[This analysis was written for the Unz Review]
Between the US strikes on Syria in April and the recent developments on the Korean Peninsula, we are in somewhat of a lull in the Empire’s search for a new war to start. The always helpful Israelis, in the person of the ineffable Bibi Netanyahu, are now beating the drums for, well, if not a war, then at least some kind of false flag or pretext to make the USA strike at Iran. And then there is the always bleeding Donbass (which I won’t address in today’s analysis). So let’s see where we stand and try to guesstimate where we might be heading. To be honest, trying to guess what ignorant warmongering psychopaths might do next is by definition a futile exercise, but since there are some not negligible signs that there are at least a few rational people still left in the US White House and/or Pentagon (as shown by the mostly “pretend strikes” on Syria last month), we can assume (hope) that some residual degree of sanity is still present. At the very least Americans in uniform have to ask themselves a very basic and yet fundamental question:
Do I want to die for Israel? Do I want to lose my job for Israel? How about my pension? Maybe just my stock options? Is it worth risking a major regional war for such a “wonderful” state?
A lot depends on whether the US military leaders (and people!) will have the courage to ask themselves this question and, if they do, what their reply will be.
But, first, let’s begin with the good news:
The DPRK and ROK are in direct talks with each other.
This is indeed a truly great development for at least two reasons. First, of course, the main and objective one: anything which lowers the risks of war on the Korean Peninsula is good. But there is a second reason which we should not discount: Trump can now take all the credit for this and claim that his (empty) threats are what brought the North Koreans to the negotiating table. I say – let him. In fact, I hope that they organize a parade for Trump somewhere in the USA, with confetti and millions of flags. Like for an astronaut. Let him feel triumphant, vindicated and very, very manly. MAGA, you know?!
Yeah, that will be sickening to the thinking (not to mention counter-factual), but if a little bit of intellectual nausea is the price to pay for peace, I say let’s do it. If Trump, Bolton, Haley and the rest of them can feel that they “kicked ass” and that their “invincible military” is what brought “Rocket Man” to “give up his nukes” (he never said any such thing, but never mind that) then I sincerely wish them a joyful and highly ego-pleasing celebration. Anything to stop them from looking for another war to start, at least for a now.
Now the bad news.
The Israelis are at it again
Amazing, isn’t it? The Israelis have been whining about “imminent” Iranian nukes for years, and they are still at it. Not only that, but these guys have the nerve to say “Iran lied”. Seriously, even by the already unique Israeli standards, that is chutzpah elevated to a truly stratospheric level. If it were just Bibi Netanyahu, then this would be comical. But the problem is that Israel has now fully subjugated all the branches of the US government to its agents (the Neocons) and that they now run everything: from the two branches of the Uniparty to Congress, to the media and, now that Trump has abjectly caved in to all their demands, they also run the White House. They apparently also run the CIA, but there still might be some resistance to their lunacy in the Pentagon. The USA is now quite literally run by a Zionist Occupation Government, no doubt about it whatsoever.
So what are these guys really up to? Listen to the one man who knows them best, and whose every single word you can take to the bank, Hezbollah General Secretary Nasrallah (ever wondered why Hezbollah, which has not committed anything even remotely looking like a terrorist attack since the 1980s is called the “A-Team of terrorists”? Just saying…):
The first event is the Israeli blatant and manifest aggression against the T-4 base or airport on the outskirts of Homs, that targeted Iranian forces from the Guardians of the Islamic Revolution of Iran who were present there, hitting them with a large number of missiles, causing 7 martyrs among its officers and soldiers and wounding others. This was a new, significant and important event. Maybe some people do not pay attention to its importance and magnitude. In this operation, Israel has deliberately killed (Iranian soldiers). This is an unprecedented event. In the past, Israel has struck us [Hezbollah] for example in Quneitra, and it turned out that coincidentally Guardians [of the Islamic Revolution] officers were with us. Israel declared hastily that they did not know it, and thought that all (targeted soldiers) were Hezbollah’s. This is an event that has no precedent since 7 years, it is unprecedented since 7 years, that Israel openly targets the Guardians of the Islamic Revolution in Syria, killing deliberately, in an operation that caused a number of martyrs and wounded (…) I want to tell the Israelis that they must know – I wrote that statement accurately and I read it to them – they must know that they have committed a historic mistake. This is not a simple blunder. They committed an act of great stupidity, and by this aggression, they entered in a direct confrontation with Iran, the Islamic Republic of Iran. And Iran, O Zionists, is not a small country, it is not a weak country, and it is not a cowardly country. And you know it very well. As a comment on this incident, I stress that it constitutes a turning point in the situation of the region. What follows will be very different from what preceded it. This is an incident that cannot be considered lightly, contrary to what happens with many incidents here. It is a turning point, a historic turning point. And when the Israelis committed this stupid act, they had some assessment (of the situation), but I tell them that their evaluation is false. And even in the future, since you have opened a new path in the confrontation, (you should ensure) not to be wrong in your evaluations. In this new path you opened and initiated, don’t be wrong in your assessment, when you are face to face, and directly (in conflict) with the Islamic Republic of Iran.
I can only agree with this evaluation. As does The Jerusalem Post, NBC News, and many others. Regardless of how crazy this notion might sound to rational people (see below), there are all the signs that the Israelis are now demanding that the USA start a war against Iran, either by choice or more likely, to “stand by our Israeli allies and friends” after they attack Iran first.
Israel is truly a unique and amazing country: not only does it openly and brazenly completely ignore international law, not only is it the last overtly racist country on the planet, not only has it been perpetuating a slow-motion genocide against the Palestinians for decades, it also constantly uses its considerable propaganda resources to advocate for war. And in order to achieve these goals, it does not mind allying itself with a regime almost as despicable and evil as the Zionist one – I am talking about the Wahabi nutcases in the KSA. And all that under the high patronage of the United States. Some “Axis of Kindness” indeed!
What is their plan? Actually, it is fairly straightforward.
The Israeli plan “A” (failed)
Initially, the plan was to overthrow all the secular (Baathist) regimes in power and replace them by religious nutcases. That would not only weaken the countries infected by that spiritual rot, it would set them backwards for many decades, some of them would break up into smaller entities, Arabs and Muslims would kill each other in large numbers while the Israelis would proudly claim that they are a “western country” and the “only democracy in the Middle-East”. Even better, when the Daesh/ISIS/al-Qaeda/etc types commit atrocities on an industrial scale (and always on camera, professionally filmed, by the way), the slow-motion genocide of Palestinians would really be completely forgotten. If anything, Israeli would declare itself threatened by “Islamic extremism” and, well, extend a couple of “security zones” beyond its borders (legal or otherwise), and do regular bombing runs “because Arabs only understand force” (which would get the Israelis a standing ovation from the “Christian” Zionist rednecks in the USA who love the killing of any Aye-rabs and other “sand niggers”). At the end of all this, the Zionist wet dream: unleashing the Daesh forces against Hezbollah (which they fear and hate since the humiliating defeat the IDF suffered in 2006).
Now I will readily agree that this is a stupid plan. But contrary to the propaganda-induced myth, the Israelis are really not very bright. Pushy, arrogant, nasty, driven – yes. But smart? Not really. How could they not realize that overthrowing Saddam Hussein would result in Iran becoming the main player in Iraq? This is a testimony of how the Israelis always go for “quick-fix” short-term “solutions”, probably blinded by their arrogance and sense of racial superiority. Or how about their invasion of Lebanon in 2006? What in the world did they think they would achieve there? And now these folks are taking on not Hezbollah, but Iran. Hassan Nasrallah is absolutely correct, that is a truly stupid decision. But, of course, the Israelis now have a “plan B”:
The Israeli plan “B”
Step one, use your propaganda machine and infiltrated agents to re-start the myth about an Iranian military nuclear program. And never mind that the so-called “The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action” was agreed upon by all five of the UNSC Permanent Members, and Germany (P5+1) and even the European Union! And never mind that this plan places restrictions on Iran which no other country has ever had to ever face, especially considering that since 1970 Iran has been a member in good standing with the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) while Israel, of course, is not. But the Zionists and their Neocon groupies are, of course, quite exceptional people, so they are constrained by neither facts nor logic. If Trump says that the JCPOA is a terrible deal, then this is so. Hey, we are living in the “post-Skripal” and “post-Douma” era – if some Anglo (or Jewish) leaders say “highly likely” then it behooves everybody to show instant “solidarity” lest they are accused of “anti-Semitism” or “fringe conspiracy theories” (you know the drill). So step one is the re-ignition ex nihilo of the Iranian military nuclear program canard.
Step two is to declare that Israel is “existentially threatened” and therefore has the right to “defend itself”. But there is a problem here: the IDF simply does not have the military means to defeat the Iranians. They can strike them, hit a couple of targets, yes, but then when the Iranians (and Hezbollah) unleash a rain of missiles on Israel (and probably the KSA) the Israelis will not have the means to respond. They know that, but they also know that the Iranian counter-attack will give them the perfect pretext to scream “oy vey!! oy, gevalt!!” and let the dumb Americans fight the Iranians.
You might object that the USA does not have a mutual defense treaty with Israel. You are wrong. It does, it is called AIPAC. Besides, last year the USA established a permanent US military base in Israel, making it a “tripwire”: just claim that “the Ayatollahs” tried to attack the US base with “chemical weapons” and, bingo, you now have a pretext to use all your military forces in retaliation, including, by the way, your tactical nuclear forces to “disarm” the “genocidal Iranians who want to wipe Israel off the map” or some variation of this nonsense.
You might wonder what the point of all that would be if Iran does, as I say, not have any military nuclear program?
5My answer would be simple: do you really think the Syrians have been using chemical weapons?!
Of course not!
All this nonsense about Saddam’s WMD, the Iranian nuclear program, the Syrian chemical weapons or, for that matter, Gaddafi’s “Viagra armed raping soldiers”, and before that the “Racak massacre” in Kosovo or the various “Markale market” atrocities in Sarajevo for that matter: these were just pretexts for aggression, nothing more.
In Iran’s case, what the Israelis fear is not that they will be “wiped off the map” (that is a mistranslation of words originally spoken by Ayatollah Khomeini) by Iranian nukes; what really freaks them out is to have a large, successful Muslim regional power like Iran openly daring to denounce Israel as an illegitimate, racist state. The Iranians are also openly denouncing the US imperialism and they are even denouncing the Wahabi dictatorship of the House of Saud. That is Iran’s real “sin”: to dare defy openly the AngloZionist Empire and be so successful at it!
So what the Israelis really want to do is:
- inflict a maximum amount of economic damage upon Iran
- punish the Iranian population for daring to support the “wrong” leaders
- overthrow the Islamic Republic (do to it what they did to Serbia)
- make an example to dissuade any other country who dares to follow in Iran’s footsteps
- prove the omnipotence of the AngloZionist Empire’s
To reach this objective, there is no need to invade Iran: a sustained cruise missile and bombing campaign will do the job (again, like in Serbia). Finally, we just have to assume that the Zionists are evil, arrogant and crazy enough to use nuclear weapons on some Iranian facilities (which they will, of course, designate as “secret military nuclear research” installations).
The Israelis hope that by making the USA hit Iran really hard, they will weaken the country enough to also weaken Hezbollah and the other allies of Iran in the region sufficiently and break the so-called “Shia crescent”.
In their own way, the Israelis are not wrong when they say that Iran is an existential threat to Israel. They are just lying about the nature of this threat and why it is dangerous for them.
Consider this:
IF the Islamic Republic is allowed to develop and prosper and IF the Islamic Republic refuses to be terrified by the IDF’s undisputed ability to massacre civilians and destroy public infrastructure, then the Islamic Republic will become an attractive alternative to the kind of repugnant Islam embodied by the House of Saud which, in turn, is the prime sponsor of all the collaborator regimes in the Middle-East from the Hariri types in Lebanon to the Palestinian Authority itself. The Israelis like their Arabs fat and corrupt to the bone, not principled and courageous. That is why Iran must, absolutely must, be hit: because Iran by its very existence threatens the linchpin upon which the survival of the Zionist entity depends: the total corruption of the Arab and Muslim leaders worldwide.
Risks with Israel’s plan “B”
Think of 2006. The Israelis had total air supremacy over Lebanon – the skies were simply uncontested. The Israelis also controlled the seas (at least until Hezbollah almost sank their Sa’ar 5-class corvette). The Israelis pounded Lebanon with everything they had, from bombs to artillery strikes, to missiles. They also engaged their very best forces, including their putatively ‘”invincible” “Golani Brigade”. And that for 33 days. And they achieved exactly *nothing*. They could not even control the town of Bint Jbeil right across the Israeli border. And now comes the best part: Hezbollah kept its most capable forces north of the Litany river so the small Hezbollah force (no more than 1000 man) was composed of local militias supported by a much smaller number of professional cadre. That a 30:1 advantage in manpower for the Israelis. But the “invincible Tsahal” got it’s collective butt kicked like few have ever been kicked in history. This is why, in the Arab world, this war is since known as the “Divine Victory”.
As for Hezbollah, it continued to rain down rockets on Israel and destroy indestructible Merkava tanks right up to the last day.
There are various reports discussing the reasons for the abject failure of the IDF (see here or here), but the simple reality is this: to win a war you need capable boots on the ground, especially against an adversary who has learned how to operate without air-cover or superior firepower. Should Israel manipulate the USA into attacking Iran, the exact same thing will happen: CENTCOM will establish air superiority and have an overwhelming firepower advantage over the Iranians, but other than destroying a lot of infrastructure and murdering scores of civilians, this will achieve absolutely nothing. Furthermore, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is no Milosevic, he will not simply surrender in the hope that Uncle Sam will allow him to stay in power. The Iranians will fight, and fight, and continue to fight for weeks, and months and then possibly years. And, unlike the “Axis of Kindness” forces, the Iranians do have credible and capable “boots on the ground”, and not only in Iran, but also in Syria and Iraq and Afghanistan. And they have the missiles to reach a very large number of US military facilities across the region. And they can also not only shut down the Strait of Hormuz (which the USN would eventually be able to re-open, but only at a cost of a huge military operation on the Iranian coast), they can also strike at Saudi Arabia proper and, of course, at Israel. In fact, the Iranian have both the manpower and know-how to declare “open season” on any and all US forces in the Middle-East, and there are plenty of them, mostly very poorly defended (that imperial sense of impunity “they would not dare”).
The Iran-Iraq war lasted for eight years (1980-1988). It cost the Iranians hundreds of thousands of lives (if not more). The Iraqis had the full support of the USA, the Soviet Union, France and pretty much everybody else. As for the Iranian military, it had just suffered from a traumatic revolution. The official history (meaning Wikipedia) calls the outcome a “stalemate”. Considering the odds and the circumstances, I call it a magnificent Iranian victory and a total defeat for those who wanted to overthrow the Islamic Republic (something which decades of harsh sanctions also failed to achieve, by the way).
Is there any reason at all to believe that this time around, when Iran has had almost 40 years to prepare for a full-scale AngloZionist attack the Iranians will fight less fiercely or less competently? We could also look at the actual record of the US armed forces (see Paul Craig Roberts’ superb summary here) and ask: do you think that the USA, lead by the likes of Trump, Bolton or Nikki Haley will have the staying power to fight the Iranians to exhaustion (since a land invasion of Iran is out of the question)? Or this: what will happen to the world economy if the entire Middle-East blows up into a major regional war?
Now comes the scary part: both the Israelis and the Neocons always, always, double-down. The notion of cutting their losses and stopping what is a self-evidently mistaken policy is simply beyond them. Their arrogance simply cannot survive even the appearance of having made a mistake (remember how both Dubya and Olmert declared that they had won against Hezbollah in 2006?). As soon as Trump and Netanyahu realize that they did something really fantastically stupid and as soon as they run out of their usual options (missile and airstrikes first, then terrorizing the civilian population) they will have a stark and simple choice: admit defeat or use nukes.
Which one do you think they will choose?
Exactly.
Going nuclear?
Here is the paradox: in purely military terms, using nukes on Iran will serve no pragmatic purpose. Nuclear weapons can be used in one of two ways: against military assets (“counterforce”) or against civilians (“countervalue”). The point is that by the time the Neocons and their Israeli patrons come to the point of considering using tactical nuclear forces against the Iranians, there won’t be a good target to hit. Iranian forces will be dispersed and mostly in contact with allied (or even US forces) and nuking an Iranian battalion or even a division won’t fundamentally alter the military equation. As for nuking Iranian cities just out of savagery, this will only serve one purpose: to truly get Israel wiped off the map of the Middle-East. I would not put it past the Neocons and their Israeli bosses to try to use a tactical nuclear weapon to destroy some Iranian civilian nuclear facility or some underground bunker with the very mistaken hope that such a show of force and determination will force the Iranians to submit to the AngloZionist Empire. In reality, this will only infuriate the Iranians and strengthen their resolve.
As for the currently “macronesque” Europeans, they will, of course, first show “solidarity” on the basis of “highly likely”, especially Poland, the Ukies and the Baltic statelets, but if nuclear weapons start going off in the Middle-East, then the European public opinion will explode, especially in Mediterranean countries, and this might just trigger yet another major crisis. Israel wouldn’t give a damn (or, as always, blame it all on some totally mysterious resurgence of anti-Semitism), but the USA most definitely does not want the Anglo grip on the continent compromised by such events.
Maybe a Korean scenario?
Is there a chance that all the huffing and puffing will result in some kind of peaceful resolution as what seems to be in the works in Korea? Alas, probably not.
A few months ago it sure looked like the USA might do something irreparably stupid in Korea (see here and here) but then something most unexpected happened: the South Koreans, fully realizing the inanity of Trump’s reckless threats, took the situation in their own hands and began making overtures to the North. Plus all the rest of the regional neighbors emphatically and clearly told Trump & Co. that the consequences of a US attack on the DPRK would be apocalyptic for the entire region. Alas, there are two fundamental differences between the Korean Peninsula and the Middle-East:
- On the Korean Peninsula, the local US ally (the ROK) does not want war. In the Middle-East it is the local US ally (Israel) which pushes the hardest for a war.
- In Far-East Asia all the regional neighbors were and are categorically opposed to war. In the Middle-East most regional neighbors are sold out to the Saudis who also want the US to attack Iran.
So while the risks and consequences of a conflagration are similar between the two regions, the local geopolitical dynamics are completely different?
What about Russia in all this?
Russia will never *choose* to go to war with the USA. But Russia also understands that Iran’s security and safety is absolutely crucial to her own security, especially along her southern borders. Right now there is a fragile equilibrium of sorts between the (also very powerful) Zionist lobby in Russia and the national/patriotic elements. In truth, the recent Israeli attacks in Syria have given more power to the anti-Zionist elements in Russia, hence all the talk about (finally!) delivering the S-300s to Syria. Well, we will see if/when that happens. My best guesstimate is that it might already have happened and that this is simply kept quiet to restrain both the Americans and the Israelis who have no way of knowing what equipment the Russians have already delivered, where it is located or, for that matter, who (Russians or Syrians) actually operate it. This kind of ambiguity is useful to placate the pro-Zionist forces in Russia and to complicate AngloZionist planning. But maybe this is my wishful thinking, and maybe the Russians have not delivered the S-300s yet or, if they have, maybe these are the (not very useful) S-300P early models (as opposed to the S-300PMU-2 which would present a huge risk to the Israelis).
The relationship between Russia and Israel is a very complex one (see here and here), but if Iran is attacked I fully expect the Russians, especially the military, to back Iran and provide military assistance short of overtly engaging US/Israeli/NATO/CENTCOM forces. If the Russians are directly attacked in Syria (and in the context of a wider war, they very well might be), then Russia will counter-attack regardless of who the attacker is, the USA or Israel or anybody else: the Zionist lobby in Russia does not have the power to impose a “Liberty-like event” on the Russian public opinion).
Conclusion: Accursed are the warmakers, for they shall be called the children of Satan
The Israelis can eat falafels, create “Israeli kufiyeh” and fancy themselves as “orientals”, but the reality is that the creation of the state of Israel is a curse on the entire Middle-East to which has only brought untold suffering, brutality, corruption and wars, wars and more wars. And they are still at it – doing all they can to trigger a large regional war in which many tens or even hundreds of thousands of innocent people will die. The people of the USA have now allowed a dangerous cabal of psychopathic Neocons to fully take control of their country and now those, who Papa Bush used to call the “crazies in the basement” have their finger on the nuclear button. So now it all boils down to the questions I opened this article with:
Dear US Americans – do you want to die for Israel? Do you want to lose your job for Israel? How about your pension? Maybe just your stock options? Because make no mistake, the US Empire will not survive a full-scale war against Iran. Why? Because all Iran needs to do to “win” is not to lose, i.e. to survive. Even bombed out and scorched by conventional or nuclear strikes, if Iran comes out of this war still as an Islamic Republic (and that is not something bombs or missiles will change) then Iran will have won. In contrast, for the Empire, the failure to bring Iran to its knees will mean the end of its status as the world Hegemon defeated not by a nuclear superpower, but by a regional conventional power. After that, it will just be a matter of time before the inevitable domino effect breaks up the entire Empire (check out John Michael Greer’s excellent book “Twilight’s Last Gleaming” for a very plausible account on how that could happen)
Okay, unlike Russia, Iran cannot nuke the USA or, for that matter, even reach it with conventional weapons (I don’t even think that the Iranians will successfully attack a US carrier as some pro-Iranian analysts say). But the political and economic consequences of a full-scale war in the Middle-East will be felt throughout the United States: right now the only thing “backing” the US dollar, so to speak, are USN aircraft carriers and their ability to blow to smithereens any country daring to disobey Uncle Sam. The fact that these carriers are (and, truly, have been for a long while) useless against the USSR and Russia is bad enough, but if it becomes known urbi et orbi that they are also useless against a conventional regional power like Iran, then that’s it, show over. The dollar will turn into monopoly money in a very short span of time.
