Russia won a long time ago when the Pentagon said they would not talk about weapon systems. Russia outclasses US on every front.
This poses a problem for the US military complex. They will no longer be able to produce weapons for international arms sales. The turn will be to produce weapons for domestic enemies. Makers of military equipment will have to concentrate where there is no international competition in the domestic market.
The failure of the US to engage verses 30 nations of which the US heads is a clear signal to the world of Russian made defense weapons.
Russia won on the first day when they destroyed 80% of the Ukie airforce including nearly 100% of the tactical aircraft, and all long range military radio communications at Brigade and higher. The short range VHF equipment used at battalion and below is of little use at the brigade and higher level, because it’s line of sight transmission and the earth’s curvature limits range regardless of how many watts you pump out.
They never had the whole country. America had to spend 11 gallons of fuel to deliver 1 gallon of fuel to Afghanistan. Multiply that by the billions of materials and men we moved in and out of that country literally on the opposite side of the world. Where they speak a very different language. And distrust or hate our religion and government. And the terrain didn’t match our preferred combat methods, which we never adapted completely to the needs of the conflict. We got a few thousand killed soldiers, many more maimed and battle scarred, and secured an opium poppy supply for the deep state until Fentanyl could take over much of the market. And we gave LOTS of money to the MIC.
Versus Russia fighting their next door neighbor, with a common/similar language, with a long history (for good or bad), and mostly common religion.
There is zero chance that Ukraine will be Russia’s Vietnam or Afghanistan.
“Russia won on the first day when they destroyed 80% of the Ukie airforce including nearly 100% of the tactical aircraft”
That can’t be true, as in the 100 days after that Russia has had to shoot down an average of 2 fighter aircraft per day either SU’s or Mig’s. So Ukraine had at least 200 fighters left after people say it was 80-100% destroyed and that doesn’t make sense.
You have obviously missed the fact that the so-called Ukraine is now supplied non-stop with lots of weapons and no doubt, planes. Planes (former Soviet) that Ukies can fly, are supplied by former Warsaw Pact members who are now in NATO. Why is that difficult to understand? If you are from the generation which does not know what Warsaw Pact was, check it out. Most of them still have Soviet Era weaponry, supplied by Soviet Union at the time, with them being an anti NATO Russian allies.
Dear God, how things can change.. with non-stop brainwashing and propaganda.
Sometimes one feels total despair seeing this human stupidity and gullability.
The Ukies are putting teenage boys in uniform. I’ve seen some videos of kids with weapons who look like they’re 14… so, maybe they’re late-developed 16-year olds, but most certainly not 18.
Right Sector & Aydar battalions: utterly destroyed as combat formations
Azov regiment: 80% destroyed. remaining personnel from Kiev companies spread throughout UFA companies to act “backstops” to shoot any draftees who try to retreat.
Remainder of Ukie full time army: mostly gone. 60% minimum attrition. Some 100%
Reserve units: mostly wrecked. 50%~70% attrition rates. Backfilled with draftees.
1st Draft, 2nd Draft, 3rd Draft, 4th Draft:
Poorly trained. Typically 10 days of basic training, allowed to shoot 10 rounds from their rifles. Then sent to the front.
[By comparison, US Army soldier’s initial entry training consists of 9 weeks of basic training, including 14 days of primary marksmanship instruction in which the soldier shoots well over 200 rounds of ammunition, learns how to zero the sights on his weapon so that the bullet hits where he aims, and concludes with a performance evaluation of 40 silhoutte randomly-appearing targets from 50 meters to 300 meters, with an allotted time of 3 seconds per target to engage that target. Due to bullets travelling at finite speed, the 300m target must be noticed, aimed at, aim settled, and fired at within 2.5 seconds to hit that target to get credit for hitting it. AFTER Basic Training, infantry get another 6 weeks of training for infantry skills, and instruction and practice shooting every heavy weapon that an infantryman is likely to use (i.e. NOT artillery pieces or anti-aircraft rockets, but nearly every other crew served or shoulder-fired weapon) Other Military occupational specialties have even longer training schools, up to 9 months. For example, MANPADS Gunner (stinger missiles) is a 24-week course.
Regional Defense Forces — old men in units which were never trained for combat. The mission of the RDF is to perform traffic control duties and to man security checkpoints. They are now on the front lines and getting mauled.
What the Ukies are facing, even the American forces with all of that training would have difficulty fighting against. The Ukies have zero chance of succeeding. The only questioin is how long can they delay the inevitable, and is it worth even a single additional life to do so?
I can just imagine who it was at those Universities back in 1890 that started all this trouble. Their descendants are doing the same thing in western universities today.
Here’s personal experience from teenage days.
Out of 40 boys and girls who never held rifle in their hands before, half could hit 50cm target at 100m distance with one of 5 rounds. Prone position, no time limit.
Six had 5 of 5, the best one put couple into 10cm middle circle. The range crew told us we were way above the average. In real war situation, with moving targets, to one would hit anything, not even a truck. Any semi-decent sniper would kill all of us in minutes, without being noticed.
Sending teenagers to the frontlines without months of training is the worst warcrime. Unlike atrocities in the heat of the battle, it is cold hearted and deliberate.
Lol the U.S. army sure must have changed, for when I was in which we had 8-week basic training with a leave and then another 8 weeks of advanced training we got to go to the rifle range twice and were permitted to fire three rounds each time we went. We did get to fire machine guns and motors, but the ammunition was very scare, like they were rationing it out.
You must have been in during the mid / late 70’s.
I went in in June 1980 and got out six years later.
In boot camp hardly fired a shot, by 1984 or so was sick of firearms training.
Not a fake operator just a regular GI.
But I shot well enough that the first time I visited the Sixth floor book depository museum in Dallas and saw the firing line to the street have never doubted that Oswald (and prob 85% USA combat trained shooter could have) made those shots.
@Aaron Kulkis: “The Ukies are putting teenage boys in uniform. I’ve seen some videos of kids with weapons who look like they’re 14… so, maybe they’re late-developed 16-year olds, but most certainly not 18.”
Like the German nazis began doing after the Red Army had chewed up 80% of their Wehrmacht in 1943-1944.
In chess, spectator analyists often remark that one of the players is ‘busted’, meaning that his position, material, and tempos are such that continuing play will result in a victory for his opponent, barring a blunder. The game has to be officially ‘won’ in play, until a checkmate or resignation, or time runs out on the loser, but there is no doubt about the outcome. In this sense, Ukraine is busted and can neither win nor draw: Russia can hardly be expected to make a blunder, and is not under time pressure.
It’s not a military problem, it’s political problem. As in, «the object of war is to obtain a better peace».
The most likely hypothesis at this point is: even the Kremlin suits have learned from the Chechen mess and understand that turning a half-assed but defined proxy war into another indefinite “Balkans lite” sore on the border is an even worse threat than hypothetical NATO bases. Hence all the slow shuffling.
NATO could easily use the Western portion to become a political terrorist state and keep dumping weapons in to it to never end the war with Russia. This is what any long term ‘Neutral’ state looks like an everlasting proxy war.
If Russia however convinces ANY nato state to wholly own the land, then NATO is then responsible for ensuring no shells sneak over the border. The Poles hate Russia and will be inclined to find a way to cut Western Uke free. So it make more sense to find the certain country that’s sending out all the right messages right now. Hungary. Also, if Poland is the ‘winner’ then it’ll look like weakness to the Russian people and give Russia more border with a hostile state.
“..if Poland is a winner..” In what sense? That Russia will allow them to have Galicia back? They are welcome to it!
Nazi infested, nazi breeding territory that never, truly has ever been part of USSR or Russia. Good riddance, I would say. Then, if any crap starts coming out of that little clusterf*ck, it will be immediately destroyed. Simple!
Not sure how serious this talk of the Poles taking western Ukraine is .if I were Putin I’d be pushing hard on this idea. Doing so would destabilize Poland. Russia would be sending every basket case Ukrainian and Nazi the west. A never ending nightmare for Poland to own.
I am actually still awaiting the military putsch in Ukraine for sometime, but for the moment the Ukrainian secret services are still controlled by both the UK and the US, but the military putsch will happen, one way or another.
It would be impossible to organise without the UK or USA snoopers knowing. No general is going to risk his neck for this. No the Russians must deal directly with the puppetmasters and scare the hell out of them – it would not be difficult as they are all chickenhawks.
Ukraine had 30 decades to get its shit together, but it pissed away its potential and time on corrupt bull crap and reviving nazism. And most of the people who left ukraine left not because they were in danger, but to avoid conscription. And from the looks of it, those ukrainians are also well off.
I live in a small village in Switzerland and the few Ucranians that ended up here, they all, or at least most of them, move around in Mazdas and Audis. Worth? Between 40-50 thousand Swiss Francs.
By the way, we pay the public transport (Tramway) to them.
Don’t fret bro, the Ukrainians will run your hookers professionally.
As few, other than those from the west, will put their cash into Switzerland and the money laundering dry’s up then other vices will need to be found to keep the lights on.
You could jump ship now and have your leaders go to Moscow and sign a deal with Russia.
Remember he/she who jumps first, jumps best.
In all this excitement I forgot to confirm whether or not Switzerland remains Neutral.
– Don’t fret bro, the Ukrainians will run your hookers professionally.
There is punishment for not being armed in Switzerland. Politicians are overruled by referendums.
Income per capita in Switzerland is 5 times Ukraine. To be an immigrant in Switzerland is to be a nobody.
Indeed. Largely agree.
Russia cannot afford to have a truly sovereign Ukraine again. Forget a “negotiated peace”. Russia has no choice but to turn Ukraine—in whatever rump state it emerges from this conflict— into a permanently neutral, Moscow-controlled protectorate that will never again host Western arms, military alliances and threats against Russia. Not to mention Nazis. This is an existential choice dictated by the broader realities of this global war between the Empire and the emerging multilateralist bloc led by Russia and China, but currently spearheaded by Russia, the stronger and more decisive partner in military matters. In the longer term, looking beyond Ukraine, Russia needs to apply as soon as possible its own intelligent and stringent sanctions on the West. It’s the main chance they have to make Western Europe—short of a Third World War (assuming we are not already there)— clean up its idiotic act, toss NATO and even the EU into the trash bin of history, where they richly belong—and normalise itself without further provocations as per Washington’s deranged and self-serving diktats.
I agree Russia will take the entire Ukraine. In other words, Russia will implement the Minsk Agreement unilaterally without the Ukrainians —-demilitarize, de-Natsify and completely neutralize the entire Ukraine from any NATO aspirations permanently. This is the only way Russia’s full security is assured is to manage control of this itsekf because no other foreign leader will do this. This will also send a message to Finland, Sweden, Poland and the Baltics as to what will happen if Russia perceives a security threat from another country.
How the rump Ukraine will be run and managed, only Putin knows, but he’s taking the whole enchilada because he must. No land is going to Poland or any other NATO country because he needs the entire Ukraine as a buffer security state per the stipulations in the Minsk Agreements. He will not deviate from the security that Minsk would have guaranteed to the Russian homeland.
It’s like saying «Russia cannot afford to have free-roaming herds of unicorns».
A people which places itself under the dominion of another is no longer a state, and can no longer avail itself directly of the law of nations. Such were the nations and kingdoms which the Romans rendered subject to their empire; the generality even of those whom they honoured with the name of friends and allies no longer formed real states. Within themselves, they were governed by their own laws and magistrates; but without, they were in every thing obliged to follow the orders of Rome; they dared not of themselves either to make war or contract alliances.
― Vattel, Law of Nations
Seems a clear enough criterion. So, uh, would you really expect it to?..
Obviously, full sovereignty and existence of an entity (be it Vatican, Quaker “league to enforce peace”, The International, United Nations, State Department, or whatever) that claims divine right to give and take sovereignty… do not mix well. Thus the equilibrium is simple: few powers can resist its attempts at usurpation well enough, and everyone else has to be either in its protectorate, of that of one of the opposing powers. Or be something that even zealots aren’t crazy enough to touch.
Which is why the only sovereign countries left are USA, Russia, China… and Somali. The rest are vassals and protectorates. The formalities of relationships and appearances of various vassal states are another matter.
In case of Ukraine, it’s clear. They are not going to sign up with China, so it’s either Washington, Brussel (itself a vassal of Washington), or Moscow. Should they find themselves neither a protectorate, nor able to protect their sovereignty, that’s a metastable state: color revolution comes knocking in 3… 2… 1… Duh. A-and now they aren’t.
The last part of Lira’s talk has the US way of thinking…that Russia needs to distract the US matter, for example, pushing the US “anger” towards China like.
Well, no, Russia doesn’t need to do that, or will do that, ever.
He must’ve forgotten, like most of the western way of thinking people, what Putin said in Beijing…the friendship between China and Russia has no limits…And, that’s exactly what it means — the friendship has no limits — something that a western way of thinking person cannot fathom.
(Removed by the moderator – you may criticize the article but not the person.)
He is not saying that Russia will want to do that. He is explaining why Russila will NEED to do that … to avoid what was not spoken – un unstopped violence spiral ending in a worldwide nuclear exchange.
The hubris of the US elites of today is such that they will not blink in pushing for a “limited” nuclear exchange in the belief that “Russia will back down”. In a situation when Russia cannot back down.
The only way to avoid that conflict – which is in the interest of Russia – is to PREVENT a situation where that weakness OF THE US is confronted with reality of Russia not backing down.
The best case though is still the US realizing they already lost this conflict and just giving up. But that will take YEARS for their brains to process. In a way, it is essential for the Ukrainian war to be prolonged – to allow the US elites as well as the public to process the “new” (to them) reality.
For now, they still live in a la-la land.
I just read how a “Ceasar howitzer crew destroyed 80 Russian howitzers in 3 hours”. Yeah. Sure.
The problems is, people still believe that bull. So more time is still needed. In a way, the Western wonder weapons are very much desirable on the Ukrainian frontlines for Russia – as that is the ONLY way to defeat the “wonder weapon” narrative West has built up over the decades.
You see, there is all this talk of “Western howitzers outranging the Russian ones”. Hmm. How will that narrative work out after Russian “outranged” artillery wipes out the Western “superior” one. …
I do believe there are 10’s of millions on Americans who don’t believe any of the pro-Ukraine BS, and know that Russia was forced into their actions by many years of deep state provocations, plus some bad immediate threats on their border, including bio-warfare material, and 60,000 Azov troops gearing up to attack breakaway provinces to “create a bloodbath.”
I agree.
Astute as he is, Gonzalo Lira fails to realise that USans are capable of reforming themselves and deconstructing the US empire by removing its Khazarian Mafia (KM) controllers and their Deep State minions and enablers. Lira’s false assessment apparently leads him to conclude that the US military and the banking (Fed) arm of the KM’s global empire controllers will thrash about in death throes for many years. It won’t.
It should be obvious that the KM’s usurious global empire is falling apart and righteous USans and citizens in virtually all nations are becoming increasingly aware of the empire’s unacceptable actions and their consequences. That growing awareness is a natural consequence of the effects of the fraudulent US presidential election, the COVID scam and the SMO, despite (and even because of) ubiquitous KM propaganda.
That growing awareness is changing consciousness everywhere, including in the Anglo-US and European nations. The growing level of awareness apparent on the Saker site is typical rather than unique. Awareness of KM machinations and the untenable activities of the Anglo-US and EU nations is increasingly apparent to the rest of the world and even to the citizens of the West.
For instance Trump, not Brandon, got an 80% vote in the 2020 election and Brandon’s performance thereafter has greatly increased consciousness in the US. That situation means that the US Supreme Court (SCOTUS) will reinstate Trump as the US president but if it fails to do so, the US military will install Trump as the 19th president of the reinstated USA under its real US Constitution. The US military will do that because it knows that the election was stolen and regards Trump as its CinC.
When that happens all bets will be off as regards the KM’s control of the USA and its defunct empire. Trump will deconstruct the US military’s global activities and, in tandem with Presidents Putin and Xi, he will supervise the deconstruction of the KM’s global financial empire.
Trump and the US military will not allow the US and its allies to use nuclear weapons even if Russia kinetically takes out specific Khazar controlled NATO or other sites in the EU or even in the US.
But he keeps in mind that any (winning) military strategy must assume the worst case scenario.
Sure, if the US comes to their senses. Great then. Easy for Russia or China to de-escalate. But an essential prerequisite of US coming to their sense is them realizing RU and CN are ready for them.
You do not convince the other party to back down by not being ready – that would only invite them to “try it”.
I was also rather shocked to see the author suggest Russia should save itself from imperialist attention by directing the hegemon’s fury toward China (which it is already doing, anyhow). As Ostro says, the friendship between China and Russia has been declared by its leaders to be of a superior kind, and the first rule is obviously mutual loyalty. I doubt that, for any conceivable reason, either Putin or Xi will see it as advantageous —let alone honorable—to push Washington in the direction of China’s destruction. For one thing, that would be doing the empire’s bidding, as Washington seeks to plant a wedge between Beijing and Moscow in order to destroy and subdue each separately. Washington knows that to take them both on is suicidal.
– as Washington seeks to plant a wedge between Beijing and Moscow in order to destroy
This is MSM terms that hide reality rather that revealing reality. Of course readers understand words like “Washington” … or The Beatles -> they beleive they understand the world by “US / Russia / China”
The Problem with the USA Empire is that our leadership does not put the Nation’s interest first, They seem determined to control Europe , the Far East, and South America , and neglect our Economy, Fuel Production, Open Borders , create Racial Strife, destroy Law ad Order, destroy the Dollar . and dismember the Constitution .
According to Liberal US USA is the master of the world. When CIA supplies weaponry and training to the Guatemalan (racist) elite it is because the Guatemalan elite is in the pockets of CIA we are told. What was created 1947 har “taken over” latin America we are to believe, and now all elite in Latin America are traitors, for petty dollars, working for Norte-Americanos, not that Norte-Americanos are working for the Latin elite.
Indeed, the collapsing American Empire is the truly dangerous situation we all face. An American who recently murdered his girlfriend stated: “If I can’t have her then nobody will.” That’s what were facing vis-a-vis the Empire of Lies.
This is my concern. Abundant past evidence indicates that the American system is remarkably intolerant (internally and externally), and has clearly demonstrated a complete lack of concern / empathy for others.
