The situation in the Ukraine today is one of chaotic infighting in Novorussia and Banderastan.
Novorussia:
Aleksandr Zakharchenko |
The first sign of trouble became visible with Strelkov had to urgently come back to Donetsk to prevent the behind-the-scenes negotiations apparently taking place between some officials of the DNR and Ukie oligarchs including Akhmetov. Then came the news of the sudden removal of Strelkov followed by an almost simultaneous removal of most of the Novorussian leadership. In spite of that, the Novorussian leadership (Zakharchenko & Co.) appeared to be more than worthy successors to Strelkov and they did a stellar job implementing the counter-offensive plans apparently developed by Strelkov. Then came the Minsk negotiations with little-covered reports of an attempted coup by Vladimir Antiufeev who, before that, had been in charge of state security under Strelkov. Apparently, this coup was directed at Zakharchenko and it failed. What then happened to Antiufeev is still unclear, at least to me. Last I read he was being interrogated.
Aleksandr Khodakovskii |
Then, this week, something really bizarre happened: first, a very controversial figure – Bezler – was appointed by somebody (it is still unclear by whom exactly) as the Head of the Intelligence Service of Novorussia. Soon after, it was also announced that four top military commanders – Bezler, Khodakovskii and two *unknown figures* (?) – had agreed that all the Novorussian Armed Forces would be placed under the command of General Korsun. Problem: nobody had ever heard of any “General Korsun” and even the Speaker of the Novorussian Parliament, Oleg Tsarev, declared that the political leadership of Novorussia had not been consulted about these plans. As for Strelkov, he expressed his total lack of info about Korsun. Weird, to say the least. And most definitely not good.
It appears that a number of distinct but linked processes are simultaneously taking place:
1) a militia force composed of volunteers is being transformed into a regular army under a single military command subordinated to political authorities. At least, that is the theory, but so far this has not been achieved.
2) various military Novorussian commanders have different views on key issues (such as the Minsk Agreement) and personal ambitions (Khodakovski?).
3) Moscow is exerting pressure on the Novorussian leaders to get them to comply with the Kremlin’s policies.
4) Russian and Ukrainian oligarchs are also exerting their own influence to get an outcome favorable to their financial interests.
These are four distinct processes and not one single factor and those who present a simplistic “single explanation” model are simply missing the complexity of the situation. That does not, however, make the situation any better.
Vladimir Antiufeev |
The direct consequence of that is that Novorussia still does not have a single and uncontested leader. My personal feeling is that there is a Strelkov-Zakharchenko alliance which is both the most legitimate and the most capable, but other big actors (Bezler, Khodakovski) are still trying hard to promote their own agenda. Rumor now has it that Antiufeev and Bezler are under arrest. Whatever may be the case, the political infighting and chaos in Novorussia are a most serious problem which somebody (Strelkov? Putin?) will have to urgently fix.
Russia:
Vladislav Surkov |
I have seen a lot of speculations that the “éminence grise” behind a lot of that malfeasance is Vladislav Surkov, a weasely character of the entourage of Putin but whose views seem to often run directly in opposition to Putin’s. I have seen no direct proof of that, but I have no reason to doubt much better informed individuals (including Strelkov). Surkov or no Surkov, there is definitely an interest group out there referred to as “5th column”, the “party of peace”, the “party of betrayal” or, my own favorite, the Atlantic Integrationists whose agenda is simple: stop the war in the Ukraine and restore the putatively “good” relationship between Russia and the West. Their motives are a mix of ideology (pro-western russophobia, capitalist liberalism) financial (they stand to lose most from not only the western sanctions, but from a deterioration of relationship between Russia and the West) and personal (struggle for power to re-take the Kremlin from the Eurasian Sovereignists).
Vladimir Evtushenkov |
In this context I have seen a lot of speculation that the recent move against multi-billionaire Vladimir Evtushenkov (often described as the new Khodorkovski) is Putin’s counter-attack to smack down the oligarchs. Could be, and Peskov’s denial of anything political behind his arrest are as predictable as they are not credible. It would be worth seeing if there is a Evtushenkov-Surkov connection, but I don’t have the means to do that myself. Still, judging by the reaction of the head of the Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs (RSPP), Alexander Shokhin, it is clear that the Russian oligarchy is upset and even frightened by this arrest.
So much for the stupid theory that Putin represents the interests of the Russian oligarchy or, even better, is the “puppet” of these oligarchs.
Banderastan:
The junta controlled part of the Ukraine (I call Banderastan) is in full turmoil. The Minsk Agreement as absolutely infuriated most of the Ukie political leaders. Predictably, Iarosh and Tiagnibok are up in arms, the former even threatening to overthrow Poroshenko. Worse, Timoshenko has made something of a comeback denouncing the Agreement as a vile surrender to the Moskals and a sellout of Ukie national interests.
Rada Deputy tossed in trashbin |
Right Sector activists have attempted to storm the Parliament and the Presidency, they have literally tossed deputies into trashbins which is both funny and amply deserved, but does not change the scary fact that Poroshenko is not the worst of what Banderastan can produce. Poroshenko is evil, of course, but at least he is not a lunatic like Timoshenko or Liashko.
There is now a very real risk that the Right Sector could literally overthrow the Poroshenko regime (Libya anybody?). And even if the Right Sector does no such thing, of fails doing it, the upcoming elections are nothing short of really scary. With the massive brainwashing going on throughout the Ukie media there is a real risk of a wall-to-wall “loony” Rada with Liashko in charge of the biggest party and assorted neo-Nazis filling the rest of the seats.
Nazis vs oligarchs |
There is a clash taking place between oligarch and sincere/zombified Nazis on one hand, and even between oligarchs (Poroshenko vs Kolomoiski vs Akmetov) on the other. Thus, in a paradoxical way, both Novorussia and Banderastan don’t currently have a real, functioning, central power and neither side can “deliver” anything.
And if that does not scare you enough, keep in mind that the Ukie economy, propped up by the AngloZionists, has not truly collapsed yet. But it will. Soon. Then things will get really, really ugly. The examples of Iraq and Libya immediately come to mind. In fact, Putin recently declared the following at the Seliger 2014 annual youth forum:
Do you remember the joke: “Whatever Russians make, they always end up with a Kalashnikov?” I get an impression that whatever Americans touch they always end up with Libya or Iraq.
Apparently, he is absolutely right and Banderastan is now headed down the exact same road. Truth be told, there is only that long that the AngloZionists can keep Poroshenko in power and the remnants of economy of Banderastan afloat. Sooner or later – probably sooner – both will come tumbling down and then all hell will truly break lose
In the meantime, “Iats” has announced the “lustration” (purge) of the estimated 1’000’000 civil servants connected with the previous regime. Apparently, this does not including Poroshenko, Timoshenko, Turchinov or “Iats” himself (all of whom have served under previous Presidents in one capacity or another).
Crazy, crazy shit…
Military situation:
Military situation September 15-17 |
To my great surprise, a Ukie counter-offensive did not materialize or, if it did, it was so lame that it was hard to notice. The Ukies did concentrate very large forces in several locations, and the JRF did execute attacks in several locations, but they were lame and rather rapidly repelled. As for those few locations which were taken under the control of the JRF, they were mostly locations which the NAF had abandoned. My source for this analysis is “Basketok” (whose excellent and detailed daily reports Russian speakers can get here and here).
