By Francis Lee for the Saker Blog
PART 1
It might be a good idea to start with some theoretical clarifications. Firstly, nationalism should not be confused with national sovereignty. Nations which are effectively ruled by outside agents – from Greece to Honduras – are not sovereign; they are colonies or vassals of some larger agency. And since they are not sovereign, the cannot be democratic, since decision making, and policies have been abrogated to an external ruling power. Secondly, nationalism: the term which in general is generally regarded as the all-weather bête noire by the orthodox left, can be and often is aggressive, racist, imperialistic, and so forth. But this is only half the story and there are ample reasons to believe that this view is both simplistic and narrowly focussed; ‘nationalism’ can be either a reactionary or a radical/progressive force, depending on the local and political circumstances. This is simply an historical fact. The latter phenomenon is particularly true of those nations which struggled under the yoke of imperialism – from Vietnam to Algeria both ex-French colonies – and who actively engaged in national repeat, national, liberation struggles involving a broad coalition of political forces
However, according to the conventional wisdom of the hyper-globalists both nation states and the whole concept of national sovereignty are now defunct. Their reasoning is based upon the following premises. 1.Most products have developed a very complex geography – with parts made in different countries and then assembled somewhere else – in which case labels of origin begin to lose their meaning. 2. Markets when left unfettered will arrive at optimal price, allocative, and productive efficiency. 3.This means that capital, commodities and labour should be free to move around the globe without let or hindrance to achieve these goals. 4. Any barriers to this process – capital controls, trade unions, exchange rate controls, welfare expenditures, minimum wage legislation, wages and even public goods – will result in price and allocative distortions. Q.E.D.
Such globalization has come to be seen and defined by its proponents as the ‘natural order’, almost a force of nature; an inevitable and inexorable process of increasing geographical spread and increasing functional integration between economic activities. This current orthodoxy goes by various other names, Washington consensus, market liberalisation, neo-liberalism and so on and so forth. In fact, there is nothing ‘natural’ about this stage of historical development, since the whole phenomenon has been politically driven from the outset. (Of which more later).
It is important to note, however, the difference between contemporary imperialism in its present stage – i.e., globalization – and the classical imperialism of pre-1914 vintage that Hobson, Lenin, Bukharin and Rosa Luxemburg were writing about. Classical imperialism was characterised by a shallow integration manifested in arms-length trade in goods and services through independent firms and international movement of portfolio capital and relatively simple direct investment. Note also that the British state granted Charters to investment entities such as the East India Company and the British South Africa Chartered Company to ‘develop’ (exploit) these colonial possessions. Thus, even at this early stage the British state actively intervened to facilitate and open up markets for British capital in India and Africa. This was the liberal epoch trade of the 19th century. Full-on globalization did not develop, however, due to inter-imperialist rivalries and mercantilist policies being carried out by the competing imperial powers (which eventuated in WW1). The opening up and liberalization of markets – which did not at that time occur – was and still is the conditio sine qua non for the development of full-blown globalization, which even today is nowhere near total.
This generalised retreat from a classical liberal colonialism began with the First World War and lasted until the early 1970s. This statist phase of the global economy was universalized in the west after the aftermath of WW2 in the form of social-democracy and the welfare state. Suffice it to say that this period is long gone having been systematically deconstructed by the present neo-liberal counter-revolution which began circa 1979. The neoliberal phase really got going in the 1980s. This was the time of the Washington Consensus a set of ideological prescriptions based upon archaic Ricardian trade theory (comparative advantage) to be followed to the letter and by all and sundry. It was argued that this would result in an economic nirvana attendant on the removal of distortions to the market mechanism brought about by welfare capitalism. To repeat: the tripod on which neoliberalism is based consists of 1. The free-movement of labour and ‘flexible’ labour markets, 2. the free movement of capital and commodities which in essence means the loss of control of monetary policy, exchange rate policy and capital controls. The neo-liberal regimen also involves 3. downward harmonisation of wages and working conditions, involving fixed term contracts, zero-hour contracts, the weakening or in the case of the United States, the virtual elimination of trade unions, stagnant wages, structural unemployment, which in turn leads to increased indebtedness which benefits the rentier class, and ongoing and deepening structural inequality. This is sometimes called austerity, but this is putting the horse before the cart. Austerity is the effect not the cause of liberalised financial, labour and commodity markets.
The present stage of neo-liberal imperialism differs from the classical stage insofar as we currently live in a world of deep integration organized primarily within and between geographical and complex global production networks as well as other mechanisms. Moreover, a new factor became apparent in this Brave New World – financialization. There has been a massive increase in both the size and scope of financial markets, with money moving electronically around the world at unprecedented speeds, generating enormous repercussions and instability. The system of unlimited fiat currencies mainly used for purely speculative purposes is resulting in ongoing asset price bubbles particularly in stocks, bonds and property, as well as other financial instruments, e.g. derivatives.
To wit:
- The surge of bank loans to Mexico in the 1970s – Th tequila crisis.
- The bubble in stocks and Real Estate in Japan – 1985-89
- The 1985-89 bubble in stocks and property in Norway, Finland and Sweden
- The bubble in real estate, stocks and currencies in East Asia in 1992-97
- The bubble in over the counter (OTC) stocks in the US, including hi-tech start-ups
- The 2002-2008. The property bubble in the US, UK, Spain, Ireland, Iceland and Greek sovereign debt. (Manias, Panics and Crashes – Kindleberger and Aliber – 2011)
Additionally, the global institutions, which emerged from the Bretton Woods Conference of 1944, the IMF, GATT/WTO, World Bank, and increasingly central banks around the world, play a crucial role of the construction of trade policies, co-ordination, guidance, as well as providing and enforcing legal statutes designed to keep the globalist ship afloat. But it should be understood that these institutions are highly politicised and ideologically driven and not disinterested arbiters of the common weal. This is amply illustrated by the recurring breakdowns in the various rounds of trade liberalization talks conducted by the WTO when what are perceived by the developing world (with some justification) as being unfair trade agreements foisted on the them by the more affluent and controlling developed states nations who control voting procedures. In passing, it should also be noted that the EU represents a regionalised version of these global institutional structures, the ECB, EC, Council of Ministers, Eurozone Finance Ministers, European Round Table of Industrialists and so forth. Moreover, there exists a revolving door – in career terms – between state institutions and private corporations. N.B. the ease of which big-time globalist financial honchos such as Henry (Hank) Paulson, Steve Mnuchin and Mario Draghi glide effortlessly between the leading US investment bank, Goldman Sachs, and the US Treasury Department and ECB.
