Mm… Yes usa has kinda understood that their tool isis wont be able to overtake Syria.
So now they are pushing the kurds even more to make dents in Syria, and pushing them also against the Syrian gov.
So this can turn bloody and bad very quickly.
And it would be hard for Assad to suddenly work with the Turks.
Because Tirks will be pushing the isis.
So while the sunni blocks (turkey, saudi, qatar) is pushing isis, the kurds will take even more land in that desertfog. Claiming vital and oilareas etc.
While usa plays goodygoodshoes with the kurds.
Knowing that the usa will get many benefits from the kurds (like in iraq where americans got big contracts/benefits dorectly from the kurdish selfdeclared areas in iraq).
The kurds know how to fight and secure lands they conquer.
So it could get chaotic. But usa will use the kurds to destabilize Assad.
all due to weakness shown by russia in not warning anglo empire of anloamericans that any step towards syria would mean missiles falling on london and washington dc
but russian f m lavrov was so eager even to call for ceasefire in middle of winnable war that he was rewady to sacrifice russian acheivemnt and more than that syrian arab army achievemnt in the battlefield
. still there are people who do nto denounce that treaitor lavrov who is at msot ineffective in giving any fruitful result to russia and at worst is outright a traitor working such that anglo enemis get benefit.
I suspect there is much more to this than meets the eye immediately. The US military forces are spread pretty thin worldwide and have been for an extended time- years. Every extra deployment spreads them further. Ever increasing count of injuries and fatalities of US military personnel (which are now likely to occur in Syria as well) have already started generating concern and a slow growing opposition within the USA. Both Trump and Sanders are benefiting from this. The unease and even open opposition of the US civil population to yet more military adventures is gaining momentum… Remember how it was when Ron Paul first raised this topic and got people thinking about it. He was shouted down. His message was belittled in the media. Now there are many, many US people who are opposed to, as President Washington characterised it, “foreign entanglements”.
Then there is the wee matter of who the Kurdish leaderships (plural) trust and what they are going to want to do in the medium and longer term. Who would they likely turn to? Which is the near super-power?
The world economy is tanking. No question about that one. There is a multi-polar world a-coming and that includes in currency. Who can afford unending war after the new arrangements come into being? Nobody.
Meanwhile it does appear that Russia is keeping its powder dry. A short deployment in Syria demonstrated not only the effectiveness of aspects of the Russian military (they have not at all revealed all their abilities- far from it). It also demonstrated that Russian military is integrated with its diplomacy. That certainly can’t be said of all others. There was starkly revealed a certain lack of effectiveness on the part of certain, shall we say “partner”, military groups which in teyir actions did not live up to stated intention. Then there is the matter of who it is that has been utterly consistent in stating principle and then living up to stated principle. I think that Uncle Bob 1 got this one right a while back in his description of the approach Putin has been and is taking.
It is important to remember that we here on this forum are not anywhere near as well informed as are Putin, Lavarov, Shoigu et al.
He’s looking at the broader field… Stormy horizons…
Syria, deadly important, but only one theatre of the global bloody arena…
There’s an obvious correlation and plausible agency in the claim that as the western economic and financial/economic freak show approaches catastrophic conditions and the derivative social problems attendant to such catastrophe threaten the security of the ruling class there is a natural reduction in the number of options available to them by which they can maintain their power. The more desperate the moment, the more desperate the tactic.
This, by the way, creates the condition wherein there can be no deliberate strategy – as the field is tactic-driven. There remains a natural strategy defined by Mackinder long ago. In their delirium (the rulling class is barking nuts, (PCR notes this)) The difficulty with a natural strategy is that it is public – everybody knows the strategy. It is therefore easy to defeat.
Therefore the war, W3, begun, arguably at Kiev with the nazicoup, is going to provide the only, and thus the “best”, means by which our ruling class can keep power and discipline. Alas, however, this means the war will increase in intensity, and probably rather quickly.
“””””In my opinion, those who are pushing privatization are either traitors or completely stupid. Whichever it is, they are a danger to Russia’s independence.
Eric Draitser provides some details of Washington’s assault on Russia:
Ironically Putin himself spoke out for a “controlled” privatization of key core industries during his TV talks this month. When asked he said something like
“”””””well, that’s nothing new. It was listed as official goal during the previous Presidential Elections.”””””
President Putin was correct to do this. He is trying to avoid the socialist calculation problem. I’d say he knows what he is doing. He’d be seeking partners (real ones) for key industry. That is to build them up further. Who knows who he has in mind as his targets? It could be Chinese! Whoever is selected in each case, they are going to see the opportunity to join in building the Mackinder world island (a.k.a. The New Silk Road). They’ll be chosen carefully- not just because they have money or resource or expertise alone. They’ll be chosen for intent.
Siotu
If you assumption is also correct regarding the New Silk Road,in that case,Russia and China have to get some heavy-weight European countries on their said.This is not an easy task,just recently Obama made a tour in Europe and had a G-5 meeting with Italy,Britain,France,Germany prime ministers,promoting a much closer relationship with USA.The US will not let those countries to fly out in others hands.So,the pressure will continue on many levels.On how could Putin be so optimistic I simply don’t know,he may know something which we not.On this one we can argue pro and contra till late night.The question is who will have the upper hand in the time-buying.