Amazingly, the NAF have still not taken full control of the Donetsk Airport. They have surrounded it and they control most, but not all of it. As for the Ukies there, they are categorically refusing to surrender and they are still shelling Donetsk on a daily basis. I can only explain this aberration as a consequence of the political infighting taking place in the Novorussian leadership.
One of the most likely explanation of the current is one given by the (excellent) Colonel Cassad:
With respect to concentration, the main forces of the junta are already deployed into Donbass. The junta cannot grow the group substantially yet. Taking the planned rotation of the detachments and the combat capable units that were pulled into the front into account, the junta can reinforce its group only by throwing restored battalion-tactical groups of previously routed detachments into action. However, their combat qualities appear quite dubious due to large losses in personnel and materiel. In essence, absent the 4-th wave of mobilization, the junta cannot substantially increase the headcount of its group, which remains approximately on the level of early July of 2014. Considering the failure of the previous 3 waves of mobilization, the possible results of the 4-th also trigger certain skepticism. The junta, of course, isn’t close to the limiting values of its mobilization potential, but it is already experiencing serious difficulties. All of this is aggravated by materiel issues: by various estimates, the junta lost about 60-70% of materiel present in Donbass (and the worst thing for the junta is that more than 220 armored vehicles of varying degree of combat readiness ended up being captured by the NAF, which already put between a quarter and a third of captured trophies into action). Of course, there are still many tanks, IFVs, SPH, and MLRS in warehouses and repair facilities, but reinforcements in August and September couldn’t compensate for huge losses. The attempts of getting materiel from NATO countries and the attempts to buy back the vehicles that were shipped on international defense contracts are supposed to close the gap in materiel that was formed. Ukraine continues to reap the fruits of its horrible looting of Soviet military legacy.
This makes sense. The JRF did through its best men and equipment in its attempt to crush Novorussia in just a “few weeks” and it lost them. There are still numerically significant resources available to them, as shown by the large concentrations of forces they have massed but failed to effectively use so far.
As for the NAF, they have made some small progress in various locations, and they have made small retreats from others, but nothing crucial has taken place on their side either. Does that mean that the NAF and JRF have fought each other to a standstill? Maybe, I don’t know and have no way to check. Still, my first explanation for this apparent stagnation on the military front is that both sides are too deeply involved in the the political infighting and the chaos resulting from it.
Those whom I jokingly refer to “prophets and mind readers” will probably make confident predictions based, as always, on simplistic models, but I won’t. I know what Putin wants and Russia needs: regime change in Kiev. I also know what Putin does not want or Russia cannot afford: a Novorussian collapse. The two, of course, are linked. But how the situation will evolve now is too early to call.
I often think that the (liberal, Masonic, pro-western, democratic and oligarchic) Kerensky regime came to power in February. Just like the Ukie Junta. Kerensky was overthrown in October of the same year. Just saying…
Kind regards,
The Saker
Saker,
the fact that NAF does not have “a clear leadership” is terrifying: president Putin should find a solution for that, because it seems that West is trying to buy officials to see if they can turn the tide in their direction.
Saker,
could you explain why Zarchanchenko is wearing two marriage rings, one in each hand?
Russians should wear the marriage ring on both hands?
It is scary that nobody knows who is Korsun
Who appointed him and who is busy doing that confusion while Ukiès are getting high precision weapons.
Procrastination works for them.
Also before Ukiès had been trying to hit chemical plant in donetsk. They should be kicked out from the airport asap and keep them far from donetsk
As much as I would like to see the junta cutting each other’s throats in an internal fight, I am much worried that similar processes are to be seen among the rebel forces. To be successful they badly need an unified command, headquaters, logistics and military planning. Not less important – a common political program.
What happens now reminds me an old anecdote. I’ll say it in Russian because it’ll be lost in translation.
Дневник боевых действий:
День 1. Сегодня мы атаковали и вытолкнули белых из леса.
День 2. Сегодня белые атаковали и вытолкнули нас из леса.
День 3. Сегодня мы атаковали и вытолкнули белых из леса.
День 4. Лесничему надоело и он выгнал всех из леса.
I think we have created exactly what we wanted to.
Again.
Is there any place or people anywhere who have fully recovered from what we have done to them? And if so, what did it take?
(I’d also point out that while a successful Yes vote in Scotland might indeed end up finishing off London’s hegemony, it still represents only the beginning of a very long row to hoe for Scotland itself.)
The prosecution of Yevtushenkov appears to be the vanguard of an oligarch shake-up in Russia. This is a pretty good article describing the whats and whys.
Устаревшая система (Outdated system)
http://www.vz.ru/politics/2014/9/17/706177.html (trans) http://translate.yandex.net/tr-url/ru-en.ru/www.vz.ru/politics/2014/9/17/706177.html
“…But the clash with the West over Ukraine has set Russia very clear questions. What comes first – the private interest or public? Although for our people here, there is no question, oligarchs annoying myself this question. If Russia wants not just to stand against the pressure of the West, but also to develop, formulate their own model of the socio-economic structure, we need to restore order at home. The order, including with the state Treasury and the national income should be stopped to steal a budget, to hide income, manipulate with taxes. In our public opinion deliberately (and in the interests of oligarchate) supported the myth that blame some “corrupt officials”, although in reality the theft involved a bunch of big business and the corrupt part of the bureaucracy.
The business has not heeded calls for Putin to resign from offshore, sounding even before the economic war with the West – as well as the authority may rely on his patriotism now, when the voltage and the rate went up dramatically? But even if big business will return to Russian jurisdiction, whether it is fair to pay taxes or all will continue their “minimization”, groaning and moaning about the imperfection of the laws and chekist dominance?…”
And as discussed in the above article, besides “oligarch reform”, major work on the Russian economy will also be done.
Путин потребовал совершить рывок в экономике за полтора года (Putin demanded to make a breakthrough in the economy within a year and a half)
http://www.interfax.ru/business/397436 (trans) http://translate.yandex.net/tr-url/ru-en.ru/www.interfax.ru/business/397436
“…A key condition of its development, the President called for lower interest rates on loans to enterprises. “What steps I think priority: first, you need to ensure availability of loans to create new competitive by world standards conditions for business financing. We remember and know that this theme is key even without any reference to the sanctions. We have long talked about this: interest rates on loans often exceed the profitability of the projects, put the participants of economic activity beyond the economic common sense,” said the head of state…”
Oligarchs and banksters may not be very happy about these changes coming… ;) Not seen mention of this in the western msm. It will be instructive on how the ZPC/NWO respond.
вот так
Yarosh threatens to Yanukovych Poroshenko.
Ярош пригрозил Порошенко судьбой Януковича (Yarosh threatened Poroshenko fate Yanukovych)
http://www.vz.ru/news/2014/9/18/706219.html (trans) http://translate.yandex.net/tr-url/ru-en.ru/www.vz.ru/news/2014/9/18/706219.html
Would an open bandera nazi coup be such a bad thing now? It would removed the phony “legitimacy” the ZPC/NWO portrays their current junta quislings with. Both western regime leaders and the ZPC msm would find it hard to successfully sell Yarosh and Liashko. Can one see the ZPC bringing Liashko (and his entourage of young boy sex slaves) over to the USA to speak in front of AIPAC’s Senate?