Power to shape/control this system is concentrated in the hands of states and/or the newly emergent Transnational Corporations (TNCs). Of course, there is not going to be a simple answer to this as the relationship between these two pillars of modern imperialism is both fractious and permanently mutating. The received wisdom, as put forward by the various spokespersons for globalization, ranging from the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) OECD, and IMF, to the globalist house journals – Financial Times, The Economist and Wall Street Journal – of the global Transnational Uberklasse is predictable enough. Namely that the state is always in a subservient position vis-à-vis the dominant TNCs.
This perhaps would qualify as a procrustean effort to make the facts fit the theory. Contrary to the image of the all-powerful TNC demanding fealty and obedience from prostrate states, the relationship is somewhat more symmetrical; corporations and states are always to a certain degree joined at the hip.
‘’ … they are both competitive and competing, both supportive and conflictual. They operate in a fully dialectical relationship, locked into unified but contradictory roles and positions, neither one nor the other partner completely able to dominate.’’ (Picciotto, S. 1991 The Internationalisation of the State – Capital and Class 43.43-63)
The widespread notion that a TNC can simply up sticks and move lock, stock and barrel to a more compatible venue if its home base no longer suits it purposes is fanciful in the extreme. All TNCs have home bases, national HQs. Here is where global strategy is determined; here is where top-end R&D is carried out; here is where design and marketing strategies take place; here is where the domestic market is situated and where long-term domestic suppliers are located; here is where overseas operations are conceived planned and carried through; here is where AGMs of the Corporations takes place with published accounts circulated to all shareholders; here is where the local workforce, at all levels, is recruited; here is where the political bureaucracy and the above mentioned institutions are situated and amenable to lobbying. Picking an obvious example, the US defence industries, Raytheon, Lockheed-Martin, Northrop-Grumman are all based domestically and are not going to move out anytime soon.
It is unquestionably true that TNCs and states often have divergent goals: TNCs’ primary function is to maximise profits and enhance shareholder value, whereas the economic role of the state should be to maximise the economic welfare of its society. But although this conflictual relationship exists, states and TNCs need and lean on each other in a variety of ways. States might wish that TNCs are bound by allegiance to national borders – and in many ways they are (see above) – but total allegiance is not an option in a liberal capitalist economy. Indeed, it would be true to say that some states regard TNC (activities) as being complementary to their foreign policy. Here economic issues merge with geopolitical imperatives. For example:
‘’American political leaders have believed that the national interest has also been served by the foreign expansion of US corporations in manufacturing and services. FDI has been considered a major instrument through which the US could maintain its relative position in world markets, and the overseas expansion of TNCs has been regarded as a means to maintain America’s dominant world position.’’ (Gilpin, R. 1987 – The Political Economy of International Relations.)
On the other hand. Businesses, Corporations, TNCs, have always needed the state to provide the necessary infrastructure without which their operations would not be possible. This infrastructure includes what are sometimes called ‘public goods’ the built environment of roads, railways, airports, ports, canals, health services, education at all levels, a legal system, a centralised government with the power to tax and spend, as well as control monetary policy by a central bank, various procurement policies – in the US particularly involving the Military Industrial Complex – publicly funded research, which played an absolutely vital role in the development of the internet and Silicon Valley. In addition, there have been a range of cultural and political goods – the media for example – some of which were provided by the state, the BBC and public service broadcasting, and some by the market, newspapers and commercial television, albeit privately subsidised.
In short, the relationship between TNCs and states is complex and symmetrical and does not conform to the simplistic ‘Me Tarzan, you Jane’ globalist trope. In fact, the relationship has betimes been the other way around. During the post-war period both Japan and South Korea were at pains to block Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) from overseas TNCs entering their economies, principally by operationalising import controls. This notwithstanding the fact that both countries were export orientated. The reasoning behind this policy was that the type nation-building mercantilism being which has been and is still the only way out of under-development could not work in an open liberalised economy. Similarly, Chinese development included inward FDI by overseas Corporations, BUT this time around the state-TNC roles were reversed. Automobile firms wished to invest in China for the simple reason of access to the world’s largest growing market which served as a powerful incentive for these firms to enter. But the Chinese government, consistent with its state-capitalist, mercantilist policies had complete control over such entry and adopted a policy of limited access to foreign firms. It is customary to imagine that TNCs always have the upper hand in the bargaining process, but this time it was different. Auto TNCs whose experience had conditioned them to play off states against each other, were subjected to the humbling experience of China who – given its control of FDI entry – was able to play off one TNC against another.
In fact, the East Asian development model – which for want of a better label I will call, state-capitalist mercantilism – has been successful in enabling states such as China, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, and possibly Thailand, and Malaysia to claw their way out of the trap of underdevelopment. This nation-building developmental strategy was first outlined by the German economist Freidrich List. The policy advocated imposing tariffs on imported goods while supporting free trade of domestic goods and stated the cost of a tariff should be seen as an investment in a nation’s future productivity – worked and was operationalised in the 19th century by both Germany and the United States, with a view to breaking British industrial and trade hegemony, which it did. As for free-trade, that was a policy strictly for the losers who to this day stay under-developed. It is also worth adding that the East Asian development bloc did not seek permission from the imperialist behemoth to carve out their own place in the sun.
We can say, therefore, that ultimately the negotiating relationship and outcomes between states and TNCs will depend on the relative bargaining strength in any specific instance. It is argued that if nation states are capable of so much why does the record show that they have achieved so little.
Well, South Korea was about equal to Tanzania in terms of all the economic, social and cultural indictors in the 1950s when it was just recovering from the Korean war.
