On November 28, SouthFront released a video analysis entitled “Would Anyone Profit From a New War in the Middle East?”. The video said that despite tensions in the region the possibility of a new war in in the near future was relatively low because no regional player was interested in it.
The only side, which could be interested in the conflict, was the United States. Such a war will contribute to interests of the US military industrial complex and lead to a growth of oil prices. High oil prices will impact positively the US shale oil production sector.
However, it was hard to expect developments, which took place last week. On December 6, US President Donald Trump officially recognized the city of Jerusalem as Israel’s true capital and declared an intent to move the US embassy there. The decision faced a condemnation from the regional powers and the international community and sparked a new round of violence between the Palestinians and the Israelis.
Following Trump’s declaration, Politburo Chief of the Palestinian Hams movement Ismail Haniyeh called for an uprising against Israel in the West Bank and Jerusalem and declared December 8 the “day of rage”. Hezbollah released an official statement supporting Hamas’ intent and called on the Arab League and the Islamic world to provide a political, media, financial and even military support for the Palestinian people.
On December 7, the Palestinian al-Nasser Salah al-Deen Brigades fired several rockets at Israeli settlements north of the Gaza Strip. The group said in a statement that this was only the first response to the US decision and more actions will follow. The Israeli Defense Forces said that a battle tank and a warplane had targeted two posts in Gaza in response to the shelling.
On December 8, the al-Nasser Salah al-Deen Brigades once again shelled settlements in southern Israel. In response, Israeli warplanes bombed an alleged Hamas training compound and a warehouse in Gaza.
On the same day, large-scale anti-Israeli riots started across the Gaza Strip, the West Bank and Jerusalem. Israel responded with deploying security forces and the army. According to reports, at least two Palestinians have been killed and hundreds others have been injured in the ongoing violence so far. The Israeli government warmly welcomed the US decision and it is not going to tolerate any opposition from the Palestinians.
On December 7, Iraqi paramilitary group Harakat Hezbollah al Nujaba declared that Tump’s decision is a “legitimate reason” to attack US soldiers in Iraq.
“Trump’s stupid decision… will be the big spark for removing this entity [Israel] from the body of the Islamic nation, and a legitimate reason to target American forces,” Harakat Hezbollah al Nujaba leader Akram al-Kaabi said, according to Reuters.
Harakat Hezbollah al Nujaba is a part of the Popular Mobilization Units (PMU), an umbrella organization composing of various pro-government militias. The PMU is officially incorporated into the Iraqi Armed Forces. Thus, a part of the armed forces of one of the American allies in the war on ISIS now has an intent to attack US troops.
The new crisis started just days after the reduction of tensions among concerning parties involved in the recent escalation over Lebanon. Israel, Hezbollah and their backers are once again put on the verge of an open military conflict, which could easily start if the Israeli-Palestinian tensions develop further.
The US political elites could not have been unaware of expected consequences of the recognition of Jerusalem as Israel’s capital. Was this move a part of the system policy of the US or just a caprice of Trump and his inner circle?
When such irrational events happen, willing or not, an independent observer starts wondering about various conspiracy theories.
The situation is escalating. Israel is ready to implement active military measures in response to any actions of Hamas, Hezbollah or any other regional players. And the US president bears direct responsibility for the escalation in the region and possible casualties from the both sides.
I know many here will not like this, but….. It is hard to see any substantial impact due to the recent U.S. announcement on Jerusalem.
Before the announcement, Iran and its proxies were trying to build up forces in southern Syria. After the announcement, Iran and its proxies are still trying to build up forces in southern Syria. There is no indication that Assad is willing to allow an Iranian, or Iranian Proxy, offensive to be launched against Israel from his country due to the announcement.
Before the announcement Gaza had; Periodic rounds of unrest, and; Rocket launches followed by Israeli Air Force counter strikes. After the announcement Gaza has; Periodic occurrences of civil unrest, and; Weapons launches followed by Israeli Air Force counter strikes.
The only development of note at this point is that it appears that “Erdogan Red Lines” = “Obama Red Lines”. To the extent that Erdogan and his advocacy of regime change has less influence in the region, this actually improves the chances of a peaceful outcome.
