For anybody wanting peace, it is important to understand the logic of those who want war. What I propose to do today is to list all the reasons why the US is waging war not only on Russia, but also on Europe. This time again I will use a bulletpoint list (in no special order)
- The Empire and Russia have been at war for years now, at least since 2013; until now, this war was 80% informational, about 15% economic and only about 5% kinetic. Yet from its initiation, it was an existential war for both sides and it still is. At the end of it all, only one party will remain standing, the other one will have collapsed and profoundly changed. The above ratios are now about to change.
- The “Biden” administration is a who’s who of the worst Russia haters on the US political scene, check out this excellent article by Andrei Martyanov which explains that. You might also enjoy an article I wrote in distant 2008 entitled “How a medieval concept of ethnicity makes NATO commit yet another a dangerous blunder“.
- Needless to say, the Woke and LGBTQ+ freaks (which are all over the “Biden” admin) all hate Russia for being (in their very mistaken opinion) both “White”, “Christian” and “Conservative” (only the latter is mostly true).
- So far, all the efforts of Obama, Trump and Biden have yielded exactly *zero* results. Or, better, it did produce results, but not the ones it was supposed to achieve: Russia increased her sovereignty and economic independence, the Russian people rallied around Putin, and the Russian political scene became even more anti-western than before. The US plan against Russia failed, true, but the Russian people (and politicians) all understood that the attempt was to destroy Russia as a country, a nation and a civilization.
- After decades of incompetent and corrupt “leadership” by all administrations, the US is in terrible shape by pretty much any relevant metric. You could say that the “imperial pie” which the US and the EU share has shrunk that, in turn, means that the US has to seize a bigger chunk of it. Hence the US opposition to NS2 which does not threaten the 3B+PU nations, but threatens to make the EU more competitive (cheaper energy) than the US (more expensive energy). Hence, NS2 must be stopped at all costs (“Biden” just appointed a “special envoy” to kill NS2: Amos Hochstein).
- Up until now, the EU (mostly Germany) were able to resist the US pressure, but with a large scale shooting war in the Ukraine, NS2 will be instantly cancelled, this will be a political triumph for the US Neocons.
- The Nazi Banderastan created by the US Dems (shame on you if you ever voted for Obama or “Biden”!) has become a black hole by any relevant metric and should a war break out, this will affect the EU far more than the USA, hence this is yet another chance for Uncle Shmuel to grab a bigger piece of the “western imperial pie”.
- Next, even if the Russian forces stay behind the current line of contact, any overt Russian intervention in the Ukraine will result in an immediate war hysteria in the West, securing the total domination of the US (via NATO) of the entire European continent.
- Also, if the Ukronazi Banderastan is ever allowed to join NATO (in whatever form), then NATO will have to deal with the largely anti-NATO population of the eastern Ukraine. It is therefore objectively in the interests of the USA and NATO to simply get rid of the Donbass and incorporate in NATO only the pro-Nazi parts of the Ukraine while blaming “break-up” and “invasion” on Russia. The only part of the Ukraine which the US/NATO really wanted was, of course, Crimea (an ancient Anglo fantasy!). Putin made sure this will never happen and now this pipe dream will never become reality.
- The political scene in Europe is undergoing a deep crisis: some countries risk falling apart (UK, Spain), all of them are hit hard by the pandemic, riots are taking place everywhere (even in “peaceful” Switzerland! in St Gallen cops shot rubber bullets at protesters) which, frankly, threatens the long term future of the EU (which itself is an instrument of US domination of Europe). Triggering a war will completely change this landscape just like the 9/11 false flag changed the political landscape in the USA.
- And then there is NATO itself, a fantastically ineffective organization in military terms, but an extremely effective one politically. Since 1991, this organization had lost any purpose, a new war in the Ukraine will give it a (entirely fake) purpose for decades to come, thereby keeping Europe a US colony (which, of course, the “new Europeans” want, but of the “old Europeans” – no so much).
- The fact that NS2 is something like 95% completed is a slap in the face of Uncle Shmuel and the “Biden” administration will want to show these pesky Europeans “who is boss”. Since triggering a war will immediately stop NS2, it will punish the Europeans not only by denying them cheap energy, but also by the billions of dollars they already wasted on this project, and the more billions they will have to pay Russia in the future.