Wars often have “Nietzschean consequences”: countries which wars don’t destroy often come out even stronger than before they were attacked, even if it is at a horrendous price. Both the Israelis and the Neocons are too dialectically illiterate to realize that by their actions they are just creating increasingly more powerful enemies. The old Anglo guard which ran the USA since its foundation was probably wiser, possibly because it was better educated and more aware of the painful lessons learned by the British (and other) Empire(s).
Frankly, I hope that the ruling 1%ers running the USA today (well, they are really much less than 1%, but never mind that) will care about their wealth and money more than they care about appeasing the Neocons and that the bad old Anglo imperialists who built this country will have enough greed in themselves to tell the Neocons and their Israeli patrons to get lost. But with the Neocons controlling both wings of the Uniparty and the media, I am not very hopeful.
Still, there is a chance that, like in Korea, somebody somewhere will say or do the right thing, and that awed by the potential magnitude of what they are about to trigger, enough people in the US military will follow the example of Admiral William Fallon and CENTCOM commander at the time who told the President “an attack on Iran will not happen on my watch”. I believe for his principled courage, the words of Christ “Blessed are the peacemakers: for they shall be called the children of God” (Matt 5:9) can be applied to Admiral Fallon and I hope that his example will inspire others.
The Saker
Well argued. The U.S.’ main concern is the collapse of its petrodollar, which would occur very quickly after an attack on Iran as all global oil/gas supplies would then be restricted (…and how much of NATO/European resources does Russia control?). The U.S. military is there to protect the US$ and thus U.S. corporations. When the corporatists/financeers realize that the dollar is doomed they may speak up – emphasis on ‘may’.
Mr. Saker is great analyst. He has only one weakness: He never heard and never understand Khazaria Empire, importance of conversion from Phallus adoring religion to Judaism in Khazaria Empire and consequences of demise Khazaria Empire. He doesn’t understand that Khazaria Empire is today Russian Federation (part) and Ukraine (part). He doesn’t understand that Khazar folks have not right to murder Semitic folks. He doesn’t understand that Palestinians are Semitic folks and descendants of real Hebrew people. He doesn’t understand that word “JEWS” was invented in 18th Century nad later used in falsification of older books. Without these knowledge, it is impossible understand events of 20th Century and todays events.
There is appeal to here readers and writers: Please use original word: KHAZARS. With this original word everyone will understand this brutal zionist scam. Zionism may be defeated without one shot, simply use original word KHAZARS and miracle will happen.
Khazarian Agent
What you have written is correct. However, you have not been clear in your presentation. The Russian Federation and Ukraine are not, in part, the Khazaria Empire. The Khazars want the Slavic lands in Russia and Ukraine to be turned into a Khazarian Empire. This explains the Bolshevik Revolution of 1917, the Civil War, and World war Two. Millions had to be killed for the Khazaria Empire to be created.
@ ” Khazarian” Agent
Khazaria Empire ,a Jewish conspiracy theory. Black is white and white is black.
Yes, Ukraine is an empire, a huge one,likely the Donbas. And Russia too, likely those who want a multi polar world order.
There are a handful of free countries left and the ” Khazarian Empire ” is right there. Not the Octopus that strangled the whole world.
Since when Ukraine became an empire ? Present Ukraine “…who want a multi polar world order. ” ?
After 2014 coup Ukraine is more Khazaria , not “” Khazarian Empire ” though .
Ukraine is Banderstan, a cancerous outgrowth of the nazi West Ukraine mass murderers.
It is not a country or even a state. It operates as a whore-to-pimp. It “fornicates” for $$$.
Killing innocents and terrorizing its own society is the national pastime.
Since 2014, it is a international outlaw regime, corrupt, criminal and debased.
And it no surprise that the junta/regime ruling present day Ukraine since the Maidan coup, are Jews of Talmudic persuasion.
Their very descendants were the Talmud Jews who orchestrated the genocide, forced famine that killed off close to 7 million people in 1936-37.
And the cousins perpetrated the largest genocide in human history, the Jewish Bolshevik Revolution, subsequent Red terror, gulags, and outright destruction of the Orthodox religion, people, as well as millions of Soviet Muslims, in 1917 onwards. This genocide is said to have claimed 40-60 million killed off. Innocents killed by the millions because of the Talmud’s preaching’s and oral secretive traditions. a Diabolical work indeed.
The Kingdom of Khazaria was an actual kingdom that existed just north of the Caucuses and the Russian steppes. It was around until about the 13th century when it was conquered and dismantled, with its confederation of tribes dispersing all over Russia , Eastern Europe, Western Europe, eventually the U.S. and then last Palestine. The Muslim Mongolian Golden Horde conquered the Khazars, a brutal, warmongering and savage, barbaric peoples, and installed Russian princes, known as the Muscovites , to administer Mongol conquered Russia.
The Muslim Golden Horde leader Burke Khan, grandson of Genghis Khan, showed, and deeply respected Orthodox Slavic faith, and were very kind to the Russ. Finally giving the lands back to their original inhabitants. The Mongols, who quickly adapted Islam, went on to form the ‘stan’s’ countries on Russia’s underbelly. Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, etc. all the way into north western China itself.
But these is also a good book written on the subject, called ‘ The Thirteenth Tribe ‘ .
So its probably true then because your the third source who’s also said they worshipped the phallus among other things.
Yes, The Khazars are the Biblical Gog and Magog, and in Islam, Jooj and Majooj. Since this tribes inception, they have been war mongers and brutal savages, and now, the descendants of these Khazars, who we call todays international Jews of Talmudic persuasion (90%of them worldwide) , are in total control of the west. They are a parasitical people, who, having been scattered to the winds by being defeated thoroughly by the Muslim Golden Horde and Slavic Russian Orthodox Princes, known as the Muscovites. This aforementioned parasite is plaguing west and leading it to a thorough defeat and humiliation in the wider Middle Eastern region of the world, thus the world in general. The west will then continue on its terminal decline as human progress and unshackled arrested human development, which had happened under the present Judaic civilizational modal shoved down our throat. Everything is shifting East. The 19th century belonged to England, the 20th, to the U.S.A., the 21st and beyond will see a Chinese-Russian-Iranian civilizational model for humanity take shape.
When the U.S., U.K, France and the GCC , are exhausted out and out maneuvered in the Middle East, which is happening as we speak, and the U.S. coalition is finally forced to withdraw in defeat, and thus kicked of of the region for good, then Israel’s existence will be very, very short lived. There will have to be an evacuation. Because the Israeli people have garnered so much hatred and resistance to themselves that there will be no compromises nor quarter given.
Into the void steps in China, fresh with cash, an open checkbook, a firm, warm handshake and big deals for as win-win type scenario for the worlds nations. Especially with their already started, One Road-One Belt initiative.
I don’t think the Neocons-Jews-Israel will and can get away with regional nuclear war. Because an region (Middle East) war would collapse the dollar and also collapse the global Jewish monetary system. An unfair, unjust, usurious, greedy and corrupt system imposed and employed on humanity for centuries.
Bottom line, the Jews have lost. The question is how far do they want to go in digging themselves into their grave.
“At the end of all this, the Zionist wet dream: unleashing the Daesh forces against Hezbollah (which they fear and hate since the humiliating defeat the IDF suffered in 2006).”
-Kinda feel the need to point out that defeat makes armies stronger.. I bet Israel has spent years and years studying why they failed and compensate and adapted so that it will not happened again. Assuming that Israel would be as unprepared the second time is a mistake.
Russia was a clumsy oaf in the Georgian war 2008 but today after it analyzed its weakness from the conflict is the one of the best if not the best army in the world.
“Is there a chance that all the huffing and puffing will result in some kind of peaceful resolution as what seems to be in the works in Korea? Alas, probably not.”
The failure of Israel in 2006 war was due to inescapable cultural issues and they remain. It is weak and soft force accustomed to occupation brutality against unarmed or very lightly armed civilians where they are less soldiers than they are jailors. Hezbollah is the one which has strengthened since 2006 you will find thanks to the training and new weapons they’re getting in Syria…..from the generous donations by “Israel” KSA and the USA and others via their losing Takfiri zombies. Also don’t forget Hezbollah used second rank troops and only a fraction of their forces in 2006 to smack down the IDF cry babies.
The ‘soyboys’ pf the IDF are no match for Hezbollah. the Syrian Arab Army, NDF, IRGC who have 7 years of hardcore real time combat experience in urban, rural and desert environs. It would be a mistake to think Hezbollah, the SAA , IRGC etc, haven’t built up big muscles from the Syria conflict.
What are the IDF, but soft exchange students from the U.S., and or Russian Jews, again a soft class of Russian at that.
And when the U.S., U.K, France and GCC are exhausted out in the coming regional war, and either their armies and efforts routed and/or annihilated, then Israel will have to be evacuated, so it can go back to being Palestine. The U.S., U.K, France will have been kicked out of the Middle East for good. With China, Russia and Iran filling the void.
The delusional Talmudic Jews who run the west and Israel wont use nukes or go to all out war against Iran, because they would destroy the very Jewish global monetary system currently imposed on mankind. An unjust, usurious , greedy and corrupt system they have nurtured and employed on humanity for centuries.
They fear the loss of that more than they fear the Mullah’s of Iran obtaining supremacy strategically over tehm, in little increments. Iraq was an Iranian victory, Lebanon is an Iranian victory, Syria is an Iranian victory, and Houthi Yemen is an Iranian victory, heck, even Bahrain is an Iranian victory. All losses for the Zionist entity in the Middle East.
So Jews have two choices, none are good. Either go and totally destroy Iran, a country of 85 million, strategically placed, and armed to the teeth, or retreat, and possibly retain the status quo, and of the global monetary scheme which is entirely of Jewish design and designed to benefit themselves over everybody else. This global Jewish monetary scheme is being chipped away at incessantly by the Chinese and Russians that its a matter of time before its a second class model.
Before the Zionazi attack on Lebanon in 2006, Israeli papers were openly bragging of certain success in ‘the best planned war in Israeli history’. The Israeli Death Forces even visited the Pentagon to present Power Point outlines of their plans to occupy Lebanon up to the Litani, which they tried to seize in 1948 and 1978-2000 as part of Eretz Yisrael. I rather suspect that Hezbollah learned from that war, too. One thing that the Zionazis did learn was how much they enjoyed totally obliterating Dahiya in south Beirut, in a gigantic act of ‘collective punishment’, which, while outlawed by mere ‘International Law’, is considered quite kosher under Talmudic Judaism. Zionazi thugs have threatened to extend the ‘Dahiya Doctrine’ to all of Lebanon, particularly now that Hezbollah has won the Lebanese election.
To all Saker readers!!
Iran and Syria starting understand that they are completely alone in this fight and the latest Mini-Nuke attack in Syria proved their fears. The target was Iranian forces and general Qasem Sulaimani!!!!!!
1.The latest attack in Syria was a Mini-Nuke according Jeff Smith, nuclear expert from Veterans Today. The blast was so huge that even Europe registered seismic disturbances of 2-3 Richter scale. The only force which can produce such earth movement, is nuclear attack. Those who are familiar with VT and their expertise, it is not the first time a Mini-Nuke attack took place. Syria and Yemen was attacked before, there are probably still exist those scary videos, so watch them and will see what you think. That seismic disturbance in such distance as Europe is a signature of nuclear attack.
2.The highest military staff of West and Russia knows about this, but there is a total silence in the world. In the public mind a nuclear bomb explosion should looks like that one in Japan or similar, they do not know that mini-nukes behave entirely different way.
3.The main target was Gen.Qasem Suleimani, Sun Tzu of our our time, the genius and the winner of battles. Unclear if he made it, or if he was there or not. This is very very scary situation. Zios are more mad then we can think of them. This attack proved that Iran is alone in this fight, some Syrian and Iranian officials questioning their trust and alliance with Russia. Iran find itself in a very dramatic situation just now. The 5th column is very active, some element of military is heavy infiltrated by Israel and West.
4.Russia is completely silent about latest attack, which is “highly likely” a nuclear attack. This was a litmus test for as far as concern Russia-Iran relation, or Russia-Syria relation or new Russian military doctrine declared by Mr.Putin on 1st of march. This attack was also an insult to Mr.Putin, because he said if Russian allies come under nuclear attack she will respond immediately. This proved that either Russia do not include Iran as its ally or Russia can not hold her promises. Other speculation is that as in Soviet time, there still exist an unofficial agreement between Russia (before USSR) and Israel which says that Russia will throw any other “ally” or nation under the bus, but not Israel if ultimate security of Israel is threatened. Many Arabs believe that USSR never gave them such weapons, which could defeat Israel in the past wars.
Just compare alliance between US -Israel or US-Saudis, there is no defensive or offensive weapon which US will not give to Israel or Saudis. Saudis have already Mini-nukes, they used it in Yemen. But Russia hesitate to give to its “Allies” even defensive weapon. Iran did wait some 10 years to get some S-300, Syria is almost gone as a nation, now Russia consider to give some S-300, may some older version.
5. Israel and US will use Mini-nukes against Iran with impunity and you will not hear anything in the worlds media about it, even those “alternative and free” media will be silent like death. US used nuclear weapon in Iraq, the rate of cancer went up 1000s and 1000s times higher in some area, the only one who investigated and did a research work about this crime, was British prof.Christopher Busby, no media did dare to publish his beyond any doubt scientific findings.
6.It is sad to say, but Iran is alone. Iran is surrounded by octopus of evil. Arab countries and leaders already sold their souls and dignity to the Devil, for exchange of wealth, luxury, women and hedonism (Saudi Crime Prince bought a painting for some 450,000,000 dollar). The majority of Non-Arabs Muslims, with some exception, are disorganized, fragmented, corrupt and uneducated. They are infected either with virus of Materialism or Wahabism in a Hegelian game. None of them will dare to support Iran. The so called Organization of Islamic country and Arab league became a club of idiots who periodically gather in order to eat some fatty food, drink a lot of coca cola and make some selfies with their i-phones. You know what? You know what is Arab league final comunique usually about ?? Not about Palestine, not about starvation and genocide in Yemen, not about ISIS atrocities, not about Taliban terror, not about starvation in Somalia or Sudan, not about progress or solidarity, not about genocide of Rohingyas, not about misery and pain of Islamic world or world in general. The comunique is always about condemning Iran, Hezbullah and Assad. Can you imagine this???
7. Iran is alone and Russia will do nothing, when Mini-Nukes fall over Iran, Russia will not even report it as such. RT will tell that it was some weapon depot which caught fire, as usual. There is many reason why Russia will not defend Iran. It could be that Russian patriots have not enough power to do so, Russia is also infiltrated by Zios, Russia may have a secret pact with Zios. May Mr.Putin has not enough support to do so. May Russia is part of Hegelian Iluminati in the highest level. There are many theories and conspiracies. Apart from all these, one thing is clear. Iran is alone in its ultimate fight.
8. My personal recommendation is that Iran have to give up. They have no choice or chance against the global cabal. Economic situation is very dire in Iran. People have no enough money to live. For many it is the basic human instincts and survival issues which is priority, not some revolutionary vision. Iran is one nation, it is totally surrounded and can not do anything, it is suicide to resist and suicide is forbidden according Muslim Quran .
9. We do not want that they nuke the remnant of cradle of civilization. No Jesus or Mehdi will come to save Iran. In the past 500 years of colonialism some one billion colored people were killed, who did save them? Who heard their cries and pain or voice. In the first minutes of Hiroshima atomic bomb some 100,000 souls perished, tell me who cried for them? which universe dropped any tears for them?
10.Iran!!!!! you are alone, so you have no other way to fight the evil, continent after continent was wiped out in the past centuries, some 2000 Islands were wiped out, where is the justice of this world, so in order to survive you have to surrender or perish as those 100s of millions before you.
Without Persia world will be not beautiful, Cyrus was the first King and leader who announced the very first declaration of Human rights in the human history. Persian empire was one of the few just and kind in human history. US which based its constitution partly on the Cyrus Cylinder for human rights, is hell bent to destroy you. So in order to preserve and survive, be realist and not idealist.
Dear Antoni,
Your poignant post is as correct, brilliant, and tragic as it is heart rending. Yes, my friend, Iran is alone, alas! Terrible times may lie ahead for it. No one lifts their hands to protect the weak, no one sheds tears for those slaughtered for no reason. This is the way of the world, perhaps even more so now in the age of “reason and science” than in the prior ages of faith and religion. Reason and science know no compassion or feelings because feelings “are scientifically unproven” and logic alone cannot prove that killing is wrong. Science without humanity and emotions is going to end the human species.
But don’t give up hope. What the Americans want, after all, is Iran’s oil. The Iranians are a clever and astute people. Hopefully they will be able to secure terms of peace from the empire. It may mean giving up a lot of material wealth, but at least Iran will survive to one day see better times, even if it takes 200 years. You are right when you say that suicide is neither rational nor sanctioned by religion.
Any small country trying to fight the entire West will be trying to commit suicide. There is a time to fight and a time to surrender. Iran may be forced to consider the latter given the balance of forces in the world.
@ Antoni
The Saker has said on several occasions that he considers the credibility of “Veterans Today” to be “terrible”, and these latest reports of a tactical nuke being used in Syria are no exception.
Veterans Today is not perfect, it was the only alternative source which predicted about Trump deception many months before the election. 99% of alternatives or independent news and bloggs were fooled.
What ‘Trump deception’? Trump is a blatant malignant narcissist and psychopath, in hock to Jewish money power, specifically the billionaire Bibi patron, Sheldon Adelson. His trajectory was TOTALLY predictable, but it’s not any different from what The Harridan’s would have been.
Iran spat in Russia’s face with the cancelation of the Sukhoi superjet deal and when Russia used its airfield. Russia wanted to preserve the Syrian state. That’s all. Iran does not deserve to be bailed out by Russia. Especially if China is going to cower in the corner and do notjhing too
Nice bit of Zionazi ‘Divide and Rule’ agit-prop, Paulv. Not fooling anyone.
I can assure you Iran is not alone. If they stay true to Islam they know and the world will see they have the greatest of all protectors. It is not suicide to defend your home and families and to stand for your principles even unto death. You are not a Muslim so do not understand. Your carefully crafted message is to me a defeatist one and most probably written specifically to weaken the will of Iranians and their supporters to resist.
You have got to be kidding with your post or you are a propagandist and disinformation creep.
My guess is your a Hasbara troll spinning BS.
Iran is not alone. In Iraq, there are a vast multitude of fighters, pretty much Iraq’s military’s premier fighting forces known as the Iraqi Popular Mobilization Forces. They answer to Khamenei.
A whole swath of Afghanistan, including many volunteers fighting in Syria now, is loyal to Iran. Syria, all its Arabs of every religious persuasion are with Iran. The Shia of Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Oman, and other GCC states are with Iran.
The Shia of Pakistan, in the tens of millions, whom a pool of fighters can come to Iran’s and /or join the fight, are loyal to Iran.
There are 164 million Muslims of the Shia school of thought that are firmly behind and stand with Iran. A vast pool from which recruits, volunteers, fighters etc to draw from.
And with the other 1.4 billion Muslims there are hundreds of millions that support Iran. In fact, Iran is popular on the Arab street for standing up to Israel. I am of Sunni persuasion, and I firmly stand with Iran. And Hezbollah. Hezbollah are widely very popular in the Muslim world.
Chechen Russian special forces, working for the Russian MoD, are as we speak fighting, coordinating with IRGC and Syrian officers of the Syrian Arab Army. And they stand with Iran. The Houthi’s of Yemen stand and fight with Iran,
Iraq, an Iranian victory.
Lebanon, an Iranian victory.
Syria, an Iranian victory.
Bahrain, an Iranian victory.
Yemen, an Iranian soon-to-be victory.
Palestine, a soon-to-be Iranian victory.
Veterans Today is total disinformation bulldust.
fair enough.but the printed fortunes need absolutely war,a big one,to preserve the need & the value of their greenbucks:all the scenari above fall on deaf”s ear.either they resurrect the financial weight of their fortunes or they sink in forseeable future.”to be or not to be” that is the question for them.
Saker, you should make an article about the sanctions. Russia is in deep trouble.
