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Saker Message:
Please visit Andrei’s website: https://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/ and support him here: https://www.patreon.com/bePatron?u=60459185
Martyanov begins the New Year with a snowplow of facts.
He demolishes the BS from all sides.
Complex war,. On military, Blinken said he wanted an insurrection style war as that was the kind of wars the US couldn’t win. The analogy would be Vietnam where you were fighting an army and insurgency. The problem with fighting the army is that Russia has sworn off napalm, cluster bombs, depleted uranium, tactical nukes all of which the US used, so no one is afraid enough of the big bad bear to “negotiate.” Weapon systems are mobile, and himars take out football fields, and somehow they got them in. What the Ukrainians have is better battle field intelligence from satellites, electrronic spy planes, and AWACs. Russia seems short AWACS as we see Ukrainian helecopters flying around no problem “below the electical lines” or ten feet off the ground. Putin’s speach to the military seemed to be they needed more drones, spotting drones, and why not AWAC drones. From China, or build your own? The “insurgency thing,” ranger wars and insurgencies is we see on TV and in movies – Rambo heroes with a machine gun. Right now the war is a too “rule based” to be dangerous. The American public is not afraid, even of inflation now. We are on our way to vaccine heaven.
We shall see as things get hotter.
I just don’t see how, given where the existing contact line is now – the advantages of geography and the logistics chain, both of which favour RF, can be overcome in a war of attrition.
How do Polish/US/other troops – in large numbers – get to the line of contact continuously, without being killed. How do supplies (fuel, food, ammo, repair parts) follow them when the rail system (electric) can be taken off line, and also not be destroyed?
Traveling at night and in small numbers is one thing, and those small numbers can add up over time, but if concentrated in any fashion, that sets up the grouping for more effective artillery bombardment (as well as risk of cut off from re-supply). This seems to be what has taken place in at least some fashion/instances in Bakhmut and the Kherson area.
I’ll expand on a comment I made on another thread: Muricans in general, not just DC Bubble People, are always surprised when anyone fights back against The Greatest Nation In History, and that ties into and reinforces another very strong tendency in Muricans: they are very, VERY averse to taking casualties.
That’s one strong reason the US armed forces only fight equals or even near-equals when forced to do so, and why the sanguinary American Civil War, over 150 years ago now, still exerts such a powerful influence on US political and military thinking: Muricans get really pissy when it’s their offspring paying the price for the military and/or political ambitions of their “leaders”.
It would be great if we could get Transcripts for Andrei Martyanov’s videos. I personally would prefer to read rather than watch 30 min + videos. It’s must faster & less annoying.
You know that YouTube gives transcripts don’t you?
Go to YouTube ( app on Android, other platforms maybe same.) Below the title there is a description click on ‘more’
You’ll come to an expansion, at bottom there is a button labeled transcript.
Click on it and get the transcript displayed.
If you can read faster than he talks, can you listen faster……hit the speed icon and speed up the dialogue, easy listen at 1.5/1.75 speed…..
Cheers M
. . . and remove Andrei’s quirkiness of delivery, that’s half the enjoyment.
Hollande backs up Merkel’s ass.
You look around Europe at the mediocre political trash representing themselves representing us and you think to yourself, fracking scary, how did we get here . . . . and then you remember Hollande, that vain spineless bespectacled frog, sandwiched between two little Napoleons, the former, SarkoZy, who went begging bowl in hand to Gaddafi for his Presidential campaign funding, yet gave an impassioned victorious speech to the Libyan Liberators a few hours after his sponsor was brutally assassinated, while the latter, naughty pupil man-child Macron shills for Rothschild & Co, the War Party.
Hollande and Merkel both confirmed within days of each other that they were playing silly buggers with the Russians during Minsk 1 and Minsk 2. Blatant, unabashed and unashamed!!! I think the Eurotrash (I call them Eurotrash because that is what they have become ever since they began whoring themselves to the U.S. Neocons from around 911) have been duplicitous in their dealings with Russia for at least the last 2, if not 3, decades, since the days of Yeltsin in the wake of the collapse of the Soviet Union. The great threat of the big communist bear was gone and Russia had been cut back down to their size.
Russia, ever sincere and honourable might have suspected it, but always gave their peers the benefit of the doubt. The mask however has slipped, as it inevitably must when the wolf bares its teeth prior to devouring Goldilocks, and Hollande, Merkel, the EU (with its cast of clowns led by Van der Leyen) and the US Ruling Class have been exposed as the deceitful, lying, perfidious bottom-dwellers that they have always been.
Note that I include the US Ruling Class or Neocons or however you want to depict them, because there is no doubt that it is they who give the EU and the Eurotrash their riding instructions – to the letter!
Russia can never take these circus animals seriously ever again.
Dear Mr Martyanov, the SVO is close to going on for a year now, and a difficult one for all concerned.
What have been the lessons learned by the (former Allied) Russian forces?
It is impossible to get any meaning insights from the usual suspects. We know from the ongoing successes that the Russians are quick at adapting to evolving situations and provocations employed by USATOrganism and willingness to change tactics.
Thank you and a Happy New Year.