Yesterday a reader emailed me telling me that the Ukronazis had used a Bayraktar attack drone against the LDNR. I replied that I doubted it very much because as far as I knew, the Turks had not yet finished to build the Bayraktars locally. Apparently, I was wrong and the Ukronazis also purchased 12 Bayraktars off the shelf, ready to use.
Now the Ukrainian propaganda is filled with triumphant statements about how effective this strike was and how Russia could not do anything about the Bayraktar: not detect it, not jam it and not shoot it down.
Reports from the LDNR also confirm numerous artillery strikes on the LDNR.
What does that all mean?
This is yet again a desperate attempt by Kiev to force the Russians to openly intervene. See here for my previous analysis.
How much of a military difference do these Bayraktars really make?
Actually, in military terms – zero: we know that in both Syria and Nagorno-Karabakh the Russians shot down these drones in huge numbers, they even spoke of a “Bayraktars rainfall”: some were fried in the air, others shot down, and some even landed by Russian forces. These drones are not hard to detect (their RCS is not particularly low) and they are slow. Finally, they depend on a datalink. Hence their failure in both Karabakh and Syria as soon as the Russians got involved.
Politically, however, this is a very big deal.
First, when the news of the delivery of these drones was made public, the representatives of the LDNR said that they were ready and that they had counter-measures prepared. This latest strike, if confirmed, begs the question of what really happened and whether the LDNR officials showed some rather irresponsible over-confidence (LDNR forces do not have the kind of EW capabilities Russia does).
Second, the Russian themselves should have detected this flight and reacted (they probably did). Nobody knows for sure if they did and, if they did, why they did not try to protect the LDNR (at least with EW capabilities). Maybe the Russians are now looking for a pretext to get more involved, not as much as the US/EU would want, but enough to increase the LDNR capabilities in preparation for the future, probably inevitable, Russian intervention in the eastern Ukraine?
Still, whatever may be the case, this strike will force both the LDNR and Russia to do something.
Officially Bayraktar was not used as part of an offensive, it was a single strike on a single artillery positions.
However, Ukrainian forces did enter the “grey zone” between the LDNR and the Ukronazis forces and have captured a small village whose population includes Russian citizens. That is a direct violation of all the terms of the ceasefire.
Worse, there are reports of a SECOND such Bayraktar attack on an oil storage facility.
Needless to say, the OSCE monitors have noticed nothing and ditto from the collective West.
The Ukrainian plan is to acquire 50 such Bayraktars. So unless Russia does something they will repeat and escalate.
The Ukies have nothing to lose (they have no energy for the winter, there are protests and riots about this, the country is deindustrialzed and COVID is devastating their crumbling medical capabilities, and Ze is deeply unpopular).
Russian options include:
- Best option: let the LDNR deal with this problem with only covert assistance.
- Use EW systems to destroy or even land these Bayraktars (they did that 15 times in Armenia)
- Shoot down the Bayraktars, from the ground or from the air
I do not think that Russia can ignore that, so I expect a Russian response in the very near future.
I personally would urge them to declare a no-fly zone over the LDNR, supported by an EW “cupola” over the LDNR, just like what the Russians did on northern Syria. Second, Russia should declare that any military aircraft, manned or not, appearing to be closing in to attack the LDNR will be shot down before it gets within striking range (a single MiG-31BM on combat air patrol near the LDNR/Russia border can achieve this). The last line of defense would be Russian air defenses which can easily protect the LDNR airspace.
Yes, if Russia does that, she will be blamed for starting a war, but what other option does she have but to take action?
Andrei
So basically the US of Arrogance is trying to draw Russia directly into the conflict in order to justify a US full invasion of Ukraine?
The US won’t do anything expect pushing for all kinds of sanctions on Russia. I am thinking about swift and nord stream 2.
In case you don’t know blinken is pushing to include Taiwan in the United Nations which could trigger war and all Iran s gaz stations have been disabled by a very powerful hacking attack.
Russia / China / Iran here you have the three fronts war of the US empire.
US invasion of Ukraine is impossible.
It is very questionable if they actually did what they claimed.
Maybe it was PR stunt.
In Russian: https://aftershock.news/?q=node/1027899&page=1#comments
Saker says it was a single hit, not used as part of an offensive.
I saw the video of it on twitter..very grainy, slow motion,.. the terrain on the video has no vegetation, looks like a desert..(?). The military people will have to confirm what this really was.
Tass confirms that the Ukrainians have captured a village in the grey disengagement zone, so there has definitely been an escalation. According to unconfirmed twitter accounts, another village (Smeloe) was attacked as well.