South Korea is now one of the developing world’s long-term success stories. The country is now classified by the World Bank as a high-income economy, with PPP income exceeding $29,000.00 in 2010. Korean consumer electronics and other goods – auto-vehicles, Kia and Hyundai – have become synonymous with high quality and low price. Even more impressive is Korea’s achievements in social development, in education, and health. Life expectancy is now over 75 and the country’s HDI was placed 26th in 2004. As was the case in Japan inward investment was discouraged in favour of an infant protection industry and export led growth. Exports in such sectors as consumer electronics and auto-vehicles, and more recently in high technology have grown at an extraordinary rate. One very important reason for this has been a national strategy that has favoured the promotion of increasingly sophisticated exports and technology. Strong financial incentives for industrial firms to move up the value chain of skills and technology were built into most of the government’s policies. These policies included:
1. Currency Undervaluation: The effective exchange rate favoured cheaper exports and more expensive imports – an overt mercantilist approach
2. Preferential access to imported intermediate inputs needed to produce export goods
3. Targeted infant industry protection as a first stage before launching an export drive.
4. Tariff exemption on imports of capital goods needed in exporting activities
5. Tax breaks for domestic suppliers of inputs to exporting firms, which constitutes a domestic content incentive
6. Domestic indirect tax exemptions for successful exporters.
7. Lower direct taxation on incomes gained from exports.
8. The creation of public enterprises to lead the way in establishing a new industry.
9. The setting of export targets for firms.
(Todaro and Smith – Economic Development – 2009)
These policies were, of course, and still are, the exact opposite of the Ricardian free-trade comparative advantage model and are an anathema to any orthodox economists.
Herewith a development comparison Tanzania/South Korea.
Tanzania:
GDP, US$47,652 – GDP per capitaUS$857 – Education Expenditure US$1678.9, Govt Health Expenditure per capita US$24
South Korea:
GDP = US$1,411,042 – GDP per capitaUS$27,535 – Education Expenditure US$ 289,283.4 -Govt. Health Expenditure per capita US$159. (countryeconomy.com)
I think this is enough and don’t wish to labour the point, the gap is self-evidently enormous. But now the subsidiary question arises: what explains the divergent paths of development for two countries starting at the same point?
Well, according to the conventional wisdom ‘‘the incidence of wealth is only weakly related to the way in which the sovereign power of the state is exercised and is much more closely aligned to the ways in which states are aligned with the circuits of global capitalism.’’ Wrong! Political agency has everything to do with economic and social development, ‘‘and the way in which the sovereign power of the state is exercised.’’ If this were not the case East Asian development strategies would never have worked. Modernisation and development requires/required the indispensable political prerequisite of a modernising, nation-building ruling stratum which mobilises the whole nation in this revolution from above. This pattern has always been almost without exception the historical experience of capitalist development.
Such political and state institutions together with modernising class forces have/been and are, notably weak or even absent in what we generally refer to as the under-developed or developing world. ‘States’ (and I use this term advisably) such as Tanzania and the Democratic Republic of the Congo lack the political and social modern(ising), structures and institutions as we understand them which might bring about economic and social development. Crucially, the class structure of these societies is dominated by a comprador bourgeoisie, a self-aggrandising, self-serving elite whose interests are intertwined with the imperial overlord in the ongoing exploitation and looting of their own country. We also know that such nations are stuck in the production of raw materials and agricultural products – low value-added, low research-intensive, low-productivity, primary commodities – all of which are both price and income inelastic and have had a tendency toward price stagnation and decline in the long run – a structural deterioration in their terms of trade. (Oil may be an exception to this, but oil prices are notoriously volatile.) Thus, the unequal and increasing gap between the higher income and lower income countries. But is this the end of the matter? Well from a rigidly structuralist point of view it would seem to be. History, however, is an open ended and semi-voluntaristic process – as the famous quote goes, ‘Men make history, but do not do it as they please’ – and a number of possibilities for fundamental structural changes exist. But for real change to take place both economic and political/ideological conditions must be present.
‘’History has shown that the vicious circles of poverty and underdevelopment can be effectively attacked only by qualitatively changing the production structures of poor and failing states. A successful strategy implies an increasing diversification away from sectors with diminishing returns (traditional raw materials and agriculture) to sectors with constant and increasing returns (technology, intensive manufacturing and services) creating a new and more complex division of labour and new social-economic structures in the process. In addition to breaking away from subsistence agriculture, this will create an urban market for goods, which will further induce specialization and innovation, bring in new technologies, create both alternative employment and the economic synergies that unite a nation state. The key to economic development is the interplay between the sectors with increasing and diminishing returns in the same labour market.’’ (How Rich Countries got Rich, Why Poor Countries Stay Poor – Erik Reinert).
Thus, if you wish to bake a cake these are the ingredients. But comprador bourgeoisies and their imperial sponsors have other priorities and preoccupations, nation-building and economic development are not among them.
PART 2
Turning to the EU the regional prototype for the globalization project, it was Patrick Buchanan, an American conservative who once correctly stated in ‘The American Conservative’ that the US Congress ‘is an Israeli occupied zone’’ by which he meant of course that Israel and the Israeli Lobby, both external and internal, has had a huge input into the framing and operation of US foreign policy. In a similar vein the EU is also occupied territory under the tutelage of US imperialism. (This process of blatant meddling in European affairs by the US-CIA started with ‘Operation Gladio’ in the late 1940s) but the perceived enemy was not merely Soviet communism, but also sotto voce European social and political theory and practise, notably, Gaullism and social-democracy, both of which have long since been politically cleansed with the EU being reconfigured as neo-liberal, and (since the alignment of the EU security structures have been aligned with NATO) neo-conservative vassal states overseen and represented by odious little Petainist/Quisling occupation regimes. This is only too apparent when the fawning behaviours of May, Macron and Merkel vis-à-vis the US are observed. Whenever the US master says jump, the Europeans will reply ‘how high’ And this is even more pronounced by the newly arrived Eastern European states. A group which Dick Cheney once described as the ‘new Europe.’ By which meant the political force which was operationalised to fundamentally change the political direction of the EU in the late 20th century. Euro-widening was meant to prevent euro-deepening, and it worked a treat.
The ongoing Americanisation of Europe carries with it the toxic values of liberal individualism, market liberalisation, structural inequality, a philosophy of winner takes all, and a rapacious/murderous imperialism. A nightmare Hobbesian world of a ‘war of everyman against everyman’; John Stuart Mill also weighed in with considerable disdain writing ‘I confess I am not charmed with the ideal of life held out by those who think that the normal state of human beings is that of struggling to get on; that of trampling, crushing, elbowing, and treading on each other’s heels, which forms the existing type of social life are the most desirable lot of humankind … (J.S.Mill – Principles of Political Economy).
