Dear friends,
This is going to be the last, tenth, open thread on the topic of the escalation in the eastern Ukraine (unless, of course, the attack actually happens, at which point I will probably reopen an open thread again).
The latest news from Russia: Defense Minister Shoigu has indicated that every single military district is currently running readiness exercises which include a total of 4’000 (that is four thousand!) separate exercises on a total of 101 different military training grounds. Oh, and while the exercises conducted in April by Russia were scheduled before the Ukronazi mobilization, these latest ones are “unannounced readiness exercises”. Finally, there is some evidence that the troops which were deployed in April have not returned back to their barracks. The Russian strategic deterrence forces also recently executed large scale readiness exercises.
In the meantime, NATO is engaged in its own war rehearsal, “Defender Europe 2021” or a total of 40’000 soldiers, including 20’000 US personnel (it is unclear how many transgenders that includes). To evaluate this move, please keep in mind that the arrival of Russian hypersonic standoff weapons (land, sea and air based) means that in case of real war the US would not have the means to resupply US/NATO forces in Europe. Conversely, if the US/NATO wanted to prepare for an attack on Russia, or to “defend” Banderastan, they would need months to redeploy the necessary forces and means to Europe.
At this point, everybody has heard about the rumor that the US is sending five ships into the Black Sea to show support for the Ukronazis and deter Russia. Since I debunked this nonsense many times, I asked my friend Andrei Martyanov to write his own commentary about this absolutely idiotic move. He did some, quite convincingly, here in this column (please comment about his article in the comments section below it, not here). I am deeply grateful to Andrei for his time and expertise.
Finally, on the political level, everybody is talking to everybody else, too many official phone calls to list them all, nevermind the behind the scenes unofficial ones. Let’s hope that this continues, because as long as they are talking there is still a chance to avoid a catastrophe.
In 1985, the singer Sting released his famous song “The Russians“. In this, truly quite beautiful, song Sting expresses the following hope “Believe me when I say to you, I hope the Russians love their children too“. In 1985 I was only 22, but I remember thinking “folks in the West wonder whether we love our children too – how weird, as if we were some kind of different species and not quite human”. Of course, by “The Russians” Sting primarily meant the gerontocrats in the Kremlin but, still, his choice of words really felt weird to me, especially against the background of all the stupid myths and clichés which most Westerners believe about the Russians and Russia in the first place.
Now, over three decades later, I don’t wonder if the “Westerners love their children too”, but I do wonder if they realize that they are quite literally putting their children, and the entire planet, at risk and for absolutely no valid reason except a passionate, yet dull, hatred of everything Russian. Considering the deafening silence in the western legacy Ziomedia, I have to say that no, very few Westerners do realize how dangerous the current situation is, that is, far, far more dangerous than the Cuban Missile crisis: then the media was full of reports and discussions; today – all we hear is a neverending stream moronic “Woke” bullshit about “White privilege”, “systemic racism” and how great anything and everything black (no matter how vulgar and fake) is.
The simple truth is that the USA cannot commit cultural suicide and turn into a country of “wiggers” while, at the same time, expecting to be taken seriously, especially in Zone B. And yet, with “Biden” in power, this is exactly what is taking place, and knowing the hate-filled psychotype of the folks running “Biden” invariably display, I am afraid that they are much more interested in “woking” the USA than to preserve world peace.
It is a sweet karmic justice that the Ukraine wanted to become like the West but that, in the end (maybe even literally!), it is the West which became very much like the Ukronazi-run Ukraine: ideology über alles!
God help us all!
Kind regards
The Saker
Some interesting developments. Zerohedge is reporting this guy is being chosen as strong contender to replace Merkel as German Chancellor: https://www.zerohedge.com/political/merkels-cdu-backs-centrist-party-chairman-armin-laschet-run-chancellor-september
according to wikipedia on him:
“Foreign policy
Laschet is considered by some critics as taking a soft stance on the government of President Vladimir Putin.[33][34] Noah Barkin, writing for Foreign Policy, points out that Laschet has voiced support for Nord Stream 2 and for a closer relationship with China and is against excluding Huawei from Germany’s 5G network. He adds that Laschet has also been against “demonizing” Putin for the Russian annexation of Crimea.”
