Someone should tell Gonzalo that he remains suspended on Twitter notwithstanding his statements in the video (current time 22:46:00 GMT April 8, 2022).
The Soviet Memorial in Treptow Park is the largest monument to the fallen soldiers of the Red Army in Germany.
Last weekend the participants of the Russian motorcade in Berlin stopped at the Soviet Memorial to commemorate the Russian soldiers in Ukraine; the participants shouted for peace and justice. Now, three days later, the Soviet Memorial was smeared with slogans. The memorial is dedicated to all soldiers of the Soviet Union, including Ukrainians, who died in 1945 in the battle for Berlin. Now graffiti emblazons, Putin = Stalin. Ukrainian Blood on Russian Hands. Death to all Russians.
The imposing Russian Embassy at the Brandenburg Gate in Berlin, a complex that occupies an entire apartment block, has now been generously cordoned off, including the subway stop, as various attempted attacks on the Russian Embassy complex have already been carried out.
The Russian Cultural Center in the immediate vicinity has also been closed, where many cheerful events took place until recently, as well as the celebration of the World Cup, where many Russians watched live broadcasts of the Russian soccer team.
Many important, splendid honorary statues in Berlin, as well as in the former GDR were disfigured with Grafities.
I ask myself today, had the war against Russia ever stopped?
The Russian Jewish community living around the synagogue in Berlin is suddenly like invisible, the Russian Orthodox community also like invisible.
Its a pain in my chest.
Today, Saturday at 3pm CET Anatoly Antonov (Russian Ambassador to the USA), among other speakers, will talk about the current situation at the virtual conference of the Schiller Institute.
You will have to find the link to the accreditation yourself. My previous post with link was censored here.
Not sure how much you lurk on 4chan Saker but Gonzalo seems like he is just regurgitating whatever he can glean from 4chan to try to make himself more popular.
I think his firsthand experience is indispensable but his analysis is frankly not original.
Yes, someone should tell him that not all his listeners are accustomed to that kind of language. His analysis is interesting, but the language is quite off-putting.
Seriously? That is an issue? I would sugget all who find his language offensive to go elsewhere for infornation. He is in the middle of a war, there is carnage and his life is in danger 24/7. He has to be in hiding all the time and is alone; isn’t that concerning? And people get twisted in linguistic aesthetics? If Kharkoc is stormed then his life is in mortal danger; some of us worry about him as our own brother. Look at how he feels the tragedy of the loss of life even on the Ukranian side. When you carefully listen it bacomes apparent he is distressed about the current state of humaniy and the irresponsibility of current world leadership which has resulted in untold suffering and death. That is how intense it is for him. For some comparison, watch (on You Tube) how recruits are trained in boot camp; maybe people will get a sense of what this is about. Give Gonzalo a break, go watch smerfs, bambi, or some hypnotising cartoons. ;)…WEFs would love that too.
Hahaha; agreed, maybe not that alone. However, this is pretty gritty stuff and he is trapped right in the middle of it. We have the privilege of distance and can indulge in armchair analysis, while he is a witness though in some limited way. I respect and honor him for that. Many quickly got out of Dodge, he stayed. We may rightly dissagree with his analysis, but it is tacky to cast aspersions. Though a natural reality of war, the casualty figures are heart breaking. Leaders who do this to their young are heartless beasts. Yes there was WW one and two; for me a little distant in time…this is supposed to be 21st Century or is Eurostan stuck in the past? What would they loose by giving Russia the security guarantees?
So What. Evidently he’s single now so who cares? I wouldn’t do it. I would never have sex with a random man. Scary stuff. Men do these things apparently. I know several men that have done this. I tell them they’re out of their minds and move on. Men really, really care about sex. Really. A lot I guess. It was probably a diversion.
A one night stand doesn’t mean he’s not alone. Quite the opposite actually.
I’m always amazed that anyone, anywhere, from any type of background, can be scared of hearing such a commonly used word. One that has so many uses and meanings. And to refer to some language as being vulgar, as if using language they consider not to be vulgar, makes them better people than other people who use vulgarities, or superior, etc.
I can only shake my head and laugh, that people can discriminate against another person for their language choice is absurd. Something can be communicated in the most polite manner, using the most modest and decent language and still be completely and unnecessarily rude and indecent.
Often, the most honest, genuine people I have met or have known, are happy to swear whenever it suits them. I find people who don’t, to be untrustworthy and fake.
Yes I agree with what you say here. People swear when it suits them and, as you say, they are often not genuine at all. It’s another form of arrogance and religious holier than thouism. Dumb people tend to swear continually because they have a limited vocabulary but this is certainly not the case with GL.He’s clearly a smart, educated guy. I have no problem with his swearing. He is only human. If you want polite-listen to the goons on MSM. Cheers.
And most people should learn some italian: they would be astonished at the level of profanity we have in our language, and use everyday, which actually makes the anglo-saxon way of swearing seem a children’s lullaby.
Amurcans pride themselves on their vulgarity: to be vulgar is to be strong; to be polite is to be weak. By reading journals, we can see Amercuns know next to nothing about English grammar. GL is simply a product of his country and likely does not realise his limitations in language.
Despite all the talk about giving Ukrainians all these great weapons maybe the European counties are running out of weapons like you say OR maybe some European countries want to keep weapons hoard. Talk is cheap.
You’re the best Gonzalo. Stay safe.
Gonzalo’s use of the kind strong words that some people here object to, is nothing specifically American. For instance, in France, Spain and Spanish America (Santo Domingo, Venezuela, Argentina), Italy and many other countries, I know from personal experience that the use such terms is socially accepted. Even in the middle classes. I find his presentation very, very good and if people cannot stand his language, well, nobody is forcing them to listen to Gonzalo.
In the US they speak old English with archaic grammer……whereas in England, over the centuries English grammer has evolved to meet modern standards. The US school system has not managed to evolve with it. More of a devolution if anything….in a gettoesque kind of way.
But both in the UK and the US it is called “grammar,” not “grammer,” although the latter could become a useful new word to denote someone who nickels and dimes you to death, ie. by the gram…
“Do you herd sheep?” my grandma sighed,
My grandpa leaped in fright.
“That grammar’s wrong!” to me he cried.
“Have you heard sheep?” is right!
——————- Please take any further discussion on this matter to the MFC.
The Moderator.
NONE of us know the plans / strategies developed by the Russian MOD, and on the basis of current developments one might well suppose that the MOD’s strategies are (as they say) working as planned, and to schedule.
They are keeping VERY tight control on all battlefield information (for obvious reasons), and all we have is what we might glean from various Internet posts (which may themselves be at least biased, at worst deliberately incorrect).
It will be interesting to see how Russia plans to engage the western part of Ukraine – the “bit they are not interested in”. Maybe they won’t be quite so concerned about total demolition of civilian infrastructure – since (what’s left of) the EU will gave the problem of rebuilding that!
You can make many arguments for that. Ukraine is laying waste to everything in the east. There is also talk about stealing Russia’s reserves to pay for Ukraine’s reconstruction. I think if that was attempted, Russia would be obliged to occupy the whole country.
I have a question about Slovakia’s sending their S300 to Ukraine. Are we really supposed to believe that Russia is going to allow all the units to just roll in on rail into Ukraine? Seriously? If that is really going to happen, then there is something seriously with this whole operation.
Any “Russian people” still in Lvov should run away as fast as they can via whatever means they have.
Regardless if Lvov will be occupied, bombed or left alone. They have some of the last chances to survive right about now. If they do not run (initially to Poland) now, once the conflict is over their last way of survival will be closed.
If they are still in Lvov when the conflict is over, they are as good as dead. IF they want to “not leave Ukraine to ” then they still need to leave AND come back immediately after the dust settles. But in no case is staying on a viable option anymore for them.
Indeed, a genocide of Russians in the Ukraine seems to be taking shape. The barely concealed mass murders near Kiev and in Kramatorsk are the opening acts of it. They might start mass murdering Russians completely in the open before long.
Do you find it remarkable that the EU and pretty much all of Europe are supporting it? The US is no surprise at all. Look at their history. They would support any murderous regime as long as its subservient to them. Somehow, I placed more faith in Europe.
“They might start mass murdering Russians completely in the open before long.” Then Russia better get serious about taking them out. So far, they have not gone after any of the leadership at all. Incredibly, all the government buildings in Kiev are still standing.
No one in EU (or US) is aware of that. There is a reason official censorship was put on once the conflict started.
The EU/US *society* would never accept sucha policy. THIS IS EXACTLY why such a plan/policy is not public in any way or form and THEY EVEN CRIMINALIZE EXPOSING IT by declaring any such information to be “pro-ruddian propaganda” which “is supported the genocide in ukraine” hence “is acardinal sin which need tu be punished on the same level as murder”. 15yrs behind bars so far in CZ i being promulgated.
This is the same like the German public DID NOT HAVE A CLUE what was happening in Treblinka or Oswiencim. They learned only after the war… at which point it no longer mattered.
Well Gonzalo is stuck in the middle of Kharkov surrounded by fighting, so his perspective there is valuable. Regarding the f words he deserves some slack, must be quite stressful living like that day by day. Don’t mind if he includes his analysis of internet content for his daily show, amazing there is still electricity and water given the constant explosions 4-5 miles away.
Some people just love to bitch. I don’t care where he gets his info, some from 4chan or not, cause I don’t follow 4chan, but may do now since I now know. When a Saker commenter brings up an attachment I read 2 days prior I don’t mind in the slightest because some subscribers, definitely recent ones may have not seen it.
Mr Lira provides more than news, he’s a foreign voice of reason who’ll appeal to many English speakers and only God knows how they need to listen to his honest take on matters.
This is nearly two hours long ffs! He rambles on and on – I need an “executive summary”! A few weeks ago he was telling his audience about the constant shelling he could hear. Unless he was in a soundproofed room, nothing could be heard outside. I am beginning to doubt that he is actually in Ukraine.
Is there any way we can check out “StevieH” or “kjell108” so we know they are the real stuff? Or are we just going to accept postings from those nicknames at face value … with no quality control?
That’s strange, there is a point in this very cast in the later half, I think when answering question from subscribers he opens the window and you can hear some shelling in the distance, he specifically calls it out, says something like “don’t worry sounds like 4km away”.
I agree 100%. I never have the patience to listen to these amateur “podcasts”, including The Saker “star”, Martyanav.
Give the video to a skilled journalism student who can distill the essence to 10-20 paragraphs. With text it is far easier to skip the boring and repetitive parts.
– He is been giving the same analysis for a month now.
It is a problem (maybe) MSM Media are repeating themselves … for 3 years in case of Russia Collusion.
Those individual podcasters who post every week or every day ALL repeat themselves. Those who donate $5 expect news stuff in in every video of course.
Example: Steven Ben-Nun has endless updates on Planet X.
Gonzalo does a good job deconstructing all the relevant details of the Bucha attack. Perhaps some of your readers are better versed on the minutiae of this account than I am, but I am finding GL’s discussion to be both informative and useful, even if it is not as succinct at other readers would like it to be.
I’ll agree with your Trumplethinskin point but have you sat down socially with Putin. He’s the finest statesman of the 20th & 21st centuries and when a mike is in his face I don’t expect him to come across as a clown like Zelensky.
You’ve probably never heard him sing one of his favourite foreign songs ‘Blueberry Hill’, so go ahead watch it. Shows he not too vain, not the best singer but can chill out.
When some has an active Youtube channel, a Twitter account, and also a Patreon account, we cannot complain if we don’t know them. People cannot behave like Trump **2.
