Dear friends,
Looks like my so-called “break” is coming to an end. It has been a weird “break”, to be sure. Not only was I unable to really stay away, but I worked on a couple of big things in the background, the biggest one of which I will announce here tomorrow or Tuesday. Tuesday will also be the day when I will re-start the blog at its normal (well, maybe not ‘normal’, let’s call it “usual”) pace.
I won’t comment on current events today. I will just caution everybody not to jump to conclusions, not about the negotiations about Syria, not about the Russian airliner. In both cases, we still don’t know enough to produce any fact-based conclusions. The truth about the airliner will come out pretty soon, as for the Syrian negotiations, they are just the first step in a very long process, and it will take a lot of time to see where this is really headed.
That’s it for now. Just wanted to give you a short heads-up about the end of my “kinda break”.
See you, God willing, next week.
The Saker (slowly waking up from his dream dreaming that he is a dreaming alligator)
Hey saker,
I see that you have been heeding Imran Hosein speech recommendations for which I am glad.
Watch the turkish elections today, kurds with 14 percent 6 months ago are 11 percent today, with a lot of ISIS party supporters cheating. Not suprising. AKP to Gulen to CIA to Israel. This has global implications….
Looks like the beast wants an incursion into Syria soon.
Looks like the bear pissed offffff many heads.
Go Russians ! :)
Wait a minute did we miss something here? Did sheikh Hosein predict that AK would win a majority (I.e. cheat and steal the elections)? Where did he make the prediction?
Noooooo :)) that’s not what I meant, sheik is a separate one versus akp cheat. I just appreciated the videos of sheik while touching upon the coming war through turkey civil war, as the Kurds might wake up because of unjustified heavy hatred towards them.
Faster the Isis Turks win the election, quicker the suicide, then, maybe then ,Kurds might be fighting for themselves instead of only asking for help. It is good news for future Kurdistan and maybe middle east but based for Kurds and Turkey’s.
Enough said, time will show.
Full support to the Russians as a devout Muslim .
Death to ISIS infidels !
The creator shall decide ..
The biggest news of today is that the SAA and allies have broken through the rebel/Nursa lines South of Aleppo and taken control of a large swath of territory. They now threaten to cut the M5 highway (a critical supply line) in a rural area where there are few alternatives. If the SAA can push a little farther and cut the M5 they will create a logistical nightmare for the rebels/terrorists, especially those to the South.
Furthermore, if the SAA is able to continue pushing (whether now or after digging in and making sure they don’t lose what they just captured) forward they could potentially envelop Aleppo.
Declassified documents confirm that superpowers came dangerously close to nuclear war in 1983!
http://bit.ly/20hS2RU
in the case of MH-17 only small nation-actors were involved, i.e the malayan and the Dutch.
Now both the plane and passengers belonged to a big dog.
And one that precisely at this moment is very busy with planes, surveillance and satelites. It will be impossible for manufacturer´s investigators or AIBB
to twist things this time.
1. The probability of the crash being a pure accident, given the circumstances, the location, the nationality of the passengers, is very low. Foul play is by far the most likely cause, as is with almost all planes that send no SOS and suddenly proceed to fall vertically and scatter themselves around a wide area.
2. If “ISIS”, or rather one of its principal sponsors in the area (US, Israel, Saudi Arabia) are responsible for this, it is unlikely the Russians will acknowledge it. Doing so would pretty much force them to act and things could get very out of hand very soon.
So far, what I am seeing is a very concerted effort from all sides to make it look like an accident.
If “ISIS”, or rather one of its principal sponsors in the area (US, Israel, Saudi Arabia) are responsible for this, it is unlikely the Russians will acknowledge it.
that’s speculation, we dont know what Putin will or will not do if those are the facts.
Of course it is speculation.
But it is also my speculation.
It would be the only wise thing to do.
Not to let on that you suspect anything.
Play the fool.
To buy time to consider a response very, very carefully and not to expose oneself.
Katherine
Good points. I think that the same could be said of the Kursk sinking. If it were due to an accidental collision with a US submarine, the Russian government played it correctly – take the PR hit and avoid being forced into a serious confrontation with the US and outrage in the Russian population that could grow out of control. Best to wait for another day to seek justice.
IIRC, the crash of a Tu-144 at the Paris airshow was the result of a near-collision with a French aircraft trying to spy on its flight control surfaces considered advanced at the time.. The Soviets did not press the French in a hope that their deference would be reciprocated in some manner (my speculation).
I think the days of Russia doing nothing while under attack from the west and their
hired creaps have come to a end.
If indeed the plane was downed by western supplied terrorist then Russia can react or ground
their commercial flights. pretending wont cut it anymore.
If “doing nothing under attack” and “pretending” was a response to my comment, that certainly was not what I meant.
I meant, planning very carefully how to respond, and in the meantime, saying nothing.
To retain element of surprise, among other things.
I wonder when or whether Russia will ever release anything it has on 9/ll.
Katherine
”I wonder when or whether Russia will ever release anything it has on 9/ll”
That comes last, it will be controlled demolition of the US
“I wonder when or whether Russia will ever release anything it has on 9/ll.”
Russia is not Santa Claus. Unless asked by the US Administration they won’t release any information they have on 9/11.
It is the American people’s responsibility and duty to do everything possible to press their government to fully investigate 9/11 – the most horrendous and vilest false-flag operation and mega-crime in modern history.
Unless 9/11 is investigated and solved the US will continue to sink like a stone in the water.
Rebekah Roth’s sensational recent interviews leave no doubt in what direction any real 9/11 investigation would have to go. Hint: the people behind 9/11 are the people behind ISIS are the people behind yesterday’s … > >
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qdP95oSoOFk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cm7vs-pBZoc
etc.
Zweistein…that first link is mind blowing…thanks so much..just watched it..I highly reccommend it to all people interested in 9/11.
Ann
From what I have seen so far, it sounds similar to the Lockerbie explosion. (Which has never been satisfactorily explained, especially the unidentified Americans who were prowling the fields picking up evidence before the police got there, and who actually took over part of the police station without explanation).
I suggest that ‘probability’ is the wrong word and approach; rather we should consider what is plausible, give the lack of evidence — which we should wait for before gravitating to any hypothesis.
