The Beast woke up in pitch darkness
And the price was named to God.
Everybody has caved in – even our brothers in Christ,
Everything has caved in – but not my country.
(translated lyrics from the song “Donbass is with us”)
First, the official version
First, here is a machine translated summary of events following one month of combat operations as posted by Boris Rozhin (aka Col. Cassad):
1. The offensive of the Russian troops disrupted the plans of the AFU offensive on the DPR and LPR using artillery, missile systems and aviation.
2. On January 22, Russian intelligence intercepted the order of General Balan on the need to complete preparations for offensive actions before February 28, so that the AFU could go on the offensive in March.
3. The operation is progressing according to plan. The main tasks of the first stage of the operation have already been completed.
4. The main priority remains the preservation of civilian lives. Hence the tactics of precision strikes on the military infrastructure and the armed forces of the enemy.
5. The blocking of large cities ensures the shackling of the AFU forces and does not allow the Ukrainian command to transfer reinforcements to the Donbass. The main operation at the moment is in the Donbas. 276 settlements have already been liberated in the DPR and LPR. 93% of the territory of the LPR and 54% of the territory of the DPR have been liberated. The group currently defending in Mariupol has more than 7,000 people.
6. Air supremacy was won by the Russian Aerospace Forces in the first two days of the operation. The organized air defense system, the Ukrainian Air Force and the Ukrainian Navy have virtually ceased to exist.
7. Up to 70% of all military stocks of Ukraine were destroyed as a result of systematic attacks on warehouses. 30 key facilities of the military-industrial complex of Ukraine were destroyed. 68% of enterprises where military equipment was repaired have already been destroyed. At the same time, since the beginning of the Special Military Operation, the Ukrainian army has already destroyed 127 bridges.
8. All the organized reserves of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have already been put into operation, there are no new ones. Hence the bet on the mobilization of the untrained contingent. According to the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, 6595 foreign mercenaries are fighting in Ukraine.
9. Total losses of the AFU during the month of operation. About 14,000 killed and about 16,000 wounded (the total losses of the AFU group in the Donbas account for 26% of the personnel). Of the 2,416 combat-ready tanks and Armored Fighting Vehicles on February 24, 1,587 were destroyed in a month. 112 out of 152 military aircraft were destroyed, 75 out of 149 helicopters, 35 out of 36 Bayraktar TB2 drones were destroyed. Out of 180 S-300 and Buk M1 – 148, out of 300 radars for various purposes – 117.
The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation will promptly respond to any attempts to close the airspace of Ukraine for the Russian Aerospace Forces.10. According to the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, at least 10 Ukrainian sea mines are now drifting uncontrollably in the Black Sea, posing a threat to navigation.
11. The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation handed over captured weapons to the DPR and LPR. Among other things, 113 tanks and 138 ATGM “Javelin” were transferred.
More than 23,000 applications have been received from citizens of 37 states wishing to fight for the DPR and LPR. There are also a lot of such applications from Russian citizens.12. Official losses since the beginning of ITS. Killed – 1351. Wounded – 3825.
This above is very much the official version according to the Kremlin, so we might as well add the official Kremlin map while we are at it:
This very official map shows the parts of the Ukraine which Russia/LDNR officially control. Not only that, but it does not show which parts of the Ukrainian territory are not under real Russian/LDNR control, but which are under Russian/LDNR fire control. For both of these reasons this map very much UNDER-states the reality on the ground.
For a detailed report, see these two briefings: http://10.16.86.131/speech-of-the-head-of-the-main-operational-directorate-of-the-general-staff-of-the-armed-forces-of-the-russian-federation-colonel-general-sergei-rudskoy/
Here is another map which shows some of what the Kremlin does not want to confirm:
But what does all this really mean?
I find these maps moderately useful, they show us a general tendency, but they don’t really tell the full story. As for the briefings by the Russian military, they are not very helpful since they list numbers which are not really meaningful for most people and, worse, the same event X in location A would have a totally different meaning in location B.
Of course, Russia has her own official narrative: “ours is a counterforce operation, as a rule we bypass Nazi held cities, block them, open humanitarian corridors when possible and offer the civilians to evacuate and the Ukrainian soldiers a chance to lay down arms and avoid needless casualties“. And its all true, but there is a lot this narrative does not tell.
So let’s try to try to make some sense of all this
First, the good. It took the Russians just a few hours to breakup the united Ukrainian armed forces into many smaller chunks. This was achieved by basically taking out Ukie command and control capabilities.
Then, rather quickly, the Russians invaded from several directions, quickly bypassed the fortified Ukrainian defenses, blocked the units which refused to surrender and went further. As a result, cities such as Kharkov or Sumy found themselves deep inside the Russian rear, unable to be resupplied and no hope to evacuate. In a few special cases the order was given to gradually tighten the noose around Nazi concentrations while liberating the civilian neighborhoods, this is what is going in Mariupol.
Check out this fresh map from a correspondent, Konstantin Pegov, inside Mariupol
Sorry about the ugly “War Gonzo” watermark, this is Pegov’s way to get the credit.
Okay, so, the red zone is under Russian/LDNR control. The blue zone is considered lost to the Nazis, but not cleared yet, meaning that a slow building by building, apartment by apartment, mopping up operation has to be conducted before this zone becomes red too. Finally, the yellow zone is under the control of the notorious “Azov” Nazi battalion. Before I continue, a need to clarify one thing.
There were three locations in which the Nazis decided to place their very best forces before the Russian attack:
- Facing the LOC in the LDNR, about 60-80-100(?) thousand best trained men, ready for a Blitzkrieg-style attack on the LDNR. This is the fighting core of the Ukrainian armed forces. They are composed of a number of brigades, and in each brigade there is a Nazi battalion (roughly) ready to execute any unit or commander willing to surrender, retreat or even negotiate.
