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The last part about Kurds attacking near the Turkish border will create a serious situation since Jarabulus is right on the border, and this is where the Turks have been de-mining, and have reportedly had troops move through the town without complaints from Daesh.
“Russian officers have reportedly met with Syrian Kurdish officials in northeastern Syria to hold talks on military coordination during the possible offensive of the Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG) on Jarabulus located on the Turkish border. The Russian Aerospace Defense Forces have already provided support to the Kurds’ advances against ISIS. However, the Russian mission reinforces the narrative that Russia is enhancing ties with the YPG and other armed groups, such as Assyrian and Arab militias, in the north.”
Also this is a very interesting interview / analysis with the secretary of the Russian Security Council.
http://southfront.org/what-did-russias-leaders-learn-from-ussrs-collapse/
“The statement by the Security Council Secretary Nikolai Patrushev on the causes of USSR’s collapse is in and of itself very telling. It demonstrates that the country’s leadership not only correctly understands the reasons for that catastrophe, but has the political will to answer both internal and external challenges. In that regard, his assessment of the current situation in Ukraine is particularly indicative.”
Amazing, People fleeing Turkey to get into Syria..
https://twitter.com/JPY_Kurdish/status/676192455155425280
Most terrorists are false flag terrorists created by Intel services In US ►Robert Steele former US Marine CIA
Very good link Dean.
It’s good to read a clear-headed evaluation of the situation Russia – and the world – is in, if mainly between the lines.
There’s a big difference between hubris and confidence.
The former disdains reality. The latter works on it until it yields a promising trajectory.
Although I know all the media turbulence – from bottom-rung Putin-bashing to sophisticated disinfo/smearing is orchestrated, it nevertheless affects the subconscious and generates anxiety. For me anyway.
It’s a relief to get some reassurance the Russian Security Council is in possession of facts that give them confidence.
Reasons to be cheerful?
That interview is definitely one..:)
A very good article. I hope it is correct. I remember thinking much the same during the Gorbachev years. That his policies were erratic and that was dooming them.That with any great nation you can face problems at times. But its how the leadership responds to those problems whether the nation survives or not.One of the comments on the article was also correct. The main problem today is Russia’s lack of a industrial, fully diversified, economy. The article I think pointed out that the government recognized that problem too. Its whether they can correct it, as to whether they can survive or not.
“That with any great nation you can face problems at times”
Any chance of listing your top 10?
Here is an excellent but horrific drone video of the newly liberated city of Sheikh Makeen is Southern Syria. It was considered to be one of the least densely populated cities of the country.
Dead city Sheikh Miskeen, Daraa district.
(Published on Jan 28, 2016
Город Шейх-Мискин в округе Дераа на юге Сирии отбит у боевиков 26 января 2016 года. Серия “Мертвые города Сирии”. Russiaworks.ru)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X7FS0hcPeS0
The situation is very serious indeed and is evolving very rapidly,as if every party engaged in the Syrian conflict wants to be in a better position before the other.That is very worrying.Now,if the hostilities between the Russian led coalition and the US led coalition will break out,i think we will have not much time to wait till the Ukrainian situation (Donbass) will got in flames to.So,Russia may have to fight on two fronts ? What about the refugees,they will multiply and will be stuck in Europe causing more problems.And what if the war in eastern Ukraine will got more violent,Russian intervention being inevitable ? in that case the refugees will flee from Ukraine in Russia and West.Adding to the equation that Moldova is on the verge of collapse (Mr.Steinmeyer is there now – as it was before the Yanukowich regime collapsed) the whole atmosphere is getting havier
I say it will be broken out on 3 fronts at once, with the other likely Kaliningrad or perhaps Georgia/ Caucasus.
I guess you could say 4, because it’s obvious now they’re going in to Libya SOON.
When always is the question, & many have observed it’ll be when “they” can’t or just stop holding up the markets from where they were levitated but not resurrected from 2008.