A coup would also set various factions of the banderlog fighting among themselves. It would probably kill their war against Novorossia due to that infighting and to the military forces also splitting and fighting among themselves.
The coup would also accelerate the decline of the various regions of the Ukraine, providing incentive for the people there to do something themselves about the ZPC’s nazi colonials. If people get up off their rears now, or soon, it may save them the slow death the ZPC/NWO has in store for them, using them up as pawns in their war against Russia.
The figurehead regime of Poroshenko probably papered over a lot of potential dissent, as well as provided the ZPC/NWO fascists with front man they needed to maintain support for their nazis in the Ukraine.
вот так
I follow russian_market on twitter and he mentioned something about how these sanctions help Russia.
I think something similar happened in Russia during the 1980’s where USSR was sanction and it let to re-privatization.
From twitter:
But what if.. what if Putin uses all these sanctions against Russia for his own reforms of re-privatization? Judo?
Could Putin be getting rid of the oligarchs?
https://twitter.com/russian_market/status/511950090987372544
https://twitter.com/russian_market/status/511976894406090752
the fact that NAF does not have “a clear leadership” is terrifying
Yes, I agree too, it’s even very terrifying!
While Kiev is in turmoil, now is the time to take advantage of it.
The cards are falling, and someone has to stop it, bravery and spirit might not be enough to achieve an ultimate goal.
Porky is on his world tour: treated to military pomp in Canada and addressed the Canadian Parliament; Stevie Harper weaseled taxpayer dollars for more humanitarian aid and a $200 million loan.
Next on Porky’s itin, over to D.C. to address the joint house of CONgress critters. The pretend ceasefire was set aside as he requested lethal military aid –
The nugg:
“Please understand me correctly. Blankets, night-vision goggles are also important. But one cannot win the war with blankets.” He added: “Even more, we cannot keep the peace with a blanket.”
”Drawing cheers from members who want to arm the former Soviet state, Poroshenko declared his forces “need more military equipment, both lethal and non-lethal — urgently need.”
= = = =
To keep the peace, ‘we need more lethal weaponry.’
The infighting in Novorussia is disconcerting. Pay attention Novorussia – best get your act together. Imo, the “negotiations” in Minsk are designed for defeat.
It is reasonable to assume that Kremlin wants this situation to end sooner rather than later since they want to cut the damage of sanctions that are starting to bite.
These backdoor games that Kremlin plays with itself are more damaging than simply letting NAF retake Donbass in 3 months, lets say. And then cut your losess, call for peace, whatever.
I sincerely doubt that russian pop. would have the patience to live under the sanctions and Donbass conflict status quo for another month. Let alone until spring.
(Prognosis are that inflation by end of the year will be minimally 8%, just for one number). I refer you to Mark Adomanis, excellent objective western author, with twitter and Forbes column. Very interesting graphs.
@Anonymous 19:02, Sept. 18
Re: Sanctions against Russia are starting to hurt.
Response: Yawn! Nice fantasy, but no cigar: The largest Nat-Gas and petroleum (combined) exporter in the World is not in a position to be worried.
Elena said…18 September, 2014 18:11
“It is scary that nobody knows who is Korsun”
Another way of looking at it is that being a relative unknown he may be even more scary for the junta and their ZPC/NWO handlers as they will be at a loss on how to deal with him. At least maybe initially. An unknown enemy is usually more dangerous than a known enemy.
вот так
The reason: the Ukraine economy appears to have ground to a halt following an overnight report that the war-torn country’s industrial output plummeted 21.4% Y/Y in August, above the 18% estimate, and some 12.7% on a monthly basis. As the chart below shows, this was the biggest drop in industrial production since the global crisis of 2009 and followed a 12% fall year-on-year in July.
The statistics office said the main industries of Ukraine’s Donetsk region, one of the areas where the war is most intense, had suffered, with coal extraction down almost 60 percent and steel production down by 30 percent.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-09-18/more-just-gas-natural-resource-reason-ukraine-civil-war
Just minutes after Poroshenko’s fearmongering speech to US Congress (and in the face of a collapsing Ukraine economy), The White House has released its “fact sheet” to explain exactly how committed (aside from the lethal aid demands – which may or may not be happening as we noted here) to supporting Ukraine the US taxpayer is… On top of guaranteeing $1 billion of Ukraine’s debt, a further $291 million in ‘assistance’ has been flooded in… here’s what for…
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-09-18/white-house-explains-where-your-13-billion-went-ukraine
@Anon 19:25
US military aid to Ukraine is 1/10th ($50Million) of US military Aid committed to the Syrian Terrorist Opposition ($500-Million). That should tell you about how much the US cares about it’s useLESS idiots in Ukraine – ROFL!!!
Also, a $1-Billion loan garantee is chump change against Urkraine’s debt of $50-$100 Billion – that shows us how much the US cares for a group willing of buttlickers in Galicia and Kiev.- LOL!
I hear John McCain’s favorite type of toilette paper is Lyasko’s tongue! Perhaps if Poroshenko had brought Ukraine’s favorite male-prostitute and boy-molestor, Lyashko, along to service the eclectic needs of the majority of Congress, he would have walked away with more than this rather humiliating beggars compensation thrown in his face.
Poor Poroshenko and his pathetic 3rd world failed-state.
Here are a few things I’ve heard/read:
Antiufeev left for Moscow after he failed in the coup.Cassad reported that.
Korsun is a fraud,and was arrested by Belzer. I saw that on Gleb’s Twitter.
The Aydar Brigade has blown-up the power plant they threatened to blow up in Lugansk.Turning the electricity off in the entire region.The latest is,its back on in the south of Lugansk but not the north yet.And that includes the Ukie occupied areas. (From Twitter)
That a Russian team has repaired or relaid the tarmac at the Lugansk Airport.If true it will give the ability to bring in aid that way.But along with that news is that the Ukie’s moved AA guns and Buks into the occuppied parts of Donbass.Could that be to shoot down Russian aid planes coming into Lugansk? (From Twitter or Cassad)
The Guardian has run another anti-Putin and anti-Russian article by a Russian writer,5th column traitor.Its the worst most disgusting article they have done so far.Way over the line even for them.
After the Rada passed that piece of trash on “temporary” self rule.They went back and changed it.To put it under the authority of the ATO generals.So making it even more worthless.And have said the 3 years is only theoretical.That they could cancel it whenever they wanted to.And that Poroshenko is saying “no” to any form of autonomy at all.(From Twitter)
Judging by the severe reduction of anti Russian propaganda over the last several days, it appears as though secret negotiations between the West and Russia are currently underway.
In which case, Surkov could be bag man for the Atlanticists. His job might be to come up with an offer that Russia and Putin would accept.
The obvious solution would be for a deal involving Russian interests in both Ukraine and Syria/Iraq. This was the likely stragegy of the Anglo-Zionists from the begining but now that Operation ISIS is working so well they must feel they are in a strong position with regards to any negotiations with Russia.
