by Saker’s Johnny-on-the-spot in Belgrade for The Saker Blog
Daily protests against tyrant Vučić continue unabated in front of Parliament in Belgrade and are nearing their twentieth consecutive day. The regime’s early hopes of dispersing them by using brutal police violence against the protesters have themselves been dispersed. Every evening several hundred citizens, “keepers of the flame” as they like to call themselves, gather on parliament plateau and hold their Agora. They disregard totally the authorities’ decrees, supposedly motivated by the public good and pandemic-related medical reasons, banning groups of more than ten individuals and requiring the keeping of “social distance”. Just as it did after the July 7 spontaneous protests that broke out following Vučić’s announcement of lockdown reintroduction, the regime again put its tail between its legs and backed down. It is clearly afraid of sparking another wave of outrage by enforcing its hastily improvised “public health” regulations, which in reality were intended to snuff out the protests.
But the real story is that the truth about the police violence on July 8 and 9 is finally emerging, as everything in Serbian ultimately does. Veteran journalist Danko Vasković has disclosed the details of the regime’s sleight-of-hand by which an initially peaceful gathering against the announced second lockdown was transformed by organized regime thugs into a violent confrontation, arranged to portray peaceful and law-abiding citizens as destructive terrorists:
In true agent provocateur fashion, regime thugs (we did not err by comparing them to Duvalierist tontons macoutes in Haiti) initiated the violence by pelting the police with stones and leading a charge to break into parliament. That gave Vučić’s police and gendarmerie the necessary pretext to attack the peaceful crowd and start breaking skulls and bones. The thugs then moved back behind police lines and joined the police in beating and arresting protesters.
Regime propaganda was quick to misrepresent the disorders as an attempted coup, a Serbian Maidan, depicting Vučić as an innocent victim of foreign inspired plots. Absurdly, regime script writers could not get their story straight so they simultaneously laid the blame on both Western intelligence and Russia. Rumors were spread that Srdja Popović, head of the notorious Otpor color revolution adjunct of Western intelligence services was redeployed from his cushy university job in Scotland to Belgrade, to plot against Vučić. There was no logical explanation of why border control officials would allow such a character to enter the country, or why the regime would tolerate Otpor (now renamed Canvas) to maintain offices and to operate freely in Serbia. At the same time, the regime’s schizophrenic spin doctors were ramping up anti-Russian propaganda, accusing Kremlin agents of stirring up the protests. It was a direct outburst of fury at Putin for making it crystal clear that Russia will block Kosovo change of status regardless of the position official Belgrade takes in the matter. Law professor Dejan Mirović explained why the increasingly cornered regime is bound to soon drop its pretense of being Russia-friendly and will most likely follow in the footsteps of Djukanović by shifting to a radically anti-Russian position.
So now the main contours of what happened in Serbia this month are becoming clear. The regime tried to use the corona pandemic as a cover for finally settling its obligations to Western sponsors who brought it to power and whose impatience at Vučić’s years-long delay in delivering Kosovo was becoming palpable. But Vučić and his bumbling, incompetent crew botch everything, and this was no exception. Briefly, the plan was to lock the nation up while preparations for fraudulent June 21 elections were being conducted. Shortly before the elections, the lockdown was lifted and Serbia was proclaimed safe from the pandemic. It is important to understand why it was crucial for Vučić to stage these elections and to arrange for a better than 2/3 victory. The preamble to Serbia’s constitution specifically states that Kosovo is an inalienable part of Serbia and that no agreement separating it from Serbia would ever be lawful. This provision, if left unchanged, would nullify Vučić’s signature. That huge obstacle to the act of treason Vučić is committed to enact could only be overcome by a constitutional amendment, which parliament must pass, and for which at least 2/3 of the deputies must vote. That resolves the mystery of the magically concocted overwhelming, better than 2/3 victory Vučić’s vote-counters gave their boss. But just as everything was set to give Kosovo betrayal a veneer of legality, Vučić foolishly shot himself in the foot.