I don’t think there are any heavy-weight countries in Europe except the local super-power one (and that is Russia). Politically the rest are really ants. There is an old saying that when the elephants dance the ants get squashed- at least the ones that don’t stay out of the way do. The heavy-weights in this dance are USA, Russia, China and potentially India.
For the present, the European establishment takes its orders from Washington and it remains so obedient. Nevertheless Europeans will eventually realise a move towards greater and greater engagement with Russia is beneficial. They will have no choice but to act independently of USA and UK in the end. That is, assuming the people of Europe want to continue with being European, expressing European culture, and not living in a backward quasi-Third World, post-European, civilisational outpost.
Of course, the Euro establishment don’t care much. They’ll get to live in guarded compounds and exclusive enclaves and remain well separated from common “mundanes”. In reality, this separatism would be a rotten life-style, they just don’t realise it….. yet.
China and Russia do not require Europe. It’s the ideal if Europe becomes a fully engaged component of a Mckinder World Island, but this is not utterly necessary in the short run. The longer Europe stays isolated from the World Island the weaker it will be when it finally does have to join in. In the situation of a very late joining, then Europe is mere appendix; lands to the West where it is convenient to run transport infrastructure to supply hungry markets, not because those areas are vital or central to the wealth generating capabilities and productivity of the economies of the key members of the World Island. The risk is that it may end up being the case that the residents of Europe will require visas to travel into the central & eastern portions of the World Island, not to be allowed to traverse into certain regions freely as they would have been had their political leadership joined early. This is the classic case where the terms of the deal get worse as time goes on.
Take for example, German industry. No doubt about its technical excellence, but ask this, can Russia and China match it or better it? The answer is that they can given intelligent and motivated people, adequate capital, time, developed experience and sound markets. All that, potentially available presently, ready for development. It just needs intent and application. The policies to promote it are easily set in place.
Consider this. What would occur were Russia to give up on Europe and stop supplying energy? For a start German industry ceases to operate. By the time the first winter sets in droves of Europeans are migrating southwards to the warmer climes. Talk about internal refugees! This would be most destabilising politically, economically and productively. It would be a terrible mess with much suffering. It would take time (years) to build alternative supply infrastructure for energy. By that point it would be necessary to rebuild industrial capacity, which would be difficult as technology would have moved on. Further, the experienced key personnel, the holders of “corporate memory” and all the myriads of people possessing specialised knowledge and experience with all those powerful yet invisible relationships between them, all disrupted, dislocated and gone elsewhere. Many important people and key factors to reactivate, yet already moved to brighter pastures (including to the East). How to get them all back……? Remember, the longer the dislocation, the more difficult to put everything back together again.
Now this is analogous to what happens if Europeans wait too long to engage. They get left behind…
Meanwhile, the economic situation for the West grows more and more desperate. There is going to be a reset. Russia can afford to be cautious and take great careful reacting to circumstances. Europe has little time and the USA is on the wrong course presently.
“Moscow with great concern the deterioration of the situation in the talks on Syria in Geneva, the spokesman for the Russian president, Dmitry Peskov. “Russia has been consistently doing everything in its power in order to contribute to the development and maintenance of the negotiation process in Damascus and not allow derail the process. However, we are still a great concern ascertain the degradation of the situation in the negotiations “, – said Peskov.
British Prime Minister David Cameron, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, US and French presidents Barack Obama and Francois Hollande and Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi called on all parties to the conflict in Syria to respect the truce and to negotiate for peace, also agreed that the fight against IG will continue .
The leaders of Germany, USA, UK, France and Italy, consider a truce in Syria fragile and note the need for a political solution to the conflict, said German Chancellor Angela Merkel after the summit. “In Syria, we shared the view that we are very concerned that the ceasefire is fragile and, therefore, dramatically partially broken, and that the solution must lie in the political negotiations in Geneva, in order for us to come to a political solution,” – she said.
In order to achieve agreement on the new Constitution of Syria in the six-month period, it is necessary that the opposition was not trying to “slam the door” blackmailing participants breakdown of the talks, said Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. “The six-month period the Security Council on the proposal of the international support of Syria group was designated as a landmark. We would all like to see the process took less time to earlier than six months and there was a new constitution that could be approved in a referendum. To make progress in the talks on Syria, do not slam the door and does not strike a pose “, – Lavrov said.
Also the head of the Russian Foreign Ministry said that the US proposed the idea of the division of zones of influence in Syria will not help in solving the fundamental problem of the international community in the country.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and US Secretary of State John Kerry discussed by telephone the observance of the ceasefire in Syria. They also agreed to continue cooperation in the framework of the International Group of Syria’s support. “The foreign ministers continued their consideration of the interaction of Russia and the United States of ways in order to maintain and consolidate the ceasefire in Syria, to ensure its humanitarian aid to the population and launch a sustainable political settlement process”, – the report says the Russian Foreign Ministry.
During the meeting, Lavrov said the need for early “withdrawal of the moderate opposition forces from the territories controlled by terrorist groups.” The Russian minister also said that should be as soon as possible to cut off the channels “reinforcements extremists.”