No wonder Putin is so silent, there will never be S-300 for Syria, Israel can bomb whatever it wants and russian officials are begging for a meeting with Trump.
The sanctions seem to have worked if their goal was to change Russia’s behaviour. Russian President Vladimir Putin has ordered his media machine to tone down its anti-American rhetoric and the buzz of diplomatic activity suggests that Russia is looking for negotiations.
The losses from the new US sanctions for this year alone are massive 150 billion dollars. This is A LOT for an economy with the size of Spain or Italy.
http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:YA1VoSJPSioJ:www.intellinews.com/what-s-the-cost-of-us-sanctions-on-russia-140119/+&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=bg&client=firefox-b
How much will the new US sanctions imposed on April 6 cost Russia? There is the $16bn that the oligarchs and their companies named on the sanctions list have already lost from the fall in share prices in the first week of the new sanctions, but a bne IntelliNews back of the envelope calculation suggests the real cost to the economy is a visible $65bn, and once you start adding in the lost opportunity costs of investments that should have arrived in Russia but now won’t, that quickly rises to at least $150bn.
But the long-term costs of the new sanctions could be much more. Economists studying the problem argue that Russia will be increasingly isolated now and the reduced access to capital means slower growth – and that is expensive.
Russian Higher School of Economics (HSE) experts Natalia Akindinova and Nikolai Kondrashov say sanctions have increased Russia’s technological lag, and cemented low growth rates.
Russia doesn’t have the US resources and will sink into stagnation unless deep structural reforms are put in place. Putin has just announced a $162bn spending spree on the social sphere, but few Russian observers have much confidence that Russia will suddenly transform itself.
Growth rate is minimal – 1,5 % per year accoring to IMF estimates for the next 5 years. In other words now Russia is one of the slowest growing economies in the world, with the US and the EU growing faster than Russia, not to mention the rest of the world. Rusal was destroyed by US sanctions and Deripaska, who is close to Putin, was forced to resign as per US demands. And guess what would happen if more oligrarhs, they are already on a list, are targeted by further sanctions.
I don’t believe the sanctions are effective in punishing Russian companies or the Russian government.
Say a Russian company wants to borrow $1 Million. If Russian interest rates are 8% but European ones are 3%, the company will want to finance the loan with European bonds. Now suppose sanctions are imposed, and investors who bought the bonds are forced to sell. They will have to sell them at a great discount, maybe 20% of their true value. So now the Russian issuer of the bonds can borrow $200,000 from a Russian bank at 8% interest and cancel their prior debt. Not only will that company pay less interest (albeit at a higher rate), but the principal is greatly reduced. How is that not a great deal for the company?
To prevent situations like this developing in the future, the Russian central bank should lower its interest rates to be more in line with European and US rates. This would have the added benefit of stimulating the Russian economy, at the risk of reigniting inflation.
You see where Russia is now, where Putin has brought it from, and who her allies are and where they are heading togetherL then you talk about US sanctions like they are relevant. You don’t get it.
Sanctions are a minor inconvenience in the overall strategic development of post-Soviet recovery.
Russia maintains access to the WTO benefits while its western ‘partners’ shoot themselves in the feet and achieve (for Russia) all the economic development benefits of a domestic protectionist policy. Agriculture is a case in point.
It’s not ‘post-Soviet’ recovery. It’s ‘post Quisling Yeltsin and the looting Zionist oligarchs and Harvard economists’ recovery.
Guest
I cannot believe what you have written. Where do you get your facts ? Russia losing 150 billion dollars in 2018 alone ? In just four months ? Where did you find this absurd figure ? US sanctions have, on the whole, caused minimal damage to Russia, but immense damage to the EU, which by the second half of 2016 lost 100 billion euros in trade with Russia. The moment sanctions were introduced, Russia established new trade relationships with Asia, Latin America and Africa. You are forgetting Russia’s important economic relationship with China. The EU has officially introduced sanctions, yet it is trading with Russia. The French, for example, invested in the Yamal gas project in the Arctic. The moment sanctions were introduced, 500 German industrialists ended up in Russia, conducting negotiations. Russia invested in infrastructure, agriculture included, producing two bumper harvests. The Nord Stream – 2 gas project is being completed, with the Russian proposing Nord Stream-3. As for the financial situation in the EU and the US, read carefully what analysts are saying. Finally, when it comes to the export of the S-300 missile system to Syria, it would appear that the missiles have already arrived.
https://russia-insider.com/en/americas-russia-policy-carthage-must-be-destroyed/ri23372
you mean this extremely stupid article?
then read the comments section
which is more interesting
I was wondering which country the author was referring to. Who is going to run out of resources first? If Russia nationalized its central bank, the whole issue of sanctions would be moot.
The article supporting your 150 billion dollar claim was written by a well known Zionist stooge. Read the article and you will find out that $85 billion of the claimed losses are ‘opportunity costs’. Moreover, a breakout of said costs is, of course, never provided.
What the Zionist liars will not tell you, is that with Crimea, Russia not only secured her southern flank in the Black Sea, but also has literally trillions of dollars in oil and gas reserves. The original plan of the USSA was to overthrow the Ukrainian government, occupy Crimea, then ship gas from the Caspian via Crimea directly to the Ukrainian pipelines. The USSA would kick out Gazprom, and have even greater control over Europe. Via Sevastopol, the USSA would have threatened the heart of Russia, inevitably triggering WW3.
Fortunately the Neocon bunglers lost Crimea, handing Russia a huge win. Against this scenario, who cares if the Zionists grind their teeth, and illegally sanction Russia?
Zionists have specialised in ‘opportunist costs’ for millennia. At present they are the world champions in financial crime, committing 25% of ‘major’ fraud in the USA, running the international ‘binary options’ rackets out of Israel, dominating the pawn, pay-day lending and micro-loans rackets, as well as sundry other profitable businesses like human organ trafficking, arms trafficking, sex trafficking, blood diamond trafficking and various Internet scams, having positioned themselves as the capi of the Internet. And then there is mass surveillance, police training in murderous tactics, and the theft of intellectual property, even from their subservient ‘allies’, the USA. The ‘opportunity’ they are really looking forward to, is the opportunity to loot the corpse of a vivisected Russia, the way they looted the corpse of the Soviet Union.
What do they say about Russia?
They have everything they need except people (well, to maintain population replacement levels) and tropical fruits.
When push comes to shove, Russia has the capability to self-sustain, in marked contrast to the US and most European countries.
You’ve obviously missed their recent intivatives re cheese – making.
Thanks to sanctions, Russia is now producing cheese to rival the French and British.
Similarly Ireland, which alway had the capacity to produce excellent dairy products – particularly cheese – now makes some of the best cheese around.
That was not always the case.
Countries can adapt to new circumstances, providing they have the native resources to do so.
Russia is doing exactly that.
And, as an exceptionally large and diverse nation-state – the largest in the world – it is especially well-equipped to ride out sanctions.
I predict a gmo-free Russia will in the future, seriously rival Europe, and beat the US hands down.
Get the F*CK out of here if you believe this utter nonsense agitprop about the size of Russia’s economy.
God-yet another defeatist agit-propagandist preaching surrender to his beloved Empire. Straight from the State Department play-book. You might not have noticed, but the world is growing sick and tired of the Thanatopolis DC psychopaths’ relentless bullying and economic thuggery. Your pay-masters are HATED, everywhere.
Brilliant analysis Saker…but how likely is the nuclear option really? USA has been defeated in Vietnam, and is facing defeat in Afghanistan and Iraq. Israel was defeated in Lebanon. Tactical nukes weren’t used any of these scenarios…also, wouldn’t radiation from these nukes (or putative Russian retaliation nukes) affect KSA or Israel?
Btw, I seriously doubt the heavily indebted Southern European states have the will or capability to change EU foreign policy even in this extreme scenario..at least as long as the Euro exists.
Don’t forget the 1983 Beirut barracks bombings in Lebanon causing the sulking withdrawal of US and French forces. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1983_Beirut_barracks_bombings
This historical event (in its scale of relative impact) may well also be a likely model for dealing with the current US and French ‘infestations’ re-establishing in northeastern Syria. No doubt why Trump wants his ‘Yankee’ nuts out of harms ways asap.
Personally, I doubt nuclear weapons(or nuclear anything for that matter) are even real existing things.There are a number of indications that this whole nuclear thing is a hoax/fraud/propaganda.
yes and nuclear power plants are powered by goat cheese and the earth is flat like a pancake
you are on the wrong Blog here you need to go to “before its news’
Nuclear fission is real and peaceful nuclear power stations do work and are very useful. By the way, Russia recently built a nuclear power station vessel to provide energy to arctic operations. One kilogram of nuclear fuel holds as much energy as 10,000 tons of brown coal.
“Nuclear weapons”, or “nukes”, as they are affectionately called by fanboys, on the other hand, are just bombastic propaganda goat cheese which flat earthers pave their pompous world view with.
A nuclear chain reaction, which requires moderation, generates heat, and if you don’t manage this heat properly (as in a reactor to boil water and drive a turbine (and then a generator)) the nuclear fuel melts (meltdown) and eventually the chain reaction stops.
All explosions associated with this process are secondary (water vapour or hydrogen).
So people taking “nukes” seriously are falling for a seven decades old bombastic Jewish Azi American bogeyman, which was subsequently copied by other players, such as the Soviet Union, F/UK and China.
Interesting, so I’m guessing all the fear-mongering about radiation from nuclear energy is also false?Which would explain the underwhelming response to the Fukushima incident.
https://youtu.be/4R7pZOAWQrk
not bad for goat cheese
the blast was registered on the other side of the planet
Russian goat cheese is the best
oh yes I forgot it was Kubrick who did the blast for Russia with the latest technology of 61
its all Hollywood
I’ll just quote one of the comments in that video, feel free to read the rest of the comment section.
Brandon Haystead
2 years ago
The video is fake. The speed of sound is 340 m/s and it took about 18 seconds for the sound wave to hit the camera. Therefore it would have had to be 6 kilometers away if this video was real. Since everything was destroyed over 50 kilometers away this is not possible. Looks pretty cool but definitely fake.
Oh my God, one of the worst fakes I’ve ever seen … and I’ve seen plenty of ’em. I have to wonder how anybody can fail to register how tall a fake this is.
The difference this time is that the Neocons are running America, and judging from their behavior, disconnected from reality because they claim to “create reality,” it might really get ugly this time. Let’s just hope not.
Patricia, psychopaths and the monstrous machines of destruction that they construct out of fear and hatred of others, follow Darwinian principals, and evolve, or devolve if you prefer. Every new generation of Western ruling class psychopaths has been more Evil, violent, destructive and deranged than those that came before. These elites are often hereditary, so genetic effects, perhaps epigenetic too, are crucial, as is socialisation in elite schools and colleges and institutions like the CIA, State Department, MI6, and the fakestream media like the NYT, WaPo, The Times, BBC etc. And any who deviate, ie become more human, are weeded out. There is no reward for humanity, honesty, decency and peacefulness but ostracism and financial destitution. The West has created a perfect system for evolving to universal omnicidal over the entire planet.
Dear Saker,
I can’t help but think, after reading your excellent article, that Pele read it too and that she’s not happy at all at the possibility of a strike against Iran, hence the 6.9 earthquake and eruption of Kilauea in Hawaii.
I took notes on this essay, Saker. You travel through the minefield of war or peace with great professionalism, flavored with your wit.
Zionist Occupation Government (ZOG) is the key to all this imminent calamity. The US-Hegemonic war machine is wielded by crazies with dual citizenship, Talmudic racism and power over all branches and tools of a fascistic government in D.C.
We will get a new war. I think the US first will do much more damage to Syria, crippling the progress made toward reconstruction and reconciliation, creating a divided map of Syria, preventing Iran from operating anywhere inside either half of Syria. Unless Iran, Russia and Syria want to fight a war with the CENTCOM forces (the USS Harry Truman has today begun an air war on Syria, ostensibly to fight ISIS), the US will do what it wants to in Syria with impunity.
Then a massive air war against Iran for the final month of the mid-term election period. Thousands of cruise missiles and thousands of guided bombs (now that they have proof of their usefulness from the May 1st strike in Syria). Iran will suffer 30-45 days of pounding. If Hezbollah fires rockets into Israel, the US will attack Hezbollah, too.
Trump is all in on these wars–against Syria, Iran, Hezbollah. He has had 16 months of false briefings, most done by Pompeo, not McMaster. He has not heard the truth since General Flynn left.
We will have war. It’s a political certainty. Wag the dog, kill the Shia, defend Israel–all winning. And Trump does like winning. He can’t win against Russia in Ukraine or China in South China Sea, Taiwan or North Korea, but he can really hurt both Russia in Syria and Iran and China in the ME with the war to come.
He will do it. It’s just an easy Hegemonic kind of war. Why wouldn’t he? Iran may wag some asymetrical actions but Iran will be set back two decades. It’s a big win. A very easy sell for Bolton and CENTCOM.
I doubt this. How do you like 200 $ oil price?
That would be pretty bad for the West. But $200 a barrel for oil would be nice for Russia and Iran.
How is Iran supposed to sell its oil if it can’t physically get it out through the straits of Hormuz?
Actually it might be good for the us dollar. Russia would benefit financially although not geopolitically to have a major ally under attack.
The Saudis and the other Gulf states have the same problem.
https://southfront.org/analysis-oil-gas-pipelines-middle-east/
It appears that there are some pipelines active. One in KSA goes to the Red Sea. Its listed as a 5 bb/d capacity, which is not large compared to say Russian pipeline projects in the news. KSA needs it for internal use as well as for some export.
Iran seems to be building pipelines, but don’t have them active now. The big project appears to go through Pakistan and on to China, presumably as part of BRI.
But, both Iran and KSA appear to rely on the sea routes in the Persian Gulf. Although, its possible that Iran has planned for this to be cut in the event of war, and likely knows they wouldn’t sell to ‘the west’ in that case. KSA is of course heavily dependent on oil money and they use it to pay their own population to be subservient as well as to pay for mercenaries and lots of weapons for their military.
But, in the event of such a war, I doubt it anyone in Europe or the US is going to see much oil from the region for awhile.
I am concerned that the entire flow of oil, world-wide, is so susceptible to disruption at a relatively small number of “choke-points” that in the event of conventional strikes many nations would suffer badly, no nuclear weapons would be necessary to effectively end the present “world order”. I’ve also been reading about certain types of solar activity called “coronal mass ejections” (seriously, I’m not making this up) that could wreak havoc with power grids and other key infrastructure—- if a powerful enough “CME” struck our planet it could mean lights out for a long enough time that many of us would probably not survive—-again, no “nukes” required. I wish mightily that the nations of the world would unite and find ways to prepare for this type of solar event instead of beating the war drums so damn much. I wonder, if a “divine entity” were to allow a CME to impact our planet, would this stop the planned wars? ? ?—or, is this “human race” in some kind of weird race with the powers of heaven and time itself to see if it can suicide itself first, & cancel judgment day, if that were possible?
A NEMP attack in outer space right over the continental USA would stop any war plans. It would literally be ‘lights out’ for the US and Canada. Mexico would also suffer, but Mexicans would cope much better and the country’s climate would make matters much more surviveable.
July 1962.
1.44 Megatons at 246 mile altitude over Hawaii.
No evidence of EMP damage to the grid, no evidence that EMP on a larger grid (longer wires) is going to generate extremely high amperage in the grid.
https://www.lewrockwell.com/2018/02/david-hathaway/emp-hoax/
EMP is right up there with global warming, merely a scare tactic to shake loose more taxes and keep people subservient to the scum who call themselves “government”.
Anyone who, this late in the day, as Arctic sea ice disappears, the melting of Antarctica speeds up, as weather and climate disasters mount, and as the global scientific consensus only grows more solid, declares ‘global warming’ a scare tactic, renders themselves ludicrous. And a coronal mass ejection, like the Carrington Event of 1859, is rather more serious than the 1.44 megaton explosion over Hawaii. Many orders of magnitude more serious.
NEMP = kookular hoax. Just like “nukes” themselves.
The hoax inventors devised that, just like when lightning strikes, an electromagnetic pulse should be generated, just, you see, much stronger than when lightning strikes.
This is just part of the hoax adornment. You see, just like churches were embellished with lots of ornaments and paintings and incense and chorals, so are these hoaxes embellished with lots of precisely carved detail for you to stand in awe.
The target is the human mind and nothing more.
EMP and global warming are NOT going to get us! Apparently EMP is another scare tactic used to implement higher taxes and reduce freedom.
https://www.lewrockwell.com/2018/02/david-hathaway/emp-hoax/
The Saker touched briefly on the ‘staying power’ of the combatants. I agree with his analysis that bombing Iran will not make them quit. They are still too close in time to being a revolutionary nation, and they certainly won’t give in to ‘the great Satan’.
The US is not so stable. The two oligarch political parties are both pro-Israel and pro-war, although the Democrats have been complaining about Trump scrapping Obama’s Iran nuke deal. But, I’d still expect the Democrats to love this war. All Trump has to do is to say it hurts Russia and they’ll be all-in.
But, that’s not the American people. The American people are against these wars. One thing about Trump is that he likes to say things to crowds that makes the crowd cheer. It was in one such appearence that Trump seemed to shock his advisors by telling a cheering crowd that he was getting out of Syria soon.
Throw in a sky-rocketing price of oil and the prospect of $5 a gallon gasoline. The bankers are already getting alarmed, and the stock market is taking sudden dips, over fears of inflation. If the price of oil skyrockets, in America that also means inflation skyrockets. Family budgets get hurt from long commutes to work now suddenly costing much more. And America moves goods around by truck, and those costs also skyrocket. Even trains now cost much more to operate as the price of diesel for the locamotives sky rockets. And assuming trade with China isn’t cut off, then all those imports come by ship and the price of fuel for the ships skyrocket as well.
The American media can sell a war in the short term, but they cannot in the long term. The American people turned against the Iraq war relatively quickly. And they’ve never really recovered with that and still want the wars to end. Add in $5 gas and skyrocketing inflation, and one can sense a real crisis coming pretty quickly if the deep state goes to a major war like this one. Add in lots of racial tensions, and the fact that the increasingly violent and bullying American police are already having problems keeping order, and the picture starts to look real ugly.
The coming mid-term elections might not be effected. Currently the Democrats are showing their “resistence” to Trump by running a bunch of ex-CIA officers for Congress. But I’d be very surprised if there was not a major antiwar campaign by the time of the next Presidential elections. And for Trump, declaring such a war makes him a one-time President, although Trump may not be smart enough to know that and he’s fired the advisors who could tell him.
In general, the odds of Iran lasting out an attack and a long war seem much higher for what is still a revolutionary nation (and one that fought that revolution against the USA), than it is for Trump’s America.
Its said that America is too comfortable for any great social change. But that could change in a war where the US can get hurt, with a crashing stock market from inflation, with skyrocketing debt and interest rates, $5 gallon oil, and the damage all of that would do to Trump’s very shaky, insecure gig-economy progress.
Meanwhile, Russia is selling oil to Europe at $200 a gallon with no competition from Saudi or Iranian oil as there is no ship traffic in the straights of Hormuze, and Putin seems to have all but a small pro-western group in Moscow united behind him and giving Russia staying power in this war.
“Trump is all in on these wars–against Syria, Iran, Hezbollah. He has had 16 months of false briefings, most done by Pompeo, not McMaster. He has not heard the truth since General Flynn left.”
You make Flynn sound like a divining rod. He’s in the ba-ba-ba-ba-bomb-Iran school too and is co-writer of 2016’s Field of Fight with Neocon Michael Ledeen. He’s no great Putin fan either though you might think so given his plight.
http://www.theamericanconservative.com/larison/flynn-and-ledeens-imaginary-alliance/
In the quote given, all The Saker says is that Trump has not heard the truth since Flynn left. Thus, the question is not the character of former Gen Flynn, but the character of those who’ve had the President’s ear and who have been breifing him (by not writing long memos which got one person fired) since.
Perhaps we should look at a recent example. We of course don’t know the content of the President’s breifings. Mr Comey wasn’t in the room to leak it. But, we can see the President’s actions. In the recent case of Syria and the alledged chemical attacks and the following missile strike, does it seem to anyone as if Trump was being told the truth? In the case of the alledged chemical assasination attempt on the Skirpals, does it seem to anyone as if Trump was being told the truth?
Plausible, but I favor the ‘Big Bluff’ scenario designed to give Trump the Nobel Peace (now of crap) Prize. Fits in well with Korea and mid-term election issues. In this faux TV Reality Show, the ‘hero’ only needs to stop the war he was planning to start to get the Obama-equalling gong. Then a SHTF scenario may erupt at a ‘safe geopolitical distance’ in 2019. The failed market system will likely by then need to move from trade wars to real wars and Iran will be the likely target unless Taiwan becomes the trigger.
How many ‘cakewalks’ has the US embarked upon? Not a single one of those turned out to be the easy pickin’s US officialdom heralded.
Yankistan may yet turn Iran into a smoldering ruin, but amerikkka’s ruination wouldn’t be all that far behind. The economic chaos alone – as pointed out in this expose – would render broke. Not broke on paper. Broke.