- The Ukraine cannot enter NATO, at least officially, until all its border issues are resolved. That is the official propaganda line. But what if Russia intervenes in the Donbass, then I would not put it past the Poles to move a number of battalions to the Lvov and Ivano-Frankovsk regions and that will de facto place the western Ukraine under Polish control and, thereby under NATO control and thereby US control. And no need for any votes from referendums – it will all happen while the world will watch in horror the war in the Donbass.
I could go on, but I think the point is clear: for the “Biden” administration, the upcoming war will be a dream come true, a way of killing many birds with one stone and, most importantly, a way to really hurt Russia (that will be true in spite of the fact that Russia will easily prevail militarily against any imaginable combination of forces in the eastern Ukraine.
Of course, all of the above is predicated on the deeply mistaken belief by US politicians that Russia is weak and the US invulnerable. Remember, while US politicians are long on chutzpah and narcissistic and messianic self-worship, they ain’t too knowledgeable about history (or anything pertaining to Zone B).
The bottom line is this: Uncle Shmuel is preparing a continental 9/11 PSYOP operation. Even worse is that I don’t see what/who/how anybody could stop it.
Do you?
Kind regards
The Saker
Russia – not anybody else – should say NO to RS2.
Russia should annex LPR and DPR.
Period.
The change of events leading up to a final confrontation with Russia includes the occupation of West Ukraine by Nato. This, in turn, necessitates an excuse, such as Russia moving into the Donbas.
How do you break this hellish sequence by peaceful means?
One way would be to try to talk sense into the Germans (no point in talking to the French, let alone the Anglos). In the words of a character of fiction “give them whatever they eat”. Entice them economically.
A second way would be to organize some sort of a referendum in the Donbas. This is not easy, since Russia has no representative status there. Many of the inhabitants of the Donbas have Russian passports.
A third way would have the Russians resort to black ops inside the power circles in the Ukraine. Sow division and sedition, promote one breed of scum to fight the other breeds of scum.
A stumble on … but perhaps of some interest in respect to (from the European perspective) — “A Non-Traditional Peacekeeping Mission” and “Russia is apparently conducting a wide variety of peacekeeping and humanitarian tasks in Nagorno-Karabakh with a large degree of autonomy”.
Quote: “There is an even bigger question mark over how Turkey is going to be able to exercise efficient oversight via this centre. The legal basis is unclear: while Turkey is part of the ceasefire monitoring centre, it is not a signatory of the original ceasefire agreement. Hence, it is questionable to what extent Turkey will be able to go beyond passively monitoring the ceasefire and actually ensure its implementation.”
Replace Turkey (Nato) with Poland (Nato) and the Ukranian situation may develop in a similar manner as set out here by the European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS) — the Union’s agency dealing with the analysis of foreign, security and defence policy issues.
IN RUSSIA’S HANDS
Nagorno-Karabakh after the ceasefire agreement
8 April 2021
https://www.iss.europa.eu/content/russias-hands
I hardly see any advantage for the anglo saxon empire in showing in the bright lights the weakness of the OTAN in geographical Europe ?
The importance of NS2 for Germany is very underestimated. There are voices in the german parliament for better relations with Russia….. It is the only way to be able to have any political indépendance for the european states. I think that Tsipras has been threatened personnaly in oder that Greece abandons the move towards Russia that she was ready to perform. A French presidential candidate with a very high potential to win the presidential elections in France 2017, François Fillon, who have spoken in favor of better relations with Russia was eliminated by attacks from the medias under control which are dedicated to this task, Mediapart, Le Canard enchainé….
So the pivot towards Russia and Eurasia will hapen sooner than later in my opinion
“The importance of NS2 for Germany is very underestimated. There are voices in the german parliament for better relations with Russia….. It is the only way to be able to have any political indépendance for the european states.”
Interesting perspective.
Are you suggesting that NS2 is part of a German and Russian long-term snare strategy for baiting the American bald eagle into a distracting foreign policy cauldron and triggering the eventual release of united Germany from its post-WW2 subalternism by virtue of the very public neutering of the hegemonic entity and its yapping OTAN?