- Mariupol: a thoroughly pro-Russian city which was therefore handed by the Kiev regime to the tender care of the main Nazi force in the Ukraine: the Azov battalion. Please note that officially, all the Nazi battalions are part of the Ukrainian armed forces, but the locals always know who is who, as do the Russians. Mariupol is not only a strategic city but also a “sacred symbol of the heroic Ukrainian resistance”. More or less what the Donetsk airport was in the previous war. And, just to make things harder, the Nazis are based inside a huge and very strong industrial complex called “Azovstal”. There is a deluge of testimonies that the Nazis are using civilians as human shields. This is a true Nazi hellhole that had to be taken the hard way.
- Kiev. Another special case, not only is it a large, multi-million inhabitants city, it is also the official center of power and capital of the Nazi regime. Kiev is very heavily fortified, the bridges over water have been blown up, and to liberate the city would require a major effort, especially if the Russians try to minimize the civilian casualties and to avoid destroying the civilian infrastructure.
Maps don’t really tell that story, hence they often appear not to make sense. In fact, they do, but to distinguish their real meaning, one needs to look deep into the micro-level and understand how all the different points on the map interact with each other (or not anymore!) or influence the outcomes elsewhere.
So what happens today around Mariupol is HUGELY important, but what happens in, say, Kharkov totally pales in comparison (unless you are in Kharkov, in which case the opposite is true).
I would like to add one more clarification here about the Chechen special forces.
In reality, there are no “Chechen special forces”, but a rather diverse lot of various Chechen forces which all come under the command of the Russian National Guard. This is important, because while these Chechen forces can, and have, participated in regular combat operations, the really crucial task is the mopping-up of urban areas, like the blue area in the Mariupol map above. Not only are the Chechens not sufficiently armed to conduct artillery duels or tank battles, but they are also trained in anti-terrorist and police operations, as is the entire Russian National Guard. These Chechen urban assault groups obviously interface with the Russian forces blocking the town or city the National Guard is tasked with securing and policing. Once that is done, humanitarian aid can come in while those who want can get evacuated.
That has worked pretty well.
But what has not worked at all, at least so far, is the next step: the installation of civilian authorities to restore more or less halfway decent civilian life. And here the Russians really failed to act (until today! see later).
Look at it from the point of view of a civilian in, say, Kharkov. You know that the Russians have bypassed and encircled the city. Maybe Russian forces even passed through your part of town and told you that from now on you were free. But then they all left!!! They went further to push the front even further west or south, which is their only real mission. And a few hours later, the Nazi gangs are right back where you live, and they wonder about you and how you felt about it all. And if the Russians shared some rations with you, you better hide them well, or eat them quickly and deny it all lest you be shot on the spot for “collaboration with the aggressor”.
So what went wrong here?
I will tell you what: in a “normal” war, the frontline units are always followed by 2nd line units whose task is to clear and secure the liberated areas. And I am not talking about a single cop car on patrol, I am talking about entire BRIGADES and DIVISIONS tasked with security in the rear. The truth is that the Russian special operation is NOT a “regular” combined arms offensive and that the force ratios are typically about 1:1 if not worse in favor of the Ukies. Why?
Because, except for a few very embarrassing screw-ups, Russia did not use conscripts. Russia’s war plan was to fight with small numbers of highly trained soldiers and to compensate for this numerical inferiority by having full air supremacy and using advanced standoff weapons.
Yes, even the Chechens who are now fighting in Mariupol (and some near Kiev) are all volunteers, not conscripts.
By the way, there was an initial wave of volunteers in Russia too, the MoD thanked them very much but declined to use them.
Contrast that with the Ukronazis who now only have their regular armed forces (armed to the teeth and trained by the Empire of Lies for 7 years!), they also have the real, pure, Nazi units like the “Azov” in Mariupol, they even have their own Volkssturm, about 200’000 clueless civilians, but all armed with small arms, maybe some machine guns and a few RPGs.
The simple truth is that to disarm such a large number of folks is going to take a long time, be dangerous, and deeply frustrating, even if the actual military threat posed by such armed clowns is zero – they can only threaten unarmed civilians.
By the way – look at the type of weapons the Empire of Lies is pumping into the Ukraine: small arms and ammo, but also short-range anti-tank weapons, explosives, mines, etc – this is all stuff that has almost no utility on the macro-level of this war but with is ideal when you want to create and arm a stay-behind insurgency type of force. I need to explain this a tad further.
NATO stay-behind forces
During the Cold War it was the conventional wisdom that NATO would not have the means to stop the advancing Soviet forces. So NATO came up with two options: one is called FOFA and implies attacks not on the FEBA, but one on the Soviet supply lines. The second concept was the so-called “stay behind forces”. What happened is this: in many/most European countries the US used their close ties with the local intelligence services to create totally illegal armies. Of course, not “real” armies, but a secret network for agents and hardware dumps to become the core of a future resistance against the future Soviet invasion. It was initially all very pious, of course. But when the agents of these secret mini-armies began engaging in false flag attacks (like the Bologna massacre in Italy), and when the local security services got wind of these weird activities, the scandal was hard to hide, and even though the Empire of Lies presstitutes did the all they could NOT to find out who created these terrorist organizations (the US), the scandal still came out. And, of course, the illegal creation of such stay behind sabotage units also involved some very creative accounting, so folks were jailed for corruption, illegal storage of military weapons, etc. etc. etc.
As somebody who was an analyst for the Swiss Strategic Intelligence Service (SND) I can tell you three things about this phenomenon:
- Only fall-guys were punished, the real key figures all got promoted
- There was a direct link between these illegal mini-armies and European Neo-Nazis
- It was all run by the USA
Since these faraway days, this has all been buried, forgotten, forgiven, denied, obfuscated, declared a “thing of the past”, etc. etc. etc. Truly, nothing whitewashes darkness like the short attention span of the serfs living in Zone A.
But, back to the Ukraine now. See my three points above? I will repeat: the key figures never got punished, there was a clear neo-Nazi ideology in those secret units and the USA ran it all.