While some sort of attack or sabotage by IS or others is plausible — a believable narrative can be constructed — so is mechanical failure due to an unknown reason, possibly related to previous badly done repairs, or some other cause such as perhaps wind sheer from atmospheric conditions, or whatever.
Lets say some reasonable explanation – X -, supported by evidence, is arrived at, and the general conclusion is that X happened. At that point decisoins can be made based on X.
In the meantime other plausible explanation might lead to precautionary measures — checking over the older planes again, taking various security measures in the area or changing air routes for the while, or increasing intelligence activities looking for possible attackers. But in the end, it’s the evidence we need before speculating too much, or drawing any conclusions.
So, are you a saker waking up from a dream of being a sleeping alligator, or are you an alligator dreaming of being a saker?
Looking forward to what you have to say Monday or Tuesday. I need your thoughts in this troubled world!
Thanks for the wake-up call. First of all to myself.
And then a loud: Wake up Russia. The West is not your friend or partner. Wipe the sleep from your eyes. Elvira Nabiullina is not Mother Russia. Putin is not a Tsar and the oligarchs he protects are not his friends.
The American Dream is a nightmare. An ever-expanding economy is a Cancer. Usury is a heart attack a-coming.
OK, OK, so you are awakening to the external threat but how about: “the imposthume of much wealth and peace; that inward breaks and shows no cause of why the man dies.” That goes for a nation too.
If Florida alligators can wake up so can Russian bears. I mean wide awake in action. Take care things at home so your soldiers will not have died in vain.
“This above all–to thine own self be true
And it must follow, as the night the day
Thou canst not then be false to any man.”
“Putin is not a Tsar and the oligarchs he protects are not his friends”.
Can you provide substantiated evidence that (a) Putin thinks he is a Czar, and (b) that he protects oligarchs, which implies he is hand in glove with them, and as criminal and corrupt as they are.
Many thanks.
Hi. Sorry but I can’t give substantial evidence that Putin thinks he is a Czar. I only said he is not a tsar. I just read a link to a scholarly article comparing Putin to Nicholas I. I am not a scholar so I don’t bother with sources. I do not enjoy a photographic memory either.
As to (b), I must qualify that just because he protects oligarchs does not mean he is hand in glove with them. Again I apologize for my unscholarly habits. I just read here or at one of the links provided of the dinner meeting Putin had with the richest oligarchs in Russia. I recall statements by Putin that some of the wealthy were his friends.
Also, oligarchs need to be distinguished. Putin has jailed some rich according to law. Being the realist he is, Putin respects power and money. But he also loves Russia and comes from common ancestors.
Putin is not criminal and corrupt like some rich or he would be in jail according to law.
Thanks for your observations. I often shoot from the hip so can be off target.
“Wake up Russia. The West is not your friend or partner.”
I would suggest you are somewhat late with your advice.
Mr. Suslov used to date the state of affairs you apparently seek to describe from 1922.
Some in Russia have always be awake, but allowing opponents to project holograms was always useful, and continues to be so.
The framing of these holograms were partly facilitated by language.
Perhaps you exhibit another hologram of the opponents “exceptionalism” since you appear to hold yourself as exceptional in perceiving matters that representatives of the Russian federation allegedly do not.
Thanks for your observations. I agree with your hologram. In a holistic world, if I do hold myself as exceptional, although I would never use that term, I am reflecting other holograms of exceptionality: of which you and the RF partake. In the holism model it is impossible for me to perceive what the RF does not.
You bring to mind what I like about you and the vineyard family: how we all play off each other as one whole.
With holograms in mind, allow me to share a quote from Tolstoy: “All, everything that I understand, I understand only because I love.”
My own hologram, oppositional or not, is expressed at thelovegovernment.com. It is all about love and opposes anti-love, within a whole love-text.
Tolstoy is said to have had one thousand serfs, and yet he could write: “He stepped down, trying not to look long at her, as if she were the sun, yet he saw her, like the sun, even without looking.”
Somehow I feel Tolstoy’s serfs were richer than the oligarchs of Russia, past and present.
I hope to live long in a holographic vineyard of love. In a true hologram that means you do too.
P.S. I’ve already confessed in this vineyard to being narcissistic. “I’ve already confessed; no need to confess again.” Dylan
Dennis “Somehow I feel Tolstoy’s serfs were richer than the oligarchs of Russia, past and present.”
Huh?
THis sounds like some heavyduty romanticizing of the condition of serfdom.
Sure, some serfs had relatively decent surroundings. For serfs.
Just like some slaves had relatively decent surroundings. For slaves.
Katherine
I don’t think he meant “materially” richer.
UB:”I don’t think he meant “materially” richer.”
Yeah, I “get” that. I got that.
That is why I said “romanticizing.”
Katherine
What I had in mind were serfs who were close to nature and each other, with customs like singing, dancing and of course romancing.
On the other hand, the ruling class were often disconnected from the basics. Tolstoy’s marriage, for example, became miserable.
The lucky serfs lacked our conveniences but also our technological angst.
Good catch, though, on my over-generalizing.
Dennis romanticizing:
“The lucky serfs lacked our conveniences but also our technological angst. ”
“serfs who were close to nature and each other, with customs like singing, dancing and of course romancing.”
This is exactly what I meant by “romanticizing.”
Actually, the ruling classes who lived on enormous estates and owned serfs were also pretty close to nature, and they also got to sing and dance.
Of course, virtually none of the serfs could read or write, so we have no firsthand accounts (that I know of) of their thoughts about being close to nature and being owned.
I now expect a wave of anecdotal evidence as to the high quality of life of the Russian serf.
As for Tolstoy’s marriage: apparently the “news” here is that freedom and intellect and genius are no guarantees of personal happiness. Think of the serfs who were stuck with mates they abhorred. Nothing to be done about that!!!
Katherine
An interesting thing along the lines of what you are saying is that during the Middle Ages.The time of the Crusades and Richard the Lion heart,etc.The farmers,serfs,in Europe (80-90% of people at the time).Mostly never traveled further than 5 miles from home all their lives.Marriages were “arranged” for you by your family,you died around 30-40,and you (even for the nobles) only took a bath once every few months.I believe it was Richard’s father that was known to take one every 6 months.Things for good and bad have changed unbelievably since those times.So much of the romanticizing of our past has to be taken with a “grain of salt”.
