Today, RT posted an article which began with the words “Amid fears of worsening clashes in eastern Ukraine, Russian and American diplomats have held unscheduled bilateral talks in an effort to forestall an all-out conflict, which Moscow has warned could spell disaster for the region“.
This begs the question: is the “Biden” administration still capable of logical thought?
My guess is that no, probably not. Here is why:
- Ever since Dubya, each US administration was lead by a clueless and weak President who might have been good at making speeches, but which had neither the intelligence, nor the will, nor the courage to lead the United States.
- This phenomenon became particularly acute with Obama, who was a fantastically incompetent and weak leader and, as a result, the putatively single US foreign policy was replaced by many competing foreign policies: one Foggy Bottom foreign policy, another one by the Pentagon, yet another one by the CIA, etc. etc. etc. As a result, the foreign policy of the US was decided like a mathematical sum vector (which often, did not match any of the competing agendas).
- At the same time, the world watched in awe and horror how the quality of the US “diplomats” was in free fall. For example, not since James Baker did the US have a competent Secretary of State. The same can be said of the Pentagon or the CIA. Remember Pompeo or Petraeus?
- A wise saying states that if everybody is in charge, then nobody is. If everybody is responsible, then nobody is. For the USA, this means that while each agency or lobby pushes for its own interests, nobody is really in charge of protecting the people of the USA if the proverbial crapola hits the fan.
- It would be a fair thing to say that while the competence of US diplomats went down, their arrogance sky-rocketed to levels of “chutzpah” never seen before. What we now have is a quasi-perfect fusion of Anglo and Zionist messianism gone berserk (the LGBTQ+ freaks’ is another perfect example of this)
- Weak administrations are also the perfect object of lobbying, hence the phenomenal rise of the influence of both the Zionist and Ukronazi lobbies in the United States.
- Finally, US Americans in general, and US decision makers in particular, are phenomenally ignorant of history. Combined that with their messianic narcissism and you get a most toxic combination of a total sense of impunity and an terminal inability to see even a major danger or threat.
Yet the Russians are still trying, if only because they, unlike their US colleagues, understand the nature of war. Still, I am afraid that the conversation might look something like this:
Russians: if you attack us, we will sink most of your navy, we will destroy your key command posts and we might even strike the continental USA with our conventional (non-nuclear armed) long range weapons.
US Americans: nah, there is noooooo way you can do that, you drink too much vodka and you are bluffing. We are the most powerful military in the history of the galaxy – have you not read Tom Clancy?!
Russians: don’t you understand what the consequences of a major war in the Ukraine will be for the European continent and your NATO “allies”?!
US Americans: you are authoritarians, we are democrats and democracies always prevail against authoritarian regimes!
Russians: but, don’t you feel any pity for your European “allies”?!
US Americans: we can and will protect them, we are the most powerful military in the history of the galaxy!!
Russians: and how do you propose to protect anybody from our hypersonic weapons?
US Americans: We are the USA. Lower your defenses and surrender your forces. We will add your biological and technological distinctiveness to our own. Your culture will adapt to service us. Resistance is futile (yes, that is the mental level of these TV-educated ignoramuses).
etc, etc, etc.
The chances of this leading to a de-escalation are, frankly, infinitesimal.
What about the French and the Germans then?
Oh, I am pretty sure that they both “got it”. These regimes are evil, but not stupid. They are, however, totally under the thumb of Uncle Shmuel and most unlikely to openly defy him. All they can do is beg, and that is unlikely to suade him.
Still, today, Foreign Minister Lavrov, during a press conference in India, said that Germany and France were doing nothing useful and that they must urgently bring the Ukies “back to their senses”. Will anybody heed this warning?