I have one technical question: Given that Youtube is blocking channels and many content producers are migrating to Telegram, do you know an application or add-on that can be installed and help translate live a video on Telegram? There are text translators for Telegram but I want to watch videos spoken in Russian and outside Youtube is hard to get live translations.
Russia should make western Ukraint unlivable and force migration by hitting electric, water and fuel and create a barren buffer state as it consolidates it’s gains in the east. It can then prepare for the next phase of the long war, belligerent eastern Europe.
Russia he says made the miscalculation in thinking a shock & awe kick-start to the SMO would see the Ukies run to the negotiating table. He’s most probably correct and their thought process very naive. I say this because what the Ukrainians think is immaterial, it’s what’s in the psyche of the American neocons that would hold sway and their deep resentment of all thing Russian knows no bounds. In the NATO training manuals dished out to Ukrainian troops rule number 1 would be no surrender at any cost, kill or be killed. Simple for the Nazis and even if 80% of the regular Ukrainian forces initially held neutral feelings toward Russia, 8 years of sticking a bayonet into a Russian dummy on the assault courses would indeed brainwash them.
When Putin talks about war crimes the first 5 names that top the list are Obama, Biden, Nuland, Blinken and Kolomoisky; that’s a CIA asset of questionable birth right, an American, two Duals and a Zionist. These 5 created & moulded the Donbass genocide. The last should be a relatively easy target, Mossad protection or not.
Is true Zelensky remains under orders NOT to negotiate from his US handlers. Those handlers were formerly based in the US Kiev Consulate, but have all now relocated to continue their operations from Poland. Ukraine has effectively been run from the US Kiev Consulate for past eight years. It was there, that the real decisions about who would be allowed to run in the Ukrainian elections, and who would be picked as senior Ukrainian bureaucrats were really made. As for Zelensky’s fate, the CIA may just bundle him up and transport him to Israel at the end of all this. To see out his days in a Tel Aviv villa, alongside the other dual citizen Ukrainian-Israeli Ashkenazim, in exile with amassed looted Ukrainian funds.
Always interessting to hear Gonzalos observations and reflections on the ground.
I think maybe the headline for this show is well abitious. One think is miscalculations, other is mistakes … another is negligence.
I also think there has been made mistakes in the intelligence work, or maybe not a good enough job. I noticed in the consultation Putin had with his advisors before the SMO that there was one guy he sort of needed to pull out his opinion of. Even needed to correct him about what was about to happen. It is my understanding that this was the intelligence chief, he seemed less than trilled … and sort of thried to avoid expressing his oppinion in the matter.
That pro-Russian mayors have been kidnapped and liquidated is not a good thing. The Russians would know the NAZI forces they are up agains, and there should have been protection of these assets from the crazies. Then again I’m not an intelligence expert, maybe it was not possible or maybe something went wrong.
I respect his on-the-spot reports from a war zone, but it takes a special kind of stupid to openly criticise the ruling regime of a nation in which you reside but of which are not a citizen and thus present at their sufferance. A regime which has fascist tendencies. During wartime no less.
– it just raises his judgment as an issue.
Then you must imply 150 mill Americans and 40 mill Brits have a jugdemental issue as they are vaccinated.
An atheist will promote there is nothing after death.
Yes, it does, but then it’s possible to compare his judgement to what has actually happened. It’s not impossible to have good judgment even under stress and, moreover, even if he is taking more risk than what would normally considered prudent, then him being on the ground constitutes a countervailing factor.
Trying to assess his track record:
Him being on the ground provides him with good insights on the nature of the Zelensky regime. He sounds informed and credible. That’s a big plus.
He having survived in the Ukraine up until now even though he is openly criticizing the regime in social media speaks for his judgement on a “tactical” level, even though he might be acting recklessly on a “strategic” level. That’s a plus and minus at the same time. Sort of a wash.
He pretends to know what the Russian plans were, with little evidence. That’s a minus.
He says that Russia has escalatory potential left whereas the West immediately went nuclear with its economic war and has little escalatory potential left in it. He makes the assessment that the Russian ecenomy has survived in the short term. I would agree with all of that. He seems to be optimistic as for Russias longer-term economic outlook. I would be a little bit more pessimistic mid-term, although long-term I would agree given the material underpinnings in terms of raw materials, agriculture, human capital and market access outside of the West. Overall I would consider it a plus.
He has been saying that Russia was winning. That was probably a little bit too much based on his personal experience being closed to the front line. A minus even if one agrees given the big picture.
All in all GL’s assessments are valuable to have if you take them with a pinch of salt, as with everyone else.
All the silly criticism can piss off anyway what else has this man to do sitting there trapped. I wonder how he knows so much when he can’t speak the Russian? Following saker perhaps?
Anyway I have one observation and one question for the brilliant commenters and moderators here:
First, that the NATO team experienced equipment failures is no surprise at all. The entire system in the west, esp the US where most of this stuff is made, is based on maximum overpricing and minimum product quality.
In fact, the war “machine” is primarily a scam to make money in the west, which means like everything else, reduce costs and increase price period. The loyalty is to the money only, not the soldiers and civilians who will lose their lives living in substandard quarters, using subpar sometimes junk level equipment.
Ok. Question. Everybody is talk talk talk about the “maneuver warfare to pin down all those troops and hardware in Kiev” yes? Prevent them moving east to support the primary objectives in Donbass.
But also everybody talk talk talk about “oh they are dug into the cities using civilian population for human shield” yes? They say the forces can’t leave the city fortress or they will be wiped out in the open by Russian air superiority yes?
So my question for you then is this. Why did the Russians not draw those forces out of Kiev and annihilate them as they tried to move east toward Donbass? Wouldnt that has made sense? That too would have been “maneuver warfare” no? Leading them into the trap.
So which is it? The Russians can or cannot annihilate formations in the open on the road?
Indeed the tidbits of information that we have about how the Ukrainian forces are moving to the East are somewhat mixed. From reports and videos we can glean that they are travelling in small groups in civilian cars and sometimes even on bicycles and on foot. Hunting down such groups would probably be ineffective, even impossible. Even mining the roads from the air would not help. They could always proceed on foot through the fields and forests. Then there are also reports about heavier re-inforcements. But we do know that the Russians are attacking the rail network in the Eastern half, even trying to hit actual shipments, so they are following though on this part. The only question is what a proportion of the overall re-inforcements they are able to hit. The Eastern front might end up with an adversary that has a lot of manpower but relatively little heavy equipment and few supplies, while the manpower is relatively old or maybe young but lacking strength and stamina (soyboys) and altogether inexperienced, even female.
So were the spears of the Matabele (5000 v 20 in number ) up against Cecil Rhodes with just 4 maxim machine guns.
Anyway what’s the world record for throwing a javelin, around 95 metres I think? One, I don’t expect they’d be able to get up that close and two, unless it was dark the Russians could easily dodge them.
Probably have more success with novichok tipped darts using a blow pipe, but then again range is about 25 metres.
The cuckolded Canucks could always send in Celine Dion and Bryan Adams to the Donbass frontline and put them on loudspeaker. This would terrify the Russians, they terrify me and I’m no wallflower.
Oh those Javelins . . . . . sorry, I do apologise.
– I wonder how he knows so much when he can’t speak the Russian?
English speakers have a huge advantage compared to Russian speakers. The war is in English.
In case of term “nazi” Russians will misjudge how Westerners understand nazis. “Nazis” were = enemy for Russians.
What? You mean disadvantaged surely, with the war being in English and the truth being in Russian. I’m at a disadvantage and without Saker and associated friends I could be an bumbling idiot like my fellow countrymen in the UK.
WTFUD
There is no way Russians will understand Western politics without listening to Western politics, who talk English or German or French or Spanish.
Here we have a language barrier.
I case of music we can see Russians and Americans are on different planets … like will be the case for Muslims and Chinese as well.
As one who cannot listen to Spanish news I understand I cannot understand the Latino world
I do not listen to talk and video. I look through the comments to see what you all assess. On the Saker, most comments are very good, but a little, not so. But then that is just one point of view.
Kiev was never meant to be taken. It was many things, but most importantly it was a feignt, a ruse to fool the west,as they only realized many days later. The importance was always about freeing the entire east, and surrounding them , cutting them off from re-supplies and going in to fight. This takes time for the Russians are trying their best not to kill civilians, and it is to their great credit.
To destroy kviv and lviv is nothing for the Russian firepower to do, as the west has done to countries all over this planet, with impunity, but we will pay for it!
The only mistake that Russia has done was to underestimate the savage, evil murderous brutality that the Nazis (armed,funded & trained by the West). As one Russian soldier put it: “they are non-human, and worse than terrorist”.
In regards to the false narratives: it will continue and intensify for that is all the west really has. Then when the shortages, inflation and prices sky rocket, blame Putin as Biden instructed and then take that to grocery store.
The Russian central bank lowered its benchmark interest rate from 20% to 17%.
Needs to go a lot further too at the very least below 5%.
The reason They gave for cutting from 20 to 17% still sounds that they don’t get it. Still on The neoliberal, globalist propaganda train. Because that is how they were educated and trained via economic textbooks that are not fit for purpose and put together in a cupboard at the Pentagon.
Rate hikes are price hikes.
Rate cuts are price cuts.
Why is that the truth ?
The mainstream that is neoliberal globalists is their presume that low interest rates are supportive of aggregate demand and cause inflation through a variety of channels, including credit, expectations, and foreign exchange channels.
Based on the assumption that lower rates encourage borrowing to spend. At a micro level this seems plausible- people will borrow more to buy houses and cars, and business will borrow more to invest. But it breaks down at the macro level.
For every Ruble borrowed there is a Ruble saved, so any reduction in interest costs for borrowers corresponds to an identical reduction for savers. The only way a rate cut would result in increased borrowing to spend would be if the propensity to spend of borrowers exceeded that of savers.
The Russian economy, however, is a large net saver, as government is an equally large net payer of interest on its outstanding debt. Therefore, rate cuts directly reduce government spending and the economy’s private sector’s net interest income.
And looking at over two decades of zero-rates and QE in Japan, 10 years in the US, and 11 years of zero and now negative rates in the EU, the data is also clearly showing that lowering rates does not support demand, output, employment, or inflation.
In fact, the only arguments that they do are counter factual- the economy would have been worse without it- or that it just needs more time. Like the lumberjack who every time he cuts a piece off a bit of wood shouts that it is still too short.
Then we have the famous inflation expectations channel. This presumes that inflation is caused by inflation expectations, with those expecting higher prices to both accelerate purchases and demanding higher wages, and that lower rates will increase inflation expectations.
First, with the currency itself a simple public monopoly, as a point of logic the price level is necessarily a function of prices paid by government when it spends (and/or collateral demanded when it lends), and not inflation expectations. And the income lost to the economy from reduced government interest payments works to reduce spending, regardless of expectations.
Nor is there evidence of the collective effort required for higher expected prices to translate into higher wages. At best, organized demands for higher wages develop only well after the wage share of GDP falls.
The myth that lower rates cause currency depreciation and inflation. After two decades of 0 rate policies the yen remained problematically strong and inflation problematically low. And the same holds for the euro and $US after many years of near zero-rate policies. The real data over 20 years Just does not back up the neoliberal, globalist theory. It never does.
In fact, theory and evidence points to the reverse- higher rates tend to weaken a currency and support higher levels of inflation.
a) Because the increased cost of borrowing gets passed into the consumer via higher prices. Business just passes on the extra it now costs to borrow.
b) As rates rise interest payments rise. Savers have more money to spend.
c) The spot and forward price for a non perishable commodity imply all storage costs, including interest expense. Therefore, with a permanent zero-rate policy, and assuming no other storage costs, the spot price of a commodity and its price for delivery any time in the future is the same.