Special envoy on Syria UN Secretary General, Staffan de Mistura, may soon present options for a political transition in Syria, drawn up in consultation with the parties to the negotiations. This was stated by a source close to the talks, according to TASS.
The head of delegation in Damascus, Bashar Jaafari said that gave the UN Secretary General’s special envoy for Syria Staffan de Mistura constitutional amendments to its proposals: “Today we have passed constitutional amendments to the document, which gave us de Mistura. We expect that these amendments will be an integral part of this document. The exchange of views was very busy. ”
Terrorists groups Jaish al-Islam and Ahrar al-Sham attacked Damascus and Aleppo. The escalation of violence in Syria can be seen as a political subtext, certain permanent representative to the UN CAP Bashar Jaafari: “After the statements of the CPSU before his departure from Geneva intensified attacks on Aleppo and Damascus … The escalation of violence in Syria has political overtones. Damascus appealed to the UN Security Council for support in the fight against terrorism in relation to the current escalation. ” He said that for the terrorist attack in Damascus is Jaish al-Islam, for the rocket attacks Aleppo – Ahrar al-Sham. Dzhaafri noted that he discussed during his meeting with de Mistura, the escalation of terrorist activity “threat posed by a number of representatives of the Saudi delegation (WCP), who have been here in Geneva before they were upset and left it transformed on the ground attack with missiles in Aleppo and undermining car bomber who killed the innocent in Sayyid Zeinab in Damascus. ” According to him, “the purpose of the statements made by (WCP) in Geneva, was the failure of the current mezhsiriyskih negotiations and strengthening of the external interference in the negotiations.” Jaafari said that before his departure from Geneva of the CPSU made a “very clear statement: the undermining of the armistice regime and an end to violence, an attack on the army of the Syrian Arab Republic and the cities of the shelling.”
The number of settlements that have joined the reconciliation process has increased to 72. The number of illegal armed groups that have declared their commitment to the terms of the cessation of hostilities has increased to 52.
the cessation of hostilities was observed in most provinces of the SAR. During the day, recorded 9 violations (in the provinces of Damascus and Latakia – 4, in Aleppo province – 1). For days previously recorded 13 of ceasefire violations (in the provinces of Damascus – 5, Latakia – 3, Homs and Aleppo – 2, Ham – 1).
Russian VKS by opposition armed groups, have declared a cessation of hostilities and to report to the Russian or American centers reconciliation information about their location, strikes are not applied.
In connection with the intensification of armed groups has increased significantly the number of sorties videoconferencing RF.
The United States will send 250 troops to Syria. The composition of the contingent will include representatives of various types of troops, from the special forces, ending with doctors and specialists in logistics. It is expected that the military will provide advice to the Kurdish militia troops in the fight against the IG, but not to take a direct part in hostilities. military experts will also carry out the recruitment of Sunnis, who will have to join the Kurdish troops.
Pentagon spokesman Peter Cook declined to comment on the possibility of appeal to the Russian military, to ensure the safety of American troops in Syria. “We have identified the geographical area in which we asked the Russian not to strike. I will not discuss what conversations will be conducted in the future. We will take additional steps to ensure the safety of our military and limit the risks that they face. But I will not say on specific conversations with Russian, which we will have in the future or have been in the past “, – said Cook.
The establishment of the Syrian free zones flight is almost impossible without ground troops, President Barack Obama said. “The practical question is who will monitor these areas, where to take the necessary ground troops Unfortunately, from a practical point of view it is very difficult to implement.” – Obama said at a joint press conference with German Chancellor Angela Merkel.
Sending troops to Syria to overthrow Assad – would be a mistake of the West, he said in an interview with the BBC, Obama: “For the US, the UK or the association of the West direction of the ground forces and the overthrow of the Assad regime would be a mistake.” Obama also made it clear that does not count on the fact that the international coalition led by the United States, will be able to completely crush the IG for the nine months that it remains to finalize the president. Despite this, the head of the White House stressed that the coalition will continue to “expose the impacts IG targets in places like Raqqa” and will try to isolate the parts of Syria, from where militants are sent to Europe. At the same time Obama has called the current situation unfolding in Syria, “the heartbreaking situation of incredible complexity.” “I do not think there are any easy ways to solve it. One only a military solution and, of course, the placement of our ground forces are not able to solve long-term problems in Syria “, – concluded the president of the USA.
Washington offered Moscow its version of “resolution of the Syrian conflict.” According to Washington, the conflict can be settled if Syria divided into so-called security zone or “monitoring zone”. In each of these areas or Russian representatives of the American coalition will have to engage in monitoring the implementation of the ceasefire. The proposal was made by US Secretary of State John Kerry. The Russian Foreign Ministry said that such issues should be discussed with the military, specifying whether those to conduct monitoring of the ceasefire in Syria, the delimitation to some areas in need. In addition, the Russian Foreign Ministry said that the Geneva working group on the settlement of the Syrian conflict, where the ceasefire monitoring are discussed not in the form of abstract ideas and concrete.
