The Armenian defense in the southern part of the Nagorno-Karabakh region seems to be collapsing as the advancing Azerbaijani forces are about to reach the strategic Lachin corridor.
On October 23, Azerbaijani troops were filmed near the village of Muradxanlı, which is located in about 15 km from this strategic area. Even if this Azerbaijani unit was just a field recognizance patrol and the main forces of the Turkish-Azerbaijani bloc still have to overcome Armenian resistance to reach the area, the fact of the Azerbaijani presence there marks the hard situation on the frontline for the Armenians.
The Lachin corridor is a mountain pass within the de jure borders of Azerbaijan, forming the shortest route between Armenia and the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic (Republic of Artsakh). The cutting off of Lachin will destroy the remaining hopes of the Armenian side to achieve a military victory in the ongoing war. Meanwhile, President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev announced that his forces took full control of the Azerbaijani-Iranian border after capturing the village of Aghband. The Azerbaijani leader also declared that the Armenians lost 21 more settlements in the districts of Zangilan, Fuzuli and Jabrayil.
The Armenian military denies the collapse of its defense lines in the south and claims that Azerbaijani units appearing on video are just sabotage parties. According to the Armenian side, various Azerbaijan troops tried to advance in the western, northern and northwestern directions, but all of these offensive attempts were repelled. The Azerbaijani military allegedly suffered heavy losses.
The Armenian side insists that the towns of Hadrut and Fuzuli are in fact not in the hands of Azerbaijan. It insists that various units of the Armed Forces of Azerbaijan penetrate into different settlements in the front-line zone trying to create panic and make selfies there. These groups, according to Armenian media, are very small and often run away from Armenian troops. The optimism of Armenian officials is at least surprising.
According to reports, Armenian troops left the town of Aghband with almost no resistance to the Azerbaijani Armed Forces supported by Turkish specialists and Syrian militants. This move was likely a result of the need to save personnel and keep at least some reserves needed on other parts of the frontline. The defending of the almost surrounded town makes no sense. Nonetheless, videos and photos appearing online indicate that Armenian sabotage groups are also active in the rear of the advancing Azerbaijani forces. In that area, if they have enough supplies and weapons, they would be able to deliver painful blows to the logistical convoys of the Turkish-Azerbaijani bloc. It is likely that his activity is a formal pretext behind the statements of the Armenian Ministry of Defense that Azerbaijan has not gained full control of the border with Iran.
Forces of Azerbaijan continue to take control of settlements and villages in the south of Karabakh. Most of them are empty as the locals (ethnic Armenians) know well what fate they could face. It seems that the south of Karabakh is already lost for Armenia.
The Azerbaijani advance along the border with Iran through the relatively flat ground (if one compares it with the rest of Karabakh) appears to be a success. Now the Azerbaijani military and its allies are working to fully secure the border with Iran and set conditions for an operation to capture the Lachin corridor. The ability or inability of Azerbaijan to capture Lachin could become another turning point in the war.
Under the current conditions, it seems that a relatively positive outcome of the conflict for Karabakh forces would be possible in the event of the involvement some third power that would provide them with direct military assistance. Nonetheless, this scenario remains unlikely as long as even Armenia, which for years has been using Karabakh as its own protectorate, is not hurrying up to do so. Some Armenian sources even claim that the Pashinyan government oriented towards the West and NATO has just opted to sell the contested region to Azerbaijan under some formal pretext to remove the unresolved territorial disputes factor and open a way towards the further ‘democratic’ transformation of Armenia that it desires so much.
BREAKING: it is being reported that the IRGC is deploying its elite 25th Karbala Special Forces Division to the country’s North Western borders.
Blood-soaked Israel is backing Azerbaijan so the Islamic Republic must be vigilant and ready for any and all eventualities.
Selah
If Putin won’t help Armenia Iran may have to.
Armenia and Azerbaijanare are no longer part of the resistance. The seeds were planted 20 years ago and are now bearing fruit.
There is nothing neither Iran nor Russia can do at this stage. This war is just a settling of some unfinished territorial business.
Correct that the West planted seeds years ago.
What has tipped Armenia is the US diaspora which has internalized US supremacism that is a very significant influential force in Armenia.
They will never consciously admit what they have done.