A123. All three come straight from Israel govt propaganda office:
1. “Iran and its proxies are still trying to build up forces in southern Syria”. Iranian proxy is Zionazi code for Hezb’Allah, the Lebanese resistance movement which has successfully overcome Israel’s repeated attempts at military incursion and occupation of Lebanon. Iran, being itself a free country, will naturally help other free countries in the region such as Lebanon and Syria to preserve their freedom from the armed forces of Anglo-Zio-Capitalism. The only proxies in the MENA are the NATZO’s mercenery Daesh terrorists who are in the process of being cleaned out by Syria and its Allies (Iran, Hezb’Allah, Iraq and Russia).
2. “Gaza had; Periodic rounds of unrest”. Unrest is Zionazi code for repeated war crimes by the IDF such as saturation bombing of civilians, use of chemical weapon and permanent blockade leading to the deaths of thousands of people, mainly women and children. The aim of this relentless aggression by the Israeli govt is to replace the Palestinian resistance organization Hamas by an Israeli puppet regime which will hand over control of Gaza’s offshore gasfield to an Anglo-Zio-Capitalist energy company.
3. “It is hard to see any substantial impact”. Israel govt soothing syrup to quell Zionazi anxiety.
Lasst mich schlaaaaafffffffffen.
For those not familiar with Wagner’s Ring, the Dragon’s last words before being scotched:
“Ich lieg’ und besitz’: laßt mich schlafen!”
I lie and possess: let me sleep.
“The video said that despite tensions in the region the possibility of a new war in in the near future was relatively low because no regional player was interested in it.
The only side, which could be interested in the conflict, was the United States.”
The israelis are very much interested in stoking conflict in their Muslim neighbors. Why do you think they keep attacking Syria?
With their terrorist proxies all but defeated, and recruitment way down, the zionazis needed a spark to reignite the fire again. This move by their boi toi trump is the spark.
Without chaos in the region, there will be no terror army to attack Lebanon and Iran and Kurdish proxies won’t be interested in dismembering turkey. Without chais and terrorist proxies, there will be no fulfillment of the yinon plan and a greater israel.
Trump has done a fantastic thing by giving the casino rabbi’s exactly what they want. Enough rope to hang themselves. Recognizing Jerusalem as the capitol of the entity is in line with anglo/zionist policy – nothing new here. Trump is certainly no more or no less reactionary than any other US adminstration – the US is completely controlled by reactionary sociopaths.
However, Trump is not your average politico whore – Trump is all for the United States of Trump. This is why most of the oligarchy is against him – certainly the continuos barrage by the MSM presstitutes demonstrates this.
The head chopper mercs are finished – the iof was finished back in 2006 and soon the power of the US dollar will be eclipsed. So what does a hustler from Queens do?…Cut bait naturally. Same way as the US ultimately cut bait on Vietnam and more recently the Ukraine.
All the grown ups know that the anglo zionist nightmare is coming to an end in the ME. The defeat of the Roman Legions of Barbarians – aka as the merc head choppers was the last gasp of the empire. Any direct conflict between the iof/US and the axis of resistance will lead to a humiliating defeat of the zionist and an exodus on the scale of the collapse of the European African colonies on the 1960’s and 1970’s. Time to cut a deal.
Yes, Trump by recognizing Jerusalem as the Capital of ISISraHell, he has basically stab back NutnyaWoos in the back. Well done Trump!
@ DannyO
Although I don’t think Trump intentionally gave the Israeli’s ‘enough rope to hang themselves’, everyone in the area, plus US advisors (inc. family members), know that the decision has put a major big-bomb war on the cards. I believe that was intentional.
This interesting article is about the preparations prominent Jews in conjunction with the state of Israel are making in S. America. Hundreds of thousands of empty houses built on Sorros aligned (who himself owns a 1 million acre ranch there) Joe Lewis land, plus air strips and submarine bases implies that the Israelis are not anticipating a gradual take over of ‘Greater Israel’, but a major war that leaves the whole territory uninhabitable for a while.
http://www.voltairenet.org/article198968.html
I don’t believe the Zionist nightmare in the ME is ending. On the contrary. It would seem reasonable to suppose that withdrawing US interests (including commercial), influence and presence in the region would precede a major hot escalation.
The only change in the US stance and objective of the current administration is that this escalation is not primarily about securing oil allegiances any longer, but very conspicuously about Israel.
The promotion of trump, no matter what his zionazi regime does, has become as absurd and fanatical as zionazi hasbara. Could that be because trump, and what he represents, is zionazi hasbara?
Do black bears deficate in the woods…?