Forward to modern-day Ukraine with a simple question: can you guess what NATO is planning for the future Ukraine?
Past behavior is the best indicator of future behavior, is that not true?
Have the Russians made at least one major miscalculation?
In short – yes. Only one, but it was a bad mistake…
I believe that their major mistake was not to bring in new administrations to run the liberated towns and to secure law and order. Clearly, the Russians knew that only a minority (albeit a big one) of Ukrainians was truly brainwashed by the Nazis. But what the Russians failed to realize, is that people who live under 7 or 8 years of Nazi terror need PROTECTION above all. In most blocked towns, the Nazis are still in control, and since the Russians do not attack the civilian infrastructure, the Nazis are the ones in charge of food, electricity, security, etc.
And since the said Nazis know that the locals hate them, this means that the only people being protected, fed, heated or treated are the Nazis themselves, the rest of the population hides in basements and hope that they have enough water and heat to survive until the promised “liberation” applies to them too.
Finally, TODAY, the Kremlin has announced the start of a major program to bring in entire administrations with repair equipment, humanitarian aid and, let’s not kid ourselves, more security forces. Good! Now let’s hope that the Russian civilians, their EMERCOM and the Russian National Guard will finally either get the not-all-too-Nazi authorities to rebrand themselves and behave (unless they personally have committed war crimes, at which point all they will get is an interrogation, possibly a trial, or a bullet on the spot).
This is yet another reason why Mariupol is so important: there are major Russian National Guard forces involved in the mopping up of the last Nazi pockets of resistance there. But as soon as the blue and yellow zones turn red (this could take a while, several days, possibly a week) those National Guard forces will become available to denazify other cities, smaller ones, less well-fortified ones, and with a much smaller Nazi/normal person ratios.
Does the strategy chosen by the Russians make sense?
Only time will show, but I would argue that yes.
I would argue that the first phase of that war lasted about a day or so. That was the phase that turned unitary Ukrainian armed forces into many isolated groups unable to coordinate their actions or support each other in combat.
The second phase of the war lasted about 3 weeks. During that phase, the fronts did advance, the Russians had some successes, but that was not the point. During this phase of the war, the Russians secured air supremacy and then proceeded to methodically do two things:
- Very precise counterforce attacks including strikes on defensive positions, moving columns, missile strikes on major force concentrations, etc. etc. etc.
- A much less noticed but possibly even more important counter-logistics campaign
So first the Ukies were held incommunicado. Then they were isolated into many smaller groups. Then they were blocked and/or encircled. And now the Russians are basically waiting for the Ukrainians to either 1) surrender or 2) die. And this is important: while there have been numerous Ukrainian attacks and counter-attacks, none of them have had any tactical impact, not even locally. And in the few cases where the Ukrainians did advance, they were mostly destroyed with a combo of artillery and close air support.
Horrible as this may be, but the outcome of this phase depends on the following: which will run out first, the supplies of the Ukrainian forces or the water/heat for the trapped civilians?
If the Ukrainian supplies run out first, we will see a total collapse of the operational cauldron in the Donbass. In this case, it will require a major, huge, Russian humanitarian operation to save all those who are still alive.
If civilians begin to die en masse, the Russians will have no choice but to use their heavy weapons to kill as many Nazis as quickly as possible and then send in relief convoys.
That is the dilemma the Russian General Staff must tackle. I don’t envy them.
Mariupol is a done deal, really.
And since most of the residential areas have been freed, people are being treated and evacuated, there is no time pressure to clear the Nazis out, especially since the Nazis are now basically in one specific industrial area. However, the building by building, apartment by apartment mopping up operation must continue until the Russians are fairly sure that most civilians have been removed from the blue zone. After that, a few well-placed missiles into the Azovstal complex ought to finish off the last remaining Nazis.
So what could the next phase of the war look like?
Take a look at this Readovka map (as of yesterday):
I chose this map because it shows the current “fronts” (the colored squares).
What I added are the following three black areas:
Areas one: central Ukraine including major cities like Dnepropetrovsk, Zaporozhie, Poltava or Cherkassy. Even Kiev is still connected to that zone (albeit barely).
Area two: Odessa cauldron.
Area three: mini-Banderastan?
Here is the deal, at least as I see it: the Russians cannot deal with these three black zones before they *truly* liberate the red parts of the map. And by “truly” I mean that these regions, towns and cities have to be very substantially (albeit not totally) denazified, a new administration must take over and a semblance of civilization and law and order must be restored.
I also added a red line from roughly Kiev going south and another one, roughly from the south end of the Odessa cauldron in the general direction of Kiev. I made them meet about in the middle. This is purely conceptual. While I am sure that Russian reconnaissance units and Aerospace Forces are present in that area and that the Ukrainians must be trying to hide as best can be, this is NOT land Russia controls or even blocks (too big for that anyway).
You could think of it as a “hotly contested no-man’s land” with fortified areas scattered across it.
For these reasons, I do not currently see the Russians committing major forces towards this move, but as soon as Odessa is not only blocked but fully encircled and the Donbass cauldron collapses, a new major cauldron will form, this time including all the cities I listed above.
Conclusion: time and manpower
Question: why should the Russians choose to go fast? To save the civilians in blocked/encircled towns and cities? Yes, I would agree with that. Except that the Russian armed forces are not in the Ukraine to repair power stations. Which means that a substantial increase in manpower, including many civilians, is the only situation in which speed might be desirable. Like in Mariupol today. Or Kharkov.
But once the red zone is finally truly liberated and the basic signs of civilization return, should the Russians go fast elsewhere? Let’s look at our three black circles again:
Area one, central Ukraine: the Russians have total air superiority, the Nazis have no mobility, tenuous supply routes, and their stores have been depleted by weeks of bombing. I do not see any need for the Russian to hurry into this one, lest it becomes the problems the Russians ALREADY have experienced in their zones of putative “liberation”, scores of dead civilians, and substantial losses. Because no matter how large and populated that zone is, it has no future, it will be surrounded like all the other parts of the Ukraine during phase one of the operation. This also means that a political solution would be INFINITELY preferable to a hard storming of cities like in the first Chechen war.