The Americanisation process has been going on for the last half century. It degrades Europe, causes it to regress, forces it to abandon everything in its progressive past contribution to the capitalist stage of production the antidotes which it allowed it to resist the liberal poison and promote democracy and equality despite it.
‘’Old Europe’’ has nothing to learn from ‘’Young America.’’ There will be no progress possible on any European project as long as the US grand strategy is not foiled.’’ (The Liberal Virus – Samir Amin)
One particular crisis in the EU – the unfolding to the denouement of the Greek debacle – has presented an archetypal learning curve for an understanding of the structural problems involved in the EU and occasioned a virtual industry of copious tracts which purport to explain the crisis, and I have no wish to repeat the whole sorry tale here. I would say, however, that if Syriza was in earnest in taking on the Troika it would have required not just an imaginary backing of a long-defunct and toothless euro social-democracy, but also a withdrawal from the euro – certainly a leap into the unknown. Assuredly this would have been a high-risk policy – and no-one should be under the illusion that there is any easy way out. The trouble is that social-democracy has vanished into history; the soft-options specialists. The SPD (Germany) PS (France) PASOK (Greece) PSOE (Spain) are political organizations which might (occasionally) refer to themselves as social-democrats, or even on occasion ‘socialists’ but of course they are nothing of the sort. ‘By their works shall thee know them.’
And,
‘’ … Syriza’s strategy was not only long-run but also attempted to incorporate the social virtues of Europe’s once dominant social-democratic heritage. What Syriza did not adequately understand, however, was that heritage was now history, buried deep under the refuse pile of new neo-liberal values.’’ (Looting Greece – Jack Rasmus)
Now we have Varoufakis going on to declare that the ‘nation is dead’. Well, that is certainly true of Greece, which is now to all intents and purposes a colony with the grotesque spectacle of Syriza now playing a governing role in a regime that at one time it stridently opposed. The assertion that nations as such are no longer sovereign – a statement which is wrong both theoretically and empirically – but has a limited application. Truth be told some states are more sovereign than others, and the sovereign nations call the shots vis-à-vis the vassal/colonies which are not sovereign. (One wonders if the United States, or Israel or indeed Syria which has been engaged in physically defending its sovereignty for some time, are not sovereign. I think they are, but Mr Varoufakis may wish to differ) Greek sovereignty and democracy disappeared when the Troika and EU finance ministers and French and German banks forced the surrender and took over the running(-down) of the Greek economy. But this was inevitable in a liberal internationalist globalist economy; open borders will simply mean that TNCs will be free to exploit the productive resources of any country in the world – particularly labour – in order to maximise their economic power at the expense of society’s. In other words, societies with open markets, will be unable to impose any effective controls to protect themselves from the rapacious incursions of TNCs as Polanyi pointed out long ago.
So, what does the ‘supra-national’ solution offer other than comforting words.
Try the following.
‘’DiEM2025 stands today as an attempt to learn the lessons of defeat, and to prepare for future struggles for building a stronger network, not of globalists, but left-wing internationalists whose strategies for advance include the dislocation of imperialist economic chains, as well as real progress in building the capacities of national societies to strengthen democracy and provide for the well-being of their nations.’’
All of which strikes this writer as a series of clichés and meaningless abstractions. Please note, the dog-eared phraseology, ‘learn the lessons of defeat’ ‘prepare for future struggles’ ‘strengthen democracy’ and ‘provide for the well-being of their populations.’ You might as well throw in motherhood and apple pie whilst you’re at it.
Then comes the dawn of realization that ‘a future Labour government which -assuming of course that the next government will be Labour – attempting to carry out its declared programme of bringing some elements of the economy under national control ‘’will come under the assault not only from the EU, but also Washington.’’ Really! Never occurred to me that! What does a Labour government do in this hypothetical situation? Surrender, Syriza style. No, we apparently need a Europe-wide supra-national strategy based upon what policies exactly? We must assume, according to the orthodoxy, that the nation state is either dead or dying, an article of faith of the globalist left and the Washington Consensus. Ergo, the policy the ‘left internationalists’ is one of inter alia ‘strengthening democracy’ – all very noble. But provided that the neo-liberal tripod of the three freedoms of movement – capital, labour, commodities – remains in place, political change will not take place. And provided the institutional infrastructure of globalized capitalism – the IMF, WTO, World Bank, the EU are overseeing and enabling the neoliberal project economic and political change will not take place. It is not the shackles of nationalism that give rise to the bureaucratic monstrosity which is the EU but precisely the opposite. The neo-liberal imperatives of open borders, liberalized markets, flexible labour markets and freedom of movement of labour, capital and commodities, might have had something to do with it. Unless these political/ideological roadblocks are addressed the status quo will continue and continue to deteriorate.
In terms of alliance building, political convergence between states cannot be constructed at regional (for example the EU) or even less so at global levels even if it is not achieved firstly at the level of nations. Because whether we like it or not, nations define and manage concrete realities and challenges, and it is only at these levels that changes in the social and political balance of forces to the advantage of the popular classes will or will not occur. Changes at the regional and global level may reflect national advances and certainly facilitate them – but nothing more.
In order to stop the onward march of globalist neoliberalism governments and state must regain control of their economies. There is no single way to achieve this critical goal, but without it hemispheric co-operation will remain little more than an empty rhetorical flourish. Moreover, everywhere electorates are looking to governments to be a counterweight to footloose corporations. It is this intuitive perception to rein-in markets that will increasingly occupy centre-stage between pro and anti the coming decade. For social-political movements the nation-state continues to be the chosen instrument for the organization of society. However much social institutions will have to adapt to new global pressures, what is not in doubt is that the nation-state remains the crucible for equality seeking movements the world over. Efficiency, profitability and competitiveness have not won the hearts and minds of the peoples worldwide.’’ (States Against Markets – Boyer and Drache)
Reform of the EU, which I understand to be the goal of the campaign of pro-EU aligned leftist factions, fails to take into consideration the fact that the EU cannot be reformed since its whole ideological structure and constitution is built upon neo-liberal technocratic assumptions which can clearly be identified in the interior belief-systems of the bureaucracy and consequently the daily practise and deliberations of its internal institutions. Being explicitly designed on a neoliberal model which was cemented by legal statutes have made such changes impossible.