Now its pretty obvious what is happening. ISIS has almost been defeated in Syria, contrary to US geopolitical plans. Yet the US is occupying part of Syrian territory, without permission of the Syrian Government and in total disregard for international law. Those troops are there for a purpose. Trump accepts Jerusalem as Israels capital, hoping to provoke a reaction, which it is already getting, although this reaction is not as strong as many expected, at least not for now. The US needs a new conflict in the Middle East, in which it will get involved. However, I doubt very much if too much planning went into this latest venture, just like too much planning did not go into the decision to send the US Navy to the North Korean coast. The US has already fought in the Middle East. It obviously wants to fight again, without fully grasping what the reaction would be in the world, although it has grasped what the reaction would be in the Middle East. During last years elections, Trump promised to concentrate on US internal affairs. He has not done so, continuing to pursue Wall Streets globalist, imperial ambitions. The US has been losing huge amounts of credibility since the end of the Second World War, and it has very little left. Nobody likes to be a victim of an imperial power. The Washington political establishment has trouble accepting this, living in the past.
hhmm..is usa staying close at hand to support its friend Israel when they blame others for hosting “anti-israeli forces”, for both to attack them every direction possible, wherever possible, bypassing nato bases (if there any) in Turkey??
None of this will happen.
There will be a contra-coup in KSA by pissed off ex-ISIS
headchoppers courtesy of Langley. Noone is allowed to
leave the petro-$$$. Saudi oil will go offline. Oil prices will rise,
allowing for the US oil industry to survive a bit more
(since 2014 it is underwater, fracking is expensive).
Well at a meeting with fellow Muslim leaders in Istanbul, at the emergency Islamic summit, called in response to Donald Trump’s decision to recognize Jerusalem as Israel’s capital:
https://www.rt.com/news/412942-erdogan-trump-jerusalem-decision/
Erdogan is calling for world states to recognize East Jerusalem as the capital of Palestine. Abbas also stated that US no longer can be a mediator etc.
If anything its bringing all the Muslim world together:
http://theduran.com/iranian-president-rouhani-iran-willing-to-cooperate-with-all-muslim-nations-on-palestine/
“Brigadier General Haj Qassem Soleimani sent a verbal letter, via Russia, to the head of the US forces commander in Syria, advising him to pull out all US forces to the last soldier “or the doors of hell will open up”.”
I hope the neotards enjoy their punch in the mouth.
Looks like the Israelis are now showing their hand – how much of this was pre-planned with Kushner/Trump?:
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201712131059976003-israel-invites-saudi-arabia-mediator/
“Saudi newspapers have reported that Israel has invited Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to their country to lead peace negotiations between Israel and Palestine as a sign of the rapidly warming relations between the Gulf Kingdom and the Jewish State……”
Hmm, seems the exceptionals haven’t noticed or listened to what came out of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation…….
V
You beat me to posting that. :-)
The trump regime gets their orders from tel aviv. Even down to which tie trump wears for his cameo performances.
This is zionazi, inc’s “Hungarian offensive”*. A desperate Israeli attempt to resuscitate dying quislings abroad (trump regime and the saudi aligned gofers), while propping up the most extremist sector of the zionazi freakshow in israel, (the sods are all extremists, but those solidifying power there now make brevik appear sane). This is israeli cloud cuckooland far nazi right making their move. The trump regime are mere toys of theirs. The psychotic govno that will be coming from this crowd will mimic the last days of nazi germany. In fact, one can get a idea of this freakshow, it’s extreme psychopathy, from the various eastern europe right wingers they’ve been fronting. The ukronazis in particular. Likewise, from the hard core trump dittoheads. All of these being not just quislings of these wackjobs, but full fledged deciples.
*The last major offensive of the nazi regime was to attack the Russians in Hungary, presumably to stave off their final defeat in Berlin. It failed.
There are no regional players interested in another War in the Levant. However Israel is, for invasion purposes.
Gaza and Palestine have been utilised for “Distraction” many times in the last decade. Provoking another Gaza War reminds me of the last Gaza War in 2013 which provided a “Distraction” for what was going on in Syria and Libya and also the buildup to the Ukraine Coup.
I remember being on Twitter in 2013 as an Activist for Palestine and not much else. I was targeted by people in Ukraine alerting me to NAZI movements there. And my love of History at school and “Background to WW1 & WW2” showed me that the last Gaza War was indeed a cloaking device for global distraction away from what was happening in the Ukraine and that lead me to investigate what the previous Gaza Wars were about. And with no previous in depth knowledge of the Libya or Syria Wars and having never previously reached out to anyone in those Countries I was sick with shock and outrage at what the Gaza Wars of the last few years were covering up.