Russia is clearly trying very hard to show, by words and actions, that she will not back down. And, for all their other and very real faults, I suspect that many (most) Ukronazi leaders do understand that if this comes to a “hot” war they personally are likely to die. These are cowards and cowards always panic when they are personally threatened. This, by the way, gives Russia another potentially interesting option:
Say the Poles move one or two battalions into the western Ukraine. Rather than obliterating them, Russia could decide to “only” target their battalion HQs and commanders. This way, i) innocent Poles would not have to die ii) the surviving Poles would be terrified and iii) Poland would have no means of retaliation whatsoever. What about NATO? I can tell you that NATO would protest but not move at all, just like the did with Saakashvili and Erdogan. No NATO/EU country is willing to enter a war against Russia on behalf of the Poles in the Ukraine, not even they are that stupid.
Anyway, these are my thoughts today after listening to the latest news.
I turn this over to you – what do you think?
Kind regards
The Saker
“Can the US be deterred?”
In any analysis assumption of purposes of interlocuters renders the “analysis” ultra vires.
This was a component part of the “strategy” of Mr. Kissinger and Mr. Nixon in the early 1970’s, and Mr. Rove’s observation that:
“We are an Empire
We create our own reality
To which others react”
which also continues to apply in respect of OPEN THREAD 1-5 inclusive.
Everyone must tune in to this!
Putin poised to set out vision for future in dramatic speech, in what allies say will be ‘world’s most important political event’
Russian President Vladimir Putin is reportedly preparing to give a major address in which he will fire the starting pistol on a “new era” and set out a different vision for the future of his country as the Covid-19 pandemic wanes.
The chairwoman of the Russian Senate, Valentina Matvienko, told reporters on Tuesday that the speech would set out answers to a number of challenges facing the world.
“This will be a message for a new age,” she said. “But at the same time, as always, current issues will be addressed, focuses will be defined and direct instructions will be given.” Matvienko added that “in the current difficult environment facing the world, which comes with many obstacles for countries including Russia,” the address would become “the most important political and public event.”
https://www.rt.com/russia/520258-putin-major-address-future/
Simple answer would be NO, US can’t be deterred with current Russia’s (or China & Iran) posture. Nuclear deterrence is apparently not a proper leverage somehow. If Russia would publicly acknowledge that US is waging a war on Russia (directly & via proxies), and prove (not just signal!) that it is willing to confront US in a direct clash and willing to take the fight to US soil (like US is doing to them), maybe then… US is a single source of all troubles for Russia, all those others (like EU, NATO and satellites) are just a means to an end… to weaken Russia indefinitely and make it collapse. Take the fight to the source.
US zionists with their Brit inbreed cousins are the single source of all Russia’s troubles…………there, fixed it.
Cheers, M
It must be also taken into account that Ukrainian soldiers are highly motivated. They are now “on side of the West”, and that is wet dream of all Eastern Europeans . They are ready to die for western interests, as Croatians, Serbs, Poles and all the others as Dostoevsky anticipated long ago.
BS.
I am croatian and a proud rusofile.
Ill be shooting some retard deluded compatriot in the back should he dare turn eastwords.
Mind u, soldout elites that run croatia, poland and such arent going themselves to war, u can bet on it. Some might go but its too small in numbers, even russia has its own traitors.
That kind of talk only serves those that would love to see white, christian Slavs kill each other and God knows they did it many times with zero benefit to anyone but “ew know who”.
I heard Croatian advisers went to Kiev to teach the Ukrainians how to deal with separatists, Croatian style (Operation Storm, 1995, ethnic cleansing of Serbs in the Krajina).
Oh Im sure they did, we got so much surplus brains and talent for such thingz.
Too bad Putin is not Milosevic so he wont make no deals with Satan.
It’s not really the American’s, or even their state apparatus and military, who need to be deterred. It is those who control them. Here’s someone who understands who is really pushing for war, and why:
http://voxday.blogspot.com/2021/04/because-they-want-russia-back.html
Because they want Russia back
Ron Paul asks “why is the Biden Administration pushing Ukraine to attack Russia?”
The unhinged US “experts” behind the 2014 coup against the elected Ukrainian president are back in power and they are determined to finish the job – even if it means World War III! The explicit US backing of Ukraine’s military ambitions in the region are a blank check to Kiev.