Streaching, … but plausible. Time will tell I guess.
If so, then Putin really has put the proverbial cherry on the historical cake in cahoots with Merkel as she ‘retires’.
I think we are about to witness something truly remarkable when President Putin delivers a “dramatic speech, in what allies say will be ‘world’s most important political event” on April 21. I expect it to be a master jiujitsu move of proactive decoupling of Russia from the empire. Russia will announce pooling back from Swift, braking of diplomatic ties with US & EU (but not individual members of EU), will even maybe proclaim embargo on gas & fuel export to west, and will become a much more assertive in military/geopolitical domains. China & Iran could follow. West will be stunned as they will instantly lose any and all leverage they think they have over Russia. And when the “Iron curtain” falls, this time from the east, it will leave EU & US in darkness. EU will face an existential crisis, probably fall apart. NATO will become an occupation force in an effort to preserve the empire, but there will be nothing worth of preserving anymore. Ukraine will be partitioned, Georgia and Baltic states will feel the cold like never before. Saker is fully right to state that: “At the end of it all, only one party will remain standing, the other one will have collapsed and profoundly changed.” It is an existential fight, and Russia is holding much better cards then opponents. Question is, what will empire do when they realize they’ve lost? Start a shooting part of WW3 and lose that one too, or just collapse like a house of cards it is? I think Sputnik5 has really changed the course of history, empire didn’t anticipated on that one, they thought they would be able to blackmail the whole world into covid19 submission, but it turns out those where just their wet dreams. Very soon Russian tanks will start rolling, and not just around Ukraine, but on all borders with west. And that’s the way the cookie crumbles from now on.
The US is trying to fight the entire Planet …. China, Russia, Iran, Turkey, The American People.
‘no amendment to the constitution is absolute’ says Joe Biden.
Black America —
Biden says the 13th Amendment can be REVOKED and You can be REENSLAVED.
‘“No amendment, no amendment to the Constitution is absolute,” says Joe Biden on 04/09/2021
FIRST they take your guns —
SECOND they put you in chains.
Biden said during his address he will “use all the resources at [his] disposal as President to keep the American people safe from gun violence.” OH!? He is going to DISARM the POLICE?!
The old chestnut – OIL. Since US went off Bretton Woods Gold Convertibility 1971 it was only able to prop up US dollar post-1973 by recycling OPEC currency surpluses through London and New York which financialised those economies and drove manufacturing offshore.
Russia is a major oil producer and resource rich which a finkncialised economy needs to secure debt. If Russia were Congo or South Africa it would have succumbed to US pressure – but since Yeltsin – and the rebuilding of the Russian State by Putin and his band – it is no longer a plaything for Western-sponsored Oligarchs to trade off to Exxon or Mining Corporations or be controlled from Washington.
USA is like UK on skids. Germany is not much better. Her key exports are yesterday’s technology.
Germany is sclerotic after Angela Brezhneva has spent 16 years injecting embalming fluid into the economy.
Russia has its national identity which few Western countries have been allowed to retain.
The USA dreamed of another deal like the Alaska Purchase – Russia is not for sale or plunder. It is clear why films like “White Tiger” are so vibrant. The same players – Poland – trying to leverage Western nations (as FDR pressured Chamberlain in giving the guarantee 1939) – trying to drag Big Powers into conflict – rather like Austria dragged Germany into war 1914.
Politicians have no comprehension of history in the West – but in China and in Russia they do
How will the nazis in Kiev react to the Poles occupying western Ukraine. I suspect it won’t go down very well. If Ukraine joins NATO there will be instant inter-tribal conflict.
The hatred of the neocons against Russia is proverbial. And being allied with the military-industrial complex they are still strong. I don’t think Russia’s preference for traditional values makes much difference here. It is used as an argument to win over and motivate some woke people. But it is not the driving force.
My expectation that sooner or later we will see a change here. There is a growing awareness that this policy is driving Russia and China in each others arms. But I expect that it will take several more years before this change happens. China isn’t considered strong enough yet to be taken seriously and at the moment the opportunity for wins on Russia (in Belarus and with EU sanctions) still seems to big.