‘’Any belief that the EU can be ‘democratised’ and reformed in a progressive direction is a pious illusion. Not only would this require an impossible alignment of left movements/governments to emerge simultaneously at the international level. On a more fundamental level, a system that was created with the specific aim of constraining democracy cannot be democratised. It can only be rejected.’’ (Thomas Fawzi – Lexit Digest)
Reinforcing the conservative structure of the EU’s political institutions, and here I have in mind the European Parliament, are dominated by two powerful blocs.
1. An alliance of political parties, centre-left and centre-right which form the usual centrist mish-mash, the extreme centre, as it has been called. This centrist bloc is composed predominantly of euro-enthusiasts and who command a working majority in the European parliament and other EU institutions. 2. The geo-political alliance – i.e., the infusion of members of the ‘New Europe’ into the EU, who were generally very pro-American and fanatically Russophobic, this along with the parallel expansion and incorporation of these new states into NATO has served to undermine some of the earlier Gaullist and social democratic traditions in Europe.
It seems clear, therefore, that the pro-EU bloc which dominates the political, economic and strategic agenda of the EU, in addition to the permanent institutional structures which are mandated to carry out existing policies, will continue to do so for any foreseeable future despite the pipe-dreams of the ‘left-wing internationalists’. Even Varoufakis has admitted that this approach is frankly ‘utopian’ – and if this is the case, the Remainer left can only play games and give a leftish veneer in an attempt to reform what they apparently believe is an unstoppable historical development (globalization). (Lexit Digest)
Having said all this the final outcome of this imbroglio may include elements of piecemeal reform and/and or outright rejection, which is what usually happens. We shall see. But it would be useful perhaps to have an open dialogue between all parties involved rather than highly partisan and misleading attempts to smear and shout down opponents – and we are all guilty to a degree in this respect – who may have something positive to offer.
What a formidable and succinct analysis of the catastrophic predicament of the progressive forces in Europe!
It provides a necessary starting point for any discussion on how to revive the deep humanitarian, egalitarian traditions. The need also to embrace the best of de Gaulles assertiveness against the US Empire. Without resistance against Brussel, Washington and New York there can be no true social progress.
But it would be useful perhaps to have an open dialogue between all parties involved rather than highly partisan and misleading attempts to smear and shout down opponents – and we are all guilty to a degree in this respect – who may have something positive to offer.
Ahh… but therein lies the rub. Not much chance of that while DC, NYC, and the City of London continue to call the shots now, is there? I’m thinking the Empire’s current showdown with Russia and China might be more relevant to the EU’s eventual outcome than any of this.
Even so, this is still a fine analysis of the current situation and why it seems to be locked in perpetual stalemate. Perhaps a long cold winter will help facilitate some meaningful dialogue? Or not.
“I’m thinking the Empire’s current showdown with Russia and China might be more relevant to the EU’s eventual outcome than any of this.”
So do I.
> …Greece, which is now to all intents and purposes a colony
> with the grotesque spectacle of Syriza playing a governing
> role in a regime that at one time it stridently opposed.
A long time ago (March 2013) I posted a slightly provocative comment on cif, in which I predicted what was to be expected from Syriza, Tsipras, Varoufakis etc…
https://www.theguardian.com/discussion/p/3ehx5?page=4#comment-22088857
… and although I got some nasty replies at the time because I had (and still do) recommended PAME and KKE instead of Syriza, the way things played out over the following few years proved that I had been right about Syriza. Will people ever learn?
P.S.: Thanks a lot to Francis Lee for another excellent ‘long read’ and to the Saker for finding such authors.
Thanks for the article. 2 things come to my mind: 1) i still believe that the west has achieved, not globalism obviously, but “inverted totalitarianism” where finances/economy is totally dictating the State, in contrast to regular totalitarian regimes, like under Hitler and Stalin, where the political movement had total control on the economy. Of course, these days we have to distinguish more the financial realm and the economical one. 2) As far as the somewhat “home” of head quarters companies, it is not the country of origin ( as it should) but tax heavens. If I am not mistaken, Lockheed Martin is based in New Jersey. Delaware is another convenient “home”. And then, there is the opacity of the flux of capital between tax heavens. So, the relative sovereignty of a State can only be real if it controls the money, if there are no tax heavens, no anonymity of capital and no free trade. China for being a sovereign State can play the liberal game and get stronger as a country. The US are not a sovereign State and its power will ultimately devastate it’s country ( its people). “Deep State” is what it is. Same for EU.
” under Hitler and Stalin, where the political movement had total control on the economy.”
Except that the political movement had big money backers.
It did, and not just at home. Significant wings of the UK, US and doubtless other ruling classes backed Hitler.
More generally fascism can be placed, like imperialism’s internecine wars, at the extreme end of a range of options through which a bourgeoise may offset the tendency, inherent in capital’s intrinsic laws of motion, for the rate of profit to fall.
But Eric makes good points. It is precisely because China’s capitalists are subordinate to state policy that I see a faint ray of hope. Western imperialism – exporting monopoly capital from global north to south; repatriating profits from south to north – may not be fully independent of the state. The relationship may be complex and fluidly interdependent. I think FL – in his fascinating account – overstates the complexity, but that is secondary.
With capital and state equally incapable, systemically, of making good on environmental looting and an inherent tendency to war (up to and including the thermonuclear kind) I have come increasingly to the conclusion that if humanity is to have any hope of averting the existential threats it seems bent on realising, that hope lies with China and to lesser degree Russia.
(I have little patience with ultraleft criticisms – Trotskyite and Maoist alike – which fail to acknowledge China’s extraordinary success in raising, as event he US lef World Bank grudgingly acknowledges, 730 million of its people from extreme poverty. Especially since it is the Western Left’s failure to make its own revolutions that has obliged China to adapt to global conditions of entrenched neoliberalism.)
Greece, the euro cradle of democracy and shipping reduced to refugee colony status and cleaning, rubbing Uncle Sham’s backside as they ferry with malicious intent around The Black Sea.
Here I sign every word.