Their “high command” appears to believe that a “limited” nuclear engagement will be a “win” for the USA (their plan is for the EU / Russia to be where the “bombs drop” – certainly NOT mainland USA), and their nuclear arsenal (although probably inferior to Russian capability) is nevertheless still quite capable to destroying “everyone else”. They also clearly DO have the “if I can’t have everything, then neither will anyone else” mindset.
All these individual elements when combined do seem to point to a significant exchange in the near future. Russia has clearly indicated their intention to retaliate against “command centres” i.e. US / European capitals / major military sites, and the possibility of a “limited” engagement becoming a whole lot larger seems very significant. Once “that” genie’s out of the bottle, it’ll be challenging to get it back in.
“If we can’t rule the entire world, then we’ll blow it up” is the attitude of Vicky Nudelman, the absurdly obese, sexually frustrated, Ass’t Secretary of State and her fellow neocons.
If ever evil existed in the flesh, it is the neocons.
He did well descriptively. He fails prescriptively.
Russia “throwing a tennis ball to distract” while ‘boring the Americans with tiny, incremental movements of its own strategic interests” is silly.
Additionally, the “rump” entity run by Ukie Military is exactly what the US did in Iraq. They allowed the leaders of the Republican Guard to morph into ISIS and build a Caliphate, first in Mosul and then in Raqqa.
After Ukraine is taken apart, Russia still has to break NATO. Aegis Ashore missiles in Romania and Poland have to go. All NATO troops have to leave all member states using the 1997 membership as the red line. No troops, no weapons (primarily meaning no US in most of NATO territory).
These are the ‘to do’ list items for Russia. And it’s all ‘in the face’ of the US. Just like how Russia is destroying the Ukie military, liquidating the Banderite nazis, and neutralizing all the weapons the NATO countries are sending to prolong the war. In the US face, for all to see the powerlessness of the Hegemon and NATO.
It will also take some effort to track down all the NATO and Zone A spooks.
One thing I’ve noticed over the last couple of decades, is that the best network wins.
True in software, where already-big outfits like Microsoft buy up or destroy any smaller competitors. True in social media, where a handful of companies can effectively censor a sitting president. True in the cryptocurrency arena, where we have Bitcoin and the seven dwarfs, and about ten thousand worthless wannabe tokens. True in the corporate arena, where GM became dominant, with a few others almost keeping up, and all overseen by Black Rock and the banksters, etc.
Well, there are networks of spooks out there. The FSB (about which I know little or nothing) needs to dominate that space in the Ukraine … spooks already assassinated several Donbass leaders.
(Of course, the other thing about big networks is that they tend to degrade over time. Genghis Khan was a big deal, until he wasn’t, like Rome, the Ottomans, London, and Washington.)
The USA state dept. and the CIA cannot allow zelenski to exist after Ukraine loses. Zelenski is a huge liability to the west when he loses, I would imagine his family and he will be flown out to the USA and I am willing to bet that plane will go down. That’s the reality of laying in bed with the CIA, many people that have come before Zelenski have learned that lesson the hard way. Coke headed fella like Zelenski is a loose cannon on deck and the State dept./CIA cannot allow that to happen. Lay down with dogs you wake up with fleas..
Agree. Wouldn’t be surprised if the Nazis string him up on main boulevard as promissed. After all their old skool and all, but someone is holding them back.
When we say NATO, we think, what a massive organisation with so many countries. But, actually only a few countries matter in it, not Norway, from where Stoltenberg is from, not Poland, which shouts a lot, but has very weak leaders, but only the US and, maybe the UK, Germany and France. All the other countries are small, quite weak economically and militarily.
The UK is not a united country with a failing prime minister and a failing economy – lot of shouting as a military power — without James Bond(s) — quite happy to have coolies fight their war(s). France won’t fight a war with its feminine Macron. German government would fall at the first sound of war, where it’d have to fight as NATO. What’s left is the US, but it has a president with one leg in the grave, with fast dying brain cells. So, Kamal might be the next president. Well, can anyone imagine Kamala as the Potus?!
The chances are quite high for Kamala to become the Potus. Can you imagine Kamala against Putin, or Medvedev?
Now, where will the Ukraine be in a few months, with slow but sure grinding of the Russian forces against US/NATO proxy war?
Hopefully not Medvedev. I’m guessing you don’t know his history? He’s always been an avid neo-liberal and VERY pro-western and that hasn’t changed, no matter what he might say in public these days. He’s no patriot. He did absolutely nothing for Russia when he was prime minister – president – prime minister and was always batting his eyes at the west like a love-smitten teenage girl. The west know very well that he is a weak link in the Russian armour and are probably hoping with all their hearts that he returns to power after Putin. If that happens, Russia goes down for the count, no doubt. Even a fool like Kamala could play Medvedev for an even bigger fool quite easily, that’s how incompetent and treasonous he is. Medvedev is a no-no. I imagine though that the patriots in the Russian deep state won’t allow that to happen, knowing that if it does, Russia is finished.
Maybe. But maybe not. I shared that view for a while. However you are assuming his pro western behaviour was not a ruse. I think the warfare by maneuver beginning to this smo has reveilled the actual intent of Russian leadership. It appears to me that Russian leadership was much more unified than was assumed. And much more capable of deceiving western leaders and media. It appears that they have effectively bought the required time to prepare Russia for this moment.
You are guessing wrong. I was there, when Medvedev was the president, so I know, who he is. Lavrov, Medvedev, Miller and Putin are from Leningrad, by the way.
I had this impression too for a long time, but the openness of this matter in Russian media recently made this story about Medvedev obsolete.
Medvedev wanted to take Tbilisi/Georgia but Putin cooled him down, showing Putin was the soft liberal of the two.
Medvedev was simply used to show weakness in the Russian leadership, while reality was the opposite. Judo ;-).
Los vídeos ganarían mucha audiencia si tuviera subtítulos
——————- Google-translate from mod:
The videos would earn a lot of audience if they had subtitles
Yes, In contrast to A.Martyanov’s video’s this is a glaring inadequacy. That said I have no idea of the techical issues for subtitles except to think it’s an easy thing by the publisher to allow machine translation subtitles.
Well Russia has to begin with itself. It has to understand it is a unique civilization between the east and west. It has to have values and not just interests. It has to understand its honey moon with the west is over. It has to clean house and get rid of the 5th column. It has to begin with emancipating its people struck in perpetual poverty and that too in such a resource rich country. It has to maintain a balance between freedoms and justice. It has to fight rampant alcoholism, drugs and corruption. It has to do all this for its own selfrespect. It has to make sure the enemies think ten times over before embarking on any adventure. But at the same time it has to magnanimous and forgiving. It has to stand out. It cant just be another country with a central bank and robber barons ruling the roost. If Russia cant be all this, then what good is it. How is it different from the west.
So while Gonzalo may look all the way into the future and come up with a fantastic vision but it cant be realized without self introspection and change from within.
Russians should no longer look at amazement toward europe with their eyes wide open at seeing anything European. Enough. And stop aping the west. For Gods sake, your own clothes and culture are beautiful. And stop trying to speak English in the manner an American or Britisher speaks. It doesnt suit you. Your own Russian language is much more beautiful. Have you ever seen a weatern intellectual trying to speak Russian when he knows he cant speak it well enough. So stop. And start respecting your own language. Use subtitles where needed but speak your own language.
Russia is beautiful. Dont mess it up. Love it and respect it and be grateful.
Thank you, Gonzalo. From an economic perspective, I wonder what industries are biggest and the overall size of the economy for the different pieces, in other words, what will Russia gain when the fighting stops. Take care, these updates are much appreciated.
They need to find Kolomoisky and all his cronies and arrest them and seize any of their assets. Pinchuk, Poroshenko and all the Ukie oligarchs. Put Kolomoisky on trial for murder. Arrest and or deport the nazis to Poland or the UK.
I liken your thrashing about blindly both internally and externally to the reigning champ on the football field getting clobbered in whatever it does. It just didn’t give its opponents respect before strutting onto the field, expecting them to roll over and take their beating.
How long before that “ Hail Mary” long shot bomb looks irresistible to them ?
Or the “ all in “ gambit to shock and awe the opponent into folding his superior hand?
So dangerous as you suggest.
P.S. If nukes are good for all countries, maybe Cuba will step up and say “ok “.
The smart thing would be for the Russians instead of using their nuclear weapons or other WMDs should use instead Electronic warfare weapons such as EMPs to disable the Americans nuclear capabilities before they use them.
Yikes. This starts to sound like the scientific explanation joke in which a final note is added, “And then a miracle happens”.
I get what he’s saying but how does Russia pull this off? How do they set up a compliant regime without crushing Kiev? Maybe a phone call as to where Zelensky is and send a missile in – disclosed by some one in the military who wants power in rump Ukraine.
I think the end of this conflict is some time away, the Russians will take their time. Who wants to house and feed the Ukies this winter ? Their broke, and living on Empires credit which is going into blod red. It will probably more be a question of the Empire dumping the Ukies now that the battle is lost, cutting their on-going losses.
Things will change radically in Europe. It’s hard to say how things will develope. I don’t think we have seen anything yet. With the Poles being sendt off into the forrest to collect branches for heating … things doesn’t look good for autumn; which is only a few months away. Still this is treated as if it is something temporary, it’s not … it’s practically permanent.
I wholeheartedly agree with this assessment. The collapse of the US has been inevitable for at least 20 years and I think that this is at the heart of more or less everything we see going on in the world.
Way back in the 70’s and 80’s, we cops (in a relatively nice area) were already talking about social disintegration. It was pretty clear when you get a chance to see what’s happening where the needs for help are. And when you talk to adolescents with no clue about responsibilities or cause and effect.
I am American and I would kiss Putin on the mouth if he would nuke DC. That said, I am reminded of Soviet propaganda films detailing the reasons that America and the West were doomed and dying.
«I am American and I would kiss Putin on the mouth if he would nuke DC»
That’s pretty much what “John Titor”, who claimed to be a time-traveler from an alternate time-line visiting the year 2000, said that happened in his time-line: the “flyover country deplorables” were attacked by the “woke coastal cities” which started a civil war and the russian federation was allied with the “deplorables”, and the war went nuclear. If it was a hoax it was both highly skilled (many technical details are right) and quite forward looking :-).
I have two suggestions for Russian leaders as to what they might consider offering the West.
1. In the case of NATO states and any others who might have signed up for the sanctions and bans, I might consider offering them a return to status quo ante with conditions: Drop all sanctions and bans along with the politicians responsible for them; Break any ties or membership with NATO; Ban NATO presence and/or weapons on their territory (for starters, you could certainly think of a few more). The rationale is that Russia being a Christian nation, I cannot picture Russians wanting to watch the entire populations of France, Germany, or Italy starve and freeze as several Saker articles note will happen unless something changes. In the case of England and the UK, I’d also insist that Rothschildes and the City of London banking nexus be gone.
2. In the case of the US, Russia has nothing to lose. It would likely help Americans for Russia to announce that it does not view the Biden regime as legitimate nor Joe Biden as the president of anything, and that decent relations between the two nations will likely become possible after the US reverts to the nation described in its founding documents with believable elections and practices. That might require the democrat party being outlawed and banned.
Nazi and communist parties should be banned everywhere. Things such as the Kalergi plan that CREATE nazis and nazism should also be banned.
These governments are parachuted into control by the WEF govern via control of the financial system, security apparatus, and media outlets. Such governments crush dissent via:
controlling the Overton window of allowed discourse;
detaining those who oppose the government and forcing them to undergo psychological treatment with mind-altering drugs (e.g. France and Canada examples);
imprison those who still pose a challenge without trial (e.g. Assange)
use state police and military police to gas, beat, shoot and jail large demonstrations (e.g. France and Canada). In the French case, the leaders use the CRS special police created by the Vichy government in 1943 and widely referred to as the assassins
Most EU governments will choose repression of their people over normalizing relations with Russia. Once the people are hungry and cold there will be civil wars between the people and the security apparatus with mass deaths among the protesters. Eventually, these corrupt governments will be overthrown with some leaders facing the fate of Nicolae Ceausescu and the rest fleeing.. Ethnic and cultural differences within and between countries will further degrade into something similar to the Spanish Civil War. Unfortunately, these societies will likely collapse into a medieval-like state
Great overall analysis, but two questions about your description of the “rump Ukraine”. You say the population is ethnically Ukrainian, but didn’t they mostly speak Russian until forced by Washington’s Nazi puppet regime after 2014 to give up not only the language but their mostly Russian culture – Russian Orthodox religion, etc.? So isn’t the nazification of the rump population superficial, so that a Russian re-educational effort might easily rally it to support reunication with the Russian Federation along with the eastern and southern regions?
Secondly, doesn’t the rump contain plenty of that famous Ukrainian black earth, which could be the basis of a viably agricultural economy, especially as the region is a net exporter of grain? Also, the farmers in the rump region are the least likely to have become refugees, since they have the land that assures a living no matter how far the larger economy has declined.
When Russia completes its police action it will reduce Ukraine to a landlocked rump state with zero access to any sea lanes, Odesa and Transnistria when taken will complete the picture as the expression goes “All dressed up and nowhere to go”, a failed state which bleeds money regardless of how many transfusions it receives.
Give Western Ukraine to Poland. Putin and his boys should promise Warsaw a complete slice of the country running all the way down to the Black Sea for Polish gurantees of friendship with Russia.
Imagine what a game changer having two coasts would be for Poland: “NATO? What is this NATO? We Poles no nothing about any NATO!”
There won’t be a guarantee of friendship from Poland, as the Polish gets Russian-hate by birth. But, letting the Poles get Lvov and a part of Volyn is a pretty good idea, for that way, Poland gets a massive dose of SS types, which in turn would break Poland as a country. Already there’s a rising bad sentiment against the Ukrainian “refugees” in Poland, due to massive price hikes. By the way, Poles never liked the Ukrainians.
Not 27 minutes! He says the “extreme right” would depose Zelensky if he agrees to negotiate. “Ze” doesn’t want any such settlement himself. The “extreme right” will lose more influence power when worse defeats are the only alternative. Wars have been known to impose “unconditional surrender” on very determined people. It would not be the first time. As some have commented, a coup in Ukraine may happen too; those who do it would naturally seek the best settlement possible; they would be well-situated to get the best deal since they would say that they always opposed Zelensky’s policies. The West also wants now to end this war with a negotiated settlement. This Western position is new. Just a month ago, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin went so far as to say that Ukraine could win (not anymore). The Ukrainian “extreme right” is hardheaded, but they are not the only hardheaded Ukrainians. As Putin made clear, the longer this conflict goes on the higher the chances that Ukraine loses its statehood…and he has a big say in that.
The Soviet Union might have collapsed peacefully towards the outside, but internally it collpased at the prcie of some 12 million dead, out of sudden poverty, violence and the sudden reduction of life expectancy.
Still not the numbers of WWII for the Russians, but still a respectable number.
No wonder the Russians will go to any extent so that to no allow them being “collapsed” again….and moreover by the same actors directing the process
First, ‘never’ is a long time. Hearts and minds come into play here, and the more abusive the Zelensky regime is the better Russia looks.
Second, ‘returning refugees’ may have no choice to return as they wear out their welcome in what are clearly now temporary sanctuaries for many of them.
Third, NATO’s next move is collapse. This is phase X of the SMO. Whether internal from economic collapse and social pressure or external facing off with Russia militarily.
As to the final bit about Russia needing to walk softly to prevent nuclear war by the U$, Russia needs to walk softly because it is the humane thing to do and it sets a global example and precedent for the new world order.
The collapse of the US is not the danger, it is the only hope for the suture.
Psst: Don’t tell the Brits that their Empire has passed.
What if America decided to become a Republic again, and not an Empire? You should take this seemingly improbable, immense reversal of paradigm into account. This is why the still financially and politically powerful British Empire feared Lyndon LaRouche, and why they fear Donald Trump. There is a deep Nationalist, Republican reflex still in the soul of America. Do not disregard this.
Nationalist is faintly possible, but republican it is not, people still can’t over the fact that Trump scammed them as he told them just what they wanted to hear, but his actions spoke louder than words as he sent weapons to Ukraine, hid out in his bunker, dumped trillions into Wall Street to protect the wealth of the 1% including himself while the BLM did over a billion dollars worth of damage to American cities and if this is Republican then they can keep it. Republicans are noted for being the business party which means screwing the working class, which they do every time they get into office, and now they have merged into one big happy corrupt party going the same way Ukraine has gone.
Trumplethinskin gave the thumbs-up to US-NATO to launch 100 missiles into Syria on the ‘trumped-up’ charge of Syria resorting to using chemical weapons on its people, impeccable timing while sat eating chocolate cake with Xi. Supposedly in his small brain, shock & awe treatment. The vast majority were shot down by the Russian s300’s.
America has nothing to offer any sane society. Unfortunately there’s perhaps a dozen or so who are completely insane that require immediate cleansing before it’s too late.
Here you misrepresent Trump. The tax reform gave Blacks and alike something like $1 trillion more. This was done by doubling minimum income before people became tax liable
Effect:
1. The poorest in US were moved outside taxable sphere
2. Less tax for goverment
Liberals will kill for less than that.
CIA decided they needed more agent politians inside Kongress
I disagree.
Arguably Trump did what he had to do to wake USans up.
While he did that he organised the ‘takedown’ of the Khazarian Mafia (KM) globally and the Deep State in the US. Brandon and his handlers have been allowed to seem to run the US in order to shake some common sense into a majority of USans. Putin has removed the KM from their power centre in Kazarkhstan and the SMO is cleansing the Ukraine and removing the dregs of the KM from that demonic power centre. When that is done, together with suitable chastisement of remnant KM minions and Deep State complexes elsewhere, our world will transition into a genuinely peaceful, totally multi-polar planet in which all governments will become proper representative Republics.
Unfortunately the US is never going back to the republic model without several blue cities being utterly wiped off the map by nukes or a bloody civil war. The rot is so entrenched that decent citizens cannot establish a Constitutional Republic in the face of the moral degeneracy of the communists.
