With an Ansarallah takeover of Yemen, Asia’s trade and connectivity projects could expand into some of the world’s most strategic waterways
By Pepe Escobar, posted with the author’s permission and cross-posted with TheCradle
The usual suspects tried everything against Yemen.
First, coercing it into ‘structural reform.’ When that didn’t work, they instrumentalized takfiri mercenaries. They infiltrated and manipulated the Muslim Brotherhood, Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), ISIS. They used US drones and occasional marines.
And then, in 2015, they went Total Warfare: a UN-backed rogue coalition started bombing and starving Yemenis into submission – with barely a peep from the denizens of the ‘rules-based international order.’
The coalition – House of Saud, Qatar, UAE, US, UK – for all practical purposes, embarked on a final solution for Yemen.
Sovereignty and unity were never part of the deal. Yet soon the project stalled. Saudis and Emiratis were fighting each other for primacy in southern and eastern Yemen using mercenaries. In April 2017, Qatar clashed with both Saudis and Emiratis. The coalition started to unravel.
Now we reach a crucial inflexion point. Yemeni Armed Forces and allied fighters from Popular Committees, backed by a coalition of tribes, including the very powerful Murad, are on the verge of liberating strategic, oil and natural gas-rich Marib – the last stronghold of the House of Saud-backed mercenary army.
Tribal leaders are in the capital Sanaa talking to the quite popular Ansarallah movement to organize a peaceful takeover of Marib. So this process is in effect the result of a wide-ranging national interest deal between the Houthis and the Murad tribe.
The House of Saud, for its part, is allied with the collapsing forces behind former president Abd Rabbuh Mansur Hadi, as well as political parties such as Al-Islah, Yemen’s Muslim Brotherhood. They have been incapable of resisting Ansarallah.
A repeat scenario is now playing in the western coastal port of Hodeidah, where takfiri mercenaries have vanished from the province’s southern and eastern districts.
Yemen’s Defense Minister Mohammad al-Atefi, talking to Lebanon’s al-Akhbar newspaper, stressed that, “according to strategic and military implications…we declare to the whole world that the international aggression against Yemen has already been defeated.”
It’s not a done deal yet – but we’re getting there.
Hezbollah, via its Executive Council Chairman Hashim Safieddine, adds to the context, stressing how the current diplomatic crisis between Lebanon and Saudi Arabia is directly linked to Mohammad bin Salman’s (MbS) fear and impotence when confronted with the liberation of strategic Marib and Hezbollah’s unwavering support for Yemen throughout the war.
A fabricated ‘civil war’
So how did we get here?
Venturing beyond the excellent analysis by Karim Shami here on The Cradle, some geoeconomic background is essential to understanding what’s really going on in Yemen.
For at least half a millennium before the Europeans started to show up, the ruling classes in southern Arabia built the area into a prime hub of intellectual and commercial exchange. Yemen became the prized destination of Prophet Muhammad’s descendants; by the 11th century they had woven solid spiritual and intellectual links with the wider world.
By the end of the 19th century, as noted in Isa Blumi’s outstanding Destroying Yemen (University of California Press, 2018), a “remarkable infrastructure that harnessed seasonal rains to produce a seemingly endless amount of wealth attracted no longer just disciples and descendants of prophets, but aggressive agents of capital seeking profits.”
Soon we had Dutch traders venturing on terraced hills covered in coffee beans clashing with Ottoman Janissaries from Crimea, claiming them for the Sultan in Istanbul.
By the post-modern era, those “aggressive agents of capital seeking profits” had reduced Yemen to one of the advanced battlegrounds of the toxic mix between neoliberalism and Wahhabism.
The Anglo-American axis, since the Afghan jihad in the 1980s, promoted, financed and instrumentalized an essentialist, ahistorical version of ‘Islam’ that was simplistically reduced to Wahhabism: a deeply reactionary social engineering movement led by an antisocial front based in Arabia.
That operation shaped a shallow version of Islam sold to western public opinion as antithetical to universal – as in ‘rules-based international order’ – values. Hence, essentially anti-progressive. Yemen was at the frontline of this cultural and historical perversion.