So, personally I believe that there is something else going on. And Activists have learned their lesson in great numbers I hope. The new younger ones that have been introduced to Social Media Activism from the West first and foremost by the rise of Social Media and Activism for Palestine. Now they have a wider understanding of other Countries and other Conflicts.
I think Libya is not over. The fight to cling on to power in Libya by the Zionists despite knowingly they have only their Al Qaeda, ISIS leader support there and their continued scramble to cling to them while scrabbling to find candidates for the Elections in 2018 that will be loyal to their corruption – and the deliberate trafficking of Slaves and people across Niger where the US has been training Ansar Al Islam, Al Qaeda, ISIS and indeed a Syria like unity of all of the Terrorist Groups is worth keeping an eye on. The US cannot afford the unpopularity of yet another Yemen by starting another War there, or bombing such a torn and poor Country where the people are on their knees in poverty but still willing to Martyr in their many thousands rather than capitulate. Libya is a new type of Conflict which is open use of Mafia and Mafia Tactics to extremes. All of the horror that we see there is Zionist and US orchestrated. It’s a two pronged attack. Profiteering from People Trafficking in such great numbers the World has never seen anything like it, and targeting Europe as Blackmail as the consequences Financially are crippling. As it is financially crippling to the United Nations. So it’s a deliberately orchestrated Policy to cripple the United Nations which has fallen out of California Control with the introduction into the UN Policy arena with China’s Sustainable Development Policy. UNESCO of course has been totally abandoned.
The US Ramping up of forces in Afghanistan is worth watching as well. Afghanistan War has been going on for so many decades now most have got used to it. And ignore it. But with the China Silk Road – CPEC Project and the Gwadar Port in Baluchistan, Pakistan has swung East to protect itself. USA are financing Fazlullah to continue the False Flag attacks in Afghanistan and Pakistan and there are moves to break BRICS in a similar way to to what happened in Brazil by setting China and India against each other. China looks big, and successful but pressure is building up like a pressure cooker and it will be worthwhile to look out for Insurgencies along it’s northern flank in border Countries between Russia and China while South Korea simmers with seething Zionism and unwanted occupation on China’s South Side. I foresee that the largest US Base in History on Qatar is going to remain to be busy and it’s targeting east. The US used the defeat of ISIS as an excuse to build that Base to such high levels and indeed the creation of ISIS was used to put it there in the first place. So now there is a very dangerous and huge US Military Base in the Gulf and for anyone believing that the US has defeated ISIS, the US is arming and training ISIS in Niger in numbers similar to Iraq in 2006, and indeed their numbers in Niger are already bigger than in Iraq in 2006.
The US use of People Trafficking to weaken and distract Europe via Libya and Africa is a new tactic and one that works. The US is not going to stop that. Africa is one to watch. And then of course there is Latin America where Venzuela will not be benefitting from higher Oil Prices due to Sanctions on them and a US Backed Insurgency that looks like a cross between ISIS and the NAZI’s in Ukraine. Jorge Arrezzea was in London in September showing some horrific footage.
The Palestinians are being used yet again as a Distraction. And those that look to Syria and the Levant to figure it out are missing the fact that the US is powerfully ensconced in Qatar and they are making tracks at a fast pace towards Pakistan and their Target the EEU. The US is mounting up in Niger and the Sehel which will put pressure on Europe and indeed they will blame Europe for PR Purposes. Italy has been properly set up and shafted. So in case the Distraction of Palestine doesn’t fool the global activists again the USA has the North African distraction sewn up and under way. And it’s only going to get worse.
The only question left to answer is can the US afford it? The Military Spend is huge – the budget is huge, but they are spread thinly and widely. OPEC has increased Oil Prices, and yes, the US Finance Sector will certainly benefit from that. But with a Population in the US and the UK (where one in 200 people are now officially homeless) facing rising inflation and no manufacturing or jobs of any worth to fall back on, will the resulting suffering of the Populations in the resulting Recession (which will be hidden by the boom in the Finance Sector) be the trigger for change this time?
In the past the US and Western Populations have put up with indecent Recessions as their Govts mug them off to fund Imperialism. But with the rise of Social Media and connectivity, the impact this time will certainly be very different from past history. And in the UK we are already beginning to see that swing. Populations are not in the dark any more.