You go right on believing the cakewalk narrative. Reality will write you a new script.
Hmmm, we can go back to at least the Battle of Bull Run in 1861.
The Yankees thought it would be a cake-walk to go rout those rebels and restore the Union. The denizens of DC thought it was such a sure thing that they followed the army into Virginia in their carriages with picnic lunches packed so they could sit and watch the fun. When the Yankee army routed and fled the battlefield, the whole lot had to run back to Washington is a mass panic.
while I agree that the US retards will start a war with Iran I totally disagree with you about the cost of this insanity
it will be very expensive in any sense of the word for the zioncabal and there will be some bloody surprises for them
Iran is not Iraq or Syria they prepared very well for 20 years for what is coming
The die is cast. All the pieces have been laid out. Dedollarization of the international economy has slowly been gaining momentum. The Wolfowitz doctrine of pax-amaericana has transcended into three US administrations.
Like a rabid dog the anglo-zionist see the writing on the wall hence just like a rabid animal it will act accordingly. These vile entities know the end is nigh .
Hence buckle up and prepare for the worse.
Don’t place high hopes on Russia to defend Iran, in case Iran is attacked. Russia is losing gravity and is losing fast indeed. Just within the past few days Armenia had a color revolution Russia did not move a finger, Morocco is leaving Russia and cutting ties with Iran (https://orientalreview.org/2018/05/04/whats-the-meaning-of-morocco-cutting-off-ties-with-iran/). Russian economy is suffering unbelievably under the sanctions. Bear in mind Russia is not a rich country nor has a big economy (size of New York). The military might comes from the leftover nuclear arsenal of the USSR. Russia will get into war with the hegemon only if directly attacked, which will never happen. US knows that there are other ways to subdue Russia. Economic sanctions are quite effective as a starter. Russia is cornered and can not effort another adventure like Syria. Iran is on its own. I don’t know when the war against Iran will happen but the probability is high. In the eyes of Israel, Iran is a persona non-Grata in Syria. Iran has to go and Israel will do anything in its power to make sure that happens. However don’t expect Russia to help Iran. Russia has excellent relations with Israel and will not move a finger out of shear fear of more western sanctions. I am sure about that. Without Russian help Iran can not win a war. I don’t think that US is gearing towards an invasion of Iran like they did in Iraq, but rather destroying the infrastructure and force Iran out of Syria will be more than enough, I guess. The only thing I wonder is how China will react. A substantial portion of Chinese energy depends on Iran oil and also the future of petro yuan depends on Iran. China as the only candidate to be the next Super Power in a bi-polar world can not afford sitting idle. China may react but definitely not Russia.
I totally agree with your assessment that Russia may have ben subdued and will not help Iran. But I wouldn’t bet any money on the Chinese helping out the Iranians either. I see the Iranians facing the brunt of the west and its brutality on its own. May God help them because no one else is likely to.
We will know next monday if there will be a war or not.It may be strange,but the question is:Kudrin or not Kudrin?
As he wants super powers to supposely deal with the US about the sanctions(good luck guy).If Putin chooses Kudrin as de facto Vice(above Medvedev)even if the ‘Vice’ position does not really exists,he can not relaunch the Russian economy with pending wars(Syria,Donbass)and sanctions on steroids which are linked to wars(more are coming even harder).But this will be a fatal mistake for Russia to trust Kudrin,as he will get nothing in exchange from the US/EU.All the job done in Syria will be lost(meaning maybe no more Assad,new ISIS 2.0 in the making paid by KSA and Israel,pipelines to the EU green light for KSA and Qatar).This will mean massive losses for Gazprom in the medium term(also for RF as well in terms of revenues,taxes etc).Every day there is a new small base in Syria(US or French),with zero Russian reaction.Putin is fully silent for two weeks.Hostage of the World Cup de facto till 07/15th.It will be the last ‘window’ available before 6 years for the Empire to attack Iran and go even more rogue in Syria and in the Donbass.They will regroup in the North of Syria then attack Alepo to eventualy finish the job in Damas at one point.Or there will be a small pro Assad Syria with Tartus and the airfield kept russian.Some new discoveries of gas and oil have been made near Homs.RF will wants to (at least) keep them to pay back the war costs.But forget Syria as it was before,it is too late.The RF intervention was too limited and arrived too late(2015,it was to supposed to last 6 months).It costed a lot more money than forseen(even worse if Russia is obliged to leave,which would mean no reconstruction contracts in sight for corporate Russia).An Arab coalition is in the making to occupy a part of Syria(good luck).Ukraine is also existential for Russia but for different reasons(NATO on the very RF borders).Let’s see what happen monday and if we have a war cabinet or a Kudrin pro US one.
If Putin replaces Medevev, which is what’s being talked about, then it means that he now feels strong enough in his position to do so. The Saker has written well in the past on the nature of the balance of power between the two men and the two factions of the ruling coalition that they each lead.
If Putin replaces Medevev, it will be with someone he trusts to be loyal to him. It also sets up someone as with at least a chance of being Putin’s successor in 5 years.
Putin’s spokesperson has said the nominee will be sent to the Duma shortly after Putin is sworn in at noon on May 7, at which time Medevev and the rest of the current cabinet automatically resign.
I can’t believe that all your Russian news comes from AngloZionist sources which get their news from guys like the Israeli Venediktov. That whole story came from the same ‘liberal’ bots that always try to create panic. This is an old CIA tactic. Create uncertainty. Go to Echo Moskva or TV Rain or Navalny and start a rumor that will get picked up by Bloomberg, FT, or some other useless rag.
Here is the best explanation about that rumor I have seen. It is in Russian. The more Russian you learn the more you will understand what is really going on or could go on.
http://www.iarex.ru/articles/57535.html
Very good article, thanks for the link.
Hier is the “lovable” Alexey Venediktov (Алексей Венедиктов)
https://www.coe.int/en/web/policy-planning/-/alexei-venediktov-chief-editor-of-the-radio-echo-of-moscow-on-free-and-independent-media-to-guarantee-freedom-of-expression-and-democratic-security-in
Wow, a whole bathtub full of ass’umptions based on nothing. Russia does not need anything from the rest of the world to feed or cloth itself. More than enough energy, resources and manpower to live well and survive anything. They do not necessarily need anything foreign, very much unlike the USA or Israhell.
It’s all between the ears, if Russia wants to come out victorious it will.
Matthiew
Before posting comments, you need to check your facts. Russia “suffering” under sanctions ? They are the best thing which could possibly have happened to Russia, which has turned to it’s infrastructure. In 2017 Russian tourists spent 35 billion dollars on foreign vacations. One has to wonder what the motive for your comment is.
God, you Imperial defeatists are a boring lot, Matthiew. Do you get paid much for your dreary jeremiads? The secret of dealing with Colour Revolutions is to let them occur, then watch the sort of vermin that the USA and Israel always promote, wreck the countries that they have taken over, and, hopefully, waken up the populace to what the Empire really represents. Once the Armenians have tasted a decade or so of austerity, looting by the Zionazis’ financial octopus, Pentagon bio-warfare testing on their soil, like Ukraine and Georgia, and relentless hate campaigns against their Russian neighbours, they’ll wake up, and, hopefully, round up all the NED and Soros stooges and expel them back to their spiritual home in Thanatopia. If not, they are fit to be slaves, and will be-and a ready reservoir of human organs for that Zionazi cottage industry.
At least one expert Syrian observer, and the one whose account I trust the most, believes Israel did not attack any target in Hama or Aleppo on April 30 that bears any relation to Iranian interests or presence. This observer reports that all targets hit by Israel damaged only Assad’s ability to fight ISIS and other ‘moderate’ rebels. The Iran pretext is thus a false flag. Why a Hezbollah member would uphold this fabrication I do not understand.
You should name your expert and link to him. Sounds more like he’s an Israeli plant.
Everyone on the ground knows what blew up when the 9 GBU-s hit the target.
Iran’s cache went boom!
Nasrallah is talking about different event. One that happened on April 9.
” contrary to the propaganda-induced myth, the Israelis are really not very bright. Pushy, arrogant, nasty, driven – yes. But smart? Not really.”
I’ve studied with many jews in different countries (and befriended them). i.e. at Imperial College (used to be rated 2nd best in the world a few years ago).
The ones I know from there were the hardest working and the geekiest – but never the best at anything.
Also when I lived in LA – I have some very established Jewish friends there (and I love them) – they are nothing special in any respect – well connected, they promote each other (and I’ve met a few ladies there who decide on scholarships for universities and art schools in LA – they love to pick Israelis – and these are also my friends. And as much as I like them – they are not at all talented.
They are tragically not talented but at the same time because they help each other – they manage to get into positions of influence – where they destroy art (in this case – because they promote mediocre people instead of real artists) as opposed to promoting it.
I’ve noticed other strange propaganda in LA – I’ve heard some goyim girls tell me that Jews are famous for having big dicks (which is also BS) – Jews just know how to work the naive slavish Americans – that’s all.
I know quite a few Jews in a few countries – they are not better at anything than average people anywhere.
I’ve also met very wealthy art collectors (jews) some of the biggest in the US- they mostly collect to launder money not because they love or understand art. It took me a few years to figure this out but it’s true.
“… they mostly collect to launder money not because they love or understand art.” — and mostly why crypto-currency is in vogue. Why collect physical art objects and have the hassle and costs of insured storage (unless one can palm them off on ‘lease’ to a State institution etc)? One only has to watch RT’s self-confessed NY three-shell shuffler, Max Keiser, and his 24×7 advert for Bitcoin (et al) Show to divine its essence. Simply a version of financial ‘homeopathic dilution’ taken to the extreme with a short-medium term utility to confuse regulators; facilitate capital flight (China etc), and suck in the latecomers to the latest Ponzi scheme.
well said
Miles Mathis has an interesting explanation of how the modern art market is used as a cover for crime and government warmongeribg:
http://mileswmathis.com/launder.pdf
‘This explains why the artwork itself is beside the point. It is just a transaction symbol, like a betting
chip. It simply represents the amount of the con. …
While it may look like a rich guy is buying a painting, what is really happening is
that the rich guy is being paid for some service. That is how he is getting rich. That is how these rich
guys can seem to be blowing hundreds of millions on worthless paintings, while getting even richer.
Modern art isn’t an investment, it is a hidden direct payment.
This explains why Modern art is under such low security in the museums, and why rich families so
often give it away to these museums. Divorced from the transaction, the art object is worthless. Once
you separate it from the numbers in the machine, it is back to being a zero-value composite of wood
and oil. Say you go into MOMA and steal what you think is a million-dollar painting. Can you get a
million for it? No, and it has nothing to do with its fame or its “heat.” The problem is, since you aren’t
a banker or billionaire, you have no way of investing that decoy with value. You have no promissory
power, so for you, the artwork is worthless. You can’t put any numbers into the machine, so the work
has no accompanying value, you see. On its own, it has no value. It has value only for these rich
people who can use it as a decoy for their illicit payments. Outside that realm of illicit payments, it is
nothing but a framed bit of linen. To say it another way, it is not the painting that is being traded.
Something else is being traded, and the painting is just the wrapper for that something else. If you steal
the wrapper, you only have a wrapper. The wrapper on its own is worth nothing.’
thanks for the article – a friend I was referring to (who has a few of the sculptures I made) actually has that Elivs Warholl ‘worth’ 108m from the article – there are a a few of them (I’ve seen one in the Museum of Modern Art in Berlin).
Just look at it – basically blank canvas – with stencil of Elvis. Price 100m – BS
My friend keeps it at the lowest spot in his house in his basement (on a beach – so prone to flooding) – he is a lawyer after all . And a jew
Maybe the most enduring characteristic of so-called Jews is there apparently inherent (inbred) insecurity – a characteristic that leads them to love of recognition (read the great professional and maths/science lists on Wikepedia – probably posted by their own kind). The same characteristic insecurity leads to their love of wealth and status images like art. Even their ‘goodness’ is self directed. One wonders how much of the worlds wealth is enough for them and whether ‘owning’ this world will eventually do them any good.
Sharing nothing, non-cooperation and forever demeaning neighbors and the ‘other’ can have downsides, they should know that but they prefer to debate the words of the Talmud to prove their unique entitlement.
Russian Federation and China are main contributors behind Korea peace talks. Only accomplishment of Donald & the band was that thay have got too occupied with their own frog-mouse wars and forgot on this corner of world. Suddenly the peace broke out, at least it seems… Letting it go that way would mean a point for Donald’s legacy and China securing it’s belly. For war hawks and weapons lobby that’s a big no no for sure.
I take the “peace” breaking out on the Korean penisular as a dangerous sign.
Trump has become far closer to Netanyahu and MBS than he has with South Korea’s president or Japan’s Abe. As such, Netanyahu, MBS, and the pro-Israeli money in the US has convinced Trump to go to war with Iran. However, Mattis and others would have certainly explained to Donald that he couldn’t fight two (or three) wars at the same time. Donald couldn’t fight North Korea and still get his war with Iran. The US military told Trump that he’d have to make a choice. He could have a war with North Korea, or he could have a war with Iran. But not both.
Thus, the “peace” breaking out in the Koreas. Trump had to let that war go in order to get the war his new BFF’s wanted against Iran.
There is a bit of bad news about Trump thinking/claiming that he’s responsible for talks in North Korea. Or, more accurately it struck me when The Saker rattled off the names of the other neocons (Haley, Bolton, etc) that will think this.
The bad news, is if they think this worked, then they’ll do it again. Except bigger/better next time. The Neocon no-Think Tanks will hold seminars and discussion groups where they’ll talk about how being loud, obnoxious, threatening and demanding led to “victory” over North Korea. And of course, they’ll make plans to do it bigger and better next time. Thus, surely they’ll think, all we need to do is to openly send some nuclear subs to Saudi Arabia, fly some nuclear bombers on routes that look like attack runs on Iran until the last moment when they veer away, and most importantly, get Trump to tweet some really brazen and obnoxious things at Iran, and then Iran will be “defeated” just like the evil Kim was.
Except of course, it won’t work. Iran won’t fold that easily. Actually, I don’t think North Korea has “folded” either, but that’s still to unfold. But, in the case of Iran, what will happen next? What do neoconners do when Plan A doesn’t work? The Saker has said it many times. The neoconner double-down. The neoconners will think that we just need more threats at Iran. More provocations. More tweets that are more threatening.
Except of course, that won’t work on Iran either. Which means the neoconners will do what? They’ll double-down again. Except that won’t work. So, the neoconners double down again.
All OK, except as the neoconners keep doubling-down, the world gets closer to war. The chances of someone making a mistake in these constant games of chicken keep going up. And, then there is always the chance of Israelies or the Saudis deciding to try to push the war into being anyways. Something that goes just a bit too far, and then …….
Analysis:
The electromagnetic war rages, before the generalized explosion …
In the intense electromagnetic and cybernetic war raging between Americans and Russians from the far north of Norway to Iraq via Ukraine, the Black Sea, the Eastern Mediterranean, the Levant, Mesopotamia and the Pacific South, all possible and imaginable shots are allowed.
The USS Donald Cook Destroyer Incident (DDG-75) was only a small episode among the 1300 electromagnetic and cybernetic confrontations (these invisible battles continue right now) that have occurred since the beginning of 2016.
In one of the last episodes of this war of measures and countermeasures, even against-against electronic measures, the United States seems to have come back from a distance: in May 2018, the Americans managed to disturb the S-300 systems. deployed in Syria and remotely extinguished certain beacons and flight control systems of Sukhoi Su-30 SM fighters and Su-25 ground attack aircraft. They are now seeking to sabotage the air defense bubble around Russian bases in Syria with electromagnetic means and cybernetic attacks.
In April 2018, the Russians had successfully deactivated US and French ship and submarine firing controls and shortly after the Israel-led tripartite attack, dozens of cruise missiles were “misguided” by Russian electronic warfare.
E-war is raging. US and Russian surface ships suffered hundreds of electromagnetic attacks and some warships could no longer orient themselves.
The jamming of GPS and Glonass signals, the destruction of electronic components remotely by means of microwaves, the simulations of a false electromagnetic space, the creation of false networks within communication networks, the attempts of intrusion into the Intranet networks, the hacking of communications, foreshadow the very likely use of EMP weapons during any future engagement involving a higher level than that of a battalion and on the eve of a generalized war now ensured, the use of tactical nuclear weapons and space weapons.
https://strategika51.wordpress.com/2018/05/04/la-guerre-electromagnetique-fait-rage-avant-la-deflagration-generalisee/
” and some warships could no longer orient themselves.”
Does anyone have a transit on this ship? Someone search those closets with the old gear in them. And, while you’re at it, see if you can find an accurate clock that isn’t digital and which didn’t just go down with the rest of the electronics? And there should be some books with tables of numbers to go with them!
:)
You’d be surprised at how few naval officers can navigate without GPS and radar. They might recognise a sextant but don’t know how to use it. Paper charts? Compass? I hope the Russian Navy still teaches basic navigation, but the US Navy hands out DVDs and tells its Junior Officers to learn navigation on the job.
I have doubt that Poles would support any aggression against Iran.
In World War II, Polish refugees found safety in Iran, and the Poles still remember this.
Below is unbelievable clip from EU parliament, Polish MP defends Iran and shows the ignorance of the EU:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oxC8XWiFD0A
” the Israelis are really not very bright. Pushy, arrogant, nasty, driven – yes. But smart? Not really”
You nailed it. Beyond this minuscule IQ verbal test in a wealthy NY suburb where a handful got a verbal test of 115, the tests for azkhenazim conscripted soldiers in Israel – hundreds of thousands of them over the years, a big sample-, show an average IQ of around 100.
So why are they so stupid strategically with a normal IQ?
They can’t put themselves in the shoes of the other. They don’t want. For them, the other must act like a stupid pawn, according to their plan, the idea that he can see them coming from far is unacceptable. So they almost never do their mea culpa to change the strategy. If things didn’t work the way they expected, it was just a glich, the strategy was “perfect”
Unforeseen consequences of wars. World War 1 example.
Countries and governments in World War 1.
Russia … government overthrown by a revolution, Czar executed.
Germany … government form changed. Kaiser out of power, Weimar democracy followed by fascist police state.
Austria-Hungary. … no longer exists.
Ottoman Empire … no longer exists.
France … form of government stayed the same, but the people in power changed. In many respects the military took over for the duration of the war.
England … form of government stayed the4 same, but the people in power changed.
Every nation/empire on that list went into World War 1 willingly. Every leader in 1914 thought they had a good reason to go to war and something to gain. But no leaders survived the war in power, and in 75% of the nations the government was completely overthrown.
Wowzers, thank you very much for a great analysis the Saker!
…when the Iranians (and Hezbollah) unleash a rain of missiles on Israel (and probably the KSA)
I really hope they’ll drive the scourge of Islam, the Wahhabi House of Saud out of town, and preferably out of the Middle East. These adherents of a pernicious sect out of the Nejd are joined at the hip with the Zionists perhaps since birth (Capt William Shakespear, British agent operating out of Kuwait and attached to Abdul Aziz Saud, anyone?) and they should be seen that way by Muslims everywhere. But alas, the petrodollar holds sway and the Wahhabis (recently rebranded ‘Salafis’) are able to sow discord amongst Muslims and between Muslims and others for a half century now.
This article has covered the whole gamut from the ME to EA and the analysis is spot on. The SK-NK rapprochement is welcome news indeed and it is interesting that little Israel has not interfered. Interesting considering that NK is quite hostile to Israel. Perhaps in Israel’s eyes, peace on the Korean peninsula would allow Mama US to feed it with both teats instead of just one, the other presently being offered to SK/Japan.
So I wonder what is the role of the other great power, not mentioned in this piece, who like RF, are also intent on bringing about a multipolar world, namely China? How far will China go to confront the Hegemon? My guess is not far, probably just up to the first island chain. Rum will be alone but if she’s lucky at least her eastern front will be covered albeit by a fitful ally.
basil
China will follow Russia’s lead.
If it turns into a full-scale shooting war, China will be with Russia. If Russia stays out of it, at least directly, then China will do the same. But in that case, I wouldn’t be surprised if stocks of Chinese weapons started showing up in Iran.
During the recent crisis in Syria, China’s defense minister flew to Russia for consultations and made a very public statement that they were with Russia. China had their fleets at sea doing live fire exercises in the S. China Sea. I suspect that added to Gen. Mathis pucker-factor when he pulled his punch and made sure he didn’t cross Russia’s redline. Mathis was probably looking at what might happen if attacking Russians really did start a major war, and this would have included a Russian attack on Ukraine (why not if there is already a war on) plus whatever the Russians might do with Kaliningrad. Add to that the threat that the Chinese might take Taiwan and shut down all shipping in the S. China Sea and you can start to see why Gen. Mathis was puckering.
China has made it very clear that they do not believe that they can let Russia be defeated and then they have to stand alone against the West. The same argument that The Saker made in saying that Russia does not believe they can let Iran go down also applies to Russia and China.