“Under cover of a crash.”
Desperate struggle going on in general stocks now it’s day to day. Many good chartists have noted the long slow topping & now rollover since summer 2014, & only 1 number to fixate on to follow is $spx 1880 Weekly close–below that is bad news.
We are today 28th Thursday here 1885, so 1 more day to a Friday close.
http://www.prometheusmi.com/2016/01/27/stock-market-on-verge-of-crash/
http://www.prometheusmi.com/images/pages/commentary/images/daily/2016/01/27/sp500_weekly_2.png
On to Geneva (III, but who’s counting):
https://scontent-ord1-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xfp1/v/t1.0-9/12631562_1753831231517703_6527863537301131652_n.jpg?oh=030821bdcf4328a810adb207dadc0063&oe=573E29AC
http://syrianperspective.com/2016/01/kinsibba-under-massive-aerial-assault-by-russian-and-syrian-air-forces-aleppo-awaits-zero-hour-terrorists-lose-heavy-in-idlib-and-hama.html
T-90 tanks have been seen in the eastern part of the northern capital near the recently liberated Kuwayris AB. There are other new weapons being deployed. It is our prediction that the invasion of all terrorist-infested areas of Aleppo City will start before the Geneva-III conference. It will cast a pall of defeat on the terrorist-supporting sociopaths who have been invited to sit with the legitimate Syrian government and negotiate what they cannot – a stop to the violence.
I see this about Iraq, out Jan 26 or so, got zero mention or traction except the link found down the page at Fadel’s site:
http://www.activistpost.com/2016/01/declassified-memo-proves-the-pentagon-had-zero-evidence-of-wmds-in-iraq.html
With this lack of factual evidence for their yearning to invade Iraq—a goal of PNAC since 1998—the war-mongering officials with deep ties to the defense industry proceeded to fabricate their own tales to justify the propaganda campaign.
They turned to a parallel intelligence apparatus that they created, which relied on a network of Iraqi defectors and exiles, most notably the late Ahmed Chalabi who admitted he provided wrong information.
Back home, Cheney and Rumsfeld had set up something called the Office of Special Plans, run by Paul Wolfowitz and Douglas Feith. This Pentagon office sent raw intelligence from Chalabi and other nefarious sources directly to the president, unvetted by intelligence analysts and uncorroborated.
Russia can use latakia Governorate to track NATO movements on Turkish border
Russia can use the Latakia Governorate to track the movements of NATO forces on the Turkish-Syrian border; in case an advance occurs these posts will be to warn the Russians.
https://elijahjm.wordpress.com/2016/01/29/russia-can-use-latakia-governorate-to-track-nato-movements-on-turkish-border/
Top 5 Ways Putin has won big in Syria and why Europe is embracing him By Juan Cole
Russia is so far winning big in Syria, and making Moscow’s projection of force in the Middle East a reality that the other great powers have to recognize. As Russia has emerged as a major combatant against Syrian al-Qaeda and against Daesh (ISIS, ISIL), it is being accepted back into a Europe traumatized by two major attacks on Paris. France is signalling that it hopes to end sanctions on Russia over Ukraine by this summer. While the Minsk peace process is going all right, the motivation here is to ally more closely with Moscow against Muslim radicals in the wake of Russia’s successes against them in Syria.
Vladimir Putin, still smarting from having lost Libya as a sphere of influence, was determined to stop the fall of Syria.
The regime of Bashar al-Assad has to to control a y-shaped area and set of transportation routes if it is to survive. The ‘Y’ is anchored at the bottom by Damascus, the capital. In its metropolitan area, given shifting population, live around 5 million Syrians who are afraid of the two major forces battling the regime, al-Qaeda (the Nusra Front) and Daesh (ISIS, ISIL).
The trunk of the ‘Y’ stretches up to Homs and then veers off to the left, to the key port city of Latakia. The right branch of the ‘Y’ goes up through Hama to Aleppo, a city of 4 million before the war, which is divided in half, with the west in the hands of the regime.