All speculative of course…
Mikhail Khazin has an interesting summary of what has transpired; The ambitions,hope and policy failures. Mikhail gives the gist of the matter and what needs to change in order for Putin (and Russia) to lead the “new system”.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X_tnBcnHGz0
Putin has already given the Atlanticist oligarchs an ultimatum in that you are either going to withdraw your your accounts from offshore tax havens and western banks and return them to the Russian treasury or you are —d! Similarly Putin had the State Duma assemble in Crimea (September2014) and gave the 5th column (Atlanticists) the same message, especially at ministerial level, stop leeching the Russian economy to western banks, or you will come to an ignominious end. Putin’s next move on behalf of the man in the street will be to sever all ties with western capital and refuse to honour any debts incurred by the 5th column (Atlanticists). He will stop using the petrodollar. He will create a Russian Peoples Central Bank which will fund Russian entrepreneurs to create a mighty modern progressive economy using the vast wealth of the Russian hinterland. There is news today on the Itar Tass website that oligarchs have been placed on house arrest while the authorities look in to possible tax evasions and share manipulations at a major Russian holding company. A final thought – does Putin’s United Russia care about the the disenfranchised of the western world and will that impinge on the future decisions made?
“Kerensky regime came to power in February. Just like the Ukie Junta. Kerensky was overthrown in October of the same year. Just saying…”
Where is Vladimir Ilyich when we really need him?
Like many, I do not give too much credence to the political infighting or the 5th column. Yes, they can do some nasty stuff; and have. However, when push comes to shove, the Russian people are behind Putin. They know, all to well, that the Russian oligarchs got their money the old fashion way, they stole it! They still remember the so called “shock economic therapy” of the 90’s. Thus, the 5th column does not have a political leg to stand on and they know it. They all have stand-by reservations on air America.
For me it is all about the fact in the field. As Mao Zedong stated, “Political power grows out of the barrel of a gun.!” Case in point, Novorossia’s dealing with Poroshenko. Obviously, I am not a pacifist, but then again I am not one whom advocates using the military for punitive purposes. That kind of idiotic thinking leads to dark ages. I am old school, “peace is our profession,” which means that the military is only used to secure the peace.
Nevertheless, it is my understanding that the airport can not be taken because the Minsk protocol prohibits “heavy guns” that are needed to rout out an enemy’s fortified position; small arms and infantry will not do. This is a junta advantage they are pressing vociferously. They can, will and are using small mortors to continue their terror against the surrounding regions.
This is a catch 22 for Novorossia and very devious thinking that is worthy of the reptiles. If they protect themselves by using heavy weapons, they break the protocol agreement. However, doing nothing means demoralization of Novorossia, continued deaths, destruction of infrastructure, disrupting the distribution of relief supplies, as well as preventing any meaningful repairs to the extensive existing damage from the summer months.
As winter is approaching, the reptiles (junta) know that Novorossia will have to take action soon. Politically, it gives Russia and Novorossia a black eye, and yes, you guessed it, an excuse for more sanctions; because Novorossia broke the protocol and hence, Russia’s fault! The Junta will be able to go on the attack under the aegis of, they broke the protocol, we are righteous, we are good little Nazis, we are Eurotrash and deserving of new weapons, gold, everything!
The longer that the cease-fire charade lasts, the stronger the junta gets, while Donetsk grows weaker. I suspect this will happen when Donetsk moves into crisis mode as they are being bled slowly by a thousand small cuts. Then again, mother Russia may drop the sledge at that exact moment? I appears that the waning empire is steaming full speed ahead with the Samson option, buckle up.
Although Porky’s visit to Washington was long planned he would not have been feted this way unless some within the US gov’t want to give him a strong boost. This may be because the Right Sektor is much more of a threat than we currently know. So far they seem to be under control despite “trashing” a few politicians.
I have the feeling that the Right Sektor is perceived at a rogue player by many Western politicians and is more answerable to unknown persons in NATO. The future of NATO and all those big defense contracts depends on a credible enemy who can justify the spending of massive resources which enrich the MIC and its wholly owned media apparatus.
There are many other factions, particularly those for which Mearshimer speaks, who want very much to cut the Empires losses and focus on controlling Iraq and the Shia triangle (thereby delaying the demise of the petrodollar indefinitely). From a strategic perspective this seems to be the only good possibility for the Empire to stave off a partial or total collapse. Once this thing gets going it will be almost impossible to stop. The 2007/08 bailout can’t be easily repeated and the current crop of politician-muppets don’t have the stomach or credibility to pull off a soft landing plus multi-trillion dollar theft. Of course the Super rich are stockpiling gold in anticipation of paper becoming worthless — which they will continue to print until it is worthless. There are no other options and since everything will default to banker ownership anyway in case of a massive default of the less well to do, this strategy guarantees that the very wealthy will remain ver wealthy while almost everyone else will be financially destroyed.
Whatever Putin is planning, one very important consideration is the willingness of the AZ Cabal to set in motion their End of Days scenario. They are well prepared and by forcing the global economy to collapse Putin would shoulder most of the blame for the hell on earth that is to come.
Whatever Putin does, he needs to avoid being seen as the man who made a global economic collapse happened. This is where people like Surkov come in. He may be working for the Atlanticists but he may also be working for Russia and Putin in an indirect way.
Sooner or later, every bubble bursts. I believe Putin is pursuing a two track strategy preparing for the aftermath of a collapse on the one hand while also trying to delay it as long as possible and especially to avoid blame.
Again, if a collapse can be blamed on Putin and Russia, the banksters win again.
“Poroshenko was abducted in Minsk and an FSB impostor was brought back from there instead of him. “
And
what about the save the President Poroshenko?
If this was on TV it would be the comedy channel.
Speaking of Collapse…
Are you prepared?
By which I don’t mean are you prepared for short term survival. I mean are you prepared to survive in a post apocolyptic scenario of the Hunger Games variety?
If you want to be prepared and believe that stockpiling food will protect you then you are sadly mistaken. Like with stockpiling gold, you will also need resources to protect what you have from those pushed to desperation.
If you want to seriously prepare you should be prepared not just to feed yourself and your family but also your neighbours and those who are unable or unwilling to do so themselves.
This may sound counterintuitive and it is for more who are hyper individualistic. To be prepared involves being ready for a scenario in which you are part of an extended community that can protect itself against the likely environment we would find ourselves in if, for example, the distrubution of food breaks down completely.
The Anglo-Zionists are well prepared for this outcome but even the most dedicated preparers have usually not thought through the social and political conditions that would exist after a worst case scenario.
When it does happened, all of us who are conscious and alive will need to be ready to be the voices of sanity; to pull together instead of falling into a desperate struggle with one another.
@Anonymous whom said, “The prosecution of Yevtushenkov appears to be the vanguard…”
Great article. Looks like the purge is beginning. Likely because they started their provocations yesterday with claims of voter fraud across Russia. Additionally, I am assuming they will use a BRICS credit system as opposed to the empire’s monetary system?
Excellent SITREP….In my opinion the Minsk Protocol gains precious time for the NAF to resolve the organic process of consolidating the militias under one command, because hell is coming to the Ukraine and it is essential the NAF operate as a coordinated professional military force.
General Shoigu, Defense Minister and personal friend of Vladimir Putin, announced the movement of a self-contained military force into the Crimea, supposedly in response to the NATO maneuvers in Lviv, however, this is putting a piece in place which can be activated and on the move if needed in the coming battle to secure Novorossiya and thereby, the future of Russia.