As for Europe, its indepence from the US has been greatly reduced in the recent decades. The first time the US imposed sanctions on Iran the EU took the position that if the US sanctioned its companies it would retaliate by sanctioning US companies. In the last round of sanctions it took the weasel position of building some construction around those sanctions. Nordstream is the next step. Many European leaders understand that giving in here will make it harder to do anything that the US doesn’t like in the future and thus undermine its independence. But the pro-US forces are strong…
Of course the present climate of censorship under the “fake news” flag doesn’t help.
In my opinion the best thing Russia can do is to bide its time and to seek low level ways to swing European public opinion. The fact that Europeans still need a visa for Russia is in my opinion a major blunder.
“The hatred of the neocons against Russia is proverbial.”
Perhaps a more illuminating rendition would read :
“The hatred of the neocons against Russia is very useful”.
The opponents believe that the utility of neocons accrues largely to them.
A large part of my extended family has its roots in western Ukraine. They were Austrians who settled there centuries ago when the region was part of the Austro-Hungarian empire. The staggering ignorance of the ruling elite and their ‘media priesthood’ cannot be overstated in relation to the history of the region and the different people who lived there over the centuries.
The point is, are the Ukrainians crazy enough to attack Russian interests on their own without having secured absolute support, including military support on the battlefield, from Washington, before the offensive begins? The chances of the Russians surrendering the Crimea are zero. Will the Ukrainians dare to attack Crimea? The consequences for Ukraine would be extremely serious indeed. How many ordinary people in Ukraine want to become dead and bloody pawns on this horrible chessboard?
OT — but UK’s Prince Philip (99) just reported as deceased. That’ll distract the airwaves for a week or two.
So, how long does reincarnation take? He planned to return as a humanity culling virus… C-21(UK varient)?
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-04-09/prince-philip-dead-live-queen-duke-of-edinburgh-royal-family/8496436
Relatives from Germany tell me about a bigger arty training in the Grafenwoehr natzo base.
I wonder how it would work out, if Russia could just use it’s EW capabilities to halt all communications between ukie forces to demoralize the attacking units. I don’t think that ‘modern’ army units can work in such environment for long. This would keep casualities low and let the ukies know they are once again on a suicide mission.
Most wars are the result of either
1) internal politics
2) external threats and or security perception
Question:
Does the internal political situation in the US right now favor a big war in Europe, or not ?
Do the elites in the US need to change the perception of the people and distract from internal problems ?
frankspeech.com is coming …… 19.04.2021 big time
Currahee
EU is now doing more business with China. US would rather destroy the world than go down the hill.
US has become an imminent danger to the whole planet. We can’t longer live this crazy life because US. Something must be done enough is enough.
Given the discussion of US war on Europe, what does this mean?
British and French troops in Texas!
UK’s ‘Iron Division’ deploys 1300 troops to the United States
https://ukdefencejournal.org.uk/uks-iron-division-deploys-1300-troops-to-the-united-states/
”…Exercise Warfighter will test UK troops alongside their French and American counterparts in modern combat operations in a “realistic multi-domain simulation”, allowing commanders to test the headquarters ability to plan and conduct high intensity operations.” …
”The British Army also add that while British and French forces are integrated at Divisional level into a U.S. corps for this year’s Warfighter, U.S. brigade combat teams are being inserted into each British and French division and for the first time a UK brigade (7th Infantry Brigade) will also be integrated into a U.S armoured division (1st Armored Division).” …
”According to the British Army website, 3rd (United Kingdom) Division exists as the United Kingdom’s strategic land warfare asset.”
Putin will lay out a plan on April 21. It will be impressive and surprise many. I don’t know what it will be, but Putin will find a way. I am very confident of that.
As awful as it seems now, I think the Russians will defend Novorussiya appropriately. I really don’t think the American population has another war in them. They are broke, demoralized and at each others throats.
Morseo than that, they are cowardly.
This time, I don’t think they rally around their military.
Question for the learned students here of geopolitics and economics- how much does the vast amount of rich farmland in Ukraine enter into this standoff or conflict?