Well I hope you’re right Anon about China following Russia.
Don’t get me wrong. I don’t think China is an unfaithful friend to Russia, it is just that I think even though both want a multipolar world order their aims and interests are slightly different. RF wants a real multipolar world and has no ambitions of being a hegemon in the new order, well at least it hasn’t shown any signs of it, not even when a country like Armenia is heading towards a crisis. RF is satisfied that it is Eurasia and that is enough for her. All she wants is that her interests are taken into account in world affairs. China on the other hand wants to be a regional hegemon and, concomitant with her new-found economic power — and with it military and diplomatic power — wants to share the ‘hegemonic space’ in the Asia Pacific with the incumbent hegemon. It is unfortunate for China that the US is not willing to share power and so we have a ‘pivot to Asia’, trade wars, freedom of navigation exercises, US raising China’s hackles vis-a-vis Taiwan, the whole nine yards as regards containment of China.
China has often been heard saying that ‘the century of humiliation is over.’ By that she means the century when China lost hers status as the leading power in East Asia and when she was powerless to defend herself; when foreign powers, mainly the West but also including Russia and Japan, had their way with her. China doesn’t think of herself as a country but as a civilisation and one with a long history at that. And she has abiding memories of that history — I was amazed to read an article in the Globaltimes about the bad old days (at the turn of the last century) when Tsarist Russia invaded a region on the Chinese side of the Amur and that that unfortunate episode has left a scar on Chinese that is still being felt now. With the slow but inexorable decline of the West, China may in fact see Russia as a potential rival in the long term.
To cut a long story short, if ever China achieves her aim of being the China of old, before the arrival of the Westerners, and regains the position that she held for centuries in the region — her rightful place (in her eyes) as the regional hegemon, and recognised as such — then she may have less interest in the travails of her erstwhile ally Russia. The US can make that happen by just conceding a little and ‘sharing space’ with China in East Asia. But having said that perhaps we are lucky that the US is so intent on hanging on to a unipolar world that instead of splitting them the US is inadvertently pushing these two unlikely allies closer thereby making things difficult for itself.
basil
I think your writing is unfairly biased against China.For instance what signs has China shown of wanting to be a regional hegemon?Trying to share power with the American hegemon can be seen as an example of the Chinese trying to play within the existing framework to further their own ambitions rather than a desire to be the regional hegemon.And where did you get the idea that China was the regional hegemon for centuries until Westerners came?Just being the most prosperous and powerful nation in the region doesn’t make one the regional hegemon.
Your idea of a hegemon is perhaps a little bit different from mine in this case. I am not talking about Western-style hegemony but a more ‘benign’ and distant sort of hegemony.
We can understand the Chinese — and indeed even East Asia’s — outlook just by looking at the name China calls its itself: ‘Chungkuo/Zhōngguó’ or Middle Kingdom (true, the official name is PRC, but it’s what in people’s minds that count) a name that is at least two thousand years old that came about when the Chou ruler got himself a ‘Mandate from Heaven’ in order to legitimise his rule. The Son of Heaven (what else can the Emperor be after getting the Mandate) instituted the tributary system whereby rulers of kingdoms in EA mainland (Near Barbarians) and the ‘Nanyang’ (Far Barbarians), some now long gone, have to pay homage to the Emperor. China made a distinction between the barbarians ie those peoples living outside Chinese borders. On the mainland, present day Vietnam, Laos, Myanmar, etc, were Near Barbarians. Peoples in maritime Southeast Asia including those living in the Malay Peninsula, Sumatra, Java, Borneo, the Philippines, etc were the Far Barbarians. And it is remarkable that at the time of Zheng He’s epic voyages the Ming court showed not the slightest interest in Europe. How could they? They had after all exported gunpowder, paper and, according to some reports, even pasta to the fair-haired barbarians.
Near Barbarians had to some extent adopted Chinese culture, in religious beliefs, attitudes towards elders, dress, and so on. The most visible and simplest example being in the food (noodles, use of chopsticks, etc). Far Barbarians were not so influenced. Near Barbarians had to pay annual homage to the Son of Heaven. The requirements for Far Barbarians were less stringent. They could get away will paying a visit every two or three years.
Now the important thing is, although these rulers had to make an arduous voyage to the court of the Emperor and bring appropriate gifts, the Emperor always receives them generously and exchanges gifts with the visiting potentates. The Emperor’s return gifts always exceeded the value of the tribute, the idea being that the Son of Heaven, being of higher rank than the visitor — which is implicitly agreed between the two, since the other came to visit the Emperor and not the other way around — should express his happiness by bestowing a bigger gift on the visitor. Generally, save for the ruler of Near Barbarians in present day Vietnam, he is not called upon to do the Emperor’s bidding. The barbarian ruler still maintains his sovereignty and is free to rule as he pleases. The Emperor seldom interferes in his domestic or even foreign affairs. It is enough, in the Chinese worldview, that the foreigner should acknowledge the Son of Heaven as Overlord. It is not necessary for him to bend to the Emperor’s every whim or to be at the Emperor’s beck and call.
Herein lies the attitude of China’s and EA’s present rulers towards Chinese hegemony. The governments of modern day states in East Asia understand this attitude. That is why some are not too concerned about China’s rise in the region, not even when China is busy building islands in the South China Sea and putting cruise missiles on them. Because they know the missiles are not meant for them but the present-day Hegemon and its minions.
Cheers
basil
Thank you for the clear cut explanation.And as a South-East Asian myself, I’d agree with our rulers, this doesn’t seem to be a problem, certainly a vast improvement over American hegemony.Still I’m skeptical about China having such ambitions, for starters they are ruled by the Communist Party today, not an Emperor and I’d say South/East Asian nations/peoples today are more willful than in the past.The Chinese will probably want to show they’re the biggest player in the region, but I doubt they will go any further than that.I’m looking forward to the Chinese and the Japanese trying to outdo each other with bigger gifts.
A very good observation. You nailed it on the head, Russia has no interest in being a global super power or hegemon. What Russia wants is not to be targeted by the US and the west. Russia is ready to compromise and appease, if that is what it takes. Armenia is a good example. Another one is Morocco and Egypt. Recently Morocco has renewed strong relations with the US, whereas before some had the feeling that Morocco is kind of lining up with Russian policies in the ME. It was wishful thinking as usual. Many people want to see Russia as the savior against the hegemon or a real idealist power standing firm on the side of the poor and the weak. This notion is far from the truth. International dynamics and politics don’t work like this. Russia wants to survive in this changing world and needs to secure its position in order to survive. Russia’s Soviet inherited weaponry will only be used for defensive purposes and not to propagate hegemonic policies elsewhere, similar to what the US does. Syria was a strategic move with a quite limited scope and message. Sending forces to Syria was meant to indicate the hegemonic elites that Russia will defend herself if attacked. Nothing more and nothing less. The purpose was not to change the balance in the Middle East or not to challenge the hegemon. On contrary, Russia tries to be friendly with the west. Russian fragile economy is dependent on the west and there is no way Russia will dare to jeopardize it. China is another matter and possibly the only real power which could seriously challenge the western elites. China is a power to reckon with. It has the economy, the population, resources and the will. The military is coming along. The western elites know it and they primarily target China. Russia has good relations with China too, but I don’t see it as an unshakeable alliance like some like to see it. Russia even has bunch of concerns about a very strong China in the future (I have just read a book written by Rogozin, the current Deputy Prime Minister. The fear of Chinese influence is evident). China needs Russia for its OBOR and SCO projects. China may need Russia for military technology up to a certain point. China may be using Russia also as a card against the hegemon and US military adventurism especially in eastern Asia. Personally I believe that the die is cast and we are on the brink of a Bi-Polar world order (not a multi-polar like some, especially the Euroasian traditionalist suggest as Russia, India,Brazil etc being one of the poles) .
There is a difference between empire and civilization. Have you ever heard of a Chinese empire?
“China has made it very clear that they do not believe that they can let Russia be defeated and then they have to stand alone against the West. The same argument that The Saker made in saying that Russia does not believe they can let Iran go down also applies to Russia and China.”
The first sentence is very true and certain. China losing Russia as military and geopolitical wingman would be fatal. China losing Russian gas and oil would be fatal. China is very dependent on Russia as strategic partner.
Iran being lost is not fatal, but a very serious weakening of Russia and a serious problem for China.
The question of Iran is complex. Iran is not a proven partner. Iran also goes about its own disruptive policies without aligning Russia or China.
If the US decides to attack, Russia and China will assist Iran to survive but I doubt they would wage war as ally of Iran against CENTCOM/NATO. They certainly won’t attack Israel if Israel participates in such an attack.
The formula is Russia+China=1, but Russia+China+Iran=1-x. The three are not firmly and strategically united. Iran showed immediately after the sanctions were lifted that its economic interest and spending went to EU. It lavished purchases on the West like Liberals from Russia in a London whorehouse.
Iran turned down the S-400 in order to build its own system (when that would be ready is anyone’s guess).
China wisely took the S-400 knowing the reliability and integration with Russia’s defenses makes the most sense.
Iran has acted immediately in Syria endangering Assad’s victory and Russian security. It should have laid low, signaled it was not threatening Israel with bases in Syria, allow the US to retreat and leave and then do its thing in Syria. But Iran has its own agenda. And Russia and China show little interest in that agenda.
If Iran gets pummeled, it will have picked the fight.
Hopefully, the US won’t crush Syria before it turns on Iran.
If Iran escapes this theoretical (but predictable) war, it will be because of diplomacy, Russian and Chinese efforts, not something that emanates from Iran. The Hegemon and the American public recall Beirut and the Marine barracks bombing and have a lust for payback. Iran’s taunting does nothing but ratchet that desire to even the score.
Iran may have the stomach to suffer massive bombardment. If all it can do in reply is shut the waterways and some terrorist bombings, it needs a new strategic plan.
We can hope that wiser men exist in Teheran.
Such men do exist in Moscow and Beijing.
L445
I like your clear headed reading on Iran. The thought comes to me that Iran is Shia and that this branch of Islam has a predisposition to martyrdom. Do you think this has any relevance to your analysis? Ramin talks about Iranian Islamic socialism. That being so, the clerics would be of the merchant class would they not? If this is right it might explain their shopping games in Europe, and offer some insights into their environmental problems.
This is a rather good article, However, there is a major piece missing from the puzzle that you have assembled, and that piece is Western Europe: Germany, France, Spain, Italy, the low Countries, and Austria. There is also a minor piece missing from this puzzle: Turkey.
Western governments are wearying of Anglo leadership. Brexit, NSA spying, sanctions that effect European energy imports, U.S. threats of tariffs and quotas that effect transatlantic trade, insulting European leaders, fake news reports about Merkel and other European leaders, and general American obnoxiousness is driving Western Europe into the pro-Russia camp very quickly. To make matters worse, the population of Europe is even more disenchanted with Anglo leadership than their governments. Anglo-regime change operations in Libya and Syria have flooded Europe with hostile and savage immigrants who are raping and pillaging who neighborhoods of major European cities. Furthermore, the U.S. is allied with the same wahabbi-sect terrorists who are blowing up women and children in France and Germany.
The Empire is one foolish decision away from losing its Western European allies. If Western Europe (which is home to SWIFT and the BIS) discards Anglo leadership and pushes legislation through the EU to abandon the dollar-reserve-exchange system, the Anglo empire suffers economic collapse the next day. Starting another war in the Middle East and driving up global energy prices would provoke Europe to abandon Anglo leadership. If the heads of the European states collectively tell the U.S. that they will cast off Anglo leadership should the U.S. press for another war in the Middle East, that may be sufficient to cause your “old guard” Harvaaard and Skull-and-Bones WASPs to break ranks with the Neocon Zionists.
The other minor piece to the puzzle is Turkey. Arming the Kurds, supporting a Turkish dissident in the U.S., and installing a pro-U.S. regime via color revolution in Armenia has moved Turkey completely into the Russian/Iranian camp. Also, Azerbaijan may have a U.S. military base, but the nation is 90% Shia and closely aligned with Turkey. Thus, the “Shia crescent” actually extends from Iran to the Bosporus. It is not possible for the U.S. and Israel to defend this perimeter, while simultaneously launching a ground attack on Iran. It is not feasible with the small number of U.S. ground forces available and the vast over-extension of the small U.S. ground force (which has a tail-to-tooth ratio unprecedented in the history of warfare).
For the U.S., war with Iran is impossible, and it makes no difference how much Israel wants this fact to be different. Every U.S. position in the Middle East would be overrun in a matter of weeks, and even the arrogant dolts who sit as the U.S. joint chiefs of staff realize this.
Germany is the key piece in Europe. Its German industrialist and bankers who believe they are missing out on trade with Russia because of the sanctions. And Trump has been vocal about Germany specifically being ‘unfair’ in trade with the US. This has gotten under the skin of the Germans who already believe they are losing money because of US sanctions against Russia.
Nord Stream2 has been interesting to watch, as the US wants to kill that deal, while Germany has refused. Saw a note the other day that construction in Germany for its end of that pipeline had just begun.
Germany very noticeably failed to join the coaltion that attacked Syria in April.
All of Europe has been very public about telling Trump not to ditch the Iran deal. So, yes, I think you are correct that Trump might yell “Charge!” and leap out of the trench only to find that not only are the Europeans aren’t following him, but they are now cutting deals with Russia to get Russian oil with the Persian Gulf going up in flames.
in the region, Turkey and Iraq are both countries to watch. Both will try to sit on the fence as they are now. But, if push really came to shove, I suspect both countries could change sides. Turkey’s closest ties are now with Russia, ever since Putin saved Erdogon’s life by giving him warning of the US coup attempt. And Iraq is already close to Iran, even while being a US puppet in the region. I don’t think the US-Israel-KSA Axis of Evil can count on either country staying loyal in a war.
Israel doesn’t seem to comprehend that this war might be very different for them as well.
The Israelis have an arrogant and frankly racist attitude towards the Arabs. As such, they simply do not believe at this time that they could possibly lose a war. They just think everything will be the same cakewalk that occured in the Six Day War. Their racist point of view towards the Arabs says that it can’t be anything else.
However, this time, they would face much stronger armies on their northern borders than they did in the 1973 war or earlier. The Hezbollah forces that The Saker points out gave the Israelis a bloody nose last decade are much stronger and probably better dug in. They now have the combat veterans that fought in Syria coming back home. They presumably have much bigger stocks of missles. Meanwhile, the Syrians are not anything like the 1973 army. They are now battlehardened from 7 years of war against jihadis. 7 years of war always weeds out the incompetents from an officer corps. Currently their elite Tiger Force is sitting on the SW side of Damascus and in the path of any Israeli thrust. And the Iranians now have experienced veterans in Syria as well.
Thow in the fact that Damascus now seems to have strong enough air defenses to defend itself. And that’s likely to get better whenever the Russians get a S-300 setup and operating.
Meanwhile, some predicted that the mighty IDF that won the 67 and 73 wars could not survive as such if it became an army of occupation. Today’s Israeli soldiers are good at bullying civilians at check points and shooting kids in Gaza, but the 2006 war against Hezbollah seemed to show that they IDF had indeed lost its combat edge.
Oh, and while the northern border looks like it might be a tough fight for Israel this time around, they also have right now a large number of very mad Palestinians on their southern border. Thus, they can not withdraw all those troops to fight in the north. Netanyahu has also been cutting down Abbas, who’s been doing the job of keeping the west bank occupation calm for Israel. That seems like it could easily blow up into a bigger intifada than in the past if the Israelis look like they are starting to lose, or even not decisively win, in the north.
Israel is arrogant and believes it can’t possibly lose a war. But this war would seem to look very different from the wars in the past.
Since the US depends so much on their carriers to project power, its useful to consider where the carriers are at any moment.
https://maps.southfront.org/us-carrier-strike-groups-locations-map-may-3-2018/
One thing that surprised me about the Duoma incident was that it occurred when there were zero US carriers in the area. My guess is that the Syrian forces forced the timing of that false-flag as the E. Ghouta pocket was collapsing and it was now or never for the jihadis to use their chem weapon trick. But the whole thing seemed to catch the US by surprise, at least going by carrier positioning.
Currently ….
The Harry Truman has just arrived off of Syria in the east Med, and launched its first air-strikes, supposedly against ISIS, just recently.
Usually, the USN keeps a carrier in the Persian Gulf. Currently they don’t have one. To me, it seems almost suicidal to have a carrier actually in the bathtub known as the Persian Gulf during a shooting war with Iran, but I’d expect it to move that direction and be somewhere out in the Indian occean should hostilities be planned with Iran. They could hit Iran from the east Med, but I’d suspect they’d want it to be closer.
The Teddy Roosevelt left the Persian Gulf awhile ago, and headed east to Pearl Harbor.
The Reagan is in port at Yokahama, Japan.
I’d presume at least one of those would stay in the China/North Korea area even if hostilities were planned with Iran.
The Abraham Lincoln is off the coast of Virginia. For some reason, it seems to stay there. It did a 4-year refuel and overhaul, and came out of that in spring 2017. Since then, its stayed off the east coast doing exercises as what the navy calls “qualifications”.
I’d guess if the USN gets to plan ahead for a war in Iran, that you’d see two other carriers head that way. One from the Pacific and the Abe Lincoln would be the likely candidates. When they attacked Saddam, they had three carriers there. And 3 CVNs was the show of force they used against North Korea last year.
However, its not clear how worried the USN might be about China. When things got tense in Syria last month, China had fleets at sea in both the S.China Sea and Taiwan. Thus, the USN might feel it needs to keep two carriers in the Pacific. If a general shooting was breaks out and China stands with Russia, then both Taiwan and the S.China Sea would need some serious assets for defense and prevent major harm to the US in both places.
And, the reports the Navy puts out about its carriers don’t explain why the Abe Lincoln has spent the last two years going in and out of harbor at Norfolk and generally staying off the coast of Washington DC? If the USN has some other reason for why they are doing that, perhaps it wouldn’t sail to the Med for the start of the war with Iran?
Not sure if the USAF has been positioning land-based air in the area. Nothing too public. Before the Gulf War and the Iraq War, they very publicly shifted air sqds to the area. They certainly have some air in the region, at Qatar, and presumably in the east Med. They’ve been doing just a small handful of pinprick strikes against ISIS in Syria, but nothing of the sortie-rate that they showed during ‘shock n awe’ against Saddam. And no big public announcements of this sqd or that sqd shifting to the area. And haven’t seen any media stories about units shifting away from the build-up against N.Korea that was going on for awhile.
Please get a map in front of you. The US carrier group is anchored west of Cyprus, Russia’s to the east of the island between Cyprus and Syria. No US fighter jet is flying directly over Russian positions and they are not flying anywhere near over Syrian territories west of the Euphrates.
Their in-fligh path to the US occupied eastern parts would be over Turkey and “israel”. What their mission will be there is anybody’s guess since they certainly won’t bomb their isis enclave in occupied eastern Syria (the one Iraq bombed the other day after some planning with Russia and Syria). At some point though, I suspect they will start bombing SAA positions with or without pretext in order to provoke the very same WW3 scenario that was averted at April the 14th.
The Carriers are being refitted with non-copper wire systems to deflect the Russian EW weapons.
Perhaps a little OT, but surely there should be a UN rule that only non-permanent UNSC States that comply with key UN conventions (e.g., non-proliferation) can even qualify for consideration to sit at the UNSC table.
https://www.rt.com/news/425897-israel-withdraws-unsc-bid/
Or that compliance with the basic UN Charter that all nations had to sign and ratify to join the UN.
Enforcing that rule would boot France, UK and US off the UNSC, as the UN charter is an agreement against war that was signed right after the horrors of WW2 and the recent attack on Syria completely violates the UN charter. The UN charter forbids any member from attacking another, and states that the only way a member can go to war is to get the UNSC to agree to it. The UN charter is so anti-war that it even forbids the massing of forces on another nations borders and issuing threats.
Seems a simple rule, that since nations had to agree to the UN charter to join the UN, that if they now fail to obey the UN charter they at least lose their seat on the UNSC, if they don’t get booted completely from the UN.
”Israel is truly a unique and amazing country: not only does it openly and brazenly completely ignore international law, not only is it the last overtly racist country on the planet, not only has it been perpetuating a slow-motion genocide against the Palestinians for decades, it also constantly uses its considerable propaganda resources to advocate for war. And in order to achieve these goals, it does not mind allying itself with a regime almost as despicable and evil as the Zionist one – I am talking about the Wahabi nutcases in the KSA. And all that under the high patronage of the United States. Some ’Axis of Kindness’ indeed!”
Very true. The ’kind’ thing about it is that the Satanists don’t mind each other’s nominal confessions: Christian, Jewish, Moslem.
As regards the comments above, it’s quite fascinating that whenever there is some promising development taking place in the world, it’s greeted by an increased number of Western hasbara submissions (very much along the lines of our erstwhile friend twilight), spouting the pet memes about Russian cowardice/ineptitude, Syrian/Iranian helplessness, and — of course — Western/Zionist invincibility all along the line. The whole thing actually comes across as a convoluted justification of the blunt ”Russia should shut up and go away” pronunciamento.
