By Ramin Mazaheri for the Saker Blog
From 1792 to 1815 there were not one but seven “Coalition Wars” which involved most of Europe. It’s an era which should be properly termed the “7 European Wars Against the French Revolution”. Think the average European was thrilled about gutting their own economies – for 23 years! – in order to get involved in what was truly a civil war in a faraway land?
Even in England, the only nation which participated in every coalition fighting for counter-revolution, there were popular protests to finally end belligerence, and they occurred long before the start of France’s “Continental Blockade” against England’s intractable monarchists. Objections of unjust meddling in the sovereign affairs of another nation were even finally raised in England’s oligarchical parliament. It was all to no avail, because back then foreign policy was entirely decided in the royal courts of Europe. War went on, regardless of popular objections.
It’s not any different today.
The West still goes to war despite public opinion because the process is still dominated by the choices of the elite.
So it’s quite in line with historical trends: In 2022 the average European is being told to gut their economy for years in order to sanction Russia over the unrest in Ukraine, and of course there is no vote on this warmongering foreign policy. Europe’s leaders – usually working with the approval of actual royals – blithely tell their subjects to let them wear sweaters if heat has become too expensive.
Foreign policy is something which Western democracy has no tools with which to bring it under the aegis of the people. It relies on politicians which are willing to cede to public opinion. If that makes Europeans shudder, it should: The European Union is infamous for its constant disregarding of public opinion. Indeed, this is the primary political leitmotif since the Great Recession began.
Thus the upcoming 2nd round vote in France is so historically rare and valuable in that voters know if they pick one side war will continue – as sanctions (blockade) are an act of war – and if they pick another then war is likely to be averted.
Poll show the Macron-Le Pen race is a dead heat all of a sudden. It has surged from irrelevance to importance so quickly that major historical trends and institutions may topple so quickly that the royal courts of today cannot act quickly enough to stop it.
I believe the decisions French voters will make will come down to this: After a Great Recession, and an Era of Austerity, and the Yellow Vest Civil War era, and the Coronavirus Era… do you want a Russian Sanctions Era to gut – mentally, socially and economically – your already gutted standard of living?
It’s not just voting with your pocketbook and your national passport – it’s also voting with unprecedented foreign policy heft.
Macron on Ukraine – the straw that breaks the French voter’s back
Le Pen has opposed sanctions on Russia since 2014. She knows that those sanctions have had very tough effects on French farmers.
Given the war hysteria she has no choice but to be in favor of some sanctions on Russia but she’s emphatic that they cannot include energy, and that includes coal, because of the impact it will have on French households. Last month in European Parliament she was one of the few dissenting votes on a resolution which called for a “total and immediate” embargo on all Russian energy imports.
“The only thing I don’t want is sanctions on raw materials which will have heavy consequences on the French and on the rest of the world, ” she said.
Throughout the campaign she’s accused the other candidates of not caring about the effect of sanctions on the average person, and these accusations will only grow louder when pointed solely at Macron.
“I do not want the French to commit hara-kiri on the grounds of sanctions decided by our leaders and which would not relate to the daily life of our compatriots,” she said in mid-March.
Last week she went much further:
“We have another choice. In reality, all the sanctions that have been put on the table and decided today are sanctions that have been designed to protect the interests of the financial markets and the real war profiteers,” she said. “All these sanctions are hitting our companies and individuals.”
What Ukraine has done is to drastically redefine Le Pen’s “M la France” 2022 slogan (M – aime – la France, get it?): it’s gone from being one of national identity to household solvency, and while still retaining the “national sovereignty” theme of 2017.
Frankly, it’s incredible: the European Union just can’t help but make sovereignty – either national or popular – the underlying issue of France’s elections. In 2012 Francois Hollande was going to end Germanic-imposed austerity, and in 2017 Le Pen was going to hold a Frexit vote within 6 months of her victory. “This election is also a referendum on Europe”, recently said Emmanuel Macron, because the EU is so unworkable and so resented that its existence is constantly called into question.
Le Pen has abandoned her 2017 Frexit vote stance even though recent polls showed 2 out of 3 French people were favourable to holding a vote on Frexit. It’s just too easy to caricature.
But as I wrote – ‘Remaining in the EU means peace’ – Ukraine explodes that Bourgeois Bloc idea. Endless Russia sanctions over Ukraine has discredited this Europhile bloc which is the base of Macron – they can afford to pay the knock-on inflation effects of years of Russia sanctions but the average voter cannot.
In a France which has had a series of chaotic eras I predict the threat of Ukraine spillover will primarily drive French voters. It’s a need for protection, and Le Pen is playing to exactly this need: “My obsession is to protect the French. I don’t want them to lose their jobs, to find themselves unable to heat their homes, feed themselves or drive to work.”
I had hoped that the French would realise Macron simply has to go: based on his record he should be totally discredited. If one has any respect for democracy they’d elect a ham sandwich before they’d re-elect Macron. I had hoped that French voters would realise that the arguments of 2017 were kaput: Macron proved to be more authoritarian than Le Pen could ever get away with, and almost as xenophobic. Ukraine has not replaced these ideas – it will hopefully be the coup de grâce which brings down lofty, arrogant, autocratic Macron.