However, if rates were, say, 10%, the price of those commodities for delivery in the future would be 10% (annualized) higher. That is, a 10% rate implies a 10% continuous increase in prices, which is the textbook definition of inflation! It is the term structure of risk free rates itself that mirrors a term structure of prices which feeds into both the costs of production as well as the ability to pre-sell at higher prices, thereby establishing, by definition, inflation.
d) the larger the debt to GDP ratio a country has the bigger the effect. As more interest payments are paid out on the bonds held by the private sector.
If increasing interest rates says what it does the tin. Argentina and Turkey would have very, very, very low inflation and the strongest currencies in the world. They don’t.
While the West increase interest rates by 0.25% sometimes 0.25% that is nothing and pure theater. Saying that they are doing it to fight inflation.
It is an Orwellian trap to trap countries in their groupthink. Make other countries raise interest rates to sometimes over 20%. Thus causing an inflation spiral and a crises in the countries they are targetting. So the IMF will be called in to bail them out and anybody who has listened to Andrei knows what that means.
Not true in a fractional reserve system where money is created by credit. Russia has such a system just like the West.
“higher rates tend to weaken a currency and support higher levels of inflation”
But the West has had tremendous inflation in asset prices, which was where the cheap credit went in the first place. Inflation in consumer prices was held in check over the past decades by cheap raw materials and cheap consumer goods flooding the market. The raw materials were to an extent Russian, the consumer goods to a large extent Chinese. The official rate of inflation was also hidden by using unrealistic statistics. Now that the West is cutting itself off from Russian raw materials, inflation is already in the double digits depending on where you look at, certainly in food prices.
“Not true in a fractional reserve system where money is created by credit. Russia has such a system just like the West.”
There is no such thing as a fractional reserve system. Banks have never operated like that and never will – because the accounting doesn’t let them.
The UK and Canada, for example, have zero reserve requirement. Bank reserves didn’t even exist as a concept in the UK until 2005. Under fractional beliefs that means they must have an infinite amount of money in their system – and they clearly don’t.
Loans create deposits. Always. When an additional loan is created, and equivalent amount of additional saving is created in the form of a deposit. If a loan is created and the deposit changes hands such that it pays off another loan elsewhere then there will be no net credit expansion.
As a matter of accounting for credit to expand, financial saving must expand at precisely the same rate.
The J.L. guy and you mean exactly the same thing. You are just re-wording it a lttle bit more technically. However, normally when the main stream says “For every Ruble borrowed there is a Ruble saved”, they do so to pretend that the Ruble saved was saved up front to borrow it, not that this Ruble was created by borrowing. Economists like Steve Keen have written at length about this blind spot of classical economics.
“where money is created by credit.”
is basically right
Then “The Accountant” claims the opposite: New loans / new deposits will not change anything
– As a matter of accounting for credit to expand, financial saving must expand at precisely the same rate.
“The Accountant” believes everything is balanced – and no bubbles here.
As I implied a minor bank can overnight have $1 billion more on balance sheet
In their mind they do have the infinite amount money, and they simply transfer that to the balance sheet in the form of not even debt, is can simply be “ask for” and got permission by the congress, and it is backed by the faith of the gvt, the same ones who approved in the first place.
Then from there they leverage that money w/ reserve requirements on hand,(normally <10%) lend the remainder, let the derivatives operate the system, pocket the administration fees, invest that in energy, then control the system with politics.
The problem w/this system is it only works w/ the charity of other peoples infinite money, soon as the charity goes, so does the system.
Banks don’t lend depositors’ money (legal tender).
Banks are in the business of dealing in securities; converting promissory notes and other instruments into securities, and then selling them.
Check out this interview of Professor Werner on the business of banking:
– elsewhere then there will be no net credit expansion.
You miss what is important: Sum of credit can be expanded or contracted.
To take down a US president the banks only have to contract credit … so US is turned into a 3rd word country before election.
There is no law against it, and it works historically
“But the West has had tremendous inflation in asset prices”
That’s because high interest rates suppress asset prices, which reduces the rate at which they are created.
Remember that setting interest rates is an artificial market intervention. It stops the market working properly and reduce the rate at which productive asset are produced. The asset prices are returning to their market price.
To allow import substitution to work, Russia needs to get its interest rates to zero. That way it stops paying government money to bankers and allows investment to flourish.
Inflation is controlled by making people unemployed. Interest rates make people unemployed by moving money from poor people to rich people for safekeeping in the belief that the rich won’t spend as much. The resulting unemployed are abandoned to their fate. Taxation controls inflation by moving money from poor people *and rich people* to the government who can then redeploy those made unemployed by the taxation for the public good.
Drop the interest rates. Put the tax rates on employing people up until inflation is brought under control. Give a living wage job to all those temporarily laid off by the private sector while it reconfigures to the new reality.
– Not true in a fractional reserve system where money is created by credit.
The meaning of “fractional reserve banking” is found here:
– Fractional-reserve banking is the system of banking operating in almost all countries worldwide,[1][2] under which banks that take deposits from the public are required to hold a proportion of their deposit liabilities in liquid assets as a reserve, and are at liberty to lend the remainder to borrowers.[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fractional-reserve_banking
Which is not how banks operate. The banks do not have the money they charge interest on, while the Wikipedia deinition is stating loans are from “deposits”
There are clearly people at the Russian central bank that don’t know what they are doing.
Should be removed from their job as soon as possible.
Get somebody in there that understands the balance sheets, the assets and liabilities and how they interact and ignore the neoliberal globalist economic textbooks.
One of the funniest points in this video is the comment that Russia–not America–is the true indispensable nation.
Ain’t that the truth.
Russia has things that other countries need to survive. Food, fuel, fertilizer, etc.
America on the other hand? What does the self-styled Land of the Free truly offer the world? Wars, regime change, colonization. And lies. Especially lies.
America’s primary export to the world is deceit.
Americans may deluded themselves they they are the Indispensable nation, but that is just another self-serving lie.
In fact, America is a completely dispensable nation.
And the sooner that the USA is dispensed off this planet, the better.
I have heard about this mysterious build up of forces by Ukraine in and around Kramatorsk and have seen zero evidence of it. At least within the city itself. It is only a city of 150,000 people. Apparently about 50,000 remain.
Anyways, the Russian forces are still a good distance away so I don’t see any decisive happening in the next 24 to 48 hours. I can’t imagine Ukraine wanting to meet the Russian forces in the open fields. That would be suicide for them.
The only somewhat weighty evidence on the Russians miscalculating would a purge in the ranks of the intelligence services. In the West it has been claimed that such a purge took place, and GL says something to the extent that he believes in it too, but are there any real indications of that?
Even if they miscalculated, the initial deployment to Kiev might have had a double purpose, and GL is not very clear on that. The purpose may have been to scare the government into surrender and also, at the same time, to act as a pinning force in case surrender didn’t occur. In that case one cannot even speak of a miscalculation.
Trouble is an almost 2 hr Video is just Not On when a much shorter Transcript could be read easily ina very much shorter time frame. I’ll look at Video’s up to 30-40 min but that’s it !
Oh bless his heart and may luck be with him! He thinks this is the dirty work of a sovereign America, a nation state with functioning democratic structures. Now that is a miscalculation!
He doesn’t realize that the neocons of dual US-Israeli “citizens” (who have seized control of all structures and apparati of the US government) and the rest of the City of London-Wall st-Israeli cabal actually hate the former western democracies as much as they Russia; indeed they hate all sovereign nation states and are actively working to destroy them all totally and completely.
No, they did not miscalculate. Far from it. They calculated with expert skill how this would impact agriculture through increased fertilizer costs and shortages and increased transport costs leading to inflation and famine; how they could finish the destruction of the petro industrial complex through choking off transportation and supply beginning with Nordstream (a few weeks before the “invasion” Germany appointed a non German citizen former head of Greenpeace to a cabinet level position of special climate envoy!) and indeed they calculated perfectly the cascading social and economic death blow that these sanctions would bring to the west, i cluding to the dollar itself. That is their goal after all.
Your new world government awaits at the ready to introduce their central bank digital currency! Don’t believe me? Google “World Government Summit” (very recent) and watch at least the introduction.
No time to watch this, sorry. But going on your headline – For sure the US knew & knows exactly what it’s doing & who it’s dealing with, it’s games never change + the Ukraine is Biden’s fiefdom. This the Russian leadership must know after all these years, as do we all.
Just like Russia’s military don’t pickup the phone, I’ve also, in my tiny way, given up on anything better or honest from a Yank or ‘the West’ & now even doubt my American friends & my own country’s leaders. The sadness has gone too far.
While it is great that people on the ground are putting info there that counters the MSM spin machine, I would be more interested in his videos if he kept them to 10 minutes and simply talked about daily life in that situation. His analysis and info on everything else is second hand and half of his videos are full of “Tiffany Dover”. He seems to be reveling too much in his new found fame. By his own admission he speaks very little Russian or Ukrainian so I am not sure how he can come by any original info.
I started following him from around Feb 27 on his Red Pill Coach youtube channel when I was looking for any reporting from the ground. At that time he, was still in Kiev, he had gone there for a business trip when the operation started. He was stuck in a swanky hotel for a couple of days, then, despite having a week long reservation, he got kicked out because he criticized the press corps that was staying in the same hotel. Or something like that. An acquaintance offered him an apartment but then he went back to his own “swanky” apartment in Kharkiv. He made a point of telling us he lives in a very nice building in the centre. One of his earlier videos talked about how some strange guys showed up at his apartment in Kharkiv looking for him.
He’s made a couple of videos to “prove” he was first in Kiev and then in Kharkiv. I do question his judgment. It seemed stupid to be pointing out the name of the hotel he was in just to let us know that he was in a posh hotel. It seems stupid to be saying which area of Kharkiv he lives in.
We all make mistakes and miscalculations whether at war or blowing our noses.
Some view mistakes and miscalculations as learning opportunities, some view mistakes and miscalculations as things to hide as soon as possible, whilst some messiah apparently do not have to consider the matter since they had immaculate conceptions.
Gonzalo is someone to listen to whilst you are doing something else. His videos are too long if you want to watch just the news. His style is an acquired taste, and I get that some people have an issue with his language, but he is a lot more credible than the MSM. He got kicked out of a Kiev hotel, and had to find an apartment and the means to get to Kharkov. He even walked past the entrance to Kharkov zoo to prove he was actually there. His information is invaluable.
Excellent video. Here’s my take on things as far as the US miscalculating. Every action taken since Biden was installed (no he did not win fair and square) has been really bad for the average American. From canceling the energy independence policies, open borders, climate change agenda, LGBTQWERTY agenda and all the other radical policies are hurting the middle class.
Biden is just a puppet and it’s clear others are pulling his strings. Biden is a very corrupt, lifelong DC gangster that is only protecting his territory and is in power only to keep all of his and Obama, Pelosi and rest of the gang crimes hidden. Obama made an appearance this week at the Whitehouse and it seems clear that Biden is just the stooge playing prez for Obama’s 3rd term.
Obama wanted to fundamentally change the US. What did he mean by that? My thought is to weaken it by dividing it and destroying the middle class. The proof is in the pudding. If you love your country you would not have policies that are destructive and would not allow an invasion at the southern border. These sanctions are going to hit the US hard but as Gonzalo says the average guy, aka middle class will be hit harder and the criminal oligarchs will be fine in the US.