Area two, Odessa: same deal, Odessa is almost totally blocked and sooner or later the city will be surrounded. It is, alas, quite possible that the city will have to be taken like Mariupol, because of the very same “ingredients”: a generally pro-Russian city run by Nazi thugs whose reign of terror gets worse with every day. I hope and pray that the city surrenders, but I am not holding my breath and IF it has to be taken like Mariupol then, again, by all means, the Russians should go as slow as possible.
Area three, mini-Banderastan: does Russia even need it? Some say that the only way to go is to get the Russian tanks nicely aligned along the Polish border. Others say to forget it, let the local Nazis create their Russenrein Banderastan and have fun. Such a mini Banderastan would be supervised by a Nazi Gauleiter (Polish or Ukie – same difference) on behalf of the USA Heimat and its Eurocolonies. This is really no big deal, because the entire EU has now been turned into a Nazi Reichsgau administrated by the Anglos, and that is the real danger for Russia.
Will the Empire of Lies intervene in the mini-Banderastan?
Yes, absolutely. The question is HOW. The options range from a Polish invasion of the Lvov region (which, after all, is historically Polish!) to the use of this mini-Banderastan the way the US used Pakistan during the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan. In theory, there could be even a deal made between the US and Russia: the USA take the mini-Banderastan, the central Ukraine is not invaded, but is verifiably disarmed and denazifed, it becomes neutral and gets on probation: “behave or Iskander”. The Odessa region joins the (now much expanded) LDNR, the entire Black Sea coast is liberated (*truly* liberated) and the LDNR then decides of its future by means of referendum.
[Sidebar: to those who say that you cannot verifiably disarm anybody I would reply that this is hogwash: there are many verification and confidence-building measures, including remote ones and intrusive, local ones. If that central Ukraine with or without the mini-Banderastan becomes disarmed, it will not be a challenge for the Russians to know what is going on or not. As I mentioned, one option would be to build a special military base to prevent the mini-Banderastan from infecting the rest of the Ukraine. Something like what the 201st Russian base in Tajikistan is currently doing]
But I have to admit that when I hear the verbiage from Zone A, I am not holding my breath. For the Poles, this is a historic opportunity to show their unbelievable military prowess, get some land, a cheap labor force, and the chance to pretend to be a “European leader”. And how different is the rest of Europe? Meh… As we say in Russian, “these folks have all been anointed with the same (Nazi) oil”. So it ain’t the stupid and, frankly, ridiculous Poles the Russians need to “convince”, it is all the NATO and the USA.
I hope that I am wrong, but I do not see any argument which Russia could use to “convince” our wonderful European neighbors than either an Iskander inside a NATO member state (I vote for Poland!) and/or a total disconnection from any Russian energy supplies.
Putin already did the second thing, but elegantly: by forcing payments in Rubles he forces each country in Europe to make its own choice. And those who will pay in Rubles, thereby bypassing THEIR OWN sanctions, won’t volunteer to attack Russia or the Ukraine.
Which leaves those who won’t. They are the ones who are so totally batshit crazy that they rather have their own population and economy suffer from cataclysmic consequences than negotiate *anything* at all with Putin’s Mordor. They are the ones who might need a “little extra argument” possibly in the form of a hypersonic missile.
I am not suggesting bombing Mons or London, not even Warsaw or even a major Polish military base. But something of real value to the Poles and with a minimal amount of victims. Ideally, a location “well-protected” by US air defenses (like the Saudi refineries, if you recall). Just ONE Iskander in the right location, and our Western neighbors will tone down their verbiage, by a lot.
[Sidebar: did you know that after the Russian strike on the NATO “volunteers” and “peacekeepers” in eastern Ukraine there is now an OUTFLOW of mercenaries. Gee-whiz – it sure looks to me that the Zone A mercenaries did get a clear message from Russia, now they are running for their lives. Good!]
And here is the key point: the “convincing argument” will not be the landing of a Russian missile in Poland, no.
The real “argument” which might bring them back to reality is the NATO reaction AFTER that strike: a lot of hot air, threats, protests and various troop movements (like that hilarious EU rapid reaction force of 5’000 soldiers) and much more, but not a single Anglo or EU soldier taking the war to Russia! Why?
Because NATO has only two options:
- Lose a war against Russia
- Not fight that war
Which do you think “Biden”, Johnson or Macron will pick?
Small reminder: “Biden” already deals with major crises with the PRC, with Iran, with the KSA, not to mention the humongous economic crisis looming over the entire planet!
Do you see these leaders of the “indispensable civilization” take the war to the Russians? IF they do, Mons will be next, and they know that.
Which leaves us with the real, true, bona fide, certified demonic agents who are willing to do anything, including 9/11 or MH-17, to try to “cancel Russia”. Right now, that demonic choir is all singing the same tune: Russia is about to commit a chemical attack against innocent Ukrainian civilians.
Will that fly?
You betcha it will!
After Ghouta, Skripal, MH-17 and Navalnyi, we know for a fact that most of people in Zone A are what is called shit-eaters (comemierdas) in Spanish: folks who, like baby-chicks in a nest, just can’t wait for mommy and poppy to feed them by puking up some “food” into the wide open mouths. And nevermind that, unlike the USA, Russia has verifiably destroyed all her chemical weapons (as had Syria!), and nevermind that such a terminally stupid atrocity would serve NO Russian interests whatsoever (but then, neither did the self-evident idiocy of the MH-17 narrative prevent the shiteaters to eat it all, and even ask for seconds!).