It’s certainly not 2017 for 5 reasons:
- Macron is now the “mainstream”: In the 2017 second round this was the primary reason Macron’s voters said they voted for him – to sweep out the corrupt mainstream. The second reason was to block Le Pen, and the third reason (24%) was Macron’s actual policies and personality. We see from the first round vote total that he has barely been able to persuade anyone to his side. This is because:
- Macron has a record now: He’s not the neophyte Rothschild banker on whom you could project your unrealistic hopes. It’s an awful record, too: neoliberalism, authoritarian repression, autocratic style of governance, setting the record for ministers ousted for corruption just halfway into his term. This means that:
- Nobody will be duped by his “centrism”: This is something I warned of constantly in 2017. His neoliberalism implied far-right economics and a far-right style of governance, and it turns out he was even more willing to legalise Islamophobia than his two predecessors. The absurd and failed Trump- and Brexit-style PFAXIsm (Popular Front Against Xenophobia but for Imperialism) which was based on Macron’s alleged centrism simply will not work as effectively as it did in 2017. What’s more, people do not fear the alleged political extremes because:
- The Trump effect – he showed who the real extremists are: In France’s 2017 election Trump had only been in office for less than four months. Fear-mongering that dangerous politicians were going to start World War III was rife, and this had a major effect on the French voter back then. Five years later we know that if World War III is going to be started it’s by mainstream politicians and in:
- Ukraine: Want years of energy-caused penury? Want war to possibly spread to French borders? Then vote Macron. It’s not something he can hide from at all. Expect him to deflect and deflect on this issue until the debate, which is truly when the election will be decided.
The difference between Trump and Le Pen, so far, is this: Trump actually wanted it. After their debate in 2017 I wrote Le Pen clowns at debate instead of taking anti-austerity seriously because her behavior made it clear she didn’t care if she lost or won. Trump clowned mainly after taking office – he never stepped up and took on the Deep State – but he was a true competitor, at least.
Le Pen is learning from the failure of the now-retired leftist Jean-Luc Melenchon, who ran 3rd: she is courting the Yellow Vests, promising to install “RICs”, or citizen-initiated referendums. This was a top-3 demand of the Yellow Vests, and even the most important demand for some. I think many have put way to much emphasis on this – Switzerland has it and it’s hardly a democratic game-changer – but it will sway many Vesters to join her.
And joining Le Pen is something they do not want to do: The Yellow Vest program was the most similar to Melenchon’s, and the second candidate I heard them talk about the most was the (pseudo-) outsider Eric Zemmour. They are not Le Pen fans at all. People who haven’t set their boots in France for a long time may not realise that not only is Le Pen viewed by many as “mainstream” but that there is also a huge antipathy to the National Front in general.
If old people are voting for Macron in 2022 it’s because of this longstanding antipathy. Back when he expected an easy victory Macron gallingly and arrogantly promised to raise the retirement age to 65 this fall – he’s backtracking now, but this could prove to have been a fatal mistake.
The Yellow Vests emphatically reject Le Pen, but what can you do? Macron and Le Pen are the choices, and Macron has proven that he refuses to govern by consensus and only by autocracy.
The only alternatives are abstention (expected to be the highest since 2002, and around 30%), or a blank/spoiled ballot (expected to be a record, around 15%). Add the numbers – the true turnout will thus be around 55%.
Assuming every one of Macron’s 27.8% of first round voters turns out, that leaves 27.2% – it’s a dead heat, but all the trends clearly favor Le Pen. I crunched the numbers: she’ll gain a few hundred thousand more votes than Macron from those who voted for a losing first round candidate. It’s a dead heat there too.
Le Pen said at her first post-first round press conference: “By ferociously repressing popular protest movements like the Yellow Vests or social movements like the demonstrations against pension reform, Emmanuel Macron has installed the idea that nothing can be debatable, amendable, reformable.”
If you can quote the rules you can follow them – Le Pen is thus the “hope” candidate. Contrarily, a Yellow Vest at Macron’s campaign HQ (where I reported from on the night of Round 1) would have been immediately arrested.
These issues within French domestic politics have not become secondary to Ukraine – Ukraine has simply added to Macron’s obvious lack of democratic and patriotic bonafides.
The West can’t have both – war in Ukraine and Macron re-elected.
Ramin Mazaheri is the chief correspondent in Paris for Press TV and has lived in France since 2009. His new book is ‘France’s Yellow Vests: Western Repression of the West’s Best Values’. He is also the author of ‘ Socialism’s Ignored Success: Iranian Islamic Socialism’ as well as ‘I’ll Ruin Everything You Are: Ending Western Propaganda on Red China’, which is also available in simplified and traditional Chinese.
Well stated, Mr. Mazaheri, well stated indeed.