Controlling this huge ‘Y’ where 70% of Syrians live is a tall order. It is vulnerable at several key points, of which the rebels have attempted to take advantage.
1. Deraa province to the south of Damascus is largely Sunni and rural and its clans could sweep up and take the capital, with Jordanian, US and Saudi support. If that happened, game over.
2. The Army of Islam, backed by Saudi Arabia, has strong positions besieging the capital just to its north. If it could come down into Damascus, game over.
3. If the rebels could take and hold Homs and Qusayr in the middle of the ‘Y’, they could cut Damascus off from resupply by truck from the port of Latakia.
4. If the rebels, who took all of Idlib Province in the northwest last April, could move west from Idlib and take Latakia, they could cut Damascus off from its major port and deny it ammunition, arms, even some foodstuffs.
5. If the rebels can move from south of Aleppo to cut off the road from Hama and strangle West Aleppo, they could take all of the country’s largest city, making it difficult for the regime to survive.
Along this Y set of trunk roads, the most effective fighting force has been al-Qaeda in Syria, which reports to 9/11 mastermind Ayman al-Zawahiri. This affiliate, called the Support Front or the Nusra Front, is formally allied with other Salafi jihadis in the Army of Conquest coalition and is tactically allied with many small groups in what’s left of the Free Syrian Army. The CIA has sent medium weaponry, including T. O. W. anti-tank weapons to 30 “vetted” groups in the FSA, via Saudi Arabia. Many of these weapons have made their way into the hands of al-Qaeda and been used against regime tanks and armored vehicles to devastating effect.
So when Soleimani when to Moscow, it seemed that the road from Hama to West Aleppo had been lost and Aleppo would fall. Al-Qaeda had also made advances in the south, taking al-Sheikh Miskin just south of Damascus, and preparing for a push on the capital. Idlib had fallen and Latakia might well have been next.
So when Putin sent in his air force, it concentrated on protecting the red ‘Y’ in the map above. It mainly hit al-Qaeda, the primary threat to regime control of the Y, but also struck at Free Syrian Army groups backed by the US, Turkey and Saudi Arabia, which were tactically allied with al-Qaeda. This move was necessary to defend the ‘Y’. It drew howls of protest from Washington, Ankara and Riyadh demanding to know why Russia wasn’t instead targeting Daesh/ ISIL.
The answer was simple. Except at Aleppo and at a point below Hama, Daesh for the most part posed little threat to the ‘Y’. Al-Qaeda and its allies were the big menace, so Putin concentrated on them.
And so this strategy has been working for Putin. He appears to have rearmed and retrained the Syrian Arab Army, which has new esprit de corps and is making significant headway for the first time in years. It is of course aided by Hizbullah, over from Lebanon, and by a small contingent of some 2000 Iranian spec ops forces (many of them actually Afghan).
http://www.juancole.com/2016/01/top-5-ways-putin-has-won-big-in-syria-and-is-being-embraced-by-europe.html
Special ISIS cells preparing terror attacks in Europe and Russia – Russian anti-terrorism body
https://www.rt.com/news/330556-isis-terror-europe-russia/
““Russian special services have intelligence that certain IS groups are preparing terrorist attacks in Russia and European nations,” Andrey Przhezdomsky, spokesman for the Russian National Anti-Terrorist Committee, warned on Friday. “In particular, a battalion formed mainly from recruits from North Caucasus headed by Akhmed Chetayev, nicknamed One-Handed.”
Przhezdomsky said Russian border guards and special services are doing their best to stem the flow of terrorists to and from Syria through Turkey. More than 100 would-be IS recruits were arrested before they could join the ranks and more than 800 fighters were busted on their way into Russia, he said. Among them were 22 recruiters of the terrorists.