The American idea of separation of Syria on some “security zone” has supported German Chancellor Angela Merkel: “Now continue peace talks on Syria. It involves many aspects, complicated negotiations. In Syria, should be areas where guns were silent, and safety would be ensured. We will try to fight for, so that the citizens of Syria, including near the border with Turkey, was this security. ”
Syria intends to attract financial support from partners, including the Russian Federation, including in the form of soft loans for projects in the agricultural sector, the energy sector, he said in an interview with RIA Novosti, Prime Minister of Syria Wael al-Khalq. Damascus also offers companies from the Russian Federation to participate in the construction and modernization of oil refineries (refinery) in Syria, said Wael al-Khalq. “At the Ministry of Oil and Natural Resources has strategic projects in the energy sector, in particular in the field of exploration of oil and gas on land and offshore suggest partnership on them to companies of friendly countries, at their head -. Russian.” In particular, he said, “investing in projects on the use of excess refining capacity in the oil refinery in Homs and Baniyas, joining as a partner in the construction of a joint refinery” Ferkalas “(Russia-Iran-Venezuela), modernization of refineries Baniyas”.
Wael al-Khaliq said that Syria and Russia signed an agreement on the restoration of infrastructure. The total volume of investments amounted sounded € 850 million. The main task will be to restore power grid and oil industry of the country. Syria and “Inter RAO” complete consultation for a final decision on financing the construction of power plant “Tishrin-3”, as Prime Minister of Syria, Wael al-Khalq. “There was a meeting of the series and meetings between technical experts from the energy of Syria sector with the Russian company” Inter RAO “. The Russian side were handed the answers to some of their requests. Fit the end of the technical advice in order to make a final decision on the issue of funding, which would satisfy both sides, “- he said. According to the Syrian prime minister, “the Syrian government, despite the crisis, has retained acceptable lasing power, but there is a need for fuel.”
Also, Syria is ready to become a center for the promotion of Russian products on the markets of Middle East, said the Syrian Prime Minister Wael al-Khalq: “We would like Syria to be considered, not only within its geographical boundaries or its relatively limited economic market, but as a center for the expansion and promotion of the companies and industrial products in the entire Middle East region. Syria has geographical advantages, making it capable of becoming a developed commercial and industrial center for the Russian companies to the Middle East markets. ”
Syria in the first quarter of 2016 Russia exported goods more than for the entire previous year, said Wael al-Khalq. According to him, this indicates the beginning of the restoration of the balance of trade between the two countries. Wael al-Khalq said that, given the crisis in Syria “are important not figure turnover, and quality products and consistent flow of goods between the Syrian and Russian markets.”
Also, Russia and Syria are considering the possibility of creating a joint bank. “Russian-Syrian Business Council has expressed a desire to open a joint Russian-Syrian bank with equity participation of 50 per cent of each of the parties”, – said the prime minister.
Syria sees an opportunity for the resumption of dialogue on cooperation with OJSC “AvtoVAZ” and its release on the market of the country, said Wael al-Khalq.
In the Turkish city of Kilis, situated near the border with Syria, exploded two more missiles, leaving 13 people injured, no fatalities.
Turkish Deputy Prime Minister Numan Kurtulmush, said that Ankara will take further military measures in response to rocket fire from the territory of the Syrian border town of Kilis.
For participation in the recruitment of the ranks of the terrorist organization al-Nusra Dzhebhat convicted resident of Perm, Russian citizen Gayratzhon Tazhibayev.
Head and organizer of the Indian cell of the terrorist organization killed IG US air strike in Syria. Late helped organize a branch of the IG in India. It is known that he is attracted to participate in the group, at least 30 people in the states of Maharashtra, Karnataka, Jammu and Kashmir, Madhya Pradesh and Kerala.”
google translate
remainder covers specific localities
GENEVA, April 25. /TASS/. United Nations Secretary General’s Special Envoy for Syria Staffan de Mistura may soon present his vision of political transition in Syria based on his consultations with participants in the current round of intra-Syrian talks, a source close to the talks told TASS on Monday.
It may probably take place not at the end of the round, like it was done after the previous round [when de Mistura presented an unofficial document with 12 principles of political settlement in Syria – TASS] but in a break during the round, the source said. “But it is planned,” he added.
The United Nations envoy plans to officially sum up the results of the current round of talks on April 27. On the final day of the previous round, de Mistura presented an unofficial document containing basic principles of political settlement in Syria. It was not a document agreed by the parties to the talks but was drawn on the basis of de Mistura’s meeting with them.
bit more
Answering a question on whether it is hard to identify groups that signed the ceasefire agreement but in reality are under the influence of terrorists, Masaad said: “In theory, it is hard, but from the practical point of view, on the ground, the warring parties should observe the ceasefire regime, disassociate themselves from iS and Jebhat al-Nusra and start fighting against them. This can be accomplished, and this is being done. I think that both Russians and Americans are working on this in Syria, “he noted.
Lavrov said on Monday that “we are currently collecting information that Jebhat al-Nusra subjugates groups that seemed to have declared truce and readiness to join ceasefire” adding that “we will summarize facts and present them to UN Security Council to adjust terrorist lists.” .
Mm… Yes usa has kinda understood that their tool isis wont be able to overtake Syria.
So now they are pushing the kurds even more to make dents in Syria, and pushing them also against the Syrian gov.
So this can turn bloody and bad very quickly.
And it would be hard for Assad to suddenly work with the Turks.
Because Tirks will be pushing the isis.