So glad this came out! I can’t think of anyone in English who understands France today as well as Mazaheri, or who writes so well about it.
If anyone knows – please tell me!
Unfortunately, Le Pen has no chance. They are already discrediting her in the MSM. She presents a clear and present danger to NATO and to the EU. They will assassinate her before they allow her to win.
In this environment, no way they will allow her to win. They need a full anti-Russian cast and crew in the EU now. But macron’s victory will only make things worse for the EU. So either way, there is something for Russia to gain.
I am Z, too!
Le Pen will have to fight the 5 columns in France, and I think she will lose this war. I think she has a chance, but even if she wins, the US will sabotage her government. It will be another dream that did not bear fruit, unfortunately. Or the Empire and the bankers will change the results of the polls, they will commit some fraud. Macron knows how to debate, he knows how to talk, he is a sophist, he deceives people. The French are now being Americanized. I wish this time The macho man Le Pen won the election, to face the USA. However, I think the Macron girl will win again and will continue to wear her makeup and sly smile.
The empire altered the nature of things. Hillary Clinton/Obama invaded Ukraine, made the color revolution, and put Ukrainian women with nail polish to hold machine guns, to fight on the battlefield. The female Ukrainian civilization is losing the war to the male Russian civilization.
France was once dominated by the Anglo-Saxon Empire. The 5 columns in France will not let Le Pen rule. All French media is dominated by the Zionists. France in the future will fragment as well as Germany. Le Pen, like Trump, had not been successful, had failed to govern.
Le Pen is deluded just as Trump is deluded. They are engaged in a war they have already lost. Deep down, what Le Pen wants is to appear, she wants her 5 minutes of fame. I would like the male Le Pen to win this election, but I fear that she will not succeed with her government, fighting the 5 columns.
If Russia has some French military advisors who may have surrendered in Mariupol with the Ukrainian marines, they ought to start plastering their faces all over the news sometime in the coming week.
Agreed. That could crush Macron.
These are not “advisors”. They are “combatants” and we should not even entertain the thought that they are there in an advisory role. They have sided with and fought with the nazis, should be treated as nazis and publicly tried as nazis.
100% correct.
Old Whore France will keep on being an old whore. Man boy Macron will win. Whether his victory will be genuine or rigged is another thing, but don’t expect any investigations. The elites will not tolerate change. And even IF by some strange fluke Le Pen squeaks by, she can certainly expect a constitutional coup of some type, if she resists full-on Russia-hate. I’m not optimistic at all.
This is my fear, too, as the same always happens in the old UK. The imperialist States are very careful about their privileges. However, this time, the French people, if in large number, may be able to win big, and changes may happen very fast. I am a bit optimistic.
I hope Le Pen wins.
What disappoints me is seeing leftists supporting “the lesser evil” against “fascism” (a dejavu from last elections) when from an objective assessment, Le Pen is far more socialist than Macron. The generation of 1968 shrieks in horror at the slightest veneer of “n a t i o n a l – s o c i a l i s m” and they unironically will call Le Pen “imperialist” while supporting NATO.
Fascism WAS a socialist movement. (Not communist though).
But yeah, I agree with you: the 1968 generation is completely twisted and irredeemable. They have been indoctrinated that national-socialism is the “absolute evil” and that “liberal” democracy is like heaven on earth, and they’re apparently unable to drop that childish mindset.
They’re just a lethal cocktail of naivety, stubborness, cowardice, pamper, shallow democratic ideology and lazyness (due to the fact that they’re generally old people who feel they have “already fought for things”, and it’s not their turn anymore; but at the same time, they still vote).
The little fella has some tax problems> https://www.voltairenet.org/article216400.html
“Macron a caché ses revenus de la banque Rothschild dont il fut associé-gérant de 2010 à 2012” and so on…these problems, especially combined with scandal of French officers leading nazis in Ukraine…well, they don’t help the little guy.
“The West can’t have both – war in Ukraine and Macron re-elected.”
It would be nice if your prediction is proved accurate. We both apparently hope for Marine Le Pen’s victory in the final vote.
Whether she will win is the question.
1. Whether the votes will be accurately counted.
2. The contest is not a fair fight. It is rigged. the Media is overwhelming at the service of the Rothschilds & their Banker-puppet.
3. Marine Le Pen is an electrifying speaker. To win, she must strongly present her positions, and not backtrack.
The Key political change needed in France, is, for the People to Restore the Republic of Charles De Gaulle. That is a challenge of a higher order. In America, we must restore Our Republic, that was destroyed on November 22, 1963.
You have a good heart, Mr. Mazaheri. God Bless!
Dr. Peter J. Antonsen — nom de guerre, Durruti
It is not only that, but one only needs to look at the racial configuration of the people in power in the West. Blinken, Nuland, Macron, sarkozy, zemmour, zelinsky, Albright, Yellen, Greenspan and their white puppets; Trump, Bolton, Biden and all the rest.
See who makes and controls the money and you will see who controls the west. Centuries ago, a Rothschild banker said words to the effect: ” control the money and you control the power, irregardless of the government”.