But it is a check that Kiev would be wise to avoid cashing. Back in 1956 the US government pumped endless propaganda into Hungary promising military backing for an uprising against its Soviet occupiers. When the Hungarians, believing Washington’s lies, did rise up they found themselves all alone and facing Soviet retaliation.
Despite the cruel US propaganda, at least Eisenhower was wise enough to realize that no one would benefit from a nuclear war over Budapest.
Why is it any of our business whether Crimea is part of Ukraine or part of Russia? Why is it any of our business if the Russian-speaking population of eastern Ukraine prefer being aligned with Russia?
Why, for that matter, are unproven allegations of Russian meddling in our elections a violation of the “rules-based international order” but an actual US-backed coup against an elected Ukrainian government is not?
We are seeing foreign policy made by Raytheon and the other US military contractors, through cut-outs in government like Austin and others. Feckless US foreign policy “experts” believe their own propaganda about Russia and are on the verge of taking us to war over it.
It seems as if Americans are sleepwalking through this dangerous minefield. Let us hope they soon wake up before we’re all blown up.
Because the Trotskyites who fled the Soviet Union after Stalin won the intra-communist power struggle and infested the United States now run the Biden administration and they have been seeking to use the US military to take their revenge ever since.
As Ron Paul assiduously avoids noticing, the third- and fourth-generation followers of Leon Trotsky who call themselves “neoconservatives” and include people such as Bill Kristol, Michael Ledeen, Ben Shapiro, and Doug Emhoff are entirely responsible for advocating these would-be wars on Syria, Russia, and Iran. It is not the defense contractors, who strongly tend to prefer Cold War-style arms buildups that don’t actually involve their overpriced products being put to the test.
***************
Nukes on Jerusalem and Tel Aviv would be a far more effective deterrent than on Washington or London or Berlin. Also, it’s not even the state of Israel that is the main threat, but those few who control it and most of the rest of the world. If the Russians were serious about bringing personal responsibility home to those who initiate attacks on them, they must realise that it’s not enough to blow up generals in bunkers, or even Zombie Joe’s handlers in Washington. Troops won’t move without orders. Politicians won’t give the orders without pressure from the media and their big campaign donors. Those are the people who need to be eliminated or frightened.
Once a war starts, patriotism and habitual obedience to orders kicks in, so it’s best to stop it before those responsible can hide behind their stooges.
I doubt that Russia is short of, say 10,000 bullets, or that the successors of the KGB have altogether lost their ‘wetwork’ skills. Now that Russia has improved it’s military and produced lots of super-missiles to deter the state apparatuses of it’s rivals, maybe it can now turn some attention to reducing the number and effectiveness of those who pose the real threat to it and to the rest of the world.
I like your approach. For a while now mye feeling is that some anonymous source should leak the coordinates of all bunkers where those mofos plan to spend a few years while the nuclear winter warms up.
Just to make sure everyone knows where they are and are able to make them company.
Otherwise, their plans are am afraid, to bunker up for a while while civilization goes back to stone age, so they or theirs can emerge as the new demigods. (of which we clearly had already a few over the last million years, but i digress)
Contemplating on how nuclear war would look like I myself would make a priority of making sure no such place existed after war. Newzealand, patagonia…canceled!
Whats a couple hundred warhead extra
If I thought of it be sure others did too
As a member of the kiwi diaspora I suspect my countrymem would very smartly eliminate those that provided an attractive targeting option to extremely destructive weapons. You need to have lived in rural NZ to appreciate how well the local inhabitants know who is doing what. You dont build bunkers without concrete and that requires a local batching plant, truck drivers and contractors. Guess what, they are all members of a local community and if someone was building a bunker they would know about it..
Add in a bit of indigenous background, a significant number with a fondness for hunting and a well developed sense of self preservation, spiced with a healthy dislike of yanks outside the political sphere and I suggest NZ is not the best bolt hole.
Maybe detonating nuclear Poseidon torpedo in an inhibited are of North Pole could be used as an example in order to calm the war hawks.
All of you talking about nuking this or that, u joking right?
The very second anything nuclear goes off all bets are off
There is no going back
I dont remember seeing anyone ever considering the fact: what happens to nuclear powerplants in event of nuclear war?