Russian correspondents on the ground confirmed the two strikes, including the one on the oil storage facility
Yes, and the Ukraine says they were hacked. This is a reliable tweet from an account frequently quoted by the one Russian secretary of the permanent mission to the UN.
https://twitter.com/DeanoBeano1/status/1453426761102921733
https://twitter.com/DeanoBeano1/status/1453429170327986179
(Their defense is going to be the dog ate their homework!)
Very difficult situation. I’ve been on all the important twitters today from the various Russian missions and not one word. I guess this is analysis by the absence of something, but they are not commenting and I would think waiting for guidance from the bosses.
It is concerning that Russia did not see ‘incoming’ unless they decided not to see it.
Lavrov:
MOSCOW, October 27. /TASS/. Russia in contact with Donbass representatives is probing into reports Ukraine has used a Turkish drone Bayraktar in Donbass, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov told a news conference on Wednesday.
“As far as reports the Ukrainian military has used a Bayratkar drone in Donbass are concerned, we are probing into them. There has been a downpour of statements from authorities in Kiev, and it is very hard to figure out what is true and what is false. We have used all resources available to recheck this in contact with the Donbass representatives,” he said.
“In principle, this affair should give food for thought to those who connive with Ukraine’s stubborn demands it should be admitted to NATO right away. And, of course, to those who are arming the neo-Nazis-controlled regime in Kiev,” Lavrov said.
i think, the LDNR should be ‘given’ the ‘matching advance toys’ and they should go taliban-style war mode… the time for rus proper to intervene is still abit tricky… considering the Bigger Picture of the wider worlds… is there a possibility of rus ‘blackwater’?
personally I think the time ripen for rus to ‘rescue’ donbass (or wider area) shld match the same timing for chi to ‘rescue’ taiwan – just a noty thought :p
still, fact is ukienazi and taiwan-independence are dying fast from lack of ‘oxygen’ to the ‘blood’…
bwbs
I suppose the LDNR could “buy” EW equipment from Russia, and operate it “themselves”. I do not suppose there is an embargo on selling military equipment to the combatants.
It is illegal to supply weapons to rebels in another country. The parts could be moved to LDNR and assembly there however, that would legalize it, then LDNR could claim they created them themselves, that is what houthies does in Yemen with Iran drones.
Or simply recongize the LDNR as sovereign states.
Yes, I am getting the feeling that scenario is getting closer and closer. The reason Russia has not already done so, like she did with the Georgian provinces is that the west might use it as an excuse to activate painful sanctions and in 2014 Russia was too attached to the west, however as more time passes Russia disconnects from the west more and more and her hands become free. The number of Russian citizens in LDNR also increases steadily, giving legal and moral justification.
One day Russia could just proclaim that she needs to protect her citizens and move troops to defend LDNR and there would be no further Ukrainian attacks, just like there are no Ukrainian attacks on Crimea, except for covert attacks of course. Even if Ukrainian soldiers were given orders to fire at Russian troops in Donbas they would likely refuse. Russia would not need to conquer any territory, not even anymore of Donbas, just move her troops in and that is the end of that.
The west would whine, but unless they kicked Russia out of swift or declared they would never buy Russian gas again, there is not much they can do, and secretly many in W.Europe would probably be relieved that the situation is mostly over. Then the only thing to do is to wait for Ukraine to collapse completely or directly attack Russian troops and be gone in a few days.
The situation in Georgia 2008 was slightly different – georgians conducted artillery strikes on russian peacekeepers, who were stationed in South Ossetia with UN manate. So from “legal” point of view (BTW, when it comes to warfare, the word “legal” is inapplicable) it was a clear-cut casus belli.
I believe I read a few years ago that the Russians had recognized the Republic of Abkhazia as a state.And they they in turn recognize the DPR and LPR as states. In that case Russia could “sell” Abkhazia all the military equipment needed.And then they could “sell” it to the Donbass states. Legal problem solved and Russian has plausible deniability. It’s just a matter of the will to aid Donbass in stopping those attacks. I have several FB friends in Donbass and they post daily about these,and many more attacks they are under from the Ukies. Every day or so the Ukies kill 1,2,3,4,up to 5 sometimes, self-defense fighters in attacks.If the reporting is true that Donbass has a military force of 30-40 thousand,those pin-prick losses are taking a toll.Russia needs to “sell” the Donbass the equipment to hit back at the Ukies and stop these attacks that are giving Donbass a “death of a thousand cuts”.