The western media is almost entirely owned by the Jews, and the few exceptions have to fall in line with the program. The NGO’s, think-tanks, charities all under the same umbrella of the self- chosen people.
From time to time,, they switch the parties in power to give us a feeling of “democracy”. Uneducated and brainwashed we buy it and nothing changes, only the Rich get richer,and the poor homeless. That makes no news, only the idiots of Hollywood are centerpiece in a never ending cycle of ignorance.
The powers that be will pull out all the stops to re-elect Macron- the favoured Jew boy. At this time, Le Pen is a better choice for the world, even though with extreme sentiments. She is up against Zionism, and nobody in the west is able with the Zionist grip on the Western world.
The left in France is the same garbage, for in wars against humanity; they all march in lockstep. The bickering about lack of health care, worker’s right, education, immigrant rights is just an illusion, designed to give fools a”choice”
The entire green parties in Europe are bought by America, and are the biggest instigators of sanctions against Russia. Well that fool gymnast Braerbrock was actually schooled by CIA/ USA. Merkel was a CIA spy as WikiLeaks exposed. You all can find your hero out of the lot. Whatever.
P.S. 30 years ago in Toronto, I asked a taxi driver who he felt was responsible for the Iraq war. He replied: The Jews.
It must and will come from the outside, the changing from this evil menace who cynically portray themselves to be good.
”Le Pen is a better choice for the world, even though with extreme sentiments. She is up against Zionism,”
Her boyfriend is an israeli
I used to doubt it was the Jews but after seeing BlackRock and Vanguard Inc.s holding shares in almost all large transnationals and researching further, blaming Jews are not necessarily bigoted. Only recently I came across the very well researched documentary “Monopoly – Who Rules The World” which confirmed I am not the only one with that conclusion. J.R. seems to be the current name that cannot be said.
there is a good article on UNZ on that subject
https://www.unz.com/article/breaking-the-spell/
If I were a Muslim in France I would vote for Marine le Pen. If I were a Roman-Catholic in France I would vote for Marine le Pen. If I were trade unionist or a businessman in France I would vote for Marine le Pen. As a yellow vest also.
France must chose between Atlanticism and Gaullism, the latter distancing France from Nato and the EU. This is vastly more important than all other considerations at this time! Surely this must be the lesson of the Ukraine War.
What a contrast there is between America’s constant self-praise and all the wars it has started and the many dictators it has installed since Hiroshima! How much ethnic strife has it fanned! Are we not sick and tired of it? The Muslim world and South America know about these things. Now it’s Europe. How long will the United States cause chaos in order to maintain its systemic primacy in the multi-polar world? Its increasingly futile quest for systemic primacy causes so much harm. Ordinary people sense these things.
Emmanuel Macron is an improbable character. Everyone knows that. Like the Ukrainian leader he has been constructed by Western operatives. He made insincere and clumsy attempts to distance himself from Nato, once saying it was “brain dead”, trying to pose as a Gaullist which he is certainly not. He is not authentic.
Marine le Pen has a social conscience. Macron is a neoliberal, something that does not suit the temper of the French people with their state railways, unions etc.
Charles de Gaulle lived among the Anglo-Saxons, he knew them well. He banished Nato to Brussels, and France left Nato until Nicolas Sarkozy became president.
Of course Atlanticism is a persisting and often a very dangerous force. One must not rock the boat. One must learn from the patience of the East Asians.
The influence of the Atlanticists has been demonstrated in Germany. This country, considering its Nazi past, has previously refused to deliver weapons to conflict zones, not wishing to add fuel to conflagrations. The Green Party in Germany was committed to combat climate change and was elected on that plattform.
In the blink of an eye Annalena Baerbock of the Greens has jettisoned both of these iron principles in favour of an American proxy war which cannot be won by Ukraine. Baerbock now wants to defeat Russia by sending heavy weapons to Ukraine. “Now is not the time for excuses, but the time for creativity and pragmatism”, she says about her lost cause. This war, that should never have occured, as well as the ensuing sanctions will accelerate climate change at a time when we are already far beyond the point of no return. All of that is inconsequential, only America’s proxy war now matters to Baerbock. She is an Atlanticist.
Whether or not one understands the ethnic strife in Ukraine and Russia’s special military operation, or whether one condemns the invasion and is outraged by it, the lesson should be clear to all: European leaders should never have allowed this proxy war between America and Russia to take place in Europe. That’s Brussels and Berlin for you. It could have been otherwise.
Therefore learning from Ukraine and voting for le Pen is important.
Marine le Pen reminds me of Marianne, the mythical figure personifying the French Republic. As a Gaullist she is the logical choice at this juncture.
“European leaders should never have allowed this proxy war between America and Russia to take place in Europe.”
Yes, absolutely. But when the very same leaders will be in the necessity of asking their people to fight, as a consequence of their dishonest choices, who do you think will follow them? Nobody. And soon a new Hitler is going to enter the scene – again. Welcomed and acclaimed, as he deserves.
