no surprise that all three of them have seen a pitched uptick in violence over the past week. Not counting the obvious and discussed-about situation surrounding Nagorno-Karabakh, the self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic warned last week that a significant deterioration was occurring along the Line of Contact with the Kievan forces, and Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan just pulled back from the brink of a border standoff that threatened to quickly grow into a larger conflict. These three examples of post-Soviet peripheral destabilizations and their near-simultaneous outbreak cannot be seen as incidental, but instead are part of what the author had initially forecasted almost two years ago about the US’ ultimate Reverse Brzezinski scenario against Russia.”
http://www.sott.net/article/315889-Armenian-Azeri-tensions-Why-they-re-happening-and-who-benefits
I note another background link on the Fergana Valley.
https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/central-asia-complexities-fergana-valley
Summary:
Certainly, as described in links, one can see plausible complex scenarios being played out around “Russia’s Rim” but it is also likely these recent specific Armenian-Azeri tensions fill a more nuanced ‘Plan B’ agenda by the usual suspects.
Let’s just say that, over and above the irritation factor for Russia and Iran, it would not be surprising to see ‘announcements’ in the near future that Baku has accepted major ship building contracts with NATO et al which would, de facto, place US ‘controlled’ naval resources in the Caspian Sea — whence Russian navy missiles can be launched without challenge.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Caspian_Sea#/media/File:Caspianseamap.png
Of course, that does not rule out the mad ‘Sultan of Erdoganistan’ also rushing his Turkmen into battle to ‘free up’ Baku oil and gas now that his son’s Syrian-ISIS ‘pipeline-on-wheels’ is out of gas. This one must have even the strategic master, Putin, scratching his head!
Another perspective given here:
Al-Masdar Podcast 11- Kaylar Michaelian discusses Nagorno-Karabakh http://bit.ly/1qw5owG