On a side note,I learned the other day that the famous Red Star on the main Kremlin gate was designed and built for the gate in Donbass in 1935.One more connection if there is a need for another one ,that the Donbass ,known in magazines as the “Heart of Russia”,is connected to Russia.
https://www.pinterest.fr/pin/294282156900783012/
Or recognize Ukraine part of EU and start proactively sanctioning EU for Kiev’s transgression, and also for any “violations of Ukrainians’ rights in EU countries”
I know it would not be a rational mode today, not yet. Just needed to vent some steam off…
After all “Doble helix” framework implies Russia would not go ballistic and cut ties with EU without discussing it with China first
Giving them Pantsir for exemple could solve the problem and shoot down the drones. But by doing that Russia won’t be able to keep saying that she is not involved in the conflict and nato could use that as a pretext to escalate the sanctions. Many in the west dream about defeating Russia in ukraine so the real question is how far nato is ready to escalate. I hope common sense will prevail.
LDNR could always just “find” a few Pantsir deep in a mine.
I dont think the sanctions matter much anymore.
Turkey allowing neo-Nazis to kill Russian citizens => open war on Turkish forces in Syria, led by Syria with a little – well, ok, a lot – of help from their friends. Drive the hardcore takfiris into Turkey. That should give Turdagain his own headache.
Zionists may also be using those drones to check Russian EW capabilities on the western frontier? Just a speculation.
Assuming it happened (which is assuming a lot), let us see if the OSCE Special Monitoring Mission does its job or it proves to be as politically compromised as most “international” institutions. Perhaps Russia can show them the evidence (probably should not be necessary as they should have their own) and perhaps at a UN emergency meeting.
Odds are, they will have to go it alone in the end, but at least they can say they have tried.
Given that OSCE SMM head himself is UNA/UPSO high rank officers offspring (albeit of Melnikov’s wing not Bandera’s) it is slim chance they would report anything except for perhaps some most vague and inconclusive words, like “something reported blasted in rebels depot, there is ongoing escalation between Russia-backed separatists and Ukrainians”
I am not an expert on economic issues, but it seems to me that if this economic crisis continues due to the pandemic, the West will need an urgent transition to a war economy to avoid social tensions, riots, revolutions, coups, etc. Now the question arises when exactly the West will need war? I am sure that Putin and his associates are aware of this and will not fall into the trap. If they do not openly enter the conflict on the side of the separatists, they can help to a lesser extent. But that is why they will not be able to condition the course of the conflict which can turn into something very malignant. If they openly enter into a conflict with Ukraine, they have entered into a conflict with the West, which is eagerly awaited. There are certainly political options available to Russia that I know nothing about. So about Ukrainian TB2 drones I would refer to Brigadier General Jack D. Ripper and his statement;
“War is too important to be left to politicians. They have neither the time, the training, nor the inclination for strategic thought.”
The video of the attack I saw was an artillery position. It is strange to me that the video was released so quickly to the public realm. Clearly after some recent DoD visits to the region someone wants to escalate. Rather pathetic and I am sure Russia will deal with these antics easily.
It looks to me like a D-30 position. The video signal was received in the comment post, which probably had PR people ready to air it on Ukie TV.
So D-30 has a maximum effective range of about 15 miles or so? Pretty close to the line of conflict between the two forces. Normally a move like this would be in preparation for a ground assault in this sector. Nobody is reporting that so the only conclusion for me is this is a PR stunt. So the question is why? The whole world knew Ukraine had purchased these drones so I am very sure Russia and LPR forces have a contingency plan to counter this development. I would expect quiet effective moves by Russia as there is absolutely no need to escalate on their part. For LPR forces this is a very serious turn of events that needs to be countered immediately. Tactically causes small tweeks, strategically there is no difference for Russia.
There are a lot of unknowns. Like why was this D-30 (if that is what it was) not dug in and why the the crew appear to scatter AFTER the strike? They should be all dead, right?
The Ukies first claimed that the drone flew deep inside LDNR airspace
Then the said that it fire from outside the LDNR airspace.
The coordinates were, apparently, removed from the videos.
Could even be that this is an old Turkish video from the NG war
But there are CONFIRMED destructions in the LDNR, but whether this was artillery or a drone is still not certain, at least as far as I know.
Here is what baffles me most: the Russian EW capabilities should have EASILY detected this drone, even at takeoff. So either they did nothing (did not get the order to do something), or they were cocky and overconfident.
I honestly don’t know.