Too bad that green Ms Baerbock will become the next chancellor. Already chosen by WEF (young global leaders)
As mentioned in the last thread – Ze and Co. are playing the PR game.
Desperately trying to paint Russia as the “aggressor” and they are the “peace makers”. Following the fake “humanity” move by the Ukie General over the weekend, we now have Russia is ignoring calls:
https://www.rt.com/russia/520799-donbass-kremlin-ignores-zelensky-calls/
“….The Kremlin has denied ignoring requests from Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to hold a crisis summit after days of bloody escalations in the war-torn Donbass region, insisting it hasn’t actually been invited to take part.
On Monday morning, a government spokeswoman in Kiev claimed that an appeal for talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin had gone unacknowledged. Yulia Mendel told journalists from Reuters that “we have not received an answer yet and we very much hope that this is not a refusal of dialogue.”
However, later that day, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said that he was unaware of the request, and had not seen any such contact from Ukrainian officials in recent days…..”
Of course untrue, but the UK/US feel they control the narrative through the MSM. The informational war is at full capacity.
https://tass.com/politics/1277123
“Diplomat slams CNN for palming off TV clip of Ukrainian tanks as Russia ‘readying’ for war…….”
And Germany and France will be directly blamed if they do not follow through on Minsk….
Russia’s Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov told reporters Tuesday. “If any escalation occurs, we will of course do everything possible to ensure our own security and security of our citizens wherever they are,” he said. “However, Kiev and its patrons in the West will bear full responsibility for consequences of such an escalation.”
If I can remember some of the past but I can not change the past,
If I admit I can not see the future ,
Then I can not change the future which I can not see.
The Prophets saw a future that already existed.
The Prophets did not attempt to change the future they saw
Buenos días a todos,se que lo que voy a pediros hoy puede sonar a locura o estupidez,pero os ruego a todos ,creyentes de cualquier religión o no creyentes, que mañana día 14 de abril a las 22:00 horas rezeis desde lo más profundo de vuestro corazón por el pueblo de Ucrania,para que puedan ver la luz de nuestro Señor Jesucristo y logren parar lo que se avecina.Gracias de antemano.
translate … mod
Good morning everyone, I know that what I am going to ask you today may sound crazy or stupid, but I beg you all, believers of any religion or non-believers, that tomorrow, April 14 at 10:00 p.m. Deep in your heart for the people of Ukraine, so that they can see the light of our Lord Jesus Christ and stop what is coming. Thank you in advance.
I just watched the joint press conference NATO – Ukrainian Foreign Minister. That didn’t sound like peace-seekers to me.
Agreed.Still seems to be a lot of its all Rusian fault….posturising….soooo…at next Normandy and or trilateral……what the heck…..meek acceptance of Minsk and July 2020 ceasefefire….stormy sessions…..walkouts etc….Russia did mention they must see some movement in the process or why bother to hold any meetings. And seemed to say EU had better get their act together to push for progress or it all falls back on them. And if Russia is ejected from PACE at an upcoming vote?
Is there any comeback against ukrops for recent murders and damages…..
“All wars are banker wars”. And what is the banker’s lifeblood? The USD, debt based, fractional reserve banking system. Other wise known as the fiat ponzi..
Putin needs to announce on April 21st that Russia and Iran will no longer accept USD for it’s energy sales. Rubles, Gold or RMB only! Russia, China and Iran need to announce gold-backed Rubles and Renminbi (as CBDC’s from these countries), at the same time. Germany and Europe either pay in these “currencies” or find another seller.