“There is a well-developed system for trafficking IS recruits into Syria. The main route goes through Istanbul,” he said. “People fill in a form, write their bio, their identity is checked, their mobile phones hacked. If any suspicion comes out of it, the recruit is taken into solitary confinement and awaits punishment. Usually in the form of being shot to death.”
That last detail about how the recruits are checked out shows this terror campaign is organised by state security and is not an informal force.
Another on this Robert Ford useful idiot & more.
http://thenewsdoctors.com/you-wont-believe-what-this-us-ambassador-said-about-al-qaedas-syrian-allies-daniel-mcadams/
As the Syria peace talks are scheduled to begin within days in Geneva, with a main sticking point being whether to admit groups that have allied with al-Qaeda to the negotiating table as potential leaders of “new Syria,” it is extremely instructive to recall what Ambassador Ford said about one such group, Ahrar al-Sham, to a BBC interviewer last October.
Ahrar al-Sham, according to experts including those at Stanford University, “was founded by members of Al Qaeda and maintains links to AQ’s core leadership.” The group vigorously rejects the notion of an elected government in Syria after the overthrow of Assad, instead calling for:
says “new weapons” being brought in by Russians.
BTW, re: GPS guided bombs dropped from a/c, have you seen this, 10 years ago already, about the US Army M982 Excalibur 40# artillery smart round, with an active GPS guidance in it (survives the barrel blast) which can actively steer & change the trajectory in-flight!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Precision-guided_munition
http://syrianperspective.com/2016/01/russian-and-syrian-defense-ministers-expand-cooperation-in-war-against-terrorism.html
My source wrote that the Russian government is deeply concerned about Turk movements north of Jaraablus and Al-Manbij where the Syrian Kurdish forces are planning a final assault to seize those towns from ISIS. That is the first area of concern. The second, according to Wael, is the timing for the SAA and RuAF assault on Jisr Al-Shughoor. General Shoigu is pushing the Syrian High Command to finish off Kinsibba as soon as possible despite weather delays and the grotesque geography of the area. The third area of concern is a rapid deployment of new weapons systems the Syrians have not seen before and which, the Russians believe, will bring the battle more quickly to an end. The SAA, however, has to be trained to use the new ground equipment and the 2 generals discussed the logistics of absorption and training.
Jan 20 see here Israel’s along with Nutty’s latest “position”, public anyway, of how they’re manoeuvering:
Jstice Minister Ayelet Shaked on Tuesday called for the formation of an independent Kurdistan, and urged an enhanced policy of cooperation between Israel and the Kurds.
“We must openly call for the establishment of a Kurdish state that separates Iran from Turkey, one which will be friendly towards Israel,” Shaked said at the annual INSS security conference in Tel Aviv.
Although there are approximately 30 million Kurds in the Middle East, forming minority populations in Turkey, Iran, Iraq and Syria, there has never been a modern independent Kurdish state.
http://defence.pk/threads/israeli-minister-calls-for-an-independent-kurdistan.418816/
I recall the scenario of that Russian jet ground support bomber the way & how precisely it was targeted that it had to involve a NATO AWACS already there, likely Incirlik.
JAN29
NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg says the United States has asked the military alliance to assist the US with AWACS surveillance aircraft in the Syria war.
The request is set to raise hackles in Russia which already views NATO’s eastward expansion with much indignation and is currently involved in a military campaign against militants in Syria.
The plan further raises the ante in brewing tensions in the region at a time of Syrian military advances against Takfiri militants as the Russian air campaign in the Arab country is proving largely successful.
http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2016/01/29/447782/NATO-Jens-Stoltenberg-AWACS-US-Daesh-Coalition/
So tonight the saudi supported syrian opposition the high negotiation committe will go to Geneva but not attend the meeting tomorrow ,Syrian gov was at the meeting today, the oppo insits that besiged towns recieve humanitarian aid, bombing be stopped, the seiges lifted……is this rationa and l achievable, who is the oppo protecting- daesh and the other extremists one wonders………..