I parsed some info source and I can offer a few quick reactions to what is taking place. The operation is bigger than what I had predicted. However, I STILL don’t believe that Russia wants to invade the Ukraine.
Let’s first see what Russia has already done using ONLY HER STANDOFF WEAPONS:
- The Ukrainian air defenses have ceased to exist
- The Ukrainian air force has ceased to exist
- The Ukrainian navy has ceased to exist
- The Ukrainian command and control are severely disrupted with many command posts destroyed
- All the military airfields in the Ukraine are now not operational
- Numerous supply dumps of ammo, petroleum and lubricants have been destroyed.
- Russia controls the entire Ukie airspace and all the Ukie coastal waters in the Black and Azov seas.
Next, let’s see what LDNR and Russian forces are, apparently, doing right now:
- The LDNR forces have broken through the Ukie defenses in two locations and have penetrated 7-10km behind the LOC.
- These forces advanced with fire support from Russia
- The Ukie forces have built fortifications for 8 years, so the progress against the bulk of the Ukie ground forces is slow. HOWEVER
- It appears that the Russians have decided to encircle the entire Ukronazi force on the Donbass by a pincer movement from the north and south
It is my opinion that Russia will encircle the Ukie forces, the entire Ukrainian force along the LOC and then wait for them to surrender thereby minimizing losses on both sides. In other words, the Russians are trying to lock the Ukies in an operational cauldron and basically remove these forces from the equation.
Second, Putin has clearly stated the Russian goals: demilitarize and denazify the Ukraine.
The first element, disarmament, is already well under way.
The denazification implies some kind of regime change. There are reports of Russian forces near Kiev and I believe that a “hunt for Nazis” will be conducted in one way or another.
Interestingly, the Russians have totally surrounded the city of Kharkov, but have not moved in (yet). This makes perfect military sense, but it also signals, or so it seems to me, that Russia wants to avoid as much as can be to get involved in offensive combat operations in big cities and also wants to avoid killing civilians. Mind you, the military which could take Grozny in 2000 can *easily* and *quickly* storm any Ukie city (if only because Ukies and Chechens are almost polar opposites in terms of their combat abilities). But why do through the bother?
When possible, the Russians will surround the Ukie cities, blockade them and wait for the white flags to appear.
Whether that is possible or not I can’t tell, and what will happen to Mariupol next will be interesting: this time, yes, the city shall be liberated, but it will be interesting to see how much resistance the LDNR/Russian forces will encounter.
BTW – does anybody know about any webcams/geocams for Mariupol?
Intermediate conclusions:
Basically, this 08.08.08 on a much larger scale: move in, disarm, withdraw.
My guesses (not more, it is waaaay too early to tell!) is that:
- The Ukie forces along the LOC will be surrounded and neutralized. Once that goal in achieved, most of the Ukrainian ground threat will simply disappear. True Nazis will be shot, the rest disarmed and sent home. Their weapons will go to the LDNR.
- LDNR and Russia forces will advance deep inside the Ukraine, but only to execute specific missions, after which they will be pulled back to the legal border of the LDNR (with a few exceptions possible for specific, local reasons).
- The Ukronazi leadership will run away and Kabul like scenes are possible. Some will be caught.
The Nazi regime in Kiev will be regime changed to some other regime which will accept a Russian ceasefire and the opening of direct negotiations with both the LDNR and Russia. Eventually, a general ceasefire will be proclaimed.
I still think that a NATO (Polish?) ground operation into the Lvov and Ivano-Frankovsk regions is likely. Officially to “protect our allies and friends” but in reality with two goals:
- Save face
- Establish a mini-Banderastan under Polish control in western Ukraine
- Feed the hyena of Europe
The Kremlin might think otherwise, but I don’t have a problem with that as long as a semi-civilized and semi-sane regime is put in power in Kiev.
There will be elections, of course, which nobody in the West will initially recognize. That’s fine. Nobody in Russia cares about Uncle Shmuel or his Eurorodents.
Now Biden (I forced myself to listen to him, again!) is aping Obama and promises that sanctions from hell will cripple Russia. Bernhard, at Moon of Alabama, made an interesting comment today: “The Russian stock market is down but gold, oil and gas are up and Russia has so far lost zero money“. I am sure that he is correct.
And, yes, in the short to mid term, sanctions will also have some negative effects on some sectors of the Russian economy. However, in the mid to long term I think that energy costs will provide Russia with a real windfall of money. At the Russian SC meeting, Mishustin appeared to be fully relaxed, focused and calm.
Besides, as I mentioned yesterday, the recent surge in energy prices over the past month have already refunded Russia all the money invested into NS2, and that is BEFORE the (inevitably upcoming) lawsuits against Germany :-)
In a recent post I “recognized” both President Biden and Chancellor Scholz for doing everything in their power to force Russia to intervene.
Today I want to recognize the truly immense contribution of “Ze” himself, and the Nazi nutcases around him. He was the first to mention that Banderastan wanted to acquire nuclear weapons. The Nazi nutcases in the Ukie regime and social media immediately picked up this truly “brilliant” idea.
I want to sincerely thank “Ze” specifically for:
- Forcing the Russians to intervene (Nazi and nukes are a bad combo in any Russian’s mind!)
- Giving them a legal basis to do so under Art. 51 of the UN Charter
Frankly, “Ze” did a lot for Russia, and I think that Putin should let him flee to the West. But the one guy I want to see in handcuffs and tried in Odessa is Aleksei Goncharenko.
Yeah, I did say in Odessa, didn’t I?
Which brings me to one more possibility: Russia cannot leave the Ukie Black Sea coast under any kind of Nazi or pro-NATO control. Hopefully, the next regime in power in Kiev can deal with that, and Russia can help if needed. But if not, I think that the Black Sea Fleet might have to conduct the operations needed to make sure that no part of the Black Sea coast is ever used to threaten Russia again.
I would MUCH prefer if the Ukrainian people themselves cleaned their own house. But if they can’t, then, okay, Russia can help as long as her intervention is temporary.
In fact, I would categorically oppose any longterm Russian intervention in the Ukraine beyond the LDNR. I don’t think that it will happen anyway. But a short term denazification operation might be unavoidable and I accept that.
Putin had no good option left. Russia, as a nation, had no good options left. So they chose the “least bad option” possible. So far, I like what I see very much.
But while the initial standoff strikes are now mostly over, it will take time to liberate, disarm and stabilize the LDNR and the Ukrainian territories adjacent to it.
Also, I can’t imagine the CIA/MI6/Bellingcat/CNN and the rest of them not executing at least ONE major false flag of some kind. Not because that will change anything, but because that is what they are (kinda) good at.
Last, and very deliberately least, its over for the EU. The EU was always a US colony, but now it will sink to a new low with Europeans losing any remnants, however tiny, of self-respect they might have retained. From now on, the EU is Uncle Shmuel’s punkass bitch (forgive the profanity, but that is what fits best in my opinion). All I can say about that is this: those who have no self-respect cannot expect to be respected by others.
That’s it on my end.
Your turn now.
Cheers
Andrei
I just read, that the USA operated several biolabs in the Ukraine, and those are a high priority target of russia. Whatever the USA did there (working on biological weapons to destroy crops, or else) , it could explain the extent of the russian operation (not take over Kiew). The information about the biolabs is deleted very quickly.