His desire to make sure the Serbian people were safely locked up while finishing touches were being put on the Kosovo handover, in Washington on June 27 (spoiled by the Thaci indictment in the Hague) and in Brussels on July 16, is perfectly understandable from his point of view and requires no elaboration. Vučić’s manner of execution was, however, characteristically clumsy. A nation that had just emerged from two and a half months of onerous mass confinement was not prepared to meekly re-enter its cage. As if the brazenly fraudulent elections had not already struck a raw nerve, the gibberish of regime medical charlatans composing the pandemic Crisis Staff was the straw that broke the camel’s back. The same regime witch-doctors (parallels with Haiti just keep coming up, don’t they?) who claimed to have gotten the better of corona virus just in time to enable Vučić to hold the “elections”, days later were saying the opposite, that their voodoo hexes were useless after all and that corona was back in full force. Who can blame a weary, frustrated, manipulated, and destitute nation for exploding with loathing and fury?
The prognosis for the Fall in Serbia (no pun intended) is dismal. Economist Branko Dragaš has cogently argued that by September or October the treasury will be empty and that by then pensions and various other benefits will have to be frozen and/or greatly reduced. Since pensioners are a significant segment of Serbia’s aging population, that should in itself be enough to provoke large-scale social turmoil. But according to Dragaš what the regime has to look forward to is a double whammy. Because of the precipitous decline of the shaky economy due to the corona-associated lockdown and resulting economic dislocation, up to a million unemployed are expected to be roaming Serbia’s streets by the Fall. As Dragaš picturesquely puts it, this month the protesting Serbs were being hit in the head with police batons; in just a few months they will be hit just as hard, but in the pocketbook.
Meanwhile, the social foundations of the regime are beginning to crumble. The July 7 protests have pierced the fear barrier in Serbia. One by one individuals from all walks of life, policemen, students, medical professionals, and even former paid internet bots who have become disgusted with lying for the regime, are publicly dissociating themselves from the system and its institutions. But more importantly, entire professional groups are in rebellion. In response to the regime’s catastrophic mishandling of the pandemic, a week ago medical doctors started a petition exposing collapsing conditions in Serbia’s public health system and demanding that the corona Crisis Staff hacks be fired and replaced with competent professionals. Initially the petition had 350 signatures, but by now, just a few days later, it has swelled to almost 3,000. The doctors’ protest is particularly brave because they are government employees. They were soon supported by 400 scientists, 300 artists, and 80 lawyers. The avalanche is gathering momentum. Nobody wants to remain aboard Vučić’s sinking ship.
To continue with the metaphor, presently the Vučić tyranny resembles a ship struck by a torpedo, which is listing badly. It may have enough momentum to keep afloat for a while, but when it is flooded with enough water it will inevitably capsize and sink to the bottom. Before that happens, the Serbian people must seize at least one high value target aboard and make sure that after a proper trial exposing his malfeasance he does not end up unpunished, on the bottom of the ocean, but here, where he belongs:
The regime’s thugs has become standard operating procedure across today’s fascist socialist states all over the world. Although they may be hiding within organisations like Antifa and BLM in the USA, the regime being represented by George Soros Open Society Foundations, in Europe the regimes are having such organisations as well, making sure that there are never democracy, freedom of speech or expression of grievances against the government anywhere. Germany seem to have BND and various organisations interupt demonstrations. Governments are all linked into the Rothschild syndicate.
In Germany the “Antifa” is at least partially paid by the government. About three months back a member of parliament called Renate Kuenast argued in a speech that the “Antifa” should not get yearly contracts but continuous employment. The paid protest is way bigger then secret service, BND, only.
BND is always involved as well as thhis was uncovered, it is part of standard operating procedure across the corrupt radicalized governance of today . But you are right and thank you for further information on Antifa. Anfifa reemerged from Germany. As far as I can figure out so far, Antifa survived in East-Germany, historically having the role as Adolf Hitler’s “communists” fighting SA in the streets (false flags to gain election victory for Adolf Hitler as being the only party that could create security and safety ). National socialism survived in East Germany as an ideology in the shadows of communism, creating a socialist alliance of which Angela Merkel was associated with before they joined CDU.