One, just one, smallest of all plants has far more deadly nuclear material (since it contains used, using and to be used material) than all the rockets combined!
You imagine people showing up for work at the plant when a nwar happens?
How about that?
This is off-topic. Any further comments will go tot trash. Mod.
Nuclear power plants are not nuclear bombs. You could spread a little radioactive material a short distance, if you used a very large explosive (the walls of the containment dome are ~ 1meter of reinforced concrete, that is all. That is why ‘no one considers the fact …’
Maybe not, it can spread very far. The chemists at Los Alamos in the 40’s supposedly laughed when the physicists put a shovel into a yellow cake pile (more than once) of Uranium. Lord Agni, instant extremely hot fire and hard to extinguish. Go forward a few decades, you can see what happened when “depleted uranium” was used for anti-tank weapons. It goes in and some of the particles can be as small as the 100’s of nanometers. 2001, a study of Canadian soldiers urine who cleaned out these tanks, Newfoundland geochemistry lab, TCP-IP mass spec found in their urine, ten years later, UR238. Also Americium, Neptunium, Plutonium, Technetium.. etc. Best guess is that the us military blended in Naval sub or carrier spent fuel. These particles are small it can stay suspended for quite awhile, brownian motion and lodge in the deep lungs.
CPT (Christian Peacemaker Teams) sent in batches of people as witnesses to Iraq from 1995 to 2003, 8 were friends or acquaintances of mine, they all went to Basra for the presentation via the Pediatric Oncologist at a hospital there. Some gruesome photos, but the math seemed gruesome also. Over in the usOfa Dr. Durakovich was a colonel and also at Georgetown University, he tried his best at getting published on DU results. Data from Vieques Island, Iraq and Serbia. In the end the only journals he could get published in were Serbian, I thought they were good publications. DU is nasty.
Water supplies, sewage treatment plants and anywhere near nuclear fuel pools or dry casked spent fuel should never be bombed as it is a war crime.
Update: Russia has issued a NOTAM for the area of airspace under Ukraine’s jurisdiction.
https://twitter.com/ISNJH/status/1379758343909122052
For those like me who ask, ”what the heck is that?”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NOTAM
Not sure if the NOTAM is a precursor to a no fly zone, but it feels like the Kremlin was waiting for OSCE to confirm this, from the Sputnik Telegram channel:
—–
‼️🇺🇦The Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) has confirmed the death of a 4-year-old boy, who sustained a blast trauma and shrapnel wounds, in the village of Oleksandrivske in the self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR).
The DPR authorities said that the child had died as a result of a drone attack that left another woman injured. Ukraine has denied allegations that it launched the drone attack.
—–
Are long distance shootdowns of orc drones coming? That would be a subtle deterrent.
Or if a full-on no fly zone is kinetically imposed (based on an interpretation of the Minsk accord being broken by Kyiv) that might be a louder deterrent.
I made a typing error.
I meant strike uninhibited area around North Pole as warning.
What’s about hitting your house while you away at work. Russian could demonstrate precision weapons.
North Pole is habitat of many living creates!
After reading most of the post. The goal is to neutralise Ukraine (not in NATO).
A) Give all the weapons to Donbass to crush ukies.
B) To have the best possible list of strategic assets to destroy to control a clear escalation.
C) To put maximum pressure on these assets (diplomatic, to set fire with radar, low flight, electronic measures, etc…).
D) When the war begin maintain plausible deniability as long as NS2 is not dead.
E) When NS2 is dead, to act ( openly if needeed) as far as needed to obtain a treaty that neutralised Ukraina.
F) To speak with allies to open 2nd and 3rd front.
For an indicaiton of how Ze’s meeting with Britain’s PM Johnson went, I offer this:
Ukraine President Zelensky asks Trudeau for support in path towards NATO membership
https://globalnews.ca/news/7742560/ukraine-trudeau-nato/
https://pm.gc.ca/en/news/readouts/2021/04/06/prime-minister-justin-trudeau-speaks-president-ukraine-volodymyr-zelenskyy
(I think if the UK says, ”no”, Canada says… we offer unwavering commitment to support Ukraine’s sovereignty, security, and territorial integrity” — take that cheque to the bank and try to cash it.)