The US biowarfare labs have been i the back of my mind for a while now. Since they (mostly) seem to be located next to Russian borders (i wonder why?), would it be better to use standoff weapons to incinerate these labs and all the materials inside of them, or capture them and remove or destroy the biowarfare agents very carefully?
… or is this question irrelevant and not an issue to begin with? Apologies, i’m not in any way knowledgeable in military affairs.
Go to this link to see a map of the US biowarfare labs in Ukraine, which are financed by the US Department of Defense: http://space4peace.blogspot.com/2022/02/one-more-reason.html
Thank you, Perimetr. I noticed that the map shown still has Crimea as part of Ukraine. At least Russia is not labeled as “Not USA”…. ;)
Thanks for your insights. “Financed by the US DOD”, meaning the US taxpayer…. — Lord Almighty, how many of these bloody facilities are/were there in Ukraine?? I am getting a better picture of where the so-called “missing trillions” of dollars went!
Map of the U.S. biolabs next to map of bombed locations.
https://rense.com/general96/us-biolabs-in-ukraine.php
Eight out of fifteen? Not bad!
Sim, tais laboratórios devem ser expostos ao mundo especialmente por estarem num território submetido ao desmando de um zelensky. Além de conteúdo que possivelmente devem ter, sua carga simbólica também é altamente tóxica se considerarmos que o tal zelensky é filho de um povo que sentiu na pele o significado da existencia de tais lugares. Os zelenskys não nos deixam esquecer disso e nós também não podemos perder a oportunida de lembrá-los sobre colossal hipocrisia que é
a apropriação do discurso das eternas vítimas. Mas só quando eles são as vítimas.
Yandex translation. Mod:
Yes, such laboratories should be exposed to the world especially because they are in territory subjected to the deschering of a zelensky. In addition to content that they may have, their symbolic charge is also highly toxic if we consider that such zelensky is the son of a people who felt on the skin the meaning of the existence of such places. The zelenskys do not let us forget it and we also cannot lose the opportunity to remind them about colossal hypocrisy that is the appropriation of the discourse of the eternal victims. But only when they’re the victims.
I know very little about military matters, but it would great if Ukraine (or what’s left of it) be land locked ie. have no access to the sea. Maybe Russia can work something out in the Odessa region.
Also I think it is important to mention that conquering the Chernobyl nuclear facility was a correct and smart move. This is the only RBMK nuclear plant in Ukraine which is capable of making weapon grade plutonium. It was turned off, but it can always be restarted and used for making the Ukie nuclear bomb Ze was babbling about. Now they can’t do this.
It is also important to understand that plutonium extracted from spent (used) uranium fuel rods is also “weapons usable”. That is, if the plutonium found in spent fuel rods is reprocessed/extracted/separated from the spent fuel (a process using nitric acid that leaves a highly radioactive and deadly witches brew), the separated plutonium can be made into a crude nuclear weapon with an explosive power of perhaps a few kilotons (thousand tons of TNT equivalent).
I remain concerned about the need to protect the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Station from a false flag, which is the largest nuclear power plant in Europe (6 nuclear reactors there). I hope Russian Airborne or Spetsnaz are already there; the possible destruction of one or more those nuclear reactors there is horrible to contemplate.
It looks to me that one reason for the incursion from Belarus was not only to secure Chernobyl but also to link up with the paratroopers dropped near Kiev. It has been reported that the forces controlling the airport near Kiev where the Russians want to land further forces – for the “Nazi hunt”, probably – are under pressure and need to link up with the force from Belarus. This is speculation, but agrees with what I’ve seen reported.
Thank you Saker!
And now we have an amazing mat from putin. He won all the NATO countries!!!!
All over the world we saw the Europes dead…..
Russia has gold China and Iran so…. who cares for the economics metre????
“I still think that a NATO (Polish?) ground operation into the Lvov and Ivano-Frankovsk regions is likely. ”
Didn’t President Putin in his latest speech draw the red line for such scenario:
“I would now like to say something very important for those who may be tempted to interfere in these developments from the outside. No matter who tries to stand in our way or all the more so create threats for our country and our people, they must know that Russia will respond immediately, and the consequences will be such as you have never seen in your entire history.”
So they would have to ask themselves, “Do I feel lucky?”
Well do you punk………………….?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=38mE6ba3qj8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ky7rHZmk9Yw
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ze1xp9hYDl4
That was the Brer Rabbit quote for Phase 3 which is to delegitimize the USA and dismantle NATO without a WWIII. By saying that, the USA will feel they must show him who is boss. So, if NATO has any spunk left, they will do something provocative. Then Russia will do whatever they have planned for Phase 3, whose objective is to get NATO out of Eastern Europe, or preferably dismantle it entirely – without requiring WWIII to do it.
Phase 4 is almost certainly to replace the USD, probably with a gold treaty with China which is open to other nations.
There may be more, but I think that hits the major re-orientation of the world that Putin wants to see.
Update(4:28pmET): The US and NATO are apparently doubling down: despite Ukraine seeing overwhelming Russian forced used to subdue the country (along with Belarussian troops), Ukraine’s Foreign Affairs Minister has announced Kiev will receive “new defensive weapons” from Washington.
The Ukraine Foreign Affairs Minister might just be articulating wishful thinking here. But if it happens, it certainly could be interpreted as interfering from the outside and therefore could trigger the response Putin threatened.
As Scott Ritter mentioned in an interview, how are they going to get the weapons into Ukraine? Other than sneaking them across the border in trucks (good luck with that with Russian drones), there is no way. There will be no airfields and no ports. It’s just meaningless threats.
Based on what Biden said today and what NATO is saying, the net result is: the US and NATO are going to do nothing – because they can’t.
They could be biological and/or chemical weapons. Activated to be lethal by the time they get to…Donetsk, Moscow?
No disrespect, it’s the fu**ing truth! Many of us are up to the ……. of being politically correct!
Spain and all its institutions and “chiringuitos” or bech bars, is where friends, family or allies end up, collecting from public money. The newspapers, both physical and digital, the televisions, are divided into public and private television, they are indebted, they cry out for public money.
They’re working overtime right now, with the Ukraine thing. They don’t even count the mass in the middle. Shame on others!
I’m sick of mediocre politicians, egomaniacs with inflated egos, willing to pay to see their face in a mirror, delighted to have known themselves.
Is it that they all come out of the same factory, from the same mould?
“Is it that they all come out of the same factory, from the same mould?”
Yes it is. Suiable people are talent scouted in their twenties, sent on freeby courses and tours and if they pass scrutiny they can be subsidised through ‘jobs’ in think tanks etc. until its time to introduce them into the political/media world.
appreciate your analysis that standoff weaponry was successful in the extreme, as well as the deliberate avoidance of civilian casualties – unlike US or Israel actual rules of engagement.
Standoff weapons always do colateral damage. That is exactly why Russia
limited it’s use only on high value targets. Minimal casualties among Ukraine soldiers is the must for reconciliation process to begin, after Nazis & Co. are neutralized.
good point, Blackring, ty
American ground forces generally had very strict ROE. Many veterans are still pissed at how severely they were restricted, having to call in for permission to fire back. Having various levels of thresholds that had to be met before permission was granted, and that’s while taking fire and casualties.
Effectiveness was actually decreased due to the severity of the ROE.
Russians are under no such restrictions, only guidelines. They would never hamper themselves like that.
Nato air and drone strikes generally caused the most collateral damage. At least ground forces can see better and at least ID targets with real eyes and not cameras.