Thank you so much Johnny-on-the-spot! I look forward to your updates of the struggle to make #serblivesmatter, each and every one.
teranam13
This Johnny on the spot is again misrepresenting events in Belgrade. In my previous comments I asked him to explain why the population of Belgrade did not join those “demonstrators”, led by football hooligans and initially supported by teenagers, who later backed off. He did not reply. I wonder why.
well, it is common knowledge, here in Belgrade, that football hooligans are Vučić’s bitches, cos he enables them to deal drugs, for loyalty to him. so, that part is totaly false.
using labels like “hooligan”, “teenager”, “fascist”, “nazi” is common practice in denouncing non-globalist/liberal/commie/lgbt opinions. that is why media, all media (Western and Vučić controled) targeted protesters with those labels, and the reason for that was a fact that protesters chanted “Kosovo is Serbia”.
Furthermore, CIA Sergej Trifunović got camera into his bih head, when appeared in protests, and was booed and kicked out.. So, take-over, like October 5th, was not possible. Last resort – denonciation, labeling, calling protesters “thugs”, “fascis”hooligans”, “teenagers”…..Hell broke loose among Soros mercienaries, Srbljanovic spew serb-hate again, and others screamed “nazis”, “fascists”….
Tyrant Vučić is very inappropriate statement. He is as all democraticly elected presidents. You don’t say Tyrant Trump. Tyrant Macron, Tyrant Markel . There is everywhere riots and dissatisfaction. And I am not fan of Vucic , but there is a derogatory attitude when some media speak about Serbia, Russia and other not totally western satellites.
When one man makes all the decisions in a country and micro-manages everything, when there are no institutions capable of counter-balancing his power, in political science that is the definition of tyranny. Do Trump, Macron, or Merkel, with all their faults and mistakes, fit this definition? By the way, you should be rewarded with a sandwich for your zeal but you don’t have to protest the tile of tyrant on Vucic’s behalf. He is a psychopath and he enjoys being a tyrant.
@ Johnny-on-the-spot
Thank you indeed for your report. The linked interview with Danko Vasković is quite revealing about the magnitude of Vučić’s treason (clandestinely accepting one million (!) M.E. refugees from Austria for hard cash, making “deal” with Croatians to “forget” Jasenovac in exchange for their “forgetting Srebrenica” (!), etc. … what a slime).
P.S. I simply loved your answer to that 5th columnist :-) If he just lives to read it … he might choke on his reward of sandwiches & cookies :-) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TcQNa1ZAa8k
Vucic wants Serbia to resemble Sweden, he looks more like a German control freak himself with his obsessive compulsive micromanaging disorder.
To get to the point : Vucic mortal sin is that he is too close to Russia according to
Western standards. Like Yanukovych in Ukraine . So new Maidan will do
the job and establish real democracy in Serbia like in Ukraine.
By the way Milo Djukanovic is not a tyrant because Montenegro is member of NATO
and that means it is real democracy.
I am not so sure about Mr Danko Vasovic (I have no idea who this guy is) and his claim that Srdjan Nogo is working for Vucic. It is possible, however I have my doubts.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r3oEopIs2-8
Anytime I hear the term sandwich eaters in Serbia’s political discourse it raises a giant red flag in the sense that the subject who uses that manufactured concept lifted from “the hallucinatory Western free press” is an unwitting consumer (or worse a useful idiot of the Soros model) whose convinced themself they are more cosmopolitan than the “basket of deplorables” to use Clinton’s descriptive, than the majority who indeed voted for Vucic.
I think history will judge the Vucic epoch as cunning because contextually Serbia’s political maneuverability was and is claustrophobic.
There’s nothing wrong with fantasizing. It’s also OK to write about it. I’m just not sure that this is the right venue.