LOL… you know Trudeau very well.
Not caused by stupidities over Ukraine, but with Joe Dementia’s bluff that’s emboldening the orc clown in chief, is part of RF diplomatic chess:
Russian Ambassador Antonov’s Return to US Unlikely to Happen Soon – Foreign Ministry
https://sputniknews.com/russia/202104071082559410-russian-ambassador-antonovs-return-to-us-unlikely-to-happen-soon—foreign-ministry/
I must say that from the depths of my being I hate the “politically correct” thing and that is why I say and wish with all my heart that what happened in Georgia 12 years ago will be repeated in Donbass.If the Russians give the Ukronazis a good military spanking and at the same time physically eliminate a good percentage of their corrupt and cowardly leaders, the relief and joy that we, the true lovers of peace and self-determination, will feel will be indescribable.
I know that in any war, however limited it may be, there will always be deaths and destruction, but Russia, as the undisputed leader of the resistance against the empire, cannot continue with this conciliatory position, which may be diplomatically correct but inapplicable when dealing with exceptionalist ,arrogant fools like the “empire” and his lackeys.
Translated with http://www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)
A question to Saker.
Thank´s for all great articles! I love the content and your humor.
My questions is, read an interview with Turkish FM. He stated that the Turkish drones destroyed Armenian hardware for + 1 billion USD. If the crisis in Ukraine ends up with a clash between Ukies and RU, how will Russian army handle the Turkish drones?
Thanks
I think the short answer is easily. Drones are not particularly hard to hit and rf has hardware to hit the hardest stuff.
A “conversation” with America distilled to its essence:
XYZ country: Our position on this issue is that ….
USA (rudely interrupting): American values, Freedom and Democracy, Human Rights, Rule of Law, the Rules-Based International Order, the Indispensable Nation, the Shining City on a Hill, the Land of the Free, the Beacon of Liberty, blah, blah, blah.
In short, America doesn’t have conversations with other nations.
America has a monologue with itself in which it spews a word salad of Goebbelsian propaganda phrases to harangue the other side–as well as to boast and brag about how special and virtuous the United Sociopaths of America is.
Indeed, America is truly a nation of Narcissistic Sociopaths.
Someone is awake in the land of Blinken and nod:
https://www.globalresearch.ca/veteran-intelligence-professionals-sanity-avoiding-war-ukraine/5742045
Afraid the inhabitants of the land have reading comprehension problems.
But, flowing like water, these guys are giving nobody a firm target.
Russia & China won’t create Eastern military bloc to rival NATO because exclusive clubs are ‘counter-productive,’ says FM Lavrov
https://www.rt.com/russia/520365-eastern-military-bloc-nato-compete/
We’re in a new dispensation.
@amarynth
If Russia and China wont create a bloc because its counter-productive this is exactly what they should forced to be doing. They should be forced do what they dont want!
Other wise we will force them to do it because we can just name and write it everywhere that they are a bloc and treat them as a bloc in our media and all International communities. No, this is not childish, this is strategic Sun Tzu intelligence using Judo strength with force!
The Saker asks “Can the US be deterred? ”
I have to ask – whom, exactly, do we mean by “The US”?
Biden, who has allowed Harris to do Presidential duties in the first few weeks of the administration? The head of the Pentagon, who has complained about some infraction or other. ? The nitwit Blinken’ who has put his foot in his mouth publicly and been shown to be an incompetent idiot? Pelosi, of whom I can only say “enough said”??
Or the “faceless men” of whom the Political Analyst, John Varoli, whom I quoted in an earlier numbered of this thread – the Fanatical Fundamentalists of Ideology, has said truly run America and who are determined to wipe Russia off the face of the planet?
Because, – and I am not being funny here – I truly have no idea. To me, now, American can only be described as “the lights are on, but no-ones’ at home” !!