I don’t think its possible to operate near Civilians and NOT have casualties. There is already video of apartment buildings destroyed, and civilians coming under ground fire by Russians.
ALSO: I am getting loads of emails telling me that many Ukie cities have been take or surrounded.
I won’t even bother listing them here, if only because the Ukie PSYOPs are in full blast mode.
By tomorrow, it will all become very very clear.
So let’s wait until tomorrow to make categorical statements.
Andrei
If I may request an item of information (if you could look it up among your sources) – I would be very interested in knowing the fate of the downed helicopter pilots, as well as the airborne troops at Antonov airport, west of Kiev. I read a lot of hair-raising nonsense, but I do worry, and hope they are doing well.
Thank you very much :)
Reports of chernobal having been liberated from the npr air waves.
Dear Saker, I would like to call your attention to a specific excerpt from Putin’s today speech:
“Let me remind you that the people living in territories which are part of today’s Ukraine were not asked how they want to build their lives when the USSR was created or after World War II. Freedom guides our policy, the freedom to choose independently our future and the future of our children. We believe that all the peoples living in today’s Ukraine, anyone who want to do this, must be able to enjoy this right to make a free choice. In this context I would like to address the citizens of Ukraine. In 2014, Russia was obliged to protect the people of Crimea and Sevastopol from those who you yourself call “nats.” The people of Crimea and Sevastopol made their choice in favour of being with their historical homeland, Russia, and we supported their choice. As I said, we could not act otherwise.”
I wonder whether Putin will offer the inhabitants of other regions of Ukraine the possibility of chosing their destinies… What do you think about?
i have no doubts about it.
saker or larchmonter will probably reply with the usual “minimun intervention” and “they have to free themselves”.
but thats not at all how i see the situation even before last several putin speechs.
many areas have russian friendly population. even if some fled due to recent nazification.
i have spoken with friend that have fled odesa, and he told me that for sure over 50% of the local pop would prefer to associate wit russia than with current joke us nazi goverment.
he said most people that feel that way had to either flee or just stay quiet and go along to not be targetted by nazi squads.
After Putins speechs… do you think he is going to leave those people in hiding? or is he going to empower them to make the next rukraine gov out of them?
What is odd is why did zelensky, knowing the risks, not start negotiating with the LPR and DPR? Why did he allow for this to go this far when he could’ve stopped it diplomatically? Russian military op was not a given. In my view, he is a saboteur who threw his own country under the bus. And I’m 100% certain that someone forced him, or paid him to do this. Jerk was most likely offered safe haven somewhere overseas and a CIA pension for playing the role leader-in-exile. So what does he care?
As for the false flag, I suspect :oles will be used as the tinder. They have played this role for their western masters before to their detriment. Wojciech Olszewski, TRUE Polish patriot and anti-anti-Russophobe, warned us about this years ago. Russia has some friends in Poland, believe it or not.
The fact that he didn’t is telling in itself. For starters, if he had, he would have de facto recognized the LPR and DPR as independent entities. That would have opened a whole can of worms of its own
It would have been political suicide for Ze to have engaged in direct talks with the Donbass republics, and likely corporeal suicide too. Neither the ultra-nationalists nor his western overlords would have been pleased.
Ze’s only way out of this was to hope that the Russians were either bluffing regarding military intervention, or that if they did, it would remain limited to the area that the Donbass republics already controlled.
Don’t forget. Ze’s a comedian, not a politician. He’s been in way over his head and has been (mentally) in survival mode for most of his presidency (thanks to the predatory nature of internal politics in the Ukraine and fearing the fickle nature of his puppet masters). It would make sense for someone of his (lack of) caliber to risk it all on a gamble, rather than play it safe.
Few men are capable to sacrifice themselves and their future for the sake of the whole. Ze’s no such man.
Zelensky is a zio rat. But even so, I don’t think he ***could*** have negotiated with LDPR without being assassinated by the Right Sector. He signed up for the job. He will now pay the price.
How could he commit ”political suicide” by doing what he ran on, peace with Donbass?
It has to have been murder he was avoiding, not political suicide.
Too early to count the EU out….freezing will not be popular. Self preservation will come in to play. I’d expect when the dust settles saner heads in the EU will revisit sanctions, already the US is not keen on cutting Russian energy and Italy and Germany both are balking at a ‘swift’ disconnect.
Must totally agree though, as soon as I heard Ze say the ‘n’ word, it immediately went from pushing the Orcs off the LOC, to Disarmament in the same breath. And yes, some retribution for the Odessa Massacre. Served cold, or hot. Long overdue.
Cheers M
Yeah concur!
@Saker
As a fellow Russian-American living in the US, do you think we are safe? Can’t believe I am saying this, but after many years of living here I am not so sure about the safety of my own family going forward. Because these levels of hysteria are truly unprecedented.
IMHO, no. Empire is incredibly vindictive, petty, and vengeful. Look at Assange.
Incapable of love or compassion, even among themselves. Saker & co are truly brave. They have God on their side.
You’re unsafe because of domestic social issues, not this with Ukraine. Ukraine is about distracting you from the criminal depravity they’ve installed all around you, right there at home in the U.S..
I don’t know, I remember when after 9/11 there were all kinds of random unprovoked attacks against Americans of Middle Eastern descent. And that was 20 years ago. Education levels and overall level of brainwashing has only gotten worse since then.
As a fellow Russian-American living in the US, do you think we are safe? Can’t believe I am saying this, but after many years of living here I am not so sure about the safety of my own family going forward. Because these levels of hysteria are truly unprecedented.
As a deplorable Republican and part of the well armed, pickup truck set, I think you’re safe. This is Biden’s cock-up, and recall, Trump was vilified for proposing dialogue with Putin.
Americans in Europe pretend they are Canadian so they don’t get (metaphorically) beaten-up.
Just pretend you are Ukrainian or Uzbek, no in the US could tell the difference.
“True Nazis will be shot, the rest disarmed and sent home.”
I wonder, what procedure is to be employed to determine fomer from the latter; especially in the heat of the battles raging now.
It;s pretty rough, but in 8 years there’s been time to make a list…names, dates serial numbers, pay records, social media posts, crimes…
think they will have the names of the commanders of the units who have been shelling Donbass for years,if they have any sense they will start running.
Simple: the Nazi’s won’t give up fighting, their hatred for everything Russian is too fierce.
The average Ukrainian soldier values their own life more than that of Zelensky’s and will naturally drop their arms and leave the battle. They know it’s hopeless. Russian soldiers will welcome them, maybe not entirely kindly but they will nevertheless be allowed to return to their families.
The Nazi units will fight to the bitter end since they’ve nothing to lose and know that Putin will have them all thrown in prison for their war-crimes anyway.
I dunno, maybe by looking for the swastikas on their helmets?
Pepe Escobar says the Russians have a list with at least 5,000 names. A little interrogation of those will get the rest – if they haven’t already fled on foot across the border. By the way, Ukrainian Customs says they’re not letting any male between the ages of 18 to 60 leave the country. LOL
For some, it should be their tattoos which give them away.
Another – unconfirmed report – stated that not only was azov battalion(s), but also other nazi units destroyed.
Can anybody confirm?
It will be interesting to see what transpires in the event the US cuts Russia off from SWIFT. I presume that would stop all gas sales to western Europe. In which case is the Russo-Chinese alternative mature enough to be offered to Germany et al as an alternative means of funds transfer?