A very taunting video Gonzalo. IMO the SMO won’t end until NATO is provoked/cornered into direct action, then the RF will respond and get rid of NATO definitively. The alternative is that Europe grows balls and asserts sovereignty and accedes to RF security architecture as proposed last year.
I don’t think that the tennis ball will work. That is because the US is projecting their deepest desire into Russian capabilities and they are scared to death.
The empire leaders lust for a nuclear first strike capability. The moment they have it, they will use it. Consider their fear when they realized that the Russians managed to get it…
There is a lot of talk about the zircon missile and its long range. But look at it at close range. If you park a submarine 300 Km from Washington, a nuclear tipped zircon can reach the White House (or the Pentagon) in less than 2 minutes. Think about it. There is not even time to move the POTUS somewhere safe.
Think about it. A couple of submarines can hit DC and several US bases along the coast (East and West) before anyone can do anything about it. Consider the confusion. What is the chain of command if you just had a couple of nuclear blasts in Washington?
Will this confusion buy you a few extra minutes for a couple of Sarmats to annihilate the rest or NORAD command?
That leaves the submarines (well, the ones that were not in the now-destroyed east and west coast bases). Maybe you have six on a couple and destroy them and have the S-300/400/500 family take care of some of the nukes that will be fired eventually.
So, you have a few Russian cities destroyed but the US nuclear arsenal neutralized (and US in disarray). And btw, the Russian nuclear weapons are mostly in their place.
This is the projection. If the outcome was a destroyed Russian nuclear arsenal and Russia in disarray at the cost of few US cities, the empire will do it tomorrow. And they are terrified now that Russia can do that to them whenever it chooses.
Yeah, that was what I was trying to say with that horrible “Maybe you have six on a couple and destroy them”
I meant, maybe you can have a few subs tracking (be on their six) some of the US ones and destroy them before they launch.
“I don’t think that the tennis ball will work. That is because the US is projecting their deepest desire into Russian capabilities and they are scared to death.
The empire leaders lust for a nuclear first strike capability. The moment they have it, they will use it. Consider their fear when they realized that the Russians managed to get it…
There is a lot of talk about the zircon missile and its long range. But look at it at close range. If you park a submarine 300 Km from Washington, a nuclear tipped zircon can reach the White House (or the Pentagon) in less than 2 minutes. Think about it. There is not even time to move the POTUS somewhere safe.
Think about it. A couple of submarines can hit DC and several US bases along the coast (East and West) before anyone can do anything about it. Consider the confusion. What is the chain of command if you just had a couple of nuclear blasts in Washington?
Will this confusion buy you a few extra minutes for a couple of Sarmats to annihilate the rest or NORAD command?”
America did have plans to nuke the Soviet Union right after World War 2.
It was only the Soviet Union getting The Bomb that caused the Americans to retreat from these plans–at least temporarily.
Today, it’s likely that America still lusts to launch a pre-emptive nuclear attack on Russia and its allies. That is why America developed its Prompt Global Strike doctrine, its anti-ballistic missile (ABM) and Aegis anti-missile systems, and why it withdrew from the Intermediate Nuclear Forces (INF) agreement.
This is what has motivated the Russians to develop a whole suite of weapons that can neuter these American designs and defang the threat of an American nuclear sneak attack.
Indeed, someday, Mr. Sarmat may pay a surprise visit on the American Fatherland itself….
Five million (?) Ukrainians have fled to the greener pastures of the West from whence they will not return once this SMO has run its course. Ok. Maybe so. But will they really find those greener pastures?
It occurs to me that the primary western target in this proxy way is not Russia, at least not in the first instance, but the European Union. They, the EU, have been disarmed by being persuaded to give their weapons to Ukraine, impoverished by imposing boomerang sanctions on Russia and socially destroyed by a decades-long influx of refugees from MENA.
Its leadership is compromised beyond repair. The best they had to offer was Merkle, a Yankee stooge from year one.
With a collapsing economy, where will these greener pastures come from? Rump Ukraine might not look that different from Rump EU once the fighting stops.
The brouhaha about Finland and Sweden joining NATO, and Norway already there, might have as much to do with the Artic Ocean as it does with the Baltic Ocean.
China is interesting. They are making friends with the Solomon Islands because that island nation sits astride China’s access to the South Pacific. This area, too, will join the Maritime Silk Road, and the U.S. will slowly have no option but to pull out of the eastern and southern Pacific.
The South China Sea is a Chinese lake, and Taiwan is Chinese in its bones. Believe it and deal with it.
(An aside: Poor Australia. I live here and we recently had a change of government. It was a perfect opportunity to 1) ask for the return of Julian Assange and 2) to accede to the legitimate request of the sovereign government of Iraq for us to leave that country. Our new PM did neither. Instead he attended a QUAD meeting in Japan and dispatched our new Foreign Minister to the South Pacific. He may do some good chipping around the edges of domestic issues, but on the world stage Australia remains a Yankee muppet.)
The fat lady is nowhere near the stage yet, let alone to start belting out the final wagnerian gotterdamerung. at least the false flags have, like the javelins, failed to produce the results expected. the end of the beginning will be when donbass, ie slavyansk is taken. then the main crunch decisions will need to be taken how to proceed. a very long way to go. gonzalo confidently predicted it would be over by the end of april. totally incorrect as events have proven. end of autumn the fog may lift.
Interesting comments, couple of points as others have stated.
– NATO in terms of credibility with respect to European NATO members is effectively over at this point, it is clear the alliance would not act against Russia credibly against if Russia struck at defense installations of Poland/Lithuania/Hungary, etc.
– United States, as Gonzalo seems to state and others in the comments, the United States can be very violent but only when it is in its favor. The Russians have called their bluff and the US military elite know the domestic situation in the US is extremely complicated, a hot war with Russia would likely break the US internally not to mention the actual possible battlefield defeats. I don’t believe the US will act militarily against Russia no matter what happens in Europe. Also the domestic(FBI) and intelligence(CIA,NSA,etc) agencies are on the move and are trying to head off of a direct confrontation no doubt this is another band of elites who would like to keep the status qou. The seizing of General John Allen’s computer by the FBI and accusations of corruption/bribery while heading the Brookings(Neocon) think thank are a warning shot against the Neocon think thanks of the Kagans and others, no doubt they are thinking hard today. Who ordered this move? All of these Neocon players like the Kagans are guilty of foreign influence peddling and some may be double agents for other countries(Israel). This is a tricky situation the Neocons are in as the actual big structures of the United States(Pentagon/CIA/FBI/Industry/etc.) do not want a hot war with Russia. Don’t be surprised if some of these Ukraine hawks like the Kagans end up being charged or their credibility stripped.
My guess the US cuts its losses and leaves the EU in a self imposed bind, Russian military/elite/population have proven they united and willing to fight for Russia where needed in Europe, this has been the biggest surprise. The US has none of those factors, the US military does not want to fight Russia in Europe, the US elite is divided in whether they want a fight, and the population sure as hell doesn’t want a fight.
All those compromised Euro politicians, plus the few who are not, get threatened with the old AZOV treatment for deserters.
If Russia still wants more than a kissing distant 3rd cousin relationship with Europe, then the EU will have to make written guarantees on Russia’s security concerns, including zero nukes in Eastern Europe. The immediate secession of weapon deliveries to Ukraine, recognition of the new Independent Crimean/Donbass/Other States and the lifting of all previous imposed sanctions.
Turkey is key to what happens to NATO, the EU and the balance of power across the Western end of Eurasia.
It’s the largest military power in NATO behind the USA, controls the Bosphorus, has immediate access to the Middle East and Eastern Med., and is a crucial transport hub for gas coming from the gas fields to its East as well as Russia.
Its leader is a loose cannon, but Erdogan has long talked about joining the SCO (currently a Dialogue Partner). He knows well that Turkey occupies several pivotal points militarily, geo-politically, and in the energy economy and he’s playing that position well. He’s also shown himself crafty enough to hedge his bets all round and then pull the losing ones after the race has started.
As it is, Turkey has hedged a lot of bets at a lot of tables, but the race is on big time now and it’s going to soon be time for Erdogan to start pulling the losers.
What is “it,” you’re probably wondering? Let me tell you.
Basically, for the first time ever, a Western MSM outlet has put into words that Ukrainian troops are demoralized and losing their will to fight. That is amazing, because for three straight months, Western presstitutes and their think tanker colleagues have talked ad nauseum about alleged “Russian demoralization.”
We all know Western MSM’s job is to suppress mention of Nazi defeats, to overhype Nazi victories, to grossly exaggerate the significance of Russian defeats, and to bury as much as possible any talk of Russian victories. In other words, Western MSM is functioning as the public relations and propaganda wing of the US/NATO/Ukraine war effort.
Therefore – to me at least – it is nothing short of amazing that Western presstitutes would dare to acknowledge the flagging willpower of the Nazi troops.
Here’s the article, in case anyone wants to give it a read. The talk about Nazi demoralization is in the first few paragraphs. I didn’t read the rest of the piece, as I can see lots of Russphobic buzzwords and pro-Nazi hoopla.
IMO, it’s much more than a “crumb” if info. To me, it’s evidence that something seriously bad is happening to the Nazi war machine. If Western presstitutes are compelled to admit waning Nazi willpower, that probably means the truth is far worse.
But otherwise, yes, you are correct. The article is nauseating pro-Nazi propaganda.
Gonzalo makes a really good point about USA has expensive and fragile weapons. You look at the Russians fighting in Ukraine. The old Su 24 and 25 are workhorses. The Su25 is like a little tank like the USA A-10. The US Air Force hates the A-10 because it is cheap and it works. The Su 25 is this ugly little jet that can take a beating and protect the pilot with a titanium tub. The Su 25 is ancient but does the job.
They can takeoff and land on junky runways with weeds or snow or dirt. They don’t need endless maintenance. The Russians in Syria created a way to take old bombs and make them smart bombs doing clever stuff with math, physics and a few cheap parts.
If you want pretty and fancy, then you have the amazing Su 34 fighter bomber. Beautiful plane.
The Russian helicopters like the Alligator Ka-52 plus others. If they were American or even European choppers they would need lots of maintenance. Like the Kamaz giant trucks that won the Paris to Dakar 15 times in a row from 1996 to 2018. These trucks just power through the desert, bush and sand dunes.
The Ukraine is a malicious NATO proxy state. No further elaboration needed. But I will say one thing. The overwhelming defeat, destruction, and dismemberment of the Ukraine will give the megalomaniacal NATO alliance pause. Probably permanently.
When Russia wins this terrible, costly, and (very likely) history turning war, Western intellectuals will seriously question the US/EU leadership flaws which triggered this conflict. The will, or interest, to question endless eastward NATO expansion seems to have been missing among US/EU intelligentsia since 1991.
Meanwhile, Severodonetsk is about to fall and Russia is marching on Bakhmut!.
A rump Ukrainian state controlled by a Russia installed military dictatorship is going to be like Kurdistan in the middle east. An erstwhile nation state with its distinct ethnic identity that remains defiant of its political master. This is just kicking the can for peace in the region. Sooner or later, some trouble maker from the Western world is going to organize and finance overseas Ukrainian diaspora to come back to their relatives in the rump Ukraine and start a movement similar to the Kurdistan resistance. The only way out, following Gonzalo’s argument to its logical end, would be for the empire to be tricked into killing itself perhaps by a rash reaction to Russia’s victory.
In terms of all the much-touted US M777 and M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket System game-changing weaponry, who knows, this might be devastatingly worse:
In our present times, the European goblins are hanging in there, on the hope that they will be able to seize the Russian treasure chests, in the European dream, held for centuries.
The Europeans may even be willing to endure a couple of extra cold winters, warmed by the belief that they will soon be in Moscow, drinking champagne.
Russia needs to shake them back into reality!
A sign of the defusing will happen when all nuclear weapons must be returned to their host countries. There must be none, hidden on any of the goblin territories, around the world. And that includes Australia which has now accepted NASA firing missiles in the Northern Territory. This is one small step away from Australia hosting US missiles in Australia, and no doubt some will be nuclear. ‘We boil the Australian frogs, one degree at a time!’
The rest of the Asian countries, it seems, have already told the US to pound sand, regarding the hosting of missiles (apart from those countries already inside ‘The Club’).
Horrifying yet strangely reassuring.
On the weekend I shall go out and enjoy a large juicy stake, salad and fry’s. The cardiac diet can have the weekend off.
When the dollar collapses so does the military/banksters and wokey freaks. Basically it ain’t over until the cash registers stop ring state side.
How does the RF stop what’s left of the USA’s Ukraine firing on the Donbas, or wherever, unless it takes the whole country back. Firing from Poland, say, is whole other thing
It has been my observation that the seeds for the collapse of the USA hegemony began right about the same time as the USSR collapsed. It was around this time that US policy and the US CONgress {bought by Wall Street} did three things: 1. Sponsored China into the WTO. At the time, China’s economy was little better than any other third world country. Wall Street brokers and firms got regulatory agencies to relax rules which allowed direct US investment into China, and allowed the offshoring of US business entities and technology into China. The China we know today could have never existed without this, at least so quickly a transformation. 2. Passed NAFTA which further decimated the US manufacturing sector and quietly allowed mass illegal immigration into the US as a de facto unofficial policy, causing great economic stress to much of the US. Just look at the “Great Rust Belt” region for proof. It is a hollowed out shell of it’s former self. From Wisconsin to Buffalo-Rochester New York, down to Indiana and Ohio is an economic wasteland, propped up with free and easy credit. Bankruptcy laws were relaxed so that those who were ruined could quickly get back into the credit game and keep the ball rolling. 3. The US credit system is the life’s blood of it’s economy. It is based on the fact that each year, more credit, or debt is a better word, must be created than the year before it or the whole system collapses. The US economy has been in this negative feedback loop since 2008. Look at the hockey stick image of us debt creation since late 2001 {9-11 kicked it all off} on any chart. eighty percent off all dollars EVER created in the history of the US has just been printed/digitized in the last two to three years. This is not sustainable, even in the short term. This is a harbinger for collapse, and I suspect it will happen sooner than most realize. Covid is the cover for it. Prepare accordingly. Two things to watch carefully: The spread on the ten year US Treasury bond and diesel fuel inventories. When the former goes north while the latter goes south, you will know the collapse is at the door.
I like your idea of the Russians just being so boring that NATO loses interest and goes elsewhere.
And don’t we see that right now?
Everyone is getting bored with the progress of the special military operation in the Ukraine! We’re all wanting to know what is happening and when it will end. And we’re getting very little information about that.
Forget the crazy imaginings of the west trying to keep up some interest to egg on everybody into hating the Russians and wanting to destroy Russia. They’re not important. What is important is what Russia is thinking and doing.
And what we are seeing is a boring campaign of slowly grinding away the opposition and the establishment of a new order in liberated territories.
It’s driving Paul Craig Robert’s mad! Have you read his statements saying that Russia should have done the same as the west would have done? Complete quick destruction of Ukraine?
But I think he is thinking too much along the lines of how the west thinks and just does not understand how the Russians think and act.
And perhaps not many of us do either. Russia wants peace and friendship. They don’t want to kill people. Forced into this special operation they are still doing everything in their power to bring this about. Victory for Russia will be a peaceful friendship with the east and south of Ukraine. And anyone else who will join them in this. Not just winning a war by destroying everything.
New North–South International Transport Corridor: St. Petersburg – Moscow – Ryazan – Kochetkovka – Saratov – Bolgograd – Astrachan – Aktay or Baku – Teheran – Isfachan – Bender-Abbas – Mumbai.
This is a route from St. Petersburg to India via the Caspian Sea by various means of transport – auto, railway, sea. At the Caspian Sea, cargo can go through Kazakhstan (Baku) and Azerbaijan (Aktay) by sea or coast.
Will be great when Kharkiv is liberated, then Gonzalo can go get his Russian passport, Mir Card, and speak more freely and shake hands with Russian troops thumbing up his efforts (faces covered with their balaclavas obviously).
Thanks, Gonzalo! What if the entire thing is staged by global communist elite for Russia and China to invade and destroy the US, so they can “build back better” NWO…although they are having difficulty getting so countries to sign the WHO pandemic treaty.
This summer in the northern hemisphere feels like it’s going to be very hot…punn intended…with so many threats of taking out NATO’s decision centres.
With collapsing economies in the US, UK, EU, China, Japan, etc. it feels like the only options is start wars as Gerald celente says…when all else fails they take us to war.
Also, first trade wars, then currency to wars, then regional wars, and finally, world war.
God Almighty save the good, honest, hardworking, generous, loving, merciful people, and destroy the satanic elite, Amen
Si parla costantemente e insistentemente delle sanzioni occidentali verso la Russia, e per un ignorante come me è inconcepibile,
Incredibile perché dovrebbe essere la Russia che impone sanzioni verso paesi ostili, è o non è il più grande emporio di materie prime? È o non è il più grande produttore agroalimentare?
Invece che stare a piagnucolare i russi comincino a chiudere i rubinetti dell’energia, gas petrolio uranio e metalli,
Nel giro di 15 giorni non sentiremmo più parlare di ucraina e ne di zelenski,
Ci sarebbe la corsa verso il Cremlino ad inginocchiarsi davanti a putin
Pertanto ritengo che gli occidentali siano stupidi ma anche i russi in quanto a stupidità non sono da meno,
Russia can not do much after Russia wins. %90 of the world’s countries hate Russia and that hatred isn’t going away anytime soon.
There are 60,000 Russian businessmen who fled Russia and moved to Armenia, a country where no one wants to move to. This is how bad things are for Russians. And this is just the beginning. Gonzalo Lira and other commentators and bloggers who don’t have families to feed or those who live outside Russia can say all they want to say. Armchair analysts. But the average Russian who has family to feed and is going thru turmoils is feeling sick in his stomache. The other say Lavrov’s plane wasn’t given overflight permissions by Bulgaria and Romania and others to reach Serbia, and Russians started crying foul. Maybe they are slowly realizing how restricted they are and this isn’t going away anytime soon. People don’t have any illusions that Russia is going to have massive shortages of modern electronic equipments and parts and is going to resemble more like Cuba.
@ArmoDude: “People don’t have any illusions that Russia is going to have massive shortages of modern electronic equipments and parts and is going to resemble more like Cuba.”