Of course, I feel for you and for your sandwich makers. If praise were being heaped on Vucic for his wise policies, the venue would be right. Vague expressions of concern about “human rights” and such things the regime can tolerate because they do not put it on the spot. But telling it like it is, does. That hurts.
I am not convince by Johnny’s contribution. Vucic has been in power for 8 years and has not surrendered Kosovo.
Immediately following his recent election victory, Vucic traveled to Moscow, not Washington or Berlin, and had private meetings with President Putin and others. The Russian Federation has now declared that any decisions made on Kosovo’s independence in The Hague will be declared null and void at the UN. Russia has given Vucic a “Get out of Jail” card and allowed him to leave The Hague without surrendering Kosovo.
It seems to me that Vucic is keeping NATO Devils at bay and keeping Kosovo in Serbia. What else can he do? If he spat in the face of NATO, which most Serbs would do, his country would be sanctioned, bombed and humiliated again. He needs to tread very carefully.
Things may change and I may change my opinion of Vucic, but they have not changed yet and they don’t look like doing so in the near future.
What Serbia needs more than a new leader is a new Constitution. Serbia should produce Constitutional amendments that better serve the needs of its People.
I am not entirely sure about my following point, perhaps Johnny can comment?
As far as I am aware, Members of the Serbian Parliament are not elected by the Serbian public but are instead nominated by Party leaders based on the number of votes the Party received in the election. So, Vucic will now choose 188 members of his party to become Members of Parliament.
This is very different from the British system where the country is divided into 650 constituencies each of which is allocated a seat in Parliament. When we vote in British elections, we vote for a particular person, Mr Smith for the Labour Party, Mrs Jones for the Conservatives, etc. These people are known locally. Some of them served in local politics and may have done important work in the community. They are all respectable members of the community.
Serbia should do something similar. It should create approximately 160 constituencies around the country, each with approximately 50,000 residents. Each constituency would send one person to serve as its Member of Parliament. All those standing for election should be of good character (no criminal record) and have been resident in the constituency for a period of not less than 10 years before their election. Members of Parliament must not have a second passport. These are similar amendments to those recently implemented in Russia.
Toppling Vucic by street protests would be a revolutionary act and would be unlikely to change nothing for the better. Minor constitutional changes might create a Parliament of intelligent and concerned citizens who care for their constituencies and for Serbia. Parliament would no longer be a gathering of “Yes Men” on the make.
Michael,
Vucic did indeed travel to Moscow only a few days after the election (june 21) but not for personal consultations but rather to attend the victory parade (June 24) which was moved from May to June due to epidemic.
Russia has assured Serbia of a veto in the security council if anything has done against her wishes. I do believe this support is extended to us regardless of who wins elections…
As for the constitution, it has been violated several times (extradition of Milosevic for example) but it still contains important guarantees regarding territorial integrity. Right now not many are in the mood to revise it.
Michael Thomas
If I remember correctly, Serbia used to have a system like British (majority election) in 1990s. Problems arose when some MPs started voting contrary to their party policies or even outright switched the parties (sometimes out of principle, but often due to corruption). The parties tried to work around this problem by forcing MPs to sign a “blank resignation” form before being handed the mandate.
Currently we have a proportional representation system, where we vote for a party rather than for an individual, and the debate about validity of these different approaches is still ongoing. Both systems have some pros and cons.
Thinking back a bit harder, it could be that we had a proportional system even in the 1990s, the difference being that back then the parties provided lists with specific individuals as nominees for MP positions, while today we simply vote for the party as a whole.
Vucic has already de-facto surrendered Kosovo and Metohija (KiM). He and Dacic, another Croat in the Serbian Government, signed two agreements in 2013 pulling out almost all of Serbia’s governmental bodies from KiM. They even handed over the police and judiciary to the NATO supported terrorists. Hence regular raids by the terrorist police into mostly Serb-inhabited north of Kosovska Mitrovica where before Vucic they weren’t allowed to even think about coming.The guy has been strengthening the sovereignty of that NATO contraption from day one. Along with the continuation of the completely wrong economic system relying on the IMF and NATO-CIA-money, Serbia is nearing a perfect storm. With Vucic now walking the same walk as his patron Don Milo Djukanovic of Montenigeria, Russia is being blamed for the unrest’s and not the NATO agents of influence who are all around and over Vucic.
yeah, so why NATO countries, EU and Kosovo Albanian IMMIGRANTS insist on “recognition” ?