38% of SWIFT transactions are interactive with Russian raw materials. Removing them from SWIFT will literary cause famines in the West. Because production lines will be heavily affected. Thats why no SWIFT exclusion of Russia will happen.
They might have to fall back on barter. How much wurst would pay for a billion cubic metres of gas?
Never mind SWIFT, it’s the Euro and the European banking system they need to worry about.
Russia just might take the West of SWIFT with a nuke in NY. That would suit the elite so they can cancel all the debt and start a new system
Tomorrow will be another crucial day, the first day was outstanding, but it is not over. I would be surprised if Putin has not planned an aftermath for the government in Kiev, but we have no clue about who/which party could take the lead, or do we?
I hope that Russian troops inside Ukraine will be able to avoid guerrilla tricks by isolated groups. For this reason, I pray that this operation of de-nazification will be as quick as possible. I also pray that most of the UAF will abandon weapons and/or directly switch side, any reliable news on this?
Anyone else’s RT out in the UK?
It is still working for me in U.K
Mine is down in Norway
I still get through to RT. To be honest, I would think the West would leave it near to last when cutting off access.
Not at the moment,but give the fascists time.
UK “transparency.”
internet is very slow in UK for me…unusual.
RT is down in Canada too.
RT is down in western Canada
Can’t get it in Australia
If we’re talking about World News RT International I can get it from Alice Springs. As far as I know it has never been down.
Still working (online) from phone app for me in UK.
RT Taken down by cyber-attack
TOR also can’t access it.
https://sputniknews.com/20220224/ukraine-special-op-live-updates-biden-says-us-forces-will-not-engage-in-conflict-with-russia-1093347115.html
I’m in California and RT is down (downed) since early this morning.
It’s down for me in Canada.
I get interference, so sound and picture ‘crackles’… I live 4 miles from the MI6 building…maybe thats why ;oP
RT down in Denmark
Here in Serbia it depends on the ISP. It is interesting to notice that via domestically-owned provider I can’t access RT (for the most of the day, sometimes it works) but via mobile network, owned by Scandinavian corporation I have clean access to RT.com.
An actively updated Russian blog post describing the current status
https://aftershock.news/?q=node/1068185
Western stubborn stupidity might further escalate the conflict into something more nuclear than zelenski imagined. I still wish Russia to close embassies in NATO countries and countries that impose sanctiona on Russia and/or arm ukraine. Bringing Russian diplomats and people home is a smart move. You might nuke your own people. Why not ban all trade and propaganda aswell. Stop the sanctions games.
Alarming news coming from the Ukrainian Government about the Russian Paratrooper contingent landed at Hostomel. Anybody knows if there is some meat to them?
It could just be propaganda, but the Ukrainians have acknowledged the loss of the Chernobyl Power Plant, so they are not outright lying/denying. Which is what makes me very uneasy about the fate of the paratroopers.
In future – please post in the correct thread. Mod.
It’s war. Russia expected casualties. As incompetent and inept as Ukraine is, there are some units that might be able to put up a fight, especially the volunteer battalions that have been fully geared up with NATO equipment.
That said, we don’t know the truth. Maybe the paratroopers took some losses and retreated. Or maybe it was a rout as claimed. Ukraine is not exactly a trustworthy source.
But let’s say it were true and they all were killed. Would that affect the outcome of the war? No. And those men would have died honorable deaths fighting in the defense of their fatherland.
This is not a bloodless affair. Putin did not take this decision lightly. He knew some of his men would die. That’s the sacrifice they’re willing to make to prevent NATO expansion into Ukraine and dispense justice for the genocide of Donbass.
Andrei, your analysis is brilliant. However you said “I still think that a NATO (Polish?) ground operation into the Lvov and Ivano-Frankovsk regions is likely”. Aint. Gonna. Happen. Period. Missiles are also striking military targets in the Galicia region. Putins statement is that he will disarm and denazify Ukraine. this must mean the whole of Ukraine. It doesn’t make sense t leave one festering uber nazified, uber armed and NATO fortified rump, which may accommodate a government in exile (and all the Nazis and war criminals fleeing there) which will carry on appropriating the legal entity of the Ukrainian state and its UN seat. This will fatally undermine what is Putin trying to accomplish. Furthermore Putin was clear, anyone who stands in Russia way will experience consequences unprecedented in their history. Anyone who crosses the Ukraine border will be toast. If someone inconsequential like the like the Poles cross it in Lvov, *at best ” they will experience the same TLR (Tender Loving Care), only with stand off weapons if they are lucky.
The only way to solve the Galicia problem, is Ukraines federalisation, as Minsk required, and which I am sure Russia will impose and one of the surrender conditions, or to the new regime, a kind of Minks 3. This will keep the AustroHurnagrian shaped, papist, Germanophile Uniates (Bandera was from there) in their little patch and stop the Uniates there highjacking the agenda and national identify of the rest or Ukraine. Don’t forget that Central Ukraine (from Volhynian all the way to the UK-RU-BEL tripoint border), which speaks the little Russian dialect, is Orthodox (of the newly wrongly recongnised Kiev Patriarchate) but orthodox nonetheless and not Uniate. Furthermore in the 1991 Soviet Preservation referendum, almost the whole of Ukraine, including this MaloRussian speaking central Ukraine, voted in overwhelming majorities for Ukraine to say in the Soviet Union. Only the Galician oblasts voted overwhelmingly for separation. It is this Galicia that acted as a toxic vector to poison the rest of Ukraine the past 30 years and a Minks Agreement style prescribed federalisation of Ukraine will solve this problem.
Your post reminded me of the Ukrainian UN ambassadors theatrical contribution at yesterday’s emergency meeting, in which he told the Russian ambassador that “there is no purgatory for war criminals”. Someone should tell him that Orthodox Christians reject the teaching of purgatory as heresy…
Keep hearing talk about allowing United Satan to save face when they’ve provided the weapons to shoot you in the face.
Was wondering how far along was the planned US naval base before it was destroyed. I’m hoping it was near complete and the scum lost a packet.
How does one differentiate between a proper Nazi and a 3rd rate one? Just kill them all ’cause one day . . . .
Zero Hedge has posted this article https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/putins-shock-awe-war-ukraine-unfolds-dark-day-europe-many-hundreds-killed
US Sending More “Defensive Weapons” To Ukraine As Russia Readies New Wave Of Attacks
Update(4:28pmET): The US and NATO are apparently doubling down: despite Ukraine seeing overwhelming Russian forced used to subdue the country (along with Belarussian troops), Ukraine’s Foreign Affairs Minister has announced Kiev will receive “new defensive weapons” from Washington.
Let us hope that this is BS from Kiev. Russia has control of the skies; any US plane flying in weapons would risk being shot down by Russia.
The article also had this information: “one major reported reversal happened in the last hours at the major Hostomel airfield near Kiev, which is reportedly back in Ukrainian military control after fierce fighting. Russia took it early in the day after a major aerial assault.” I would like to know the source of that information; if it is also coming from KIev, then it could easily be false. But if true, that would be one airfield where a US place could theoretically land.
No way US cargo planes getting over central Ukraine. They are probably coming over Polish border in trucks or something. Or they might try in a western airfield.
perhaps USA means moving armaments stock from EU bases by train…convoy into west ukraine..are there Ukrops bases around Lvov????…then restocking up by ship plane to EU…..perhaps this can be tracked somehow……
This is why the Russian incursion from Belarus is happening. They are presumably intended to link up with the paratroopers at the airport and encircle Kiev.