Partly maybe true but we are not living in 1970-1985 world. The industrial chain is mostly moved to Asia. This huge change is too often ignored because people live in past.
From Ramzan Kadyrov’s Telegram post
—————————————————- (machine translation)
Why in europeans are afraid to touch the great patriotic war?
all because they all fighted against us.
everyone should know this!
The facts of history testify that in 1941 not only Germany attacked the USSR. The rest of Europe also attacked, with the exception of the Serbs and Greeks.
They went against the USSR –
Spanish divisions and French legions, armies of Italy, Romania, Hungary, Finland, parts of Czechoslovakia, Croatia, etc.
So, the Brest Fortress was stormed by Austrians, and Sevastopol – Romanians and Italians.
Even Albania sent the SS Skanderbey division to fight in the USSR.
Romanians, Hungarians, Croats, Slovaks were eager to pinch off a piece of the USSR.
Almost every second driver in Guderian’s tanks was Czech. And all of them did atrocities more abruptly than the Germans. Hungarian punishers were not taken prisoner the Soviet soldiers.
Just like in the Civil War, when they already turned out to be monsters.
Under Leningrad and Rzhev committed atrocities; Dutch SS division “Nord Land”. Italians, Spaniards, sixty thousands of French volunteers from the SS division “Charlemagne” and security and punitive detachments, the Swiss, the Flemings,
Walloons…
Denmark and Spain sent their soldiers even without a formal declaration of war Soviet Union!
In other words, at the time of the attack, constantly replenishing the “loss”, there were about a million soldiers in Hitler’s army countries – allies of Nazi Germany, members of today’s NATO.
This is without accounting for “mishandled Cossacks” or Khiva. Remains a historical fact In 1943, the numerical superiority in manpower on the Soviet-German front was constantly on the side of the states of the fascist bloc!
Together they fought against the USSR entirely formed from traitors, and more precisely from the traitors to the Motherland – the Lithuanian, Latvian and Estonian divisions SS, SS division “Galicia”, Georgian, Turkestan legions, etc.,
in total more than 400 thousand collaborators, of which Ukrainian Khiv were 250 thousand. They were not considered prisoners of war, after being caught submitted to a military tribunal.
The national composition of prisoners of war in the USSR between 1941 and 1945 was:
Germans – 2,389,560 people,
Japanese – 639 635,
Hungarians – 513 767,
Romanians – 187 370,
Austrians – 156 682,
Czechs and Slovaks – 129,977,
Poles – 60 260,
Italians – 48 957,WHY IN EUROPEANS ARE AFRAID TO TOUCH THE GREAT PATRIOTIC WAR?
ALL BECAUSE THEY ALL FIGHTED AGAINST US.
EVERYONE SHOULD KNOW THIS!
French – 23,136,
Dutch – 14 729,
Finns – 2,377, Belgians – 2,010,
Luxembourgers – 1,652,
Danes – 457,
Spaniards – 452,
Norwegians – 101,
Swedes – 72.
At the end of World War II, up to one and a half million Europeans had been in Russian captivity (excluding Germans).
This is why, we celebrate victory day may 9!
Note to commentator … please read moderation policy regarding use of caps … mod
I think you’re going to be wrong on a few points, never underestimate the EU stupidity. Yesterday the EU parliament voted to accept Ukraines EU bid. It’s symbolic but they still voted yes for accepting Ukraines application. Of course this is ridiculous, we know that there will be no Ukraine left. The conquered territories are never going back to Ukraine. As I wrote before, Ukraine has to surrender or fight till the last soldier. After that Russia can take what it wants, install a puppet government with new constitution that rules over what’s left of Ukraine. From my info Russia has 60% of the GDP in hands. Even then, what’s left is a poor country.
Leftover Ukraine might join the EU. Or atleast will get a lot of money for rebuilding in change for reforms to the western model. That’s what they always do. Give money and demand reforms to westernize you country. Of course they say yes to fre money, the elite gets rich, the ordinary people usually get less than they already had.
While the USA is a declining super power, the EU is a bankrupt experiment. We in west-europe are already paying for the southern countries, then the eastern countries, and now Ukraine? They don’t see to anti-EU feelings that are growing. The EU is bankrupt and still they are talking about fitfor55, green deal, repowereu,… while people struggling paying energye bills. Yesterday they also decide to ban ICE cars. The UE will destrooy itself. The rich countries citizens are done paying for the poor countries, and when they stop then the poor countries will stop listening to woke policies (Polen, Hungary are already turning against the EU meddling).
I don’t think the EU will realize they can’t live without Russia. The reaction to Russia agression was unseen in history. The EU but also western companies, federations, turned against Russia. For me these are legit targets for Russia, if a CEO, politicians,… tries to harm Russia and citizens, Russia may response. If CEO companies slamming the door in Russia face, don’t be surprised if Russia slams the door back and you fall out off window. I’m not that soft when it’s war.
The EU reaction is the one of no way back. Immediatly they took action to cut all ties with Russia. Even taken unlegal actions against Russian citizens and familiy. (I would go after EU politicians and their family). Baning Russia media. The EU has gone completely mad, out of their right and power. The EU is not different from a dictatorship.
They decide to stop with all Russian oil, and later gas too. They are already signing long term contracts with other vendors for energy. They have zero understanding of the technical problems to import oil and gas from other sources. There’s no guarantee that their is enough from other vendors. It’s literly blowing up the gas pipeline and then hoping for the best. Even Russia needs time to reoriant their market to other countries. When if all falls apart in the EU I don’t think they can go back to Russia. WHy would Russia supply gas and oil? Again, the EU is bankrupt, citizens can’t aforrd basic goods anymore, at the same time they are building a climate neutral economy that no one can afford, Russia has to do nothing to defeat the EU. And if Russia can sink a few LNG tankers for Europe… it’ war afterall. The EU is suicidal. The USA is declining. Doing nothign might be the best solution.
I don’t think the EU will realize they can’t live without Russia.
…
They decide to stop with all Russian oil, and later gas too. They are already signing long term contracts with other vendors for energy. They have zero understanding of the technical problems to import oil and gas from other sources.
Even taken unlegal actions against Russian citizens and familiy. (I would go after EU politicians and their family).
Why? It’s petty. «If the enemy kills puppies, you do not kill puppies too, just to show you are his equal and have have no less right to kill puppies.» Swiftly deport any who makes trouble, sure…
The rich countries citizens are done paying for the poor countries, and when they stop then the poor countries will stop listening to woke policies (Polen, Hungary are already turning against the EU meddling).
On a purely speculative level, there are some hilarious moves possible.
For example, run the droll “Nazi Nazi Nazi” thing one step further: denounce the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact and agree that former territories of Poland (then USSR, then Ukraine) should go back. Anyone will object to this? Certainly not Germany. 😆
Or at least offer to make those a “special economical zone” for now and let the Poles play if they close the border on their other side.
Practically, it’s unlikely — the Kremlins seem to still sacrifice paper money to the ghost of USSR, or something.
The dying animal. This analogy has often been applied to the dying US Empire. I saw this phenomenon appear when US foreign policy began applying sanctions on any country that it was afraid to bomb such as Iran. The fervent belief the US dollar would still be used in the payments of oil by the threat of regime change or military action kept the USD in circulation and financed the US trade deficit and free economic growth. At the expense of every country forced to use the US dollar in trade or to repay debt.
No country dared sell oil for anything but the USD until Russia helped defeat the US in Syria. China also started using it’s currency to settle oil trades. The US is now powerless to stem the tide of trade in anything but USD: gold, Yuan, Rubles, will do nicely thank you!
Hence the proxy war with Russia, as the US is clearly on the point of death by any measure; politically, socially, morally, economically, financially and spiritually. Anyone who doubts this is delusional or too US-centric to realise, like the frog in boiling water, or captured by hopium dreams of American “exceptionlism” or one of the few who benefit by maintaining the “rules based order,” like the elite class in politics and heading US banks and the Federal reserve.
Anyone who has spent time working in a slaughterhouse or with a variety of farm animals will know the pain and thrashing in death as the beast, fowl or lamb has it’s throat cut, and the realisation is instantaneous that there’s only seconds left to live. The involuntary body movements can do serious harm to the executioner who must remain vigilant as the knife is withdrawn and the animal, now mortally wounded, gushes blood, and cries out with it’s last breath. This is the US Empire now. Dangerous with nothing to lose as it is dying.
Gonzalo suggest a “distraction” to take America’s attention away from Ukraine and Russia in case any escalation in the proxy war between the US and Russia leads to mutually assured destruction. However unlikely, this is always a probability — especially now, as the stakes have never been higher.
China is waiting in the wings to provide this distraction. To trigger an instant pivot away from Russia in Ukraine all China needs to do is invade Taiwan. The US will do nothing militarily but go all out to sanction China.
China will dump those US treasuries it still has, the USD will plummet on the FOREX markets, and simultaneously China declares its total gold reserves of 22,000 metric tonnes in official reserves. Not to mention the 20,000 tonnes owned by Chinese citizens who have been encouraged to buy gold for decades.
This complete and immediate destruction of the USD literally overnight, and imploding the entire already teetering USD denominated bond market, is the “nuclear” option left to China.
This is the only way to bring about the instant paralysis of the US financial and banking system in the event the dying US economy and internal politics do not turn Washington’s attention away from Russia soon enough.
With China’s energy partnership with Russia and the Belt and Road Initiative, other Eurasian countries onboard with economic cooperation, and the stockpiling of huge food and grain reserves throughout 2021, China can withstand any blowback from the immediate aftermath of a US financial meltdown. As can Russia, as she has shown in recent months, her self sufficiency has reached a point through necessity where exports of surpluses are now the norm, to the benefit of her central bank’s coffers, and the high standard living enjoyed by the Russian people.
America is hated and more and more the hatred is growing. Jews who control the west are arrogant. Tney have the deep seated belief they are the chosen ones and tbat they even were able to murder Christ, but they’re incompent as well becuase all they believe about themselves is a lie. Christ allowed so the will of God His father be fulfilled and its believers today who are the chosen ones of God.
America is mystery babylon in revelations. America is the whore, the filthy harlot corrupting the world. The only question is how will mystery babylon be destroyed as it’s written?
It may be the Egyptian Jews were related to the Egyptian gods in same way. But todays Israelis are not biblical Jews.
Jacob Rothschild
– Rothschild was educated at Eton College and then at Christ Church, Oxford, where he gained a First in history, tutored by Hugh Trevor-Roper.[5] Emma Georgina Rothschild and Amschel Rothschild are his half-siblings.
Has Gonzalo been reading his John Glubb? It has been clear for some time that the U.S. is in the final phase of empire that Glubb laid out very exactly. The best we can hope for is a fairly peaceable break up.
Rocket science, the US will continue to buy Russian gas and oil, they never sanction themselves.
The ‘science’ ; the oil and gas bought from Russia will be rebranded and repackaged, with a markup of equal to, or greater than, the cream the US Crime Family Syndicate skimmed off Burisma. Then it will make its way to the EU poodles.
The Russians with their unique sense of humor will install Zelinskyy as the “President of Rump Ukraine” The Russians will explain to Zlenskyy to act like a good president of Ukraine or else. Zelinskyy will be dressed in a Field Marshalls uniform and his cabinet will be composed of ex-azov mercenaries on puberty blockers in party rainbow cammo uniforms. All the trannies and others of that nature will be in the Rump Ukraine Parliament and they will all obey the Kremlin because they will all be condemed to death sentances and to avoid the carrying out of the sentence they will do as they are told. Russia will have the “President of Rump Ukraine” broadcast 24/7 live to the entire world. Russians and the World will then be able to query, “How do you like it in the Rump, Zelinskyy?”
Russia wins – Ukraine – what exactly does that mean for any sane person in Europe? Another re-run of fascism totalitarian rule courtesy of Mr Putin’s Russia whatever that is as in that demented, individual’s mind, Russia includes all of Eastern Europe, Finland, Sweden according to Putin. Another fool in the bunker, imagining wonder weapons is dear Putin!
My God this man (Gonzalo Lira) must think all of us Europeans are idiots, who will simply yield to Putin’s world! Or perhaps we are completely defenceless and wholly incapable of countering the artillery scorched earth Russian army. Give us a break!
Putin is a colonial misfit wrapped up in a haze of delusion, rambling on about Nazis one minute and NATO “aggression” the other, the next about invading here there and everywhere – with what? An army – he does not have one, just some hoods with guns. Look in the mirror as the Finish leader recently said to Putin – wonder why?
The United States is collapsing? Where is your evidence of this development? Because they get out of Afghanistan, a place no-one in their right mind should go into in the first place – Ask Russia, they know a little about that quagmire.
Or is it because Trump lost so America can never be great again? America is and will always be more than one man who had his day and lost.
So what will collapse America or the rest of us here in Europe for that matter? A rising China, is this what will collapse America? What happens if the US decides to draw back it’s manufacturing base from China? China expands selling what to where?
Europe is going off autocratic states in fast order these days, suspect the US is too and about time.
Funny really the author seems to think Putin’s “victory” is a fait acompli – Stalin though that too took ten years after WW2 for Ukraine to quit fighting the Red Army – the same Red Army 4.5 million Ukrainians died fighting for during that war.
Putin and his Nazi baloney today is an insult to Europeans – should be to most Americans too if they care one iota for their fallen or understand the appreciation people in Europe have for the soldiers who paid in that generation!
The author seems to hint we would be better off in a new world order with China (another totalitarian state that recently ran a one candidate election in Hong Kong!) – can I ask whether the author of the video is simply deluded or smoking something?
America going mad a dying empire – what empire never know America had or wanted one? For all it’s faults – America (any every nation has them) it’s a damn sight better than the alternative of a Russian – sorry Putin victory as most Russian are normal folk like the rest of us.
New world order – China and Russia leading the world – with the current government’s they have! Are you actually seriously wanting this for Americans – never mind Europeans to bow down to this baloney – not likely, not ever young man.
Perhaps a final thought – the rest of Europe will never turn it’s back on the people of Ukraine (never confuse debate with division) unless you are in Putin’s state Duma where a different point of view leads to the Gulag or a Moscow special (Tea).
The pressure to win is on Putin, not Ukraine as they have a long history of living under the many despots like Putin who have mis-ruled Russia for centuries. Ukraine (just like the rest of the countries of Eastern Europe) no longer wants Putin’s world – if the author of this video had any sense – neither would he.
That man Putin is a clown with guns, a disgrace to the modern Russia we hoped could develop post 1991 that Putin has thrown back to the Stone Age with his lunacy. No-one in Europe will ever bow down to that jackass, possessed of the common sense of a newt!
America in the meantime will do just fine and we encourage all Americans to work with countries that share democratic values. As for the Empire – never knew America had one, nor wanted one either despite Mr Bush and his half-baked foreign policy.
Ukraine, when leaving the USSR in 1991 , did not return Russian highly industrial lands to Russia, which it used while being part of the USSR. This is a huge area. Before joining the USSR in 1922 Ukraine was three small, impoverished, exclusively agrarian regions. These three regions make up only 1/3 modern Ukraine, the rest 2/3 is the land of the Russian empire. With what she came to the USSR, she must leave with that.
Gonzalo Lira is a mindful world citizen, and his analysis about “Ukrainian war” is just brilliant.
One note: The Soviet Union collapse as unique political federation did not erase its splendid cultural, scientific and technological achievements and Russia is, actually, its successor and recipient. The USA implosion is starting and it is sad. i am speaking about the fatherland of Lincoln, John Reed, Franklin Roosevelt, John Kennedy…
Thank you, Gonzalo, for your courage and lucidness.
Well, Russia has to win first! Still a long way until Odessa.
But thank you for the update.
Russia won a long time ago when the Pentagon said they would not talk about weapon systems. Russia outclasses US on every front.
This poses a problem for the US military complex. They will no longer be able to produce weapons for international arms sales. The turn will be to produce weapons for domestic enemies. Makers of military equipment will have to concentrate where there is no international competition in the domestic market.
The failure of the US to engage verses 30 nations of which the US heads is a clear signal to the world of Russian made defense weapons.
Russia won on the first day when they destroyed 80% of the Ukie airforce including nearly 100% of the tactical aircraft, and all long range military radio communications at Brigade and higher. The short range VHF equipment used at battalion and below is of little use at the brigade and higher level, because it’s line of sight transmission and the earth’s curvature limits range regardless of how many watts you pump out.
Victory would be a landlocked Ukraine and Regime changed in Kiev!
Everything else is failure.
A landlocked Ukraine and regime change in Kiev now seem inevitable, so don’t despair.
Why? The US won in Afghanistan for 20 years. They had the whole country. What did it get them?
It provided them with even more proof that fighting from the moral low ground is a serious disadvantage.
They never had the whole country. America had to spend 11 gallons of fuel to deliver 1 gallon of fuel to Afghanistan. Multiply that by the billions of materials and men we moved in and out of that country literally on the opposite side of the world. Where they speak a very different language. And distrust or hate our religion and government. And the terrain didn’t match our preferred combat methods, which we never adapted completely to the needs of the conflict. We got a few thousand killed soldiers, many more maimed and battle scarred, and secured an opium poppy supply for the deep state until Fentanyl could take over much of the market. And we gave LOTS of money to the MIC.
Versus Russia fighting their next door neighbor, with a common/similar language, with a long history (for good or bad), and mostly common religion.
There is zero chance that Ukraine will be Russia’s Vietnam or Afghanistan.
“Russia won on the first day when they destroyed 80% of the Ukie airforce including nearly 100% of the tactical aircraft”
That can’t be true, as in the 100 days after that Russia has had to shoot down an average of 2 fighter aircraft per day either SU’s or Mig’s. So Ukraine had at least 200 fighters left after people say it was 80-100% destroyed and that doesn’t make sense.
I am reading 2 aircraft every so often but certainly not an average.
There are new planes from Eastern Germany, Poland, Bulgaria, Croatia, Romania, Slovakia, etc. smuggled and taking off from Romania and P{oland mostly.
To jojo
You have obviously missed the fact that the so-called Ukraine is now supplied non-stop with lots of weapons and no doubt, planes. Planes (former Soviet) that Ukies can fly, are supplied by former Warsaw Pact members who are now in NATO. Why is that difficult to understand? If you are from the generation which does not know what Warsaw Pact was, check it out. Most of them still have Soviet Era weaponry, supplied by Soviet Union at the time, with them being an anti NATO Russian allies.