Sarkisjan is holding better then Milosevic once. Doing business, listening to CIA-FSB. He has not yet been forced to introduce a border towards NK republic (like Milosevic did with the Republika Srpska Krajina and the Republika Srpska). He is also “lucky” that there is no Azeris Kosovo within Armenia, otherwise after acting as the factor of stability in globalists view (Milosevic), he would become a butcher of the Caucasus, (like Milosevic did in west media as reward for his silence on the fall of the Republic of Serbian Krajina + giving 23% of Bosnia to Croats and Bosniaks). I doubt that his family will flee to Moscow after all of this. He will probably go to Paris first. Maybe he will get a monument in Baku same as Milosevic in Zagreb and Sarajevo. Armenians from the NK will probably go to refugee barracks until they get permission to flee to the west. And life will go on as if nothing had happened. Balkan is a beautiful laboratory where the great powers always show how things will roll on.
Tačno Djole, RSK was sold to Vatican same as we now see Nagorno to Turks.
Lachin pass is same as Kupres tragedy..in military terms. To defend it with few ten soldiers..is idiotic..
Armenian elite sold their roots for dirty, worthless dolars, jevros.
Sadness in my heart, I dont know why.
It’s not just the little Armenians who are selling theirs … look how masterfully are globalists preparing Turks for the war between Muslims and EU.
Today’s statement by Erdogan, Sputnik ….. The idea of the French leader Emanuel Macron about the creation of “enlightened Islam” in France did not pass without the reaction of the Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Erdogan advises him to treat himself mentally, and at the same time, he tells Europe that, by opening a front against Muslims, he is preparing an end for herself.
Dear Brina, nation-states, the sovereign socio-demographic policy of states, nations are a becoming thing of the past. People are dying and at the end politicians of the weakened countries, for their individual comfor, would sell everything to the globalist agenda.
It is going exactly as I predicted right from the start with the Azeri-Ottoman-headchopper alliance outflanking the Artsakhian forces through the plains. When Lachin falls and the northern route is interdicted by artillery from a safe distance Nagorno Karabakh is done for. People who can’t be supplied and reinforced can’t hold out no matter how well entrenched they are. Since Armenia can’t risk attacking the Azeri-Ottoman-headchopper alliance from Armenia without being guilty of a general war, Nagorno Karabakh is finished except for the formalities of signing the unconditional surrender.
Biswapriya Purkayastha
in the 90s they had an excuse that Yeltsin was in power, Russia was weak, fighting for
survival in Grozni.
In Libya 2011 they had an excuse Medvedvev was in power.
What will their excuse be now? (Rhetorical question)
Sorry, it’s been called “peaceful reintegration” for twenty years. With the full support of EU / US democratic advocates. Not a word against arson, killing, torture, etc., etc. The elderly population who do not escape and stay to save homes, are subjected to harassment by frustrated victors or even killed, the rest slowly die in war trials even though they were old or disabled to carry a rifle. People would be tried for stolen chicken (in addition to fictitious testimony), mistreated and beaten in prison few times, and since they were disgusted, they would also move out. Old people stay mostly at the home country, in this case Armenia, the rest go abroad. And that small percentage of the persistent ones that remains will celebrate its downfall with their new neighbours (living in “enemy” stolen property) every year under the watchful eye of state authorities while the imposed globalist government will do “business as usual” with the “former” enemy. Of course “for the sake of future generations”. Everything already seen.
Let’s see if your so-called predictions go right. The war isn’t over yet.
WASHINGTON, October 24. /TASS/. Armenia thinks that there is “remarkable unity” among Russia, the US and France on conflict regulation in Nagorno-Karabakh, Armenian Foreign Minister Zohrab Mnatsakanyan said on Friday during a video conference held by the Atlantic Council. “What is very, very important is that US efforts are very much in consolidation of the joint combined work of the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs: France, Russia and the United States. This is one of the formats in which these three countries have been considerably united in their effort and considerably coordinated and consolidated,” he said. “This is exactly the format in which despite the various disagreeing points of views amongst the co-chairs and many other issues on the international agenda, there has been a remarkable unity amongst the co-chairs,” Mnatsakanyan stressed. According to Foreign Minister, Armenia supports the idea of deploying peacekeeping forces to Nagorno-Karabakh. Zohrab Mnatsakanyan noted that sending peacekeepers to the area could help sustain a ceasefire in the region. “Peacekeepers on the ground is part of the story. Peacekeepers on the ground is the way in which we need to consolidate, address any risks against the sustainability of the ceasefire [in Nagorno-Karabakh]. And that has been part of the story for a very long time, about the way in which we are seeking the peaceful resolution. And now it is also part of the story,” the Armenian top diplomat said. “This is very important. The peacekeeping question is exactly one of the critical questions in all our discussions, in all our approaches that had been before and that are now,” Mnatsakanyan stressed. Armenian Foreign Minister lauded the talks in Washington on Nagorno-Karabakh regulation as very productive. “We had very productive meetings in the morning, and we will continue our work together on finding the way in which we pursue very specific and very important objectives: establishing the ceasefire, going back to the peaceful resolution,” he said on Friday …….”