As for the weapons, that will be stopped by Russia as soon as a drone sees the first truck. No planes are going to go in, that’s for sure. Any rail shipments will be stopped by Russia as well.
https://t.me/s/voenkorKotenok
Zelensky decided to announce a general mobilization by signing a decree. Mobilization will be carried out within 90 days.
In other words, they do not think about any negotiations in Kiev, demonstrating their readiness to throw both youngsters and the elderly into the heat of war. In this situation, the appeal to sanity and hope for at least the beginnings of a dialogue with Kiev loses its meaning. Our task is to complete the operation and dismantle such Ukrainian “statehood”. For a real denazification, demonstrative marches in the regions of Little Russia are already not enough. It is necessary to gain a foothold on the occupied lines, receive reinforcements and begin to clean up, localizing and eliminating pockets of resistance. It is not easy, but otherwise it will be disproportionately more difficult and threatens with fatal consequences.
Mobilization in 90 minutes wouldn’t even save him. I am surprised he hasn’t already fled though. That’s not a good sign. A belligerent and determined defender can hold out for a long time.
Considering how many neonazi is running nearby, this like Berlin 45′ reenactment.
Northrop Grumman stock up 395, up 9.44,
Lockheed stock 396, up 6.81
Ratheon stock 94.2, up 2.52
Huntington Ingalls Industries 192, up 5.78
Dow Jones 33223, up 92
Great day for defense stocks on Wall Street. Biden is right. America needed a war. I suppose it doesn’t matter who’s winning.
The market futures were down 1000 points before the Fed started to intervene (as they always do, buying calls to drive the market back up). That helped for a while, but by 0945, the market was down about 900 points. But that cannot be allowed, so another massive intervention by the Fed was initiated, eventually driving the market up by 1000 points. Gold, which had been within a few points of hitting $2000 an ounce was driven down to $1884 by massive short selling. Can’t allow gold to make the dollar look weak.
That is how things work these days in the “land of the free’.
“…another massive intervention by the Fed was initiated,… ”
That one inevitably means big spike of inflation. There ain’t no such thing as a free lunch.
America needs a war to explain high gasoline prices and empty grocery store shelves.
Biden said today that Putin has goals that extend far beyond Ukraine. He may end up being right either way. The repercussions of economic sanctions in this context of military war are hard to foresee. A comparison with regular life applies: If two are fighting and you insult one of them and threaten him while the fight is on, what can happen after the guy has won? We just know that unless the third guy is willing to fight too, he won’t do it just then. “Sanctions” may also be interpreted as “economic war.” Furthermore, the “empire of lies” description is not just a “definition” when it refers to many countries. Since the “empire of lies” were “colleagues” and “partners” before today, it implies a big future change that’s not friendly. Threats are now being addressed to a power that holds a different stance, and that now is at war; it follows that the same threats could be considered differently. Regarding sanctions, degrees of “pain” in time, how much, who will feel it, are openly discussed.
I think Nebenzya erred in saying it’s not war despite his government not calling it “war.” You can call it something else without saying it is not war. The other day he said the Minsk agreements were still on.
Putin is staking a claim to the moral high ground.
I would guess that Ze signs an agreement on neutrality as early as tomorrow in Minsk. Minsk-3 will be a reminder that basically says “You should have kept Minsk-2.” He will stay in Kiev. Maybe as some sort of non-entity, whereas the Lvov/Ivano-Frankovsk regions cry treason and secede and/or declare themselves the “Real Ukraine.” Let them have their fascist Galician hell with all the Western support they want. Those who matter (China, India, etc) will keep their embassies in Kiev (or Odessa?)
When you say trial in Odessa – does Odessa become the capital of the theoretical “Novorossiia”? From Odessa to the LDNR and Kharkov? How many successor states do you envision?
Personally, I’d like just the 1.5: Current Ukraine, minus Lvovan Banderastan. I legitimately love Ukraine and all its people (Banderites excluded of course). I wish that all the US’ians knew what it really meant if they “stand with Ukraine” like they post on Instagram.
While not a perfect analogy, would you describe this operation as similar to liberating Vichy France? I wonder what German papers were like at that time. “Vichy is under attack for no reason! They have their free will to ally with Germany!”
Military correspondent Kitten Z
forwarded from
Fisherman /Z/
Video message from President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky
Key quotes:
▪️Subversive forces of the RF Armed Forces entered Kiev.
▪️I stay in the capital with my people, my family is also in Ukraine. There is information that the enemy has designated me as target number 1, and my family as target number 2.
▪️We were left alone. Nobody wants to fight for us. They don’t want to take us to NATO.
▪️We are not afraid of Russia, we are not afraid to talk with Russia, to talk about everything: security guarantees for our country and a neutral status (we are not in NATO now), but what kind of guarantees will we have.
▪️On the first day, 137 Ukrainian servicemen were killed, 316 were injured. All the defenders of the Serpent’s Island died and became Heroes of Ukraine posthumously.
https://t.me/s/voenkorKotenok
That is one sad dude. He’s looking at a long prison term in a Russian prison – unless he commits suicide. the absolute best he could get would be if Russia lets him leave and live in exile in Europe. I doubt that. He’s sure not going to get the treatment Yanukovich got.
hopefully nullifying Brits billion plus contract to build ships for Ukr navy and naval port rebuilding…..is there not a ” Tractor” place in Kharkiv that repairs Ukr tanks and service their fleet….should it be brought to nought??? I do believe Ukr should be really “lustrated” of anything military it has of its own and has been supplied from outside as in my previous posts..just leaving civil police in order…and all financial assets possible used to compensate Donbass and Crimea for their social losses and damages…not wishing to repost same again and again ….
“LDNR and Russia forces will advance deep inside the Ukraine, but only to execute specific missions”
I guess that the Russian NBC troops will be handling the bio labs.
Saw this footage of a TOS-1
So they are around
https://t.me/RVvoenkor/1409
Interesting the “O” painted on top
Also found this epic vid of helicopters under attack from manpads
Pilots are pretty quick with the countermeasures
https://t.me/RVvoenkor/1435
Has been pretty amazing to see the military move so fast
“Saw this footage of a TOS-1
So they are around”
TOS1-3 will be used against entrenched units that stubbornly refuse to surrender after given time.(24h?). And those stupid enough to score hits on Russian tanks
or aircraft’s. Ukies could inform themselves how similar situations were handled in Syria.
Great analysis!! Thanks Andrei.
What have changed ? Nato clearly told Ukraine you have to do it yourself ! I assume we all knew that they were no match for Russia. In one day no more Airforce and no more Navy ! So what have changed ? America is still selling weapons as does russia. So what have changed ?
I am deeply worried. I hope everyone here is aware that it is do or die for Russia here. Major military defeats could quickly threaten the very existence of Putin in the Kremlin and bring god knows who to power. The same holds true for major casualties, no matter on which side and a protracted timeline of this operation. I do hope Putin and his generals haven’t underestimated Ukrainians’ resolve and capabilities.
My deeper worry is that I don’t see the exit strategy here. What if Ze or whoever is in command will ever fulfill Russia’s demands, even if militarily defeated? What then?