It is excellent news that the Novorossiya resistance has given the Eurasanists the causas belli to eliminate the fifth column oligarch’s in Russia. God speed to the armed Russians!
Casus belli mispelled….I will have to proof read!44
I think Putin needs to give the separatists deep discounted gas, if not free, as a gesture of goodwill, for this winter at least. That would have at least a two-fold effect: give some good news to the inhabitants there (and maybe encourage some of those who had left to return), while making the
Ukrainians in the rest of the country cross with the leaders in Kyiv, who should be looking after their own people first, and clearly don’t care enough for them or are simply incapable of doing so.
This would then be a winter of discontent, especially if General Winter makes an appearance there.
I personally think that poroshenko & yats are going to be out of power by the end of this year.
If I were a bankster…I would make a deal, that IF the broad shoulders of Russia were to take the blame for the inevitable collapse of the USD system, we(the banksters)would end the NATO EU Anglo-Zionist confrontation with Russia and let the Eurasanist Project and its Silk Road Project proceed unmolested.
The only alternative is total war to maintain a modicum of stability and bankster survival through the recriminations of collapse of the USD and its empire.
It is the way of the event world, that a collapse will allow a new world to rebuild on the ashes. Russia is now rebuilding and purging after the total collapse of the Soviet Union. It takes hell on earth to sharpen people’s minds and bring decent competent individuals into positions of authority and responsibility to replace the naked caste system of incompetent psychopaths characterizing the banksters and their political cronies of the Anglo Zionist Empire. It may take a few decades of hell, but life is not going to commit suicide!
dear Saker, Thank you for another juicy analysis
I have not seen Putin in the news lately. Apparently he has worked quietly, without much fuss … sounds good…
I am too ignorant top comment on Novorussian or indeed its relationship to Russian politics.
It was obvious that a ceasefire after such military blunders would lead to a political collapse of the Kiev junta. The vacuum this creates is dangerous, but also an opportunity.
The new EU executive needs to be analysed carefully for it s the key. The future of Europe, especially Germany, is in Eurasia not the Atlantic — that is obvious, also obvious is the appalling European political leadership few grubber can be imagined — is a jump being organised behind the scenes?
I pray that it is, but have nothing to show, not even a hint that it is there.
The Scott,s vote is still not counted yet (I hope it is yes), the money markets (very important in all of this) have backed the UK pound, supporting a “No” vote, if it does go the other way the pound will loose value — and that may lead to freefall.
Freefall in pound is also a hit on the US — however value will go to the Euro, in which case Russian gas will be a very cheap option, as none of this has halted the seasons. An energy shortage in Europe would push it into deep recession (ie a depression), increase US loans and indebtedness (which is part of the Ukraine gambit) and prolong the long austerity and impoverishment of the remnants of the first world.
That is the Atlancist plan a short term profit for the wolrd oligarchs (most in NY) and another six months life for the financial system.
I strongly suggest that the future of the Ukraine, Russia and Europe now directly rests on what Europe does or does not do in the next few weeks/ a month or so.
Also there will be another round for talks
Hopefully there will be some achievement
But again
Time is working against NAF but for Junta
Again they can give a promise and break it
Make another coup
Change the whole thing around
The outcome is clear:
They are not giving away Donbas, They want Crimea back as well, they are asking for money and weapons and not looking for peace without Donbas and Crimea
Russia is looking for peace but so far it is a time wasted except POW exchange
There is no justice, everything goes with Junta
Everything will be supported by EU USA
So Novorossiya it’s pretty much alive while it’s fights back and get them kicked out
Until regime changes it will be this way but doesn’t look like it will be changing any time soon
To my opinion (may be stupid one)
Unless Russia initiates another referendum and take Donbas the fight will be going on
Or unless there in Ukraine people will chose not to fight because it is a lost cause and they chose to stop
Russia could help with referendum with refuges votes included just follow Scotland by time
“This is a catch 22 for Novorossia and very devious thinking that is worthy of the reptiles.” I think there’s only one solution for the remaining junta infantry that doesn’t involve continuing to starve them out and hope they exhaust the extensive food supplies they were able to bring in when the NAF were retreating earlier. And that’s to Dresden the bunkers at the Donetsk Airport. Fuel air explosive bombs that will suck the oxygen right out of those bunkers and asyphxiate the Ukie paratroopers and the Polish mercs with them who who are determined to die fighting Russians. Of course that will leave very few survivors to interrogate and confirm the presence of foreign mercs, but so be it. Otherwise this Donetsk airport thing could drag on for months and the Ukies will keep mortaring and shelling the city at random until they exhaust their ammo or are dead. In my opinion if a soldier randomly fires artillery in the general direction of where he thinks enemy fire is coming from and kills scores or dozens of civilians in the process then he gets what he deserves when fire gets poured down on him. Sorry to be so bloody minded but the Ukies continued ability to shell Donetsk after weeks of partial encirclement is both baffling and infuriating. Smoke them out.
I wonder how European public opinion will change when they receive millions Ukrainian refugees fleeing winter deprivation and a Nazi purge and coup? The last time I checked Europeans weren’t exactly yearning for more refugees. When they were being pushed into Russia nobody minded, but we’re about to see a type of reverse-flow that wasn’t expected.
“Antiufeev and Bezler are under arrest”
Are you sure about that?
Last i heard was that Bezler arrested “general Korsun”. (According to Cassad website)
And Antiufeev? Who knows, rumor has it he fled from DPR/novorossia some weeks ago allready.
But you have sources that say they are arrested??
—-
Anyway, things are getting very confusing (even for those who dig deep for info).
The minsk protocol is a blatant paper of traitorish smell.
And we _know_ who signed that.
But who was the people know trying to do internal coup?
Bad oligarchs (5th coloumnists), 3rd party, or “just” commanders who dont trust Zakh etc anymore?
Regardless, internal struggles/chaos fog is dangerous.
Hope things can get clearified, and that the REAL traitors can be eliminated!.
Capture the airport mercenaries alive, and give them to the civilians of Donetsk for judgement.
“I sincerely doubt that russian pop. would have the patience to live under the sanctions and Donbass conflict status quo for another month. Let alone until spring. “
Even if you are right, and Russians have joined the consumerist West in caring more about how many shoes in the closet than each other, the point remains that, absent complete capitulation by Russia, the Illuminati’s attacks will just keep coming. They will not stop until they have absolute totalitarian control of the entire planet (i.e., they have made themselves “gods”), or they are all dead.
@anonymous:“Antiufeev and Bezler are under arrest “Are you sure about that?
No, not at all. I just read that rumor on the Russian social media. Was Bezler not involved in the move to make Korsun the big boss? He signed the declaration, did he not? How can he arrest him now?
Again, I am NOT sure. Please let me know if you find out.
Cheers,
The Saker
Two facts about Vladimir Evtushenkov:
First, Russian wikipedia listing from 2013 ranks him 23-rd among the 200 richest Russian oligarchs, with $6.7 billion wealth.
https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Список_богатейших_бизнесменов_России_(2013)
Last but not least … he is a Russian Jew … as would be expected.
http://poiskpra.wordpress.com/2009/12/31/oligarhi/
“
American Kulak said…
… solution for the remaining junta infantry [in the Donetsk airport] … [i]s to Dresden the bunkers at the Donetsk Airport. Fuel air explosive bombs “
I suppose (a) they either can’t find fuel/air explosives on Amazon, or Amazon won’t deliver to Donbass, or (b) they don’t want to destroy completely the (recently renovated) airport.