These leaders, faceless men, are good often at hard headed decisions. They can look at the numbers, at the previous “Game Plays” the Rand Corp is so good at, and realise they risk getting handed their hat. They can be deterred. But many are narcissistic /psychopaths. These are fixed in their arrogance, and blind beliefs that they are better, stronger, and unbeatable.
They cannot be deterred. – and the less so as their realisation that their life blood, oxygen, drug of total dependence, is slipping away from – that of control over other nations. As they see their control over nations like Russia draining away, they probably will become less, rather than more, deterrable.
The cowards and bullies down the line of power can be easily deterred.
So – it’s like a roulette wheel, is it not? I guess the only answer I can find is “it depends”.
Red – the Fanatical narc/psychs? Black – the malleable, weak cowards and bullies.
Messieurs, Mesdames – rouge et noir, “faites vos jeux” !
The deterrence of USA seems to be possible by the plenitude of internal conflicts of interests in the West.
Checking the official Northstream 2 website, the investment partners apart from Gazprom are all prominent European multinationals: if trying to sabotage NS2 is not a clear and open attack on the European Big Business and nominal economic prosperity of its citizens, then what is?
Would it be far fetched to asume that as we speak, and this already for many months, the USA will and should naturally be actively deterred behind the scenes under the pressures of duality of divided financial interests of international industrial power with interest in this NS2 project.
Unless along the way, they got convinced to conspire against Russia and NS2 went on till “almost finished”, solely to drain resources from Russia’s Gazprom (competitor) and the plan was to withdraw at the final moment , leaving Russia with the majority of the investment cost with no return on investment in revenue and no political relationships & stability vis a vis Germany and EU.
With all this Belt & Road and constructive approach to world development by China and Russia, the “destruction oriented competitor” has the last word since destroying and cancelling is always easier than building.
On the other hand, this NS2 was being used as a Red Flag on a bull by Russia to deter the USA from other more important global energy deals and to make the USA oriented energy multinationals all rabidly looking for a better deal with their Biden-Nuland project the said “impossible to fix Ukraine” that Russia doesn’t want to own, this over the heads of the EU-ans. By this way draining the energy and printed funds of the USA into the black hole of Ukraine once again.
After all they want that fix on cheap Russian Gas to pack it as LNG to sell it to the Poles and Germans? :-)
To illustratre how “Biden” was cozying up to Ukraine , early in his term, there is this amazingly “America is Back to Stand with Ukraine” 12 points list for Ukrainians of the next generation.
Put online on 10th of March, outlaying the strategic Partnership of USA Greatest Democracy in history of the Galaxy & Ukraine, together for democracy against corruption.
Hopeful steps described to simple Ukrainian souls that prefer an office life & a political career to a glorious march Eastwards to free Donbass..
https://ksf.openukraine.org/en/news/2003-dvanadcyaty-punktiv-strategichnogo-partnerstva-spoluchenih-shtativ-ameriki-ta-ukrajini
On the USA side one of the undersigned is Ian Joseph Brzezinski son of ..
the saga continues.
Some extracts:
Corruption needs to be battled to safeguard property rights (of foreign investors) and push for privatisation and decentralisation are some of the pearls.
Merkel & Macron have to be FuckTheEu-bypassed to end stalemate in Donbass:
“As it consults with Ukraine and its European partners, the Biden administration should consider whether more active senior-level U.S. involvement in the process should consider whether more active senior-level U.S. involvement in the process now led by the German chancellor and French president could break the current now led by the German chancellor and French president could break the current stalemate and facilitate a true end to the conflict in the Donbas, the withdrawal stalemate and facilitate a true end to the conflict in the Donbas, the withdrawal of all Russian and Russian-proxy forces, and the restoration of full Ukrainian of all Russian and Russian-proxy forces, and the restoration of full Ukrainian sovereignty over the Donbas. sovereignty over ”
Excuse for presence and movements in the Black Sea:
“The United States and Ukraine should consult on steps to enhance security and stability in the Black Sea region including with support of NATO and European partners. The United States, together with its NATO allies, should continue its regular deployments of air, land, and sea forces into the region, where Russia, Europe, the Middle East, the Balkans, and the Caucasus come together. The region is at the center of four great forces: democracy on its western edge; Russian military aggression to its north; Chinese financial influence to its east; and instability in the Middle East to its south. Ukraine and the United States should work with other allies in the area to protect common interests and deescalate tensions.”