Lets not kid ourselves, 8 years of nonstop anti-Russian propaganda and cleansing in Ukraine have left their mark and this war will only add to it. I see no way any pro-Russian or even “neutral” political force will get into and hold onto power in Kiev. Wining the war and losing the peace looks like some real possibility.
I am worried this bold adventure may fail in its major objectives. I hope I am wrong and my worries overblown.
The real goals should not be airports, military instllations, biolabs or nuclear plants.
The real objective Is the ministry of education and the complete revision of history schoolbooks and manuals.
The kind of post-military operation here, and It’d be interesting to hear saker’s opinion, should be to install a Douglas MacArthur.
*NOT* a Janos Kadar. Ie not a sensible, intelligent man able to keep a lid on the whole situation.
but a Japanese occupation style: heavily supervised. With two or three generations living in disgust for their nazi heritage. Schools, cinema and arts directed to a pro-russian, anti-nazi fullfledged propaganda work.
Symbols are also of importance. Just a postare shamed Japan had to renounce Its rising sun flag, the new Minsk-3 Ukraine should get rid of its flag, rid of those colors and trident.
The war Is cultural. Ukraine Is a very big country in a very strategic position: you can’t simply defang It or strip It of weapons like in Georgia. You must operate a real brainwash on the collective mind.
It wouldn’t be a bad sign to see in a matter of years documentaries (made by ukrainians filmakers of course) about the sad figures of oligarchs and nationalists, correctly framed in their psychopatology.
This is the work that must be done.
Luckily Ze for now has shown SOME sign of cracking. He has already expressed that he is ready to negotiate with Russia even for Neutrality (i.e. no NATO or weapons in Ukraine), but he simply says (for now) “who can possibly guarantee it for us?” i.e. he’s saying he can’t trust Russia to keep their word but if you read between the lines he’s basically saying that if a mechanism can be established by which Russia is held accountable to the deal/treaty then he’s open to it. So it seems he’s sliding closer and closer to accepting Putin’s terms/demands.
Putin said he will show Ukraine what de-Communisation really is; Lavrov stated that if there is war the Ukraine state ceases to exist.
This suggests the objective is to break up Ukraine, not just a limited Donbass op.
Putin had no good option left. Russia, as a nation, had no good options left. So they chose the “least bad option” possible
Absolutely. He persisted with Minsk even when Ukraine grew uglier and uglier with US/Nato encouragement, just to avoid using military violence in order to ensure the security of his country and that of his friends.
Having said that I have to say I admire the execution of the present ‘special operation.’ Commenced with classic moves: SEAD and followed by destruction of enemy’s C2ISR infrastructure and logistics. 120,000 of the enemy are now headless chickens, cold, scared, and very soon to be out of food, fuel and ammo.
Reports of the destruction if the HQ of the Ukrainian National Guard are significant — the nazis in Azov battalion have been absorbed into Min of Interior (NG) units — and it looks like RF is really going after them. Good. Survivors — if any — should be frog-marched to the Donbass or, better still, Odessa to face trial. If I have my way, I’ll burn them at the stake but then burning is God’s prerogative, so I’ll settle for old-fashioned hanging.
At the moment RF are trying to avoid assaulting large settlements — Grozny showed the high cost in human lives related to urban warfare and RF wants very much to avoid that; after all RF is not waging war against the Ukrainian people but only the corrupt, fascist, blood-thirsty government installed by the US. In fact, Russan Duma speaker Vyacheslav Volodin posted a remarkable message to his Rada counterparts and ordinary Ukrainians on social media:
‘I am calling on Ukrainian citizens: we have always deemed you to be a fraternal people. The sole purpose of what our country is doing is to secure peace. We are asking you to step aside and do not take part in any mobilization campaigns proposed by the Kyiv authorities. They are not independent, all orders come from Washington and Brussels’
https://interfax.com/newsroom/top-stories/74025/
It is early Friday morning in my part of the world; I have slept well and I hope soon citizens of LDNR and indeed the Ukraine will sleep well too, once the scum of the earth inhabiting the Ukraine have either been exterminated or banished, each and every one, top to bottom. And it will be soon.
From Putin’s speech, I understood that no one has ever asked Ukrainians whether they wanted to separate from Russia: and that referendums will now be held – whether or not to return to Russia.
I hope none of the Ze regime will be allowed to escape
The entire regime and all the Nazi leaders should tried for war crimes with Polklonskya as chief prosecutor.
Ze and Co. will get leniency when they give states evidence against all the western leaders from BOJO to Macron and perhaps HRC. Perhaps they can even implicate the euro royals who are behind this with their oligarchs.
And the biolabs should not be destroyed. Valuable evidence in the case against western leaders(named above) developing and deploying WMD.
The leaders in the west must now be held accountable.
This will not end in Ukraine. The entire NATO military infrastructure in E Europe will be removed according to statements made by RF. That was the demand and that is PART of the end game.
@ Mac_408 on February 24, 2022 · at 5:17 pm EST/EDT
Anyone else’s RT out in the UK?
@ Nils on February 24, 2022 · at 5:43 pm EST/EDT
Mine is down in Norway
———————————–
To everyone who is having problems accessing Russian websites, either government or news sites,
Download Tor Browser, try accessing whatever site you want to, if no luck, change your identity, it will take you to a different country. The lack of access can be due to a user saturation of the site, or blocking of the site, which I realized today it cannot be worldwide. I accessed Russia’s MoDefense via the Sheychelles through Tor.
Tor is the best way to circumvent any blockages accessing any site anywhere in the world.
Good luck.
Lone Wolf
Just tried using Tor Browser to connect to the Russian Ministry of Defense. No go. Don’t get a “404” or anything, just no response at all. Same with regular Firefox browser. Don’t know whether that’s a situation on their end or whether the ISPs are blocking access or messing with the DNS.
I was going to try my VPN, but the POS (NordVPN) isn’t working properly again on my system and I had to open yet another ticket with their support.
“I still think that a NATO (Polish?) ground operation into the Lvov and Ivano-Frankovsk regions is likely. Officially to “protect our allies and friends” but in reality, with two goals: … The Kremlin might think otherwise, but I don’t have a problem with that as long as a semi-civilized and semi-sane regime is put in power in Kiev.”
—
Just here, I believe is the crucial point of the matter that needs to be made and done — clearly and openly.
The perverted mentality infecting the West (well, let’s just say west Ukraine) at the moment must also be dealt with psychologically. If they are not crushed and forced to accept their failures and shame then the cancer will simply restart its relentless push to the rest of the body corporate. This is where (and for some practical reasons, I agree) the Russians made previous errors backing down too early. My sense from these early events (through the fog, obviously) is that the Russians have had enough and are going to change the game in their neck of the woods.
There will be squeals and howls to the moon from the usual quarters — but who cares?
The key points are: a) the facts on the ground; b) the infestations removed; c) the spores removed; and d) a clear picture for the world publics to see as a contrast to the USA/Nato criminal efforts in north Africa, the middle east and Afghanistan.
If the cancer metaphor is too strong, then at least a recurring fungal infection that must be medicated weeks past the last signs to kill off dormant spores.
Another metaphor — Russia has been (it seems) chosen to be the key that turns in the rusty lock opening a door to a new post-Nato multipolar world. We can only hope they are up to it. With China’s backing I think they are. They must use their energy assets to “sanction” the poodles and their master. Only when this western criminal crust is made accountable to their own people will this bully-boy sanction BS stop.