However, to shell Donetsk the rats must come out of their holes. This is what snipers are meant for, so I also don’t understand why the shelling from the airport can’t be stopped ….
Saker, @ 19 September, 2014 02:37
Glasgow’s results are about to come in — probably strongly or the YES crowd but this won’t be enough to overcome the votes of bureaucrats, pensioners and hipsters who feared the unknown. It’s the wee small hours of Friday morning in Scotland yet but with more than half of the districts reporting this outcome is a bit deflating.
The ‘Anglo’ in Anglo-Zionist has won — for now. The American conservatives and neocons who seem to regret 1776 and have done everything they can to enslave the US to the City of London banksters/5Eyes Eternal British Empire are going to gloat — for a while. Porkyshenko just got a lot of great press from a speech that was clearly written by an American (I’m wondering given the mention of Israel if it was David Frum aka Mr. Axis of Evil).
And now this — Novorossiya apparently can’t get it’s crap together and the ceasefire that was supposed to earn the NAF/Russia breathing space to help the civilian population of Lugansk and Donetsk while organizing political/military leadership for the long haul is being squandered. I don’t want to think Putin doesn’t have a plan or that he isn’t moving slowly against the oligarchs, but this is going to be a bumpy ride into winter even as the Ukies start to run out of gas and money. Seems both Novorossiya and Ukraine could both wind up ruined with the Empire stubbornly fighting Russia to the last Tartar and Ukie come next summer. I’m still looking for some bold counterstroke or revulsion against the Empire like the CDU/CSU suddenly dumping Merkel or the Greeks or Spanish mass revolting against the EUrocrats, but I just don’t see it on the horizon yet. All I see is more war using ISIS as the pretext to finally get into Syria and more death with indecisive outcomes in both Novorossiya and the Middle East.
This Ukraine conflict is about breaking up Russia, preventing Russia from developing into a rival Eurasian superpower, per Zbigniew Brzezinski’s “The Grand Chessboard” written over a decade ago. “Without Ukraine, Russia is no longer a Eurasian power.” (paraphrased from Brzezinski).
It is also about the EU’s dependence on Russia’s natural gas. Russian gas runs through Ukraine and Russia has cut off the gas supply over Ukrainian tampering before.
I hope that Israel will join with the BRICS alliance in the future, and drop the Anglo-American world. Israel aligns and is integrated with the Anglo-American Empire politically, militarily, and economically; but Israel aligns with the BRICs culturally, historically, and possibly in the future, politically and economically as well. Israel is an Eurasian country, with Asian cultural values and an Asian religion.
Russia, China, India, and Brazil MUST get the Zionists and Jews on their side. It is critical to make a deal with them, so they can abandon the USA/UK. The BRICS are the future, economically, militarily, culturally, politically, etc. The Rise of the Rest this century will eclipse the Rise of the West in the last 500 years.
As far as the standstill on both sides. I thought we were in a cease fire?
Also, how many Ukrainian soldiers are still alive and in the field who want to fight their neighbors? Are they finally catching on that they are being used? I know the NAF side does not want to kill conscripts but will kill mercenaries, Right Sector and Polish mercs.
Nora:
some months ago there was a discussion about leadership in which it was suggested that good leadership could emerge as the Novorussian movement continued… I think Saker’s description of the multiple visions (most sincerely held), the multiple agendas and the resulting squandering of opportunity and lives lost is a perfect example of why the leadership needs to be in place before such a movement takes off.
Saker, the news about Bezler organizing the arrest of so called “General Korsun” has been all over the Novorussian news for the last 24 hours or so:
http://rusvesna.su/news/1411023510
Bezler has been vocally loyal to Putin, and quietly supportive of Strelkov, there are (unconfirmed) rumours that he had been Strelkov’s commander in one of the past wars, probably in Chechnya.
It’s impossible to tell how much of the perceived infighting among the Novorussian field commanders is real and how much is deliberate desinformation.
Saker:
Slavs are grouped in clans or families.
An example is here (link):
http://pl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gozdawa_(herb_szlachecki)
We are like wolves in the icy steppe.
May believe that the cold comes, there will be a pack leader.
Take a Vodka and relax, wait a bit and the thing will resolve itself naturally after all, we are Slavs.
hehe.
There always seems to be some “drama” going on among the Novorussian political and military leaders, with rumours expressing views all across the board.
Years ago, like decades, a friend and I used to set up a chess game in the local nightclub (don’t laugh, one would be amazed what a chick magnet those games could be ;D ). The man was very good at the game (chess, I mean, though, he wasn’t a neocon at the other…either) and kicked my arse consistently. Then I changed strategy and incorporated a lot of random, illogical moves, and started winning. Consistently winning the matches (despite being forced to occasionally “dance” between moves and other non-chess distractions the “magnet” attracted).
IE: Not all “moves” make sense so don’t sweat it too much. ;)
вот так
Outstanding interview with CIA veteran Robert David Steele, CEO of Open Source Network and author of ‘Open Source Everything’ about the end game of the neocons in Washington’s ISIS/ISIL Mideast ‘strategy’.
Note Steele’s Saker-like distinction between Israel, Israeli citizens, and the globalist AZ power brokers. Steele also comments on the secessionist tide rising in Europe and calls for America to bring the troops home. He even mentions the California and Texas droughts creating an urgent infrastructure crisis while the US wastes billions in Ukraine and the Middle East:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wwR7ss2r8Ek&list=UUvsye7V9psc-APX6wV1twLg
@ Anonymous
“…Russia, China, India, and Brazil MUST get the Zionists and Jews on their side. It is critical to make a deal with them, so they can abandon the USA/UK. …”
Are you kidding?
Anonymous said…19 September, 2014 03:55
“I hope that Israel will join with the BRICS alliance in the future, and drop the Anglo-American world. Israel aligns and is integrated with the Anglo-American Empire politically, militarily, and economically; but Israel aligns with the BRICs culturally, historically, and possibly in the future, politically and economically as well. Israel is an Eurasian country, with Asian cultural values and an Asian religion.”
Excuse me while I puke, Israeli. I have a better idea. Every country treat you lot as a spies under wartime. It’s what you things are.
вот так
Saker, Please comment on the report carried by Cryptome that the shutting down of Voice of Russia is a CIA move against an unaware Putin.
http://cryptome.org/2014/09/vor-truth.htm
sarz
@The prosecution of Yevtushenkov appears to be the vanguard of an oligarch shake-up in Russia
How would you understand the following sybillinic utterances from Wall Street Journal?
“Mr. Putin relies on the support of Russian elites to retain his hold on power. If this one appears to have been unjustly arrested and launches a robust defense, and his travails shake the elites’ confidence in the Russian leader, Mr. Yevtushenkov will have joined a rarefied group that also includes Mr. Khodorkovsky: the accidental billionaire activist”.
http://online.wsj.com/articles/romain-hatchuel-the-accidental-billionaire-activists-1411081115
@ Saker, thank you for the news though they seem worrying (Novorossia infighting).
@ Vot Tak,
1) I really, really don’t understand why those oligarch refuse to pay a 13% flat-rate tax.