Prices on goods were already high and will only increase with fuel and other shortages. They are pushing green energy policies and they want a great reset in the US and Europe. In order to get that they need a catastrophic collapse of the economy.
There are elections in the fall and by all counts the radical democrats are going to lose badly. I don’t know what they have up their sleeve but they are desperate to remain in power because they are so corrupt and criminal.
Unfortunately, there is a powerful group in the US that really hate the Russians especially since Putin has been successful in turning the Russian economy around and a powerful military. Adam Schiff who is the chairman of the intelligence committee in US congress has a rabid hatred for Russia. He helped create and push the Russia/Trump collusion. It was clear that one of the goals of getting Russia to mobilize their military into Ukraine was to shut off gas to the EU and especially Germany as spoken by Victoria Nuland.
The west to continue to push for Ukraine to fight and draw this conflict out is just evil.
Many folks here pretty much covered it. As Gonzalo stated it is basically too late for him to leave. I am genuinely concerned for his well being. Andrei Martynov curses as well. Maybe not so proficiently but he does nonetheless. Is he also off-putting?
As mentioned previously by others, if you don’t like him, don’t listen. There is a war going on. Call it what you will but it is a war. He is clearly evaluating his life and worried if he will make it through. He is talking freely. That’s one of the things I treasure most. He’s real. He actually has tremendous talent to talk to anyone and explains things in layman’s terms. Not anyone can do that. I think he’s refreshing and God bless him for being as in control as he is.
This is a problem with Western society. Everyone should be good and polite. That’s not how things are anymore. I wish it wasn’t so but it is. No one else cares about such things. All the proper white people are supposed to uphold this high standard, look away or be called a racist. White people do this. They do this to the point of their own demise. It’s actually about ego. It’s obnoxious and foolish.
If some here are in denial about what is coming down the pike that’s unbelievable to me. The last thing you should be worried about is a little foul language and off the cuff remarks. You might be grateful someday soon for a capable person to come to your aid no matter what language they use.
You should be praying for his safety not whining about a few 4 letter words. I am praying he will live to tell the tale.
Yes, Amarynth, sharp questions. No one gives credit to Gonzalo to be the first to state the problem of miscalculations, by both sides, and then first to give a fairly decent analysis of it.
Even Andrei Martyanov wouldn’t touch the topic of RF’s miscalculations, spending most of his time on nato’s or US’ ones.
Now, miscalculations before, during, and especially after the war are as inevitable as dead, wounded, and destruction. My take is that the side with fewer critical miscalculations wins. RF avoided critical ones, so far, either by either not committing them or quickly recovering from it. I do appreciate the incredible operational and tactical flexibility of RF while strictly adhering to the main objective: demilitarization and denazification.
I am speaking as one whose life was saved in 1944 by the Red Army and Bosnian Serbs of the 39-Krajina Division.
John Helmer has written that he believe that the actual Russian troop numbers in phase 1 was only 40k to 60k. I don’t believe that this includes the Chechen forces.
Has anyone considered that the sanctions on Russia are, in part, designed to drive up prices in The West? Consider:
1. Western economists & decision makers are very capable of modeling the effects on sanctions and commodities bans on Russia. It is not that hard for a reasonably intelligent person to understand what happens when Russian oil, coal, fertilizer, etc., is cut off. Prices rise. It is common sense.
2. Too many people consider Western leaders pushing sanctions as stupid people. They are not. Western leaders have simply left themselves too little choices, effectively boxing themselves in.
Inflation in The West crushes the Western peasants and keeps us in line. A side effect of sanctions on Russia. So, it is not only a war on Russian oligarchs by Western oligarchs… it is a war by Western oligarchs on our own people. In America, if people believe that voting for the other party will change anything? No. Both of the wings of the uniparty in America are effectively lockstep with each other in regards to the economic goals of Western oligarchs. With differences being relegated to social issues… The Republicans with their Christian identity politics and The Democrats with their LGBTQ+/gender/racial identity politics. Or abortion between anti-abortionists and pro-abortionists. While the methods between the uniparty’s wings in achieving the economic designs of Western oligarchs may be different (The Koch’s(R) versus Jamie Dimon(D), etc) THE GOAL… WESTERN NEOLIBERAL ECONOMIC DOMINATION remains the same.
The various factions in the American uniparty are vying for control of the direction achieving neoliberal economic domination of the world. They are battling each other over methods of advancing & achieving the same goal.
What many American peasants do not understand? Rising prices caused by American & Western oligarchs are a war on the American peasant. Whether by design or as a desired secondary effect of sanctions on Russia or simply an opportunity that sanctions present in the form of rising prices? Remains to be seen.
“Western economists & decision makers are very capable of modeling the effects”
‘economists’ ….. possibly. I still agree with Chalmers Johnson that this is more religion than science, but possibly.
‘decision-makers’ …. not a chance in Hades. Remember who the decision makers are. Do you really think that Nancy Pelosi, Ted Cruz and Joe Biden are ‘very capable of modeling the effects’?
I can’t even imagine a ‘decision maker’ being able to read a one-page memo on the topic. And, anything longer than one-page they throw in the trash and then sack the writer for writing long memos.
And, that’s true for any American organization. The people who lead organizations never know what is going on in America these days. That’s not just government. Its very true in business, as the bean-counters now run everything for the BS artists who own everything, while the people who knew what was going on were fired to cut costs.
Are these people really making the decisions? I think there is a good argument to say they are not.
It’s what ever special interest group/lobbyist, etc and with few exception not the citizen voters that these politicians are working for and the policies they promote.
Just from the headline …..everybody always miscalculates in every war.
That’s the key lesson that human beings must learn about war before it is too late. And the voice is counting 10 … 9 … 8…
Every side always miscalculates. There is another famous saying about how all plans only last until contact with the enemy. Same thing.
On top of that, wars are always promoted by liars. So, even as the actual planners are miscalculating what’s about to occur, there is a parade of liars in public telling any lie they need to in order to start the war.
No war ever goes as planned. The ones that appear to do so are the huge walkovers, when a strong power stomps on a tiny power. Even then, if you look at the details, it never goes ‘as planned’. There are always miscalculations.
I really wish people would learn this … but the voice is now saying 7 …. 6 …..
Ordinary people need to stop being willing to die for miscalculating liars. That’s how to make this the miscalculation that ends all miscalculations.
I can’t get over the negative comments here. Yes it’s long listen, find something to do!
I did my ironing & cleaned out my closet while my brain was on a treadmill.
He said while both sides miscalculated, Russia has escalation possibilities with regard to the war in Ukraine, and modified their strategy. The West on the other hand, has “shot its wad” with shock & awe sanctions. So the big question is, what is the West going to do next?
Where I live (Utah, USSA) Mormons never use foul language. On the other hand, I have never met a Mormon who could care less about free speech, fairness, or non-violence. As a group and as individuals they are power hungry, greedy, arrogant, and preposterously self-righteous given their clown world religion. They curry favor among the power elite (e.g. Mitt Romney) and don’t think twice about murdering and pillaging. So go ahead, Gonzalo, use four letter words. The truly disgusting words are 3 letters: WHO, NIH, FDA, FBI, CIA, NSA, WEF, IMF, BIS, etc.
Mitt comes across so squeaky clean but just voted to nominate a justice to the Supreme Court who by her prior court cases was a proponent for the lightest sentences for sexual abuse involving minors. It was quite a few cases and not just q handful.
She also wrote a paper in law school about he position with regard to sexual predators. A large amount of her records were not provided to the senate by the Biden regime.
Mitt is a real two faced snake and I believe his top aid was involved with Burisma in Ukraine. Know them by their deeds.
I find that I really like Gonzalo. He is a very good person. Someone I would like as my friend. His analysis is superb. I sense his frustration. He watches helplessly as so many young men die, needlessly.
To spread the cluster ammunition the warhead of the Totschka is seperated and the rest is falling down, it’s that simple and that’s why we have whole list of Totschka numbers the ukrainian military shot on ukrainian zivilians. The rockets are difficult to intercept as they fly only 120 seconds but their range is still much longer as Panzir’s.
The first F-35 shot down, and russian airdefence is very good in grounding small RCS’s, will bring this scrab- product to it’s early end. and so on . . .
The west is only good in Stalingrad propaganda.
You can’t defeat Israel, because there is unlimited supply and that’s happening in Ukraine now. Ukraine became the angloamerican spike protein in the Eurasian body.
The problem with the sanctions is, that people around the world are not as stupid, as the sanctionists expect them to be.
The western idea of economy is ‘flow of money’ but that’s not economy, thats perversion of of economy, economy still is supply of goods.
To make the Ukrainians go west it didn’t need the Russian action, it was enough to open the border.
Shanghai? Corona war1 is the biowar against China and this is just another attack with a fresh GE variant. Corona war 2 was (is ?) the one against the iran leadership and corona war3 is another one, that is the mRNA-nanolipid war against Angloamerican & EU people & their public funds.
Someone should tell Gonzalo that he remains suspended on Twitter notwithstanding his statements in the video (current time 22:46:00 GMT April 8, 2022).
The Soviet Memorial in Treptow Park is the largest monument to the fallen soldiers of the Red Army in Germany.
Last weekend the participants of the Russian motorcade in Berlin stopped at the Soviet Memorial to commemorate the Russian soldiers in Ukraine; the participants shouted for peace and justice. Now, three days later, the Soviet Memorial was smeared with slogans. The memorial is dedicated to all soldiers of the Soviet Union, including Ukrainians, who died in 1945 in the battle for Berlin. Now graffiti emblazons, Putin = Stalin. Ukrainian Blood on Russian Hands. Death to all Russians.
The imposing Russian Embassy at the Brandenburg Gate in Berlin, a complex that occupies an entire apartment block, has now been generously cordoned off, including the subway stop, as various attempted attacks on the Russian Embassy complex have already been carried out.
The Russian Cultural Center in the immediate vicinity has also been closed, where many cheerful events took place until recently, as well as the celebration of the World Cup, where many Russians watched live broadcasts of the Russian soccer team.
Many important, splendid honorary statues in Berlin, as well as in the former GDR were disfigured with Grafities.
I ask myself today, had the war against Russia ever stopped?
The Russian Jewish community living around the synagogue in Berlin is suddenly like invisible, the Russian Orthodox community also like invisible.
Its a pain in my chest.
The German Nazis are back!
Today, Saturday at 3pm CET Anatoly Antonov (Russian Ambassador to the USA), among other speakers, will talk about the current situation at the virtual conference of the Schiller Institute.
You will have to find the link to the accreditation yourself. My previous post with link was censored here.
These are not german Nazis, these are ukrainian guests and payed PR (with taxpayers money)
Someone should tell him a lot of things. He is repetitive and seems disassociated He probably should get out of there.
He’s said it all about 20 times already.
Not sure how much you lurk on 4chan Saker but Gonzalo seems like he is just regurgitating whatever he can glean from 4chan to try to make himself more popular.
I think his firsthand experience is indispensable but his analysis is frankly not original.
Sometimes it is, if he could only avoid too much swear and f…ck… but he has made splendid analysis before this one.
Yes, someone should tell him that not all his listeners are accustomed to that kind of language. His analysis is interesting, but the language is quite off-putting.
Compared to what is happening in Ukraine a few four lettered words are of little consequence.
Thankyou ! Of little consequence!!
Amen.