I still remember those early Red Square parades with the young Russian men looking so hopeful and fervent towards a post-Yeltsin future. And here they are, with the arguably the best military defence system in the world and a leader (with a team) of personal and national integrity.
Please let us remember, that the West as we now know it is unfortunately a huge masked mental asylum undergoing social-medical experiments run by criminal gangs. There is a class war in progress — just look at what that little woke tyrant in Canada (with his Ukraine 2iC in the shadows) has done to the man-in-the-street truckers. They just won’t talk to the people they represent. Ergo, they are history just waiting for the broom.
The Kairos of opportunity has passed and now Ms Metanoia is arriving by Russian agency. And so, back to the key point of this comment — historically, if the Russians do not flush these criminals out and help the publics (at least in the Ukraine) find closure through remorse then the job is only half done and Putin’s greatness will not have been confirmed. We all saw that old un-repentant German tapeworm sneer through that idiot Olaf Scholz’s face and words in his televised Moscow meeting with Putin. That same attitude that would think another 25-million Russians “was worth it” to use that witch Albright’s infamous phrase in regards Iraq.
Whether they like it or not, history has chosen the Russians as the surgeons of the day. If they don’t do the job properly in the Ukraine then we are all entering the Stage 4 cancer treatment phase and making our wills perfect. I think they can do it. And I think they will do it. Right back to Berlin if needs be – but I suspect right to the Polish borders (and perhaps some of the Baltic poodle lands to connect Kaliningrad etc) will be more than adequate to smash the insanity running the West at the moment.
(end-of-rant)
Ukraine,if you count the Twins has 24 Oblasts (Provinces/States) that neatly divide into 3 parts of 8 Oblasts apiece. If done correctly there is the 3 part division that many had talked about,or 3 parts of a loose Confederation as well. The 8 South and East Oblasts are overwhelmingly Russian speaking,with deep Russian ties (Novorossia). The 8 middle Oblasts are part Russian and part Ukrainian-light speaking with Kiev in the middle (Malorus).While the 8 Western Oblasts are mostly Ukrainian speaking,with minorities Russian,Rusin,Hungarian,and Romanian speakers.With Lviv (Lvov) as it’s center.It seems to me if done correctly that is a good answer to this problem.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oblasts_of_Ukraine
E$x hardcore pilot that I was: Dos anyone know what happend to the Mria aka Antonov 225!!???
for now I heard it is still safe
How many more of the provinces in the east will want autonomy from Kiev? I would guess that right up to the river will break away.
From 16;54 ept Russia looks to be winning. Banderistan and her Ukro nazi leaders, US, UK in a panioc. Go Team Russia
Igor Strelkov’s analysis of today’s action(s)
Igor Strelkov’s summary of the first day of operations, published a few hours ago
The offensive was completely unexpected and the missile strikes established immediate Russian air and naval dominance.
There are four main theaters of ground operations.
1. Southern Front: Russians launched an offensive north out of Crimea. There was a naval landing at Genichensk, and helicopter landings at Kherson and Novaya Kakhovka. The Ukrainian front collapsed immediately, and now the enemy’s army is not present in this area at all. Bridgeheads have been created across the Dnieper for further advances. Attempts by the Ukrainians to form a front are discouraged by airstrikes. Russians reached Melitopol during the night.
The main strike groups will continue their offensive along the Dnieper, to the cities of Zaporozhye and Dnepropetrovsk, towards Nikolaev, and in the rear of the army group in Donbass.
2. Donbass Front: The DPR is conducting a limited offensive towards Volnovakha, in order to threaten Mariupol and link up with the Southern Front. This has tied up thousands of Ukrainian troops.
The LPR offensives across the river have no real strategic objective besides tying up the Ukrainian forces to prevent them from being sent to Kharkov, and to keep them pinned down and encircled. They will continue heavy combat tomorrow to prevent the enemy from withdrawing.
3. The “Russian Front:” Sumy, Konotop, and almost the entire Sumy province were captured; the enemy either did not intend to resist, or had insufficient numbers. Progress is being made towarde Chernigov and Russian units continue to advance deeper and outflank the Ukrainians resisting at Kharkov. Russians cannot allow Kharkov to remain under enemy control, and battles will continue to capture it tomorrow.
4. The Kiev Front: The airborne operation to capture the Gostomel airbase was a complete surprise to Ukrainian command. Now, these forces must link up with those crossing the border at Chernobyl, in order to prevent Ukrainian counterattacks. If the connection is made soon, the fate of Kiev is clear.
In general: Simultaneous attacks in many directions have made the Ukrainian forces the weaker sider on every front. Thousands of them are sitting in Odessa, far away from any battlefield. Thousands more are deployed on the Belarusian border and not seeing any combat.
– Igor Strelkov
RyBar’s view….
Military setting:
🔹 Kiev direction: Russian MTR forces landed at the Gostomel airfield, which hold the airfield until the main forces approach. According to the Ukrainian media, a massive Russian landing is planned. Apparently, the Ukrainians are being lured into a fire bag in order to deliver a massive blow and break into the defenses of Kiev on the eastern flank. Another grouping of troops is expected to approach from Zhytomyr.
🔹 Sumy direction: by midnight fierce battles broke out in the city. Part of Sumy is on fire. Partially transferred reinforcements from Kiev. Taken under control of Konotop.
🔹 Kharkiv direction: despite the advance of Russian troops on the northeastern outskirts of the city, the Armed Forces of Ukraine still hold Kharkiv, transferring reinforcements to the Tsirkunov area. Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine undermined the dam on the Pechenezh reservoir.
🔹 Kherson direction: several regional districts have been taken under control. The city itself is under the control of the administration. Aircraft overflights and explosions were noted at midnight. The Crimean Canal was unblocked, water went to the Crimea.
🔹 Zaporozhye direction: Melitopol is blocked, Russian troops control the situation in the city. A shock fist is going to advance to Zaporozhye.
🔹 Donbass-Lugansk direction: in some areas, LDNR units advanced to a depth of up to 7 km and are successfully developing the offensive. Near Kramatorsk, closer to midnight, shooting began. The Azov battalions and other Nazi units were destroyed. A massive attack on Mariupol is expected. In general, the forces of the LDNR tied up a huge grouping of troops in the zone of the “Ukrainian operation”.
🔹 Odessa direction: in the morning the base of the Ukrainian Navy in Ochakiv was destroyed. In the evening, Zmeiny Island in the north-west of the Black Sea was taken. A naval landing operation is expected in Odessa itself.
Would seem that Russia is “Going for Broke”.
I personally am of the opinion that Zelensky’s outburst threatening to obtain nuclear weapons for the purpose of subduing DonBas and Crimea, was the trigger.
This op was planned over many years.
INDY
thank for this . . . could you possibly provide links for the Strelkov and RyBar information?
It has already been confirmed the nuclear threat WAS the trigger, I believe Russian ministry has stated this earlier today.
Excellent summary. I agree with it all except I don’t think the NATO will do a ground operation at all. I think they’re simply too stunned by the effectiveness of the Russian operation to risk putting troops in harm’s way. If they do try, I think Russia will simply demonstrate some attack potential and NATO will withdraw. Apparently Russia hit Lvov hard over night, so NATO moving in there will be considered too risky – which is possibly one reason why Russia hit it.
All in all, though, a really good summary of the situation and probable next moves.
Fiquei tranquilo quanto soube no Coronel Cassad que os laboratórios biológicos ficaram em ruínas e que as tropas russas está tomando conta de Chernobil e outras.