Yet the promoters of the war unleashed in 2015 – a gloomy celebration of humanitarian imperialism, complete with carpet bombing, embargoes, and widespread forced starvation – did not factor in the role of the Yemeni Resistance. Much as it happened with the Taliban in Afghanistan.
The war was a perverse manipulation by US, UK, French, Israeli and minions Saudi, Emirati and Qatari intel agencies. It was never a ‘civil war’ – as the hegemonic narrative goes – but an engineered project to reverse the gains of Yemen’s own ‘Arab Spring.’
The target was to return Yemen back to a mere satellite in Saudi Arabia’s backyard. And to ensure that Yemenis never dare to even dream of regaining their historic role as the economic, spiritual, cultural and political reference for a great deal of the Indian Ocean universe.
Add to the narrative the simplistic trope of blaming Shia Iran for supporting the Houthis. When it was clear that coalition mercenaries would fail to stop the Yemeni Resistance, a new narrative was birthed: the war was important to provide ‘security’ for the Saudi hacienda facing an ‘Iran-backed’ enemy.
That’s how Ansarallah became cast as Shia Houthis fighting Saudis and local ‘Sunni’ proxies. Context was thrown to the dogs, as in the vast, complex differences between Muslims in Yemen – Sufis of various orders, Zaydis (Houthis, the backbone of the Ansarallah movement, are Zaydis), Ismailis, and Shafii Sunnis – and the wider Islamic world.
Yemen goes BRI
So the whole Yemen story, once again, is essentially a tragic chapter of Empire attempting to plunder Third World/Global South wealth.
The House of Saud played the role of vassals seeking rewards. They do need it, as the House of Saud is in desperate financial straits that include subsidizing the US economy via mega-contracts and purchasing US debt.
The bottom line: the House of Saud won’t survive unless it dominates Yemen. The future of MBS is totally leveraged on winning his war, not least to pay his bills for western weapons and technical assistance already used. There are no definitive figures, but according to a western intel source close to the House of Saud, that bill amounted to at least $500 billion by 2017.
The stark reality made plain by the alliance between Ansarallah and major tribes is that Yemen refuses to surrender its national wealth to subsidize the Empire’s desperate need of liquidity, collateral for new infusions of cash, and thirst for commodities. Stark reality has absolutely nothing to do with the imperial narrative of Yemen as ‘pre-modern tribal traditions’ averse to change, thus susceptible to violence and mired in endless ‘civil war.’
And that brings us to the enticing ‘another world is possible’ angle when the Yemeni Resistance finally extricates the nation from the grip of the hawkish, crumbling neoliberal/Wahhabi coalition.
As the Chinese very well know, Yemen is rich not only in the so far unexplored oil and gas reserves, but also in gold, silver, zinc, copper and nickel.
Beijing also knows all there is to know about the ultra-strategic Bab al Mandab between Yemen’s southwestern coast and the Horn of Africa. Moreover, Yemen boasts a series of strategically located Indian Ocean ports and Red Sea ports on the way to the Mediterranean, such as Hodeidah.
These waterways practically scream Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and especially the Maritime Silk Road – with Yemeni ports complementing China’s only overseas naval base in Djibouti, where roads and railways connect to Ethiopia.
The Ansarallah–tribal alliance may even, in the medium to long term, exercise full control for access to the Suez Canal.
One very possible scenario is Yemen joining the ‘string of pearls’ – ports linked by the BRI across the Indian Ocean. There will, of course, be major pushback by proponents of the ‘Indo-Pacific’ agenda. That’s where the Iranian connection enters the picture.
BRI in the near future will feature the progressive interconnection between the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) – with a special role for the port of Gwadar – and the emerging China–Iran corridor that will traverse Afghanistan. The port of Chabahar in Iran, only 80 km away from Gwadar, will also bloom, whether by definitive commitments by India or a possible future takeover by China.
Warm links between Iran and Yemen will translate into renewed Indian Ocean trade, without Sanaa depending on Tehran, as it is essentially self-sufficient in energy and already manufactures its own weapons. Unlike the Saudi vassals of Empire, Iran will certainly invest in the Yemeni economy.
The Empire will not take any of this lightly. There are plenty of similarities with the Afghan scenario. Afghanistan is now set to be integrated into the New Silk Roads – a commitment shared by the SCO. Now it’s not so far-fetched to picture Yemen as a SCO observer, integrated to BRI and profiting from Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) packages. Stranger things have happened in the ongoing Eurasia saga.