Nord Stream Pipeline: let it NOT complete as our idea of unity will be invalidated:
The Nord Stream 2 pipeline, if completed, would threaten Euro-Atlantic unity and deprive Ukraine of significant transit revenue. The United States and Ukraine should consult on how to build and maintain a unified transatlantic stance against the pipeline’s completion as well as on what steps that Russia might take with regard to Ukraine that could lead to a removal of Nord Stream 2 sanctions. At the same time, Ukraine must undertake serious reforms to become more energy efficient and root out corruption in that and other sectors.
No *military* option to reclaim the stolen lands? Really?
The United States and Ukraine should also consult on political, diplomatic, and economic steps that can be taken to restore Crimea to Ukraine. They should work together to promote internationally the principle that “Crimea is Ukraine” and to ensure that sanctions applied against Russia for its illegal seizure of the peninsula remain in place. We applaud the government of Ukraine’s efforts to organize the “Crimean Platform,” as it keeps occupied Crimea on the international agenda and reminds people, including in Russia, that Crimea is still Ukraine in the eyes of the international community.
For Any attack against Donbass to be successful, the attackers will need a force 3 times larger than the defending forces of Donbass. 40.000 men will be insufficient to achieve anything but a skirmish.
So what is the real purpose of a skirmish?
Maybe to keep NATO nations in Lock down, and give Biden, Macron and Merkel 4 more years in office.
The US and NATO military are already deterred.
They are maned by paid soldiers, who constantly evaluate their pay against the risk they are taking.
If the risk gets too high, people ruled by logic will find alternative occupation.
No sane Nation will start conscription to the military, in order to fight for NAZIs in a foreign country.
That leaves only the brainwashed and psychopaths left alone on the battlefield, to be slaughtered.
Russia must know by now, that any negotiations with US, UK, EU, UN, or NATO “leaders” are futile.
Western leaders are puppets of the Global Elite, and under threat by Blackmail.
The real bosses, the Global Elite, don’t care if these provocations end in a nuclear Armageddon. They aim for a Global war with only 500 million human survivors, as they have written on the Georgia Gide stones
Negotiating with such psychopaths is impossible. Besides, their chain of command is ONY WAY only.
So when a order is given it will not be reconsidered and drawn back.
This chain of command secures that the Global Elite are hidden from public view, and free of repercussions.
So only repercussions against the ranks of the Global Elite can make them back down.
As the Global Elite controls a global Fascist network, the problem is not for Russia alone to solve.
Humanity must unite to fight these psychopaths, and opposition must rise from every corner of the Globe.
First the people working for and are protected by the Fascist network must be exposed.
Hack member lists of every secret society in every country and upload them to the internet, comes to mind.
Then address the messengers of the Global Elite: like COVIDduals who are already hated by the public.
When the first is stricken by “bad luck” and people around the world simultaneously raise their flags in joy, the Fascist will get the message.
Members of the Fascist network will reconsider whether the money and status they gain by being a member of the network is worth the risk, and we will see mass “retirements” from their ranks.
This comment really belongs in open thread #3, but no one reads old threads. So I am replying here.
What should Russia do? How about telling Zelensky and Kolomoisky, “If you start the war, you will not live to see tomorrow.”
Turnabout has always been fair play. The Ukies have killed Alexander Zakharchenko and Arsen Pavlov (Motorola), so assassination is a justified action.
I thought Merkel was smarter than this.
She called on Russia to reduce its’ troop levels near Ukraine.
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/merkel-demands-putin-reduce-russian-troop-build-near-ukraine
They have abandoned their allies in South Vietnam when it became serious for them, they have abandoned Saakashvili in Georgia when it became serious for them and if they start a big war in Ukraine, it will become serious for them again, because then the Russians will become seriously angry.