A much better understanding from Fort Russ from an author who really is lives in Beograd.
https://fort-russ.com/2020/07/flores-serbia-protest-explosion-vucic-caught-between-coronavirus-and-color-revolution/
Very good article well worth reading
“… an author who really is lives in Beograd …”
… and who is an American from California (!) – and at the moment only a temporary guest in Vučić’s Serbia.
There is a problem however in that there is no unity in the diversity of people opposed to the Vučić leadership. It is made up of pro-EU secularists and equally vocal Orthodox nationalists. There is no unity of vision of what Serbia is and what Serbia should be. It is unwise to believe that the demonstrations do not have some outside actors egging them on. There were some Otpor banners amongst the crowds and they had sob stories to tell about how there weren’t enough vetillators for their dying loved ones. Emotionalism is being used to create the atmosphere where a colour revolution could happen. The EU and NATO will castrate Serbia. Focussing all the venom against Vučić is a massive distraction to what really needs to happen. That is the building of a consensus as to what makes Serbia and what will make Serbia a place where Serbs are happy to be and stop the tragic population freefall which is now in place and which makes all political demonstations ultimately meaningless. Only unity will save the Serbs.
Thank you, the trivialization and popularization of political news is made obsolete by insight.
I have noticed for a long time that there is no vision for Serbia. The country is blighted by ignorance.
More tragic still is that there seems to be little interest, so far anyway, in removing the curse of lack of awareness, by searching for deeper and more realistic understanding.
This would create involvement and intellectual freedom.
After 5-6 articles by Johnny… and PhD Johnny…we still don’t know what this 5% want?
Ok, they hate Vucic, I get it, but he is doing his job. Life of ordinary citizen of Serbia improved dramatically.
Why they want him out? I hope they want the same thing (god life for people)
For me that is enough to support him
I learn in this article that one (very important and clever) economist Johnny…, predict that good news for Serbia will end in September.
Forgive me for not believe him now. I’ll wait for September.
Using Occam razor, I conclude following.
All what’s happening in Serbia (not only this month but also last 3-4 years) is orchestrated by oligarch Dragan Djilas a.k.a. “Iznogoud” and reason is old as mankind. He just want to be “Caliph in the place of the Caliph”.
He is very rich (nobody knows how), but without any power and people who made him rich don’t like that.
Djilas fled to Chech Republic when Sh*t hit the fan, in 90ties, and came back to Serbia without a penny, shirtless..Then he joined politicians in Democratic Party, and using its power cut a deal with Head of Serbia Public Service RTS Tijanić to have exclusive rights on selling advertising minutes for RTS (!?). He made billions….
Serbia in essence is a (semi) neocolonial state surrounded by NATO vassal states.
A lot of people like to shit on Vucic but in their analysis they fail to incorporate CONTEXT!
His maneuverable political space is claustrophobic to say the least. His acumen to behave as TRUE brotherly state towards the Russian people is heroic and creating a strategic partnership with China worthy of praise.
Serbia in the last thirty years has had the pleasure of being subjugated to one of the greatest sanctions regimes and embargoes in contemporary history.
She was subject to one of the greatest monetary hyperinflations in human history (in 1994) reaching an astounding billion percent!
Not to mention that the combined West in their decadent state armed, imported Islamic fundamentalists, satanized Serbs through the legacy media, used the full capacity of their intelligence services and special forces to destabilize and arm the parties willing to fracture Yugoslavia at the expense of Serbia which in my opinion was a harbinger to what what was in the works for Russia.
He is not perfect BUT… he is a wily and deft political actor swimming with sharks.
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