Pepe’s quote from The Cradle: a “remarkable infrastructure that harnessed seasonal rains to produce … ”
echoes The Bible: “… a Garden Eastward in Aden” — Genesis, 2:8
Dr. Maroudas,
The myths of Al Yaman are epic. A veritable garden of Eden, before its BCE biblical destruction.
Indeed Ma’rib is East of Aden, as was the ancient dam that sustained the land.
Various dynasties and pre-Roman super powers became so powerful and arrogant, they crossed all bounds. And they lost that paradise, and are scraping by to this day in a hard land..
The famous throne of the Queen of Sheba is the least of it. Thousands of years ago, one of their Warlords conquered Tibet with 20,000 troops; I wonder if they’re among the ancestors of the current people?
The people of the Hadramawt region are among most enterprising and savvy businessmen on Earth, with roots throughout the Indian Ocean basin, from southern Africa to Indonesia. I have walked through their bazaars, and they really have the Midas touch! Former Malaysian President Tun Dr. Mahathir bin Mohamad is among their descendants.
https://image3.slideserve.com/6795928/the-trading-world-of-the-indian-ocean-basin-600-1600-c-e-l.jpg
Aden is for Adam. In one version of the Fall of mankind from the Garden, our Father Adam descended here, then he went looking for Eve, who had landed in India (hence its beauty, fragrances, spices and verdant soil).
A Yemeni elder told me they consider the current war of NATZO on their land to be a War of Eschatology, on behalf of Israel. He said Israeli Jews believe their doom will come from Yemen; like Pharaoh eliminating Israelite firstborn males, they are trying to preempt future woes..
Did you hear anything like this?
For sure Yemen is being assaulted with unholy mercilessness, but they are survivors to easily rival the Pashtun. They will outlast their tormenters.
Incidentally, that exceptionally arrogant Pharaoh who abused the ancient Israelites, and whose hosts even followed them into the parted Red Sea, was said to be an Amalekite arab, of same tribe as the Patriarch Abraham. Amalekites went on to do corruption in many other lands too.
The Amalekites were among the numerous Yemeni diaspora!
So perhaps ancient grudges are now being repaid, by the same ones keeping simultaneous score with Germans and other European peoples who used to have ghettoes and pogroms.
@A.H. H
Would you mind telling me where did you read all this stuff?
The History of al-Tabari by SUNY is an excellent source, translated and accessible in the English language:
http://www.sunypress.edu/showproduct.aspx?ProductID=4511&SEName=set-history-of-al-tabari
al-Tabari was one of the most renowned Historians of early Islamic history, dying in Baghdad around 923 CE. The SUNY translation above is of his work, “The History of the Prophets and Kings.” It covers the period from Creation to 915 CE, and is up today authoritative on early Muslim and Middle Eastern history.
I also have many educated arab friends and professional acquaintances, with knowledge of this shared history and folklore, who confirm what I read in al-Tabari.
thank you for the link, Very interesting stuff.
As far as concerns the current situation in Yemen and Tabari’s History, I am quoting the following from the introduction of the work:
“The Jews assume that they can consider the total (age of the
world) from God’s creation of Adam to the time of the hijrah
as firmly established at 4,642 years according to what is clearly
stated in their Torah-the one they possess today.” They have
made a detailed count by indicating the birth and death of each
man and prophet from the time of Adam to the hijrah of our
prophet Muhammad. I hope to mention those details and other
detailed counts made by scholars from among the people of the
Scriptures and other scholars expert in biography and history
when I get to it, if God wills.
The Greek Christians assume that the Jewish claim in this re-
spect is false . According to their view of the sequence in the Torah
that they possess, the duration of the days of this world from
the creation of Adam to the time of the hijrah of our Prophet
Muhammad is properly stated at 5,992 years and some months.
They have made a detailed count to support their claim by indicating
the birth and death of each prophet and ruler from the age
of Adam to the hijrah of the Messenger of God. They assume that
the smaller number of years in the Jewish chronology as against
that of the Christians results from the fact that the Jews rejected
the prophethood of Jesus, the son of Mary, since (for them) his description
and the time of his being sent (as a prophet) are firmly
established in the Torah. They say: The time that is fixed for us
in the Torah for the person whose description is that of Jesus has
not yet come. They believe that they are waiting for his appearance
and his time.