Ukrainian farmers represent a threat to politically powerful European farmers and to US farmers (and aid China’s efforts to diversify their imported food supplies). There have been moves to allow foreigners to purchase Ukrainian farmland- presumably they would move in with investment in equipment that would eliminate most of the labor.
Seems like, in general, there are a lot of efforts to squelch supply of products and commodities in general. Oil supplies are artificially constrained, products are tariffed or outright prohibited (especially commodity products such as steel, but also manufactured goods). Are they that afraid of deflation and economic collapse?
the monsanto/bayer/gates cabal undoubtedly are dead set to invade that sprawling 6 ft. deep soil with their ^#*% gmo /roundup poison, claiming to feed the world blah blah. It woud be interesting to know how much they influence “foriegn policy” via the reset maniacs. And it fuels the hatred that Putin made it criminal to bring any of that into Russia.
Ok. I’ll say it.
One of the main reasons the neocons who populate america’s state dept and intelligence is because Putin is so pro Christian. If you look around the world where the neocons wage war, they are always on the side that is massacring Christians. Libya, Syria, Iraq, Egypt; all of those countries began slaughtering Christians after the American neocons overturned their apple carts.
Putin has help build more Christian churches than any man alive. He understood that the biggest mistake of the commies, was to separate the Russians from their Christian Gods and Churches. The commies destroyed a 100k churches in soviet Russia. Putin is trying to build every one back.
This is a main reason they hate Putin…..
Back to the big picture, which can best be understood in light of history.
A major aspect of Russia’s resurgence since the collapse of the USSR been the ongoing renewal of the Orthodox Faith. Putin himself has publicly recognized this frequently; some even view him as a Constantine-type historical figure.
The renewal of Christian faith is in diametric opposition to the decades-long program of the elites.
The most significant outcome of WWI was the destruction of the remaining Christian kingdoms of Europe, exemplified by the Romanovs and the Hapsburgs, both of which families remained largely devout. Other “Christian” ruling families, such as the Windsors, had long earlier lost either their faith or their real power (or both).
The elites of western Europe will not, therefore, move toward a full rapprochement with Russia, regardless of whether it is in their economic interests to do so, unless and until the full secularization of Russia is complete. As witnessed by the resurgence of Orthodoxy among Russians after the collapse of Communism, forced secularization is ineffective. My opinion, for what it’s worth, is that France and Germany will proceed in a way that:
A) Limits physical damage to their infrastructure
B) Increases their relations with (and influence in) Russia long term
C) Provides more power and influence in regard to the Great Reset and future global governance.
They do not want war.
America thinks that it can foment tension in general or war in particular throughout the Eurasian supercontinent in order to prevent its worst nightmare of Eurasian integration challenging the existing system of Anglo-American world domination.
That’s what this particular “Ukraine” war scenario is ultimately about.
The Americans feel emboldened to stir up war right on Russia’s border–because they believe they will be sitting safe and smug in the Western hemisphere, all the while hiding behind two oceans.
The Americans must be disabused of this belief.
And the way to do so is to stir up conflict right on America’s border and see how Americans like it.
It would be very interesting if the current “immigration crisis” on America’s southern border with Latin America exponentially increased in intensity, wouldn’t it?
Let us see how Americans react when there is a existential crisis on their own border. ;-)
mercans truly and typically simplistic take on the border in all groups is kneejerk jingoism, the msm-trained mush heads ignorant of the crimes perpetrated in latin america for 50years+ and going on right now unabated. on behalf of united fruit, mining, etc. that precipitates refugee crises The hopefully growing rebound of Bolivarian progress is threatening the empire just as much as BRI, Nordstream, etc. Bolivia with her lithium is the hotspot,musk openly declared war on Bolivia about a month ago.
I do think alt-media readership is building disgust for the de facto state controller musk types. Yes south Texas is not across any oceans.
I fear that the US/UK cabal will be so humiliated, that even if conventional escalation dominance resides with Russia in Europe, the crazies in the Hidd’n Biden Administration will resort to strategic nuclear strikes.They are that insane…. The Kremlin’s response will as always be proportionate but at this stage we will all be screwed anyway.