(side note: One reason Muslims and Jews were so “strange” to Europeans then was their faiths carried personal cleanliness and bathing as part of the rituals.And Muslims and Jews looked down on Christian Europeans for the lack of cleanliness of their lives in those days.The Eastern Roman Empire (Byzantines) took more after the Muslims and Jews in those customs. The Western European soldiers and nobles in the “East” during those days brought back to their homelands an appreciation of those customs of personal cleanliness and slowly times began to change for people in Western Europe.Those days were the reverse of today.Then, in the East were the rich advanced societies.And Europe was closer to the undeveloped countries of today.)
“so we have no firsthand accounts (that I know of) of their thoughts about being close to nature and being owned. ”
De facto social relations have half-lives longer than de-jure social relations, and hence attenuated relations of serfdom remained past 1861.
Post 1881 Narodnaya Volya’s strategy included a drive to the peasantry during which they collected “oral history”.
The Zemtsvo based educational system had similar archives until 1914.
Various political parties in Czarist times built archives on the movement of the peasantry to the towns and cities.
The Bolsheviks generally had a coercive relationship with the peasantry and dogma facilitating such coercion.
Consequently little that is freely available on this has been published .
It is likely that this will change up to 2017 and subsequent.
The archives were kept in the Lenin library in Moscow and at other locations, although they were generally of restricted access.
Anonymous at 10:53 pm, every point you make is very well taken.
However, if you’ve read Dennis’ posts for the last few weeks as I have, (and you may have), my take is that he will probably benefit much from the illustration you provide of your apparent cultural difference from his culture.
He admits to often shooting from the hip and missing. It’s not that he doesn’t think. It’s just that he often shoots first, and then thinks. I’d bet you take more careful aim, and think quite carefully before speaking or writing.
Dennis’ “Wake up Russia.” seems like a projection of our culture of impulsiveness onto a more careful and calculating culture which is far more under your conscious control, and is more circumspect, for very good historical reasons. You’re awake, but you (plural) were quiet to his ears, and still, to his eyes, so he took that for sleep! But if you understand each other more, I’d say you are probably potential good allies, and needn’t be opponents. Unless he’s more committed to impulsiveness and impatience to see the same degree of it in other cultures, than he is to stopping the Empire. Which I doubt, from his other many posts. He seems like a Rusophile in the early stages. Your post should help him appreciate that there is “more” than meets the eye to what has attracted him about Russia and Russians. It helped me. Thank you.
/polands-stance-towards-russia-pathetic-contemptible-and-plain-stupid/comment-page-1/#comment-166726
A response was transmitted to you but apparently moderated.
No problem. I appreciate the time and effort. Onward and upward.
Since we are discussing Dennis now, he is an old hippie (coot) who lives in a rabbit hole.
I don’t feel you any more, you darken my door. Whatever you’re looking for. Hey! don’t come around here no more …. Tom Petty.
Or, shall I say, Hobbit hole. :)
Best regards,
Mohamed
Peace, Mohamed and others re my comment.
Thanks for the romantic reality check. My romantic notions are a fault, I admit. At least here where reason rules.
Romance is an addiction but a sweet one. I romanticize the vineyard, probably to the consternation of some. But what do I do when I’m lonely and in need of love? I guess that’s using this community in an untoward way but the moderators have so far not objected.
If I wasn’t such a basket case with a fancy cover, I could research and reason better. I use a lot of quotes from others, many of them romantic, to fill the emptiness inside.
“We keep ghosts of our love inside us and call them ‘memories’ to ease the pain when they haunt us.” Nikita Gill.
I wish I had more inner resources and outer experiences so I wouldn’t be so co-dependent on literature and vineyards. But right now I need the vineyard for informational and emotional support.
This vineyard is a “strange attractor” in the romantic sense. I’m getting a remedial education here and through the links to other attractors. Maybe some day I’ll even be a realist.
I court and fear rejection. I push the limits to see if I’m still accepted. Being banned from this site would be both a hurt and a relief because it would confirm my deep beliefs about myself.
OK, this is not a confessional or therapist’s office. I’m not sure what it is or what it will be but it’s still a vineyard to me.
Erdogan’s party wins majority after declaring war on Kurds, jailing opposition and shutting down opposition media. No outcry from MSM
With Turkey on the verge of civil war over the last couple of months, and a few days before elections, US approves sales of JDAM to Turkey? The only place where these are likely to be used is Syria. Erdogan seems demented enough to do that. Russia knocks out a few Turks to quieten them down and NATO comes to Turkeys defence?
“Erdogan’s party wins majority after declaring war on Kurds, jailing opposition and shutting down opposition media.”
Remember how France and Germany are saying that they will now let Turkey join the EU.It makes you wonder.Erdogan ought to fit right it with that crowd.
Welcome back! I look forward to reading your take on the recent amazing and truly history changing events.
About the Russian Airliner: IsraHell took revenge on Russia >> https://goo.gl/g86m4B
Question: if the Zionist entity in Palestine (which represents the tribe that rules the planet) indeed shoot down the Russian plane, as this report suggests, and the Russians have a proof of it, will Putin have the courage to actually do something about it?
I was unable to open it. Does it have a title?
Katherine
It is from a site I’ve seen before.Its totally an anti-Jewish site,not just anti-Zionist,or anti-Israeli.They get a few historical points correct.But those are then mixed badly with others they get wrong.And the mixture is served up for Jewish-hate.I discount them:
https://biblicisminstitute.wordpress.com/views-of-news/#revenge
US now pushing hard for a first strike capability against Russia?
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/11/01/us-usa-missile-defense-idUSKCN0SQ2GR20151101
The U.S. military on Sunday hailed the success of a complex $230 million test of the U.S. missile defense system that it said showed the ability of the Aegis and THAAD weapons systems to identify and destroy ballistic and cruise missiles at once….
…..”It’s a huge success,” Ellison said, adding the test would increase confidence in U.S. plans to deploy a THAAD battery, or system, to Europe, and could help support a drive to send a THAAD system to South Korea…..
Your first task, re-awakened Saker, should you choose to accept it is, some clear thinking on this “Oil discovery in the Golan Heights” business.