O que resta são baratas e ratos correndo.
O que preocupa, nas próximas 72 horas é a reação dos idiotas da OTAN bem como o que o imbecil do nosso presidente Bolsonaro irá vomitar.
Aqui no Brasil, está difícil encontrar pessoas que não tenham na cabeça o que a mídia ocidental lhes impõe.
Infelizmente.
:-/
Google translation,MOD:
I was reassured when I learned from Colonel Cassad that the biological laboratories were in ruins and that Russian troops are taking care of Chernobyl and others.
What’s left are cockroaches and rats running around.
What worries me, in the next 72 hours, is the reaction of the idiots at NATO as well as what the idiot of our president Bolsonaro will vomit.
Here in Brazil, it’s hard to find people who don’t have in their heads what the western media imposes on them.
Unfortunately.
:-/
Olá Tec,
Não vi as informações sobre a destruição faturável no site do Coronel Cassad. Poderia postar o link?
obrigado
hello Tec,
I did not see the information about the billable destruction on the website of Colonel Cassad. Could you possibly post the link?
thanks
apologies, the autocorrect edited my question and made it unintelligible.
I meant to ask for the link to the Colonel Cassad article that described the destruction of the US biowarfare labs. If you could please provide that, I would be most grateful.
desculpas, a correção automática editou minha pergunta e a tornou ininteligível.
Eu queria pedir o link para o artigo do Coronel Cassad que descrevia a destruição dos laboratórios de guerra biológica dos EUA. Se você puder fornecer isso, eu ficaria muito grato.
I remember a month or so ago a contributor wrote a article presaging Russia’s response if she was pulled into the Ukraine. Does anyone know the link to that article. I’m just wondering how accurately it predicted what has just happened?
“US bioweapons labs in Ukraine and Central Asia near Russia as a motivating factor in Putin’s moves”
https://americanbuddhist.net/2022/02/24/us-bioweapons-labs-in-ukraine-and-central-asia-near-russia-as-a-motivating-factor-in-putins-moves/
Saker
No meu modesto entendimento, e vc já mencionou isso mais de uma vez, está em questão o processo de desnazificacao da ucrânia.
Eu iria mais longe: o processo de desnazificacao pra mim é a parte mais importante desse movimento que a Rússia está fazendo, é o que dá o sentido mais profundo a todo esse esforço. Então como assim “””Ze” fez muito pela Rússia, e acho que Putin deveria deixá-lo fugir para o Ocidente”””?
Deixar fugir e perder a chance de ouro de expor ao mundo um ex palhaço da televisão pertencente a casta dos eleitos por deus e por isso mesmo alçado a condição de “presidente” da ucrânia, que formou uma “impensável” aliança entre oligarcas predadores, também escolhidos por deus, e carrascos nazistas que noutros tempos dizimaram esses eleitos por deus, mas que no entanto agora encontram-se irmanados nesse peculiar arranjo para benefício mútuo que tem como efeito “colateral” o genocídio do povo ucraniano???
Eu simplesmente não consigo imaginar um processo de desnazificacao efetivo sem que haja nada menos que a exumação do cadáver dessa alianca e a exposição pública de suas vísceras podres. Qualquer coisa aquém disso é um profundo desrespeito a todas as vítimas dos genocídas dos povos ucranianos, desde a ravina de Babi yar até o Dombas.
Você também falou que ainda espera uma grande operação de falsa bandeira do m16, belingkat e a bandidagem de sempre. Sim concordo, isso é bem possível.
Mas que melhor oportunidade para a Rússia pular na frente e assumir o controle da narrativa para neutralizar essa possível falsa bandeira, expondo com todo o estardalhaço esse cadáver que mencionei acima e suas aberrantes alianças? Essa seria fatalmente uma pauta imposta a mídia e da qual ela não poderia fugir sob pena de abandonar seus capangas a própria sorte.
Ou a ideia é deixar mesmo alguma fresta para os ratos escapulirem? Sim, porque eu acho.muito estranho que uma aliança tão “improvável” – improvável??? – tenha se formado e ninguém parece muito interessado em expor todas as suas escandalosas contradições.
Yandex translation. Mod:
In my modest understanding, and you have already mentioned this more than once, the process of denazification of Ukraine is in question.
I would go further: the denazification process for me is the most important part of this movement that Russia is making, it is what gives the deepest meaning to this whole effort. So how so “””Ze” did a lot for Russia, and I think Putin should let him flee to the West”””?
Stop running away and you lose the golden chance to be exposed to the world, an ex-clown-tv, owned by the variety of the elect by god and raised to the status of “president” of ukraine, and that he is a “unthinkable,” the alliance between the establishment of the predators, also chosen by god, and of these the nazis, who at one time took those chosen by god, yet now find themselves joined together in this quirky arrangement for the benefit of the mutual effect of the “side” of the genocide of the Ukrainian people???
I simply cannot imagine an effective denazification process without there being nothing less than the exhumation of the corpse of this alliance and the public exposure of its Rotten viscera. Anything short of that is a profound disregard for all the victims of the genocides of the Ukrainian peoples, from the Babi Yar ravine to the Dombas.
You also said that you still expect a major operation of false flag of the M16, belingkat and the usual Bandit. Yes agree, this is quite possible.
But what better opportunity for Russia to jump ahead and take control of the narrative to neutralize this possible false flag, exposing with all the fuss this corpse I mentioned above and its aberrant alliances? This would be fatally A agenda imposed on the media and from which she could not escape under pain of abandoning her henchmen to their own luck.
Or is the idea really to leave some gap for the rats to escape? Yeah, because I do.very strange that such an alliance “unlikely” – unlikely??? – have graduated and no one seems very interested in exposing all their scandalous contradictions.
Its a language problem. The Saker is being sarcastic by thanking these people.
On the extent of the sanctions and how energy and commodities sectors are being spared by the west, this article is quite enlightning: https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/The-Uncomfortable-Truth-About-Sanctioning-Russia.html
“Also, I can’t imagine the CIA/MI6/Bellincat/CNN and the rest of them not executing at least ONE major false flag of some kind. Not because that will change anything, but because that is what they are (kinda) good at.”
Correction: It is the only thing they know to do. Being good at it? No evidence of that in recent years.
Dear Saker
Upon till very recently you were stating in no way would Russia set foot in Ukrainian soil, but obviously that is not the case. Now I trust your opinion and insight, so I am thinking at the time of writing you were 100% correct, so in your opinion what changed so drastically and quickly
all that war, death, property destruction and it never had to happen, if only one set of people were willing and capable of listening and reacting positively to the concerns of another.
unfortunately the Anglo-Zionist are never dissuaded from their madness
they just regroup for next confrontation, for the next stepping stone to whatever
its like a reoccurring nightmare in the form of an American gameshow
Whose Next on the Price is Wrong?
Talking with Ukrainian friends, I am told it is not true that Ukrainian Air Force has “ceased to exist.” How does Saker know this? Real question.
Maybe Russia will replace the Americans and the “dual nationals” that run run Ukraine…with actual ethnic Ukrainians.
Here I am reading again and I’m so happy that I can’t sit still. What an insight. You are the best ever to understand everything what’s going on in and around this area. Every word and every point is so good because that’s how I feel about it. I continue to bless you Andrei with all the power from above.. It’s so exiting to read what you write because you are deadly right. Heavenly FANTASTIC.