Dear God, how things can change.. with non-stop brainwashing and propaganda.
Sometimes one feels total despair seeing this human stupidity and gullability.
The Ukies are putting teenage boys in uniform. I’ve seen some videos of kids with weapons who look like they’re 14… so, maybe they’re late-developed 16-year olds, but most certainly not 18.
Right Sector & Aydar battalions: utterly destroyed as combat formations
Azov regiment: 80% destroyed. remaining personnel from Kiev companies spread throughout UFA companies to act “backstops” to shoot any draftees who try to retreat.
Remainder of Ukie full time army: mostly gone. 60% minimum attrition. Some 100%
Reserve units: mostly wrecked. 50%~70% attrition rates. Backfilled with draftees.
1st Draft, 2nd Draft, 3rd Draft, 4th Draft:
Poorly trained. Typically 10 days of basic training, allowed to shoot 10 rounds from their rifles. Then sent to the front.
[By comparison, US Army soldier’s initial entry training consists of 9 weeks of basic training, including 14 days of primary marksmanship instruction in which the soldier shoots well over 200 rounds of ammunition, learns how to zero the sights on his weapon so that the bullet hits where he aims, and concludes with a performance evaluation of 40 silhoutte randomly-appearing targets from 50 meters to 300 meters, with an allotted time of 3 seconds per target to engage that target. Due to bullets travelling at finite speed, the 300m target must be noticed, aimed at, aim settled, and fired at within 2.5 seconds to hit that target to get credit for hitting it. AFTER Basic Training, infantry get another 6 weeks of training for infantry skills, and instruction and practice shooting every heavy weapon that an infantryman is likely to use (i.e. NOT artillery pieces or anti-aircraft rockets, but nearly every other crew served or shoulder-fired weapon) Other Military occupational specialties have even longer training schools, up to 9 months. For example, MANPADS Gunner (stinger missiles) is a 24-week course.
Regional Defense Forces — old men in units which were never trained for combat. The mission of the RDF is to perform traffic control duties and to man security checkpoints. They are now on the front lines and getting mauled.
What the Ukies are facing, even the American forces with all of that training would have difficulty fighting against. The Ukies have zero chance of succeeding. The only questioin is how long can they delay the inevitable, and is it worth even a single additional life to do so?
God’s collective punishment for 8 years of hell dished out by Kiev.
Well, I think one thing is certain… after this, there will be no Ukrainian nationalist movement.
It was always a dumb idea, even in 1890 when it started on the college campuses.
And I say this as a descendent of Ukie & Lithuanian immigrants.
I can just imagine who it was at those Universities back in 1890 that started all this trouble. Their descendants are doing the same thing in western universities today.
Interesting. Do you know what percentage of the soldiers pass that markmanship test first time around? Thanks.
Here’s personal experience from teenage days.
Out of 40 boys and girls who never held rifle in their hands before, half could hit 50cm target at 100m distance with one of 5 rounds. Prone position, no time limit.
Six had 5 of 5, the best one put couple into 10cm middle circle. The range crew told us we were way above the average. In real war situation, with moving targets, to one would hit anything, not even a truck. Any semi-decent sniper would kill all of us in minutes, without being noticed.
Sending teenagers to the frontlines without months of training is the worst warcrime. Unlike atrocities in the heat of the battle, it is cold hearted and deliberate.
Lol the U.S. army sure must have changed, for when I was in which we had 8-week basic training with a leave and then another 8 weeks of advanced training we got to go to the rifle range twice and were permitted to fire three rounds each time we went. We did get to fire machine guns and motors, but the ammunition was very scare, like they were rationing it out.
You must have been in during the mid / late 70’s.
I went in in June 1980 and got out six years later.
In boot camp hardly fired a shot, by 1984 or so was sick of firearms training.
Not a fake operator just a regular GI.
But I shot well enough that the first time I visited the Sixth floor book depository museum in Dallas and saw the firing line to the street have never doubted that Oswald (and prob 85% USA combat trained shooter could have) made those shots.
Wait until they release Klaus Schwab’s land robot fighters. The war will be over in 3 days.
Klaus Schwab can’t even get a decent PR team together when promoting their Great Reset.
‘You will own nothing and be happy.’ Yeah sounds wonderful.
Nah…robotz will surrender at second day. Remember those nonreplaceable depleted batteries from Javelins?
@Aaron Kulkis: “The Ukies are putting teenage boys in uniform. I’ve seen some videos of kids with weapons who look like they’re 14… so, maybe they’re late-developed 16-year olds, but most certainly not 18.”
Like the German nazis began doing after the Red Army had chewed up 80% of their Wehrmacht in 1943-1944.
Not exactly true. My hometown was occupied by the German “army” the entire 5 years, An army of young boys and old men, with some very nasty officers.
What are they going to defend it with? US troops? A bit late for that. They should have done that before the Donbas escalation. Too late now.
In chess, spectator analyists often remark that one of the players is ‘busted’, meaning that his position, material, and tempos are such that continuing play will result in a victory for his opponent, barring a blunder. The game has to be officially ‘won’ in play, until a checkmate or resignation, or time runs out on the loser, but there is no doubt about the outcome. In this sense, Ukraine is busted and can neither win nor draw: Russia can hardly be expected to make a blunder, and is not under time pressure.
It’s not a military problem, it’s political problem. As in, «the object of war is to obtain a better peace».
The most likely hypothesis at this point is: even the Kremlin suits have learned from the Chechen mess and understand that turning a half-assed but defined proxy war into another indefinite “Balkans lite” sore on the border is an even worse threat than hypothetical NATO bases. Hence all the slow shuffling.
Exactly what I believe Gonzalo Russia will need to bring Ukraine to a submissive position and a part of Russia.
NATO could easily use the Western portion to become a political terrorist state and keep dumping weapons in to it to never end the war with Russia. This is what any long term ‘Neutral’ state looks like an everlasting proxy war.
If Russia however convinces ANY nato state to wholly own the land, then NATO is then responsible for ensuring no shells sneak over the border. The Poles hate Russia and will be inclined to find a way to cut Western Uke free. So it make more sense to find the certain country that’s sending out all the right messages right now. Hungary. Also, if Poland is the ‘winner’ then it’ll look like weakness to the Russian people and give Russia more border with a hostile state.
To OldChippy
“..if Poland is a winner..” In what sense? That Russia will allow them to have Galicia back? They are welcome to it!
Nazi infested, nazi breeding territory that never, truly has ever been part of USSR or Russia. Good riddance, I would say. Then, if any crap starts coming out of that little clusterf*ck, it will be immediately destroyed. Simple!
Not sure how serious this talk of the Poles taking western Ukraine is .if I were Putin I’d be pushing hard on this idea. Doing so would destabilize Poland. Russia would be sending every basket case Ukrainian and Nazi the west. A never ending nightmare for Poland to own.
I am actually still awaiting the military putsch in Ukraine for sometime, but for the moment the Ukrainian secret services are still controlled by both the UK and the US, but the military putsch will happen, one way or another.
A putsch is difficult because so many of the leaders are literally phoning it in from overseas.
Difficult because they’re not easily kidnapped or killed by fellow Ukrainians.
It would be impossible to organise without the UK or USA snoopers knowing. No general is going to risk his neck for this. No the Russians must deal directly with the puppetmasters and scare the hell out of them – it would not be difficult as they are all chickenhawks.
Ukraine had 30 decades to get its shit together, but it pissed away its potential and time on corrupt bull crap and reviving nazism. And most of the people who left ukraine left not because they were in danger, but to avoid conscription. And from the looks of it, those ukrainians are also well off.
I live in a small village in Switzerland and the few Ucranians that ended up here, they all, or at least most of them, move around in Mazdas and Audis. Worth? Between 40-50 thousand Swiss Francs.
By the way, we pay the public transport (Tramway) to them.
Don’t fret bro, the Ukrainians will run your hookers professionally.
As few, other than those from the west, will put their cash into Switzerland and the money laundering dry’s up then other vices will need to be found to keep the lights on.
You could jump ship now and have your leaders go to Moscow and sign a deal with Russia.
Remember he/she who jumps first, jumps best.
In all this excitement I forgot to confirm whether or not Switzerland remains Neutral.
– Don’t fret bro, the Ukrainians will run your hookers professionally.
There is punishment for not being armed in Switzerland. Politicians are overruled by referendums.
Income per capita in Switzerland is 5 times Ukraine. To be an immigrant in Switzerland is to be a nobody.
Indeed. Largely agree.
Russia cannot afford to have a truly sovereign Ukraine again. Forget a “negotiated peace”. Russia has no choice but to turn Ukraine—in whatever rump state it emerges from this conflict— into a permanently neutral, Moscow-controlled protectorate that will never again host Western arms, military alliances and threats against Russia. Not to mention Nazis. This is an existential choice dictated by the broader realities of this global war between the Empire and the emerging multilateralist bloc led by Russia and China, but currently spearheaded by Russia, the stronger and more decisive partner in military matters. In the longer term, looking beyond Ukraine, Russia needs to apply as soon as possible its own intelligent and stringent sanctions on the West. It’s the main chance they have to make Western Europe—short of a Third World War (assuming we are not already there)— clean up its idiotic act, toss NATO and even the EU into the trash bin of history, where they richly belong—and normalise itself without further provocations as per Washington’s deranged and self-serving diktats.
Perfectly said and Amen!
I agree Russia will take the entire Ukraine. In other words, Russia will implement the Minsk Agreement unilaterally without the Ukrainians —-demilitarize, de-Natsify and completely neutralize the entire Ukraine from any NATO aspirations permanently. This is the only way Russia’s full security is assured is to manage control of this itsekf because no other foreign leader will do this. This will also send a message to Finland, Sweden, Poland and the Baltics as to what will happen if Russia perceives a security threat from another country.
How the rump Ukraine will be run and managed, only Putin knows, but he’s taking the whole enchilada because he must. No land is going to Poland or any other NATO country because he needs the entire Ukraine as a buffer security state per the stipulations in the Minsk Agreements. He will not deviate from the security that Minsk would have guaranteed to the Russian homeland.
It’s like saying «Russia cannot afford to have free-roaming herds of unicorns».
Seems a clear enough criterion. So, uh, would you really expect it to?..
Obviously, full sovereignty and existence of an entity (be it Vatican, Quaker “league to enforce peace”, The International, United Nations, State Department, or whatever) that claims divine right to give and take sovereignty… do not mix well. Thus the equilibrium is simple: few powers can resist its attempts at usurpation well enough, and everyone else has to be either in its protectorate, of that of one of the opposing powers. Or be something that even zealots aren’t crazy enough to touch.
Which is why the only sovereign countries left are USA, Russia, China… and Somali. The rest are vassals and protectorates. The formalities of relationships and appearances of various vassal states are another matter.
In case of Ukraine, it’s clear. They are not going to sign up with China, so it’s either Washington, Brussel (itself a vassal of Washington), or Moscow. Should they find themselves neither a protectorate, nor able to protect their sovereignty, that’s a metastable state: color revolution comes knocking in 3… 2… 1… Duh. A-and now they aren’t.
The last part of Lira’s talk has the US way of thinking…that Russia needs to distract the US matter, for example, pushing the US “anger” towards China like.
Well, no, Russia doesn’t need to do that, or will do that, ever.
He must’ve forgotten, like most of the western way of thinking people, what Putin said in Beijing…the friendship between China and Russia has no limits…And, that’s exactly what it means — the friendship has no limits — something that a western way of thinking person cannot fathom.
(Removed by the moderator – you may criticize the article but not the person.)
You completely missed the point here.
He is not saying that Russia will want to do that. He is explaining why Russila will NEED to do that … to avoid what was not spoken – un unstopped violence spiral ending in a worldwide nuclear exchange.
The hubris of the US elites of today is such that they will not blink in pushing for a “limited” nuclear exchange in the belief that “Russia will back down”. In a situation when Russia cannot back down.
The only way to avoid that conflict – which is in the interest of Russia – is to PREVENT a situation where that weakness OF THE US is confronted with reality of Russia not backing down.
The best case though is still the US realizing they already lost this conflict and just giving up. But that will take YEARS for their brains to process. In a way, it is essential for the Ukrainian war to be prolonged – to allow the US elites as well as the public to process the “new” (to them) reality.
For now, they still live in a la-la land.
I just read how a “Ceasar howitzer crew destroyed 80 Russian howitzers in 3 hours”. Yeah. Sure.
The problems is, people still believe that bull. So more time is still needed. In a way, the Western wonder weapons are very much desirable on the Ukrainian frontlines for Russia – as that is the ONLY way to defeat the “wonder weapon” narrative West has built up over the decades.
You see, there is all this talk of “Western howitzers outranging the Russian ones”. Hmm. How will that narrative work out after Russian “outranged” artillery wipes out the Western “superior” one. …
I do believe there are 10’s of millions on Americans who don’t believe any of the pro-Ukraine BS, and know that Russia was forced into their actions by many years of deep state provocations, plus some bad immediate threats on their border, including bio-warfare material, and 60,000 Azov troops gearing up to attack breakaway provinces to “create a bloodbath.”
G’day TimeIsNow,
I agree.
Astute as he is, Gonzalo Lira fails to realise that USans are capable of reforming themselves and deconstructing the US empire by removing its Khazarian Mafia (KM) controllers and their Deep State minions and enablers. Lira’s false assessment apparently leads him to conclude that the US military and the banking (Fed) arm of the KM’s global empire controllers will thrash about in death throes for many years. It won’t.
It should be obvious that the KM’s usurious global empire is falling apart and righteous USans and citizens in virtually all nations are becoming increasingly aware of the empire’s unacceptable actions and their consequences. That growing awareness is a natural consequence of the effects of the fraudulent US presidential election, the COVID scam and the SMO, despite (and even because of) ubiquitous KM propaganda.
That growing awareness is changing consciousness everywhere, including in the Anglo-US and European nations. The growing level of awareness apparent on the Saker site is typical rather than unique. Awareness of KM machinations and the untenable activities of the Anglo-US and EU nations is increasingly apparent to the rest of the world and even to the citizens of the West.
For instance Trump, not Brandon, got an 80% vote in the 2020 election and Brandon’s performance thereafter has greatly increased consciousness in the US. That situation means that the US Supreme Court (SCOTUS) will reinstate Trump as the US president but if it fails to do so, the US military will install Trump as the 19th president of the reinstated USA under its real US Constitution. The US military will do that because it knows that the election was stolen and regards Trump as its CinC.
When that happens all bets will be off as regards the KM’s control of the USA and its defunct empire. Trump will deconstruct the US military’s global activities and, in tandem with Presidents Putin and Xi, he will supervise the deconstruction of the KM’s global financial empire.
Trump and the US military will not allow the US and its allies to use nuclear weapons even if Russia kinetically takes out specific Khazar controlled NATO or other sites in the EU or even in the US.
Right on..
He does not fail in that.
But he keeps in mind that any (winning) military strategy must assume the worst case scenario.
Sure, if the US comes to their senses. Great then. Easy for Russia or China to de-escalate. But an essential prerequisite of US coming to their sense is them realizing RU and CN are ready for them.
You do not convince the other party to back down by not being ready – that would only invite them to “try it”.
I was also rather shocked to see the author suggest Russia should save itself from imperialist attention by directing the hegemon’s fury toward China (which it is already doing, anyhow). As Ostro says, the friendship between China and Russia has been declared by its leaders to be of a superior kind, and the first rule is obviously mutual loyalty. I doubt that, for any conceivable reason, either Putin or Xi will see it as advantageous —let alone honorable—to push Washington in the direction of China’s destruction. For one thing, that would be doing the empire’s bidding, as Washington seeks to plant a wedge between Beijing and Moscow in order to destroy and subdue each separately. Washington knows that to take them both on is suicidal.
The western thinking people won’t fathom “friendship with no limits” for they have never seen/heard of something like that.
why would Russia need to betray China to do so? They can cooperate and begin “tanking” the US Qabal’s NATO.
China is very good at provoking people to gain face. This is just up their ally.
– as Washington seeks to plant a wedge between Beijing and Moscow in order to destroy
This is MSM terms that hide reality rather that revealing reality. Of course readers understand words like “Washington” … or The Beatles -> they beleive they understand the world by “US / Russia / China”
America is falling apart at the seams and the US govt. is now firing in all directions. Afraid.
The Problem with the USA Empire is that our leadership does not put the Nation’s interest first, They seem determined to control Europe , the Far East, and South America , and neglect our Economy, Fuel Production, Open Borders , create Racial Strife, destroy Law ad Order, destroy the Dollar . and dismember the Constitution .
That’s because the U.S. is currently being run by Ashkenazi, who literally view us as cattle.
For the last hundred years
Sadly, that is the logical conclusion.
According to Liberal US USA is the master of the world. When CIA supplies weaponry and training to the Guatemalan (racist) elite it is because the Guatemalan elite is in the pockets of CIA we are told. What was created 1947 har “taken over” latin America we are to believe, and now all elite in Latin America are traitors, for petty dollars, working for Norte-Americanos, not that Norte-Americanos are working for the Latin elite.
Indeed, the collapsing American Empire is the truly dangerous situation we all face. An American who recently murdered his girlfriend stated: “If I can’t have her then nobody will.” That’s what were facing vis-a-vis the Empire of Lies.
This is my concern. Abundant past evidence indicates that the American system is remarkably intolerant (internally and externally), and has clearly demonstrated a complete lack of concern / empathy for others.
Their “high command” appears to believe that a “limited” nuclear engagement will be a “win” for the USA (their plan is for the EU / Russia to be where the “bombs drop” – certainly NOT mainland USA), and their nuclear arsenal (although probably inferior to Russian capability) is nevertheless still quite capable to destroying “everyone else”. They also clearly DO have the “if I can’t have everything, then neither will anyone else” mindset.
All these individual elements when combined do seem to point to a significant exchange in the near future. Russia has clearly indicated their intention to retaliate against “command centres” i.e. US / European capitals / major military sites, and the possibility of a “limited” engagement becoming a whole lot larger seems very significant. Once “that” genie’s out of the bottle, it’ll be challenging to get it back in.