So while the sunni blocks (turkey, saudi, qatar) is pushing isis, the kurds will take even more land in that desertfog. Claiming vital and oilareas etc.
While usa plays goodygoodshoes with the kurds.
Knowing that the usa will get many benefits from the kurds (like in iraq where americans got big contracts/benefits dorectly from the kurdish selfdeclared areas in iraq).
The kurds know how to fight and secure lands they conquer.
So it could get chaotic. But usa will use the kurds to destabilize Assad.
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all due to weakness shown by russia in not warning anglo empire of anloamericans that any step towards syria would mean missiles falling on london and washington dc
but russian f m lavrov was so eager even to call for ceasefire in middle of winnable war that he was rewady to sacrifice russian acheivemnt and more than that syrian arab army achievemnt in the battlefield
. still there are people who do nto denounce that treaitor lavrov who is at msot ineffective in giving any fruitful result to russia and at worst is outright a traitor working such that anglo enemis get benefit.
I always trusted Lavrow and liked his style.
But facts results – well. I don’t know anything anymore.
For The First Time US Deploys Two F-22 Raptors Close To Russia To “Deter Aggression”
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-04-25/first-time-us-deploys-two-f-22-raptors-close-russia-deter-aggression
Martin
I suspect there is much more to this than meets the eye immediately. The US military forces are spread pretty thin worldwide and have been for an extended time- years. Every extra deployment spreads them further. Ever increasing count of injuries and fatalities of US military personnel (which are now likely to occur in Syria as well) have already started generating concern and a slow growing opposition within the USA. Both Trump and Sanders are benefiting from this. The unease and even open opposition of the US civil population to yet more military adventures is gaining momentum… Remember how it was when Ron Paul first raised this topic and got people thinking about it. He was shouted down. His message was belittled in the media. Now there are many, many US people who are opposed to, as President Washington characterised it, “foreign entanglements”.
Then there is the wee matter of who the Kurdish leaderships (plural) trust and what they are going to want to do in the medium and longer term. Who would they likely turn to? Which is the near super-power?
The world economy is tanking. No question about that one. There is a multi-polar world a-coming and that includes in currency. Who can afford unending war after the new arrangements come into being? Nobody.
Meanwhile it does appear that Russia is keeping its powder dry. A short deployment in Syria demonstrated not only the effectiveness of aspects of the Russian military (they have not at all revealed all their abilities- far from it). It also demonstrated that Russian military is integrated with its diplomacy. That certainly can’t be said of all others. There was starkly revealed a certain lack of effectiveness on the part of certain, shall we say “partner”, military groups which in teyir actions did not live up to stated intention. Then there is the matter of who it is that has been utterly consistent in stating principle and then living up to stated principle. I think that Uncle Bob 1 got this one right a while back in his description of the approach Putin has been and is taking.
It is important to remember that we here on this forum are not anywhere near as well informed as are Putin, Lavarov, Shoigu et al.
Well, at least time reveals all. Wait and see.
Siotu
A complimentary set of ideas – pretty dark ones too….
http://www.globalresearch.ca/world-war-iii-has-begun/5521720
He’s looking at the broader field… Stormy horizons…
Syria, deadly important, but only one theatre of the global bloody arena…
There’s an obvious correlation and plausible agency in the claim that as the western economic and financial/economic freak show approaches catastrophic conditions and the derivative social problems attendant to such catastrophe threaten the security of the ruling class there is a natural reduction in the number of options available to them by which they can maintain their power. The more desperate the moment, the more desperate the tactic.
This, by the way, creates the condition wherein there can be no deliberate strategy – as the field is tactic-driven. There remains a natural strategy defined by Mackinder long ago. In their delirium (the rulling class is barking nuts, (PCR notes this)) The difficulty with a natural strategy is that it is public – everybody knows the strategy. It is therefore easy to defeat.
Therefore the war, W3, begun, arguably at Kiev with the nazicoup, is going to provide the only, and thus the “best”, means by which our ruling class can keep power and discipline. Alas, however, this means the war will increase in intensity, and probably rather quickly.
“””””In my opinion, those who are pushing privatization are either traitors or completely stupid. Whichever it is, they are a danger to Russia’s independence.
Eric Draitser provides some details of Washington’s assault on Russia:
http://www.mintpressnews.com/brics-attack-western-banks-government“””””
Ironically Putin himself spoke out for a “controlled” privatization of key core industries during his TV talks this month. When asked he said something like
“”””””well, that’s nothing new. It was listed as official goal during the previous Presidential Elections.”””””
So, that disappointed me.
Martin
President Putin was correct to do this. He is trying to avoid the socialist calculation problem. I’d say he knows what he is doing. He’d be seeking partners (real ones) for key industry. That is to build them up further. Who knows who he has in mind as his targets? It could be Chinese! Whoever is selected in each case, they are going to see the opportunity to join in building the Mackinder world island (a.k.a. The New Silk Road). They’ll be chosen carefully- not just because they have money or resource or expertise alone. They’ll be chosen for intent.