I think that the person whom they are waiting for, claiming that
his description is firmly established in the Torah, is the Antichrist
(al-Dajjal), whom the Messenger of God has described to his nation.
He mentioned to them that most of the Antichrist’s followers
will be Jews.”
The Yemeni freedom fighters today have a very distinctive war cry: “God is Great. Death to USA. Death to Israel. Curse on the Jews. Victory to “surrender to God” (ie. Islam).”
The question that arises here, is that how did Mohamad know in circa 600 AD, that the Jews would end up making up most of the Antichrist’s followers when the Hour finally came?
Pepe tends to focus exclusively on the geopolitical aspects, but as far as matters in the Middle East are concerned, what is happening today is seemingly on a totally eschatological-religious footing.
Here we are, precisely 1400 years after Mohamad’s hijra, and one hundred years ago (give or take) the Jews have risen out of oblivion, calling themselves Zionists now, and they have instituted a death cult whereby the blood of millions has been spilled in the Middle East. And who is standing against them? Not the Muslims of the Sunni or traditional branch (Saudi, Turkey, Pakistan, UAE, etc), but the followers of Mohamad’s blood lineage, ie. Fatima/Ali, Hasan, Hosein, etc, eg. the Houthis, Hezbollah, Hashd al-Shaabi, and the ones whose name must not be spoken aloud, whose name starts with the letter ‘I’.
You can’t make this stuff up.
Tabari then continues:
“The Magians assume that the duration of time from King
Jayumart to the time of the hijrah of our Prophet is 3,139
years. They do not combine that with a known genealogy beyond
Jayfimart, assuming that Jayumart is Adam, the father of
mankind-May God pray for and give peace to him and all the
prophets and messengers of God!”
The Magians, from whose name the Europeans derived the word magic, were the ancestors of the Iranians of today. And what do we know about them? First and foremost, that they invented the concept of “the Adversary”, the Savior, heaven, hell, angels, demons, the resurrection, judgement day, the hereafter, and the singular God, long before Christ was born. And they were engaged in a battle against the forces of the Adversary as their entire reason for existence. To clarify, these people believed that the world was a battle ground between the forces of life, light and creation and the forces of darkness, death, and destruction, and the point of mankind’s presence was to fight for life.
If the US-Zionist terrorist regime is not a living symbol of death, darkness and destruction, then I don’t know what they are.
As far as the few remaining Magians today are concerned, Jesus Christ picked up the battle against the Adversary, as did Mohamad after him. But the majority of the followers of Mohamad and Jesus; do they live to challenge the Adversary today? Is the main purpose of their life on earth to fight the forces of darkness and destruction? Or is their main purpose to earn money, buy things, pay their rent or mortgage, send their children to good schools where they are taught how to earn money and buy things in turn, and such?
As far as the few remaining Magians today are concerned, the followers of Mohamad and Jesus have for the most part dropped the ball. And this brings us to the Yemenis.
“God is Great. Death to USA. Death to Israel. Curse on the Jews. Victory to the followers of God.”
And while Pepe sees all of this as part of BRI/Eurasian integration geopolitics, the Yemenis who are fighting to the death against the Satanic forces of US/UK/Saudi/UAE/Israel, absolutely do not see it that way.
Back to Tabari once more:
“One day the Messenger of God addressed his companions when the sun
had almost set and only a small sliver of it remained visible. He
said: By the One Who holds the soul of Muhammad in His hand!
As compared to what remains of our (life in this) world, that which
has passed is like what remains of this day as compared to what
has passed of it, and you will see only a little (more) of the sun.”
“The Messenger of God said:
When I was sent, I and the Hour were like these two-holding his
index and middle fingers together.”
So, is the world 7000 years old? I don’t know, but the academic world instituted by the US-Zionist terror regime is adamant that it is not.
Is the end drawing near? Again, I don’t know. But this is the mentality of the Houthi freedom fighters, or the Hezbollahis (which Australia listed as a terrorist group yesterday); a mentality which you do not hear about from any media outlet in the world, because the people whose main concern is earning an income and buying stuff must be protected from this parallel reality at all costs.