“If we can’t rule the entire world, then we’ll blow it up” is the attitude of Vicky Nudelman, the absurdly obese, sexually frustrated, Ass’t Secretary of State and her fellow neocons.
If ever evil existed in the flesh, it is the neocons.
“If ever ….”?
Has history not provided sufficient proof?
He did well descriptively. He fails prescriptively.
Russia “throwing a tennis ball to distract” while ‘boring the Americans with tiny, incremental movements of its own strategic interests” is silly.
Additionally, the “rump” entity run by Ukie Military is exactly what the US did in Iraq. They allowed the leaders of the Republican Guard to morph into ISIS and build a Caliphate, first in Mosul and then in Raqqa.
After Ukraine is taken apart, Russia still has to break NATO. Aegis Ashore missiles in Romania and Poland have to go. All NATO troops have to leave all member states using the 1997 membership as the red line. No troops, no weapons (primarily meaning no US in most of NATO territory).
These are the ‘to do’ list items for Russia. And it’s all ‘in the face’ of the US. Just like how Russia is destroying the Ukie military, liquidating the Banderite nazis, and neutralizing all the weapons the NATO countries are sending to prolong the war. In the US face, for all to see the powerlessness of the Hegemon and NATO.
It will also take some effort to track down all the NATO and Zone A spooks.
One thing I’ve noticed over the last couple of decades, is that the best network wins.
True in software, where already-big outfits like Microsoft buy up or destroy any smaller competitors. True in social media, where a handful of companies can effectively censor a sitting president. True in the cryptocurrency arena, where we have Bitcoin and the seven dwarfs, and about ten thousand worthless wannabe tokens. True in the corporate arena, where GM became dominant, with a few others almost keeping up, and all overseen by Black Rock and the banksters, etc.
Well, there are networks of spooks out there. The FSB (about which I know little or nothing) needs to dominate that space in the Ukraine … spooks already assassinated several Donbass leaders.
(Of course, the other thing about big networks is that they tend to degrade over time. Genghis Khan was a big deal, until he wasn’t, like Rome, the Ottomans, London, and Washington.)
Ghengis Khan and his descendants ruled over Kiev for 240 years.
But the Kaganate of Victoria does not seem poised to last so long.
The USA state dept. and the CIA cannot allow zelenski to exist after Ukraine loses. Zelenski is a huge liability to the west when he loses, I would imagine his family and he will be flown out to the USA and I am willing to bet that plane will go down. That’s the reality of laying in bed with the CIA, many people that have come before Zelenski have learned that lesson the hard way. Coke headed fella like Zelenski is a loose cannon on deck and the State dept./CIA cannot allow that to happen. Lay down with dogs you wake up with fleas..
Agree. Wouldn’t be surprised if the Nazis string him up on main boulevard as promissed. After all their old skool and all, but someone is holding them back.
When we say NATO, we think, what a massive organisation with so many countries. But, actually only a few countries matter in it, not Norway, from where Stoltenberg is from, not Poland, which shouts a lot, but has very weak leaders, but only the US and, maybe the UK, Germany and France. All the other countries are small, quite weak economically and militarily.
The UK is not a united country with a failing prime minister and a failing economy – lot of shouting as a military power — without James Bond(s) — quite happy to have coolies fight their war(s). France won’t fight a war with its feminine Macron. German government would fall at the first sound of war, where it’d have to fight as NATO. What’s left is the US, but it has a president with one leg in the grave, with fast dying brain cells. So, Kamal might be the next president. Well, can anyone imagine Kamala as the Potus?!
The chances are quite high for Kamala to become the Potus. Can you imagine Kamala against Putin, or Medvedev?
Now, where will the Ukraine be in a few months, with slow but sure grinding of the Russian forces against US/NATO proxy war?
Hopefully not Medvedev. I’m guessing you don’t know his history? He’s always been an avid neo-liberal and VERY pro-western and that hasn’t changed, no matter what he might say in public these days. He’s no patriot. He did absolutely nothing for Russia when he was prime minister – president – prime minister and was always batting his eyes at the west like a love-smitten teenage girl. The west know very well that he is a weak link in the Russian armour and are probably hoping with all their hearts that he returns to power after Putin. If that happens, Russia goes down for the count, no doubt. Even a fool like Kamala could play Medvedev for an even bigger fool quite easily, that’s how incompetent and treasonous he is. Medvedev is a no-no. I imagine though that the patriots in the Russian deep state won’t allow that to happen, knowing that if it does, Russia is finished.
Maybe. But maybe not. I shared that view for a while. However you are assuming his pro western behaviour was not a ruse. I think the warfare by maneuver beginning to this smo has reveilled the actual intent of Russian leadership. It appears to me that Russian leadership was much more unified than was assumed. And much more capable of deceiving western leaders and media. It appears that they have effectively bought the required time to prepare Russia for this moment.
You are guessing wrong. I was there, when Medvedev was the president, so I know, who he is. Lavrov, Medvedev, Miller and Putin are from Leningrad, by the way.
I had this impression too for a long time, but the openness of this matter in Russian media recently made this story about Medvedev obsolete.
Medvedev wanted to take Tbilisi/Georgia but Putin cooled him down, showing Putin was the soft liberal of the two.
Medvedev was simply used to show weakness in the Russian leadership, while reality was the opposite. Judo ;-).
The world order is run from 3 sovereign cities. Vatican, London, and Wash DC.
Jerusalem, enough said!
What to do in Jerusalem at night? https://trip101.com/article/best-things-to-do-in-jerusalem-at-night
There is nothing there
Los vídeos ganarían mucha audiencia si tuviera subtítulos
——————-
Google-translate from mod:
The videos would earn a lot of audience if they had subtitles
Yes, In contrast to A.Martyanov’s video’s this is a glaring inadequacy. That said I have no idea of the techical issues for subtitles except to think it’s an easy thing by the publisher to allow machine translation subtitles.
Well Russia has to begin with itself. It has to understand it is a unique civilization between the east and west. It has to have values and not just interests. It has to understand its honey moon with the west is over. It has to clean house and get rid of the 5th column. It has to begin with emancipating its people struck in perpetual poverty and that too in such a resource rich country. It has to maintain a balance between freedoms and justice. It has to fight rampant alcoholism, drugs and corruption. It has to do all this for its own selfrespect. It has to make sure the enemies think ten times over before embarking on any adventure. But at the same time it has to magnanimous and forgiving. It has to stand out. It cant just be another country with a central bank and robber barons ruling the roost. If Russia cant be all this, then what good is it. How is it different from the west.
So while Gonzalo may look all the way into the future and come up with a fantastic vision but it cant be realized without self introspection and change from within.
Russians should no longer look at amazement toward europe with their eyes wide open at seeing anything European. Enough. And stop aping the west. For Gods sake, your own clothes and culture are beautiful. And stop trying to speak English in the manner an American or Britisher speaks. It doesnt suit you. Your own Russian language is much more beautiful. Have you ever seen a weatern intellectual trying to speak Russian when he knows he cant speak it well enough. So stop. And start respecting your own language. Use subtitles where needed but speak your own language.
Russia is beautiful. Dont mess it up. Love it and respect it and be grateful.
Thank you, Gonzalo. From an economic perspective, I wonder what industries are biggest and the overall size of the economy for the different pieces, in other words, what will Russia gain when the fighting stops. Take care, these updates are much appreciated.
They need to find Kolomoisky and all his cronies and arrest them and seize any of their assets. Pinchuk, Poroshenko and all the Ukie oligarchs. Put Kolomoisky on trial for murder. Arrest and or deport the nazis to Poland or the UK.
Nice talk Gonzalo.
I liken your thrashing about blindly both internally and externally to the reigning champ on the football field getting clobbered in whatever it does. It just didn’t give its opponents respect before strutting onto the field, expecting them to roll over and take their beating.
How long before that “ Hail Mary” long shot bomb looks irresistible to them ?
Or the “ all in “ gambit to shock and awe the opponent into folding his superior hand?
So dangerous as you suggest.
P.S. If nukes are good for all countries, maybe Cuba will step up and say “ok “.
The smart thing would be for the Russians instead of using their nuclear weapons or other WMDs should use instead Electronic warfare weapons such as EMPs to disable the Americans nuclear capabilities before they use them.
Yikes. This starts to sound like the scientific explanation joke in which a final note is added, “And then a miracle happens”.
I get what he’s saying but how does Russia pull this off? How do they set up a compliant regime without crushing Kiev? Maybe a phone call as to where Zelensky is and send a missile in – disclosed by some one in the military who wants power in rump Ukraine.
Why so much concern about crushing Kiev? The Americans would have been bombing it from day one.
I think the end of this conflict is some time away, the Russians will take their time. Who wants to house and feed the Ukies this winter ? Their broke, and living on Empires credit which is going into blod red. It will probably more be a question of the Empire dumping the Ukies now that the battle is lost, cutting their on-going losses.
Things will change radically in Europe. It’s hard to say how things will develope. I don’t think we have seen anything yet. With the Poles being sendt off into the forrest to collect branches for heating … things doesn’t look good for autumn; which is only a few months away. Still this is treated as if it is something temporary, it’s not … it’s practically permanent.
I wholeheartedly agree with this assessment. The collapse of the US has been inevitable for at least 20 years and I think that this is at the heart of more or less everything we see going on in the world.
Way back in the 70’s and 80’s, we cops (in a relatively nice area) were already talking about social disintegration. It was pretty clear when you get a chance to see what’s happening where the needs for help are. And when you talk to adolescents with no clue about responsibilities or cause and effect.
I am American and I would kiss Putin on the mouth if he would nuke DC. That said, I am reminded of Soviet propaganda films detailing the reasons that America and the West were doomed and dying.
«I am American and I would kiss Putin on the mouth if he would nuke DC»
That’s pretty much what “John Titor”, who claimed to be a time-traveler from an alternate time-line visiting the year 2000, said that happened in his time-line: the “flyover country deplorables” were attacked by the “woke coastal cities” which started a civil war and the russian federation was allied with the “deplorables”, and the war went nuclear. If it was a hoax it was both highly skilled (many technical details are right) and quite forward looking :-).
I have two suggestions for Russian leaders as to what they might consider offering the West.
1. In the case of NATO states and any others who might have signed up for the sanctions and bans, I might consider offering them a return to status quo ante with conditions: Drop all sanctions and bans along with the politicians responsible for them; Break any ties or membership with NATO; Ban NATO presence and/or weapons on their territory (for starters, you could certainly think of a few more). The rationale is that Russia being a Christian nation, I cannot picture Russians wanting to watch the entire populations of France, Germany, or Italy starve and freeze as several Saker articles note will happen unless something changes. In the case of England and the UK, I’d also insist that Rothschildes and the City of London banking nexus be gone.
2. In the case of the US, Russia has nothing to lose. It would likely help Americans for Russia to announce that it does not view the Biden regime as legitimate nor Joe Biden as the president of anything, and that decent relations between the two nations will likely become possible after the US reverts to the nation described in its founding documents with believable elections and practices. That might require the democrat party being outlawed and banned.
Nazi and communist parties should be banned everywhere. Things such as the Kalergi plan that CREATE nazis and nazism should also be banned.
I appreciate your hopeful viewpoint but am afraid that this path will not be followed
Most European countries are controlled by an elite trained and selected by the World Economic Forum (WEF).
https://geopolitics.co/2022/02/22/world-economic-forums-young-global-leaders-revealed/
These governments are parachuted into control by the WEF govern via control of the financial system, security apparatus, and media outlets. Such governments crush dissent via:
controlling the Overton window of allowed discourse;
detaining those who oppose the government and forcing them to undergo psychological treatment with mind-altering drugs (e.g. France and Canada examples);
imprison those who still pose a challenge without trial (e.g. Assange)
use state police and military police to gas, beat, shoot and jail large demonstrations (e.g. France and Canada). In the French case, the leaders use the CRS special police created by the Vichy government in 1943 and widely referred to as the assassins
Most EU governments will choose repression of their people over normalizing relations with Russia. Once the people are hungry and cold there will be civil wars between the people and the security apparatus with mass deaths among the protesters. Eventually, these corrupt governments will be overthrown with some leaders facing the fate of Nicolae Ceausescu and the rest fleeing.. Ethnic and cultural differences within and between countries will further degrade into something similar to the Spanish Civil War. Unfortunately, these societies will likely collapse into a medieval-like state
Great overall analysis, but two questions about your description of the “rump Ukraine”. You say the population is ethnically Ukrainian, but didn’t they mostly speak Russian until forced by Washington’s Nazi puppet regime after 2014 to give up not only the language but their mostly Russian culture – Russian Orthodox religion, etc.? So isn’t the nazification of the rump population superficial, so that a Russian re-educational effort might easily rally it to support reunication with the Russian Federation along with the eastern and southern regions?
Secondly, doesn’t the rump contain plenty of that famous Ukrainian black earth, which could be the basis of a viably agricultural economy, especially as the region is a net exporter of grain? Also, the farmers in the rump region are the least likely to have become refugees, since they have the land that assures a living no matter how far the larger economy has declined.
When Russia completes its police action it will reduce Ukraine to a landlocked rump state with zero access to any sea lanes, Odesa and Transnistria when taken will complete the picture as the expression goes “All dressed up and nowhere to go”, a failed state which bleeds money regardless of how many transfusions it receives.
Give Western Ukraine to Poland. Putin and his boys should promise Warsaw a complete slice of the country running all the way down to the Black Sea for Polish gurantees of friendship with Russia.
Imagine what a game changer having two coasts would be for Poland: “NATO? What is this NATO? We Poles no nothing about any NATO!”
Poland hates Russia even more than the US…and the Russians know it, why giving them more space to fill it with hatred?
There won’t be a guarantee of friendship from Poland, as the Polish gets Russian-hate by birth. But, letting the Poles get Lvov and a part of Volyn is a pretty good idea, for that way, Poland gets a massive dose of SS types, which in turn would break Poland as a country. Already there’s a rising bad sentiment against the Ukrainian “refugees” in Poland, due to massive price hikes. By the way, Poles never liked the Ukrainians.
Not 27 minutes! He says the “extreme right” would depose Zelensky if he agrees to negotiate. “Ze” doesn’t want any such settlement himself. The “extreme right” will lose more influence power when worse defeats are the only alternative. Wars have been known to impose “unconditional surrender” on very determined people. It would not be the first time. As some have commented, a coup in Ukraine may happen too; those who do it would naturally seek the best settlement possible; they would be well-situated to get the best deal since they would say that they always opposed Zelensky’s policies. The West also wants now to end this war with a negotiated settlement. This Western position is new. Just a month ago, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin went so far as to say that Ukraine could win (not anymore). The Ukrainian “extreme right” is hardheaded, but they are not the only hardheaded Ukrainians. As Putin made clear, the longer this conflict goes on the higher the chances that Ukraine loses its statehood…and he has a big say in that.
The Soviet Union might have collapsed peacefully towards the outside, but internally it collpased at the prcie of some 12 million dead, out of sudden poverty, violence and the sudden reduction of life expectancy.
Still not the numbers of WWII for the Russians, but still a respectable number.
No wonder the Russians will go to any extent so that to no allow them being “collapsed” again….and moreover by the same actors directing the process
Some questionable assumptions here.
First, ‘never’ is a long time. Hearts and minds come into play here, and the more abusive the Zelensky regime is the better Russia looks.
Second, ‘returning refugees’ may have no choice to return as they wear out their welcome in what are clearly now temporary sanctuaries for many of them.
Third, NATO’s next move is collapse. This is phase X of the SMO. Whether internal from economic collapse and social pressure or external facing off with Russia militarily.
As to the final bit about Russia needing to walk softly to prevent nuclear war by the U$, Russia needs to walk softly because it is the humane thing to do and it sets a global example and precedent for the new world order.
The collapse of the US is not the danger, it is the only hope for the suture.
Psst: Don’t tell the Brits that their Empire has passed.
The rump Ukraine must be endowed with many poison pills for the West.
Do you not think the Brits just handed their Empire over to the US?
The Empire continued with the same elite running it. Only the name was changed.
What if America decided to become a Republic again, and not an Empire? You should take this seemingly improbable, immense reversal of paradigm into account. This is why the still financially and politically powerful British Empire feared Lyndon LaRouche, and why they fear Donald Trump. There is a deep Nationalist, Republican reflex still in the soul of America. Do not disregard this.
Nationalist is faintly possible, but republican it is not, people still can’t over the fact that Trump scammed them as he told them just what they wanted to hear, but his actions spoke louder than words as he sent weapons to Ukraine, hid out in his bunker, dumped trillions into Wall Street to protect the wealth of the 1% including himself while the BLM did over a billion dollars worth of damage to American cities and if this is Republican then they can keep it. Republicans are noted for being the business party which means screwing the working class, which they do every time they get into office, and now they have merged into one big happy corrupt party going the same way Ukraine has gone.
Trumplethinskin gave the thumbs-up to US-NATO to launch 100 missiles into Syria on the ‘trumped-up’ charge of Syria resorting to using chemical weapons on its people, impeccable timing while sat eating chocolate cake with Xi. Supposedly in his small brain, shock & awe treatment. The vast majority were shot down by the Russian s300’s.
America has nothing to offer any sane society. Unfortunately there’s perhaps a dozen or so who are completely insane that require immediate cleansing before it’s too late.
Here you misrepresent Trump. The tax reform gave Blacks and alike something like $1 trillion more. This was done by doubling minimum income before people became tax liable
Effect:
1. The poorest in US were moved outside taxable sphere
2. Less tax for goverment
Liberals will kill for less than that.
CIA decided they needed more agent politians inside Kongress
G’day bluedogg,
I disagree.
Arguably Trump did what he had to do to wake USans up.
While he did that he organised the ‘takedown’ of the Khazarian Mafia (KM) globally and the Deep State in the US. Brandon and his handlers have been allowed to seem to run the US in order to shake some common sense into a majority of USans. Putin has removed the KM from their power centre in Kazarkhstan and the SMO is cleansing the Ukraine and removing the dregs of the KM from that demonic power centre. When that is done, together with suitable chastisement of remnant KM minions and Deep State complexes elsewhere, our world will transition into a genuinely peaceful, totally multi-polar planet in which all governments will become proper representative Republics.