Seriously? That is an issue? I would sugget all who find his language offensive to go elsewhere for infornation. He is in the middle of a war, there is carnage and his life is in danger 24/7. He has to be in hiding all the time and is alone; isn’t that concerning? And people get twisted in linguistic aesthetics? If Kharkoc is stormed then his life is in mortal danger; some of us worry about him as our own brother. Look at how he feels the tragedy of the loss of life even on the Ukranian side. When you carefully listen it bacomes apparent he is distressed about the current state of humaniy and the irresponsibility of current world leadership which has resulted in untold suffering and death. That is how intense it is for him. For some comparison, watch (on You Tube) how recruits are trained in boot camp; maybe people will get a sense of what this is about. Give Gonzalo a break, go watch smerfs, bambi, or some hypnotising cartoons. ;)…WEFs would love that too.
Hahaha; agreed, maybe not that alone. However, this is pretty gritty stuff and he is trapped right in the middle of it. We have the privilege of distance and can indulge in armchair analysis, while he is a witness though in some limited way. I respect and honor him for that. Many quickly got out of Dodge, he stayed. We may rightly dissagree with his analysis, but it is tacky to cast aspersions. Though a natural reality of war, the casualty figures are heart breaking. Leaders who do this to their young are heartless beasts. Yes there was WW one and two; for me a little distant in time…this is supposed to be 21st Century or is Eurostan stuck in the past? What would they loose by giving Russia the security guarantees?
Well said.
So What. Evidently he’s single now so who cares? I wouldn’t do it. I would never have sex with a random man. Scary stuff. Men do these things apparently. I know several men that have done this. I tell them they’re out of their minds and move on. Men really, really care about sex. Really. A lot I guess. It was probably a diversion.
A one night stand doesn’t mean he’s not alone. Quite the opposite actually.
I’m always amazed that anyone, anywhere, from any type of background, can be scared of hearing such a commonly used word. One that has so many uses and meanings. And to refer to some language as being vulgar, as if using language they consider not to be vulgar, makes them better people than other people who use vulgarities, or superior, etc.
I can only shake my head and laugh, that people can discriminate against another person for their language choice is absurd. Something can be communicated in the most polite manner, using the most modest and decent language and still be completely and unnecessarily rude and indecent.
Often, the most honest, genuine people I have met or have known, are happy to swear whenever it suits them. I find people who don’t, to be untrustworthy and fake.
Shane, I agree completely. Nothing I can add.
Shane, so true.
Yes I agree with what you say here. People swear when it suits them and, as you say, they are often not genuine at all. It’s another form of arrogance and religious holier than thouism. Dumb people tend to swear continually because they have a limited vocabulary but this is certainly not the case with GL.He’s clearly a smart, educated guy. I have no problem with his swearing. He is only human. If you want polite-listen to the goons on MSM. Cheers.
Agreed!
And most people should learn some italian: they would be astonished at the level of profanity we have in our language, and use everyday, which actually makes the anglo-saxon way of swearing seem a children’s lullaby.
Amurcans pride themselves on their vulgarity: to be vulgar is to be strong; to be polite is to be weak. By reading journals, we can see Amercuns know next to nothing about English grammar. GL is simply a product of his country and likely does not realise his limitations in language.
Despite all the talk about giving Ukrainians all these great weapons maybe the European counties are running out of weapons like you say OR maybe some European countries want to keep weapons hoard. Talk is cheap.
You’re the best Gonzalo. Stay safe.
Is it possible to be a Philosophy major without understanding grammar ?
English is a second language for GL. He is Chilean and moved to the US to study at Dartmouth. Hence the US accent.
Considering that English is not his mother tongue, I think he speaks it very well.
Gonzalo’s use of the kind strong words that some people here object to, is nothing specifically American. For instance, in France, Spain and Spanish America (Santo Domingo, Venezuela, Argentina), Italy and many other countries, I know from personal experience that the use such terms is socially accepted. Even in the middle classes. I find his presentation very, very good and if people cannot stand his language, well, nobody is forcing them to listen to Gonzalo.
In the US they speak old English with archaic grammer……whereas in England, over the centuries English grammer has evolved to meet modern standards. The US school system has not managed to evolve with it. More of a devolution if anything….in a gettoesque kind of way.
Cheers M
But both in the UK and the US it is called “grammar,” not “grammer,” although the latter could become a useful new word to denote someone who nickels and dimes you to death, ie. by the gram…
“Do you herd sheep?” my grandma sighed,
My grandpa leaped in fright.
“That grammar’s wrong!” to me he cried.
“Have you heard sheep?” is right!
——————-
Please take any further discussion on this matter to the MFC.
The Moderator.
He’s not American
He is another voice getting the message out ! And your comment is disingenuous !!
Large sanctions on China would result in the collapse of Walmart.
Why is he allowed on YouTube?
So then, you rely on YouTube to keep you safe.
Interesting but meaningless.
NONE of us know the plans / strategies developed by the Russian MOD, and on the basis of current developments one might well suppose that the MOD’s strategies are (as they say) working as planned, and to schedule.
They are keeping VERY tight control on all battlefield information (for obvious reasons), and all we have is what we might glean from various Internet posts (which may themselves be at least biased, at worst deliberately incorrect).
It will be interesting to see how Russia plans to engage the western part of Ukraine – the “bit they are not interested in”. Maybe they won’t be quite so concerned about total demolition of civilian infrastructure – since (what’s left of) the EU will gave the problem of rebuilding that!
Maybe the Western part of Ukraine will be bombed and completely destroyed considering that Russia will use
American war methods.
You can make many arguments for that. Ukraine is laying waste to everything in the east. There is also talk about stealing Russia’s reserves to pay for Ukraine’s reconstruction. I think if that was attempted, Russia would be obliged to occupy the whole country.
I have a question about Slovakia’s sending their S300 to Ukraine. Are we really supposed to believe that Russia is going to allow all the units to just roll in on rail into Ukraine? Seriously? If that is really going to happen, then there is something seriously with this whole operation.
‘Maybe they won’t be quite so concerned about total demolition of civilian infrastructure’.
IMHO: The RF should “lay carpet” over the whole area from high altitude.
I knew Russian people in Lvov and they wouldn’t exactly be thrilled by that.
Any “Russian people” still in Lvov should run away as fast as they can via whatever means they have.
Regardless if Lvov will be occupied, bombed or left alone. They have some of the last chances to survive right about now. If they do not run (initially to Poland) now, once the conflict is over their last way of survival will be closed.
If they are still in Lvov when the conflict is over, they are as good as dead. IF they want to “not leave Ukraine to ” then they still need to leave AND come back immediately after the dust settles. But in no case is staying on a viable option anymore for them.
Indeed, a genocide of Russians in the Ukraine seems to be taking shape. The barely concealed mass murders near Kiev and in Kramatorsk are the opening acts of it. They might start mass murdering Russians completely in the open before long.
Do you find it remarkable that the EU and pretty much all of Europe are supporting it? The US is no surprise at all. Look at their history. They would support any murderous regime as long as its subservient to them. Somehow, I placed more faith in Europe.
“They might start mass murdering Russians completely in the open before long.” Then Russia better get serious about taking them out. So far, they have not gone after any of the leadership at all. Incredibly, all the government buildings in Kiev are still standing.
No one in EU (or US) is aware of that. There is a reason official censorship was put on once the conflict started.
The EU/US *society* would never accept sucha policy. THIS IS EXACTLY why such a plan/policy is not public in any way or form and THEY EVEN CRIMINALIZE EXPOSING IT by declaring any such information to be “pro-ruddian propaganda” which “is supported the genocide in ukraine” hence “is acardinal sin which need tu be punished on the same level as murder”. 15yrs behind bars so far in CZ i being promulgated.
This is the same like the German public DID NOT HAVE A CLUE what was happening in Treblinka or Oswiencim. They learned only after the war… at which point it no longer mattered.
Well Gonzalo is stuck in the middle of Kharkov surrounded by fighting, so his perspective there is valuable. Regarding the f words he deserves some slack, must be quite stressful living like that day by day. Don’t mind if he includes his analysis of internet content for his daily show, amazing there is still electricity and water given the constant explosions 4-5 miles away.
Some people just love to bitch. I don’t care where he gets his info, some from 4chan or not, cause I don’t follow 4chan, but may do now since I now know. When a Saker commenter brings up an attachment I read 2 days prior I don’t mind in the slightest because some subscribers, definitely recent ones may have not seen it.
Mr Lira provides more than news, he’s a foreign voice of reason who’ll appeal to many English speakers and only God knows how they need to listen to his honest take on matters.
This is nearly two hours long ffs! He rambles on and on – I need an “executive summary”! A few weeks ago he was telling his audience about the constant shelling he could hear. Unless he was in a soundproofed room, nothing could be heard outside. I am beginning to doubt that he is actually in Ukraine.
Is there any way we can check out “StevieH” or “kjell108” so we know they are the real stuff? Or are we just going to accept postings from those nicknames at face value … with no quality control?
That’s strange, there is a point in this very cast in the later half, I think when answering question from subscribers he opens the window and you can hear some shelling in the distance, he specifically calls it out, says something like “don’t worry sounds like 4km away”.
I agree 100%. I never have the patience to listen to these amateur “podcasts”, including The Saker “star”, Martyanav.
Give the video to a skilled journalism student who can distill the essence to 10-20 paragraphs. With text it is far easier to skip the boring and repetitive parts.
FN speeches / Putin speeches / Biden speeches / NATO secretary speeches are not exactly something you will spend time on.
Seconded!
He is been giving the same analysis for a month now.
– He is been giving the same analysis for a month now.
It is a problem (maybe) MSM Media are repeating themselves … for 3 years in case of Russia Collusion.
Those individual podcasters who post every week or every day ALL repeat themselves. Those who donate $5 expect news stuff in in every video of course.
Example: Steven Ben-Nun has endless updates on Planet X.
Wow. He can comment on anything he likes just as you can. I’m certain he has better contacts than you. Why so nasty? Why so vicious?
Gonzalo does a good job deconstructing all the relevant details of the Bucha attack. Perhaps some of your readers are better versed on the minutiae of this account than I am, but I am finding GL’s discussion to be both informative and useful, even if it is not as succinct at other readers would like it to be.
GL has more brain than Trump and more charisma than Putin.
I’ll agree with your Trumplethinskin point but have you sat down socially with Putin. He’s the finest statesman of the 20th & 21st centuries and when a mike is in his face I don’t expect him to come across as a clown like Zelensky.
You’ve probably never heard him sing one of his favourite foreign songs ‘Blueberry Hill’, so go ahead watch it. Shows he not too vain, not the best singer but can chill out.
Some people love to perform, but not Putin.
Personally I find people like Trump shallow
You guys should check out Yuriy Podolyaka. Smart guy gives analysis about the strategic warfare etc.
Yuriy Podolyaka is pretty good. But Auto Translate makes it tough to follow. Can you suggest a solution?
Have an intro please. An hour long video from someone I know nothing about is a lot to digest.
You should know who Gonzalo is by now or perhaps you just haven’t been keeping up with events in 404.
When some has an active Youtube channel, a Twitter account, and also a Patreon account, we cannot complain if we don’t know them. People cannot behave like Trump **2.
I have one technical question: Given that Youtube is blocking channels and many content producers are migrating to Telegram, do you know an application or add-on that can be installed and help translate live a video on Telegram? There are text translators for Telegram but I want to watch videos spoken in Russian and outside Youtube is hard to get live translations.
Russia should make western Ukraint unlivable and force migration by hitting electric, water and fuel and create a barren buffer state as it consolidates it’s gains in the east. It can then prepare for the next phase of the long war, belligerent eastern Europe.
Why are you proposing Russia to /attempt/ a genocide?
Are you on the 3 letter payroll or what?