If true then, in addition to rights of passage for gas routes through Syria to coast (logically owned and operated by Gazprom), how will the reinvigorated Syria (with or without Assad’s government) handle the Zionist Israeli apartheid usurpation of these regions?
The video seems real
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xW9lUPLQag8
Stan
By real do you mean it is not a gif? Or a text file?
This is the person some of the MSM is quoting in saying the video is fake. Check his credentials. Brookings Doha also a senior consultant for a firm that specialises in brand creation, marketing and management of the brands (Brands like Bellingcat? SOHR?). often quotes Bellingcat. https://twitter.com/Charles_Lister
Says the video is from 2003, yet nobody has offered proof it is an old video.
Would you care to stop publishing ISIS advertising here, especially that video with its fanatical soundtrack?
Thank you, very grateful.
Do not you think that they have already many means, included twitter, where they are in a no way censured, to spread their rubbish?
What´s the point in helping them?
“Would you care to stop publishing ISIS advertising here”
Why to moderate and/or ignore?
“What´s the point in helping them?”
Is that what is happening, or is it a function of your perception?
According to my perception and for its classic soundtrack ,that is a video of ISIS. As I see it, and this is just my view, a psychopathic entity as ISIS benefits from the most extensive possible dissemination of their “exploits”, be them real or not, because:
1- Get to be full of pride and satisfaction by its nature that the widest possible audience become spectators of its “boldness”.
2- Get to spread terror among the susceptible public which is its main goal and at the same time is a pleasure for its unhealthy nature.
3- Get a call effect on those specimens of the same kind that populate the globe and which see a window of opportunity to give vent to their darkest instincts. I do not mean the typical specimen of the garden variety, but real vermin.
One point that comes to confirm these hypotheses is the propaganda and broadcast apparatus this psychopathic entity called ISIS has been endowed by their creators / benefactors, counting with internet immunity level ( twitter, youtube …) and even with sophisticated studios where to film its macabre scenes.
So if the enemy wants to spread …..deny it to the enemy ……to enemy nor water.
“So if the enemy wants to spread …..deny it to the enemy ……to enemy nor water.”
This may appear rational to you. It certainly does to the opponents – it “informs” their “strategy”.
Your view seems to be similarly based on dogma.
Around 18 months ago despite several broadcasts in illumination, many contributors to this blog were “convinced” of the excellence of the opponents’ propaganda and wiles.
This appears no longer to be the case.
“1- Get to be full of pride and satisfaction by its nature that the widest possible audience become spectators of its “boldness”.”
Hubris is a useful catalyst for nemesis.
“2- Get to spread terror among the susceptible public which is its main goal and at the same time is a pleasure for its unhealthy nature.”
Terror encourages blowback – see Donbass as an example.
“3- Get a call effect on those specimens of the same kind that populate the globe and which see a window of opportunity to give vent to their darkest instincts. I do not mean the typical specimen of the garden variety, but real vermin.”
the opponents bases are to be welcomed as it minimises unneccessary travel for others – an aid to minimising global warming..
“One point that comes to confirm these hypotheses is the propaganda and broadcast apparatus this psychopathic entity called ISIS has been endowed by their creators / benefactors, counting with internet immunity level ( twitter, youtube …) and even with sophisticated studios where to film its macabre scenes.”
To quote an old Yiddish saying, “May you be blessed with intelligent friends and foolish enemies” although opponents is more correct, given that sole/or prime agency can never exist in a lateral system.
Over-extension is always unwise, even when some wish to try the strategy dance.
Perhaps your perception is starting to change?
A project likely to undermine your thesis.
http://www.strategic-culture.org/news/2015/11/04/eu-nato-set-destabilize-russia-anti-putin-propaganda-operation.html
If everything was self-evident omniscience would exist and possibly Mr. Fukuyama vindicated.
Seeing – and hearing – that video once was enough. I have no words for this mentality – just total, instinctive recoil.
The words ‘Golani’ and ‘brigade’ are currently in my head. Time will tell if there is a reason for this mental ‘pop-up.’
How about…
Nightmare of the Waking Chicken —
or — When Cookie meets Crumb
AKP wins.
Turkish general election, November 2015
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turkish_general_election,_November_2015
As Russia energetically pursues a comprehensive peace agreement.
Joint Statement on the outcome of the multilateral talks on Syria
http://www.voltairenet.org/article189136.html
While Germany pulls Europe in the direction of the Russian alternative to endless war, Nordstream-2 secured safely in back pocket.
Germany seeks to extract itself from the Syrian conflict
http://www.voltairenet.org/article189129.html#nb1
Still others remain busy establishing (additional) facts on the ground.
US Invasion of Syria Begins
http://landdestroyer.blogspot.ca/2015/10/us-invasion-of-syria-begins.html#more
Strengthening themselves ahead of the big negotiation.
US finally approves crucial ‘smart bomb’ sale to Turkey
http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/us-finally-approves-crucial-smart-bomb-sale-to-turkey-.aspx?pageID=238&nID=90519&NewsCatID=352
While another. isolated actor (ISRAEL) makes a desperate attempt to throw a spanner in the works.
Islamic State in Egypt claims it brought down Russian plane; 224 dead
http://www.timesofisrael.com/islamic-state-in-egypt-claims-it-brought-down-russian-plane/
Tying these things together, the bottom line for Russia is the territorial integrity of Syria. The bottom line for Turkey, Syria, Iraq and Iran is similar with the additional provisio that there be NO Kurdish State.
These two positions are entirely reconcilable. In fact they are virtually identical. We now have a basic outline for the terms of the Peace agreement that is being negotiated.
Israel plus Satrap al Saud are now mostly isolated (thanks in part to Obama) except for factions within NATO and devil worshipper John Kerry’s State Dept. They will do everything they can to sabotage any peace agreement and keep the Middle East, Ukraine, Central Asia, North Africa and everywhere else in a state of maximum turmoil. Murder and mayhem is their primary ‘business’ after all.
The Israelis are possibly watching their last best opportunity for the mass ethnic cleansing of Palestine slip through their grasp and this will lead to panic in some quarters. The disgusting behaviour of Israelis in response to the perceived threat by dark skinned people, including Jewish Arabs, belies their PTSD rhetoric. The facts on the ground are they are badly outnumbered and alone against the world. Like any cornered animal they are bound to become vicious. I would not be entirely surprised if they decide to go Samson and light the fuse at al Aqsa. The trick would be to somehow blame Iran and I don’t think that’s possible. Assasinations and the downing of planes will continue indefinitely or at least until Shylock gets his meat.