Or am I just hallucinating?
Couldn’t agree with you more on everything you wrote. Annalena Braebock is no Greens but a Washington appointed ISIS-like extremist dragging Europe into a proxy war with the Russian Federation. This SDP-Greens coalition has single-handedly reversed Europe’s stance 180 degree from Angela Merkel’s nuanced pro-Germany/ Europe’s interests first.
More and more people I know , leftists, are so disgusted with this used trick of having the elites choice against Lepen ( started with her father vs Chirac in 2002, and has been the scenario ever since, and has worked everytime !) that they are ready to break the ultimate taboo and vote Marine !
What can be worse than Macron ?
But still , I don’t believe she really wants the job.
Even if she did, the “syndicate” wouldn’t let it happen.
In our days of digital transmission , no problem.
The divide now : anger or despair.
Same as in America, as evidenced by Biden’s crashing poll numbers.
After all, its not Trump supporters that are causing the drop. They’d have expressed the same poor opinion of Biden throughout 2020, 2021 and 2022. No change there. Thus, the falling poll numbers are showing that people who had supported Biden now dislike him. A few of these are the small handful of ‘independents’ left in America. But seriously, how many people are not in a camp by now? How many people did not know who’d they’d vote for on Oct 1, 2020 and only made their mind up at the last minute? I don’t think there were many. There’s a front-line between the parties, but not too many people still living in No-Man’s-Land.
That leaves the leftists in America. They are the ones fleeing Biden in droves. Not the corporate Democrats that Biden represents. They are not leftists. Far from it. Nope, its the leftists who are feeling tricked and deceived that they voted for Biden on the ‘stop Trump’ theme and now Biden turns out to be bleep, bleep, bleeping, bleep bleep, bleeping bleep! Those are the support that is now abandoning Biden. Don’t know if they’ll vote MAGA next time, but it is unlikely they will enthusiastically turnout to vote Democrat again.
That old trick can work. In America, its worked so often that the old cartoons with Lucy and Charlie Brown and the football (American style) come to mind. But, such a trick does have a shelf life. Or in general, if you win by tricks, that wears thin after awhile.
There was once a radical American politician leading a morality based third party movement who had a famous saying that ended with “… but you can not fool all of the people all of the time.”
An interesting thought, which is reported to have occurred in the US in 2016, when Bernie Sanders’ imminent victory in the Democrat presidential primary was stolen from him, and Hillary Clinton was crowned, some Bernie supporters voted for Trump.
I did relish it when Madeline Albright said that there was “a special place in hell” for any woman who wasn’t voting for Hillary, in 2016. Now she can say hello, down there.
Trump may not have understood how deep the deep state ran. Most of the federal government is a parasitic organism. The senior levels can hold more real power than elected officials. Note that he could not get rid of Fauci because Fauci had achieved a Senior Executive Service level. Even a president can’t fire a Senior Executive.
Trump’s intentions may not have been altogether benevolent, but he still had no comprehension of the viper pit he was in.
Trump casually stood up and whispered in Xi’s ear that he’d just authorized NATO to fire 100 cruise missiles into Syria . . . . most likely causing Xi to choke on his chocolate cake; handed the keys of the Treasury to Goldman and bailed out all the usual suspects his predecessors did before him.
Then to great fanfare, no shame, flew onto his next rally with jingles of Drain The Swamp & Lock Her Up.
Sideshow Bob with Homer as his running mate would’ve beat Hillary Clinton in 2016.
How deep does the deep state run?
Daley Plaza, Dallas, Texas, November 23, 1963.
Lorraine Motel, Memphis Tennessee, April 4, 1968
Ambassador Hotel, Los Angeles, California, June 5, 1968
And 9/11 .
It’s odd that Mazeheri neglects to mention that Le Pen promises that if elected, France will exit NATO. This is incredibly important so how can he not mention this in his article? Bizarre.
Based on what little I know about French politics, I’m not sure there is much daylight between the two candidates except when it comes to NATO membership. Again, if France were to leave NATO, it would shake the foundation of the organization and possibly cause it to sever. Well… one can hope….
LePen said France will leave NATO central command so thus they will retain final control over which NATO adventures they get involved with in future. It is not an absolute exit as such, also they will not have to abide by Article 5 (which nobody actually has to do anyway, Article 5 gives the choice to protect not the duty)
Back in the DeGaule era, it was generally assumed that even after France left NATO, that France would still fight with NATO if the balloon had really gone up with WW3 in Europe.
Technically, they were out of NATO. But, only to the extend there was a sign that read ‘in case of war, break glass to rejoin NATO’.
I’d assume LePen would at most do the same thing. Assert France’s independence with a leaving of NATO that is largely symbolic. And that’s as far as that will possibly go, and I’m not wagering on it going that far.
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General comments about elections in the last 10 years or so.
1) War is not popular. Not nearly as popular as the talking heads on the screens like to pretend.