Russia he says made the miscalculation in thinking a shock & awe kick-start to the SMO would see the Ukies run to the negotiating table. He’s most probably correct and their thought process very naive. I say this because what the Ukrainians think is immaterial, it’s what’s in the psyche of the American neocons that would hold sway and their deep resentment of all thing Russian knows no bounds. In the NATO training manuals dished out to Ukrainian troops rule number 1 would be no surrender at any cost, kill or be killed. Simple for the Nazis and even if 80% of the regular Ukrainian forces initially held neutral feelings toward Russia, 8 years of sticking a bayonet into a Russian dummy on the assault courses would indeed brainwash them.
When Putin talks about war crimes the first 5 names that top the list are Obama, Biden, Nuland, Blinken and Kolomoisky; that’s a CIA asset of questionable birth right, an American, two Duals and a Zionist. These 5 created & moulded the Donbass genocide. The last should be a relatively easy target, Mossad protection or not.
Neocons = Ashkenazi.
Interesting analysis here where the goal is not about Ukraine [it will be destroyed … by Zelensky], but about taking down Russia – like USSR
https://odysee.com/@alltheworldsastage:0/jimmydoreshow-Ukraine-Russia-War-Proof-Zelensky-REJECTED-Peace-With-Russia:1
The problem with Zelenski is he doesn’t have the authority to negotiate. Zelenski is a dead man walking, his handlers will put him down when he fails.
Is true Zelensky remains under orders NOT to negotiate from his US handlers. Those handlers were formerly based in the US Kiev Consulate, but have all now relocated to continue their operations from Poland. Ukraine has effectively been run from the US Kiev Consulate for past eight years. It was there, that the real decisions about who would be allowed to run in the Ukrainian elections, and who would be picked as senior Ukrainian bureaucrats were really made. As for Zelensky’s fate, the CIA may just bundle him up and transport him to Israel at the end of all this. To see out his days in a Tel Aviv villa, alongside the other dual citizen Ukrainian-Israeli Ashkenazim, in exile with amassed looted Ukrainian funds.
Always interessting to hear Gonzalos observations and reflections on the ground.
I think maybe the headline for this show is well abitious. One think is miscalculations, other is mistakes … another is negligence.
I also think there has been made mistakes in the intelligence work, or maybe not a good enough job. I noticed in the consultation Putin had with his advisors before the SMO that there was one guy he sort of needed to pull out his opinion of. Even needed to correct him about what was about to happen. It is my understanding that this was the intelligence chief, he seemed less than trilled … and sort of thried to avoid expressing his oppinion in the matter.
That pro-Russian mayors have been kidnapped and liquidated is not a good thing. The Russians would know the NAZI forces they are up agains, and there should have been protection of these assets from the crazies. Then again I’m not an intelligence expert, maybe it was not possible or maybe something went wrong.
I respect his on-the-spot reports from a war zone, but it takes a special kind of stupid to openly criticise the ruling regime of a nation in which you reside but of which are not a citizen and thus present at their sufferance. A regime which has fascist tendencies. During wartime no less.
But whether he is taking too much risk has no bearing on whether he is right or not.
No, it just raises his judgment as an issue. He is a valuable resource as to what is happening on the ground, though
– it just raises his judgment as an issue.
Then you must imply 150 mill Americans and 40 mill Brits have a jugdemental issue as they are vaccinated.
An atheist will promote there is nothing after death.
Yes, it does, but then it’s possible to compare his judgement to what has actually happened. It’s not impossible to have good judgment even under stress and, moreover, even if he is taking more risk than what would normally considered prudent, then him being on the ground constitutes a countervailing factor.
Trying to assess his track record:
Him being on the ground provides him with good insights on the nature of the Zelensky regime. He sounds informed and credible. That’s a big plus.
He having survived in the Ukraine up until now even though he is openly criticizing the regime in social media speaks for his judgement on a “tactical” level, even though he might be acting recklessly on a “strategic” level. That’s a plus and minus at the same time. Sort of a wash.
He pretends to know what the Russian plans were, with little evidence. That’s a minus.
He says that Russia has escalatory potential left whereas the West immediately went nuclear with its economic war and has little escalatory potential left in it. He makes the assessment that the Russian ecenomy has survived in the short term. I would agree with all of that. He seems to be optimistic as for Russias longer-term economic outlook. I would be a little bit more pessimistic mid-term, although long-term I would agree given the material underpinnings in terms of raw materials, agriculture, human capital and market access outside of the West. Overall I would consider it a plus.
He has been saying that Russia was winning. That was probably a little bit too much based on his personal experience being closed to the front line. A minus even if one agrees given the big picture.
All in all GL’s assessments are valuable to have if you take them with a pinch of salt, as with everyone else.
All the silly criticism can piss off anyway what else has this man to do sitting there trapped. I wonder how he knows so much when he can’t speak the Russian? Following saker perhaps?
Anyway I have one observation and one question for the brilliant commenters and moderators here:
First, that the NATO team experienced equipment failures is no surprise at all. The entire system in the west, esp the US where most of this stuff is made, is based on maximum overpricing and minimum product quality.
In fact, the war “machine” is primarily a scam to make money in the west, which means like everything else, reduce costs and increase price period. The loyalty is to the money only, not the soldiers and civilians who will lose their lives living in substandard quarters, using subpar sometimes junk level equipment.
Ok. Question. Everybody is talk talk talk about the “maneuver warfare to pin down all those troops and hardware in Kiev” yes? Prevent them moving east to support the primary objectives in Donbass.
But also everybody talk talk talk about “oh they are dug into the cities using civilian population for human shield” yes? They say the forces can’t leave the city fortress or they will be wiped out in the open by Russian air superiority yes?
So my question for you then is this. Why did the Russians not draw those forces out of Kiev and annihilate them as they tried to move east toward Donbass? Wouldnt that has made sense? That too would have been “maneuver warfare” no? Leading them into the trap.
So which is it? The Russians can or cannot annihilate formations in the open on the road?
Anyway thank you to Lira and good luck.
Indeed the tidbits of information that we have about how the Ukrainian forces are moving to the East are somewhat mixed. From reports and videos we can glean that they are travelling in small groups in civilian cars and sometimes even on bicycles and on foot. Hunting down such groups would probably be ineffective, even impossible. Even mining the roads from the air would not help. They could always proceed on foot through the fields and forests. Then there are also reports about heavier re-inforcements. But we do know that the Russians are attacking the rail network in the Eastern half, even trying to hit actual shipments, so they are following though on this part. The only question is what a proportion of the overall re-inforcements they are able to hit. The Eastern front might end up with an adversary that has a lot of manpower but relatively little heavy equipment and few supplies, while the manpower is relatively old or maybe young but lacking strength and stamina (soyboys) and altogether inexperienced, even female.
The Javelins have been an absolute disaster. No one uses them.
So were the spears of the Matabele (5000 v 20 in number ) up against Cecil Rhodes with just 4 maxim machine guns.
Anyway what’s the world record for throwing a javelin, around 95 metres I think? One, I don’t expect they’d be able to get up that close and two, unless it was dark the Russians could easily dodge them.
Probably have more success with novichok tipped darts using a blow pipe, but then again range is about 25 metres.
The cuckolded Canucks could always send in Celine Dion and Bryan Adams to the Donbass frontline and put them on loudspeaker. This would terrify the Russians, they terrify me and I’m no wallflower.
Oh those Javelins . . . . . sorry, I do apologise.
– I wonder how he knows so much when he can’t speak the Russian?
English speakers have a huge advantage compared to Russian speakers. The war is in English.
In case of term “nazi” Russians will misjudge how Westerners understand nazis. “Nazis” were = enemy for Russians.
What? You mean disadvantaged surely, with the war being in English and the truth being in Russian. I’m at a disadvantage and without Saker and associated friends I could be an bumbling idiot like my fellow countrymen in the UK.
WTFUD
There is no way Russians will understand Western politics without listening to Western politics, who talk English or German or French or Spanish.
Here we have a language barrier.
I case of music we can see Russians and Americans are on different planets … like will be the case for Muslims and Chinese as well.
As one who cannot listen to Spanish news I understand I cannot understand the Latino world
One ex-PM stated: – It is very difficult to understand politics in some other country (culture)
Almost impossible!
Who cares about Russia here?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zJfqQHF5uzU
I do not listen to talk and video. I look through the comments to see what you all assess. On the Saker, most comments are very good, but a little, not so. But then that is just one point of view.
Kiev was never meant to be taken. It was many things, but most importantly it was a feignt, a ruse to fool the west,as they only realized many days later. The importance was always about freeing the entire east, and surrounding them , cutting them off from re-supplies and going in to fight. This takes time for the Russians are trying their best not to kill civilians, and it is to their great credit.
To destroy kviv and lviv is nothing for the Russian firepower to do, as the west has done to countries all over this planet, with impunity, but we will pay for it!
The only mistake that Russia has done was to underestimate the savage, evil murderous brutality that the Nazis (armed,funded & trained by the West). As one Russian soldier put it: “they are non-human, and worse than terrorist”.
In regards to the false narratives: it will continue and intensify for that is all the west really has. Then when the shortages, inflation and prices sky rocket, blame Putin as Biden instructed and then take that to grocery store.
The Russian central bank lowered its benchmark interest rate from 20% to 17%.
Needs to go a lot further too at the very least below 5%.
The reason They gave for cutting from 20 to 17% still sounds that they don’t get it. Still on The neoliberal, globalist propaganda train. Because that is how they were educated and trained via economic textbooks that are not fit for purpose and put together in a cupboard at the Pentagon.
Rate hikes are price hikes.
Rate cuts are price cuts.
Why is that the truth ?
The mainstream that is neoliberal globalists is their presume that low interest rates are supportive of aggregate demand and cause inflation through a variety of channels, including credit, expectations, and foreign exchange channels.
Based on the assumption that lower rates encourage borrowing to spend. At a micro level this seems plausible- people will borrow more to buy houses and cars, and business will borrow more to invest. But it breaks down at the macro level.
For every Ruble borrowed there is a Ruble saved, so any reduction in interest costs for borrowers corresponds to an identical reduction for savers. The only way a rate cut would result in increased borrowing to spend would be if the propensity to spend of borrowers exceeded that of savers.
The Russian economy, however, is a large net saver, as government is an equally large net payer of interest on its outstanding debt. Therefore, rate cuts directly reduce government spending and the economy’s private sector’s net interest income.
And looking at over two decades of zero-rates and QE in Japan, 10 years in the US, and 11 years of zero and now negative rates in the EU, the data is also clearly showing that lowering rates does not support demand, output, employment, or inflation.
In fact, the only arguments that they do are counter factual- the economy would have been worse without it- or that it just needs more time. Like the lumberjack who every time he cuts a piece off a bit of wood shouts that it is still too short.
Then we have the famous inflation expectations channel. This presumes that inflation is caused by inflation expectations, with those expecting higher prices to both accelerate purchases and demanding higher wages, and that lower rates will increase inflation expectations.
First, with the currency itself a simple public monopoly, as a point of logic the price level is necessarily a function of prices paid by government when it spends (and/or collateral demanded when it lends), and not inflation expectations. And the income lost to the economy from reduced government interest payments works to reduce spending, regardless of expectations.
Nor is there evidence of the collective effort required for higher expected prices to translate into higher wages. At best, organized demands for higher wages develop only well after the wage share of GDP falls.
The myth that lower rates cause currency depreciation and inflation. After two decades of 0 rate policies the yen remained problematically strong and inflation problematically low. And the same holds for the euro and $US after many years of near zero-rate policies. The real data over 20 years Just does not back up the neoliberal, globalist theory. It never does.