The process which Russia is pursuing will be long, very bloody and extremely difficult. Various parties including the Turks will likely establish zones of occupation notwithstanding any statements made in Vienna. Daesh will not go quietly but if my prediction is correct, Erdogan will keep his thumb firmly planted on their intravenous drip. Both Daesh and the Kurds will likely be kept fighting in the Hornets Nest made for their destruction but eventually, the major jihadi factions will begin to implode.
Putin will have to offer both Turkey and Israel some prizes if they are both to be kept in line. I doubt the Palestinians or Kurds will have their historic grievances properly addressed except maybe the Kurd population of Syria — so long as it assesses its circumstances correctly and goes all in alonside Russia and Syria. If all goes well, in a few years, the oil and gas money will start flowing and in 25 years Damascus might look more like Dubai, although I’m not counting my chickens just yet.
In the meantime, if all this does come to pass, more or less, the furious and defeated AngloZionist Vampires will turn their attention more directly to feeding on their own already enslaved robot population. Things will get very ugly before they get better but eventually we will have our day, get our shit together and finally prosecute the Oligarchs for their centuries long crime spree against humanity.
off topic. I have never heard of the Foreign Policy Journal. By the name I would assume it’s some neocon thing, but apparently I am wrong. I came across this nice article, which is a recommendation of “NOT” to read a book :-)
http://www.foreignpolicyjournal.com/2015/10/09/book-review-japan-restored/
Anyway, the gist of it is that there is a new book about how Japan can and should be restored. From the description of the reviewer, it sounds exactly like what a neocon would suggest: restored Japan back to it’s past “glory” (when they manage to kill millions of other asians and non asians). My only conclusion is you can see how desperate these neocons are these days, they know the US will not be able to “do it alone” as well as “declining”, and is trying to hatch all kinds of nonsensical plans to promote “democracy”. Part of the reason for the book being written is because ” “…the slow death of Japan would be a terrible blow to the hopes of those who believe in democracy and rule of law.””
yeah, bring back a Japan that has shown no remorse whatsoever about their atrocities in WWII, and it will revive democracy and rule of law. How sick can people be ?
Alan,
I have no criticism for the main message of your comment. For many years I agreed with the sentiment in your last paragraph as well. I have read about the Japanese prison camps, the r–e of Nanking, etc. But recently I have learned of Japan’s attempts to negotiate a surrender with the United States in the months preceding the dropping of the bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki. The only condition which the Japanese held out for was the preservation of the status of Hirohito as emperor – a condition which the Americans eventually granted. But, the Americans had to conduct their two experiments first.
So now, I am more cautious in judging the Japanese reluctance to apologize. It must be difficult for a nation, singled out for such special treatment, to apologize from under the shadow of mushroom clouds.
I think that is precisely the reason many Japanese refuse to repent for their atrocities – because they think they did not lose to “other asians” – if it weren’t for the Americans, they would have “won”.
Cough / USSR / Cough.
It was the Soviets that broke the backs of the mighty Japanese Imerial Army in North China, the Americans did scuttle their Navy though.
Credit where credit is due.
Good overview of the situ in Syria from Patrick Cockburn, in the LRB (not yet behind a paywall), and interesting info on specific combatants and the of fighting going on (obtained via visits to hospitals):
http://www.lrb.co.uk/v37/n21/patrick-cockburn/too-weak-too-strong
Katherine
Very good article.I think it nailed a lot of the issues involved.
Agree re nightmarish soundtrack.
But quite a few comments in the YouTube thread also call out the video as a fake.
Which makes the use of such a soundtrack even creepier. I mean, looks like it might be psy ops kind of Halloween thing,
Cemetery Are Us.
Katherine
Patrick Cockburn is pretty good.
He is actually driving around in Syria.
Katherine
Yesterday, i was told that Israel TV has two Russian channels, but only one Hebrew, it is a practically a Russian colony. My question was how many of those IDF soldiers are also Russians? Why Russia has no leverage on Israel?
Oddly enough, no comments enabled on the plane falling out of the sky on the NYT, Guardian, etc.
Could be because speculation is seldom helpful, but that usually doesn’t stop it. My opinion is that it was blown up mid-air of course, but how a device was installed is the question. Doubtful it was in luggage, also unlikely it was in the catering. Not sure how often the toilet holding tanks are emptied, or if they even are pumped rather than just evacuated over an ocean or whatnot. If the tail was indeed blown off perhaps it was a timered explosive placed in one of these during the pumping operation. That particular aspect of plane servicing may not be as strictly monitored as fueling, maintenance, baggage etc. In any case, the most suitable explanation will be put forth, and I hope it points to Saudi complicity. They seem to have gone beyond the pale with their threats to remove Assad by force, and also their threats to move militarily against the SAR/Iranian/Hezbollah/Russian alliance.
It is time to put them back in their place. This event may be the catalyst for action.
I am wondering couple of things.
I only read Sputnik, RT (aside from Saker) so somewhere there I read that after the first alarm, the Turkish air Control said the plane was ok and that they had contact with it. Why would they say that after the crash had happened? Surely that must be a lie, or….?
And there were reports *before* the alarm, that a plane (russian?) had crashed i Cyprus.
I have not checked those reports, but as I understood it, they were “comlplete” with pictures of debrees and all, but later pulled and described as “mistake”.
Also, the airplane very quickly ascended to very high altitude (someone said that it takes a lot of fuel to ascend faster that normally) but that could of course be because of the danger from being hit from the ground.
I also read that the pilot requested to fly to Kairo and land. Is that true?
And because of the imminent election in Turkey I got the “picture” of a planned plane crash in Turkish Waters, with a “brave” turkish rescuing operation promoting the turkish government, at the same time getting the black boxes, and be the country to lead the investigation, maybe accusing Russia of a false flag op.
Only that the crash happened prematurely……..
Also, the airplane very quickly ascended to very high altitude (someone said that it takes a lot of fuel to ascend faster that normally) but that could of course be because of the danger from being hit from the ground.