2) The corporate media has, at least in part, lost the ability to tell people how to think. They thought they could lie and get away with it, that they made reality like the Cheney official bragged. But, all the time, they were losing credibility, bit by bit, person by person. But, since credibility doesn’t show up as a line item on a profit sheet, nobody running the corporations cared about it.
3) My general sense is that people everywhere are a lot more pissed off than the politicians know. None of them know any real people. Overall, its a very bad time to be running as an incumbent. And its even better than it normally is to run as an outsider. Sounds like LePen may not have the outsider image. The family name is almost as old in French politics as the Biden name is over here, and that can’t help. Outsider works better with ‘new’. But Macron has the incumbent anchor firmly chained to him.
——————
They should release the comments written on the ‘spoiled ballots’. Reading the spoiled ballots would probably be a lot more entertaining than the talking heads and reports from campaign headquarters. I’m already thinking of what I’m going to write across some of the races in the upcoming elections here in the Two Party Fascist System, where I’m sure to actively dislike both permitted and allowed candidates. I plan on being creative, and stretching my vocabulary of four letter words as far as space permits.
Remember, here in the Land of the Free, the Dems have constantly stayed at what they judge to be only very slightly less evil than the Repubs. What that really means, no matter which party you favor, and which party you think is evil …. then the other party in the two party system is actually very close by. Very close. You use the same tools to measure the gap between the Two Fascist Parties that you use to measure the gap on your spark plugs.
Elections in the west offer the illusion of choice, Tweedledee or Tweedledum. Macron is Rothschild’s rent boy, similarly Le Pen, controlled opposition. Still, all said, Macron deserves to be strung up and gutted like a bluefin tuna. Like Trumplethinskin, Macron is a self promoting self serving parasite and even less sincere than BoJo, which speaks volumes.
Surely The French electorate who appear to have a better grasp of the political landscape than other Euro vassals, will oust Little Napoleon.
Even if Le Pen’s not their glass of cognac, voting her in can be the beginning of a path for France, opening the door for the nextgen of politicians, and closing it for the current shower of bought and paid for lacky career politicians.
We thought it was Germany who could turn Eastwards, but the spineless Scholz with his jellyfish personality, not only dropped his pants and bent over the Oval Office desk, but turned around and finished Joe off in his mouth, shit and all.
I pray Putin/Russia cuts ties with Germany forever, allow them to rot when America abandons them like a used condom.
The French Establishment are real sneaky b*stards though, and like I mentioned yesterday, Hungary is too small to break the EU, but France . . . . . . . could be that Trojan Horse.
Macron is toxic, he’s in that ‘anyone but Hillary’ status.
Do you think an impoverished neighbor to the west is in Putin’s/Russia’s interests?
The election will be rigged in favor of Macron.
But what will the French people do?
Je suis sceptique sur cette annonce de quitter l’Otan. Si on peut penser que l’Otan et les US peuvent vraiment vouloir déclencher un affrontement direct avant la fin de l’élection française, renforcer cette position sur la sortie possible de l’Otan et le rapprochement de la Russie maintenant est une énorme prise de risque. Ou un possible suicide en cas d’escalade. Je soutiendrai n’importe quel candidat contre Macron, ce dernier étant la configuration perdante sur tous les grands sujets (souveraineté, inégalités, Ukraine / Relations internationales avec la Russie, et par extension avec le reste du monde) et je suis d’accord qu’il a montré depuis 5 ans qu’ll est le candidat de l’extrême droite. Mais j’y vois plutôt une nouvelle preuve de la réelle probabilité d’escalade à très court terme du conflit et une manœuvre visant à favoriser Macron qui adopte depuis le début une position assez trouble dans ce conflit. Les secrets de Marioupol semble avoir accéléré les tensions et l’agenda, ainsi que les mouvements de l’armée Russe dans le nord vers la FInlande. Même en l’absence de conflit direct, les faux drapeaux non démentis en France de Boutcha (démentis pourtant sur la BBC) et celui probable à venir suite au déplacement douteux des inspecteurs des NU semblent aussi rendre très risquée et indéfendable la position de MLP. Donc le pari me semble hasardeux.
A question for the excellent Mr. Mazaheri ….
Who actually counts the votes in the French elections?
Since I was born in America, I am used to the American system where the officials in charge of executing the elections are also partisan hacks of the political parties. The county clerk at the county level who conducts the elections, and the sec of state at the state level, are both partisan members of the contesting political parties.
Thus leading to my question, of how does it work in France? First off, since the American system is obviously lousy and invites fraud in this highly partisan era, it would be good to know if the French have a way of getting around this. And of course, in understanding the election results its always good to know just how much of it is under the control of the incumbent. Can Macron ‘find votes’ with just a phone call?
Macron did already do it back in 2017. He didn’t have the votes to be present in second round so should have never been president. they switched some votes from lepen and took a lot of mélenchon’s to make macron appear in the second round againt lepen who totally mysteriously disintegrated on tv against macron before the elections, and had a big party in celebrating her big defeat. le pen’s party is now completely infested with cia/mossad agents and is not a threat to the establishment, as said alain khalifa, ex-president of crif, the french adl. voting for macron or lepen doesn’t change anything.