……Armenia supports the idea of deploying peacekeeping forces to Nagorno-Karabakh. Zohrab Mnatsakanyan noted that sending peacekeepers to the area could help sustain a ceasefire in the region……
This is the end of NK’s independence and the process of being drawn into the system of the state of Azerbaijan. The political output of the Armenian leadership and global powers pretending to respect international law in a game …who will recapture “turkish people and energents” from whom on their way to East Siberia. This is the beginning of the so-called peaceful reintegration already seen in Slavonia, Croatia. For your information there is no more Krajina today. Croats are ruling Vukovar city today as a majority. Check what was happening there from two sources … Serbian and Croatian to make it clear what perfidious game global powers and globalist piuns in the country of Serbia have played, Serbian interests were extinguished. People evicted. To this day, children are beaten because they are not fans of croatian clubs f.e, or grown people mistreated because of the Cyrillic alphabet f.e. From the so-called Catholic brothers in Christ. One can only imagine what will happen to the Orthodox Armenians under the rule of the Turks. History repeats itself.
We don’t image – we know from the jihadis Turkey moved into Azerbaijan what will happen to the Armenians of NK if they don’t flee.
We know that very well. El Handzar and El Mudzahedin brigades f.e., composed completly of globalist jihadist from Iran to Arabia, sent over Croatia ports or Eagle NATO base in Bosnia, Maybe you can still find a movies how they were playing football with Serbian heads or selling heads at market stalls. Democratic EU did not say a word about it. Americans or Russians also. Hold on, trust yourself and no one else. Eventual fall of NK would be only the first step in wider break up of your nation. May God help you.
I agree with Djole on this one. This is the beginning of end of Armenia, not just NK. Armenia proper, expects Russians to step in, ant they themselves did not recognize the NK, for all these years? Even Serbian politicians at least officially recognize Republika Srbska in Bosnia. And it seems that Armenian diaspora in USA is more concerned with business, They pressure USA Congress to help NK, yet they do not pressure Pashinyan to help NK. Armenians from Armenia want Putin to be greater Armenian then Armenians themselves; at the same time Armenians from USA want US to be greater Armenians then Armenians themselves. It does seem that Armenian government wants NK to disappear, so Armenia can join NATO, One would expect Armenians in Armenia to raise against current pro USA government, but no, nobody in Armenia seems to care about NK.
And for the record, a bit off topic, but I need to say it. A few months ago we Serbs were fighting here against Johnny and the friends, re. critics of Serbian government and Vucic. It turned they were right. Vucic did exactly what they warned us. I guess, we Serbs are no better than Armenians, expecting Putin to help us and doing nothing ourselves….. And God is punishing both people with threat of disappearance.
You forget that the Republika Srpska is only The Entity under the Dayton Agreement within BH, as UN recognised state. Both Serbia and Russia signed it. A globalist international compromise project that did not give the Serbs anything special. There is no own state and no politics of its own but rather Serbs position depending on the position of all three peoples in parliament. No way out, beside all marketing that so called patriots are selling. So it is just smearing honey around the mouth to make the work between the great powers go as usual. The borders are still Bosnian, not Serbian, although these internationals explain that borders are not important in a globalist world. Interestingly, that’s why they still have their manager there and the miracle is … he is from Austria, which annexated Bosnia. Collonial politics never change. As long as you do not have your own independent decision-making policy, you are not sovereign and independent, but subject to globalist influence. Your services, your institutions, your people. Pay attention to the Russian borders and where russian people live “behind/over the border” and everything will become clearer.
All true. Luckily, there is no war like NK. Say, Bosnian Muslims or Croats decide to attack Respublika Srpska. God knows what would current Serbian quislings do. i am afraid they would do the same thing Pashyanin is doing to NK – pretending it is not our business. But then, even if they wanted to do something, would there be enough volunteers in Serbia to help? Sad, sad state of affairs. :-(
Pashinyan wants the OSCE Minsk group involved. Does he realise that Turkey, the country that is leading this aggression, is part of this group?