In France, for an employee earning the average salary, the employer has to pay a 20% VAT on the whole + roughly 45% employer levy on the nominal + roughly 23% employee levy on the nominal + other taxes, so the employee ends up with 77 where the employer has paid 180; and on this 77 he must still pay income tax (varying with family situation etc) and local taxes! He ends up with something around 70 where the employer has paid 180… And for a rich person, it is much, moch worse! The taxes on the income of the capital are quite often higher than the income itself (after inflation) and if they have to pay an asset tax, worse again.
In Russia, the taxes in general are so low that tax evasion means a real anti-civic attitude; if you are rich and refuse to contribute, with a mere 13% of your income, can you be left rich and free? It seems that greed has no limit.
About a Yarosh coup, this would be the best possible thing because if it is beaten, the power will stay weaker at least for a moment; and if it succeeds, US and UE will have an occasion for leaving Ukraine and Russia to help more openly. While Poroshenko, like him or not (rather not), even though his election was a mock, can be maked up in a kind of legitimity by Westerners. And the Ukrainians may eventually react…
A piece of news which may happen to be important : it is already snowing in the Ural, and it seems to mean the winter will be early and hard.
TR
The chain is so strong as is the weakest link. “According the agency’s information, the Standard Bank announces that the economic contraction of Latvia reached 2,6% in yearly calculation just for the first part f 2014, also the industry suffers. Crises also have been sufficiently felt in economy of Lithuania. In the whole, the Standard Bank supposes that the separation of Baltic countries from the West is possible and returning to Russia.”
Then look at whole NATO/EU economies almost all are shrinking, financial sector is under water. If there is glass full ( of problems ) just one drop will cause spill.
NATO countries are fractionalized- main goal of Kremlin. To adopt wide sanctions on whole NATO and hurt itself is realy stupid idea. Fractionalizing them more and deeper and deeper by attacking weakest links in chain. And Russia has giant influence on former soviet bloc. Slovakia, Hungary, Czech rep stand openly against sanctions= reward them. Stab dagger into back of Balts, Poles and Ukraine- they call for it. Do not make any theatrical Hollywood style poses. Take time and make killing them softly, take time, do not do it with hot head. Anytime can find suplier out of NATO ban import or rise fees to drive out NATO supplier. Sooner or later they will be on knees as they were in 1929. They play games with Stalin and they screwed it up so deeply that they turned against each other and Stalin won half of Europe.
Episode 10. Who Organised the Famine in the USSR in 1932-1933?
http://orientalreview.org/2012/12/17/episodes-10-who-organised-famine-in-the-ussr-in-1932-1933/
Saker, according to the OSCE report for Sept 17: ‘The SMM in Luhansk city met the Don Cossack commander from Stakhanov (64 km west of Luhansk), who stated that the declaration of the “independent republic of Stakhanov” (see Daily Report of 17 September) was a lie fabricated by a journalist. He added that as a result of the mass gathering that took place in the main square of Stakhanov on 14 September, more than 12,000 Cossacks have volunteered to join the forces of the ‘Luhansk People’s Republic’ (‘LPR’).’
Interview with ( Czech republic) Professor Krejci: Heads of the EU have blood on their hands in Ukraine. West sinks and hysterically saber-rattling. There is what Putin wanted last year.
The validity of EU association agreement with Ukraine, signed with great fanfare Porošenko president, according to recent agreements postponed until 2016 before signing a number of economists and analysts warned of the fatal consequences of the agreement for the Ukrainian economy … then that Ukrainian politicians cared?
Ukrainian politicians at the end of last year he lived in chaos. Today we know that the economy is on the brink of bankruptcy. Yanukovych flirted with both sides, both wanted to go out as much as possible. The agreement, which was concluded last week in Brussels on Friday, pointing to what was discussed before the summit in Lithuania, took note of the specific context and implications of the Association Agreement on trade with major economic partner of Ukraine with Russia. There is nothing about geopolitics. When someone from the geopolitics does is that of a huge bummer. Exactly what are now discussed in Brussels called for Russia before the summit in Lithuania. What’s so incomprehensible?
Barroso, Ashton and Füle done an incredibly bad job. They have blood on their hands. It’s impossible to say otherwise, because they create tension around the adoption of the Association Agreement will lead to bloodshed, it became clear last year. I still do not understand what they mentioned three commissioners watched unhappy with the summit in Lithuania.
http://www.parlamentnilisty.cz/arena/politologove/Profesor-Krejci-Hlavy-EU-maji-na-rukou-krev-na-Ukrajine-Zapad-se-propada-a-hystericky-se-rinci-zbranemi-Doslo-na-to-co-chtel-loni-Putin-335226
Paste link into google translator. Language is Czech. 2c opininons in NATO member country. Hungary and Slovakia are on the same stage.
http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/natosource/special-summit-series-slovakia-the-czech-republic-hungary-and-nato
Dear Saker
just have a look at what Obama said in public and in the presence of Paparashenka ( I greek joke you wouldnt understand ) yesterday in the White House
In another comment yesterday I gave you the address of a YT video whit the ex deputy commander of Strelkov announcing the consolidation of the two rebel armies . Berezin is the name .
Any comments on this ( I think this time the question is in context )
The Greek supporter of the other day
In my view, Igor Bezler was really promoted into most influential post (in term of real power and position in Russian hierarchy) in Novorossia – Head of Intelligence. Promoted by somebody very mighty in Moscow, whose orders mustn’t be disputed in Novorossia – Putin, Shoigu or Head of GRU Sergun (if Bezler was reactivated in GRU). He is perfect man for this dirty job, almost reincarnation of Felix Dzerzhinsky… Bezler is neither involved in power games, negotiations with Kiev or Akhmetov, policy making in Novorossia nor in some personal conflicts with commanders. His crimes on POWs also exclude any possibility of his betrayal. So if Putin decided to reach his goals in Novorossia by means of “Cheka-like” supervision over commanders, Bezler is his man.
The thing with gen.Korsun perfecly demonstrates huge extent of his power – not only Bezler wasn’t punished for the old-fashioned provocation against field commanders, he was appreciated for its successful execution. Petrovsky said on it: “He wasn’t part of it, he was ORGANIZER of it!”.
So, in my meaning, with this brutal praefectus praetorie, policy making was taking away from Novorossia in whole. Let commanders fight their battles but they won’t be policy makers in merest. E.g. Kadyrov also is not in charge of Chechnya’s status.
*The* moment the Rada Deputy is tossed into trash bin.