Right now the Empire of Lies is making noises about IF Russia uses chemical munitions, THEN we will do something totally terrible to Russia, like sending in the Polacks into Lvov under NATO aircover to “save the few remaining survivors” or something equally asinine.
Unless you have been living under a rock, or can only use one synapse at a time, you must at least know that the following are all true:
- There is no limit to how evil, depraved and demonic the rulers of the Empire of Lies are.
- There is no limit on who ignorant, stupid, gullible, and racist a very substantial portion of the population of Zone A is.
Then there is the bigger picture, the one which really matters:
- The Empire of Lies feels that this is the very last chance to survive, they know that if the Russians, the Chinese the Iranians and , really, most of the planet prevails, they are finished forever. This assumption is correct.
- The goal of the Empire of Lies is to cancel Russia. Completely. This is a truly genocidal plan made stronger by the conviction by the leaders of this Empire that this is the only and last chance to finally find a “Final Solution” to the “Russian problem”.
- The reaction of the West (total, terminal, genocidal “cancellation”) of everything Russian stunned most Russians who did know that there was no love lost between Russia and the West, but who were stunned to be singled out for total annihilation is something which 1) all Russians are intimately familiar with and 2) are now fully aware of.
That is why I wrote yesterday that Russia is in FULL WORLD WAR TWO MODE.
This is the kind of music video which now is very popular on the Russian social media:
Bravo leaders of the West, you have FINALLY convinced a majority of Russians that your hatred for us is total, that no matter how ugly, petty and useless, your actions are, you are so overwhelmed with hatred for us that even your serfs VOLUNTARILY engage in numerous acts of anti-Russian racism, discrimination and other expressions of hate.
This anti-Russian hate is so prevalent, that now expressing hatred for Russia and Russians has now become of virtue signaling! Even for musicians, athletes, students and even grade school kids (I personally know cases).
And, guess what? We heard and understood. Millions and millions of us.
Our biggest failure has always been our inability to imagine our enemy’s level of hatred.
Oh, we knew that the 3B+PU base their entire identity and (imagined) history on the hatred of everything and anything Russian. Of course, we knew that the 3B+PU were all artificial creations of the West, but we sort of assumed that their hateful insanity was limited to a few, small, freak countries, but that most “normal” Europeans were not AT ALL like that. Oh no! Eurolemmings are civilized and hate Nazis, right? RIGHT?
And that was stupid on our part: how could the West be any different from the 3B+PU when that same West is the one who created the 3B+PU in the first place!
Then, for 300 years or so we were ruled by a massively Westernized class. And after 1917, one massively Westernized class replaced another one. WWII opened our eyes to some degree, but by the time Khrushchev and his gang came to power, the West was gradually crushing the CPSU ideologically and, especially, the Soviet Nomenklatura who, I would argue, sold out to the West, as an entire class, between 1980 and 1991, then that self-same Nomenklatura rebranded itself and the nightmare of the 1990s began.
And in the “democratic” 90s, most Russian youth only wanted jeans and hamburgers. But even that exsanguinated, impoverished, and confused Russia was a threat. So the US ordered the Russian Parliament to be shelled by tanks and thousands murdered in the following days. Then came the Chechen war, and the satanic attack on the Serbian nation. And most of us still were dozing off, hoping for a good salary in dollars and many holidays in Anatolia.
And then came Putin, who not only did a lot of things, he talked to the Russian people, often for hours in a row, convincing, convincing and convincing.
But even Putin, the Eurasian Sovereignists and the 6th columnists together could not achieve what the Empire of Lies finally did: truly and profoundly rekindle the memory of WWII, even amongst the Russian youth. Now instead of jeans, they want to go to the front!
I would call that a “Hezbollah moment”.
And now, we shall never surrender, least of all to a sorry gang of Nazi pigs and Crusaders!
So it is not the Ukraine that we plan to denazify. It’s the planet.
The Empire of Lies gave Russia absolutely no choice.
For eight terrible years Russia had to retreat on all fronts because we needed to develop the military and industrial “toolkit” to take you on frontally.
Now we have.
And, unlike you, we are fully prepared to die, if needed, in defense of our civilizational values, our faiths and our country.
Are you ready to die for your wokeness, diversity and Satan?
I guess that we will soon find out.
Andrei
PS: tomorrow and Sunday I will be on the road, attending my faraway parish, so while my team will run the blog, I don’t expect to have the time to post analyses or even comment until Monday, maybe Tuesday. The text above (over 5’700 words) is, I hope, controversial and relevant enough to keep the blog going until my return.
I don’t know the purpose of this question. Anyone who reads this blog should understand the meaning of those terms. Mod-DA
What does “3B + PU” stand for? Anyone enlighten me?
Also which zones are EU and Russia and China? Zone A = America what about other regions??
3B + PU – The three Baltic Statelets plus Poland and the Ukraine. Zone A – the so called Western world, Zone B – the rest of the world.
«Zone A – the so called Western world, Zone B – the rest of the world.
Reply»
Once upon a time there were three:
* “first world”: USA and developed protectorates.
* “second world”: USSR and soviet satellites that were developed but not quite as rich or unequal.
* “third world”: poor and mostly very unequal countries, mostly un-aligned, but many of them USA protectorates (e.g. South America) or soviet satellites (mostly in Africa).
China overlapped the second and third world, depending on decade.
Honor y Gloria al pueblo ruso que consiguió derrotar a las clases parasitarias y crear el primer estado obrero y campesino por primera vez en la historia.
La memoria de los esclavos insurrectos de Roma y su comandante Espartaco, de los obreros y lavanderas de la Comuna de París, de los campesinos sublevados contra el poder feudal en toda Europa, fué honrada y glorificada con la Gloriosa Revolución Soviética.
Después de derrotar innumerables intentos de las clases parasitarias nacionales y extranjeras de recuperar el poder, el Pueblo Trabajador Ruso, bajo la firme dirección del Mariscal Iósif Vissariónovich Dzhugashvili, consiguió destruir el fascismo alemán, (no así el fascismo anglo, que todavía no se atrevía a decir su nombre. A ése le toca ahora).