We will know more in 24 hours for (pretty) sure.
Question: did it occur to anyone that this could be a pure fiction fabricated for PR purposes?
If I’m not mistaken, Ukrainians do have D-30s, so it shouldn’t be difficult to find one that’s beyond repair and to use it for target practice. Then release the video as a “succesful strike” on LDNR position.
Russian options include:
*Best option: let the LDNR deal with this problem with only covert assistance.
*Use EW systems to destroy or even land these Bayraktars (they did that 15 times in Armenia)
*Shoot down the Bayraktars, from the ground or from the air
Turkey should also be punished for:
*Declaring it will help Ukraine recover its “inseparable province” of Crimea
*Supplying drones & logistics to Ukraine, ISIS, and al-Qaeda in Syria
If Russian citizens were/are killed then Russia should openly launch a retaliatory strike against those responsible, even if it is in Lviv or some other far Western Ukrainian city. After all, Russia can do nothing right in the eyes of the West, so why bother caring about its “Western image?”
Final, somewhat unrelated note: It appears the average “mainstream” Ukrainian has completely forgotten their Russian heritage, because they are using threats to try and intimidate. That is typical Anglo-Saxon behaviour. Furthermore, had they remembered their Russian heritage they would remember that threatening Anglo style is perceived by Russians as a sign of desperate weakness.
Blaming Turkey makes really no sense, but raising the costs to Turkey for such events might be a very good idea.
The best way for “raising the costs to Turkey” would be to fully support SAA offensive in Idlib (and, then, also in Al-Bab and Azaz)
Is it the official position of the Turkish Government that Crimea is an “inseparable” part of Ukraine?
Like I said in your previous article about putin s last statement nato doesn t want to deal with the mess that ukraine has become so throwing ukraine against Russia has become the most likely scenario.
UK could provide cruise missiles to kiev on the near future and the US keeps giving military supply to kiev (3 batches in October) which includes ATGMs.
Ukraine could try something like what azerbaijan did last year in navorno-kharabah.
I think the goal is to force Russia to intervene and then to put as many sanctions as western countries can on Russia including possibly disconnecting Russia from swift and blocking gaz supply from nord stream 2.
Of course we can only speculate on what could happen and hopefully nothing will happen. But at this point things could escalate quickly.
Option two, use EW systems to destroy or even land these Bayraktars, is the best since it gives plausible deniability.
But here is the problem: the Kremlin is now facing INTERNAL pressure to act.
They cannot ignore that or, if they do, it will be at a serious political cost
It is not so easy I think, you have to be in range to use EW or AA, if Ukraine was just flooding a specific area with drones it would be easy, but if they do rsndom single attacks over the entire front, that cannot be stopped easily
ukrops appear to continuing their strategy of attacking oil terminal be yet again . electrical transformers.. gas pipelines.
Heavy military equipment has been released from holding areas to move forwards.There seems to be a consolidated movement to occupy more territory that implies a more determined effort to see what they can get away with before winter…as the B and other drones would be more successful against LNR-DPR tanks and mobile missile units especially as Ukr has received its latest delivery of 60m dollars worth of new Javelin missiles etc .
Troubling.
ukr trying to prove USA money has been well spent and well used….and that USA not joining in Normandy 4 group as Russia invited…has been the correct choice for Nato objectives…the twisted plan by USA at any cost to cause events to permit Ukr to officially join in Nato asap….ignoring Shougu’s concerns as recently expressed and complying with German politicians public wishes to if necessary nuke the Russians.
The Turkish drone industry is “taking off” (excuse the pun) as we read from these two articles:
1. https://besacenter.org/the-rise-and-rise-of-turkish-drone-technology/
2. https://epictetusa.medium.com/the-new-turkish-drone-akinci-why-its-a-critical-national-project-for-turkey-8a3925cf6c61
We also learn that a manufacturing drone plant is being built in the Ukraine.
See: https://tekdeeps.com/a-plant-for-the-production-of-turkish-bayraktar-drones-will-appear-in-ukraine-unian/
Turkish Foreign Minister Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba appears to be more of a marketing director than a government official as he touts Turkey’s weapons industry that will also produce surface vessels for the Ukrainian Navy, according to the embedded article.
I didn’t realize that Ukraine has sufficient funds in its treasury to spend on these weapons given the poor state of the economy. But we can surmise the money comes from the U.S. led NATO consortium, no doubt.
The recent Ukrainian attack on LDNR that Saker identified shows (1) Ukraine violated the Minsk II agreement (2) Ukraine will continue further attacks on their terms and do not believe it will suffer any serious consequences as long as it has the support of U.S.-NATO.