Quickly is an understatement if one looks at the raw data. It is phisically impossible for a plane to ascend 3000feet under a second or two. Something is odd with the data that has been made available publically via flight trackers, I would not rely on these to reach conclusions.
OT. There is a great documentary on how Crimea joined Russia. In it Putin reveals many most interesting details. In Russian, HD, 2 hours and 25 minutes. (Unfortunately, I couldn’t find a copy with English subtitles – please do post if you find one.)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t42-71RpRgI
“… Crimea. The path home. Documentary film by Andrei Kondrashov
Released on 15 March 2015
This feature-length documentary was intended to preserve for history every important phase of events that took place in Crimea in Spring of 2014. The shooting of the film lasted 8 months and covered Sevastopol and Foros, Simferopol and Kerch, Yalta and Bakhchisarai; Feodosia, Dzhankoy, Alushta and a dozen of other settlements in the Crimea. Recorded in hot pursuit was a great conversation with Vladimir Putin, plus more than fifty interviews with participants and witnesses of the Crimean Spring. How it all began? How did Russia receive an official appeal from the legitimate President of Ukraine with a request to save his life? …”
Here is a Saker article with the video:
/crimea-way-back-home-full-video-with-english-subtitles/
And it’s quite possible i just messed up the html, but the address is there anyway
Michael
Thank you!
Egypt and Russia appeared to back away from their assertions that a Russian passenger jet crashed in the Sinai desert because of a technical fault on Sunday after it was revealed the plane broke up in the air and officials conceded…
http://article.wn.com/view/2015/11/02/Egypt_admits_bomb_may_have_downed_Russian_airliner_p/
If it turns out that this was a deliberate downing, then I personally believe the Russian gloves will come off. But maybe this is all part of the plan? Or is it the plan!
Only external force could have broken apart crashed Russian airliner – owner
https://www.rt.com/news/320469-sinai-plane-owner-statement/
Saker is absolutely right: “… about the Russian airliner … we still don’t know enough to produce any fact-based conclusions …” I trust the Russians will figure that out pretty soon.
In the meantime (since it is so difficult not to wonder “what happened?” – and keep it “bottled up :-)), I wonder: is it at all possible that it was a bomb planted on board?
Manpads are definitely out, due to altitude. A technical problem seems almost unimaginable (material fatigue causing the Airbus to “spontaneously” break up in two while cruising?!). A regular ground-to-air missile would require some government military, which is impossible to hide – and just imagine the consequences when found out. Then, by “The Law of Excluded Middle”……….
“In the meantime (since it is so difficult not to wonder “what happened?” – and keep it “bottled up :-))
Thank you for your illustration of one of the opponents’ marked tendencies – the rush to “judgement”.
It has consistently proven beneficial in matters of useful foolery.
“Saker is absolutely right: “… about the Russian airliner … we still don’t know enough to produce any fact-based conclusions …” I trust the Russians will figure that out pretty soon.”
Thank you for your illustration of another of the opponents’ marked tendencies – a reticence to proceed on fact-based conclusions and a concommitant reliance on belief.
It has also consistently proven beneficial in matters of useful foolery.
@ Anonymous on November 02, 2015 · at 6:38 am UTC
————
The video shows an airplane in flight, suffering what seems to be an explosion, then falling.
Those who simply claim it is “fake” would be well advised to specify what the fakery consists of. Is it not an airplane? Is it not falling after the explosive flash? Is it some kind of studio creation done within hours of the crash? Maybe, but just saying so is not good enough.
And those who claim it is an “old” video should have an even easier task proving it. A video showing the precise moment when an airplane explodes in the air and then begins to drop vertically leaving behind a trail of smoke, is not exactly something very common, is it? And so it should have been known to many. How many such videos are we aware of in the past? And if it is old, where is it supposed to be?
If none of the above can be shown (and so far it hasn’t) then we must conclude the video shows real images and has appeared on youtube now for the first time. If so, then the very fact of it being filmed right before the explosion is very interesting to say the least.
Again, the video could perhaps be fake, or old, but so far I haven’t seen any convincing explanation as to why this is so. It is just an assertion backed by nothing.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xW9lUPLQag8
@ Stan: your questions are right, but not for this case…
I found a link in the comments from the german saker : http://avherald.com/h?article=48e9abe4&opt=0
So you can see the tail section and other pictures from the wrackage and maps of their location on the ground. In this case you had to see the falling tail section allone. Where is it in the youtube vid?
Therefore is my conclusion that the vid is not from the same event.
Known facts: The A-321 was above 31,000 feet -flight tracker shows higher than that. Descent was rapid; the A-321 broke apart at altitude, not on the ground.
The video shows an explosion towards the rear of the plane, much blurring and then falling intact. Yes it could have broken apart later after the video ended.
There is no visible missile trail. No known manpads could reach that height so only a sophisticated missile system could have accomplished that height.
Assuming good weather no pilot error or engine failure could cause that break up.
Only severe internal metal fatigue of the fuselage and pressurisation rupture could accomplish that so my conclusion is either a fuselage in very poor conditiion e.g. damage from previous tail strike was far more severe than thought or repair was faulty or internal bomb timed/external altimeter for altitude detonation.
Unless the latter what were people doing in the middle of nowhere filming arliners?
I am inclined to think the video is fake.
So the US bombs a gathering of over 20 commanders who wanted to break off from IS killing most of them. They are both terrorists but why bomb them now? All this does is make IS stronger.
TEHRAN (FNA)- The US fighter jets pounded the gathering of a group of ISIL leaders who sought to break allegiance with Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the terrorist group’s main ringleader, a move many pundits and experts call surprising while others call suspicious.
27 ISIL field commanders who had expressed increasing differences with al-Baghdadi during the past few months had gathered in ISIL’s No. 11 Command Center in Raqqa, Northern Syria, a few days ago to consult on breaking their allegiance with the ISIL ringleader but were all killed in a bomb attack the US fighters jets.
The only survivor was on the run to Sad al-Ba’ath fortification, but he was also hunted by the US fighter jets.
The bomb raid on ISIL’s dissident commanders has surprised many as the move reinvigorates Baghdadi’s position in the terrorist organization by weakening opponents.
http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.aspx?nn=13940810000420
There is picture and video evidence of the US’s (McCain’s) meeting with al-Baghdadi in the past.So it might be he is the “US’s dog” in ISIS.And that was a way of “protecting their asset”.