” based upon archaic Ricardian trade theory (comparative advantage) to be followed to the letter and by all and sundry.”
But did they actually do that or did they just say they were doing thay?
Thanks for this lucid and insightful article. I should add in all honesty that my appreciation may also have been fueled by my being fundamentally in agreement with the arguments and the gist.
What I miss in this article as well in the current debate in general, however, is any reference, no matter how brief, to the debate of the 1960s and 1970s regarding the economic history of Latin America. To me, originally a specialist of Latin American history, it feels as if that debate is now being repeated regarding the world outside Latin America.
The so-called Dependencia debate and things like import substitution industrialisation (ISI) would seem to me to be highly relevant to help explain today’s events, if only to help avoid giving the impression of reinventing the wheel. Authors like Raul Prebisch and Eduardo Galeano, documentaries like “The Hour of the Furnaces,” by Pino Solanas will surely provide more clarification and insight to anyone taking part in the current debate.
As for Europe and its relationship with the US since the end of the nineteenth century, I gladly refer to my recent book “How Europe Became American,” published by Arktos.
Re: “the Greek debacle – if Syriza was in earnest in taking on the Troika it would have required … a high-risk policy. The trouble is that social-democracy has vanished into history; the soft-options specialists.”
Social Democrats tend to go with the flow, as they did when they voted for war in 1914, when they did not fight the Nazis in the streets in the 1920s, and when they joined the EU$A’s gang rape of YugoSlavia, Iraq, Libya and Syria. The German Greens are their heirs.
Re Syriza, when they were elected it seemed to me very simple. All Syriza needed to do was to issue 3 arrest warrants in their first week: one for the Greek politicians who invited Goldman Sachs to cook the books; one for the Goldman Sachs accountants; and one for the EU ministers who accepted Greece on the basis of fraudulent financial data. When a week went by and Syriza did no such thing, I knew they were done. Varoufakis ought to hide his face, but those sort of people have no shame.
Whereas the original socialists did not lack combativity and ideological rigor (such as when they expelled Bakunin at the Congress at The Hague in 1872), the first socialist revisionists were of a more conciliatory and adaptive mentality. Their frontmen Lasalle and Bernstein turned these Social Democrats into what was called at the time in Germany the “Social Bureaucratic Party”. Contemporary authors scornfully wrote that these Social Democrats were not so much interested in improving the fate of their working class electorate as furthering their personal careers. Personal ambitions were consistently placed above the interests of the collective they claimed to represent. (Social Democrats were thus phony from the beginning).
From the very beginning then, the SPD and their continental followers have tended to collaborate with the political elites. No better proof of this than the German Social Democrats placing their nationalist German interests above those of the broader European working class, when they enthusiastically supported the state policies that helped turn the Great War into the prolonged ordeal it eventually became.
Only French SFIO leader Jean Jaures was deemed capable of averting the looming danger, but he was liquidated in late July, 1914, when the escalation towards the Great War had become almost unstoppable.
After 1945, the Social Democrats in US-conquered Europe were coopted by the Americans, who rightly considered their supine and venal leaders to be the ideal defense against Communism, which enjoyed enormous popularity (France, Italy, Belgium, Netherlands).
After the Fall of the Berlin Wall, these Social Democrat collaborators were no longer needed and consequently all those parties dropped their “socialist” mask and adopted the neoliberal gospel.
Re: “Crucially, the class structure of these [backward] societies is dominated by a comprador bourgeoisie, a self-aggrandising, self-serving elite whose interests are intertwined with the imperial overlord in the ongoing exploitation and looting of their own country.”
This retrograde path was predicted for Africa as early as 1960, in a book “L’Afrique Noire est Mal Placee”. The author noted that Africa was relatively unscathed by WW2, in contrast to China which was devastated by WW2. However, African Leaders tended to have a colonist mindset, whereas Chinese Leaders adopted Communism. The two paths diverged with time to the stark difference we see today. Francis Lee emphasises the importance of economic protectionist policies for “developing countries” but I think the matter goes deeper into political ideology. We shall see whether China succumbs to the evils inherent in Capitalism at home, which he correctly calls “the road to serfdom”.
As long as we have the party animal nothing will change much if not most of the people grief lies squarely on the back of the people who vote back in the same old crooks of the same old corruption time after time and then try to blame it on the other party and of course the people lack the moral courage to change anything even as they look at those living on the streets which most will join sooner or later.
Francis,
Imperialism has been one of the main drivers of globalization. When did the current wave of Imperialism start? It started in 1609 with the creation of the first central bank in Netherlands. This is when the full reserve banking idea was introduced and its currency became a world reserve currency. Since then the Western Empires have undergone cycles of expansion and contraction to drive globalization and their empires. I would highly recommend the book “The Dynamics of Global Dominance” by David Abernathy. It provides many insights into our current socio-economic structure and how the powerful dominate their subjects & maintain their empire.
What has been driving the creation of private central banks and the private monetary system over the world? Why is this bad monetary system spreading in the world? Who is spreading? Why is the functioning of this bad monetary system not a subject of public debates? Also, it is not an election topic in any of the electoral campaigns? Follow the money and you will always trace the power behind the politicians.
Every nation is a socioeconomic system. The key characteristics of most socioeconomic systems are hierarchy, polarization and exploitation. Why?
To understand reality, imagine you want to build a global empire to dominate humanity and all entities. How will you go about achieving this dream? Is this one plan to dominate our world?
A probable plan?
https://wikispooks.com/wiki/Silent_Weapons_for_Quiet_Wars
https://ia800100.us.archive.org/5/items/SilentWeaponsForQuietWarsOriginalDocumentCopy/Silent%20Weapons%20for%20Quiet%20Wars%20Original%20Document%20Copy.pdf
The Dynamics of Global Dominance, European Overseas Empires, 1415–1980
https://yalebooks.yale.edu/book/9780300093148/dynamics-global-dominance
What are the foundational elements (money, media, military,… ) and the core principles of power, influence and control? Where is humanity going?