But..before making this declaration of war on April 21st – which it is, to the banksters and deep state – Putin and Xi negotiate behind the scenes to achieve a multi-polar world and all the agreements that come with it.
If this fails, then so be it because the deep state globalist psychopaths were going to take us to the brink and beyond anyways..
Related, just from today: https://tass.com/economy/1277249
I wonder how RF will help repel or destroy Bayraktar drones.
It’s obvious that Erdogan is riding high on the success of their Azeri protégés’ drone warfare against Armenia recently.
https://tass.com/politics/1277251
‘Hardly anything to rejoice about’: Moscow dismayed over Turkish drones in Donbass
simple, electronic warfare will ground them all on day 1. They aren’t meant to be used against a modern military that has advanced EW equipment. Any that somehow make it into the air will be downed with any number of advanced anti-drone weapons Russia has, they probably won’t even need to use Pantsir’s or TOR’s.
Dmitry Orlov has just published a general review of the situation of Ukraine generally and the standoff in the Donbass at present. He has proposed what I take to be the kind of idea we like to associate with the judo master who manages the affairs of Russia these days. Evacuate the people of the breakaway republics. 4.6 million is a lot of people to move, though not by the standards of the Great Patriotic War. Russia has already absorbed over a million Ukrainians and presently he avers that labour is in short supply. He expects that hosts of volunteers will take the field and assist the government in it’s many tasks. If undertaken soon it will turn the next election into a festive welcoming party. It will foil the tactics of Nato managed Ukrainian military forces. And as for the big Nato prize of ‘Russian Aggression’, and an end to NS2, well, RT documentaries featuring the greatest evacuation of our time kind of throw a f…k into that. Economically it would probably be more effective to integrate migrants into Russia’s already renewed industrial economy as opposed to the major investments that would be required to integrate the Donbass Soviet era industrial base. Orlov also considers the operation as a prelude to the gradual and likely reintegration of the approximately 20 million overseas Russians who have their reasons for being where they are but are liable to develop further reasons to return by the by. He adds that there’s no reason to cede the land to anybody. The Ukies can stay right where they are. If they don’t .. well, Orlov concludes the essay with one of those stirring vids featuring the field performance of the Tornado G MLRS with a range of something like 120 Km. I think it’s a brilliant idea; it addresses all the important aspects, Russia wins, Nato loses (think about those old Mongolian cavalry tactics). And the rest of the world takes notice. I very much hope the idea catches on. April 21 is coming up. We’ll see what we see.
Even the Taiwanese show is covering the Russian-Ukraine war preps (from 22.54 mins to 29.38).
Unfortunately no English translation or subtitles available.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ydOOyqi7DmU
Seems like Russia is getting ready their nukes to strike at Guam and US.
A change of “tone”…previously, in accord with good practice, the diplomatic code word for the US Imperial Character has been “partners” and similar polite terms.
To-day, however> “Russia calls U.S. an adversary, warns its warships to avoid Crimea” https://www.reuters.com/article/us-ukraine-crisis-russia/russia-calls-u-s-an-adversary-warns-its-warships-to-avoid-crimea-idUSKBN2C00WD
and
US diplomats are ‘a**holes’, Russian space chief says as State Department silent on anniversary of Gagarin’s historic space flight https://www.rt.com/russia/520902-space-chief-gagarin-us-diplomats/
The stark implication is that the time for diplomacy has come to a temporary end.
I recall that in my misspent youth I learned how to bait a hook with a bully in a bar…how to manipulate a bully into a fight on my own terms. My favorite was to let him have a free shot at me…then bloody the guy and leave scars. If I got even a bruise I counted it as a loss.
The world is watching, and the bully? He’s got “cold feet”…and everybody knows. Either way, fight or flee, the bully loses – and typically such an event brings a change of regime or at least titular leaders.
I don’t bet. If I did I’d bet Trumpie is restored to office by the military, after a decent interval…
The Empire has lost the Ukrainian war. What remains is denouement.