I think Russia should arm Iran with lots of Club-K system or their best missiles or weapons. I don’t know if these cruise missiles can be nuclear armed…
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-russia-weapon-idUSTRE63P2XB20100426
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lS-WIGj_Bpg
More damage inflicted to US and Israel army,better for Russia. Russia should fight terrorists and her enemies as far as possible to their borders. If fighting Iran ,US will lose as many as possible aircraft carriers,warships ,war planes…to these missiles ( very cost efficient ),less would Russia have to face later on.
I have to stop here,write another message later.
One can’t help but question the almost-deliberate insistence on the passivity of Russia China India and other major international players when it comes to a nuclear war absolutely anywhere in the world. It is simply impossible for any country to be casual about the use of nuclear weapons by any party. And when it comes to the crunch, those who might contemplate such a criminality will finally grasp the full weight of the potential opposition to such madness. More importantly, a limited use of this type of weapon will have untold harm on the human race and the environment. Surely those who hold such positions of power fully understand all that.
How would the USA react if Russia decided to nuke Mexico or Canada for example?
Why would anyone expect anything less from Russia when it comes to bombing Iran with nuclear weapons.
Russia is a deft international player and her timing is impeccable. She knows when to act when there’s an absolute necessity to do so.
Russia won’t nuke Canada or Mexico. The RF would never have another non-nuclear armed ally if they did so.
The Donald has a dystopian Empire .
1. Social media and youtube evidence-based practice for wars continue to MAGA ; they were bringing HOPE and CHANGE until recently
2. False flags have become too unconvincing to rally the troops ; they need better script writers
3.Even power point presentations from long time friends do not have the strong ,convincing zionist flavor they had before ; oy vey
4. The Empire is stuck in a twilight zone , it can not go back to reality ,the petro-dollar does not let US and can not move foreword toward war as easily as before, the rest of the world got smarter
5. Give the president a Nobel for Peace ; he almost qualifies : he did bomb Syria twice, presided over the Yemen genocide and tested a MOAB in Afghanistan ,after a new surge
6.I say give him a Nobel for Peace to OIL the chariots of Tomahawk fire ; we have the precedent :Obama bombed 7 countries after his Nobel ;
The Nobel Peace Prize is not awarded for what one has done, but hopefully what one will do.
Betty Williams ;
This quote is overrated now as it did not include war as a to do list
7. After a Nobel, we free the Donald to bomb IN PEACE and fulfill his quota of wars ,like a true American President ( see the forerunners):
8.Syria is too courageous
9.Iran is too defiant
10. The Russians are too cocky with their multipolar world offer
11. The Chinese too wealthy
12. We are going to have PEACE ,American way ,even if we have to bomb the shit out of the ME and trigger a WW III
13.A people free to choose will always choose peace.
Ronald Reagan ;
do you feel free,people ?
14.So long as there is imperialism in the world, a permanent peace is impossible.
Hassan Nasrallah ;
A bon entendeur, salut! ( the Donald ,ask ton amie ,Macron to translate)
15.The Empire’s motto : ‘We’re an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality. And while you’re studying that reality—judiciously, as you will—we’ll act again, creating other new realities, which you can study too, and that’s how things will sort out. We’re history’s actors…and you, all of you, will be left to just study what we do’
Karl Rove
The Empire can change its President ,but never its nature (Lupus pilum mutat, non mentem )
Expect new realities created to fit the war agenda
16. The Donald , remember that we want to live in PEACE not PIECES
17.And lastly , remember The Donald: PERSIA defeated and conquered BABYLON once ,in 539 BC , it can do the same with MYSTERY BABYLON ; and Persia has powerful allies this time: the Dragon and the Northern country of great warriors
18 History does not repeat itself , but rhymes in cycles
maybe,…but seriously looking at the forces gathered on the ground & offshore in MENA for the coming inevitable calamity,the ‘civilised west”s forces don’t seem to be adequate to keep ‘animal’ assad & ‘evil’ putin in check.,never mind the ‘mad mullahs’ of persia.
Might be just another episode in a long war ,cause endless war is the ultimate goal,it suits the war mongers and the ‘moderate’ non war mongers.The ‘civilised west’s’ generals ,the ones who know what’s the score is, won’t allow another ‘full spectrum war’ cause they know very well their forces don’t match up anymore.Tactical war heads will be used in small scale but that’s about it ,it will not be televised, as in the recent strike against ‘animal’ assad by the only ‘democratic’ country in MENA.
But i don’t think the aim is for the ‘mad mullahs’ or ‘animal’ assad or even ‘evil’ putin ,but the wannabe ottoman emperor., cause he is not playing according to the script,if he is taken out or his country is brought back to the ‘right’ path as required by the ‘civilised’ west.,then all the others mentioned are gonna be in a PICKLE.
Dear Saker,
Excellent analysis.
However, I think that one needs to look at the protagonists a bit closer.
The Neocons belong to the Globalists, which also includes the so-called Anglo-Zionists, Atlantacists and a sprinkling of other international oligarchs. They own the U.S. Deep State, control the European Union Institutions and own a good proportion of Western politicians. They use the U.S. military (and NATO) as their private mercenary army.
The objective of the Globalists is to achieve a Global Government, run by global institutions that they control (It is Fascism perfected). An integral part of this objective is to degrade the notion of a nation-state, by transferring national authority to Global Institutions (See the European Union for example).
Trump, Netenyahu and Bin Salman belong to the group that I call the ‘Authoritarian Nationalists’ This group is generally at odds with the Globalists on domestic issues in that they see the preeminence of their nation as paramount, and are in general anti-globalist. That they are at odds with the Globalists is evidenced by the on-going coup against Trump, the attempted coup against Bin Salman, and the on-going investigations in Israel against Netenyahu.
The Globalists have been the lead protagonists in the Middle-East wars, including Syria. But their ultimate objective is to contain China. To do this they need to dismember Russia, and for this they need to control the Middle-East. The objectives of the Nationalists (Netenyahu and Bin Salman) in Syria are related to regional ambitions and regional competition with Iran.
With respect to Iran, with the Syrian war dragging on, the Globalists attempted to distance Iran from Russia and China by signing the Iran Nuclear Agreement and then entice Iran to the West with the promise of economic cooperation. Netenyahu and KSA were always against the Iran Nuclear Agreement.
Which brings us to the current situation. The latest U.S. Coalition (Globalist) attempt to win the Syrian War (at least Plan C) crashed and burned on April 14. As you say, it is not evident where they go from here, but for sure they will double down. The reason is that the Globalists have nothing to lose. If they do not prevail in the Middle-East, they will not be able to prevail over Russia and ultimately contain and limit China. In this event the Multi-polar World Order will emerge as dominant, limiting the Globalists to the so-called Western Democracies. And their time to act is getting short, because even in the West, the disastrous effects of Globalist economic policies are rapidly eroding the Globalists’ power.
So, I agree that Iran might be the next target. As the Iran Nuclear Agreement looks set to be blocked by Trump, the Globalists may well want to revise their position from enticing Iran to attacking Iran, in collaboration with the Nationalists (Netenyahu and Bin Salman) in order to seize control of the entire Middle East. (I don’t think that Israel and KSA can attack Iran without the collaboration of the Globalists).
However, I think that both Russia and China will come to Iran’s defence. For Russia, the Globalists represent the same existential threat, whether the front is Syria or Iran. If Russia doesn’t fight Globalists in the Middle-East, they will eventually have to fight them in Russia. And for China, the loss of the Middle-East will be a grave threat to all of their ambitions for a Multi-polar world order with China in the lead position.
As always, an excellent article by The Saker. I just love the phrase “Zionist Occupation Government”. Even Bibi Netanyahu has openly stated that Israel controls the US. This began in 1776, when the Rothschild’s used freemason George Washington to start the “American Revolution”, continued in 1913 with the establishment of the Rothschild’s Federal Reserve, a private central bank, and finished after the fall of the Soviet Union.
However, this Anglo-Zionist empire is in deep trouble. As we all know, no empire has ever survived. Empires cost money, create huge number of enemies, while their military becomes overextended, as is the case with the US military. I am now on an almost daily basis reading the comments of analysts, who are stating that the era of printing dollars backed by nothing is coming to an end, and that a very nasty financial crash is in the making. The neocon bankers, as always, want to resolve their financial difficulties by starting a wider war, which is impossible for two reasons. First of all, the US military is overextended, and secondly the US does not any more have the manufacturing capabilities to sustain a wider war, which could very well finish off the almost worthless dollar.
The impression is that the neocons in the US, backed by Israel and the London bankers, do not really know what they are supposed to do in these new circumstances. They sent the US fleet to North Korea, hoping either for regime change or for Kim to back down. Neither happened. What did happen was that South Korea began covert negotiations with the North, leading to new developments, with Trump taking the credit. In fact Russia deserves the credit, as it sent a military delegation to North Korea, which made no small contribution to these negotiations.
Iran is back on the table for a possible attack. The question is what kind of an attack. A conventional invasion of the country ? Impossible. The US does not have the troops. In 2003 the US was prepared to use nukes against Iraq in case the Iraqi armored units attacked the US airborne troops, which would have been overwhelmed. The US even had a tough time taking the Baghdad Airport, where the Iraqi’s fought well with their infantry and artillery, killing between 500 and 600 US troops. The Iranian military is stronger than the Iraqi, past and present.
An air campaign against the country ? Possible, but it will achieve nothing, except destroy some infrastructure. In 1999 NATO attacked the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, made up of Serbia and Montenegro. The Serbs shot down 137 NATO combat aircraft and 25 choppers. The Serbs even shot down one F-117 stealth aircraft (shown on TV) and one B-2 stealth aircraft (not shown on TV). The name of that B-2 was “Spirit of Missouri”. The Serbs did all that using basically old Soviet missile systems. Milosevic in the end backed down only because the US partially backed down with the recognition of the “Republic of Kosovo”, which the UN never recognized. Overall it can be concluded that Milosevic gained a political victory as far as Kosovo and Metohija goes. By the end of the 1999 NATO air campaign against the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, the only pilots who were still flying were American and Turkish. All the other NATO pilots gave up, fearful of additional losses. Such an air campaign against Iran would indeed be very foolish, as Iran has enough high tech to inflict serious damage to any aggressor.
A nuclear campaign against Iran ? It would be the height of stupidity. It would certainly be the end of the Anglo-Zionist empire, of NATO and of the US dollar. The American dollar is vulnerable, but not the Russian ruble. As one analyst has stated, the US cannot ruin the Russian ruble, as all that Russia needs to do is introduce a gold backed ruble, which it is preparing to do, in conjunction with China, which will introduce a gold backed yuan. Both countries have more than 30.000 tonnes of gold each.
What other options do the neocons have ? Have Poroshenko attack the Donbas ? I was expecting that during the Russian presidential elections, but apparently this has been postponed for the opening of the World Cup in football. For Poroshenko to attack the Donbas, using his conscript military, would be the height of foolishness. The Russians in the Donbas have openly, on the Internet, warned the Ukrainian military that they are prepared for them, having more than three years to dig in. They have even pointed out that many in the Ukrainian Army are on their side, which would not surprise me in the least if it was true, which it probably is. Ukraine has become impoverished. This year saw two demonstrations against Poroshenko in Kiev. The population has no wish to fight any war, the neo-Nazis from Western Ukraine being the exception. By December of 2017 some 4.4 million Ukrainians have fled to Russia. If Poroshenko does attack, it will be the end of his political career, and such an attack could well see Ukraine break up into three parts, as some analysts have warned. The neocons in the US would suffer another geopolitical defeat.
As far as I can see, the neocons in the US have found themselves in a position where time is not working for them, as they are looking into a gigantic foreign and domestic debt, which they cannot handle, while the dollar cannot be printed on a permanent basis backed by nothing. The only alternative is a wider war, and even this they cannot handle, as they do not have the means to fight one against a serious opponent. The question is what next ?
The only thing in your comments over months of reading them that is consistently “off” is the rather pointless (IMHO) George Washington–Freemasonry–Rothschild connecto-assertion, as though it were all just “As simple as that!”
It’s a lot more complicated than that, a lot more factionalized. Within freemasonry, within the colonists both rebel and loyalist, and even within Englishmen of that era.
Strategic adversaries of the era both used the compartmentalization (“need to know”) and hierarchy of Freemasonry to run more disciplined secrecy-required intelligence operations against each other.
It’s a mistake to make such a thing as freemasonry a blanket condemnation. Most Russian freemasons in centuries past, according to Saker, have sided with Mother Russia when push came to shove. Many actions by Washington over a long career contra-indicate your assertion that he was a either a dupe or an agent of evil forces. Relatively few people in history, and NO other Americans commanded the degree of loyalty of excellent men than him.
Bro 93
According to conservative historians only 7 % of so-called Americans joined Washington. According to liberal historians, 25 % joined him. However, liberal historians also admit that 25 % of Americans, the loyalists, joined the British side, staying loyal to the British monarchy. When the United States was created, you had a mass emigration of immigrants from the US back to Britain, with one commentator of the day stating that there was not a single English town or village which did not have immigrants who returned from America.
The intention of the “American Revolution” was to drag France into a war. Both regular and volunteer French troops were sent. Lafayette was an aristocrat and a freemason. He commanded the volunteers. He also took part in the French Revolution. The war with Britain impoverished the French treasury. It was the aim, and easily done, bearing in mind the French aristocracy payed no taxes. The Rothschild’s grabbed the American colonies and instigated the French Revolution. French finances passed from royal control to the control of private bankers, one of the chief aims of the new “republic”. When Napoleon invaded Russia in 1812, he did so with an army of half a million men. Who payed for that ? Napoleon out of his own pocket ? No. The French treasury ? No. The Rothschild’s ? Yes. Who created Hitler ? He too sent a huge army against Russia. How on earth did Germany manage to finance two world wars on its own ? It could not. It received funds from London and Wall Street, while Wall Street invested in Germany after the First World War, building up German industry. The German Army moved in trucks built by Henry Fords factories.
Since both Napoleon and Hitler failed in their invasions of Russia, we now have the NATO. And who controls NATO and for what purpose ? Who instigated that coup d’etat in Kiev in 2014 ? Why were 20.000 neo-Nazis
parading in Kiev in 2017 and why was this not reported by the Western press ? Something to do with the fact that Hitler had, and Ukraines neo-Nazis have, the support of the same people ?
B.F.,
Every time I read about the power of the Rothschilds, I think that there is an exaggeration. It is hard to believe that they could manage so much control and destruction at the same time. Is there any book or link to some trustful information about them?
Although the analysis is very good, I think most people underestimate the most important point of a war with Iran: the oil. You have to understand than oil and to a lesser degree natural gas are by far the most important resources of the world industrial economy, and that a war in Iran would surely mean the end of the Western Industrial Economy & Civilization as we know it.
What would happen in case of war? The much quoted number of 200$/barrel would be exceeded BEFORE any shots got fired. Afterwards, even if the capacity of Iran to retaliate would be crippled in the first days of the war, you have to understand that oil terminals, refineries, pipelines and oil fields are very easy targets, that blow up in giant fireballs once hit with missiles or sabotaged. Such infrastructure can be reconstructed but it would take YEARS to take the capacity back online. And most of the main oilfields in the Persian Gulf and the Caspian are either in Shia populated territories or within easy strike distance from Iran.
You also have to understand than what matters in the global oil price setting is not the total production but 1) the volumen of exports (and the two main *oil exporting* regions in the world are the Gulf and the Caspian!) and 2) the marginal price. That means that even in oil producing countries like Gringoland, the price could climb to much more than 200$/barrel – maybe even doubling it??. Even more, the international free market of oil could probably disappear, and revert to some kind of direct accords between states (e.g. Germany buying Russian gas & oil with gold on a set contract, while Poland or other neighbours get nothing at all).
And all this could take place over the course of DAYS. There is no way at all that the global industrial economy can survive or adapt to it (especially in Europe, Japan and the other US vassals without own resources). Once the strategic reserves are used up in Europe in a couple of weeks, there would be only oil & gas left for the national security uses (military, police, ambulances & firefighters and power generation) and the ecomony would totally collapse.
At this point, Russia would have the biggest leverage in the history of Europe and surely would put it to use by diplomatically explaining to the European comprador elites in Brussels & the national capitals that its either cutting with the US or going dark, cold, no power & travelling on horse buggies like 100 years ago.
The European industrialists & oligarchs would surely see the benefits of this offer.
Speaking of comprador elites, something similar would happen in the Americas: Venezuela would become again the richest country in South America in a matter of days, while the oligarchs and assorted puppet governments across the region would suffer massive losses as the markets for raw resources fall to the bottom.
In a sentence: Iran has a gun pointed to the gas tank of the world economic engine and if it blows up, the West would suffer a massive collapse. This is something that even a Neocon would understand.
More important than the oil itself is the currency in which it is traded. Iran is one of those countries that shifts away from USD. After decades of sanctions on Iran’s economy, it got fed up. Why should Iranians trust international trade in USD ever again? I would not if I were them. It is only a full blow back at the USA for their criminal deeds.
Iraq and Libya were destroyed because of their attempts to wean their own countries and the entire region from the USD. On the long term, this means that the USA can no longer buy oil and gas with a bunch of freshly printed IOUs, but that they will have to provide real value.
War against Iran will/would be a banker war, as usual.
Extract
“The political analyst highlighted that the US is seeking to expand its positions in Raqqa and Deir ez-Zor, “because when the Syrian army begins a large-scale military operation in this region, the US base in al-Tanf will be under threat.”
“The United States is increasingly aware of this looming threat,” she pointed out. “To date, the Syrian army has already taken control of a number of areas in Deir ez-Zor. This was immediately followed by a step from Israel: According to available data, the Iranian armed formations deployed at the military base in the north of Homs were attacked. Thus, we are talking about a direct aggression against Iran.”
Yigit explained that every time US allies in Syria begin to lose grip, Washington steps up its anti-Damascus rhetoric and “incite the countries of region to start an armed conflict while Israel resorts to demonstration of force, using tactics of inflicting pinpoint strikes.”
The Turkish analyst stressed that it is the population of the region who pay the high price for the West’s strategy in Syria.
“Local sources say that a large-scale operation of the Syrian government forces is likely to begin soon,” the analyst suggested. “In this situation, the US won’t directly participate in the clashes, but will try to use remaining members of radical groups as its proxies, providing them with necessary support, as well as armed forces of the countries of the region that will suffer real losses in the event of fierce fighting.”
Yigit stressed that the US, France and the UK are “enthusiastically” sending their forces to Syria, trying to demonstrate that they will be the players that determine the balance of power, “but ultimately, it is the countries of the region that will pay for it.”
“I tend to see the current actions of Western forces in the context of the tactics aimed at uniting disparate jihadist groups which mostly lost their positions [in Syria] and preparing them for the next conflict in the region,” the political analyst concluded.”
https://sputniknews.com/analysis/201805051064159539-us-middle-east-conflict/
————————————
Considering Israel did a dirty trick in Russia by co-mingling their planes with previously “approved” usa coalition planes then breaking off to commit their last attack against the arms dump in Syria…and that since the usa carrier is now operating flights over Syria from the Med and providing more opportunities for repeats of this….is this tactic not likely to be used again…..has Russia advised Usa they are wised up to this and would usa not permit this…but for me the temptation remains for this and other subterfuge attempts for Israel to do this again in defiance of Russia intentionally to create escalatory situations with every likelihood
a Syrian defence missile would hit either usa or Israeli or both planes leading to ……….
Excellent analysis, as most of your articles.
I personally believe that a 1st direct attack on Iran the country – not its forces in Syria, that has already happened – both Iran and Hezbollah will respond immediately with a missile rain on the entire geographic spread of the Ziofascist entity. The destruction, chaos and deaths that causes will force the US & Ziofascist psychopaths in Washington and Jerusalem to stop.
The Ziofascist entity is effectively the weak underbelly of the Empire-in-decline, and Iran should use that to the full.
In 2001, Daniel Bernard, French Ambassador to the UK came to public attention when he was reported to have made the following remarks during a conversation at a private dinner party hosted Conrad Black of the Daily Telegraph. To wit: “All the current troubles in the world are because of that shitty little country Israel … Why should the world be in danger of World War III because of those people?’’
Predictably this caused quite a stir and the gentleman was forced to make a semi-contraction. However, this little episode goes some way to illustrate how potentially fragile the Anglo-Zionist coalition is. Such views are not held by small insignificant minorities, quite the contrary.
Viewing Saker’s piece and the responses has elicited a number of responses first and foremost the Battle plan for the assault on Iran. All worked out to a tee; will run as smoothly as a railway timetable. Yeah, right. Just like the battle of the Somme in 1916, The invincible Maginot Line in 1940, Operation Barbarossa in 1941, the Vietnam War 1961-75, The battle of the Tuetoburg Forest in 9 CE where three crack Roman legions were massacred by the German tribes owing to their underestimation of the opposition. The first Battle of Bull Run (another cake-walk) has already been mentioned we might also add unexpected Confederate victories at Chancellorsville and Cold Harbour whilst we are at it.