Gloria al Pueblo Trabajador Ruso! Gloria a las Repúblicas Populares de Doneskt y Lugansk!
Very interesting propaganda video from Azov showing recent operations in the Kharkov region.
They are using civilian cars to covertly transport troops and are, apparently, still able to conduct smaller offensive operations. They are using Drones efficiently also. Video also shows them taking casualities and evacuating wounded. They also manage to take some prisoners in some Village (probably the reason this video got published).
Gives a good glimpse of what the Russian forces have to deal with right now from a tactical standpoint.
Guerrilla tactics, enemy forces blending in with the civilian population, drone coordinated ambush attacks…
Might not change the course of the operation but a pain in the butt nontheless…
https://streamable.com/8awkt8
Well, that was deranged and scary. I really hope this kind of WW3-bent ultra-nationalism isn’t that extended in Russia. Otherwise we are all f***ed (yes, including Russians).
@ Слава России on March 27, 2022 · at 8:22 am EST/EDT
I don’t know the purpose of this question. Anyone who reads this blog should understand the meaning of those terms. Mod-DA
What does “3B + PU” stand for? Anyone enlighten me?
Also which zones are EU and Russia and China? Zone A = America what about other regions??
I suggested at some point the need for a “The Vineyard of the Saker” glossary, given the acronyms, abbreviations, and words the Saker has “coined” along his prolific writing. All of us who frequent the blog has been forced to learn new words and decipher acronyms and abbreviations, still we are faced with newcomers asking what 3B + PU or PR means.
It means the 3 Baltic lap dogs, Latvia, Estonia, and Lithuania, plus Poland and Ukraine or Rumania. 404 is widely used instead of Ukraine.
Hope that helps.
Lone Wolf
I hope that those in charge over do not forget that the citizens of the US are waking. Some of us are waging a nonviolent war of information. Clashing against the walls of censorship and social shaming. I know full well what is at stake, and I hope your assessment of Russia is correct. It is hard to know what is true and who is good anymore, the age of great deception has destroyed much. But if the government of Russia is free from the global cabal, then God speed. Just do not commit the same sin many of my foolish brethren here have made by virtue signaling with hate for Russia. Not all of us in the west have stayed asleep. Not all of us kneel at the alter of lies. And those of us who are awake, who know the pain of what we have done and the weight of our sins, we too will gladly pay the ultimate price for speaking up. A time will come where we will be killed for simply speaking the truth – but it is better to die with honor than to live a liar.
There is no “anti-Russian” hate in most of Europe .. just stupidity, ignorance and political apathy …
I grew up fearing “the Russians”; my mother (then 6 yrs old) and my grandmother fled from Eastern Prussia in the winter of 1944/45 when the Red Army was advancing … I remember my mother telling me horror-stories (she had heard) about the brutality of Russian soldiers but she also said they were kind to her and other German children (they gave them food when they were starving and had only potato peels..)
I was just a kid during the “Cold War” (born in 1962) and the only thing I remember clearly was how scared and outraged people in our neighbourhood were when Soviet tanks rolled into Prague in the summer of 1968 ..
When I was old enough to read history books (not the ones written by the victors) and critical books about imperialism (a word never mentioned in my high-school days) and began to understand the inherent insanity and destructiveness of capitalism (“which carries war within itself like a cloud carries the rain” – Jaures) my views of the world changed completely … I realized that
The “Evil Empire” was not situated in the East but on the other side of the Atlantic …(after reading the accounts of several (former) CIA criminals and the books by Douglas Valentine of the satanic “operations” conducted in Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Indonesia, Latin America (unleashing terror by training and arming “death squads” and supporting fascist dictators), assassinations and massive corruption in Africa … the list goes on and on but for a long time we were so naive to believe that Europe would be different …
Having lived through 2 World Wars we thought our politicians must have learned a lesson (about the “Anglo-American establishment” – see also Preparata: Conjuring Hitler) …but the “transatlantic” deadly embrace of the US hegemon after 1945 and the creation of NATO made it impossible to act like a sovereign state (Germany in that sense ceased to exit in 1945…) … and when I discovered the story of “Gladio” (how the CIA and British “intelligence” created underground “stay-behind armies” in most European countries (I call them terrorist groups raised to serve as useful idiots – like “Al Qaeda” or Azov today) I realized that it would never end … the endless lies and deceptions about “Western values” (to say nothing of “American values”) .. the hypocrisy of our political leaders and most of all the unbearable MORAL ABSOLUTISM of the United States … pontificating about freedom and democracy, imposing illegal “sanctions” on non-compliant countries (econ warware) while they are not only a sort of “naked emperor” but drenched in the blood of millions of people (somebody should paint the statue of liberty crimson-red…)
I don’t know anybody who “hates” Russia… but I know people who are too lazy (intellectually) to question the absurd propaganda they are being fed every day in “NATOstan” (Pepe Escobar).. just follow the herd …
I have read the speeches of President Putin (and his interview with Oliver Stone) and I have enormous respect for him (how he pulled the “degraded” Russia Yeltsin had dragged into the mud out of the darkness and showed his people that Russia would not pay hommage to the self-appointed “indispensable nation” and become a vassal of its deranged “full-spectrum-dominance” policies …
The “COVID” PSYOP has paved the way for a totalitarian control system and the really scary part is, most people have no idea what is going on …(whether it is the “vaccine” or the history of Ukraine).
Here are some words of wisdom from Hannah Arendt:
“The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the convinced Communist, but people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction (i.e., the reality of experience) and the distinction between true and false (i.e., the standards of thought) no longer exist.”
I wear a Chicago Bears cap. It has a bear on the front, and “BEARS” on the back. The other day, a “European” lady said she liked my hat. She wasn’t an NFL fan.
Hmm.