I think it also likely that open kinetic conflict in the Donbas, will also result in Russia shutting down natural gas transit via Banderastan, completely, non?!
is predicated on the deeply mistaken belief by US politicians that Russia is weak and the US invulnerable. Remember, while US politicians are long on chutzpah and narcissistic and messianic self-worship, they ain’t too knowledgeable about history…
What is the likelihood that Shmuelandia will be able to supply even a meaningful fraction of the natural gas requirements of Neuevo Khazaria [aka “Europe”], at any price:
– 5 years out (when they have exhausted the fracking natural gas supplies, and irreversibly poisoned the ground water)?
– how about 3 years out, when the discontent (and energy-cost-driven hyper-inflation and rampant poverty have been going for a while, probably with ongoing “COVID” lockdowns, to boot)?!
– or even one year, when internal strife at the implementation of fully internet-enabled police state controls, including thought-policing, and permanent “temporary” suspensions of rights, becomes undeniable except to the… exceptional class and their special little bubble of group-thinking supremacists
If Europe can’t establish its own sovereignty, it will be sacrificed by the haters of humanity, and then all of the land bought up at 5-10 cents on the dollar, even though it may take 50 years for the regrowth to attain the current standards of civilization it has had up to the 21st century.
The “Ukraine Operation” was a follow-up test to the “Yugoslavia Operation“, and shortly, this program will be rolled out across the empire.
Without heat, then very likely without enough food, disorder will completely take over. In the melee, those more recently arrived folks, with their coping strategies and systems of dealing with such a civil situation will dramatically out-compete the indigenous Europeans, and finish off the remnants of European culture.
Which is genocide.
…now who would want to do that?!
How long will it take for the 99% to see clearly the issues and trajectories towards the new corporate/oligopolistic feudalism, in which the clear of vision know, we have already become!
I disagree.
I believe that the people managing this clearly …insane empire policy… know history.
They certainly recognize a formula which has worked successfully over centuries.
However…, the systemic psychological torture, which they obsessively indoctrinate each successive generation with, creates large blindspots, (representing assailable weaknesses in the collective), result in a cognitive limitation, an inability to equate their own actions to negative outcomes to their own, self-worshiped collective. (they always attribute such outcomes to some… irrational, … perverse… without warrant hatred against them… for no reason at all?! … just because they are bad people… and… anyways… not… chosen, after all).
But the majority of the 99% of the empire citizens, evidently more than a controlling critical mass (as evidenced by the COVID existential threat operation success, continue to believe in the rightness and might, of the empire, militarily (as many of us here know, those days were gone when that one poor, backwards, weak nation, designed, built and took into service a comparatively small number of high-accuracy, maneuverable hypersonic munitions).
Unfortunately, for the rest of us, (aka humanity) we will have to live with the fallout, which may likely be, literally, nuclear fallout; it will certainly be a civilizational collapse, lead by the currently happening financial collapse.
Where to go with this rather dreary outlook….
1. identifying all means to alert the 99% to the ongoing crimes against them
2. educate the masses about real history, and the actual status of the empire, resulting from the managers … activities, including exposing the norms of treasonous corruption among the overwhelming majority of the “elected” governing leadership and the embedded bureaucratic fifth column (aka, to themselves, activists for the good of society, at least that part of society… which is… themselves, after all, at the end of the day… isn’t everyone else out to get them, anyway?!) )
3. develop and distribute methods of resistance, which a critical mass of citizens could/would be willing to employ
People are going to have to get over the programming about not looking at certain facts and trends, both historical and current.
Without this, it will impossible to perform the root-cause analysis to identify what is really driving this insanity, and consequently, communicate it to the citizens to demand action at any cost.
One tRibe ,thanks for this amazing post.
In the summer – early fall of 2019 a target individual, mind control victim and geopolitical pawn went public in Moscow about the next level crimes of both the United States and Russian governments/elites committed against him and his family for the past 6 decades. Almost immediately after the US Ambassador to Russia resigned. This was followed by threats, intimidation and finally poisoning. The target came back continued going public. Within a month the US released the Plandemic in Wuhan. Their secrets are darker than most can imagine. The answers lay on the Red Square.
I have no idea who you are talking about.