Unfortunately the US is never going back to the republic model without several blue cities being utterly wiped off the map by nukes or a bloody civil war. The rot is so entrenched that decent citizens cannot establish a Constitutional Republic in the face of the moral degeneracy of the communists.
G’day Craig Holtzclaw,
I agree.
A very taunting video Gonzalo. IMO the SMO won’t end until NATO is provoked/cornered into direct action, then the RF will respond and get rid of NATO definitively. The alternative is that Europe grows balls and asserts sovereignty and accedes to RF security architecture as proposed last year.
I don’t think that the tennis ball will work. That is because the US is projecting their deepest desire into Russian capabilities and they are scared to death.
The empire leaders lust for a nuclear first strike capability. The moment they have it, they will use it. Consider their fear when they realized that the Russians managed to get it…
There is a lot of talk about the zircon missile and its long range. But look at it at close range. If you park a submarine 300 Km from Washington, a nuclear tipped zircon can reach the White House (or the Pentagon) in less than 2 minutes. Think about it. There is not even time to move the POTUS somewhere safe.
Think about it. A couple of submarines can hit DC and several US bases along the coast (East and West) before anyone can do anything about it. Consider the confusion. What is the chain of command if you just had a couple of nuclear blasts in Washington?
Will this confusion buy you a few extra minutes for a couple of Sarmats to annihilate the rest or NORAD command?
That leaves the submarines (well, the ones that were not in the now-destroyed east and west coast bases). Maybe you have six on a couple and destroy them and have the S-300/400/500 family take care of some of the nukes that will be fired eventually.
So, you have a few Russian cities destroyed but the US nuclear arsenal neutralized (and US in disarray). And btw, the Russian nuclear weapons are mostly in their place.
This is the projection. If the outcome was a destroyed Russian nuclear arsenal and Russia in disarray at the cost of few US cities, the empire will do it tomorrow. And they are terrified now that Russia can do that to them whenever it chooses.
Throw in Russian hunter-killer subs and you have a Thucydides trap. The logic is terrifying…
Yeah, that was what I was trying to say with that horrible “Maybe you have six on a couple and destroy them”
I meant, maybe you can have a few subs tracking (be on their six) some of the US ones and destroy them before they launch.
“I don’t think that the tennis ball will work. That is because the US is projecting their deepest desire into Russian capabilities and they are scared to death.
The empire leaders lust for a nuclear first strike capability. The moment they have it, they will use it. Consider their fear when they realized that the Russians managed to get it…
There is a lot of talk about the zircon missile and its long range. But look at it at close range. If you park a submarine 300 Km from Washington, a nuclear tipped zircon can reach the White House (or the Pentagon) in less than 2 minutes. Think about it. There is not even time to move the POTUS somewhere safe.
Think about it. A couple of submarines can hit DC and several US bases along the coast (East and West) before anyone can do anything about it. Consider the confusion. What is the chain of command if you just had a couple of nuclear blasts in Washington?
Will this confusion buy you a few extra minutes for a couple of Sarmats to annihilate the rest or NORAD command?”
America did have plans to nuke the Soviet Union right after World War 2.
It was only the Soviet Union getting The Bomb that caused the Americans to retreat from these plans–at least temporarily.
Today, it’s likely that America still lusts to launch a pre-emptive nuclear attack on Russia and its allies. That is why America developed its Prompt Global Strike doctrine, its anti-ballistic missile (ABM) and Aegis anti-missile systems, and why it withdrew from the Intermediate Nuclear Forces (INF) agreement.
This is what has motivated the Russians to develop a whole suite of weapons that can neuter these American designs and defang the threat of an American nuclear sneak attack.
Indeed, someday, Mr. Sarmat may pay a surprise visit on the American Fatherland itself….
From 1945-49 the US and UK planned to bomb Russia into the Stone Age
https://canadiandimension.com/articles/view/from-1945-49-the-us-and-uk-planned-to-bomb-russia-into-the-stone-age
Spot on, I believe, as always. Always enjoy listening to Gonzalos take. He makes a lot of sense. Thank you.
Just one disagreement with Gonzalo’s statements: the British Empire collapse was a far from peaceful process, it brought along WWII.
The United States just supplies guns and money. Russia’s war is with Great Britain. https://www.rt.com/russia/556833-donetsk-court-mercenaries-guilt/
Five million (?) Ukrainians have fled to the greener pastures of the West from whence they will not return once this SMO has run its course. Ok. Maybe so. But will they really find those greener pastures?
It occurs to me that the primary western target in this proxy way is not Russia, at least not in the first instance, but the European Union. They, the EU, have been disarmed by being persuaded to give their weapons to Ukraine, impoverished by imposing boomerang sanctions on Russia and socially destroyed by a decades-long influx of refugees from MENA.
Its leadership is compromised beyond repair. The best they had to offer was Merkle, a Yankee stooge from year one.
With a collapsing economy, where will these greener pastures come from? Rump Ukraine might not look that different from Rump EU once the fighting stops.
The brouhaha about Finland and Sweden joining NATO, and Norway already there, might have as much to do with the Artic Ocean as it does with the Baltic Ocean.
China is interesting. They are making friends with the Solomon Islands because that island nation sits astride China’s access to the South Pacific. This area, too, will join the Maritime Silk Road, and the U.S. will slowly have no option but to pull out of the eastern and southern Pacific.
The South China Sea is a Chinese lake, and Taiwan is Chinese in its bones. Believe it and deal with it.
(An aside: Poor Australia. I live here and we recently had a change of government. It was a perfect opportunity to 1) ask for the return of Julian Assange and 2) to accede to the legitimate request of the sovereign government of Iraq for us to leave that country. Our new PM did neither. Instead he attended a QUAD meeting in Japan and dispatched our new Foreign Minister to the South Pacific. He may do some good chipping around the edges of domestic issues, but on the world stage Australia remains a Yankee muppet.)
The fat lady is nowhere near the stage yet, let alone to start belting out the final wagnerian gotterdamerung. at least the false flags have, like the javelins, failed to produce the results expected. the end of the beginning will be when donbass, ie slavyansk is taken. then the main crunch decisions will need to be taken how to proceed. a very long way to go. gonzalo confidently predicted it would be over by the end of april. totally incorrect as events have proven. end of autumn the fog may lift.
Interesting comments, couple of points as others have stated.
– NATO in terms of credibility with respect to European NATO members is effectively over at this point, it is clear the alliance would not act against Russia credibly against if Russia struck at defense installations of Poland/Lithuania/Hungary, etc.
– United States, as Gonzalo seems to state and others in the comments, the United States can be very violent but only when it is in its favor. The Russians have called their bluff and the US military elite know the domestic situation in the US is extremely complicated, a hot war with Russia would likely break the US internally not to mention the actual possible battlefield defeats. I don’t believe the US will act militarily against Russia no matter what happens in Europe. Also the domestic(FBI) and intelligence(CIA,NSA,etc) agencies are on the move and are trying to head off of a direct confrontation no doubt this is another band of elites who would like to keep the status qou. The seizing of General John Allen’s computer by the FBI and accusations of corruption/bribery while heading the Brookings(Neocon) think thank are a warning shot against the Neocon think thanks of the Kagans and others, no doubt they are thinking hard today. Who ordered this move? All of these Neocon players like the Kagans are guilty of foreign influence peddling and some may be double agents for other countries(Israel). This is a tricky situation the Neocons are in as the actual big structures of the United States(Pentagon/CIA/FBI/Industry/etc.) do not want a hot war with Russia. Don’t be surprised if some of these Ukraine hawks like the Kagans end up being charged or their credibility stripped.
My guess the US cuts its losses and leaves the EU in a self imposed bind, Russian military/elite/population have proven they united and willing to fight for Russia where needed in Europe, this has been the biggest surprise. The US has none of those factors, the US military does not want to fight Russia in Europe, the US elite is divided in whether they want a fight, and the population sure as hell doesn’t want a fight.
Russia can take this as far as they want.
All those compromised Euro politicians, plus the few who are not, get threatened with the old AZOV treatment for deserters.
If Russia still wants more than a kissing distant 3rd cousin relationship with Europe, then the EU will have to make written guarantees on Russia’s security concerns, including zero nukes in Eastern Europe. The immediate secession of weapon deliveries to Ukraine, recognition of the new Independent Crimean/Donbass/Other States and the lifting of all previous imposed sanctions.
. . . . and we all lived happily ever after.
Turkey is key to what happens to NATO, the EU and the balance of power across the Western end of Eurasia.
It’s the largest military power in NATO behind the USA, controls the Bosphorus, has immediate access to the Middle East and Eastern Med., and is a crucial transport hub for gas coming from the gas fields to its East as well as Russia.
Its leader is a loose cannon, but Erdogan has long talked about joining the SCO (currently a Dialogue Partner). He knows well that Turkey occupies several pivotal points militarily, geo-politically, and in the energy economy and he’s playing that position well. He’s also shown himself crafty enough to hedge his bets all round and then pull the losing ones after the race has started.
As it is, Turkey has hedged a lot of bets at a lot of tables, but the race is on big time now and it’s going to soon be time for Erdogan to start pulling the losers.
Well, it finally happened.
What is “it,” you’re probably wondering? Let me tell you.
Basically, for the first time ever, a Western MSM outlet has put into words that Ukrainian troops are demoralized and losing their will to fight. That is amazing, because for three straight months, Western presstitutes and their think tanker colleagues have talked ad nauseum about alleged “Russian demoralization.”
We all know Western MSM’s job is to suppress mention of Nazi defeats, to overhype Nazi victories, to grossly exaggerate the significance of Russian defeats, and to bury as much as possible any talk of Russian victories. In other words, Western MSM is functioning as the public relations and propaganda wing of the US/NATO/Ukraine war effort.
Therefore – to me at least – it is nothing short of amazing that Western presstitutes would dare to acknowledge the flagging willpower of the Nazi troops.
Here’s the article, in case anyone wants to give it a read. The talk about Nazi demoralization is in the first few paragraphs. I didn’t read the rest of the piece, as I can see lots of Russphobic buzzwords and pro-Nazi hoopla.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-attacked-on-three-sides-ukrainians-hold-the-line-in-east
That’s a lot of propaganda to read through GW for that little crumb of information.
IMO, it’s much more than a “crumb” if info. To me, it’s evidence that something seriously bad is happening to the Nazi war machine. If Western presstitutes are compelled to admit waning Nazi willpower, that probably means the truth is far worse.
But otherwise, yes, you are correct. The article is nauseating pro-Nazi propaganda.
Fear and Loathing in Washington.
finally–200 yrs in the making. Praise God. Amen.
Gonzalo makes a really good point about USA has expensive and fragile weapons. You look at the Russians fighting in Ukraine. The old Su 24 and 25 are workhorses. The Su25 is like a little tank like the USA A-10. The US Air Force hates the A-10 because it is cheap and it works. The Su 25 is this ugly little jet that can take a beating and protect the pilot with a titanium tub. The Su 25 is ancient but does the job.
They can takeoff and land on junky runways with weeds or snow or dirt. They don’t need endless maintenance. The Russians in Syria created a way to take old bombs and make them smart bombs doing clever stuff with math, physics and a few cheap parts.
If you want pretty and fancy, then you have the amazing Su 34 fighter bomber. Beautiful plane.
The Russian helicopters like the Alligator Ka-52 plus others. If they were American or even European choppers they would need lots of maintenance. Like the Kamaz giant trucks that won the Paris to Dakar 15 times in a row from 1996 to 2018. These trucks just power through the desert, bush and sand dunes.
The Ukraine is a malicious NATO proxy state. No further elaboration needed. But I will say one thing. The overwhelming defeat, destruction, and dismemberment of the Ukraine will give the megalomaniacal NATO alliance pause. Probably permanently.
When Russia wins this terrible, costly, and (very likely) history turning war, Western intellectuals will seriously question the US/EU leadership flaws which triggered this conflict. The will, or interest, to question endless eastward NATO expansion seems to have been missing among US/EU intelligentsia since 1991.
Meanwhile, Severodonetsk is about to fall and Russia is marching on Bakhmut!.
A rump Ukrainian state controlled by a Russia installed military dictatorship is going to be like Kurdistan in the middle east. An erstwhile nation state with its distinct ethnic identity that remains defiant of its political master. This is just kicking the can for peace in the region. Sooner or later, some trouble maker from the Western world is going to organize and finance overseas Ukrainian diaspora to come back to their relatives in the rump Ukraine and start a movement similar to the Kurdistan resistance. The only way out, following Gonzalo’s argument to its logical end, would be for the empire to be tricked into killing itself perhaps by a rash reaction to Russia’s victory.
In terms of all the much-touted US M777 and M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket System game-changing weaponry, who knows, this might be devastatingly worse:
Ukraine to ban ‘War and Peace’
https://www.rt.com/russia/556772-ukraine-ban-tolstoy-book/
In our present times, the European goblins are hanging in there, on the hope that they will be able to seize the Russian treasure chests, in the European dream, held for centuries.
The Europeans may even be willing to endure a couple of extra cold winters, warmed by the belief that they will soon be in Moscow, drinking champagne.
Russia needs to shake them back into reality!
A sign of the defusing will happen when all nuclear weapons must be returned to their host countries. There must be none, hidden on any of the goblin territories, around the world. And that includes Australia which has now accepted NASA firing missiles in the Northern Territory. This is one small step away from Australia hosting US missiles in Australia, and no doubt some will be nuclear. ‘We boil the Australian frogs, one degree at a time!’
The rest of the Asian countries, it seems, have already told the US to pound sand, regarding the hosting of missiles (apart from those countries already inside ‘The Club’).
G’day Ric G,
Rest assured Ric, Australian frogs will not get boiled. The goose of all Oz governments has been cooked.
Horrifying yet strangely reassuring.
On the weekend I shall go out and enjoy a large juicy stake, salad and fry’s. The cardiac diet can have the weekend off.
When the dollar collapses so does the military/banksters and wokey freaks. Basically it ain’t over until the cash registers stop ring state side.
How does the RF stop what’s left of the USA’s Ukraine firing on the Donbas, or wherever, unless it takes the whole country back. Firing from Poland, say, is whole other thing
What make you think that Russia is under any obligation to negotiate with Zelensky?
It has been my observation that the seeds for the collapse of the USA hegemony began right about the same time as the USSR collapsed. It was around this time that US policy and the US CONgress {bought by Wall Street} did three things: 1. Sponsored China into the WTO. At the time, China’s economy was little better than any other third world country. Wall Street brokers and firms got regulatory agencies to relax rules which allowed direct US investment into China, and allowed the offshoring of US business entities and technology into China. The China we know today could have never existed without this, at least so quickly a transformation. 2. Passed NAFTA which further decimated the US manufacturing sector and quietly allowed mass illegal immigration into the US as a de facto unofficial policy, causing great economic stress to much of the US. Just look at the “Great Rust Belt” region for proof. It is a hollowed out shell of it’s former self. From Wisconsin to Buffalo-Rochester New York, down to Indiana and Ohio is an economic wasteland, propped up with free and easy credit. Bankruptcy laws were relaxed so that those who were ruined could quickly get back into the credit game and keep the ball rolling. 3. The US credit system is the life’s blood of it’s economy. It is based on the fact that each year, more credit, or debt is a better word, must be created than the year before it or the whole system collapses. The US economy has been in this negative feedback loop since 2008. Look at the hockey stick image of us debt creation since late 2001 {9-11 kicked it all off} on any chart. eighty percent off all dollars EVER created in the history of the US has just been printed/digitized in the last two to three years. This is not sustainable, even in the short term. This is a harbinger for collapse, and I suspect it will happen sooner than most realize. Covid is the cover for it. Prepare accordingly. Two things to watch carefully: The spread on the ten year US Treasury bond and diesel fuel inventories. When the former goes north while the latter goes south, you will know the collapse is at the door.
I like your idea of the Russians just being so boring that NATO loses interest and goes elsewhere.
And don’t we see that right now?
Everyone is getting bored with the progress of the special military operation in the Ukraine! We’re all wanting to know what is happening and when it will end. And we’re getting very little information about that.
Forget the crazy imaginings of the west trying to keep up some interest to egg on everybody into hating the Russians and wanting to destroy Russia. They’re not important. What is important is what Russia is thinking and doing.
And what we are seeing is a boring campaign of slowly grinding away the opposition and the establishment of a new order in liberated territories.
It’s driving Paul Craig Robert’s mad! Have you read his statements saying that Russia should have done the same as the west would have done? Complete quick destruction of Ukraine?
But I think he is thinking too much along the lines of how the west thinks and just does not understand how the Russians think and act.
And perhaps not many of us do either. Russia wants peace and friendship. They don’t want to kill people. Forced into this special operation they are still doing everything in their power to bring this about. Victory for Russia will be a peaceful friendship with the east and south of Ukraine. And anyone else who will join them in this. Not just winning a war by destroying everything.
The American leadership needs to go into an induced coma until all their chaos is over and they are no longer…
New North–South International Transport Corridor: St. Petersburg – Moscow – Ryazan – Kochetkovka – Saratov – Bolgograd – Astrachan – Aktay or Baku – Teheran – Isfachan – Bender-Abbas – Mumbai.
This is a route from St. Petersburg to India via the Caspian Sea by various means of transport – auto, railway, sea. At the Caspian Sea, cargo can go through Kazakhstan (Baku) and Azerbaijan (Aktay) by sea or coast.
Excellent analysis by Gonzalo. Thanks!
Will be great when Kharkiv is liberated, then Gonzalo can go get his Russian passport, Mir Card, and speak more freely and shake hands with Russian troops thumbing up his efforts (faces covered with their balaclavas obviously).
Looking forward to that video.
Thanks, Gonzalo! What if the entire thing is staged by global communist elite for Russia and China to invade and destroy the US, so they can “build back better” NWO…although they are having difficulty getting so countries to sign the WHO pandemic treaty.
This summer in the northern hemisphere feels like it’s going to be very hot…punn intended…with so many threats of taking out NATO’s decision centres.
With collapsing economies in the US, UK, EU, China, Japan, etc. it feels like the only options is start wars as Gerald celente says…when all else fails they take us to war.