As it was put by the famous German soldier and military theorist Helmuth Von Moltke (the elder) ‘’no plan of operations extends with any certainty beyond the first contact with the main hostile force.’’
Too many of these damned ‘unknowns’ and ‘unknown unknowns’ too many variables outside the combatants’ knowledge or control. At this point is seems germane to raise the question. ‘When did the US last win a war?’ American war plans have always tended to overestimate their own prowess and underestimate the opposition. Part of the belief in being the ‘exceptional’ people perhaps. Well, as the old saying goes, ‘pride comes before a fall.’
In H.G.Wells’ short story ‘War of the Worlds’ the Martians who landed at Woking in Surrey (not far from where I live) were possessed of advanced military technologies and easily swept aside the primitive weapons of the earthlings. So the conquest of the world was a done deal, another cake-walk. As it turned out the Martians were vulnerable to the earthly micro-ogranisms to which mankind had developed an immunity and it was they who were decimated. Poor old Martians didn’t factor this in to their colonisation of Earth. Another ‘unknown, unknown.’
Moreover, we are perforce unaware of the secret diplomacy which is almost certainly ongoing and what the outcome will be. Nobody expected the resolution of the Korean situation to take its current trajectory.
Will Russia/China come to Iran’s aid in the event of a concerted Israeli/US onslaught and what form will this take. The short answer to this is maybe, maybe not, and what form? If they don’t then some serious questions of Putin’s leadership and the SCO must be broached. Again, we don’t know how much pressure both the Russian and Chinese leadership are under. But one thing is certain, you don’t defeat the enemy by a policy of indefinite retreat. Russia’s has retreated all the way from Berlin, been forced back on its borders and facing a burgeoning and provocative NATO presence which is only going to get bigger and more emboldened by the policy of stasis on Russia’s. Putin showed some brains and backbone in the war against Georgia, the Crimea, and to a lesser degree the Don Bass. Now would be a timely repetition of this policy.
Don’t think the war on Iran will be a war. It will be like the 70+days of bombing Belgrade.
The US just wants to cripple infrastructure and then use the turmoil to unleash a civil war like in Syria.
Easy plan of action. No boots on the grown, except in the Afghan border provinces where advisers can lead the “civil war moderates”.
I think it unlikely, the attack of the US+Israel+KSA against Iran with an unprotected flank (Syria and Hezbollah). Since the attempt to fragment Syria and cripple Hezbollah has functionally failed, an attack on Iran carries the same danger that, in the near past, lead to its postponement.
Hence, the storm gathers again on Lebanon’s skies. Its circular. Israel’s problem has always been one and the same: its territory has no strategic depth.
@joaopft; the teritory has no legitmate depth !
‘And in order to achieve these goals, it does not mind allying itself with a regime almost as despicable and evil as the Zionist one – I am talking about the Wahabi nutcases in the KSA. And all that under the high patronage of the United States. Some “Axis of Kindness” indeed!’
I always call it “the Axis of Fundamentalism”. Although most Westerners automatically consider the West, and the USA in particular, to be the epitome of secularism and practical, down-to-earth technocracy, the USA is – viewed politically – a fundamentalist regime.
The Axis is nicely symmetrical. It comprises:
Zionist and Judaic fundamentalism (Israel).
Muslim fundamentalism (Saudi Arabia).
Christian/Zionist fundamentalism (USA).
And uniting them all is that greatest and most powerful of religions known to man: MONEY (Mammon).
@Tom. Re-posted your neat notion on SyrPer. It got 12 Likes and this reply from Pacificnorthwest:
“Axis of fundamentalism” … Nice term, appropriate too, I will add it to my lexicon!
Dear Saker,
Further to my comment above. I fully agree with you regarding North Korea. However, I suspect that the Globalists will try to disrupt any agreement. As I see it, a peace agreement between North and South Korea is a major strategic loss of the Globalists. They need the U.S. to control the Korean peninsula in order to limit China.
The Russians ought to make it clear that if nukes are used against the Iranians then they’ll likewise nuke the Saudis. This is a way to asymmetrically retaliate without necessarily leading to further escalation. Such an attack would be the end of the global economy for sure, but as long as the result doesn’t lead to a full nuclear exchange than at least the Russian Federation would have a chance to survive in the ensuing aftermath.
A few years ago, I heard from an online American patriot conservative broadcast that Putin (presumably the Russian administration or MoD) told the House of Saud that if they messed with Putin (cheated them, I guess?), he’d take out Mecca.
No, not Mecca. The regime, not the religion. If Israel nuke an Iranian base, the Russians take out a Saudi one, if Tehran is leveled, then Riyadh. Would the US or the Zionist use their nukes agains after this? I don’t think so.
Never happened. Nobody would be that stupid and it isn’t as if the Saudis care much for it, they’re not proper Muslims. However you would enrage 1.5 billion Muslims by doing that. The Saudis are just temporary guardians.
“You might object that the USA does not have a mutual defense treaty with Israel. You are wrong. It does, it is called AIPAC”.
However, it is not mutual. Nohow.
If Israel feels threatened, the US government is bound to do Israel’s bidding. But the USA could melt and slide into the Pit without Israel lifting a finger to help.
Does the cow milk the farmer?
“…check out Richard Greer’s excellent book “Twilight’s Last Gleaming” for a very plausible account on how that could happen…”
That’s John Michael Greer, actually.
Thank you Saker.
In reading your article, and several of the links that you provided, it occurred to me that the apparent randomness of the current American executive branch, above and beyond the most plausible [rational, that is} explanation, there is a coup, and various branches of government have been subverted by one or another international power faction, but maybe not.
I also just read Mike Whitney’s Is This Trump’s “Samson Moment”?, at UNZ http://www.unz.com/mwhitney/is-this-trumps-samson-moment/
This apparent randomness is starting to take an uber-form, a big power play, obviously involving the Rothschild octopus*.
Could it be that they have been conditioning/grooming Trump (to take the fall) for this primary objective, war with Iran!?
War with Iran of course, is not just war with Iran.
War with Iran is the stepping stone to war with Russia, which necessarily means war with China (not totally, but very probably), not to mention Oded Yinons-style expansion of you-know-who-da (while all that distracting war is going on).
Now, please pause on the But…., But…. scenarios for why this would likely lead to:
a. the collapse of the petro-dollar,
b. thus collapse of the empire/hegemon,
c. world economy,
d. not to mention the cratering of the entire occupied Palestinian territory (unfortunately collaterally killing/maiming many Palestinians, currently being used as human shields)
e. etc.
I get that! The 99% will do extremely poorly; in fact, obviously there will be a mass culling of the human herd.
The octopus sees change over centuries, as do the leaders of the protocols of Zion.
Could this be the power-consolidation event they would precipitate to put down competing factions?
The Torah-Pharisees-Talmud devotees are not bound to the occupied Palestinian Zionist project, anymore than they are tied to any care for humanity; it is a figure head, and base of operations, a useful tool for sure, but, there is still Washington, New York, London, Berlin, … Moscow?! Patagonia?!
I’ve long had a feeling that Trump was being herded into a historic “patsy role, on behalf of… who knows, but, it’s obvious who his current direct controllers are.
DPRK now, looks as if it was always a feint, another distraction, on top of distraction, to deflect from the mainline of machinations; there is centuries-old patterns here of distraction and deflection.
The point that hit me the hardest was in the Paul Craig Roberts piece that you cited, which he asks of Europeans, I ask of all of humanity, are we“…nothing but a collection of cattle awaiting slaughter from the machinations of the crazed American neocons? …”
The main objective must be to create a method to awaken the masses, we, humanity, have an overwhelming numeric majority. That this tiny bunch of psychopaths, of what ever stripe, are in such a position to profoundly damage, if not completely destroy this beautiful little blue planet, is … intolerable!
I appreciate, greatly, you, Saker, one of the best warriors we have.
But to the people, get thinking, we have to come up with a way to get the message out to a critical mass of humanity.
This is the challenge!
* – Rothschild octopus – my understanding of which is greatly influenced by community member “Where-Wolf
Dissident X said:
“In reading your article, and several of the links that you provided, it occurred to me that the apparent randomness of the current American executive branch, above and beyond the most plausible [rational, that is] explanation, there is a coup, and various branches of government have been subverted by one or another international power faction, but maybe not.”
Yes exactly. Maybe but maybe not. And don’t forget maybe both.
Your post Dissident X made me arrange some thoughts that I’d been mulling away. Apologies in advance for the length.
Bill Burroughs is the dystopian we really could use today. Huxley sussed the drugs. Orwell and Bradbury were okay handling the jackboots. But is the door still there to be kicked in, or did social media dissolve it in a vat of cyber-stew?
Everyone in power is lying and has a trick up his or her sleeve. The politicians play the hypernormalisation game as Vince McMahon’s WWE prefigured it in the spandex-kabuki spectacle called kayfabe. Trump volunteered for an early kayfabe beta test (there’s a WWE video of Trump wrestling McMahon.) Later, he showed his gratitude by appointing Vince’s wife, Linda McMahon as his SBA Administrator.
The recursive rules. In his recent documentary ‘Hypernormalisation’, Adam Curtis characterizes to The Guardian the relationship between Putin and his ‘Rasputin’, Vladislav Surkov thusly:
“Surkov, whose previous career was as a director in avant-garde theatre, emerges, like Kissinger, as an arch manipulator of reality. “Surkov will invent dissident groups and fund them,” Curtis says. “He will fuel conspiracy theories, but that’s not new. His particular genius has been to let people know that is what he is doing. So whatever you see in the news: you just don’t know if it is ‘true’ or not. I noticed a headline in the Financial Times recently which said ‘no one understands Russia’s policy in Syria’. I thought: Mr. Surkov. The goal of this manipulation, Curtis suggests, is to spread a state of bewilderment and powerlessness across the globe. A sense that nothing quite makes sense.
Meanwhile we struggle valiantly up here on Saker’s blog trying to render sense where sense has been tactically jettisoned. What did Webster Tarpley call geopolitics? Pure hubris.
Putin parted ways with Surkov in 2013.
So…
What is really happening in the world almost certainly bears little resemblance to what we think is happening. Information is power. Misdirection magnifies the power of information. The truth is being held in strict abeyance. The uber-rich visit island enclaves every few months to receive veritas injections. Dissent requires a contextual foothold it can no longer find. Mass media is a syringe that removes cogent narrative from the plebian atmosphere. Confusion is our guide, chaos our milieu. We will never again acquaint on Earth with cognitive coherence. Only raw and naked spirit can save us now.
To use a Cybernetic Culture Research Unit term, ‘plausible representation’ has been tactically vacated. With the unprecedented influx of entities at the end of time, geopolitics must migrate increasingly to the magical realm.
“In making themselves real, entities (must) also manufacture realities for themselves: realities whose potency often depends upon the stupefaction, subjugation and enslavement of populations, and whose existence is in conflict with other ‘reality programs’. Burroughs’s fiction deliberately renounces the status of plausible representation in order to operate directly upon this plane of magical war.” –Cybernetic culture research unit
In a more secular vein Jordan Peterson has said as much about ideas and ideologies. At the height of our obsession with ideas, we do not possess them. They possess us. Peterson tends to hide out in Jungian archetypes, too intellectually embarrassed it seems to ever embrace the literalness of the entities that oppress us. I’m through with half-measures: Ideas are personal spirits. Secular culture is, to be quite blunt, demonic.
Such is the perverseness of some controlling entities that they delight in purveying paradox. Media’s most determined adversaries could share after-hours snuggles for all we know.
Tear away the kayfabe fabric and you risk the wrath of millions of ‘dispelled’ wrestling fans. Is the rich man’s truth really worth it? As long as Trump’s winning, he’ll take it. But that shouldn’t be enough for us. The meek shall inherit the fullness of time where all truths shall be brought to the light. Hang in.
FSD, interesting…
I will take some time to digest and possibly, if I have anything to add, compose a more significant response.
No need to apologize for word count.
I go to the point, which has drawn my attention:
If this were true, perhaps there is hope after all.
Thanks for your comment.
“wiped off the map” … the ‘words originally spoken by Ayatollah Khomenei’
I suppose Ahmadinejad, not Khamenei, was meant (as the link describes).
“Both the Israelis and the Neocons are too dialectically illiterate to realize that by their actions they are just creating increasingly more powerful enemies.”
Very true. By its foreign policy the US has forged a Russian/Chinese alliance that cannot be defeated by all the power of the US and its Anglosphere and EU vassals.
Step by step the US creates bigger and bigger enemies. This will continue until the US itself is defeated, exhausted, or neutralized.
I work with an expat Iranian and he says to me Iran trains its forces constantly every scenario you could imagine. The discipline and work ethic is incredible. One should fear going up against them.
As for Israel, if this video is any barometer https://youtu.be/rFr4C2BPLeM well I can’t begin to imagine what the stress level must be to have the Rabbinical Priesthood constantly on your back to hasten the coming of the Messiah? Any man under that kind of stress would surely go mad.
Wow, are these people so deceived as to think a third world war is needed to bring about the Messiah? Too many hold dearly the prophecy of Ezekiel 38 and 39?
Lastly, the Middle East holds the last oil reserves and I for one can’t believe the governments of the world would gamble on losing their entire economies. I doubt very much anyone in any government anywhere in the world wants to see another Kuwait!!!!!!
https://youtu.be/3pMlX0H3hoY
I shuddered when Yemen came close to hitting a Saudi Arabia oil field.
In such a scenario a nuclear strike would be a relief.
Iran is an important (strategic) partner of China .
The loss of an important nation like Iran will be a very serious blow to the Chinese strategy of One Belt one Road .
China is the main importer of oil from the Middle East ( both from Iran and the Saudi) , the disruption of the flow of oil to China will create very serious problems to the Chinese production and economy.
So what will China do ( in case of war)?
China stopped all oil importation during the Sanctions regime. Never missed a beat. They can live without Iranian oil.
However, OBOR and BRI needs a non-war environment in the Iranian region. Same with Ukraine and Balkans and Central Asia and Pakistan-Afghanistan. China is risking hundreds of billions of dollars investing in the New Silk Road infrastructure. This is why the Hegemon is churning chaos everywhere. It is costing China billions, contains China and averts a direct confrontation while winning with its strategy.
Iranian oil represents a little less than 10% of China’s oil imports. More than 40% of china’s oil imports come from the Persian gulf region (Saudi Arabia, Emirates, Oman, Iraq and Iran). If there is a war in that part of the world then China’s economy is in huge trouble.
http://www.worldstopexports.com/top-15-crude-oil-suppliers-to-china/
On the contrary with the US, their Shale gas industry can supply the entire domestic demand and oil at 200$ pb will simply absorb the overhang of USD that the central bank has printed up.
“China’s Sinopec will cut its June imports of crude from Saudi Arabia by 40 percent for the second month in a row because of unjustified high prices, an official from the top Asian refiner, Unipec, told Reuters.”
https://www.rt.com/business/425903-china-oil-saudi-imports/
I agree with DK that thinking is the key, for thinking is the very crown of the human soul. But its not just a matter of getting a message out. A great war is being waged on our capacity to be able to think. Our ability for thought is being systematically corrupted, polluted, denigrated, and poisoned so that the human being instead of inwardly thinking, becomes ‘thoughted’ by outside forces. Subversive techniques are being applied to human beings to inhibit free thinking through the machinations of powers that are attempting to dominate all of planet earth.
Every aspect of modern so called ‘society’, which is little more than a materialistic consumer driven for-profit corporation, intentionally robs and steals the power of thought replacing it with a facsimile of predetermined factoids and falsehoods barked through media channels night and day. These ‘opinions’ are constantly and consistently reinforced through every imaginable form in movies, advertisements, in “education’ and ‘science’ and ‘medicine’, documentaries, best-selling literature, magazines, etc etc. The unaware human being has the false impression that they are thinking their own thoughts, but in reality they have been systematically and repeatedly programed. We have already entered into an Orwellian world where any thought or speech that strays from the media installed formulations is unacceptable. In the U.S. the thought police are fast becoming our very own friends and coworkers who get very uncomfortable with anything that differs from the media propaganda. The ultimate aim is to reduce the human to a robotized automaton unaware of their God-given capacity for free thought.
The ultimate battlefield for the ‘war makers’ is our own consciousness. As many commenters have also stated, in the larger picture this is a spiritual war. We are in apocalyptic times. The battle is for the entire planet and for the human soul. We must know this enemy and name the beast, and unmask the evil principalities and powers that wish to dominate the inner domain of our identity.
The world is a currently a chessboard. There is a plan and there have been many phases of implementation and experimental trials in fascism the last centuries. With the advancing tools of media and technology new assaults are daily occurring. Technology is the ultimate tool for brainwashing as it actually changes our brain further limiting our capacity for attention and inner thought. The ultimate goal is to enter into our heads as chips.
No one is immune from this war, and as in all war, there will be many fatalities and prisoners. Some of us will survive this and remain free, but I don’t believe it is possible without the armor of God, which is not a symbolic statement. It is a reality of becoming permeated with a spiritual force.
k
Imagine, if you will, doing battle with a dark occultist or black magician or even a dark mutlidimensional being on the astral planes. These are the people who have betrayed humanity and who actively seek out to deny humanity it’s rightful spiritual evolution towards unity, and who are in league with powerful and demonic dark entities.
How do you think this kind of combat takes place?
Instead of physical swords clanging you have spiritual ones, infused with light and psychic power coming to clash with one another.
But the univeral rule is that Love is the most powerful force and that love triumphs. This is true. But to remain protected, you need that armor, that armor of Light, that armor of God as you call it, so that you do not succumb to some weakness, whether it be internal or externally generated.
Endless battle with occultists and sorcerers and their hordes of minions. Everyone needs to take a break from it all every now and then.
In the end, if we win, it means humanity will finally learn how to free itself, and the influence of the evil ones will be forever purged from this planet.
I agee it is a spiritual battle. I did not read Sun Tzu but know he wrote know yourself and and know your enemy.As far as spiritual battles go it is only necessary to know yourself. If you truly know yourself no evil force can overcome you. This is the end point of spiritual development.
Until we get to that point it is necessary also to know who and what the enemy is both internal and external. By Deception shall you do war. We need to know not to fall for the great deceiver(s)
I nominate for comment of the week….
This is a reasonable analysis but I see no advantage for the USA or the Israelis. The Israeli public seems addicted to belligerent hand gestures and cruelty to the powerless on the WB and Gaza and that’s as far as it goes. I believe Israel will test the waters and do some bombing here and there as it has done over the years in the region. The U.S. will probably continue to bomb empty buildings and declare victories.
The one thing you are missing, Saker, is the fact that the one constant in the politics of the Empire is stability. Minor wars, turning minor threats into major ones to continue to fool the public into passivity vis a vis gargantuan military expenditures which consist mainly of dumping dollars into the pockets of favored oligarchs and workers in “defense” industries. No on wants a major war with major risks to the world economy–they only want a pro-wrestling style rivalry with on ongoing drama and lots of chest thumping and finger pointing. I’ve been saying this same thing for over a decade. The U.S., at least, does not have any interest in confronting even a minor military power like Iran. Iraq, when it was invaded, was without any potent military force other than on the militia level.
The major concern in the U.S.A at this time is an internal power struggle between various factions associated with Trump and the major faction within the Deep State symbolized by Mueller. The Deep State would not risk major war to enhance Trump’s power–they are seeking impeachment next year to get things back to “normal” and business as usual. And here is the rub–Trump may just start easing into a war with Iran just to freak out the finance oligarchs who will, maybe, call off Mueller from his fishing expedition to entrap Trump and others in exchange virtual business as usual.
We must remember that Washington is a kind of protection racket and doesn’t want to focus too much attention to itself or to change anything. Sanders and Trump deeply upset the gangsters running things so we have to see things on those terms as much as anything else. As for the Imperial project, whether there is a deal in Korea or a stand down on war with Iran, the Empire will continue largely unaffected for some time to come the networks that underpin it are just too strong.
What a fantastic analysis.
It’s exactly why the Saker so needs support.
Just about every Geopolitical angle is covered, and the likely consequences.
All I can say is – bravo
Andrei,
It’s good to analyze, but can you take it one step further and identify weak points in the Deep State? Where can we [citizens] make a difference?
One person who is doing that well is Lee Stranahan, co-host (with Garland Nixon) of the show Fault Lines on Sputnik Radio [7am-10am EST]. Stranahan has done groundbreaking work on Crowdstrike, Ali Chalupa and pro-Clinton Ukrainian gov’t. interference in 2016 election, debunking Bill Browder and Magnitsky Act fraud, Natalya Vasilnitskaya case, and Douma false flag White Helmets psy-op.
White Helmets exposure is a critical chink in Deep State propaganda, would deliver exponential Red Pill. If they are fake, then Hollywood and corporate media are complicit, and US policy bankrupt. Trump’s defunding them [for the wrong reason] may serve to sweep this under rug.