The CIA has been balls-deep in every European country since WWII. In fact regime change is their primary job.
Reference the Logic of US Foreign Policy by Sylvan and Majeski:
https://swprs.org/us-foreign-policy/
Highly theoretical. Is this supposed to be an empirical analysis or another blueprint for policy?
False: “Another hypothesis proposes that US wars are driven by the so-called neoconservatives. This idea is disconfirmed, for instance, by the numerous wars initiated or continued by the liberal Clinton and Obama administrations (Yugoslavia, Somalia, Syria, Yemen, etc.)”
Paul Wolfowitz was already working for George H. W. Bush and working on his doctrine for the PNAC in the 1990s. Obama, being inexperienced, had no plan for his foreign policy and so he and Mrs. Clinton kept on Bush’s infamous neocons.
I have a different system for understanding the ‘logic of US Foreign Policy’.
I binge watch my favorite gangster flicks. The Godfather Saga, Goodfellows, Casino, etc. All the classics of American heritage.
After I’ve spend hours watching gangster flick after gangster flick, and I’m truly in that gangster frame of mind, when I’m thinking like a gangster and reacting like a gangster to every situation …
It is at this point that I find myself completely able to understand and predict US Foreign Policy.
Perhaps it is summed up in “What would Tony Montana Do?”
Gangsterism is criminal bullying. The Chinese leaders routinely accuse the US of bullying. The British elite learn bullying and even omerta (law of silence imposed by a mafia) in their public schools, which are high class private schools. Then there are psychological operations, again a form of bullying. And there are CIA assassination attempts. It’s all the same mindset.
Very insightful Ramin. But, I disagree with the last line of your article: “The West can’t have both – war in Ukraine and Macron re-elected.” Logic says “yes”, but one horrific false flag in Kiev says no.
French presidential candidate Marine Le Pen has pledged, if she wins the election, to withdraw the country from NATO’s Integrated Military Command and to work on “strategic rapprochement” between the alliance and Russia.
I am skeptical about this announcement to leave NATO. If we can think that NATO and the US can really want to trigger a direct confrontation before the end of the French election, reinforcing this position on the possible exit of NATO and the rapprochement of Russia now is a huge decision. Or possible suicide if escalated. I will support any candidate against Macron, the latter being the losing configuration on all major issues (sovereignty, inequalities, Ukraine / International relations with Russia, and by extension with the rest of the world) and I agree that he has shown for 5 years that he is the candidate of the extreme right. But I rather see it as new proof of the real probability of a very short-term escalation of the conflict and a maneuver aimed at favoring Macron, who has taken a rather murky position in this conflict from the start. The secrets of Mariupol seem to have accelerated the tensions and the agenda, as well as the movements of the Russian army in the north towards Finland. Even in the absence of a direct conflict, Boutcha’s undeniable false flags in France (though denied on the BBC) and the probable one to come following the ONU repports also seem to make MLP’s position very risky and indefensible. I hope I’m wrong, but I don’t believe MLP wants to be president, she’s just macron’s sparing partner. It seems to me that she is not Sarkozy, she is the second choice of the elites but will not impose herself against the favorite.
The french should stick to making pastry
Elections are the circus part of the bread and circus. Pure theatre. The choice is always between Coke and Pepsi; the owners of both companies are the same.
This election is between Coca Cola, which will rot your teeth, and orange juice.
Ramin your headline sums it up accurately.
Choice between war or not.
Just like Iran, Syria, Israel, Turkey, Egypt, etc… like to have their own identity so do most natives of France.
The EU isnt about such a notion.
It is a tool invented by elites there for other ends.
Its about power in the hands of the few.
And Macron is simply their puppet mouthpiece toyboy.
Lets hope those voters supporting other candidates will see the light and side with Le Pen to cleanse France of this evil that gone on since 1750.
The famous conversation between Gustave Gilbert and Herman Goering in the cells of Nuremberg ….
“We got around to the subject of war again and I said that, contrary to his attitude, I did not think that the common people are very thankful for leaders who bring them war and destruction.
“Why, of course, the people don’t want war,” Goering shrugged. “Why would some poor slob on a farm want to risk his life in a war when the best that he can get out of it is to come back to his farm in one piece. Naturally, the common people don’t want war; neither in Russia nor in England nor in America, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, it is the leaders of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy or a fascist dictatorship or a Parliament or a Communist dictatorship.”
“There is one difference,” I pointed out. “In a democracy the people have some say in the matter through their elected representatives, and in the United States only Congress can declare wars.”
“Oh, that is all well and good, but, voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is tell them they are being attacked and denounce the pacifists for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. It works the same way in any country.” ”
–https://www.mit.edu/people/fuller/peace/war_goering.html
“And so it goes” — Kurt Vonnegut
I’m Not Touching You – Does The Ratline Eventually Cross The Red Line?
https://askeptic.substack.com/p/im-not-touching-you?s=w
I adhere to the idea that LePen is just the tool to make sure Macron will be reelected. Against her you could win now.