Also, first trade wars, then currency to wars, then regional wars, and finally, world war.
God Almighty save the good, honest, hardworking, generous, loving, merciful people, and destroy the satanic elite, Amen
The global elite are really not communists. In fact ,they are the complete opposite and its staggering that any one compares them with communists.
The NWO agenda is about taking down
1. USA
2. Russia / China
So a war USA – Russia / China is perfect.
NWO = a communist world
…Sir …they are Trotskyists……godless ,warmongers,globalists,russophobe..after all western banksters help them to overthrow Tsar ….
Si parla costantemente e insistentemente delle sanzioni occidentali verso la Russia, e per un ignorante come me è inconcepibile,
Incredibile perché dovrebbe essere la Russia che impone sanzioni verso paesi ostili, è o non è il più grande emporio di materie prime? È o non è il più grande produttore agroalimentare?
Invece che stare a piagnucolare i russi comincino a chiudere i rubinetti dell’energia, gas petrolio uranio e metalli,
Nel giro di 15 giorni non sentiremmo più parlare di ucraina e ne di zelenski,
Ci sarebbe la corsa verso il Cremlino ad inginocchiarsi davanti a putin
Pertanto ritengo che gli occidentali siano stupidi ma anche i russi in quanto a stupidità non sono da meno,
Russia can not do much after Russia wins. %90 of the world’s countries hate Russia and that hatred isn’t going away anytime soon.
There are 60,000 Russian businessmen who fled Russia and moved to Armenia, a country where no one wants to move to. This is how bad things are for Russians. And this is just the beginning. Gonzalo Lira and other commentators and bloggers who don’t have families to feed or those who live outside Russia can say all they want to say. Armchair analysts. But the average Russian who has family to feed and is going thru turmoils is feeling sick in his stomache. The other say Lavrov’s plane wasn’t given overflight permissions by Bulgaria and Romania and others to reach Serbia, and Russians started crying foul. Maybe they are slowly realizing how restricted they are and this isn’t going away anytime soon. People don’t have any illusions that Russia is going to have massive shortages of modern electronic equipments and parts and is going to resemble more like Cuba.
Gonna be a bit of a shock when you wake up.
Cheers M
ArmoDude… dude are you from glorious Kyiv ???? tell us where it hurt…
@ArmoDude: “People don’t have any illusions that Russia is going to have massive shortages of modern electronic equipments and parts and is going to resemble more like Cuba.”
Partly maybe true but we are not living in 1970-1985 world. The industrial chain is mostly moved to Asia. This huge change is too often ignored because people live in past.
From Ramzan Kadyrov’s Telegram post
—————————————————- (machine translation)
Why in europeans are afraid to touch the great patriotic war?
all because they all fighted against us.
everyone should know this!
The facts of history testify that in 1941 not only Germany attacked the USSR. The rest of Europe also attacked, with the exception of the Serbs and Greeks.
They went against the USSR –
Spanish divisions and French legions, armies of Italy, Romania, Hungary, Finland, parts of Czechoslovakia, Croatia, etc.
So, the Brest Fortress was stormed by Austrians, and Sevastopol – Romanians and Italians.
Even Albania sent the SS Skanderbey division to fight in the USSR.
Romanians, Hungarians, Croats, Slovaks were eager to pinch off a piece of the USSR.
Almost every second driver in Guderian’s tanks was Czech. And all of them did atrocities more abruptly than the Germans. Hungarian punishers were not taken prisoner the Soviet soldiers.
Just like in the Civil War, when they already turned out to be monsters.
Under Leningrad and Rzhev committed atrocities; Dutch SS division “Nord Land”. Italians, Spaniards, sixty thousands of French volunteers from the SS division “Charlemagne” and security and punitive detachments, the Swiss, the Flemings,
Walloons…
Denmark and Spain sent their soldiers even without a formal declaration of war Soviet Union!
In other words, at the time of the attack, constantly replenishing the “loss”, there were about a million soldiers in Hitler’s army countries – allies of Nazi Germany, members of today’s NATO.
This is without accounting for “mishandled Cossacks” or Khiva. Remains a historical fact In 1943, the numerical superiority in manpower on the Soviet-German front was constantly on the side of the states of the fascist bloc!
Together they fought against the USSR entirely formed from traitors, and more precisely from the traitors to the Motherland – the Lithuanian, Latvian and Estonian divisions SS, SS division “Galicia”, Georgian, Turkestan legions, etc.,
in total more than 400 thousand collaborators, of which Ukrainian Khiv were 250 thousand. They were not considered prisoners of war, after being caught submitted to a military tribunal.
The national composition of prisoners of war in the USSR between 1941 and 1945 was:
Germans – 2,389,560 people,
Japanese – 639 635,
Hungarians – 513 767,
Romanians – 187 370,
Austrians – 156 682,
Czechs and Slovaks – 129,977,
Poles – 60 260,
Italians – 48 957,WHY IN EUROPEANS ARE AFRAID TO TOUCH THE GREAT PATRIOTIC WAR?
ALL BECAUSE THEY ALL FIGHTED AGAINST US.
EVERYONE SHOULD KNOW THIS!
French – 23,136,
Dutch – 14 729,
Finns – 2,377, Belgians – 2,010,
Luxembourgers – 1,652,
Danes – 457,
Spaniards – 452,
Norwegians – 101,
Swedes – 72.
At the end of World War II, up to one and a half million Europeans had been in Russian captivity (excluding Germans).
This is why, we celebrate victory day may 9!
Note to commentator … please read moderation policy regarding use of caps … mod
1. Germans – 2,389,560 people,
2. Russians – 500,000+
(they were returned from West ..)
please read the moderation policy on use of caps … all cap comment removed … mod
I think you’re going to be wrong on a few points, never underestimate the EU stupidity. Yesterday the EU parliament voted to accept Ukraines EU bid. It’s symbolic but they still voted yes for accepting Ukraines application. Of course this is ridiculous, we know that there will be no Ukraine left. The conquered territories are never going back to Ukraine. As I wrote before, Ukraine has to surrender or fight till the last soldier. After that Russia can take what it wants, install a puppet government with new constitution that rules over what’s left of Ukraine. From my info Russia has 60% of the GDP in hands. Even then, what’s left is a poor country.
Leftover Ukraine might join the EU. Or atleast will get a lot of money for rebuilding in change for reforms to the western model. That’s what they always do. Give money and demand reforms to westernize you country. Of course they say yes to fre money, the elite gets rich, the ordinary people usually get less than they already had.
While the USA is a declining super power, the EU is a bankrupt experiment. We in west-europe are already paying for the southern countries, then the eastern countries, and now Ukraine? They don’t see to anti-EU feelings that are growing. The EU is bankrupt and still they are talking about fitfor55, green deal, repowereu,… while people struggling paying energye bills. Yesterday they also decide to ban ICE cars. The UE will destrooy itself. The rich countries citizens are done paying for the poor countries, and when they stop then the poor countries will stop listening to woke policies (Polen, Hungary are already turning against the EU meddling).
I don’t think the EU will realize they can’t live without Russia. The reaction to Russia agression was unseen in history. The EU but also western companies, federations, turned against Russia. For me these are legit targets for Russia, if a CEO, politicians,… tries to harm Russia and citizens, Russia may response. If CEO companies slamming the door in Russia face, don’t be surprised if Russia slams the door back and you fall out off window. I’m not that soft when it’s war.
The EU reaction is the one of no way back. Immediatly they took action to cut all ties with Russia. Even taken unlegal actions against Russian citizens and familiy. (I would go after EU politicians and their family). Baning Russia media. The EU has gone completely mad, out of their right and power. The EU is not different from a dictatorship.
They decide to stop with all Russian oil, and later gas too. They are already signing long term contracts with other vendors for energy. They have zero understanding of the technical problems to import oil and gas from other sources. There’s no guarantee that their is enough from other vendors. It’s literly blowing up the gas pipeline and then hoping for the best. Even Russia needs time to reoriant their market to other countries. When if all falls apart in the EU I don’t think they can go back to Russia. WHy would Russia supply gas and oil? Again, the EU is bankrupt, citizens can’t aforrd basic goods anymore, at the same time they are building a climate neutral economy that no one can afford, Russia has to do nothing to defeat the EU. And if Russia can sink a few LNG tankers for Europe… it’ war afterall. The EU is suicidal. The USA is declining. Doing nothign might be the best solution.
Oh, they do. That’s the funny part.
See also: https://web.archive.org/web/20220518203954/www.aljazeera.com/economy/2022/5/17/european-energy-giants-set-to-keep-buying-russian-gas
Why? It’s petty. «If the enemy kills puppies, you do not kill puppies too, just to show you are his equal and have have no less right to kill puppies.» Swiftly deport any who makes trouble, sure…
On a purely speculative level, there are some hilarious moves possible.
For example, run the droll “Nazi Nazi Nazi” thing one step further: denounce the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact and agree that former territories of Poland (then USSR, then Ukraine) should go back. Anyone will object to this? Certainly not Germany. 😆
Or at least offer to make those a “special economical zone” for now and let the Poles play if they close the border on their other side.
Practically, it’s unlikely — the Kremlins seem to still sacrifice paper money to the ghost of USSR, or something.
The dying animal. This analogy has often been applied to the dying US Empire. I saw this phenomenon appear when US foreign policy began applying sanctions on any country that it was afraid to bomb such as Iran. The fervent belief the US dollar would still be used in the payments of oil by the threat of regime change or military action kept the USD in circulation and financed the US trade deficit and free economic growth. At the expense of every country forced to use the US dollar in trade or to repay debt.
No country dared sell oil for anything but the USD until Russia helped defeat the US in Syria. China also started using it’s currency to settle oil trades. The US is now powerless to stem the tide of trade in anything but USD: gold, Yuan, Rubles, will do nicely thank you!
Hence the proxy war with Russia, as the US is clearly on the point of death by any measure; politically, socially, morally, economically, financially and spiritually. Anyone who doubts this is delusional or too US-centric to realise, like the frog in boiling water, or captured by hopium dreams of American “exceptionlism” or one of the few who benefit by maintaining the “rules based order,” like the elite class in politics and heading US banks and the Federal reserve.
Anyone who has spent time working in a slaughterhouse or with a variety of farm animals will know the pain and thrashing in death as the beast, fowl or lamb has it’s throat cut, and the realisation is instantaneous that there’s only seconds left to live. The involuntary body movements can do serious harm to the executioner who must remain vigilant as the knife is withdrawn and the animal, now mortally wounded, gushes blood, and cries out with it’s last breath. This is the US Empire now. Dangerous with nothing to lose as it is dying.
Gonzalo suggest a “distraction” to take America’s attention away from Ukraine and Russia in case any escalation in the proxy war between the US and Russia leads to mutually assured destruction. However unlikely, this is always a probability — especially now, as the stakes have never been higher.
China is waiting in the wings to provide this distraction. To trigger an instant pivot away from Russia in Ukraine all China needs to do is invade Taiwan. The US will do nothing militarily but go all out to sanction China.
China will dump those US treasuries it still has, the USD will plummet on the FOREX markets, and simultaneously China declares its total gold reserves of 22,000 metric tonnes in official reserves. Not to mention the 20,000 tonnes owned by Chinese citizens who have been encouraged to buy gold for decades.
This complete and immediate destruction of the USD literally overnight, and imploding the entire already teetering USD denominated bond market, is the “nuclear” option left to China.
This is the only way to bring about the instant paralysis of the US financial and banking system in the event the dying US economy and internal politics do not turn Washington’s attention away from Russia soon enough.
With China’s energy partnership with Russia and the Belt and Road Initiative, other Eurasian countries onboard with economic cooperation, and the stockpiling of huge food and grain reserves throughout 2021, China can withstand any blowback from the immediate aftermath of a US financial meltdown. As can Russia, as she has shown in recent months, her self sufficiency has reached a point through necessity where exports of surpluses are now the norm, to the benefit of her central bank’s coffers, and the high standard living enjoyed by the Russian people.
It’s China’s move. The Great Game continues.
America is hated and more and more the hatred is growing. Jews who control the west are arrogant. Tney have the deep seated belief they are the chosen ones and tbat they even were able to murder Christ, but they’re incompent as well becuase all they believe about themselves is a lie. Christ allowed so the will of God His father be fulfilled and its believers today who are the chosen ones of God.
America is mystery babylon in revelations. America is the whore, the filthy harlot corrupting the world. The only question is how will mystery babylon be destroyed as it’s written?
It may be the Egyptian Jews were related to the Egyptian gods in same way. But todays Israelis are not biblical Jews.
Jacob Rothschild
– Rothschild was educated at Eton College and then at Christ Church, Oxford, where he gained a First in history, tutored by Hugh Trevor-Roper.[5] Emma Georgina Rothschild and Amschel Rothschild are his half-siblings.
Has Gonzalo been reading his John Glubb? It has been clear for some time that the U.S. is in the final phase of empire that Glubb laid out very exactly. The best we can hope for is a fairly peaceable break up.
Europe is now cheap LNG prostite owned by US Pimp. I don’t blame USA. They take care of their self interest. But big laugh to EU.
Rocket science, the US will continue to buy Russian gas and oil, they never sanction themselves.
The ‘science’ ; the oil and gas bought from Russia will be rebranded and repackaged, with a markup of equal to, or greater than, the cream the US Crime Family Syndicate skimmed off Burisma. Then it will make its way to the EU poodles.
Cheers M
The Russians with their unique sense of humor will install Zelinskyy as the “President of Rump Ukraine” The Russians will explain to Zlenskyy to act like a good president of Ukraine or else. Zelinskyy will be dressed in a Field Marshalls uniform and his cabinet will be composed of ex-azov mercenaries on puberty blockers in party rainbow cammo uniforms. All the trannies and others of that nature will be in the Rump Ukraine Parliament and they will all obey the Kremlin because they will all be condemed to death sentances and to avoid the carrying out of the sentence they will do as they are told. Russia will have the “President of Rump Ukraine” broadcast 24/7 live to the entire world. Russians and the World will then be able to query, “How do you like it in the Rump, Zelinskyy?”
100 per agree. Igor Kołomoysky citizen of Izrael is smiling.
Russia wins – Ukraine – what exactly does that mean for any sane person in Europe? Another re-run of fascism totalitarian rule courtesy of Mr Putin’s Russia whatever that is as in that demented, individual’s mind, Russia includes all of Eastern Europe, Finland, Sweden according to Putin. Another fool in the bunker, imagining wonder weapons is dear Putin!
My God this man (Gonzalo Lira) must think all of us Europeans are idiots, who will simply yield to Putin’s world! Or perhaps we are completely defenceless and wholly incapable of countering the artillery scorched earth Russian army. Give us a break!
Putin is a colonial misfit wrapped up in a haze of delusion, rambling on about Nazis one minute and NATO “aggression” the other, the next about invading here there and everywhere – with what? An army – he does not have one, just some hoods with guns. Look in the mirror as the Finish leader recently said to Putin – wonder why?
The United States is collapsing? Where is your evidence of this development? Because they get out of Afghanistan, a place no-one in their right mind should go into in the first place – Ask Russia, they know a little about that quagmire.
Or is it because Trump lost so America can never be great again? America is and will always be more than one man who had his day and lost.
So what will collapse America or the rest of us here in Europe for that matter? A rising China, is this what will collapse America? What happens if the US decides to draw back it’s manufacturing base from China? China expands selling what to where?
Europe is going off autocratic states in fast order these days, suspect the US is too and about time.
Funny really the author seems to think Putin’s “victory” is a fait acompli – Stalin though that too took ten years after WW2 for Ukraine to quit fighting the Red Army – the same Red Army 4.5 million Ukrainians died fighting for during that war.
Putin and his Nazi baloney today is an insult to Europeans – should be to most Americans too if they care one iota for their fallen or understand the appreciation people in Europe have for the soldiers who paid in that generation!
The author seems to hint we would be better off in a new world order with China (another totalitarian state that recently ran a one candidate election in Hong Kong!) – can I ask whether the author of the video is simply deluded or smoking something?
America going mad a dying empire – what empire never know America had or wanted one? For all it’s faults – America (any every nation has them) it’s a damn sight better than the alternative of a Russian – sorry Putin victory as most Russian are normal folk like the rest of us.
New world order – China and Russia leading the world – with the current government’s they have! Are you actually seriously wanting this for Americans – never mind Europeans to bow down to this baloney – not likely, not ever young man.
Perhaps a final thought – the rest of Europe will never turn it’s back on the people of Ukraine (never confuse debate with division) unless you are in Putin’s state Duma where a different point of view leads to the Gulag or a Moscow special (Tea).
The pressure to win is on Putin, not Ukraine as they have a long history of living under the many despots like Putin who have mis-ruled Russia for centuries. Ukraine (just like the rest of the countries of Eastern Europe) no longer wants Putin’s world – if the author of this video had any sense – neither would he.
That man Putin is a clown with guns, a disgrace to the modern Russia we hoped could develop post 1991 that Putin has thrown back to the Stone Age with his lunacy. No-one in Europe will ever bow down to that jackass, possessed of the common sense of a newt!
America in the meantime will do just fine and we encourage all Americans to work with countries that share democratic values. As for the Empire – never knew America had one, nor wanted one either despite Mr Bush and his half-baked foreign policy.
As for Russia – no problem – Putin big problem!
They (Russian leadership) always knew it was US… with Milley off the reservation NATO is pushing this war.
Ukraine, when leaving the USSR in 1991 , did not return Russian highly industrial lands to Russia, which it used while being part of the USSR. This is a huge area. Before joining the USSR in 1922 Ukraine was three small, impoverished, exclusively agrarian regions. These three regions make up only 1/3 modern Ukraine, the rest 2/3 is the land of the Russian empire. With what she came to the USSR, she must leave with that.
Gonzalo Lira is a mindful world citizen, and his analysis about “Ukrainian war” is just brilliant.
One note: The Soviet Union collapse as unique political federation did not erase its splendid cultural, scientific and technological achievements and Russia is, actually, its successor and recipient. The USA implosion is starting and it is sad. i am speaking about the fatherland of Lincoln, John Reed, Franklin Roosevelt, John Kennedy…
Thank you, Gonzalo, for your courage and lucidness.