In fact, theory and evidence points to the reverse- higher rates tend to weaken a currency and support higher levels of inflation.
a) Because the increased cost of borrowing gets passed into the consumer via higher prices. Business just passes on the extra it now costs to borrow.
b) As rates rise interest payments rise. Savers have more money to spend.
c) The spot and forward price for a non perishable commodity imply all storage costs, including interest expense. Therefore, with a permanent zero-rate policy, and assuming no other storage costs, the spot price of a commodity and its price for delivery any time in the future is the same.
However, if rates were, say, 10%, the price of those commodities for delivery in the future would be 10% (annualized) higher. That is, a 10% rate implies a 10% continuous increase in prices, which is the textbook definition of inflation! It is the term structure of risk free rates itself that mirrors a term structure of prices which feeds into both the costs of production as well as the ability to pre-sell at higher prices, thereby establishing, by definition, inflation.
d) the larger the debt to GDP ratio a country has the bigger the effect. As more interest payments are paid out on the bonds held by the private sector.
If increasing interest rates says what it does the tin. Argentina and Turkey would have very, very, very low inflation and the strongest currencies in the world. They don’t.
While the West increase interest rates by 0.25% sometimes 0.25% that is nothing and pure theater. Saying that they are doing it to fight inflation.
It is an Orwellian trap to trap countries in their groupthink. Make other countries raise interest rates to sometimes over 20%. Thus causing an inflation spiral and a crises in the countries they are targetting. So the IMF will be called in to bail them out and anybody who has listened to Andrei knows what that means.
“For every Ruble borrowed there is a Ruble saved”
Not true in a fractional reserve system where money is created by credit. Russia has such a system just like the West.
“higher rates tend to weaken a currency and support higher levels of inflation”
But the West has had tremendous inflation in asset prices, which was where the cheap credit went in the first place. Inflation in consumer prices was held in check over the past decades by cheap raw materials and cheap consumer goods flooding the market. The raw materials were to an extent Russian, the consumer goods to a large extent Chinese. The official rate of inflation was also hidden by using unrealistic statistics. Now that the West is cutting itself off from Russian raw materials, inflation is already in the double digits depending on where you look at, certainly in food prices.
“Not true in a fractional reserve system where money is created by credit. Russia has such a system just like the West.”
There is no such thing as a fractional reserve system. Banks have never operated like that and never will – because the accounting doesn’t let them.
The UK and Canada, for example, have zero reserve requirement. Bank reserves didn’t even exist as a concept in the UK until 2005. Under fractional beliefs that means they must have an infinite amount of money in their system – and they clearly don’t.
Loans create deposits. Always. When an additional loan is created, and equivalent amount of additional saving is created in the form of a deposit. If a loan is created and the deposit changes hands such that it pays off another loan elsewhere then there will be no net credit expansion.
As a matter of accounting for credit to expand, financial saving must expand at precisely the same rate.
Believing otherwise is simply wrong.
The J.L. guy and you mean exactly the same thing. You are just re-wording it a lttle bit more technically. However, normally when the main stream says “For every Ruble borrowed there is a Ruble saved”, they do so to pretend that the Ruble saved was saved up front to borrow it, not that this Ruble was created by borrowing. Economists like Steve Keen have written at length about this blind spot of classical economics.
“where money is created by credit.”
is basically right
Then “The Accountant” claims the opposite: New loans / new deposits will not change anything
– As a matter of accounting for credit to expand, financial saving must expand at precisely the same rate.
“The Accountant” believes everything is balanced – and no bubbles here.
As I implied a minor bank can overnight have $1 billion more on balance sheet
In their mind they do have the infinite amount money, and they simply transfer that to the balance sheet in the form of not even debt, is can simply be “ask for” and got permission by the congress, and it is backed by the faith of the gvt, the same ones who approved in the first place.
Then from there they leverage that money w/ reserve requirements on hand,(normally <10%) lend the remainder, let the derivatives operate the system, pocket the administration fees, invest that in energy, then control the system with politics.
The problem w/this system is it only works w/ the charity of other peoples infinite money, soon as the charity goes, so does the system.
Banks don’t lend depositors’ money (legal tender).
Banks are in the business of dealing in securities; converting promissory notes and other instruments into securities, and then selling them.
Check out this interview of Professor Werner on the business of banking:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EC0G7pY4wRE
Like any criminal undertaking, there are always 2 sets of books, one that is generally known, and one that is private and not shown to the public.
A mortgage means:
1. Bank add mortgage sum to balance sheet as assets
2. Borrower receives the mortgage sum
A local bank can that lend out $1 billion
– elsewhere then there will be no net credit expansion.
You miss what is important: Sum of credit can be expanded or contracted.
To take down a US president the banks only have to contract credit … so US is turned into a 3rd word country before election.
There is no law against it, and it works historically
“But the West has had tremendous inflation in asset prices”
That’s because high interest rates suppress asset prices, which reduces the rate at which they are created.
Remember that setting interest rates is an artificial market intervention. It stops the market working properly and reduce the rate at which productive asset are produced. The asset prices are returning to their market price.
To allow import substitution to work, Russia needs to get its interest rates to zero. That way it stops paying government money to bankers and allows investment to flourish.
Inflation is controlled by making people unemployed. Interest rates make people unemployed by moving money from poor people to rich people for safekeeping in the belief that the rich won’t spend as much. The resulting unemployed are abandoned to their fate. Taxation controls inflation by moving money from poor people *and rich people* to the government who can then redeploy those made unemployed by the taxation for the public good.
Drop the interest rates. Put the tax rates on employing people up until inflation is brought under control. Give a living wage job to all those temporarily laid off by the private sector while it reconfigures to the new reality.
Sounds a lot like MMT.
– Not true in a fractional reserve system where money is created by credit.
The meaning of “fractional reserve banking” is found here:
– Fractional-reserve banking is the system of banking operating in almost all countries worldwide,[1][2] under which banks that take deposits from the public are required to hold a proportion of their deposit liabilities in liquid assets as a reserve, and are at liberty to lend the remainder to borrowers.[3]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fractional-reserve_banking
Which is not how banks operate. The banks do not have the money they charge interest on, while the Wikipedia deinition is stating loans are from “deposits”
If you go trading economics.com
And plot Russian interest rate against Russian inflation rate.
When Russia hiked interest rates from 8% to 20%.
I told everyone here on the Saker when it happened that the inflation rate would quickly follow the interest rate. That is exactly what happened.
Just look at the graphs the real data for proof.
https://d3fy651gv2fhd3.cloudfront.net/charts/russia-interest-rate@2x.png?s=rrefrate&v=202204080901V20220312&url2=/russia/inflation-cpi
Go back over the last 10 years and look.
Every time the raise interest rates inflation follows. Every time they cut interest rates inflation falls.
https://d3fy651gv2fhd3.cloudfront.net/charts/russia-interest-rate@2x.png?s=rrefrate&v=202204080901V20220312&d1=20120411&url2=/russia/inflation-cpi
The Russians should know this by now.
There are clearly people at the Russian central bank that don’t know what they are doing.
Should be removed from their job as soon as possible.
Get somebody in there that understands the balance sheets, the assets and liabilities and how they interact and ignore the neoliberal globalist economic textbooks.
One of the funniest points in this video is the comment that Russia–not America–is the true indispensable nation.
Ain’t that the truth.
Russia has things that other countries need to survive. Food, fuel, fertilizer, etc.
America on the other hand? What does the self-styled Land of the Free truly offer the world? Wars, regime change, colonization. And lies. Especially lies.
America’s primary export to the world is deceit.
Americans may deluded themselves they they are the Indispensable nation, but that is just another self-serving lie.
In fact, America is a completely dispensable nation.
And the sooner that the USA is dispensed off this planet, the better.
I have heard about this mysterious build up of forces by Ukraine in and around Kramatorsk and have seen zero evidence of it. At least within the city itself. It is only a city of 150,000 people. Apparently about 50,000 remain.
Anyways, the Russian forces are still a good distance away so I don’t see any decisive happening in the next 24 to 48 hours. I can’t imagine Ukraine wanting to meet the Russian forces in the open fields. That would be suicide for them.
The only somewhat weighty evidence on the Russians miscalculating would a purge in the ranks of the intelligence services. In the West it has been claimed that such a purge took place, and GL says something to the extent that he believes in it too, but are there any real indications of that?
Even if they miscalculated, the initial deployment to Kiev might have had a double purpose, and GL is not very clear on that. The purpose may have been to scare the government into surrender and also, at the same time, to act as a pinning force in case surrender didn’t occur. In that case one cannot even speak of a miscalculation.
Trouble is an almost 2 hr Video is just Not On when a much shorter Transcript could be read easily ina very much shorter time frame. I’ll look at Video’s up to 30-40 min but that’s it !
Colonel Douglas Macgregor DEBUNKS Ukraine – Russia War Lies
https://youtu.be/tDw1u1NWc6A
Oh bless his heart and may luck be with him! He thinks this is the dirty work of a sovereign America, a nation state with functioning democratic structures. Now that is a miscalculation!
He doesn’t realize that the neocons of dual US-Israeli “citizens” (who have seized control of all structures and apparati of the US government) and the rest of the City of London-Wall st-Israeli cabal actually hate the former western democracies as much as they Russia; indeed they hate all sovereign nation states and are actively working to destroy them all totally and completely.
No, they did not miscalculate. Far from it. They calculated with expert skill how this would impact agriculture through increased fertilizer costs and shortages and increased transport costs leading to inflation and famine; how they could finish the destruction of the petro industrial complex through choking off transportation and supply beginning with Nordstream (a few weeks before the “invasion” Germany appointed a non German citizen former head of Greenpeace to a cabinet level position of special climate envoy!) and indeed they calculated perfectly the cascading social and economic death blow that these sanctions would bring to the west, i cluding to the dollar itself. That is their goal after all.
Your new world government awaits at the ready to introduce their central bank digital currency! Don’t believe me? Google “World Government Summit” (very recent) and watch at least the introduction.
My sense as well. Dr. William Mount alluded fo this in one of his recent podcasts. It sometimes feels hopeless. I pray for Russia.
No time to watch this, sorry. But going on your headline – For sure the US knew & knows exactly what it’s doing & who it’s dealing with, it’s games never change + the Ukraine is Biden’s fiefdom. This the Russian leadership must know after all these years, as do we all.
Just like Russia’s military don’t pickup the phone, I’ve also, in my tiny way, given up on anything better or honest from a Yank or ‘the West’ & now even doubt my American friends & my own country’s leaders. The sadness has gone too far.
While it is great that people on the ground are putting info there that counters the MSM spin machine, I would be more interested in his videos if he kept them to 10 minutes and simply talked about daily life in that situation. His analysis and info on everything else is second hand and half of his videos are full of “Tiffany Dover”. He seems to be reveling too much in his new found fame. By his own admission he speaks very little Russian or Ukrainian so I am not sure how he can come by any original info.
I started following him from around Feb 27 on his Red Pill Coach youtube channel when I was looking for any reporting from the ground. At that time he, was still in Kiev, he had gone there for a business trip when the operation started. He was stuck in a swanky hotel for a couple of days, then, despite having a week long reservation, he got kicked out because he criticized the press corps that was staying in the same hotel. Or something like that. An acquaintance offered him an apartment but then he went back to his own “swanky” apartment in Kharkiv. He made a point of telling us he lives in a very nice building in the centre. One of his earlier videos talked about how some strange guys showed up at his apartment in Kharkiv looking for him.