Siotu
Siotu
If you assumption is also correct regarding the New Silk Road,in that case,Russia and China have to get some heavy-weight European countries on their said.This is not an easy task,just recently Obama made a tour in Europe and had a G-5 meeting with Italy,Britain,France,Germany prime ministers,promoting a much closer relationship with USA.The US will not let those countries to fly out in others hands.So,the pressure will continue on many levels.On how could Putin be so optimistic I simply don’t know,he may know something which we not.On this one we can argue pro and contra till late night.The question is who will have the upper hand in the time-buying.
Ioan
I don’t think there are any heavy-weight countries in Europe except the local super-power one (and that is Russia). Politically the rest are really ants. There is an old saying that when the elephants dance the ants get squashed- at least the ones that don’t stay out of the way do. The heavy-weights in this dance are USA, Russia, China and potentially India.
For the present, the European establishment takes its orders from Washington and it remains so obedient. Nevertheless Europeans will eventually realise a move towards greater and greater engagement with Russia is beneficial. They will have no choice but to act independently of USA and UK in the end. That is, assuming the people of Europe want to continue with being European, expressing European culture, and not living in a backward quasi-Third World, post-European, civilisational outpost.
Of course, the Euro establishment don’t care much. They’ll get to live in guarded compounds and exclusive enclaves and remain well separated from common “mundanes”. In reality, this separatism would be a rotten life-style, they just don’t realise it….. yet.
China and Russia do not require Europe. It’s the ideal if Europe becomes a fully engaged component of a Mckinder World Island, but this is not utterly necessary in the short run. The longer Europe stays isolated from the World Island the weaker it will be when it finally does have to join in. In the situation of a very late joining, then Europe is mere appendix; lands to the West where it is convenient to run transport infrastructure to supply hungry markets, not because those areas are vital or central to the wealth generating capabilities and productivity of the economies of the key members of the World Island. The risk is that it may end up being the case that the residents of Europe will require visas to travel into the central & eastern portions of the World Island, not to be allowed to traverse into certain regions freely as they would have been had their political leadership joined early. This is the classic case where the terms of the deal get worse as time goes on.
Take for example, German industry. No doubt about its technical excellence, but ask this, can Russia and China match it or better it? The answer is that they can given intelligent and motivated people, adequate capital, time, developed experience and sound markets. All that, potentially available presently, ready for development. It just needs intent and application. The policies to promote it are easily set in place.
Consider this. What would occur were Russia to give up on Europe and stop supplying energy? For a start German industry ceases to operate. By the time the first winter sets in droves of Europeans are migrating southwards to the warmer climes. Talk about internal refugees! This would be most destabilising politically, economically and productively. It would be a terrible mess with much suffering. It would take time (years) to build alternative supply infrastructure for energy. By that point it would be necessary to rebuild industrial capacity, which would be difficult as technology would have moved on. Further, the experienced key personnel, the holders of “corporate memory” and all the myriads of people possessing specialised knowledge and experience with all those powerful yet invisible relationships between them, all disrupted, dislocated and gone elsewhere. Many important people and key factors to reactivate, yet already moved to brighter pastures (including to the East). How to get them all back……? Remember, the longer the dislocation, the more difficult to put everything back together again.
Now this is analogous to what happens if Europeans wait too long to engage. They get left behind…
Meanwhile, the economic situation for the West grows more and more desperate. There is going to be a reset. Russia can afford to be cautious and take great careful reacting to circumstances. Europe has little time and the USA is on the wrong course presently.
Siotu
Obama Requests EU Support for Possible War Against Russia
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the general summary of the usual extensive report
“Moscow with great concern the deterioration of the situation in the talks on Syria in Geneva, the spokesman for the Russian president, Dmitry Peskov. “Russia has been consistently doing everything in its power in order to contribute to the development and maintenance of the negotiation process in Damascus and not allow derail the process. However, we are still a great concern ascertain the degradation of the situation in the negotiations “, – said Peskov.
British Prime Minister David Cameron, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, US and French presidents Barack Obama and Francois Hollande and Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi called on all parties to the conflict in Syria to respect the truce and to negotiate for peace, also agreed that the fight against IG will continue .
The leaders of Germany, USA, UK, France and Italy, consider a truce in Syria fragile and note the need for a political solution to the conflict, said German Chancellor Angela Merkel after the summit. “In Syria, we shared the view that we are very concerned that the ceasefire is fragile and, therefore, dramatically partially broken, and that the solution must lie in the political negotiations in Geneva, in order for us to come to a political solution,” – she said.
In order to achieve agreement on the new Constitution of Syria in the six-month period, it is necessary that the opposition was not trying to “slam the door” blackmailing participants breakdown of the talks, said Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. “The six-month period the Security Council on the proposal of the international support of Syria group was designated as a landmark. We would all like to see the process took less time to earlier than six months and there was a new constitution that could be approved in a referendum. To make progress in the talks on Syria, do not slam the door and does not strike a pose “, – Lavrov said.
Also the head of the Russian Foreign Ministry said that the US proposed the idea of the division of zones of influence in Syria will not help in solving the fundamental problem of the international community in the country.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and US Secretary of State John Kerry discussed by telephone the observance of the ceasefire in Syria. They also agreed to continue cooperation in the framework of the International Group of Syria’s support. “The foreign ministers continued their consideration of the interaction of Russia and the United States of ways in order to maintain and consolidate the ceasefire in Syria, to ensure its humanitarian aid to the population and launch a sustainable political settlement process”, – the report says the Russian Foreign Ministry.