I now wear my cap as an act of clandestine support for Russia (besides, ‘Da Bears’ suck at this point). It won’t get me accosted or assaulted on the street.
When the Israelites were forced to choose between killing Christ or Charles Manson, they chose to kill the most innocent of men. The imposters we called Jews, that profess to be those same Israelites, are the same as the insane individuals that perpetuated the death of Christ. These people adopted the Babylonian Talmud as their most holy books. They hate Russia with a passion since they were expelled from the country. They killed the Romanovs and are responsible for the death of 80 to 100 million Russians. Germany made a grave mistake by accepting them and giving them refuge which ended up in the world war I and the world war II destruction of Germany… I live in the US, and was looking for a pin where they said “I stand with Russia”. Funny to say that I couldn’t find one on the internet. What happens to a country when the people become dumber than cattle? We are overpopulated, just like lemmings do in their upcycle and go collectively insane and in the following year go to near extinction levels. Hey, we even have men swimming in women’s competition in college. If the nation doesn’t get outraged over something like that, what’s left to do?
I worry about Gonzalo Lira. He has the same T shirt on each day and the same hat that may hide unwashed hair. As an ex mental health worker I notice certain signs. And he has started to call out people like at the Daily Beast.
And he keeps giving more clues about his location. If I was in the Ukraine I would not say in which city.
This is in not to suggest that Gonzalo is not a brilliant guy and has his heart in the right place. But his posts get longer and longer.
If you read this Gonzalo please take care. You are more valuable than you can imagine.
Analysts talk endlessly about the geopolitical, or even religious and moral, aspects of what is going on. But they forget about the metaphysical one, which is the one that governs everything else. The Will to Power, which is the reality of the world since 1914, and the overcoming of it which now is underway, is what governs everything. What power abhores is not impotence, it is powerlessness. Impotence , as Nietzsche was carefull to explain, gets it`s maximum quota of power in self-anihilation. This self-anihilation is disguised as moral superiority and righteousness, which reserves for itself the role of avenger. As self-destruction reaches it`s end point in total desertification (self-destruction is a form of non-impotence, as the history of the self-destruction of old imperial europe in the XX century shows) , the only way out of powerlessness, which is intolerable, is self-anihilation. The abyss of power`s self-anihilation is much more terrifiying than world war III, which may even destroy humanity. It doesn`t matter one whit if all politicians suddenly became XVIII century enlightened philosophers who took to heart the lessons of Montesquieu`s L`esprit des Lois. The fact that instead they are just minions only attests to power`s drive to self-anihilation and it`s abhoring of the feeling of impotence.
Just giant way to cover Biden’s tracks from all the corruption he was involved in Ukraine, and do the ditty work for a uke oligarch …Benny’s B boyz control the western media , so the regular folks suffer as Zelensky gets rich and eventually runs off
Excellent Article! Many Thanks for the Clear View.
This post turned out to be a little paranoid. I don’t think that “hatred” and “Satan” would serve any political analysis good. And I don’t understand why it keeps neglecting all the smart people in Europe who defintely do not share their governments’ mindset nor the hypocrisy.
Nonetheless, as an Italian, I apologize to Russia for my own government’s stupidity and dishonesty. But at the same time, I ask all Russians not to make the impulsive mistake of giving up on Europe alltogether.
But there is still the usual somewhat improper and counterproductive use of the term “nazi”, when instead the banderistas, like their polish etc. supporters are just regular fascists/extreme right fanatics of the Pinochet sort (the sort most loved by the USA for their protectorates).
They are also of the Netanyahu/Kahane extremist right sort, which explains why people with a jewish background support and are supported by the extremist right.
Even al-Jazeera, which is running like many others a strong anti-Russian campaign, has pointed out that the extremist right regime of Zelensky/Kolomoisky has been banning even moderate left media and parties:
https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2022/3/21/why-did-ukraine-suspend-11-pro-russia-parties
«There is already a worrying growth in reports about searches and arrests of opposition and left-wing bloggers and activists in Ukraine. […] But the parties and politicians who have been branded as “pro-Russian” in Ukraine – and recently been suspended by Zelenskyy’s government – have very different relations with Russia. While some may have links to Russian soft power efforts – though these links are rarely properly investigated and proved, others are actually themselves under Russian sanctions. Most “pro-Russian” parties in Ukraine are first and foremost “pro-themselves” and have autonomous interests and sources of income in Ukraine.
They are trying to capitalise on the real grievances of a sizeable minority of Russian-speaking Ukrainian citizens concentrated in the southeastern regions. These parties do command significant public support. For example, three of the recently suspended parties participated in the parliamentary elections in 2019 and combined received about 2.7 million votes (18.3 percent) and in the most recent polls conducted before Russia’s invasion, these parties collectively scored about 16-20 percent of the vote.
Other parties on Zelenskyy’s suspension list were of left-wing orientation. Some of them played an important role in Ukrainian politics in the 1990-2000s, such as the Socialist and Progressive Socialist parties, but by now they are all completely marginalised. Indeed, there is no political party in Ukraine today with “left” or “socialist” in its name that could secure any considerable portion of the general vote now or for the foreseeable future. Ukraine had already suspended in 2015 all of the country’s communist parties under the “decommunisation” law, which was strongly criticised by the Venice Commission. The latest round of suspensions may not be necessarily motivated by the wish to erase the left from Ukraine’s political sphere, but it certainly contributes to such an agenda.»