Thank you for an excellent analysis but I would like to comment on your references to sovereignty and nationalism in the context of the UK decision to brexit the EU. You describe the EU correctly as a regional version of the globalising project complete with characteristic institutions . The issue of sovereignty framed in nationalistic terms is the bete noir of the EU elite and underwrites their anxiety over Brexit and the nationalistic politics of East European states like Poland and Hungary. In truth UK sovereignty is defined and animated by extreme nationalism this being the essential snake oil that lubricated Brexit in its illusory quest to gain national sovereignty from the supra national organisations and elites of the EU. In essence the sovereignty issue has been used by a cabal of the extreme Tory right (and supporters) to resuscitate myths of the imperialist racist past and solidify public opinion behind a nationalistic agenda premised on a neo liberal orthodoxy that will put the EU to shame. This betrayal of sovereignty is unprecedented in the globalised west and an antecedent for a new form of authoritarianism in a retarded and corrupt democracy like the UK.
Globalism is about concentrating control by the few of the many via controlling markets and prices and thru them all economic activity.
The recent killing of the US and German gas pipelines from Canada and Russia by globalist puppets is all about damaging both the US and EU people and economies and also the suppliers, and keeping price of oil etc. high.
Globalism is merely the current gimmick methodology the elites have used to facilitate their evils ends the past 100 yrs. This methodology changes every century or so. The current political paradigms have also being created to facilitate it – the focusing on centralizing control of regions.
But it is double edged sword as China has used it to amass sizable economic power which is now a threat to this control agenda.
The end result is the house of cards will collapse.
As is being evidenced by political fragmentation and situation in EU, US, UK.
And what about Rudolf Hilferding who more than a century ago in 1910 said essentially the same things (see Das Finanzkapital)?
For those who understand German, here is Ernst Wolff speaking about the “Digital-Financial Complex:” https://rumble.com/vly0xp-waarom-wij-dit-gaan-winnen-met-ernst-wolff-nederlands-ondertiteld.html
Maybe this will help? Some sage words from a hero of mine Dr. Willard Cantelon from his book The Day the Dollar Dies:
“The Honorable Louis T. McFadden, Chairman of the Banking and Currency Committee, seemed to reach the same conclusion. On March 4, 1933, he said to Congress,
Regarding the so-called group of international bankers, Mr. McFadden said further on June 10, 7932,
It controls everything here, and it controls all our foreign relations. It makes and breaks governments at will.
Paul Warburg had a son named James P. Warburg. On February 17, 1950, he stood before the U.S. Senate and declared,
We shall have world government whether or not we like it. The only question is, whether world government
will be achieved by conquest or consent.
The House of Rothschild
Meyer Amschel Rothschild (1743-1812) of Frankfurt, Germany, studied originally to be a rabbi. Later, however, he turned his interests to finance and, with his five sons, established the famous banking house in Frankfurt. Four of the sons were later sent to Vienna, London, Paris, and Naples to set up branches of their family bank. This combine soon became the most powerful banking establishment of Europe. Amschel Rothschild, the eldest son, remained with his father in Frankfurt and became the treasurer of the German Confederation. Salomon, the second son, founder of the Vienna branch, became a leading personality in the Austro-Hungarian Empire. Nathan, the third son, founder of the London branch, became the most powerful man in English finance. Carl, the fourth son, founder of the Naples branch, became one of the most powerful men in Italy. James (Jacob), the fifth son, founder of the Paris branch, soon dominated the financial destiny of
France. By 1850, the House of Rothschild represented more wealth than all the royal families of Europe and
Britain combined.
International Bankers
The House of Warburg, the House of Rothschild, the few other powerful banking houses became known as “the international bankers.” They are described best by Dr. Carroll Quigley who taught at Princeton and Harvard. He did research in the archives of France, Italy, and England and authored several widely read books. When Dr. Quigley decided to write Tragedy and Hope (Macmillan, 1966), he knew he would be exposing one of the best-kept secrets in the world. Regarding the international bankers, Dr. Quigley
states,
They remained different from ordinary bankers in distinctive ways:
(1) they were cosmopolitan and international;
(2) they were close to governments and were particularly concerned with questions of government debts;
(3) their interests were almost exclusively in bonds and very rarely in goods;\
(4) they were, accordingly, fanatical devotees of inflation;
(5) they were almost equally devoted to secrecy and the secret use of flnancial influence in political life.
These bankers came to be called the international bankers.
In quoting Dr. Quigley, W. Cleon Skousen comments on page 4 of his book entitled The Naked Capitalist,
Dr. Quigley makes it clear throughout his book that, by and large, he warmly supports the goals and the
purposes of the network. If that be the case, why should he want to expose a world-wide conspiracy and
disclose many of its most secret operations? Obviously, disclosing the existence of a mammoth power network
which is trying to take over the world could not help but arouse the vigorous resistance of the people who
are its intended victims, so why did Dr. Quigley write this book?
Quigley’s answer appears in a number of places, but it is especially forceful and clear on pages 979-980. He says,
in effect, that now it is too late for the little people to turn back the tide. In a spirit of kindness, he is therefore urging them not to fight a power that is already established. All through his book, Dr. Quigley assures us that we can trust these benevolent well-meaning men who are secretly operating behind the scenes. They, he declares, are the hope of the world. All who resist them represent tragedy, hence the title of his book. Dr. Quigley states,
I know of the operations of this network because I have studied it for twenty years, and was permitted for two years in the early 1960’s to examine its papers and its secret records. I have no aversion to it, nor to most of its aims, and have for much of my life been close to it, and to many of its instruments. According to W. Cleon Skousen,
Dr. Quigley expresses the utmost contempt for members of the American middle class, who think they can
preserve what he calls their “petty bourgeois” property rights and constitutional privileges.
After pondering these writings, I asked myself how far back one could trace this organized plan for control of
world finance. On July 4,1856, Benjamin Disraeli declared before the British House of Commons,
The world is governed by very different personages from what is imagined by those who are not behind the
scenes.
Some of the strongest words that came to my attention were those of Curtis B. Dall, written in Philadelphia,
Pennsylvania, on April 1968, as an introduction to H. S. Kenan’s book on the Federal Reserve Bank. In reference to the international bankers, Mr. Dall writes,
They are driving toward complete control of the world’s long-range monetary policy and principal world markets for their own profit. They foment foreign wars to aid this objective.