During the meeting, Lavrov said the need for early “withdrawal of the moderate opposition forces from the territories controlled by terrorist groups.” The Russian minister also said that should be as soon as possible to cut off the channels “reinforcements extremists.”
Special envoy on Syria UN Secretary General, Staffan de Mistura, may soon present options for a political transition in Syria, drawn up in consultation with the parties to the negotiations. This was stated by a source close to the talks, according to TASS.
The head of delegation in Damascus, Bashar Jaafari said that gave the UN Secretary General’s special envoy for Syria Staffan de Mistura constitutional amendments to its proposals: “Today we have passed constitutional amendments to the document, which gave us de Mistura. We expect that these amendments will be an integral part of this document. The exchange of views was very busy. ”
Terrorists groups Jaish al-Islam and Ahrar al-Sham attacked Damascus and Aleppo. The escalation of violence in Syria can be seen as a political subtext, certain permanent representative to the UN CAP Bashar Jaafari: “After the statements of the CPSU before his departure from Geneva intensified attacks on Aleppo and Damascus … The escalation of violence in Syria has political overtones. Damascus appealed to the UN Security Council for support in the fight against terrorism in relation to the current escalation. ” He said that for the terrorist attack in Damascus is Jaish al-Islam, for the rocket attacks Aleppo – Ahrar al-Sham. Dzhaafri noted that he discussed during his meeting with de Mistura, the escalation of terrorist activity “threat posed by a number of representatives of the Saudi delegation (WCP), who have been here in Geneva before they were upset and left it transformed on the ground attack with missiles in Aleppo and undermining car bomber who killed the innocent in Sayyid Zeinab in Damascus. ” According to him, “the purpose of the statements made by (WCP) in Geneva, was the failure of the current mezhsiriyskih negotiations and strengthening of the external interference in the negotiations.” Jaafari said that before his departure from Geneva of the CPSU made a “very clear statement: the undermining of the armistice regime and an end to violence, an attack on the army of the Syrian Arab Republic and the cities of the shelling.”
The number of settlements that have joined the reconciliation process has increased to 72. The number of illegal armed groups that have declared their commitment to the terms of the cessation of hostilities has increased to 52.
the cessation of hostilities was observed in most provinces of the SAR. During the day, recorded 9 violations (in the provinces of Damascus and Latakia – 4, in Aleppo province – 1). For days previously recorded 13 of ceasefire violations (in the provinces of Damascus – 5, Latakia – 3, Homs and Aleppo – 2, Ham – 1).
Russian VKS by opposition armed groups, have declared a cessation of hostilities and to report to the Russian or American centers reconciliation information about their location, strikes are not applied.
In connection with the intensification of armed groups has increased significantly the number of sorties videoconferencing RF.
The United States will send 250 troops to Syria. The composition of the contingent will include representatives of various types of troops, from the special forces, ending with doctors and specialists in logistics. It is expected that the military will provide advice to the Kurdish militia troops in the fight against the IG, but not to take a direct part in hostilities. military experts will also carry out the recruitment of Sunnis, who will have to join the Kurdish troops.
Pentagon spokesman Peter Cook declined to comment on the possibility of appeal to the Russian military, to ensure the safety of American troops in Syria. “We have identified the geographical area in which we asked the Russian not to strike. I will not discuss what conversations will be conducted in the future. We will take additional steps to ensure the safety of our military and limit the risks that they face. But I will not say on specific conversations with Russian, which we will have in the future or have been in the past “, – said Cook.
The establishment of the Syrian free zones flight is almost impossible without ground troops, President Barack Obama said. “The practical question is who will monitor these areas, where to take the necessary ground troops Unfortunately, from a practical point of view it is very difficult to implement.” – Obama said at a joint press conference with German Chancellor Angela Merkel.
Sending troops to Syria to overthrow Assad – would be a mistake of the West, he said in an interview with the BBC, Obama: “For the US, the UK or the association of the West direction of the ground forces and the overthrow of the Assad regime would be a mistake.” Obama also made it clear that does not count on the fact that the international coalition led by the United States, will be able to completely crush the IG for the nine months that it remains to finalize the president. Despite this, the head of the White House stressed that the coalition will continue to “expose the impacts IG targets in places like Raqqa” and will try to isolate the parts of Syria, from where militants are sent to Europe. At the same time Obama has called the current situation unfolding in Syria, “the heartbreaking situation of incredible complexity.” “I do not think there are any easy ways to solve it. One only a military solution and, of course, the placement of our ground forces are not able to solve long-term problems in Syria “, – concluded the president of the USA.
Washington offered Moscow its version of “resolution of the Syrian conflict.” According to Washington, the conflict can be settled if Syria divided into so-called security zone or “monitoring zone”. In each of these areas or Russian representatives of the American coalition will have to engage in monitoring the implementation of the ceasefire. The proposal was made by US Secretary of State John Kerry. The Russian Foreign Ministry said that such issues should be discussed with the military, specifying whether those to conduct monitoring of the ceasefire in Syria, the delimitation to some areas in need. In addition, the Russian Foreign Ministry said that the Geneva working group on the settlement of the Syrian conflict, where the ceasefire monitoring are discussed not in the form of abstract ideas and concrete.