Dear Saker
Could you write something on this topic?
Russia will continue to develop the ‘Russian World’ concept and support compatriots all over the world despite resistance on the part of the US and the EU, Foreign Minister Lavrov says in a newspaper article.
“Rendering multi-sided support to the Russian World is an unconditional priority of Russian foreign policy as stated in the Foreign Policy Concept of the Russian Federation. As repeatedly emphasized by President Vladimir Putin, we will continue to energetically defend the rights of our compatriots using all means allowed by the international law,” the top Russian diplomat wrote in his article published by Rossiiskaya Gazeta daily.
Hope that is true.But “actions speak louder than words”.
For those who can understand Spanish:
Fort Apache, latest edition by Pablo Iglesias for HispanTV: ( MUST WATCH )
“Objective Syria”:
http://hispantv.com/showepisode/Fort-Apache/11305Fort-Apache—Objetivo-Siria/11305
Despite different opinions about Assad, there is virtual unanimity in finding the action / intervention of Russia and its attempts to bring to “all” the interested parties to the negotiating table, as absolutely necessary and appropriate.
I am meeting very interesting especially these points only from the first half:
Jorge Verstrynge:
-…”Russian intervention means that the joke is over. Until now this was nearly impossible, total chaos ….
-… Middle East has never been united, except under the Turks and Persians, was always a mess ….. No extremism without extreme situations ….
-…. Daesh is the culmination of a process of trying to avoid at all costs that people who basically share the same religion, the same language and the same racial type could join. since the fall of Nasser it was shouted that would happen ….
-…. I was just in Iran, great country, 80 million people, with a high technological level and a population with an age mostly between 16 and 60 years very well prepared ….
-The Turks will have to be let do with the Kurds because they are the ones who hold the key of refugees. ….Well there are two keys … another is to request a refugee visa….”
Olga Rodriguez:
-….” In Syria plays the US, but especially many US´ allies, such as Emirates and Saudi Arabia …..
-…. Also not forget the role of France and the UK who have been with their foot stuck since the beginning actively arming certain groups since 2011 …..
-…. Also we all play much there ….. What we are seeing, unfortunately, is the gradual fragmentation of the ME and the region in which regional and international actors benefit and the population lose….
-….. nothing can explain ME regardless of Israel who comes in handy to have very weak neighbors ….
-…..USA is far from the ME …. but we, EU, we are very near…..
-….Also there is Saudi Arabia …. which is a backbone of our Western governments, that absolute monarchy that funds a lunatic radical version of Islam and to which the US has sold billions of arms just 4 years ago, well few weeks ago indeed….”
Carlos Enrique Bayo:
-…”Israel, supporting Al Nusra (which in fact is Al Qaeda), France, UK and US, have warned Russia not to attack Al Qaeda in its bombing because they are interested, in theory, in giving an end to ISIS. I say in theory because they carry ISIS bombing a year ago with the greatest ineffectiveness that has never seen …..
-…..Then ..Turkey joins operations against ISIS…. bombing the Kurds who are fighting ISIS …..
-…..Do not forget Qatar, because is the one who has actually financed those groups of the famous “Arab coalition in Syria” (clarification of Jorge Verstrynge: great friends of Sarkozy and Hollande ….)
-…. Because of the strategic importance of Syria as output of oil and gas pipelines to the Mediterranean and, thus, to Europe …
-….. Saudi Arabia and Israel are sharing all their goals in ME and leaning in an unspeakable way….”
Juan Antonio Aguilar:
-“…. ISIS, Al Nusra and up to 70 terrorist organizations more are a byproduct of the “geopolitics of chaos” …..
-….. The balkanization of the ME seeks to make the most controllable, smaller, and weaker countries ….
-….Earns Israel in security, his great enemies are removed off , and the US would control through two regional powers, Saudi Arabia and Turkey, all the ME …
-…. Syria means the output of 40% of the hydrocarbons to the Mediterranean ….
-…..It is the intention of Russia to stop that US´widespread geopolitics of going surrounding and blocking her ….. This has been broken with the Russian intervention, not only now but also in August 2014 … since that is when was born ISIS as byproduct …..
-…. France has been interfering since the beginning with the idea of recolonize Syria …..
-….US´ plan failed ….it was trying to create the breeding ground for public opinion to accept that the situation in Syria must be ended, including through bombardments. What does it make in complicity with Turkey? They released hundreds of thousands of refugees in Turkey and launched them towards Europe, in order to help by air the “Syrian opposition”, ie, creating a no-fly zone which would hurt the Syrian Arab Army. That’s when Russia decides to come ….”
“if so afraid…. ever I move from my home, as is promoted by some regulars in this blog today”
/dreams-of-a-sleeping-alligator-dream-three-a-surrender-a-meeting-and-a-rating/comment-page-1/#comment-162595
Try to remember sharks and the environment.
The environment changes but the changes are not affected by sole or primary agency.
Risk is not spelt fear unless you make it so, especially if caution is not spelt panic.
“I’d like to keep traveling and still have many journeys to do, don´t you think?”
Travel is best if you travel holistically i.e. travelling also in perception. This is multiplied if you travel without expectation, prejudgement or prejudice – travel equal and different as far as possible – especially within large landmasses.
You will likely find that you don’t need much money if you travel also in perception.
“Travelling” in a blog is to become a prisoner of spectacle.
It is realised that you are not scared, which is resented by some and valued by others.
“I own a few things”
Try to not become fixated on things – a cautionary tale on the dangers of holograms:
http://www.amazon.com/Nine-Suitcases-Memoir-Bela-Zsolt/dp/080524204X/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1446417120&sr=1-1&keywords=nine+suitcases
“I travel always with light luggage”
There is no other way to travel. Remember dogma is also dangerous to dogs.
“Yes?, then, could you please send it to the correct address?”
I already did on transmission –
/dreams-of-a-sleeping-alligator-dream-three-a-surrender-a-meeting-and-a-rating/comment-page-1/#comment-162176
/dreams-of-a-sleeping-alligator-dream-three-a-surrender-a-meeting-and-a-rating/comment-page-1/#comment-165539
Enjoy the journey.