I am afraid that as controversial as this may sound, the bottom line is very clear cut: the world is divided between two groups of people today;
1. The people who work 8 hours a day to support a global regime of industrialized death and destruction.
2. The people who believe that their purpose on the earth is to fight the Adversary.
The more the first group go to work and perform their functions, the harder the struggle becomes for the second group.
And I would like to end all this by calling everyone’s attention, especially the Saker’s, to the early Christians. What was their position as far as all this was concerned? How did they feel about trade/commerce/business and essentially all the social norms of the pagan Romans? And is the world today not witnessing a massive resurgence of those Roman norms, whether in China, Russia, the West, or anywhere else?
The battle is not between East and West. The battle is between industrialized death magic, polluting the air, water, soil on a historically unprecedented scale, feeding people poisonous fruits and vegetables drenched with carcinogenic pesticides, attacking life on this planet with bioweapons, etc, etc, and on the other side, life, just plain and simple — life.
What modern man calls life and living, this dystopian techno-hell where the species supposedly can’t even survive anymore without total “vaccination”, is not life.
I wonder if the mods will allow the viewpoint of the “terrorists” to be published here, hmm?
Thank you, very interesting!
“Afghanistan is now set to be integrated into the New Silk Roads… Now it’s not so far-fetched to picture Yemen … integrated to BRI and profiting from … the ongoing Eurasia saga.”
A saga that goes back more than 5,000 years along the Old Silk Roads… See “The Shape of Ancient Thought” (trade in goods and ideas across Eurasia) by Thomas McAvillay.
Yemen: strategic geographic location, strategic natural resources.
It is quite simple. Like a rich, beautiful girl.
The religious history fueled the fervor of the fight, but location and minerals is the essence of the war.
when you add in socotra this is one of the most important strategic locations in the world.
ABSOLUTELY, I am glad you reminded the readers.
About four years ago, Professor Michel Chossudovsky published this article:
Yemen and The Militarization of Strategic Waterways: Securing US Control over Socotra Island and the Gulf of Aden
https://www.globalresearch.ca/yemen-and-the-militarization-of-strategic-waterways-2/17460
Hopefully the failed bloody fiasco in Yemen will lead in due course to the downfall of Bonesaw Bin Salman and all the fake moslem gangsters running Shady Wahabia. They have been in bed with the fake Jew gangsters of the Zionist Regime for decades, constantly stabbing real moslems in the back. And hopefully one day soon Riyadh will look like Aleppo. And the western gangster regimes that have enabled it all can then live with the blowback.
The whole war in Yemen was about the strategic port.
Think about it…
Yemen’s port is pretty much shut down during the war
Lebanon’s port is blown up mysteriously…and its corrupt government refuses China to rebuild it?
Israel just recently had a high tech port built by China and it was completed just earlier this year and another port being built and will completed soon.
Competition is a bitch…
“The whole war in Yemen was about the strategic port.”
Naah, according to the MsM, the war was supposedly launched to reinstall the Western-backed President Hadi.
Hadi had been elected in a UN-imposed process in which no opposition was allowed. This single-candidate “election” in 2012 was for a 2-year term in office but Hadi unilaterally extended his own term by an additional year in 2014. This was scheduled to end February of 2015 but never happened because Hadi resigned in January 2015, and the Saudis launched the war in March of 2015.
How anybody could claim Hadi was legitimately president of anything is beyond me.
Socatra Island and the UAE’s* occupation of this Yemeni territory, when is this going to receive the recognition it deserves in this larger panoply of geopolitical events?
* Other parties as well, that is, the ‘Usual Suspects.’
You are completely correct. “Socatra Island and the UAE’s+usual suspects occupation of this Yemeni territory” is another reason for the war. Yemen is extremely strategically placed if you want military control the region.
Basically the war was a cover for sinister motivations.
To disable Arab control of the strategic ports and Socatra Island.
“Usual suspect” have no consideration of lives destroyed in the process”
Trade like China, mediate like Russia, plan like Iran, fight like a Houthi.
Great quote. I’d like to modify it as “… fight like a Houthi or a Russian”, given the tenacity of the ‘Soviet storm’ in the WW2.