The American idea of separation of Syria on some “security zone” has supported German Chancellor Angela Merkel: “Now continue peace talks on Syria. It involves many aspects, complicated negotiations. In Syria, should be areas where guns were silent, and safety would be ensured. We will try to fight for, so that the citizens of Syria, including near the border with Turkey, was this security. ”
Syria intends to attract financial support from partners, including the Russian Federation, including in the form of soft loans for projects in the agricultural sector, the energy sector, he said in an interview with RIA Novosti, Prime Minister of Syria Wael al-Khalq. Damascus also offers companies from the Russian Federation to participate in the construction and modernization of oil refineries (refinery) in Syria, said Wael al-Khalq. “At the Ministry of Oil and Natural Resources has strategic projects in the energy sector, in particular in the field of exploration of oil and gas on land and offshore suggest partnership on them to companies of friendly countries, at their head -. Russian.” In particular, he said, “investing in projects on the use of excess refining capacity in the oil refinery in Homs and Baniyas, joining as a partner in the construction of a joint refinery” Ferkalas “(Russia-Iran-Venezuela), modernization of refineries Baniyas”.
Wael al-Khaliq said that Syria and Russia signed an agreement on the restoration of infrastructure. The total volume of investments amounted sounded € 850 million. The main task will be to restore power grid and oil industry of the country. Syria and “Inter RAO” complete consultation for a final decision on financing the construction of power plant “Tishrin-3”, as Prime Minister of Syria, Wael al-Khalq. “There was a meeting of the series and meetings between technical experts from the energy of Syria sector with the Russian company” Inter RAO “. The Russian side were handed the answers to some of their requests. Fit the end of the technical advice in order to make a final decision on the issue of funding, which would satisfy both sides, “- he said. According to the Syrian prime minister, “the Syrian government, despite the crisis, has retained acceptable lasing power, but there is a need for fuel.”
Also, Syria is ready to become a center for the promotion of Russian products on the markets of Middle East, said the Syrian Prime Minister Wael al-Khalq: “We would like Syria to be considered, not only within its geographical boundaries or its relatively limited economic market, but as a center for the expansion and promotion of the companies and industrial products in the entire Middle East region. Syria has geographical advantages, making it capable of becoming a developed commercial and industrial center for the Russian companies to the Middle East markets. ”
Syria in the first quarter of 2016 Russia exported goods more than for the entire previous year, said Wael al-Khalq. According to him, this indicates the beginning of the restoration of the balance of trade between the two countries. Wael al-Khalq said that, given the crisis in Syria “are important not figure turnover, and quality products and consistent flow of goods between the Syrian and Russian markets.”
Also, Russia and Syria are considering the possibility of creating a joint bank. “Russian-Syrian Business Council has expressed a desire to open a joint Russian-Syrian bank with equity participation of 50 per cent of each of the parties”, – said the prime minister.
Syria sees an opportunity for the resumption of dialogue on cooperation with OJSC “AvtoVAZ” and its release on the market of the country, said Wael al-Khalq.
In the Turkish city of Kilis, situated near the border with Syria, exploded two more missiles, leaving 13 people injured, no fatalities.
Turkish Deputy Prime Minister Numan Kurtulmush, said that Ankara will take further military measures in response to rocket fire from the territory of the Syrian border town of Kilis.
For participation in the recruitment of the ranks of the terrorist organization al-Nusra Dzhebhat convicted resident of Perm, Russian citizen Gayratzhon Tazhibayev.
Head and organizer of the Indian cell of the terrorist organization killed IG US air strike in Syria. Late helped organize a branch of the IG in India. It is known that he is attracted to participate in the group, at least 30 people in the states of Maharashtra, Karnataka, Jammu and Kashmir, Madhya Pradesh and Kerala.”
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GENEVA, April 25. /TASS/. United Nations Secretary General’s Special Envoy for Syria Staffan de Mistura may soon present his vision of political transition in Syria based on his consultations with participants in the current round of intra-Syrian talks, a source close to the talks told TASS on Monday.
It may probably take place not at the end of the round, like it was done after the previous round [when de Mistura presented an unofficial document with 12 principles of political settlement in Syria – TASS] but in a break during the round, the source said. “But it is planned,” he added.
The United Nations envoy plans to officially sum up the results of the current round of talks on April 27. On the final day of the previous round, de Mistura presented an unofficial document containing basic principles of political settlement in Syria. It was not a document agreed by the parties to the talks but was drawn on the basis of de Mistura’s meeting with them.
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http://tass.ru/en/world/872321
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Answering a question on whether it is hard to identify groups that signed the ceasefire agreement but in reality are under the influence of terrorists, Masaad said: “In theory, it is hard, but from the practical point of view, on the ground, the warring parties should observe the ceasefire regime, disassociate themselves from iS and Jebhat al-Nusra and start fighting against them. This can be accomplished, and this is being done. I think that both Russians and Americans are working on this in Syria, “he noted.
Lavrov said on Monday that “we are currently collecting information that Jebhat al-Nusra subjugates groups that seemed to have declared truce and readiness to join ceasefire” adding that “we will summarize facts and present them to UN Security Council to adjust terrorist lists.” .
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http://tass.ru/en/world/872426