Look friend, this morning i was doing this interesting and instructive test at RT and took a score of 5 out of 11. Not satisfied with this score, not only because I’m not used to suspend examinations, but because it only confirms my deep ignorance about Russia, I reaffirm my intention to visit this country …. soon……
https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/190327-test-historia-conocer-rusia
The only thing, as I see that, for a while, you end your broadcasts with “Enjoy the journey” and as was this what ended that exchange on my trip to Russia, I was wondering what you are trying to mean by insisting in this message…..
Maybe you’re urging me to visit the country before the Spring, early Summer, which was my intention?
But I have no more days off this year….. except for five days on Christmas….. and will be very cold …. that would be a quick trip ….. no time to meet people in the Transiberian as was planned ….. nor time to visit the old grandpas …..
I’m intrigued enough…….Do not have to do with the imminence of “transcendence”, do it?
“I’m intrigued enough…….Do not have to do with the imminence of “transcendence”, do it?”
Response to an elsi comment on a different thread as my broadcasts have been know to become lost in the ether.
“I was wondering what you are trying to mean by insisting in this message….”
Insistence is never part of the broadcasts, offering options are.
“you end your broadcasts with “Enjoy the journey”
This could be included in all broadcasts since this is one of the main reasons for broadcasting;”have a nice day” is likely too restrictive and reflects another part of the opponents ideological practices of displacement, “living for the week-end”.
“and will be very cold ”
Travelling “off season” is generally to be recommended; less tourists and less sightseeing.
A Siberian was once defined as a person who had good boots, a warm coat, and a good hat. I would also recommend good gloves.
.
“the imminence of “transcendence”, do it?”
Transcendence is a lateral process not an event.
A small illustration of equal and different still tinged with “religious” framing and register
http://russia-insider.com/en/politics/4th-november-russia-celebrates-her-unity-diversity/ri10948
“Transcendence is a lateral process not an event.”
Understood long ago, although maybe is that is going to be accelerated in a certain way?
“A small illustration of equal and different still tinged with “religious” framing and register.”
So beautiful article, and those columns of Communists marching without people insulting them….. as is common not only in the AngloZionist Empire and most of the West but also here, in this so called community, from who claims to be fighting those exceptionalists, sounds like to be envied……
But….then…. would you want me to go on winter…..and must be this winter….. exactly?
It would be possible to get a visa in such a short time, being a single traveler, without invitation from anyone there?
Without having yet achieved the table of equivalence of alphabets?
It seems that you want it to be hard for me….. tell me….. is this a challenge?
Look I have not had time to respond because I was looking for tickets to Moscow…..
“Understood long ago, although maybe is that is going to be accelerated in a certain way?”
In any lateral system change is a constant and velocity a variable.
“It seems that you want it to be hard for me….. tell me….. is this a challenge?”
No challenge. Likely meeting many French people in Paris or any city in August is a challenge.
In Russia many people have dachas. They normally work at the dacha almost every week-end from April to September depending on location.
So, difficult to meet Russians from Friday evening to Monday morning throughout the summer.
In Spain it is also easier to meet locals in the winter, even in Argentina but of course winter there runs from April to September – the Chilean golpe of 1973 was suitably scheduled, even metaphorically as intoned in some churches.
“But….then…. would you want me to go on winter…..and must be this winter….. exactly?”
Want doesn’t occur, you decide and take responsibility.
Welcome Back.
Hope things are well with you and thank you for keeping the Saker so well managed.
Cheers,
RR
interesting analysis on the crash:
http://aanirfan.blogspot.co.uk/2015/10/russian-metrojet-crash-in-egypt.html
Yes, time to wake up and replace John Rambo. Thank you.
Gee Wiz, I nominate you for the job…
So I hear a second??
I think JR is doing a great job.. But if others disagree then I want to see in what way others can do better..
JR is doing a great job of gatekeeping. Not my problem you don’t see that; but you cannot say no-one tried to warn you.
There is a Z in the AZE ;)
@ SanctuaryOne on November 02, 2015 · at 6:01 pm UTC
what were people doing in the middle of nowhere filming arliners?
——————-
What were they doing??? Well obviously they were waiting to film something that they expected to happen at that precise location and time, and which in fact happened as expected. What else could they have been doing?
If this video has been around for a few years, as some claim, then it should be easy to prove because there should have been many people aware of it. Because what it shows is extremely uncommon.
From the quoted post:
“….or internal bomb timed/external altimeter for altitude detonation.
Unless the latter what were people doing in the middle of nowhere filming arliners?”
Does that help???
Towards increased perception whilst wakening.
http://russia-insider.com/en/these-suggestions-wont-fix-broken-us-intelligence-russia/ri10942
Towards facilitating increased perception
Most professional analysts realise that productivity is a function of task design.
Even young alligators need to learn to swim in swamps.
These ideas were suggested when the blog was being designed but were dismissed.
Ensuing experience may afford a re-evaluation.
The moderators are not polymaths and it is unreasonable to expect them to be.
The moderators are limited in number and need to follow a schedule.
Remove all moderation from the blog.
Allow anyone to contribute anything.
Have distributed “moderation” through challenge thereby maximising productivity and relevance.
In such a scenario neither the opponents nor others would have reason to attack the blog after an initial period of evaluation/validation.
Likely the opponents will pilot propaganda strategies, whilst others will monitor and analyse, and if strategically valid will challenge the strategies.
Those who choose not to challenge – typically the difference between views minus a multiple of comments say 7 as an indicator, can gain practice in analysis at arms length if they choose to test hypotheses.
In the short-term the opponents will likely attempt a swamping strategy, however both the opponents and people who monitor them will have a vested interest in maintaining standards on the blog.
To facilitate this strategy notions of ownership and chain of command need to be transcended.
Ah, Francis…
There was an academic High Llama
(Had quite a taste for self-drama)
Said: “History is Ended”
Like Time can be bended
To suit some ole Fukuyama?
/dreams-of-a-sleeping-alligator-dream-four-waking-up/comment-page-1/#comment-168205
Probably in mitigation it should be acknowledged that he wrote/told some good jokes and was a useful fool.
Apparently he is attempting to sell his road to Damascus moment by “attacking” the neo-cons.