It did not take a brilliant mathematician long to prove with simple arithmetic that war debts allowed to continue
would soon burden the people of the world with such indebtedness that it would take most of the earning power of the masses simply to pay the compounding interest. Was it possible, I asked myself repeatedly, that men could so crave power that they would be willing to sacrifice millions of lives to the god of war in order to achieve their goals?
If it were true, were they so deluded or deceived that they justified the mass slaughter of the innocent as a socalled stepping-stone to a better world they were seeking to build? Regardless of the questions, or their answers, here was one certain fact: the world was swiftly moving toward centralized government and universal control. The Ceneral Assembly of the United Nations frequently echoed with accusations and dissension. But there was one power that seemed even stronger than man’s endless legislation. It was the power of money. Whoever controlled it, controlled man’s destiny. The path toward world control seemed to be indeed a divided highway. On one side, there were the shadowy personalities representing the high priests of finance who visualized the wealth of the world in few hands-their hands. On the other side of the road, there were a number of men, honest and sincere, who pointed out that the total commitment to a world government was man’s only hope of escaping a nuclear holocaust. Or famine from exploding population, or poison from pollution.
Checks Obsolete
Members of the Federal Reserve warned that the nations’ banks could strangle on the 22 billion checks the
Americans wrote each year, pointing out that in a hundred months the number of checks would double. They urged the adoption of a computer system which would automatically transfer funds between bank accounts. A person’s pay would automatically be credited to his bank account by his employer, without the writing of a check. And the regular payments which the worker owed-car payments, rent, etc. -would automatically be sent to his creditors’ accounts when due. George Mitchell of the Federal Reserve declared
it was most urgent to reform the checking system before the economy smothered under a pile of paper.
I did not know George Mitchell personally, but I did know many honest and sincere bankers who shared his
sentiments. There was Carlos Verheek of the Kredietbank of Belgium, and Banker Keller of Germany.
Mountains of Paper
As I sat with Banker Keller in his Stuttgart office, I heard him heave a weary sigh. “We are being buried under
paper,” he said sadly. From the doorway of his office I could see the lines of people standing impatiently before the bank tellers.
I knew that back home our government was spending $350,000 a minute. The welfare program alone was costing the taxpayers more than a billion dollars a month’ In a four year period, the federal budget had increased 84% and in five years the money supply 47%
ln America, I had talked with my banker friends’ Without exception every banker realized we were coming to the end of an old regime and the dawn of a new era’ Our early ancestors had used shells, iron, cotton’ or cattle as a medium of a medium of exchange Then gold.
Now, the paper currencies were becoming as antiquated as all of the obsolete systems that man had used. A new system was about to dawn over the world, and it would be a number system’ made possible by the birth of the computer in 1946.” Close Quote by Dr. Willard Cantelon
We Have The Technology which I highly admonish one and all to read and understand what is found here third paragraph
Skynet is also a family of military communications satellites operated by Airbus Defence and Space on behalf of the UK’s Ministry of Defence to provide strategic communication services to the three branches of the British Armed Forces and to NATO (this may become relevant in the great chessboard of geopolitics along the fracture lines of East and West on the Poland-Belarus border and in the Ukraine). The latest upgrade, Skynet 6, is now in the works; plans for 6G internet are also already in the works. That this 6G, or Genesis Six, has Biblical significance may well be exceedingly relevant at the rate we’re going. Plan accordingly.
to understand the gist of what Dr. Cantelon was trying to get across way back in 1975 quoting the bible himself.
Biometrics!
What we should all want to know is if Russia is seen as an enemy is it perhaps because they are not playing ball with these power brokers. O what would Quigley have to say about this is for me the interesting all important question which someone like me would never learn or find out?!!!! lol!!!!!
Apologies —–rats missed the link
https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2021/12/05/the-karen-epidemic/
Suggest — highly suggest everything by this Scott Howard!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Everything!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Next to the Bible of course. We have arrived or are about to!
Of all the juicy quotes on economics and money this is the one that really does it for me by someone who was guess who Rothschild’s point man in America Colonel Edward House:
“[Very] soon, every American will be required to register their biological property in a National system designed to keep track of the people and that will operate under the ancient system of pledging.
By such methodology, we can compel people to submit to our agenda, which will affect our security as a chargeback for our fiat paper currency. Every American will be forced to register or suffer not being able to work and earn a living.
They will be our chattel, and we will hold the security interest over them forever, by operation of the law merchant under the scheme of secured transactions. Americans, by unknowingly or unwittingly delivering the bills of lading to us will be rendered bankrupt and insolvent, forever to remain economic slaves through taxation, secured by their pledges.
They will be stripped of their rights and given a commercial value designed to make us a profit and they will be none the wiser, for not one man in a million could ever figure our plans and, if by accident one or two would figure it out, we have in our arsenal plausible deniability.
After all, this is the only logical way to fund government, by floating liens and debt to the registrants in the form of benefits and privileges. This will inevitably reap to us huge profits beyond our wildest expectations and leave every American a contributor to this fraud which we will call “Social Insurance.”
Without realizing it, every American will insure us for any loss we may incur and in this manner; every American will unknowingly be our servant, however begrudgingly. The people will become helpless and without any hope for their redemption and, we will employ the high office of the President of our dummy corporation to foment this plot against America.”
and the juicy part of this quote is it not this and how it applies so eeerily to Rev. 13 ?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?
It’s as if one is reading verbatim from the book of Rev. 13 and why our birth certificates are a bank note. { i still have me original issue from 50 years ago lol and printed in very small letters the words Canadian Bank Note} need magnifying glass today to read it.
Consider:
“He also forced everyone, small and great, rich and poor, free and slave, to receive a mark on his right hand or on his forehead, so that no one could buy or sell…
{‘FORCED TO REGISTER OR SUFFER NOT BEING ABLE TO WORK AND EARN A LIVING.’ Col. House}
unless he had the mark, which is the number of his name.” {Rev. 13:16} {Emphasis mine}
wow , can’t even begin to imagine what House and Rothschild’s would have done to the world had they had computer tech way back then as we have today? Eh gentlemen?
and nuclear weapons the fear that must have crossed the eyes of these international bankers who realized that not even they could hide and be safe from the killing machine? and House was the great caretaker at the Treaty of Versallies?
hmmmm getting the picture of our future dear serfs all? https://vigilantcitizen.com/sinistersites/sinister-sites-israel-supreme-court/