«For the Poles, this is a historic opportunity to show their unbelievable military prowess, get some land, a cheap labor force, and the chance to pretend to be a “European leader”. […] Which leaves us with the real, true, bona fide, certified demonic agents who are willing to do anything, including 9/11 or MH-17, to try to “cancel Russia”»
The “schlacta” who fancy themselves the rightful heirs of the polish-lithuanian-ruthenian commonwealth:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prometheism
«a political project initiated by Józef Piłsudski, statesman of the Second Polish Republic from 1918 to 1935. Its aim was to weaken the Russian Empire and its successor states, including the Soviet Union, by supporting nationalist independence movements among the major non-Russian peoples that lived within the borders of Russia and the Soviet Union.»
https://newleftreview.org/sidecar/posts/the-russia-problem
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/asia/1997-09-01/geostrategy-eurasi
«An alternative solution was put forward by Zbigniew Brzezinski when he suggested turning Russia into an assorted bouquet of territories, even advocating for the dismemberment of Siberia: ‘A loosely confederated Russia – composed of a European Russia, a Siberian Republic, and a Far Eastern Republic – would find it easier to cultivate closer economic relations with its neighbours.’»
https://dgibbs.faculty.arizona.edu/brzezinski_interview
«Q : When the Soviets justified their intervention by asserting that they intended to fight against secret US involvement in Afghanistan, nobody believed them. However, there was an element of truth in this. You don’t regret any of this today?
B: Regret what? That secret operation was an excellent idea. It had the effect of drawing the Russians into the Afghan trap and you want me to regret it? The day that the Soviets officially crossed the border, I wrote to President Carter, essentially: “We now have the opportunity of giving to the USSR its Vietnam war.” Indeed, for almost 10 years, Moscow had to carry on a war that was unsustainable for the regime, a conflict that bought about the demoralization and finally the breakup of the Soviet empire.
Q: And neither do you regret having supported Islamic fundamentalism, which has given arms and advice to future terrorists?
B : What is more important in world history? The Taliban or the collapse of the Soviet empire? Some agitated Moslems or the liberation of Central Europe and the end of the cold war?»
«The second concept was the so-called “stay behind forces”. […] Forward to modern-day Ukraine with a simple question: can you guess what NATO is planning for the future Ukraine?
Past behavior is the best indicator of future behavior, is that not true?»
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E84QHqtXIAI9hdN?format=jpg
«Support AFGHAN FREEDOM FIGHTERS
Support the brave people of afghanistan in their fight for freedom against soviet aggression and occupation.
All funds collected will be donated to pro-westrern Afghan resistance groupsa selected by the SOF staff.
These funds will be used solely for the purchase of arms, ammunition and medical supplies as specified by the groups receiving assistance»
«There is no limit to how evil, depraved and demonic the rulers of the Empire of Lies are»
“Winners do whatever it takes”, “dog eat dog”: those are the principles of the corporate rulers and other elite rulers of “Zone A”, they are almost uniformly social darwinists, and pretty crude ones too. Here are two examples of the stupidity (who does not know about the indian treaties?) of two famous people who did not get that until “realpolitk”:
Delusional Putin, 2022 https://www.bloombergquint.com/business/full-transcript-vladimir-putin-s-televised-address-to-russia-on-ukraine-feb-24
«Of course, practice, international relations and the rules regulating them had to take into account the changes that took place in the world and in the balance of forces. However, this should have been done professionally, smoothly, patiently, and with due regard and respect for the interests of all states and one’s own responsibility. Instead, we saw a state of euphoria created by the feeling of absolute superiority, a kind of modern absolutism, coupled with the low cultural standards and arrogance of those who formulated and pushed through decisions that suited only themselves.»
Dreaming Keynes, 1944 (from Andrew Marr, “History of modern Britain”)
«The core of the trouble was that the Americans did not quite believe how broke the British Empire really was. Nor did they much care. Powerful players in Washington may have been sentimental about the common struggle that had just ended but were unsentimental about empires and the new world that must now be built. This was not a game of equal players. Every time the British turned down an American offer, the next offer was worse.
An angry Keynes wrote back to his mother: ‘They mean us no harm but their minds are so small, their prospects so restricted, their knowledge so inadequate, their obstinacy so boundless and their legal pedantries so infuriating. May it never fall to me to persuade anyone to do what I want, with so few cards in my hand … I am beginning to use up my physical reserves.’»
I believe that the Russian administration should explain to the citizens of the cities taken what they actually plan to do there.
My understanding from friends and family there is that the uncertainty of Russia’s plans is a factor contributing to fear of retribution of their former/present administration /torturers.
Quite frankly I also don’t understand why the Russian administration doesn’t give a clear signal to the population. Everyone is aware of the demands to the Ukrainian administration, but to the common people this doesn’t mean mich without clear communication of what the actual plan is for them. With clear communication would come more support from the people.
That’s a a great analysis and a heckuva read, but holy mackerel, firing a missile into Western Europe?
The West doesn’t control itself. It is a vassal state of the banking cabal.. There are many in the US who are pulling for Russia if for no other reason than that the enemy of my enemy is my friend. I personally like Russians and am married to a Ukrainian woman. Most, including my wife, fail to see the subtlety of the power relationships underlying this war.
Anti Empire OF Lies political parties (in the west) have zero funding. I do wonder in a year or two if Russia and China will be looking to help fund these groups political ambitions (covertly). Yes, it would be illegal but there are ways to circumvent that, Anti Empire OF Lies citizens outnumber the EOL drones significantly. Politically there is the talent out there but a severe lack of funding hence these anti EOL parties get nowhere. Prime candidates imo would be Britain and France and possibly Germany. The British establishment are entirely about their survival. If that is threatened and it looks like they would be defeated they would switch sides in a flat second,. This is how they have survived for centuries.
What does “3B+PU” mean? And the reference to “Mons”, all I can find that makes any sense is Mons in Belgium. Is that NATO headquarters? I am way behind on slang and acronyms, sorry. I work on cars and weld and used to fly airplanes.
Thank you for your skillful analysis. Other than a couple unfamiliar terms (LDNR?3B+PU?) there was nothing very controversial to my ears. I wish I could say that the number of the “red-pilled” who likewise consider Zone A to be an Empire of Lies is substantial. But I do hear rumors to that effect. And I have a plan that may result in world peace (that you can hunt up via my name), so wish me luck.