US Cuts off funds to White Helmets
Call White House 202 456-1111 and your Senators / Congressman
This is Not a recognition or admission that the White Helmets are a UK/US sponsored propaganda front. It’s just Trump cutting “humanitarian aid” to Syria, and it’s only a “freeze” – not the permanent termination they deserve.
PLEASE, everyone CALL the White House to say we support cutting the funding of Syria’s White Helmets completely and definitely. Tell them we don’t need fake rescuers goading us to illegitimate war.
Maria Zakharova Tells Us Exactly Who the White Helmets Are
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JifBie5ZuuA
Please stop repeating this about white helmets under various posts here – its trolling – this one will be posted any else will go to trash. Mod.
A principled and clear analysis as ever. But I do wish that people would stop announcing the end of the US dollar based on US Federal government debt, or the level of the currency or oil trade (which is only about $1.5 trillion annually; the days in which the petrodollar dominated cross-border capital markets have long gone).
If anyone is interested to look, the Bank for International Settlements publishes a triennial survey of cross border capital flows. https://www.bis.org/publ/rpfx16.htm
It shows that more than $4 trillion is transacted PER DAY in US dollars, mostly crazy derivatives. So five days trading in US dollars equals the ENTIRE US Federal government debt. About 20 days trading equals the world’s annual GDP and so on.
So the demand for US dollars is not going to evaporate unless the derivatives markets collapse. Which is very possible, of course, as we saw in 2007 when it nearly led to the end of money as we know it. It is like a giant roulette wheel sitting above the Earth, resembling an alien spaceship threatening to crash down on us.
The US dollar will only lose its hegemony when there is a third large currency (the yen and the Swiss franc are not big enough). At the moment there are only two big currencies, the greenback and the Euro. more than 80% of the Euro trade has the US dollar on the other side, so it is not an alternative. There will only be an alternative when the Chinese float the yuan, which is at the moment fixed to the US dollar. The Chinese won’t do that in the short term because it exposes them to too much volatility (in the long term they are building an entirely new financial system).
I do not claim to understand what is happening in the global capital markets. Neither does anyone else. At least there is now a realisation about how insane it is, but that is about all. What the system requires is some sort of redundancy to take the pressure when something goes wrong, but I have not seen anyone talking about that. The regulators should.
In November 2008, money itself almost disappeared world wide. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ODBPlD0FXOU If the Treasury had not acted, $6 trillion would have gone out of the US banking system in one day, which converts into about $120 trillion lost because banks lend out at least 0 times their capital base. That would have meant no banking systems and no money.
So maybe we will be saved from a nuclear holocaust by total collapse of the monetary system and systems of government. Back to fighting with clubs in the streets …
Just a comment here.I see all what USA can do to some other country,with all this military power.They like to blow about.do I drive truck and delivery groceries to food stores.Major groceries store has about five days worth of food in the in stores and folks that is it.
The food comes long ways away to these store even other countries keep these stores going.The old way is gone having enough food in storage to get by.Some of the LDS Church folks still do the old way and maybe some other people do too.
What amassing me here that food is truck to one area and truck out again to the stores.All the warehouses are in one area and that is it.The food in the stores come a lots miles to get there.This country is not hard to beat stop the food and see what happens to all the people with no food.
Iran has a massive chemical weapons arsenal to counter Israel’s nuclear weapons arsenal… Syria had the same but they foolishly gave it up at Russia’s behest without Russia putting them under their nuclear umbrella but I digress. Iran has the missiles to deliver the chemical weapons as well. One day, Israel will get itself erased from the face of the earth by doing stupid shit just once too often.
One day… How long we have to wait for this day? People are being killed in their dirty wars by millions…
The only hope for NOW without the AngloJewish Criminal Mafia is the ww3. They cannot be defeated no other way. Otherwise they will continue strangulation of humanity slowly but rerantlessly on till they get total power over your kids suckers. Jonathan Cook picture it for you in his 2018: When Orwell’s 1984 Stopped Being Fiction.
You are doomed !!!
Very good analysis as usual, Saker!
Another difference between the NK/SK situation and the ME is that the Koreans are one people separated decades ago by war. Therefore these two countries’ peoples have much more in common than the very diverse ME populations do, in terms of religion, race, heritage, etc.
The situation in Korea is not nearly as complex as the ME for these reasons as well.
for the analysts among us Saker
that flooding in Ankara, Turkey, one district, just one, was hit with a torrential downpour Ma-mak District?
Strange isn’t it or rather quite remarkable? and guess what is located there? Turkey’s largest rubbish dump lol.
But there is something far more interesting I’m afraid located there:
“Public buildings include; the military prison, the subject of legend, poem and song; the military electronic surveillance centre; and Ankara’s largest rubbish dump.”
O, my what tales we weave gentlemen? and God is an absentee landlord? that Christ Jesus can’t be observed to exist?
Who in their right mind would ever listen to scientists?
Things to Know About Israel’s Alleged Top-Secret Nuclear Program
https://www.veteranstoday.com/2018/05/05/things-to-know-about-israels-alleged-top-secret-nuclear-program/
Israeli-Iranian Tensions Go Sky High As Israel Makes New Attempt To Undermine Nuclear Deal
https://www.veteranstoday.com/2018/05/05/israeli-iranian-tensions-go-sky-high-as-israel-makes-new-attempt-to-undermine-nuclear-deal/
Trump Treason: Mossad Run Contractor Paid to Falsify US Intel on Iran Nukes, Ordered by Donald Trump
Personally
https://www.veteranstoday.com/2018/05/06/trump-treason-mossad-run-contractor-paid-to-falsify-us-intel-on-iran-nukes-ordered-by-donald-trump-personally/
Jill Stein gives Netanyahu the finger
https://www.veteranstoday.com/2018/05/05/jill-stein-gives-netanyahu-the-finger/
» Things to Know About Israel’s Alleged Top-Secret Nuclear Program «
All fake and fraud. More relevant in case kinetic push comes to chaotic shove:
All states party to the CWC are automatically members.
4 UN Member States are non-members: Egypt, Israel, North Korea and South Sudan.
OPCW – Wikipedia
I don’t know which is more shocking.The thought of Netanyahu “the butcher of Gaza” sitting in honor at the Victory Day ceremonies in Moscow.Or seeing an internet site I respected try and excuse it like the Duran is doing:
“Israel’s Netanyahu to be guest of honour at Russia’s Victory Day Celebration
Major summit meeting between Russian and Israeli leaders against background of Russia’s 9th May Victory Day Celebration is planned”
http://theduran.com/israels-netanyahu-to-be-guest-of-honour-at-russias-9th-may-victory-day-celebration/
Some “choice” parts of the article:
“Foreign leaders who get invited to attend the Celebration are invariably persons in whom Russia takes a special interest, with an invitation being treated as a special honour.”
“Russia’s invitation to the Israeli leader will come as a surprise to many people given the recent tensions between Russia and Israel over Syria and Iran.”
That’s an understatement,if there ever was one.
“In reality an invitation to Israel’s leader is an obvious gesture in a celebration of Russia’s Victory over Nazism, with Russia and the Jewish State having not only a shared history of suffering and struggle against Nazism, but also a commonality of interest in opposing Nazism’s recurring manifestations today.”
Obvious Really!!!! You are conflating the zionist state of Israel with the Jewish people as a whole.That is the “exact” way that Israel wants the World to see it. Israel didn’t exist as a state until 3 years “after” the war ended. The zionist movement benefited (and still does) from that Jewish suffering, both “before” and “after” the war.Until Hitler decided to kill Jews instead of expel them.The zionists worked “hand and glove” with the nazis. The nazi plan fitted their desires to a T. And if it is so “obvious” why haven’t we seen Israeli leaders in past Victory Day ceremonies.The only “obvious” thing I see in having the “butcher of Gaza” there is a slap in the face to the Syrian SAA and Iranian and Hezbollah heroes that died from Israeli bombs and jihadi support over the years.Let alone the thousands of Palestinian victims of Israels apartheid state.Including the children killed in the last few weeks.As for the “common” suffering from the nazis. Israel has become a neo-fascist state itself. With apartheid laws and actions the nazis would certainly approve off. And has aided the neo-nazi regime in Ukraine that is busy killing and oppressing Russians as I type.
“Precisely because the supply of S-300 anti aircraft systems to Syria has the potential to disrupt Russia’s otherwise excellent relations with Israel – and given that the US strike on Syria was completely ineffective – I personally doubt the supply of S-300 anti aircraft systems to Syria will take place.”
I wonder about that too.
“However if it does take place then I expect the Russians to be at pains to assure the Israelis that Russia will maintain operation control over the S-300 in order to ensure that they are not used to threaten Israel’s air force or to affect its operations.”
Since Israel’s “operations” are one of the “main” reasons Syria needs the S-300. What would be the purpose of having it and not using it? That would be like me owning a gun but telling all the armed criminals,”don’t worry,I don’t have any bullets for it”.
On Victory Day I would expect to see leaders of allied states from WWII.
Leaders from current friendly states.
Leaders from states that are standing side by side on the battlefield with Russians today.
Not neo-fascist baby killers that practice a modern updated brand of genocide against their victims.
Your emotion, sentiment comes through clear as a bell and it resounds in my heart as well. I don’t know what is what anymore, tbh. The monsters (this was the suggestion provided on my keyboard following my previous sentence..) yeah, they appear as monsters to me. The whole lot of the allied axis (MBS, Netanyahoo, Trump with his henchmen behind him, Pence the ghoul, May, even Erdogen. He had no problem with ISIS before Russia came in kicking ass vs them and the failed coup attempt on him.)
I’m past the stage of fear, there was a moment of hope and inspiration that the forces of darkness were going to be defeated, that the resistance might be bolstered and united vs their common enemy. That a big player in RF might confront the heads (no, heart.. But they don’t have one) of the beast. At least call them out and provide evidence of their corroboration with the mercs that were unleashed upon Syria.
I get it that Russia is using restraint and diplomacy, urging for a political solution to this madness re Syria. And they have a much greater idea of what is what on the ground over there than myself. Of the temperament and psychology of the Empire, of Israel and KSA (MBS, warlords behind him). Interesting how Russia doesn’t shine any light on the war in Yemen vs the Houti people, et al. It is perfectly fine to express your feelings and concerns as you and others have.
(I note how even Larchmonter445, who I have sincere respect for, has assessed the situation in Syria, that it isn’t looking so positive for Syria (Iran also) and the resistance. I appreciate his honest and informed assessment. There are some tough questions, concerns I also struggle with. Even more today given the news of Netanyahoo being guest of honor at the V-Day celebrations.) I’m looking for some positive news already with this senseless war, whatever it is, in Syria, in Yemen and soon to be Iran. Going to be an exhilarating, harrowing next few months, what with the World Cup, Trump threatening to withdraw from the Iran deal, so much geopolitical activity compressed over a short span of time.
I pray for the best for Russia, for Syria, Iran, Yemen, for humanity, for the resistance. It’s getting to be overwhelming anymore. Russia must have nerves of steel. Must be some greater strategy in play. It is my hope anyway that they don’t give in to Israel. Start calling them out for their involvement in the war vs Syria. Not coddling (not sure what is Russia’s motive with the invitation of Netanyahu) their biggest war criminal. Surely there must be someone from opposition in Israel who actually are fighting for truth and justice inside Israel they can incite instead!?! I hear the citizens of Israel don’t much like Netanyahu or their present gov. That would be interesting to say the least.
I share your disgust at the thought of Netanyahu sitting in the VIP box in RF’s most significant parade Bob, but he’s going to be there as part of a working visit. It just so happens that the visit coincides with RF’s Victory Day parade. Now, it can be argued that the Russians could have timed it differently but I believe there is some value to RF in Netanyahu’s presence. Only God knows the real feelings of VVP and the RF General Staff about the gesture. If it is disgust then this invitation has to be international politics at its finest.
I don’t always agree with Mercouris’s opinions but in this case he makes some valid points. Let’s put on the ‘realist’ hat for a moment: RF is looking after its national interest in Syria. Russia’s presence in Syria is not entirely altruistic; it needs a peaceful Syria in the south. Russia’s immediate aims in Syria are to stop the terrorists and preserve Syria’s integrity. The object is to protect RF’s southern flank. Russia aims to get out of active fighting as soon as that is done. It does not help Russia if the conflict in Syria escalates to an open and full confrontation between Israel and Iran.
Russia is the only country in the disaster that is the ME who are friends with the immediate actors on both sides of the divide, Israel/Saudi vs Syria/Iran. RF and Israel are good friends — there are about a half million to a million Russians in Israel — although that friendship has become somewhat frayed in recent months over events unfolding in Syria. Russia also wants to see a peaceful and stable Iran.
So I believe that RF is trying to broker some sort of deal where the simmering Israeli/Iran conflict can be reduced or at least ‘frozen.’ Contrary to their rhetoric I think both sides may actually welcome a freeze and let life go on as usual. That doesn’t mean that their maneuvering will stop, of course; just no shooting at each other. The S-300 may be a bargaining chip here. RF’s reluctance to supply S-300 to Syria out of regard for Israel’s feelings is past — Russia has already said so. We don’t know if the missiles are already in situ but its their use that really matters. VVP may just squeeze an agreement from Netanyahu not to complicate matters any further and let RF secure its southern flank which I think, looking at the Ukraine and now, the Southern Caucasus (Armenia), has become quite urgent for RF. And of course softening Netanyahu by inviting him to the Victory Day parade will go some way to achieving that agreement.
basil
Does Israel begin the third world war? – Christoph Hörstel to the situation calendar week 18 – Video
You can change the language of the subtitles from German to English
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t0avvDrl0RQ
Here an article that clarify what was going behind the scene
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/may/05/trump-team-hired-spy-firm-dirty-ops-iran-nuclear-deal
Things are getting very serious but at the same time the truth is coming out…
The ongoing machinations of the Anglozionists (USA/Israel) aimed at Syria/Iran/Russia is akin to a Popeye cartoon. The question is when will the seeming underdogs utter “that’s all I can stand, I can’t stands no more” and pop open the spinach can.
Andrei, you today with this missive, have clearly stated emphatically what happens when the SHTF.
A beautifully expressed, with your trademark sly humor, warning to those of ignoramus standing
what their stupidity would bring onto the more civilized world.
Saker makes the observation that the neocons are actual idiots. Their internal logic gives them any answer they want so that they cannot realistic see the consequences and fallout of their actions even at the most simplistic and base levels. And as events don’t followi their fantasy scenarios, yes, they will double down until some interlopers can do an intervention.
Saker’s pleas for sanity reminds me of Abraham trying to stop God from destroying Sodom. Hopefully this time the result is different.
Israhell is now making the claim that an incoming missile attack by Iran from Syria/Hezbollah from Lebanon is imminent.
https://www.jpost.com/Middle-East/Report-Iran-planning-to-launch-a-barrage-of-missiles-against-Israel-553644
This source has more, and claims that the Truman strike group has agreed to support Israels “response”.
http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2488-claim-iran-in-final-preps-for-massive-missile-attack-upon-israel-rumor-israel-to-attack-first
How many really believe the “intelligence” provided by Israel(ies) anymore?
I want to touch on your notion of ‘dialectical illiteracy’, Saker. I credit you with giving renewed currency, in the geopolit blogosphere, to the lost science of dialectical analysis (certainly re-recognition of it) which probably fell out with Marxism. It was one of the first things that drew me to this site a few years back.
The exceptionalist mindset is walled off and hermetic. Brushing against competing theses can only soil or dilute the divine mission. The Canaanite-Tyrian-Phoenician-Black Nobility etc. ‘bloodlines’ are the biological analog of hermetic remove where purity is a centuries-old fixation. From their perspective, dialectics is a cynical tactic employed to horizontalize societal energies for the purpose of averting vigorous attempts to overthrow the tippiest-top.
How might we plebes speak up for dialectical literacy? Until a unit of currency jostles around in a hundred pockets, its value cannot be ascertained. The elite protected their tiny numbers and improbable wealth through information control. In hindsight we can see just how easy it was, what dupes we were. World history may have been little more than a procession of false flags. Just as exceptionalists had fallen hopelessly under the sway of their own imaginings, G-d made a funny thing happen. On the eighth day He created distributive network architecture. The bottom was handed a powerful equilibrating tool. Here we are using it.
As for America, it is grossly out to lunch dialectically speaking. Not surprisingly, notions of exceptionalism are the rage here. And yes, illiteracy in this regard is a fair charge. If I can quote myself from an earlier Saker blog outing:
“America’s aversion to introspection permitted it to circumvent the dialectical process (that the disintegrating Soviet Union had no choice but to pass through) by audaciously claiming one-sided victory in the First Cold War. This undigested Hegelian synthesis goes on to become a catastrophe for the world:
“Refused her duly earned ticker-tape parade, America was presented instead, at war’s end, with the preposterous Neocon invocation to beat her sword into yet another sword. The interminable loop of permawar (itself an indigestible bit of ahistorical mischief) became America’s ‘way forward’. As for our supposed adversary, ‘terror’, it offers an inexhaustible emotional response to perils of the real, imagined and endlessly manipulated kinds. The Neocon catastrophe is now a matter of global record. The peace dividend was purloined by a unipolar will-to-power that metastasized into a monomania worthy of Ahab himself.”
The mere passage of time—days stacked on days—carries neutral historical content. History measures itself in the birthing and discarding of ideas. In Hegelian terms, because historical synthesis in America was not allowed to happen, Bolshevism is free to renew itself on American shores like a new, old plague. Certainly the appearance of Trump impedes this process. Whether Trumpism can, in the long term, avert Bolshevism (essentially, collectivization and centralized control) altogether runs counter to the eschatological necessity, within Abrahamic traditions, for a climactic and unassailable evil.”
–from /pinning-the-trail-on-the-donkey
Exceptionalism is anathema to dialectical synthesis. Shut-off, incommunicative, arrogant, autistic, slow to respond to historical necessity. This rigidity will get it in the end.
FSD
Satan’s Bankers are the real warmongers for they want total control, global control, and always have.
Germany was twice sacrificed to solidify Deep State interests … so were the UK, France, China, Japan, and Russia, and now the Middle East. The USA is next, for we are the last major obstacle to global control.
Follow the gold: Satan always controls the gold. Two puppets, Russia and China, hold some gold, but the metal is still effectively controlled by the Deep State. The USA holds no gold.
Follow the debt: The Deep State has stolen $Zillions from the USA. America operates on debt, which is controlled by the Deep State, who can issue a margin call anytime.
In the last analysis, fuel, food, and weather are also subject to Deep State manipulation.
If the puppets don’t wake up soon, game over.
Saker why Russia does not offer the S-400 systems to Iran as well? Syria should have it of course if only for the security of the Russian persona stationed there.
Links to the original articles by Alastair Crooke and Mark Perry
Part 1: http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/HJ12Ak01.html
Part 2: http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/HJ13Ak01.html
Part 3: http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/HJ14Ak01.html
Also useful to refer to this article to understand IDF’s performance in 2006:
http://turcopolier.typepad.com/sic_semper_tyrannis/2018/05/httpwwwunzcomplangisraels-juvenile-ground-army.html
http://www.unz.com/plang/israels-juvenile-ground-army/
> Russia also understands that Iran’s security and safety is absolutely crucial to her own security, especially along her southern borders.
Russia has no difficulty flying over the Caspian to Iran, or sailing its warships down there, but a land bridge would be better for resupplying materiel. So that implies taking over Georgia and Armenia, and the oilfields of Azerbaijan would then look very tempting, as well as reconstituting the old Soviet boundaries. Such an invasion would be comparatively easy as they know the country well, and it’s starting from the home base.
I don’t suppose Putin would do that in the current environment, but I would expect his military would have the plans all drawn up, in the event of a US invasion of Iran (and there would have to be US boots-on-the-ground to actually impose a regime change).
This would make a hell of a geopolitical bloc: Turkey, Georgia, (Abkhazia, South Ossettia), Armenia, Azerbaijan, Syria, Iraq and Iran.
Russian bloc
Georgia, Armenia, Azerjbaijan…
Caucasus is called Caucasus for a reason.
Remember, to help Osetia there was one single cross-mountain tunnel, and if Georgian would succeed in sealing it there would be no way Russian 58th army march into Osetia with all her might.
So, I beg to concur. If anyone would need a landmass route to militarily supply Iran – it should be a railway *east* of Caspian Sea.
But most probably sea route is quite enough already.
That does not touch the prospects of Nord-south Logistics Corridor that was expected to complement OBOR before JCPOA shifted EU sanctions from Iran.
dear saker, i would like to know your thoughts on the possibility of proxy wars on Russia. We know that th anglozionists control Georgia, ukraine,possibly Armenia now. We used jihadists before. Is it possible that they might try to use these countries as proxies? After all these not nato members but still nato controlled(no article 5, no escalation). If used in some form of coordination how likely would nato get its desired localised war against Russia? Your thoughts please, thanks.
> As does The Jerusalem Post, NBC News, and many others
the NBC link is broken in that phrase, it leads to j-post instead of NBC
Same mistake on UNZ