God help us all! Western feminists fuel the hatred of Russia, along with the envy that certain peoples have for Slavs. I am a descendant of Slavs, and I see that the Western mentality has no turning back. Certain forces have been released, and they will no longer be controlled. The world is heading towards imbalance, and most likely the world is destined for extinction !!!
Dear Saker – Please reconsider your decision to limit this thread to the 10 you indicated. The pace of developments seems to be picking up.
This is one of my best news sources.
Thank you for your consideration. And all the information.
Biden called Putin today, apparently “in order to keep the situation in Ukraine in line with a controlled conflict” (cassad) or maybe to call off the war entirely.
Things are moving towards de-escalation after both parties realized that risking nuclear war over Donbass is absolute insanity. The Neocons won’t be happy, but not even Biden will authorize the use of the US military against Russia over Eastern Ukraine.
Yes, Biden called Putin and at the same time
https://www.rt.com/russia/520914-troops-ukraine-borders-defend-country/
“Russian troops on Ukraine border ‘ready to defend country’ in event of war says Defense Minister Shoigu, warning of NATO buildup. Two detachments of the Russian Army, along with three airborne units, are ready to act in the event tensions with the West escalate into full-blown fighting, Moscow announced on Tuesday following a surprise inspection of troops.
After paying a visit to the soldiers, Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu told journalists that the personnel met the standards required for the situation. “The troops have shown full readiness and ability to fulfill the tasks of ensuring the country’s military security,” he said. “Currently, these associations and formations are engaged in drills and exercises.”
Shoigu said that the redeployments had taken place “in response to the military activity of the alliance that threatens Russia.” The move comes amid escalating tension with the US-led NATO bloc and after bloody fighting in eastern Ukraine between Kiev’s forces and two breakaway republics……”
also
https://tass.com/politics/1277633
“The presidents of Russia and the United States, Vladimir Putin and Joe Biden, may raise the issue of reviving several strategic security and arms control treaties during their planned in-person meeting, Deputy Speaker of the Russian Federation Council Konstantin Kosachev told the Rossiya-24 TV channel on Tuesday. “As far as topics are concerned, it would mostly be issues of strategic stability and arms control. I think the US side, just like any unbiased political expert, realizes pretty clear that it would simply be impossible to achieve supremacy over Russia and to break the strategic nuclear balance. Therefore, it is necessary to return to previous agreements,” he said.
“Probably, there will be a discussion on how to revive the Open Skies Treaty, the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty and the Conventional Forces in Europe Treaty simply because there is need for them,” the Russian senator added.
According to Kosachev, Biden’s proposal to hold negotiations in a third country demonstrates how serious his intentions are. “For me, it confirms that Biden, being the person who had initiated this format, is interested in holding this meeting promptly. Imagine him proposing Washington as a venue. Clearly, long and not quite promising discussions would have followed,” he said……..”
Maybe Biden does have some sane people in his ear…..we shall see….these agreement incapable individuals speak out of both sides of their mouths. Hence why Russia will continue preparing for the worst as Shoigu has indicated.
I do not align myself with any foreign power, much any state power, now including my own. So please do not misunderstand this message as being in “favor of Putin” or disfavor of anyone else. But, if their plans be wicked and similar to the Nazis (Klaus Schwab monkey business) – Norway is safe and quite nice, important harbors and scenic views, so attempt to “liberate” if one must, but please do not nuke it into oblivion, that would be quite dumb. Best regards, some person trying to think positive.
The US has shifted interest to the India/Pacific region. Don’t expect anything but arms sales driving bluster for the next few years. They don’t expect any internal revolution in Russia in the next few years either.
this Grauniad editorial makes me pretty uncomfortable,
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/apr/14/the-guardian-view-on-nato-and-ukraine-a-time-for-solidarity
if this is the FUKUS party line I think I need to buy a Geiger counter,