What choices do the people of Donbass have to protect themselves other than to rely on Mother Russia to intervene in some capacity on their behalf?
Saker suggested 3 options, all of which are military in nature. We can be certain diplomacy is not a path forward because that takes sensible and rational men and they do not exist other than from the Russian side.
I am not a military strategist by any means; I leave that up to the Saker, smoothiex12, Larchmonter445, Auslander, et al. However I see a possible alternative to fracture the control of the Nazis in charge of the Kiev government.
Use INTERPOL (International Criminal Police Organization) to bring attention to the powerful men behind Kiev’s criminal syndicate
See: https://www.interpol.int/en/Who-we-are/What-is-INTERPOL
Okay stop laughing, I’m serious.
The current budget of INTERPOL at 136 million Euros, pales in comparison to the 2021 budget of the FBI, which is over 9 billion dollars USD (see: https://www.interpol.int/Who-we-are/Our-funding ).
What if INTERPOL gets a donation from the “Friends of INTERPOL” to boost its budget so it can pursue the wealthy behind Kiev who are involved in all sorts of international criminal activity?
Here is a list of the seven richest men in Ukraine (see: https://ceoworld.biz/2021/04/20/ukrainian-billionaires-the-7-richest-people-in-ukraine-2021/).
Number 4 on the list is Ihor Kolomoyskyy, who is behind many underworld activities for sure.
Money is all it takes and INTERPOL can go after men like Kolomoyskyy if it has enough of it, just like the FBI does.
Here is a list of the 10 richest billionaires in Russia (see: https://www.forbes.com/sites/chasewithorn/2021/04/06/the-10-richest-russian-billionaires-2021/?sh=730ab2a6e84e ).
We all know how “persuasive” President Putin can be (he’s not on the list, by the way), so what it Putin approaches these Russian oligarchs and “asks them politely” to pony up a few bucks to help INTERPOL go after the Ukrainian billionaires?
The FBI has the funds to reach around the world and so must INTERPOL. Russia should consider using INTERPOL as its proxy behind the scene so to speak and then the money behind Kiev may dry up.
There’s money to be made in the Ukraine when Kiev topples and these Russian billionaires have a nose for profit; that’s for sure.
Ukrainian billionaires verses Russian billionaires for what’s left of the Ukraine.
Even U.S.-NATO cannot overcome that kind of greed.
Just in time for a european energy crisis this winter.
Complicated matters indeed. Another click leading to the bang. I don’t see the point anymore in “buying time” scenario when it comes to relations with zionazis. War is inevitable anyway, so Russia should draw the red line after all and do whatever is necessary.
On the Asia front, the US continues to ratchet up its “Taiwan card”…
Recent exercises with Japan were also clearly aimed at pressuring Russia AND China… though Russia and China also had a befitting response.
Best option going forward is for China and Russia to continue to work together, support each other, nurture each other so the US can’t fathom going on an offensive war.l against either of them.
Second best option is for China and Russia to defeat the US in a war … if war must come … to free the world as well as American citizens from the tyranny of the the American Deep State.
Putin should should just keep on staying in the cool. Ukraine knows, but will not admit, that Russia has no fears comparing military potentials (even with NATO). And yes and above all the west is still thinking they are always the best. Let Ukraine and the west play their games. They are trying to trick Russia into something that could be framed as a blame of escalation…just like the USA is doing about Taiwan. There are no more hotspots, so only games. In the big picture both Ukraine and Taiwan are much ado about nothing .Putin understands this and so does China. China does not need some tech place like Taiwan (which has little else…like South Korea), Russia is happy to be done with the troubled nazi child of Ukraine. The only really hotspot is the west and their fascism against everybody else!!! Can one imagine a war against Russia, China, Iran and North Korea + allies…a war the real military people in the west know can never be won. Everything in the west is some game or made into one. covid is just the latest in that long line…this is not to say that it is not a really bad strain of coronavirus (it is or soon to be was) )but that in the west covid became a political game from the offset. That was a big mistake. If we play their game, they control us. If we live our life, they cannot.
What u have said is the truth 100%.another excellent real life full logical and article full of facts by the saker.