Why is he not activating the CSTO?
Why is not Turkey ejected from OSCE…..deliberately its procedures and aiding war mongering and crimes by Azerbaijan against civilians..after Lavrov’s regular visits over the years to try to keep things calm….is the OSCE a pointless failed or failing organisation? What rules does it have or is it like the UN where individual rogue members avoid world responsibility and international law to take actions themselves……should it be reformed or abandoned…as Russia says so many organisations are a waste of time? Is Lavrov now thinking of retirement as he has said it is probably pointless talking to Europe….and Nato keeps up its agenda…as does EU to expand…. https://www.rt.com/op-ed/504273-balkans-eu-bulgaria-north-macedonia/
who would be his successor……….
Only if Armenia is directly attacked by Azerbaijan will the CSTO enter the war.
He is not activating CSTO because
1. The war is over territory that even he recognises as Azeri. Your question should be why he has not recognised Artsakh.
2. CSTO covers the territory of Armenia only and that against aggression. If the Azeris do not attack Armenia, or if Armenia attacks the Azeris from Armenia, that will not activate CSTO.
3. Even if Azerbaijan attacks Armenia and he activates CSTO what is the proof that Putinist restraint will still not overrule it? The sin qua non of Putinism seems to be “exercise restraint until it’s too late to do anything except, at best, impose a shaky and unstable status quo where the adversary has the advantage.”
I was under the impression such an attack had already taken place. (Saker’s most recent Sitreps describes a drone attack on Armenia proper). But you are correct, it is strange that he has not recognised Artsakh nor even asked CSTO to help diplomatically in the conflict resolution, where Armenia has strong support, and instead went with the OSCE.
That’s maybe because he’s looking for an excuse to distance Armenia further from Russia and take it into the EU’s sphere of influence. Once the war is over, he will put the blame on Russia’s inaction.
https://southfront.org/armenia-launches-ballistic-missiles-on-azerbaijan/
Latest report.
After the western engineered coup two years ago the new leaders of Armenia and the US diaspora thought they had powerful friends in the West and could bad mouth Russia. They ignored advice from Russia. I have heard that Russia offered peacekeepers in NK before the war started and Armenia refused the offer.
I have feared for two years what is now happening. Will the leaders of Armenia admit they were wrong to turn West? Not a chance! They will find some narrative to fix the blame somewhere else. Unless Armenia’s army enters the war full force I expect NK will be lost to Armenians – the people will leave NK as they know why the Turks brought in the jihadis.
Armenia will be sandwiched between two implacable enemies with Azerbaijan backed by Israel. The US and NATO are quietly backing Turkey and Azerbaijan. All that prevents Armenia from being overrun (like the Turks almost did in the 1990’s) is one Russian military base. The West will do nothing to aid and protect Armenia except for enhancing it with neoliberalism and ‘cultural enrichment’ western style. The western powers still have plans to build pipelines across an extinguished Armenia.
Of course. They’ll blame Russia, exit the CSTO, and ask to join NATO. I said as soon as I heard the usual amen corner put forth the imbecilic explanation that Putin wants the Pashinyan regime to “learn a lesson” that the precise opposite would happen.
The extant TURKISH REPUBLIC of 2020 is GUILTY of committing and perpetuating the ARMENIAN GENOCIDE!
So WHY are Armenians being so daft?
Fact: Turks claim Armenians were deported from war zones for their own safety — NOT with the goal of killing them and committing genocide.
Fact: Turks TODAY conceal (and reportedly destroy) Ottoman Turkish deeds records and archives to obstruct official confirmation of Armenian ownership and thwart the inheritors of the Armenians they “deported” to reclaim and return to their homes, lands and property;
Thereby;
Fact: The Turks are continuing to commit genocide on the Armenians by preventing them from returning to their homes even though WWI is OVER.
WHY
Aren’t Armenians suing the modern day Republic of Turkey for perpetrating the ongoing genocide TODAY?
Aren’t Armenians being self-defeating instead of helping their cause?
Note to commentator .. read moderation policy … the use of caps is not allowed … mod
Didn’t know, I’m sorry.
Is this true?
Russia knocking Turkish drones from Armenian skies
Moscow has unleashed its ‘Belladonna’ drone killer system in Armenia to counter Azerbaijan’s use of Turkish-made Bayraktar armed drones
https://asiatimes.com/2020/10/russia-knocking-turkish-drones-from-armenian-skies/