I do wish she gets elected because Macron will finish off France. It is a dying body but he’ll give his colony the “coup de grâce” when he’ll be re-elected.
You are correct on one account. It’s the last call for France.
Let’s not pretend that we don’t know what is happening in France. Marin Le Pen is running against NATO and…French muslim population. And she cant’ win!
“it’s a dead heat, but all the trends clearly favor Le Pen.”
And so, the election will be rigged.
The great fallacy of democracy is that of the willfully uninformed and apathetic voter. Of course, Macron will win! People will rail against him and his policies and then vote for him – this is the way of democracy, which is why it is the most suitable form of government for the elite of society and why they push so hard for it. It is a nice, fuzzy theory that power should be in the hands of the people, but that is simply not reality, and never has been.
Remember how fast it became a neo nazi governement in ukraine . It took them 8 years only to storm and rule the place. France too has an history with those ideology ( petain laval…) . Both of them will bring their sort of fascism i believe. Sad ,sorrow ,desesperation…
Le Pen-Macron: finally, a vote where the people can decide if it’s war or not.
Unfortunately, “The People” aren’t very smart and are easily swayed by propaganda.
Macro will win – again, and again, and again.
And “The People?” Beat, shot, arrested, and incarcerated. You’re either for the WEF and New World Order or you’re dog-meat. If you’re dog-meat – you’ll be dealt with.
If Le Pen was really a candidate that would change France’s allegiances and policies, then she would not have been allowed to reach the final run-off. She is playing a role to make the process look like a choice.
The way Globalist remain in power is playing everyone off against eachother. At the same time they can both support exreme left, extreme right, religious extremists and harcore atheists. They can pretend to be extremely pious whille engaging in extreme debauchery.
This is literally a Hydray with innumerable heads. Cut off one head, another one appears. Even if Le Pen would win she would be absorbed by the Hydra but it could stall the Hydra long enough for meaningfuyll resistence to develop elsewhere…
LePen cant win, the voting system is owned by elites (masons collect vote tallies to make elections total).. and average people have been brainwashing to believe anything LePen is fachiste, there might be more french arabs voting for her than french french..
She is tied financially with some fake financial judicial problem in the corner and has already demonstrated she has no backing and no shoulder to do anything else than follow orders..
The candidates who slightly escape the elites control have not been allowed to enter the presidential race (Philippot, Asselinot, Perelevade)
Do not dispair. People, whether Muslim or Roman Catholic, trade unionist or businessman (le rouge et le noir), they will sense that she must be given the historic chance to put French society on a new and more promising path and that France must regain its sovereignty. Bon courage!
As Schiller in Saxony then observed, in France a great moment had found a small people – that is the 1792 revolution.
There was the Storming of the Bastille (Phillipe d’Orleans) that freed none other than the Marquis de Sade, paraded on the mob’s shoulders!
Result – a self-crowned Emperor Napoleon!
Next the German 1930’s Reichstagsbrandt – the burning of the parliament by an anarchist – really by the SA, all soon after murdered.
Result – Hitler, who said at Napoleon’s mausoleum Mein Vorgänger – my fore-runner.
Next 9/11 – done by terrorists, really by what is now called the Deep State, BAE/Saudi.
Result – Bush, Biden, and a Nazi Ukraine.
What is extremely worrying is there will likely be a Bastille/Reichstagsbrandt/9-11 and again – find a small people. Each time the economy was utterly and irredeemably bankrupt. Today that is called ‘crisis-management’ is salons, where the utter irredeemable bankruptcy is well known.
This time the ominous warning from Voltaire.net that Ukrainian ideologues are right now spreading through Europe, and Meyssan expects trouble, that can only be in this league.
Time for people to think big! Le chemin de l’enfer se fait à petits pas.
deGaulle was tall!
Philippe d’Orleans organized shooters to rake the already angry mod at the Bastille, which caused a storming to free prisoners, and they found only the Marquis de Sade, a known weirdo.
That is EXACTLY the Kiev Maidan technique applied in 2014 – Nazi extremists fired on a non-violent protest, as they say 8% of them. and caused the Nuland Kiev Maidan cookie coup – Made by French aristocrat Philippe d’Orleans!
I hope Le Pen wins too but she will need strong and loyal inner circle when she does. France’s ultimate survival as a proud, independent, sovereign country with national interests first, is to re-structure it economic and financial dependency AWAY from the U.S. foremost. Exiting from the Euro and re-inventing the French Franc would be part and parcel of that move. The political EU has become a U.S.’s tool which will drag European states into a war with Russia at their expense. These are critical times and she may have a role yet in France avoiding becoming part of the 7-horn beast which the EU was deemed to have become decades ago; this apart from the real biblical Beast that is the U.S.. The American controlled economic-financial “systems” have become a scam, a fraud that the rest of the World are unsubscribing from. France can no longer be part of a Mafia system.
I have been away for many years. So many great comments here. Without the CIA trolls.