I don’t think drones are a game changer. Even from a tactical point of view. The ground in Syria is littered with them. Russia should of course provide the LDNR with the necessary equipment to disable such devices, but should refrain from upping the ante. If LDNR is to be an independent country some not too distant day, then it’s troops should be hardened by combat. It would take very little assistance from Russia to restore the balance. From a Ukrainian perspective however, it would be a big fiasco. Not only has Ukraine invested heavily in such weapons monetarily, but has placed high hopes on them too (same as Hitler with his V2) . A reversal on the battlefield could prove disastrous for Ze and his thugs.
Pal I have said many many times the Anglo zionist empire is fighting a war already lost in the globe . Ukraine nazis can do nothing except shelling and some drone attacks. If conflict do occur in that area in the near future than it will be a complete rout for the Ukraine nazis zio foolish slaves.
More drone attack tonight?
https://twitter.com/theragex/status/1453453075239378945?s=20
I think we should try to find answers to a few questions.
– Are these strikes a ukrainian attempt to put pressure on the EU to block NS2?
– Is ukraine ready to escalate with more strikes?
– What the western sponsors of kiev are looking for with those strikes?
– What would be the smartest reaction from Russia? Wait for now? Intervene but with plausible deniability? Escalate to de-escalate?
– What kiev and its western sponsors are more likely to do next?
A humoristic answer to those questions ;-) :
– Are these strikes a ukrainian attempt to put pressure on the EU to block NS2?
More like to impress them – see, we, the Ukies are still fighting and beating those bad russians. And you, EU pussies caved to them.
– Is ukraine ready to escalate with more strikes?
Of course they are – literally, they have nothing left to lose. Including freedom and sovereignity.
– What the western sponsors of kiev are looking for with those strikes?
Probably the anglo-americans. Such PR stunts align perfectly with the anglo-americans worldview.
– What would be the smartest reaction from Russia? Wait for now? Intervene but with plausible deniability? Escalate to de-escalate?
For Russia, probably the best COA is to do nothing. Except for covert technical assistance.
– What kiev and its western sponsors are more likely to do next?
Probably more of the same hoping for different result. And we all know what Einstein said about people doing such things ;-).
r.e what else can russia do?
as i believe you have pointed out in your own analysis, or certainly are aware of, the US and its puppets are trying their best to instigate chaos on the borders of russia and china, put it all on the airwaves and distract the populations of zone A from the rather obvious ever increasing tyranny and looting, needless to say this is especialy the case for the kiev authorities.. russia taking any action serves their purposes, so russia needs to act in a calm and calculated fashion.. its rather obvious that kiev may be doing it in a last ditch effort to force the europeans to block NS2 alongside other things, all in all, russia responding with force would be giving the lunatic asylum what they want, as much as it seems allot of us want russia to respond with force it may not be the correct solution..
there are some other options such as:
1. sudden ‘readiness drills’, especialy in the regions around ukraine (would be an active deterrant but would still give kiev and its fellow loonies ammunition)
2. deploying the legal system with all the evidence the russian government has aparently been collecting over the years and present it at a UNSC or similar meeting, the collective west would obviously pretend it never existed but could use the remaining weight to force some diplomatic change (possible, and could be used as cover for enforcing a no-fly zone excluding the OSCE)
3. dangle the possibility for ze to have a face to face meeting with putin but only on certain terms (more difficult to do properly, but who knows he might bite)
im not sure if the ukies have done this with any real intention to launch an offensive, wet weather is begining to come in, it wouldnt be ideal but i suppose for a provocation while trying to restrict how well the russians can respond it has value. still, it may be that russia will make use of a variety of the options mentioned but ultimately make soft moves, and let the ukies ether blow their steam or dig their own graves. regardless the russian approach is likely be that of patience..
also, the 2nd attempted drone attack appears to be **not a bayraktar** but a what looks like an improvised suicide drone, i dont believe i can post LDPR sources but it did appear to have an explosive charge, and it was intentionaly flown into the site.. https://twitter.com/KyleJGlen/status/1453419200786087936
it is amazing how young people and people in ukraine live in a bubble. They live normally, go to clubs to listen to electronic music with American and European artists, talk about English football, and Cristiano Ronaldo’s new destiny, and don’t realize they are on top of a powder keg. What happened to Eastern Europe, how stupid. People laugh, have fun, as if world war 3 didn’t exist before them. What happened to humanity? The intelligences for the planet will intervene, because I think that humanity does not realize that it is heading towards extinction!!!
the people who elected the Polish prime minister say that europe is communist. Is Poland regretting being in the European Union? Lots of meeting happening in europe and ukraine right now.
In Ukraine, Young bourgeois, children of rich people living in a bubble, consuming popular culture, thinking they are unattainable. Wishes for peace in Eastern Europe.