Too funny!
http://article.wn.com/view/2014/09/16/Angry_mob_dumps_Ukrainian_politician_in_bin/
From http://cassad-eng.livejournal.com/
About carrots and sticks
September 19th, 3:13
Translation of the text written on the famous forum by Strelkov:
Hello everyone! (Especially, the sectarians!) From the far away Donetsk I hear reliable rumors that mountains of material that compromises me were already collected – including the first-hand testimonies by a number of former officials in my headquarters. According to them, I am a diehard bastard, a sadist, etc., and also unimaginably rich. I think that in some time certain people will approach me with suggestions of “you know… maybe you should lie low… or we’ll ruin your reputation and you’ll go to jail!” This will be the “stick”, and the “carrot” will be some kind of (in their thinking) “benefit” in the form of a “plum job” in state service with obligatory joining the United Russia or A Just Russia, or something else… My grandmother told me many times: “There is no fence against ill fortune”! So, I’m not looking for a fence – and for those who read me I write the following: I’m morally prepared for the “stick”, and you can stick your “carrots” right up your a…
Brian
sundancer, you are, I believe, quite correct that the global overlords are unceasingly aggressive. It is a character trait of their type that will never be eradicated. They already see themselves as ‘Gods on this Earth’, as Begin, a prize specimen of the Jewish sub-type of the species, was apt to observe. Once the neo-feudal ‘New World Order’ is fully established (this will not happen, of course, but it is the ambition)they will fall on each other. Each hypertrophied ego imagines itself the Great Leader-they don’t do equality, camaraderie or ‘community’. If the human race was to survive their attentions and the next fifty years of ecological carnage and escape into the cosmos, they would spread destruction through the stars. They are evil incarnate, nothing else.
Marko Antonovic said…
Great SITREP as always. I found new things from Flores today on his Facebook wall. It’s not on the Syncretic Studies site though.
Also, what’s going around is that Suchan is saying to his inside people that Flores is a well developed NATO intelligence disinfo project, and is more than one person.
Seems Flores does seem to know what will happen before it does. So maybe he is? Anyone heard about that?
Anyway, this is Flores latest.
“Some people are worried that here is no clear leadership in Novorossiya. Is that really a problem? All the chatter from the Novorossiya side seems to indicate that there is some ‘problem’ here.
*
Does that not sound familiar? The truth is this: That’s the ‘briar patch’ for our Novorossiya rabbit. If all the chatter is saying that, and if it originates from official sources; then consider what that means. It means it’s not a problem. Novorossiyan leadership’s job is to dissemble the reality of a highly organized hierarchy with clearly defined short, middle, and long terms goals, along with the strategies needed to get them, and the various tactics that will be used along the way.
*
But first, let’s not get it twisted. What’s not clear to you is not the same as what’s actually clear to the Russian side. They are acting out their ‘confusion’ script. Don’t forget that every single person on both the political and military side was placed there by the Russians. There is only one chain of command. There is only one grand strategy. Everyone’s on the same page. Rest assured. Everything that’s happened so far confirms this. That’s how I’ve been able to explain the ‘inside baseball’ here with a very high rate of accuracy, since January.
*
Why is not having clear leadership good? Isn’t it obvious then that having a clear leadership means a lot of liabilities? We could start by looking at the US – who is really in charge? The government, the corporations, the freemasons, fascists, Jews, communists, liberals, nazis, Illuminati, Clinton-Bush syndicate, Muslims, the banks, wall street? Who? Lot’s of debate there. That’s dissemblage. Even ‘home’ opposition in the US can’t agree on who to blame for anything.
*
What’s the benefit of having clear-to-you leadership? Allowing supporters and clicktavists to understand what’s going on? That mean the enemy understands what’s going on too.
*
The bigger picture is this – both the Russians and the Americans want to be the ones running vaguely defined 4GW type actions. If you can push the other side into using 3GW tactics, they are losing.
*
Russia is winning the 4GW side of the information war, and the 4GW side of the action on the ground. Russia has supposedly various militias, ostensibly organized now, but who is in charge? Not being able to answer that is ‘key’ in understanding Russia’s position. That’s how they want it.
*
US uses its conventional mainstream media to push their position – that’s 3GW. The US uses a conventional Ukraine Army organization with a clearly responsible leader (Poroshenko) The situation fails, and Poroshenko falls. That’s a 3GW position
*
Each side wants the 4GW advantage. They don’t want the 3GW liabilities and shortcomings – either on the information war or on the ground.
*
The US wants to get into the 4GW game full on, very soon. They have a 4GW military position ready to go – that’s the Pravy Sektor. Of course the ranks will be fleshed out with more mercenaries, and people from all over. Expect fake ‘Tatar’ muslims who are really from Bosnia, Chechnya, Dagestan, etc. Even some from Af-pak and Libya, etc.
*
Take the ISIS script, and apply it to Ukrainian conditions. That’s the US’s 4GW option. Expect that relatively soon if Russia cannot succeed in keeping Poroshenko on life support until the next opportunity for a change appears for Russia.
Marko,
Flores appears on YouTube sites with a very limited audience, while Suchan is all over the place and being fairly provocative in his attacks on Putin or Russia’s positions. So, if Flores is a NATO production, they need to do a better job.
That doesn’t mean that Suchan or Flores are right or wrong on any given point, but it is easy to see how attacks on Putin could benefit NATO, while Flores’s more intellectual pieces on infowar strategies would seem to help the Russian side or perhaps somewhat rationalize the actions of interests from the Russian side.
Marko Antonovic said …
Paul II,
I agree with you about that because it makes no sense. NATO things would involve green screens and fake candle vigils to end NAF terrorism. :)
But Suchan did a piece against Flores few months ago and every day he says something against Putin and Lavrov.
Makes me think who is the NATO production? Not paranoid, but why does Suchan always attack Putin?
Why do you think that?
I have a hard time to finish Flores pieces at a time. Normally I have to go back and finish.
I don’t always agree with each point he makes. Though I always finish being much more informed about how the whole situation works.
A lot like Syria!
We know Flores here in Serbia publicly involved in nationalist movement. His things get translated and publish on a few big sites here like Srbn.info and another.
I think Suchan is bigger in twitter? His website has no comments. His facebook comments just get a dozen likes. But who knows.
Its just crazy things for Suchan to say about Flores. Makes me wonder about Suchan.
Putin told Obama:
I, Assad and Iran knows what to do to stop Isis, leaving …
Obama said: – Where can I shove bombs?
Putin said: First, Saudi Arabia, you end up with a problem at home, their petrodollars disappear. After that, Isis Dimona bombing, Israeli attack and we finish them. Kill two birds incidentally, three, with only one group!
Obama said: – Look, I’ll play a round of golf and then answer it.
Putin said: Let me stay with Europe and with oil.
Everyone knows that Obama has not stopped and ran to the shit will grab the wall as it is written since time immemorial.
hehe.
“the junta lost about 60-70% of materiel present in Donbass (and the worst thing for the junta is that more than 220 armored vehicles of varying degree of combat readiness ended up being captured by the NAF, which already put between a quarter and a third of captured trophies into action).
“
Thats nonsense.
Naf had captured over 200 military vehicles allready in early july (mostly apc etc, few tanks).
I late august, they had captured between 1000-3000 military vehicles, of which only a few hundred was tanks. (And 1 drone, 1 su-25, some civilian airplanes, some mini boats/amphibous boats, etc).
Someones guess work is that naf ends up capturing 1/4 of all ukr army lost military equipments (3/4 gets destroyed. 1/4 captured is including those who are ok for imediatly use and all those who have to be repaired first).
But yes, ukr army have significantly losses!.
And no naf do not only have 200 vehicles;)
Ukr army had many thousands armored vehicles to start with. Including a few thousand tanks.
BUT most were so bad maintaned/old, that they were not battleready.
My guess is that ukr military maybe now in total (of battleready equipments) has aprox 2x the equipment vs naf.
Which when taken into total account is both impressive (naf) and very balanced (ukr army vs naf tactical and other benefits/superiority)
Naf (if not for all the politics) could win this war.