He’s made a couple of videos to “prove” he was first in Kiev and then in Kharkiv. I do question his judgment. It seemed stupid to be pointing out the name of the hotel he was in just to let us know that he was in a posh hotel. It seems stupid to be saying which area of Kharkiv he lives in.
“Russia AND the US Miscalculated In This War”
We all make mistakes and miscalculations whether at war or blowing our noses.
Some view mistakes and miscalculations as learning opportunities, some view mistakes and miscalculations as things to hide as soon as possible, whilst some messiah apparently do not have to consider the matter since they had immaculate conceptions.
Gonzalo is someone to listen to whilst you are doing something else. His videos are too long if you want to watch just the news. His style is an acquired taste, and I get that some people have an issue with his language, but he is a lot more credible than the MSM. He got kicked out of a Kiev hotel, and had to find an apartment and the means to get to Kharkov. He even walked past the entrance to Kharkov zoo to prove he was actually there. His information is invaluable.
Excellent video. Here’s my take on things as far as the US miscalculating. Every action taken since Biden was installed (no he did not win fair and square) has been really bad for the average American. From canceling the energy independence policies, open borders, climate change agenda, LGBTQWERTY agenda and all the other radical policies are hurting the middle class.
Biden is just a puppet and it’s clear others are pulling his strings. Biden is a very corrupt, lifelong DC gangster that is only protecting his territory and is in power only to keep all of his and Obama, Pelosi and rest of the gang crimes hidden. Obama made an appearance this week at the Whitehouse and it seems clear that Biden is just the stooge playing prez for Obama’s 3rd term.
Obama wanted to fundamentally change the US. What did he mean by that? My thought is to weaken it by dividing it and destroying the middle class. The proof is in the pudding. If you love your country you would not have policies that are destructive and would not allow an invasion at the southern border. These sanctions are going to hit the US hard but as Gonzalo says the average guy, aka middle class will be hit harder and the criminal oligarchs will be fine in the US.
Prices on goods were already high and will only increase with fuel and other shortages. They are pushing green energy policies and they want a great reset in the US and Europe. In order to get that they need a catastrophic collapse of the economy.
There are elections in the fall and by all counts the radical democrats are going to lose badly. I don’t know what they have up their sleeve but they are desperate to remain in power because they are so corrupt and criminal.
Unfortunately, there is a powerful group in the US that really hate the Russians especially since Putin has been successful in turning the Russian economy around and a powerful military. Adam Schiff who is the chairman of the intelligence committee in US congress has a rabid hatred for Russia. He helped create and push the Russia/Trump collusion. It was clear that one of the goals of getting Russia to mobilize their military into Ukraine was to shut off gas to the EU and especially Germany as spoken by Victoria Nuland.
The west to continue to push for Ukraine to fight and draw this conflict out is just evil.
“and draw this conflict out is just evil.”
Some would suggest naive, but I hear that everyone is entitled to their own opinion if they don’t try to act on it.
Many folks here pretty much covered it. As Gonzalo stated it is basically too late for him to leave. I am genuinely concerned for his well being. Andrei Martynov curses as well. Maybe not so proficiently but he does nonetheless. Is he also off-putting?
As mentioned previously by others, if you don’t like him, don’t listen. There is a war going on. Call it what you will but it is a war. He is clearly evaluating his life and worried if he will make it through. He is talking freely. That’s one of the things I treasure most. He’s real. He actually has tremendous talent to talk to anyone and explains things in layman’s terms. Not anyone can do that. I think he’s refreshing and God bless him for being as in control as he is.
This is a problem with Western society. Everyone should be good and polite. That’s not how things are anymore. I wish it wasn’t so but it is. No one else cares about such things. All the proper white people are supposed to uphold this high standard, look away or be called a racist. White people do this. They do this to the point of their own demise. It’s actually about ego. It’s obnoxious and foolish.
If some here are in denial about what is coming down the pike that’s unbelievable to me. The last thing you should be worried about is a little foul language and off the cuff remarks. You might be grateful someday soon for a capable person to come to your aid no matter what language they use.
You should be praying for his safety not whining about a few 4 letter words. I am praying he will live to tell the tale.
Well put. Thank you, Pamela.
So many comments about the interlocutor, and so few comments about what he actually said.
To you agree with him in terms of Russian miscalculations? Do you agree with him in terms of US miscalculations?
Yes, Amarynth, sharp questions. No one gives credit to Gonzalo to be the first to state the problem of miscalculations, by both sides, and then first to give a fairly decent analysis of it.
Even Andrei Martyanov wouldn’t touch the topic of RF’s miscalculations, spending most of his time on nato’s or US’ ones.
Now, miscalculations before, during, and especially after the war are as inevitable as dead, wounded, and destruction. My take is that the side with fewer critical miscalculations wins. RF avoided critical ones, so far, either by either not committing them or quickly recovering from it. I do appreciate the incredible operational and tactical flexibility of RF while strictly adhering to the main objective: demilitarization and denazification.
I am speaking as one whose life was saved in 1944 by the Red Army and Bosnian Serbs of the 39-Krajina Division.
Best regards, Spiral
John Helmer has written that he believe that the actual Russian troop numbers in phase 1 was only 40k to 60k. I don’t believe that this includes the Chechen forces.
Has anyone considered that the sanctions on Russia are, in part, designed to drive up prices in The West? Consider:
1. Western economists & decision makers are very capable of modeling the effects on sanctions and commodities bans on Russia. It is not that hard for a reasonably intelligent person to understand what happens when Russian oil, coal, fertilizer, etc., is cut off. Prices rise. It is common sense.
2. Too many people consider Western leaders pushing sanctions as stupid people. They are not. Western leaders have simply left themselves too little choices, effectively boxing themselves in.
Inflation in The West crushes the Western peasants and keeps us in line. A side effect of sanctions on Russia. So, it is not only a war on Russian oligarchs by Western oligarchs… it is a war by Western oligarchs on our own people. In America, if people believe that voting for the other party will change anything? No. Both of the wings of the uniparty in America are effectively lockstep with each other in regards to the economic goals of Western oligarchs. With differences being relegated to social issues… The Republicans with their Christian identity politics and The Democrats with their LGBTQ+/gender/racial identity politics. Or abortion between anti-abortionists and pro-abortionists. While the methods between the uniparty’s wings in achieving the economic designs of Western oligarchs may be different (The Koch’s(R) versus Jamie Dimon(D), etc) THE GOAL… WESTERN NEOLIBERAL ECONOMIC DOMINATION remains the same.
The various factions in the American uniparty are vying for control of the direction achieving neoliberal economic domination of the world. They are battling each other over methods of advancing & achieving the same goal.
What many American peasants do not understand? Rising prices caused by American & Western oligarchs are a war on the American peasant. Whether by design or as a desired secondary effect of sanctions on Russia or simply an opportunity that sanctions present in the form of rising prices? Remains to be seen.
“Western economists & decision makers are very capable of modeling the effects”
‘economists’ ….. possibly. I still agree with Chalmers Johnson that this is more religion than science, but possibly.
‘decision-makers’ …. not a chance in Hades. Remember who the decision makers are. Do you really think that Nancy Pelosi, Ted Cruz and Joe Biden are ‘very capable of modeling the effects’?
I can’t even imagine a ‘decision maker’ being able to read a one-page memo on the topic. And, anything longer than one-page they throw in the trash and then sack the writer for writing long memos.
And, that’s true for any American organization. The people who lead organizations never know what is going on in America these days. That’s not just government. Its very true in business, as the bean-counters now run everything for the BS artists who own everything, while the people who knew what was going on were fired to cut costs.
Are these people really making the decisions? I think there is a good argument to say they are not.
It’s what ever special interest group/lobbyist, etc and with few exception not the citizen voters that these politicians are working for and the policies they promote.
Just from the headline …..everybody always miscalculates in every war.
That’s the key lesson that human beings must learn about war before it is too late. And the voice is counting 10 … 9 … 8…
Every side always miscalculates. There is another famous saying about how all plans only last until contact with the enemy. Same thing.
On top of that, wars are always promoted by liars. So, even as the actual planners are miscalculating what’s about to occur, there is a parade of liars in public telling any lie they need to in order to start the war.
No war ever goes as planned. The ones that appear to do so are the huge walkovers, when a strong power stomps on a tiny power. Even then, if you look at the details, it never goes ‘as planned’. There are always miscalculations.
I really wish people would learn this … but the voice is now saying 7 …. 6 …..
Ordinary people need to stop being willing to die for miscalculating liars. That’s how to make this the miscalculation that ends all miscalculations.
Amazing insights by GL.
I can’t get over the negative comments here. Yes it’s long listen, find something to do!
I did my ironing & cleaned out my closet while my brain was on a treadmill.
He said while both sides miscalculated, Russia has escalation possibilities with regard to the war in Ukraine, and modified their strategy. The West on the other hand, has “shot its wad” with shock & awe sanctions. So the big question is, what is the West going to do next?
I guess the West has to react next to all the protests of the people becoming poor, you can’t eat propaganda.
Where I live (Utah, USSA) Mormons never use foul language. On the other hand, I have never met a Mormon who could care less about free speech, fairness, or non-violence. As a group and as individuals they are power hungry, greedy, arrogant, and preposterously self-righteous given their clown world religion. They curry favor among the power elite (e.g. Mitt Romney) and don’t think twice about murdering and pillaging. So go ahead, Gonzalo, use four letter words. The truly disgusting words are 3 letters: WHO, NIH, FDA, FBI, CIA, NSA, WEF, IMF, BIS, etc.
Mitt comes across so squeaky clean but just voted to nominate a justice to the Supreme Court who by her prior court cases was a proponent for the lightest sentences for sexual abuse involving minors. It was quite a few cases and not just q handful.
She also wrote a paper in law school about he position with regard to sexual predators. A large amount of her records were not provided to the senate by the Biden regime.
Mitt is a real two faced snake and I believe his top aid was involved with Burisma in Ukraine. Know them by their deeds.
Is there any known fighting in the Danube Delta? Just wondering.
I find that I really like Gonzalo. He is a very good person. Someone I would like as my friend. His analysis is superb. I sense his frustration. He watches helplessly as so many young men die, needlessly.
To spread the cluster ammunition the warhead of the Totschka is seperated and the rest is falling down, it’s that simple and that’s why we have whole list of Totschka numbers the ukrainian military shot on ukrainian zivilians. The rockets are difficult to intercept as they fly only 120 seconds but their range is still much longer as Panzir’s.
The first F-35 shot down, and russian airdefence is very good in grounding small RCS’s, will bring this scrab- product to it’s early end. and so on . . .
The west is only good in Stalingrad propaganda.
You can’t defeat Israel, because there is unlimited supply and that’s happening in Ukraine now. Ukraine became the angloamerican spike protein in the Eurasian body.
SBU is not Elinski’s (no Z enymore) KGB, it is a CIA branch.
Did you knew this, CIA business ?
https://greatgameindia.com/ukraine-drug-labs-russia/
The problem with the sanctions is, that people around the world are not as stupid, as the sanctionists expect them to be.
The western idea of economy is ‘flow of money’ but that’s not economy, thats perversion of of economy, economy still is supply of goods.
To make the Ukrainians go west it didn’t need the Russian action, it was enough to open the border.
Shanghai? Corona war1 is the biowar against China and this is just another attack with a fresh GE variant. Corona war 2 was (is ?) the one against the iran leadership and corona war3 is another one, that is the mRNA-nanolipid war against Angloamerican & EU people & their public funds.
Good luck, Gonzalo !